Playing into the hands of Hamas
By Bernard Avishai and Sam Bahour
Israel and Hamas are not equals on the battlefield - not at all, clearly - and when the power to harm or control others is this uneven, it is meaningless to speak about moral symmetry. But as the current onslaught in Gaza unfolds, it is sadly evident that both sides are continuing to respond to real provocations in ways that are not morally right, or even politically smart.
If Hamas thought that lobbing missiles into Israeli civilian neighborhoods was a decent or proportionate response to the grim realities of the occupation, they were wrong. On the other hand, if Israel thinks it can bludgeon the Palestinians into political surrender, or get Hamas - or the Palestinian community at large, for that matter - to acquiesce to military occupation then it, too, is wrong.
There is no military solution to this conflict. Until both sides fully grasp this, the world can expect only continuing violence and vendetta, with civilians on both sides paying the price for leaders who - because of pressure, ambition or hubris - feel that they must do the most damage, fire the last shot or make the most credible threat. Indeed, it is sad, and repellent, to hear military correspondents speak of "teaching a lesson," "increasing pressure," "making a statement," achieving "deterrence," when those they are reporting on are really trying to control the news cycle, or win arguable (and in any case temporary) psychological advantage, by killing, or accepting the deaths of, people at random on the other side.
Operation Cast Lead - the heart-wrenching death and wanton destruction the Israeli army is inflicting on Gaza as we write - is the product of just such thinking. In the first week, Israeli air raids killed over 500 people, many of them non-combatants; invading ground forces have now killed 100 more. Israelis knew in advance that Hamas forces are not a regular army; they will not come out of hiding and be mowed down like soldiers in World War I. To go after them effectively, in, of all places, the Gaza Strip, one of the most densely populated places on earth, the IDF would have to level its towns and cities, block by block, and intensify the nightmare of the Gazan population, more than half of which is children under the age of 15.
This cannot succeed in achieving Israel's stated aim of degrading Hamas' long-term capabilities and motivation. It will certainly not undermine Hamas' appeal, especially since the electricity and water infrastructures are also inevitably targeted. Now that Israeli soldiers have been killed in this tragic operation, there are the unavoidable cries that the IDF "go all the way," so their deaths would not have been in vain. But Israel cannot make Hamas surrender - it cannot "win." Meanwhile, the carnage will help Hamas, and other Palestinian military factions, make their case - not only in Gaza, but across the West Bank too. A glorious stand will even turn them into cultural heroes among Israel's Palestinian Arab citizens.
It should be clear by now that Hamas' appeal only grows when Israelis attacks Palestinians. It increased when Israel insisted that occupied territory was merely "disputed," ignoring its obligations under international law, and tried to dissociate its unilateral "disengagement" from Gaza from the continuing occupation of the West Bank and East Jerusalem. Hamas appealed to circles upon circles of Palestinian youth, who, grieving for friends or relatives killed in clashes with occupation forces, or appalled by iron-fist policies, succumbed to rage or survivors' guilt. Its appeal increased in the absence of any concrete progress toward peace, indeed, when the peacemaking process seemed endlessly stalled.
Hamas' appeal spread, finally, when Palestinian economic life seemed futile, or inevitably corrupt - when a fight to the last martyr seemed the only chance at a meaningful life - or death. Give Gazans open borders, relief from grinding poverty, and business opportunities with West Bank and foreign partners and, over time, this will win over Hamas-controlled tunnels and smuggling every time. The Palestinian private sector, centered in Ramallah, has begged Israel and the international community for 18 months to allow it access to Gaza, to build new businesses. Israel refused. Tragically, many who have been killed this past week were not Hamas militants, but rather Palestinians who worked in Hamas-run ministries or institutions because they had no choice if they wanted to feed and clothe their children.
The critical point, surely, is that one cannot do in two weeks with force what you need to do over a generation with reciprocity. Even as it worked toward an overall solution to the conflict, Israel could have respected international law regarding occupation, observed the Geneva conventions, helped build Palestinian civil society, stopped settlement construction, invited international monitors, and allowed Palestinians to compete non-violently, politically, economically and socially. It could have, in short, allowed for unity and rationality in Palestinian politics. This is not, well, rocket science.
