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Reaction to Barack Obama's Speech: I Wasn't Blown Away

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I have just some very quick reactions to the Obama speech tonight as I've been on Al Jazeera English Network tonight talking for more than three hours on it and don't want to really repeat the general patter of many other commentators and bloggers.

First, I thought that Obama's comments on the economy foreshadow some tough judgment calls that are going to be embedded in his budgetary request that will come out two days from now. I wasn't surprised by much in the speech -- except perhaps that any speech delivered by Barack Obama ends up far better listened to than read. I was a bit astonished that he included a carbon cap and trade request in his remarks. I think that given the state of the American economy right now, this may be a negotiations move and something he will probably scale back to win some greater goods -- but still impressive and surprising.

In walking Americans through the detail of the heart attack America's financial sector is going through, he did a good thing. He helped explain why huge resources must go into creating a baseline of solvency for the system and a commitment to renewed lending and down the road growth.

But I think he failed to really frame what a new social contract between government, the nation's firms, capital, workers, families and other stakeholders in our society might look like. He got pieces of it right -- and did zero in on his three big priorities: energy, education and health care.

But as with so much of what Obama's team has been doing, details were light, enthusiasm and hope were high, reaching out to all sides is part of the new shtick, and lots was left on the editing room floor.

I thought Obama didn't speak as fully as he should have to the need to really rebuild America's core infrastructure. He waved a wand over the fact that in the renewable energy sector, most of the related production jobs are overseas -- and just said that those jobs need to be here without really talking about how the ecosystem for job creation in these emergent sectors will be incentivized inside the United States.

He mentioned China -- not as a place where so many American manufacturing jobs have been outsourced to -- but as a clearly emerging giant in the renewable energy field.

I found it odd that he didn't reflect on his meeting this week with Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso -- and didn't mention his recent meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper or upcoming meeting next week with UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown. Most of these meetings have focused on what needs to be done to stabilize the global economic system.

And to a great degree Obama's chances of achieving the kind of micro successes he outlined in his speech tonight depends on getting China, Japan and Germany to derive less of their growth from external export-led growth and more from domestic, internal consumption. That is key and Obama should have referenced this. It was part of the missing picture in the speech, left on the cutting room floor.

I wasn't pleased by Obama's talk about increasing the size of the military. More money. More men and women deployed to causes that we aren't sure we should be fighting in this day and age. Obama is allowing incrementalism drive a lot of his thinking on the Pentagon's role and place in America's global engagement -- and it is that overall picture that needs "a full policy review" before committing even more resources to what has been a very bad result on security deliverables.

And yes, foreign policy was a sideshow in this speech. Besides China, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq and Israel were mentioned. Not much of the world pie.

And some in the Arab world are already really ticked off by the yet again use of Israel as the portal through which the Middle East is viewed. The term was "Israel and its neighbors."

Many of my friends think that Palestine should have been mentioned. After all, Bush mentioned Palestine -- a first for a US President.

I'm going to be more generous to Obama in my assessment. I think that the crafting of the term "Israel and its neighbors" gives Senator and Special Envoy George Mitchell the framing he needs to carve out a deal between Israel and its Arab neighbors -- though I think that the deal really is between the United States and Israel's Arab neighbors given the complete inability of Israelis and Palestinians to achieve peace.

So, I can live with the framing this time -- though I hope that Obama realizes that overuse of this portal into Middle East affairs will undermine his credibility with the 22 Arab League states that he is hoping to bring to a deal with Israel.

Also, what's up with the phrasing "sustaining our efforts" in trying to achieve peace between Israel and its neighbors. We need less sustaining and more of a results oriented strategy. Sustaining a process that has not and will not work is worth nothing and does damage. Engaging in a revitalized process that will achieve a deal that the Israelis, Palestinians and their mutual stakeholders will have to implement is what Obama needs to do.

