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What Every Child Knows

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Over 8o Qassam missiles landed in areas bordering Gaza over the past 24 hours. Nobody should doubt how insufferable this is. But what should Israel do? Every child knows that you are attacked because the other person doesn't realize you can hit back, that your hurt can become his hurt. Reasonable people want action.

"We have no father, we have no mother," a resident of Shderot screamed at a radio journalist this past week, understandably in despair about his government's inability to protect him from explosions; in despair also, no doubt, about his children's growing realization that he cannot protect them. "Our response will be substantial and painful to Hamas," an Israeli government official said this morning.

Then again, children don't know everything.

One cannot inflict pain on Hamas without magnifying pain on the residents of Gaza, whose support for Hamas was born out of just such violence and political stalemate. One cannot magnify pain on the residents of Gaza without further discrediting the Palestine Authority in the eyes of West Bankers, particularly the youth, whose relative affluence only makes them feel like traitors. Spreading violence means not only new and tragic deaths, but new pictures on al-Jazeera of ambulances pulling bodies from crumbled buildings; new reports on the BBC, or CNN, adding up the casualties, implicitly daring viewers to value the lives of Israeli children over those of Palestinian children. Still want to hit this tar-baby one more time, but harder?

The sad truth is that exercising sovereign power is a more complicated thing than getting your father to beat up his father. In his weekly newsletter, M.J. Rosenberg astutely quotes former Mossad chief, Ephraim Halevy: "'[Hamas] leaders entered into the arrangement . . . with the intention of making it the beginning of a process.' They sold the cease-fire to their followers as means to achieve certain 'deliverables': a prisoner release and an easing of border restrictions. But Hamas got neither, just as Israel did not achieve Gilad Shalit's release."

Rosenberg continues: "Israel has no difficulty blaming Hamas for breaking the cease-fire. The logic sounds impeccable. If Hamas stops shooting, it will get quiet in return. From the Gazans' point of view, however, the Israeli blockade is a form of violence. How can Hamas be expected to stop its attacks if Israel keeps a million people penned up in what they view as a vast prison camp?"

Indeed, if you were the leaders of Hamas--Islamist, rejectionist, housed in Damascus, supported by Iran, and so forth--and you saw Israeli peace talks with Syria taking shape, Obama hinting broadly about a moderate alliance of Arab states, a rekindling of the Saudi peace initiative, a tightening of cooperation between Israel and Egypt, and a desire by the current Israeli government to extend the status quo indefinitely, so that Gaza residents have nothing to think about but their poverty, well, what would you do? Older kids know about it. It's called a sucker punch.


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"If Hamas stops shooting, it will get quiet in return".
Well, let's have a look at this quiet: "On 5 November the Israeli government sealed all the ways into and out of Gaza. Food, medicine, fuel, parts for water and sanitation systems, fertiliser, plastic sheeting, phones, paper, glue, shoes and even teacups are no longer getting through in sufficient quantities or at all. According to Oxfam only 137 trucks of food were allowed into Gaza in November. This means that an average of 4.6 trucks per day entered the strip compared to an average of 123 in October this year and 564 in December 2005. The two main food providers in Gaza are the UN Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) and the World Food Programme (WFP). UNRWA alone feeds approximately 750,000 people in Gaza, and requires 15 trucks of food daily to do so. Between 5 November and 30 November, only 23 trucks arrived, around 6 per cent of the total needed; during the week of 30 November it received 12 trucks, or 11 per cent of what was required. There were three days in November when UNRWA ran out of food, with the result that on each of these days 20,000 people were unable to receive their scheduled supply. According to John Ging, the director of UNRWA in Gaza, most of the people who get food aid are entirely dependent on it. On 18 December UNRWA suspended all food distribution for both emergency and regular programmes because of the blockade.

The WFP has had similar problems, sending only 35 trucks out of the 190 it had scheduled to cover Gazans’ needs until the start of February (six more were allowed in between 30 November and 6 December). Not only that: the WFP has to pay to store food that isn’t being sent to Gaza. This cost $215,000 in November alone. If the siege continues, the WFP will have to pay an extra $150,000 for storage in December, money that will be used not to support Palestinians but to benefit Israeli business.