Bernard Avishai is an author and management consultant who lives in Jerusalem. He blogs at www.bernardavishai.com. Sam Bahour is a management consultant and entrepreneur living in Ramallah. He blogs at epalestine.blogspot.com.
NOTE: First published in Ha'aretz.
















Since I have complained many times about the lack of Palestinian voices here at TPM Cafe, please let me be the first to acknowledge and commend Bernard Avishai for co-authoring this piece with Sam Bahour, and posting it here.
January 9, 2009 7:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Lack of Palestine voices"
It looks like TPM has a blackout on the Gaza offensive. Looking at the front page and its "top news stories" list makes me wonder if they are in contact with the rest of the world. McClatchy, my favorite newspaper has a Gaza article on the front page.
The blackout makes me appreciate this article even more even though I am not entirely in agreement with it.
January 10, 2009 3:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you Professor Avishai and Mr. Bahour for your compelling arguments about the ultimate futility of any notion that there can be a military solution in the Gaza strip. Mr. Bahour, many of the commenters at the Cafe have been hoping to hear more from the voices of Palestinians so your appearance here is particularly appreciated and, speaking for myself for sure but probably many more, your continued participation here would be a welcome addition.
One question for either or both of you is your assertion, which I believe appears to be the consensus, is that support for Hamas will increase in the Palestinian community. While I don't think it's an apples to apples comparison, this assertion would certainly be supported by an analogy to what appears to have been increased and solidified support for Hizbollah after the 2006 war with Israel in Lebanon. But, when the dust settles in the current crisis in Gaza, and hopefully and G-d willing very soon, what makes you both certain that the Palestinian community there, still with many people who had supported Fatah even after Hamas prevailed in the internal conflice between the two groups, that continued allegiance to Hamas by Gazans en masse is a certainty. And, as a corollary and at this point, to what extent is it wishful thinking on the part of those of us in this country who have high hopes for and fully support an aggressive effort by PE Obama to implement a just and lasting two-state solution for Israel and Palestine?
Thank you both once again.
Bruce S. Levine
New York, New York
January 9, 2009 7:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hi Bruce,
good questions. This column will be a learnng experience for many.
January 9, 2009 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Although Israel has hoped to exercise ruthless control over the the news and images and stories coming out of this conflict, what they may not have realized is that the war itself would draw the world's attention to the hideous reality of Gazan misery and confinement, both pre-conflict and post-conflict, and away from the tit-for-tat of Israeli incursions and Hamas rocket firings that precipitated the invasion and slaughter. This growing global consciousness has perhaps culminated in the Vatican's decision this week to label Gaza a "concentration camp". Once the conflict is over, Israel's global political position will have deteriorated significantly.
Israelis are so used to living with and perpetuating the deplorable conditions they have wrought among dispossessed Palestinians, that many of them have grown inured to the horror of what exists to their south. They may have assumed the world is inured too. But in reality much of the world just hasn't paid attention, and was asleep to Gaza. Now they are waking up.
January 9, 2009 7:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
DanK:
What evidence do you have that anybody in the world thinks differently about Israel now than it thought about Israel before Christmas? More specifically, do you know anything about the cardinal whom you quote, and do you think his view of the Jewish State has been altered by the carnage committed in its name over the past two weeks. I don't believe that for a nanosecond. I'm not sure it matters ultimately, but I submit perhaps with as much evidence as you have for what you have submitted, that nothing has changed. In fact, respectfully, the only thing I have seen differently is that Jews worldwide are rallying in support of Israel this time, even in places where the paltry numbers of remaining Jews is a pitiful reminder of the concentration camps referred to by the righteous cardinal. Perhaps this is so because, rightly or wrongly, Jews don't understand--or they understand too well in their own minds--why the world would be so quick to condemn Israel for defending its citizens from continuous missile attacks on civilian targets.