All in all, this speech was better than I imagined it would be. It was serious in parts, had energy, talked to Americans, reached across the aisle -- all good. It still lacked overall coherence, lacked vision on what America's next social contract could and should look like. It went light on making the case that America needs a revitalized infrastructure to take it into the future - and where he addressed education and other forms of infrastructure, the gap between his rhetoric and the on the ground realities in the United States generate more disbelief than belief.

But again, not a bad show -- just not the definitive, historical, brilliantly framed talk that simultaneously encourages American to wrestle with the grit of tough times while clearly projecting a horizon of opportunity that the nation can jump towards. That was what would have been great to hear -- but this was not that speech.

I will check for typos in the morning. Good night.

-- Steve Clemons publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note


37 Comments

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NIce take, Steve. Have a good night.

One thing to think about in the morning -- maybe he's not defining the new contract because the people who are going to be bound by it, and by this I mean everyone, haven't really decided what they want that contract to be yet. And I don't think that people are in the mood to be told what it is. They can be persuaded. But there should be more popular input into whatever contract emerges. It shouldn't be imposed by the president. I think Obama realizes this.

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Thanks much. I think that the speech overall was good -- but these are historic times calling for historically sized actions. The size of a stimulus bill doesn't make it great. What makes it great is whether it kick starts the patient with a heart attack and whether embedded in the plan are things that will create recurring benefits over time. On the domestic economic front, I think that he has two big challenges to get to -- reinvesting in the backbone of the economy...deep infrastructure investment and a redrawing of a new social contract with working families...and I didn't hear that last night.

So, I'm perhaps the only guy not swept off my feet or perhaps my expectations are too high -- but these are the times when we should demand more and more and more as this is all quite a gamble -- and we need to get this right. Obama knows that too.

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"All in all, this speech was better than I imagined it would be. "

It's curious that you put the title emphasis the other way. Was that just a trick to be provocative?

What would you have expected otherwise?

I wasn't blown away, but I think that's a ludicrous standard to set forth if you're serious. I also think you're asking for too much detail and explicit structure. But I believe that keeping constructive pressure on Obama is what he asked for from us.

I have to review the speech before I can formulate more of my own comments. I did find the "get the banks lending" line to be far from the truth, another disappointment to me.

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I agree there was much left on the cutting room floor. Tons of initiatives, details and making real the new social compact. I suspect, or perhaps it is just a personal hope, that Obama has this thought-out to some extent. That, he will indeed lay out the specifics as the coming weeks and months roll by. Careful to not get too far ahead of public opinion, he has learned from the Clintons and hell, maybe even from Tom Edison, to create the market of expectations first and then and only then, deliver the goods.

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I often wonder about "left on the cutting floor" as a lens through which to view something.

Too much is too much, and you never know until you cross the line. As for whether I agree, I think you and Destor have an idea why things were left out. Now is not a time nor the place for a social contract or too many steps into the future.

I know first hand that tomorrow is so ever present in my daily thinking, that to imagine decades is very difficult. This is not to say that everyone should be this way, but it would be overly fanciful of Obama to make sweeping gestures and grandiose plans in light of the immediate problem. Hell - what he pointed at seem daunting enough.

I do not think that the hard-core lefties and the pseudo-revolutionaries who see a chance to remake the US are realistic. Commerce flows a certain way and legislation can only help protect that flow and protect the participants. It can never protect anyone from themselves or ignorant behavior. Economics is a branch of psychology and anyone who says they have the answer is likely lying to you. We are in a global struggle to find the right balance.

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I've read your work with admiration, so it's with great respect that I say this, but . . . you're describing an alternative speech that might profitably have been given to people who write for the American Prospect. You're not describing a speech that could have been *remotely* understood by the majority of tv-watching Americans.

You found it odd that he didn't reflect on his meeting with Taro Aso?

You were troubled by the fact that he didn't really explain how the ecosystems of job creation would be incentivized?

Seriously, dude. I think you need to spend a little time in Tulsa.

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It is along the lines of the demands by talking heads for Obama to please the DOW.