The majority of commercial bakeries in Gaza – 30 out of 47 – have had to close because they have run out of cooking gas. People are using any fuel they can find to cook with. As the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) has made clear, cooking-gas canisters are necessary for generating the warmth to incubate broiler chicks. Shortages of gas and animal feed have forced commercial producers to smother hundreds of thousands of chicks. By April, according to the FAO, there will be no poultry there at all: 70 per cent of Gazans rely on chicken as a major source of protein.

Banks, suffering from Israeli restrictions on the transfer of banknotes into the territory were forced to close on 4 December. A sign on the door of one read: ‘Due to the decision of the Palestinian Finance Authority, the bank will be closed today Thursday, 4.12.2008, because of the unavailability of cash money, and the bank will be reopened once the cash money is available.’

The World Bank has warned that Gaza’s banking system could collapse if..."
http://bit.ly/1pHV

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"On 5 November the Israeli government sealed all the ways into and out of Gaza.
It's not true. The border between Gaza and Egypt is always open.
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"Over 8o Qassam missiles landed in areas bordering Gaza over the past 24 hours. Nobody should doubt how insufferable this is. But what should Israel do?"

Lemme guess, Peace Boy:

Give the terrorists land?

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Chicken or egg? That is the question I see posed so often and in so many words. I don't condone the blockade, and I fear the effects of retaliation on ordinary Gazans. But absent both, what would there be? Dr. Avishai, I appreciate your empathy for regular Israeli citizens in your writings, but I remain unconvinced that the solution will be found in the common refrains of "If only Israel did or did not do this or that. . ." That is manna from heaven for many who seek simple solutions, but I don't believe it is the answer or that it holds the key to peaceful coexistence, and I regret to conclude this from the bottom of my heart--after decades of vascillation that has literally taken me through each and every strain of the American left, and certainly with respect to matters pertaining to Israel and Palestine--and I write this with utmost sincerity and with a craving and a pining for justice for both Israelis and Palestinians. There will be retaliation by the Israelis as the winter skies clear, and I think you know that, and may G-d help the innocent among our Palestinian brothers and sisters.

I leave you with this "if only", and this one I think is true and I think you know it to be true as well, and that is, if only Hamas and its more radical and troublesome comrades in arms would cease raining shells on Israeli civilians, then the blockade would be lifted and there would be no retaliation as winter wanes in Gaza.

And to such an end I believe that this is where an Obama Administration can begin to play an important and critical role, and begin to fill that international void that, as you have written, is critical to ceasing what is taking place in Hebron, in East Jerusalem, and throughout the West Bank. This is where this negotiator by trade sees the first critical, albeit non-sexy first step (in addition to, as you write, heightened efforts to make lasting peace with Syria).

Merry Christmas to my christian friends on here and peace to all in the new year ahead.

Bruce S. Levine
New York, New York

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Bruce - I wish I shared your optomism. Israel doesn't trust the Palestinians on ANYTHING and the Palestinians don't trust Israel. How does one cut this Gordian knot which is a necessary precurser to any true peace negotiations. Israel has controlled the flow of goods to Gaza palestinians for 60 years - long before any rockets and suicide bombers. Why would Hamas or anyone in Gaza believe that Israel would open up Gaza to the outside world. Israel Beiteinu will be a bigger factor in a Likud coalition that I think anyone in the US understands. Do you see open borders being allowed under the upcoming government?

From what I heard in Israel during November was that Israel is insisting on holding the Jordan border as well as Gaza even with a Palestinian state. If this is true (big if), then the west bank just becomes a larger version of Gaza and the Palestinians have a state in name only and continue to be totally dependent on Israel's good will leaving Palestinian national and personal dignity in an ash heap.

It's a very difficult situation for both sides but I am convinced unless strong international guarantees are implemented for both side, the situation will continue to deteriorate to a VERY unhappy ending for ALL. Will we ever trust an outside party enough to allow this kind of International presence on our borders? If not, I don't believe we will see peace in our lifetime.