Qualification--I said that the only change I have seen is among Diaspora Jews outside of the U.S. who have rallied to support Israel in a way I have not seen in years. The other change I have seen is in the relatively weak response of so much of the Arab world leadership to the atrocities that have been committed against the civiian population of Gaza.
We digress so often I know. Let me say that I hope folks like us can still join to support PE Obama in pursuing aggressive peace efforts in Israel and in Palestine, and that these efforts will include a tough stand against extremists on both sides of this never-ending conflict. I know we both support a fair and just two-state solution--with Jerusalem as the capital of two sovereign nations--and that, in the end, our differences are not of the kind that, in my world, would be called strike issues.
Bruce
January 9, 2009 8:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
Qualification--I said that the only change I have seen is among Diaspora Jews outside of the U.S. who have rallied to support Israel in a way I have not seen in years.
More than at a similar point in the 2006 Lebanon War?
January 9, 2009 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think so, absolutely. Interesting question though, one which hopefully we won't find the answer to, because finding the answer would depend on continuation of this insanity.
January 9, 2009 10:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bruce,
I said above that this column could be a learning experience for many, and it will be as soon as the authors start replying to some of the posts.
Now if only the militant's posts are kept to a minimum.
January 9, 2009 1:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hello John and I hope you are well. I'm sure someone like you, who saw combat up close and personal, even though it is now more than 60 years agao, has some interesting perspective on combat that most of us do not. Thanks for your kind words and I agree that Mr. Bahour and Professor Avishai have presented an excellent post for our consideration. Hopefully, they will find the time to address some of the issues raised in the thread. All the best.
Bruce
January 9, 2009 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bruce,
what I saw in Europe during the war made me somewhat of a pacifist, and on top of that it gave me a profound sense of sympathy for the downtrodden.
January 9, 2009 3:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
As I understand it, Hamas isn't interested in a two state solution, just one state with no Israelis. If so, why are you enabling Hamas?
January 9, 2009 7:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sam's own "moderate" FATAH people supported their affiliated Al-Aqsa Martyr's Brigade and it suicide bomber attacks against Israel which led to thousands of Israeli dead and wounded. So I don't know how much validity there is to his hand-wringing about civilian casualties.
What is especially odd is that he says Israeli military operations against HAMAS only "makes them more popular". That has yet to be proven. Maybe it is true, but Sam seems to have forgotten that HAMAS won the Palestinian parliamentary elections and then took full power in Gaza after Sharon destroyed the Jewish communities in Gush Katif plus 4 settlements in Judea/Samaria. Here was a "tough" Israeli General ordering the IDF to run away from the Arabs. It seems it was this Israeli cowardice that made HAMAS more popular, NOT Israeli strength. Sam forgets that HAMAS says that Islam guarantees Israel will disappear with 20 years or so, and Sharon's action merely seemed to show that HAMAS is correct, so many Palestinian jumped on the wagon. Thus, it may be that smashing HAMAS militarily, plus the fact that the rest of the Arab/Muslim world is standing aside while this military operation is proceeding may show the Palestinians, and especially the Gazans that HAMAS is a loser and is only bringing misery on them, and they will turn their backs on them. Don't forget that Nasser was wildly popular but his defeat in the Six-Day War ended up badly damaging his image and that of the Pan-Arabist cause he championed.
January 9, 2009 8:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Sam's own "moderate" FATAH people supported their affiliated Al-Aqsa Martyr's Brigade and it suicide bomber attacks against Israel "
So?
"One of Israel's founding Ministers of Education and Culture, Professor Ben-Zion Dinur (1954), said it most sharply; “In our country there is room only for the Jews. We shall say to the Arabs: Get out! If they don't agree, if they resist, we shall drive them out by force" (History of the Haganah). With this theme as the explicit backdrop of a newly established State, it is no wonder that Israel, 58 years later, has had little chance of being a normal member of the state of nations."
January 9, 2009 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
You should know how effective the power of resentment can be, YBD. You exploit it well enough yourself.