The key mechanism he employed suited the venue. He was at a high school pep rally that was crossed with a networking session and a corporate "stern talking to". The pep was for the beleaguered American populace, and the talking to was for the Republicans. (It was clear that the Republicans got sucked into standing up and clapping. I could almost imagine the flashing of blackberries.) During this pep, Obama helped create a sense of the "enemy" his plan was designed to vanquish. He created countries with which we had to compete, countries with which we had to reform and mold.

In a time of instability - tuning the military creates real jobs and real value. It may not always be put to good use but the citizen soldier of this country is a core strength. We mammals like the strong one, so expect continued expression of this strength. He used it campaigning, he will not abandon it now.

Sorry - I rambled a bit.

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Maybe so...I want Obama to tell the American people the truth and to be square with them. He did much of that last night, but he cut a lot of corners. He did a really quite magnificent job of explaining why the financial sector must be returned to order. Kudos to him for that. He tied in oil prices as an impediment to growth which was wrong...skirted over the level of offshoring that had decimated manufacturing, and didn't give folks a real understanding of how we are going to quickly build new manufacturing jobs and "factories" as he referred to them in the green sector -- which is now strong in China and Europe. So, yes -- in the areas that are key -- I think that we need more to understand his initiatives.

On the question of referring to the opening moves of his meeting with international leaders -- nearly all of them have focused primarily on the economic crisis. Coordinated international efforts to boost consumption outside the United States is vital. We need China, Germany and Japan to put Americans to work -- Americans have been shouldering the growth of the world for too long now -- and it has to go the other way, and in my view Obama should have made that clear.

All the best,

Steve

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Steve, Thanks for the reply. I agree that it would be nice to see some clear communication on both of those issues (in some venue). And I do want Obama to "level with us."

I guess we just have profoundly different models of the tv-watching audience. I'm imagining an audience that really hasn't grasped Keynes' basic assumptions yet, let alone int'l balance-of-payments issues. Even when you *want* to level with that audience, you've got to select a small number of points for emphasis, and start with the parts of the problem they're prepared to understand.

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Ummm, wow. Just wow. Instead of bashing this I will leave my words on "the cutting room floor"

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I'd always rather see what was on your cutting room floor. We should be debating and discussing -- not hiding our thoughts....so sorry you didn't weigh in (against) my own thinking. I realize that most of my friends and colleagues loved his speech. Michael Cohen loved it -- I represent a different part of the distribution curve.

All the best,

steve clemons

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Yeah The One, especially don't censor yourself when we have Steve around -- he's always willing to debate even with Ric Flair or Homer Simpson's brain.

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Huh?
President Obama's speech was 50 minutes long. Did you want him to filibuster for three days?
I suppose he could have read a thousand or so pages on the details of the Stimulus and then chatted about his chats with Canada - or people could simply read the thousands of pages of details online.
If the Republicans would have bothered to read the Stimulus plan a month ago (like I did) they wouldn't be questioning its virtues now while bitching about not being given more than a few hours to read it. Like Bush and McCain, I guess the party regulars still haven't figured out how to go online.
If they would actually read the bill, Republicans would once and for all realize that there's no bullet train being built between Las Vegas and Disneyland (not that the truth would get in the way of their mouths).
Personally, at the completion of Barack Obama's speech, all I could think about was how refreshing it is (especially now) to know the President of the United States is the smartest person in the room instead of some dumb, smirking and clueless frat boy.
We know how detailed the Republican solutions are. Governor Sanford is going to"pray" for the unemployed. In that spirit, I can only assume that Jindal plans to exorcise the evil spirits out of the economy.

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No...I didn't want him to filibuster for three days. I think he could have added a few clusters of items that were far more important than some of the clusters he left in. I also have fundamental disagreements with the way Obama approached the national security questions and the sleight of hand he gave increasing the size of the Pentagon -- around a tribute to military service men and women. Pushed the wrong buttons for me.

best regards,

Steve

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I'm sorry to sound snarky, but I find Steve Clemons' comments to reek of a self-importance. I got that Clemons thinks he's a sophisticated policy wonk who is important enough to spend three hours on the AJ network. More power to him. But the speech that Obama needed to give tonight wasn't just to wonkdom -- it was to a nation where a goodly portion of the electorate couldn't name the prime minister of Canada, let alone Japan.