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Why would Hamas or anyone in Gaza believe that Israel would open up Gaza to the outside world
What they have to lose?
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Chicken or egg?

What?

Happy Hanukkah, Bruce, and this chickens best wishes for the New Year to you and your charming family!!

(You, too MJ)

=D

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Opps, this isn't an MJ post

(blushing red hen)

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One cannot inflict pain on Hamas without magnifying pain on the residents of Gaza,
Why is that? Please explain. Israel is going to hit only rocket launchers. As we all know Hamas cares deeply about Palestinians so they locate their rocket launchers far away from civilian areas to prevent casualties of own people.
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Try to live in the real world, people. If a bunch of assholes were shooting rockets into Detroit from Windsor, Ontario, any American President that did not kill them and completely blockade their territory would be impeached. Abbass understands that shooting rockets from the West Bank into Israel or the settlements will get him nowhere and bring his constituents a world of pain. Why is it so hard for Hamas to understand that.

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It's not hard for Hamas to understand that. It's Hamas's goal to bring Palestinians a world of pain.

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Tnathan is correct. Gaza has a border with Egypt. They are their Muslim/Arab brothers and all Muslims love each other, as they keep telling us (e.g. Iraq, Lebanon, Algeria).
Before 1967 Gaza was completely cut off from Israel and they were attached to Egypt. As a result of the Israeli "occupation" resulting from the Six Day War in 1967, vast improvements were made in Gaza's infrastructure (electricity, running water, sewage), economy, health care. As a result, the Gazans resented Israel immensely for this. Why NOT return them to the good old days before 1967? Isn't that better than being dependent on the hated Zionists?

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For anyone interested in a straightforward analysis of what the IDF will likely be up against in Gaza, the following link provides one:

''http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1050282.html

Ynet reports that plans to reopen crossings into Gaza are a tactical move in order to mitigate international concern over humanitarian needs should Israel attack. 40 trucks are to be allowed passage.

5 of the trucks are a donation from Mubarak's wife. I'm sure that will go a long way to pacifiy the Egyptian street.

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We'll make a pastrami sandwich of them. We'll insert a strip of Jewish settlement, right across the West Bank, so that in 25 years time, neither the United Nations, nor the United States, nobody, will be able to tear it apart.
- Ariel Sharon to Winston Churchill III, 1971

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"Over 8o Qassam missiles landed in areas bordering Gaza over the past 24 hours. Nobody should doubt how insufferable this is.?"
And the blockade of Gaza? The deaths there? The cutting off of medical supplies?

When Hamas won the election they tried to form a government that included people not aligned with either themselves or Fatah. Israel sent warning to those independents threatening both them and their families that if they accepted. One of those who asked to deliver those warnings was Helena Cobban. You know her Mr. Avishai, why don't you ask her?
Then there was the Dahlan Plan: the attempted coup.

The post is vile. It's grotesque.
How many children have died in Gaza since the blockade began?
Where's the coverage of that in this "reality based" community?

Your delusional sense of moral superiority is only strengthening the world's grudging respect for Hamas, and Hezbollah. I'm sure you're grateful to the few openly lunatic defenders of the settlements who appear on these pages, since they give you cover for your kinder gentler defense of racial exclusion; but they're not enough to help you. There can be no equation of the attacks on Sderot and what is being done to Gaza. There was no "cease fire" from the Israeli side. The blockade is a weapon.

Again: When Hamas won the election they tried to form a government that included people not aligned with either themselves or Fatah. Israel sent warning to those independents that if they joined the government threatening both them and their families.
"Indeed, if you were the leaders of Hamas--Islamist, rejectionist, "
This entire post is founded on lies. Do you, or Rosenberg, or Marshall have no shame at all?

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I doubt Hamas has any illusions about Isreal's willingness to "fight back"

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The continued demonization of Hamas et all is counterproductive in light of the actual situation. Israeli pragmatists (a growing sector) are shedding their ideology in favor of practical solutions.