You have your scarequotes on backwards. Ariel Sharon was in fact quite tough in recognizing the dangerous folly of Israel's national real estate speculation in territories that no Israeli government has ever shown any willingness to annex. As such, it is increasingly clear that Israel has not "run away" from anyone or anything except the phony resentments of the orange-clad settlers and their supporters, and what you brand "cowardice" is genuinely wise statecraft.
January 9, 2009 10:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Seconded.
January 9, 2009 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, Bar K, although I'm guessing you'd agree that it wasn't wise enough. There appears a general consensus that Sharon's unilateral withdrawal, without any agreement or even consultation with the other side, was folly. Sharon could have actually done something to strengthen Palestinian moderates (i.e., those committed at least in word to a two-state solution) by involving them in the process and secured some agreement in place for governing Gaza. Instead, the withdrawal had the perverse effect of strenthening Hamas by allowing them to claim the withdrawal as a "victory" forced on Israel under fire.
January 9, 2009 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Armchair Guerilla,
Agreed. But we can approach it several different ways. The Arab Leaugue initiative, for example, calls for Israeli concessions before any normalization of relations -- the way I've read of it, even before making any gestures toward normalization, like diplomatic exchanges. I believe Israel would find it much easier politically to reverse many of its policies that are in desperate need of reversal if even most of the remaining nineteen Arab League member nations were already on diplomatic terms with Israel.
January 9, 2009 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, it's nice to have an actual arab invited on this site, though it would be better if he came unchaperoned.
"If Hamas thought that lobbing missiles into Israeli civilian neighborhoods was a decent or proportionate response to the grim realities of the occupation, they were wrong."
Hamas did not break the truce, Israel did.
Sam Bahour
January 9, 2009 10:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
though it would be better if he came unchaperoned
Strikes me as a mistintepretation of the situation. A new Sam Bahour account posted this piece here by his lonesome. It does happen to simply be a repost of an article he did with Avishai for Ha'aretz. He obviously could post something else for his first post, but he chose this.
January 9, 2009 3:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
See petty bickering. What is this?
January 11, 2009 8:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ben David - Can you tell me what benefit Abbas and Fatah weakness has gotten them? It seems to me that if the Palestinians were weak and defeated you and your Likud buddies would NEVER allow them to have a state. The Jews would never agree to that, why do you think the Palestinians would ever give up? Remember that it wasn't until Egypt got some measure of revenge in 1973 that it was prepared to negotiate with Israel and then ONLY when it got back ALL of it's territory. The same is, and always will be, true of the Palestinians.
January 9, 2009 10:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
jdledell,
I asked in that other thread if your grandfather, who took you to Israel in 1956 for your Bar Mitzvah, was in Europe during WWII.
I asked because as an American GI during the war I helped liberate a concentration camp in Germany, and now and then when the Holocaust comes up I often wonder whatever happened to those poor souls we liberated.
I imagine some of the survivors are still alive
and I think now and then of how grand it would to meet one of them...one woman in particular.
If still living, I wonder if she remembers me.
I grow old, I grow old, I shall wear the bottoms my trousers rolled.....
We have lingered in the chambers of the sea,
By sea girls wreathed with seaweed red and brown,
Till human voices wake us and we drown.
January 9, 2009 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
JDLEDELL- The Palestinians consider getting back "all of their territory" meaning rolling into Tel Aviv and throwing us Jews in the sea. If you don't believe this, there was a good article in Makor Rishon this Friday interviewing former Communist Israel MK Charlie Biton and peace activist David Ish-Shalom (the only man beside the legendary Abie Nathan who sat in jail for meeting Arafat before Oslo). Both now support the "far right", both said the Arabs with whom they held discussions pre-Oslo were lying to them when they said they supported "peace" by way of the 2-state solution. Ish-Shalom said that during the suicide bombing campaign starting in 2000, he met a member of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine name Ali with whom he had been in contact for years conducting 'peace discussions'. This time Ali told him "we are going to kill all of you". Both Biton and Ish-Shalom held endless hours of "peace discussion" with Palestnian representatives and they now realize it was all propaganda meant to weaken Israel's resolve.