Was it a perfect speech? Hardly. But while I agree with some of Clemons' points (e.g., regarding the size of the military), on the whole I'm very glad Clemons wasn't one of Obama's speech writers. Winning hearts and minds requires transcending the rhetorical secret handshakes of the beltway elite.


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I don't find your comments snarky - and I don't mean to convey self importance. I was off doing commentary and shared I was -- otherwise I would have been live-blogging the speech as I usually do.

But that aside, I think that Obama's tasks is not to win hearts and minds of Americans -- but to be level and square about policy choices he is making in his forthcoming budget. If he can craft a speech that sells to Americans and helps them understand why he is making those choices, all the better -- but we don't need to pander to or talk down to Americans to accomplish this.

I think Americans want to know that his plan will restore a reasonable quality of life for the Middle Class and will stop the erosion in their circumstances. Maybe some think that his speech went a long way in that direction. I don't think it went far enough -- and I think that the broader message of explaining why we are in this situation was glossed over.

We are in this mess not just because of bad regulation and fraudulent decisions by banks on lending rules. We are in this situation because of a world of key economies that organized global growth around a consumer that was underproducing and overconsuming...that gave Americans a high quality of life and options that collectively we couldn't afford. Add to that a couple of wars that we paid for perversely through tax cuts and you have a worse mess.

We need the equation of global consumption to change so that the American middle class can see a general slowdown in the offshoring of manufacturing jobs and a commitment by the US government to push China, Japan and Germany to begin putting Americans back to work -- as it has been the American consumer who has been driving global growth for way, way too long.

Consumption as a share of GDP in the US is about 72%. In Canada, for comparison, with which we have the closest economic and trading relationship, consumption as a share of GDP is about 57%.

America's consumption level is dramatically falling now -- and that is hurting those we are importing from and it's hurting a large sector of the American economy. To fix this and move to a healthier course, we need to hear more than we did in Obama's speech.

best regards,

Steve Clemons

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Well, at first I thought I had listened to a different speech, but then maybe not.
Obama knew that "we the people" were listening...no really listening. What I heard was the rationale for why we just received a $787B tax bill and that as much as we all hate it, more money will be spent to get the banks either out of business or back to business.
He set out his next agenda items and challenged the youth of America (and as an old fogey, I really liked hearing this) that dropping out of school is unacceptable.
As to the increase in the size of the military...hmmm what does he know that we don't. It would be best not to have to have a military, but if we have to send troops, it would be better to have a large number in lieu of being in combat for 4 out of 5 years and come back a mess and unable to go back to the life we enjoy.
The topics he covered were setting us up for the next step: education, clean energy (except coal - as it does not exist) healthcare and medicare reform...to cover all the issues Clemons thought should be covered...well, it is 2AM and it would still be on TV Live! Which would have the merit of not having listened to Gov. Jindal present something...but I know not what!

Pay attention here: he has been POTUS for 5 weeks and has already given 2 prime time addresses...gee, we really / finally have a communicator to the people outside the beltway!

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With all due respect -- and I do respect your views -- I don't believe in giving any US President a break when it comes to fundamental issues.

We spend more on defense and security than all other nations in the world combined and dont feel save. This is clearly a "management problem."

Before committing more men and women to military service, more money into the Pentagon till, we should have a review of our objectives, our plans for the future -- and we must retool. This hasn't happened -- so I totally oppose inertia-driven commitments to an ever larger military that already has more resources at hand than virtually any other part of government.

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...so I totally oppose inertia-driven commitments to an ever larger military that already has more resources at hand than virtually any other part of government.
Hear, hear!
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afisher,

The topics he covered were setting us up for the next step: ... clean energy (except coal - as it does not exist)

Indeed. Hopefully, that was a political nod to the good folks downstate, who once upon a time helped make Barack Obama the junior Senator from Illinois.