This OPEd about the effect that Gen James Jones may or may not have on Obama I/P policy neatly encapsulates the difference between the US side and those living with the situation:

"Realpolitik, not unfocused sentiment, is driving the complex Israel-Hamas relationship - which is remarkably absent from the formulations of U.S. policymakers."

and

"Notwithstanding its obvious drawbacks, the Hamas model for ending occupation maintains its attraction. Hamas rule in Gaza is exhibiting undeniable characteristics of sovereignty: no settlements or permanently stationed Israeli forces, independent control over a territorially unified area, a (now expired) cease-fire with Israel, a border not under Israeli control, and the beginnings of a seaport - achievements of which Abbas can only dream."
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1050299.html

As long as "unfocused sentiment" remains THE primary force influencing US FP in the ME, we are impeding stability in the region by promoting the status quo. This applies to the I/P situation and the future of relations between Israel and Syria and Lebanon.

I would remind those who don't know or out of sentiment, deliberately conflate the differences between Hezbollah and Global Jihadists that Israel has had more indirect negotiations with Hezbollah than any other powerful Lebanese faction. In addition, both Hezbollah and Hamas are judged by Israelis who know WTF they're talking about to be reliable at keeping their word.

Until the obvious, commonsense understanding that coming to terms with strong adversaries is of greater strategic value than endlessly propping up weak "partners", stasis and confrontation will prevail.

As Joshua Landis of Syria Comment notes:

"My suspicion is that this is what Asad is trying to convey to western negotiators. Syria is not going to be Israel’s Abu Abbas.

Anyway, it wouldn’t do Israel any good to acquire another leader who has no clout."

Amen.

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Though Israel had been threatening to end its policy of restraint that saw only limited strikes against rocket launchers and squads in recent days, the timing of the raid came as a surprise to Gazans. It came in mid-morning, when official buildings and security compounds were filled with personnel and children were at school, and not, as many had anticipated, at night."

"... you and the ship you came in on."

There was no ceasefire.

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That the once fine Harper's now publishs pieces by the likes of Bernard Avishai is one reason why I recently cancelled my subscription.

Seth Edenbaum has it exactly right above.

Watch as the MSM continues to avert it eyes from what is playing out in the Gaza Strip.

For shame!

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Apologies for the typo.

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The world is appalled whenever Jews reject their historical role as passive victims and defend themselves. This is especially true of the Europeans, who are deeply offended when Jews refuse to be slaughtered.

Sarkozy thinks the Israeli retaliation is "disproportionate". Let's hear what Le Petit Eunuch has to say when Hamas launches rockets into Paris. Defending Frenchmen is not "disproportionate". Defending Jews is "disproportionate".

Notice on the home page Marshall has hauled out that intellectually dishonest favorite of the anti-"Zionists": cycle of violence. Defending oneself against a genocidal terrorist group is not a "cycle of violence"...except when Israel does it. Did ol' Josh call the Afghanistan war a "cycle of violence"?

Of course not, even though it represented exactly the same attack/counterattack paradigm. However, if Afghan-based terrorists ever attack Israel, THEN Marshall will label the response a "cycle of violence".

But always remember...he loves Israel.

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galdsher, look closely:this is what you stand for and it's not self-defense.

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"When President-elect Barack Obama visited Israel in July — to the very town, in fact, whose repeated shelling culminated in this weekend’s new fighting in Gaza — he all but endorsed the punishing Israeli attacks now unfolding.

'If somebody was sending rockets into my house, where my two daughters sleep at night, I’m going to everything in my power to stop that,' he told reporters in Sderot, a small city on the edge of Gaza that has been attacked repeatedly by rocket fire. 'And I would expect Israelis to do the same thing.'

* * *

"One option would be for an Obama administration to respond much more harshly to Israel’s policies, from settlements to strikes like those this weekend, as many in the Arab world and beyond have long urged. On Sunday, though, Mr. Axelrod said the president-elect stood by the remarks he made in the summer and, when asked, noted the 'special relationship' between the United States and Israel."

New York Times 12/27/09 8:39 P.M. EST

Barack Obama gets it. Too bad, you idiots don't. Israel is doing what President Obama would do if a bunch of thugs took over Ontario and from Windsor lobbed 300 rockets into Detroit, Grosse Point, Bloomfield Hills and Southfield Michigan.

Am Yisroel Chai!

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