January 10, 2009 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ben David - I'm sure that some Palestinians feel that Tel Aviv is part of the historic Palestine that they are going to reclaim. Like the examples you gave it would not be hard to find those who would make outrageous statements like throwing the Jews into the sea. However, based on my limited interaction with Palestinians and reading the tea leaves of the press coverage, the majority of Palestinians recognize Israel is here to stay.
On the other hand why don't you go out to Kiryat Arba and you will find plenty of Jews making making outrageous statements about throwing the Palestinians over the river. Such attitudes do not reflect the majority of Israelis either.
January 10, 2009 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Opening up the borders? Oh you mean so that more suicide bombers can infiltrate Israel. That makes a lot of sense.
I do agree with part of your article, that it seems the case that war will not solve anything and can only aggrevate the situation further. But, at the same time, how can we expect Israel to continue to gamble with its citizens lives and do nothing? It tried and failed to get Hamas to stop firing rockets using negotiations. It even went to the media; Olmert told Hamas through the media that they should STOP firing at civilians, because Israel is stronger and can do more damage. Hamas paid no attention, and in doing so, put Palestinian lives at risk.
It's too bad that you didn't tackle this essential question in your article.
Overall I think that it is a very complex situation. Dealing with extremist terrorists who literally live for death is not easy. (i.e. See http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/09/world/09fighter.html?_r=1)
January 9, 2009 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
" it is meaningless to speak about moral symmetry. "
Until Israel's friends condemn, or at least publicly and formally chide, Israel for its excesses and immoral conduct, Israel will behave as if it were righteous.
"If Hamas thought that lobbing missiles "
What alternatives were there? Politically smart??
"There is no military solution to this conflict."
Israel seems hell bent on disproving that.
January 9, 2009 4:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course there's a military solution to the I/P problem. It's been there on the table for years. Give the Palestinians a fighting chance and they will as they say have to or want to, wipe Israel off the map and as an added bonus kill all the Jews they can find. A Jew free Middle East is a trouble free Middle East. That can probably be extrapolated to here. I learned and was convinced of that reading Salon. Sounds about right.
January 9, 2009 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's the link to last Monday's bitterlemons.
For those who want to read a real Palestinian's view, you can read two here.
For those who like me want to read the views of Israeli's who believe this war was necessary to defend their fellow citizens but also know that Palestinians are their fellows: fellow human beings, you can read the views of the two Jossi's.
This edition is almost a week old but better late than never.
http://www.bitterlemons.org/
January 10, 2009 8:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
It is my belief that if the Palestinians had never lifted a finger to Israel that Palestine would not exist today.
It is also, my belief that Israel's sole goal is that Palestine does not exist. I believe that they will do anything for however long it takes to accomplish this goal.
There have been all kinds of talks and agreements and ceasefires, but they have never worked. The reason being, Israel doesn't want them to work. It wants Palestine. These are not reasonable people you are dealing with. They have one goal and are stubborn to the point if it costs everyone on the globe their lives they will have Palestine.
What adds gasoline to this fire is the US. The US keeps the flames burning by providing Israel with money and advanced weapons to kill the Palestinians with. In return the US gets a grip on the Middle East with Israel's weapons and nuclear facility. The US will not REALLY object to Israeli actions. It will simply pretend to scold and reprimand.
Therefore, it is my belief that Hamas and Lebanon are doing the only thing they can do. They could lie down and die and do nothing and nothing would be accomplished. Well, not a lot is being accomplished this way either, but I personally would rather go down fighting than to just lay down and be shot. They're going to shoot you anyway, sooner or later THEY WANT PALESTINE. But, at least Hamas and Lebanon are fighting to try to preserve lives and their country. It is an unfair fight weapon wise. Like the big bullies at school picking on the little kid.
I believe that any REAL agreement and ceasefire should include the US and prevention of its financial and military aid to Israel. At least the conflict would be on even ground. The US is just as responsible for all this death and destruction in Gaza as Israel.
January 11, 2009 8:18 AM | Reply | Permalink