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Results from the pollsters don't agree. Of course, pollsters also haven't "found it odd that he didn't reflect on his meeting this week with Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso". Say WHAT?!

The omission isn't odd, your comment is, and a career tip for you would be, "Don't go into politics." Check those polls when you run down the typos.

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you are right. I don't pay much attention to the pollsters after a speech like this. The question is whether he communicated a set of interlinking policies that will work. I think he did in some parts and not in others. Whether he mentions Aso or not is not the issue -- what is is whether he can get other economies carrying surpluses to punch up their consumption. That is WHY of all world leaders, Obama picked Japan first to meet in the White House. There was a price for that meeting -- and we need to know whether Japan will pay it. It's not trivial, and I don't care much whether the pollsters catch that or not.

All best,

Steve

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Steve Clemons,

And some in the Arab world are already really ticked off by the yet again use of Israel as the portal through which the Middle East is viewed. The term was "Israel and its neighbors."

Oh noes! There's that zit on the face of "The Arab World" again!

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Not sure what you are getting at. I think that the framing Obama used is potentially useful... He mentioned Israel as a priority...when I think he needs to communicate to Arab states that he prioritizes their needs too.... but as you didn't go further, I won't this time.

best regards,

Steve

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Fair enough. I've probably grown a little too acculcturated to MJ Rosenberg's Cafe postings for my own or anyone else's good.

I will add that I don't mind the president's framing at all, and I don't believe that reminding "The Arab World" that Arab peoples have no real monopoly on the right of national self-determination in the region. If warming up to that fact cajoles or otherwise inspires more member natinions of the Arab League to back up its Beirut initiative with substantive movement toward normal relations with Israel, then so much the better for everyone involved.

I enjoy your contributions, Mr. Clemons, and I appreciate your feedback to the commentariat. Happy Trails.

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Oops, spaced out the end of a thought. Above should read:

I will add that I don't mind the president's framing at all, and I don't believe that reminding "The Arab World" that Arab peoples have no real monopoly on the right of national self-determination in the region is a rhetorical miscue.

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I've probably grown a little too acculcturated to MJ Rosenberg's Cafe postings for my own or anyone else's good.

Good self-analysis! :-) I myself am wondering when it is going to sink in with some of M.J.'s fans that Obama really has some anti-Hamas beliefs, and how he might actually be quite sympathetic to Israel. Many of them seem to operating like this: Obama really means what he says about everything, except for Israel, then he doesn't really mean what he says.

I also think the existence of a "The Lobby" allows for self-delusion by some about how much American support there would still be for Israel even if there was no "The Lobby" at all. Blackmail by "The Lobby" and pandering to it often seems to be assumed when the reality at times with many American politicians (and many of their constituents) might be more like sincere agreement on many fronts.

Even Clemons seems to suggest Obama's language wasn't purposefully chosen, that he was just using old language without thinking, a mistake that should be pointed out to him. I think: why think that he didn't chose those words with care? He's a very careful wordsmith!

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artappraiser,

Good self-analysis! :-)

Thanks. Now if only I could learn to think, type and spell all at the same time....

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Health Care? Did he actually say anything about it for real? As far as I'm concerned he said nothing but lower expectations. He's passing the buck. Let Teddy worry about it. Too many details. It's so hard....blah, blah...

I'm so tired of this sham.

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I was also troubled by the commitment to expand the military -- and balance the budget! So what is going to be cut? He didn't say that he's leaving troops in Iraq. I could care less about Palestinians but I sure do care about our over commitments in the middle east and elsewhere.

Healthcare is going to get "reformed" and he's going to cut costs and he's going to get some money from Medicare? Like how! My biggest fear is that he and the sorry centrists are going to muck around with healthcare, cave to employeres and insurance companies, and leave Americans mandated into paying for something they can't afford and which does not provide the healthcare they need. They're so afraid of being framed to the left that I can see them now, adopting the Republican frames about privatization and health savings accounts (in what banks are we saving these days?)

Just don't tell me you are going to "reform" healthcare if you aren't ready to step up and do it right. Don't tell me fairytales about balanced budgets and no tax increases on the bottom 95%. Don't tell me all that and two wars thrown in for good measure.

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I agree with you on the wars. Does he really think these are necessary to protect us? European nations don't. He's moved rather easily into the role as Commander In Chief. Seems to enjoy the salute a bit too much. What happened to the no torture position? What a joke. Everyone I know without health insurance emailed me after the speech in despair.

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"reaching out to all sides is part of the new shtick".....

That comment pretty much shows the limits of your thinking about this President, and this country's problems.

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Mr. Clemons,

What a nice surprise to see all the replies to comments from you, and would love to continue to see you interact with your readers more often. It's far more interesting to this reader to see your responses to thoughtful, sincere comments, far preferable to an essay with peanut gallery comments.

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Yes. Much preferable.

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"I found it odd that he didn't reflect on his meeting this week with Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso -- and didn't mention his recent meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper or upcoming meeting next week with UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown. Most of these meetings have focused on what needs to be done to stabilize the global economic system.

I might find it odd that he hasn't held a press conference to report his meetings with foreign dignitaries, but I do think it's unreasonable to expect this report in a formal semi-State of the Union address. As for the next social contract, what do you call it when he's trying to bail out the the economy and create jobs? That's the most pressing social contract we've needed since the 1930s. He's been in office 1 month and needs to add depth to his staff so he can act on the most pressing problems, never mind ones that are coming down the road.

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[retry]

"All in all, this speech was better than I imagined it would be. "

It's curious that you put the title emphasis the other way. Was that just a trick to be provocative?

What would you have expected otherwise?

I wasn't blown away, but I think that's a ludicrous standard to set forth if you're serious. I also think you're asking for too much detail and explicit structure. But I believe that keeping constructive pressure on Obama is what he asked for from us.

I have to review the speech before I can formulate more of my own comments. I did find the "get the banks lending" line to be far from the truth, another disappointment to me.

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Everyone's a critic.

Bill Kristol wanted Obama to mention Iran....

As a hyper vigilant(e) who is among the ranks of the scrutinizers of all things ME, the brief statement about Israel and her neighbors didn't register as anything to cause much angst among the actors in the 'hood as for the most part, those Arabs et al are very practical.

They know how things go and are far more interested in more concrete stuff like appointments and who meets with who and where.

Marc Lynch reports that Arab League head Amr Moussa told him that Obama's appointment of Mitchell is what counts as a hopeful sign that there is a change in direction.

More importantly, Lynch describes Moussa completely refuting the idiocy that "moderator" David Ignatius exemplifies in his assumptions/suggestions about Iran's "threats" to Arab states in the ME:

"Moussa didn't bite when Ignatius suggested that Arab leaders were urging the U.S. to be tougher on Iran and to hold off on the promised dialogue. On the contrary, he responded, for the last few years it has been the Americans coming to the Arabs and talking up the Iran threat and not the other way around. He acknowledged Arab concerns about Iran, but concluded that the Arabs and Iran would have to learn how to co-exist. As to the Iranian nuclear program, Moussa would only talk about the double-standard surrounding Israeli nuclear weapons."
http://lynch.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2009/02/25/listening_to_both_sides_of_the_arab_divide


Roger Cohen, in his recent article about Iranian Jews sums up the misbegotten US approach perfectly:

"Green Zoneism — the basing of Middle Eastern policy on the construction of imaginary worlds — has led nowhere."

Cohen gets it.

It IS all about "imaginary worlds" and the struggle to rid our MP FP superstructure of this entrenched chimera is a formidable challenge. When David Ignatius is mouthing the designated CW platitudes instead of actually doing due diligence on issues he supposedly knows something about, it illustrates just how deep the Greenzonist doodoo really is.

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