Washington Post: The Problem is YOU, Not "We"
Imagine a major national newspaper that never saw an $8 trillion dollar housing bubble. Suppose its most often cited expert on the housing market was the chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, who also authored the 2006 bestseller : Why the Housing Boom Will Not Bust and How You Can Profit From It.
Yes, I'm talking about the Washington Post, which had the gall today to run a column by Jim Hoagland complaining about how "we" are passing on a bad world to our children. The "we" in the column is meant to refer to the generations currently in their 40s, 50s, and 60s, who he claims are leaving huge problems to our children.
He's right about the problems, but he's wrong about the "we."
The reality is that the Washington Post and the elite clique for which it is a mouth piece have badly failed us and our children. The housing bubble was easily recognizable. The economic disaster that we are now facing could have been easily avoided if the Washington Post and its elite friends (e.g. Alan Greenspan, Robert Rubin, and Henry Paulson) were not too incompetent or corrupt to see the evidence of problems everywhere. Needless to say, those of us who did try to issue warnings were ignored by this elite crew.
The Washington Post has whined endlessly about the long-term deficit problems facing the country. But how often has it told its readers that the long-term deficit problem is almost entirely the result of the broken U.S. health care system: a system that costs more than twice as much per person as the health care system in most of the countries who enjoy longer life expectancies than we do?
Perhaps the Post does not choose to share this information because it identifies with the wealthy people who run the insurance companies, the pharmaceutical companies, and the highly paid medical specialists, all of whom get rich off the waste in our health care system. (Perhaps the fact that these industries advertise heavily in the Post also affects its willingness to print pieces exposing the enormous waste in the U.S. health care system.)
The Post also has been a big proponent of a trade policy that is based on selective protectionism. The Post's trade policy subjects less educated workers (those without college degrees) to competition with low-paid workers in the developing world, while leaving the most highly educated workers largely protected from such competition.
Since the vast majority of the workforce falls into this unprotected category, most of our children will see lower standards of living because of the Post's trade policy as it redistributes income to its elite friends. The Post even applies the euphemism "free trade" to its policy of selective protectionism to make it more palatable.
I could go on at considerable length. The list of the failings of the Post and its elite friends is long - lying to get us into the war in Iraq would be the next obvious item on the list.
The point is that the Post and it crew of cronies have badly failed the world in a large number of ways and continue to do so. The Post and Hoagland's efforts to attribute the blame to the rest of us for the trouble caused by the greed and incompetence of their elite clique deserve nothing but contempt and ridicule.














Thanks Dean.
I tried to post this (below) as a comment to the Hoagland op-ed, but due to some technical glitch at the WaPo site it wouldn't take. So I'll post it here, if that's all right:
--
Jim, who is this "we" you hang out with? The tribe of deregulators and warmongers at The WaPo, I guess.
You should get out more often. Out here in America, most of us did not vote for the ideologues in the White House in 2000. Most of us did not want to invade Iraq until your friends at the WaPo drummed the Bush/Cheney/Rice/Powell lies into our heads and hearts for months on end. Most of us have not spent the last decade making a fortune on Wall Street ponzi schemes or DOD no-bid contracts or any other kinds of financial shenanigans.
Most of us, in fact, stayed focused on feeding, clothing and housing our families, keeping them as healthy as we could and trying to make plans for the future. And all the while you and your tribe of "we"s at the WaPo were "catapulting the propoganda" for George Bush.
I don't remember you being up in arms about the need to share the wealth when when times were good and your tribe of "we"s were getting rich. So I think it's a little late for you to discover equal opportunity now that there's blame to be allocated.
Most of "us" won't stand for it.
December 21, 2008 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hear! Hear!
December 22, 2008 8:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Shorter Baker....
Nanny nanny boo boo,
I'm so much smarter than you, too.
This was pretty defensive sounding for someone not even named as participating in the rush to self aggrandizement. Even stranger is crediting the Post with nearly singlehandedly bringing about crisis. How did all this, get to be all about you?
December 21, 2008 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
.
Uhhhh . . .
Go away.
~OGD~
December 21, 2008 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Evidently it became about Dean as a means for him to point out his 2002 paper.
I'd like to know what Mr. Baker did to promote his insights from 2002 then and after that.
One thing his 2002 paper admits is that the 90s did include real positive income growth thus justifying in part a run up in housing prices. From what little I know, the past 6 years have shown negative income growth.
Baker also mentions increasing exports. Is that applicable today??
December 21, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
shooter;
ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ
December 21, 2008 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Baker wrote repeatedly in the past couple of years that the go-go real estate market was headed for a fall. Just check his old posts on this site.
December 22, 2008 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not only that but he acted on his own advice and sold his DC condo at the top of the market in 2006. Baker has a lot of cred on this.
December 22, 2008 4:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, Dean and his wife sold their condo in May 2004.
You are right, though, that the height of the bubble was sometime in 2006, and thus, Dean left $100-200K on the table by being early.
December 23, 2008 8:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, this is not going well but the past couple years would be 2007-2008, after he would have sold his condo. But maybe TPM readers who followed his blog also sold early enough. If so, good for them!
Also, in re destor, it's not about credibility in that sense but about what efforts were made to get the theory out and tested/challenged from 2002-2006, and particularly the early part of that when it could have made a difference.
December 23, 2008 12:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course now that Obama has picked folks like Summers & Gensler...
http://www.propublica.org/article/obama-regulatory-pick-blocked-influence-of-agency-hell-now-head-1219#When:09:44:25Z
...all will be good.
Of course we wouldn't want anybody who was right 8, 16 or even 30 years ago about dergulation, oversight, taxes, labor, jobs, housing and income policy put into power, 'cause they don't have "experience" or that would be too idealogical.
December 21, 2008 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is the Post relevant any longer? Will it bankrupt this year? Or next?
December 21, 2008 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
What is so sad that not just the Post, but all the big rags (newspapers) have had the chance, over the years, to help make this country better.
And all the have done, will continue to do, is support the person in the White House. Some so-called journalist who becomes a editor forgets where he/she came from. And what has happened to all the investigative reporters? Guess they have all been bought off by wall street.
December 21, 2008 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
He's not writing for us, he's writing for the Royal We.
December 21, 2008 11:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Have any of the editorial page "bright lights" anywhere ever bothered to tell the readers, in the simplest possible terms, that insurers are primarily intended as generators of investment capital? And that "coverage", such as it is, is at best a part of their cost of doing business?
And what would the public's irrational attachment to their private insurance be if that fact were to be revealed?
December 21, 2008 1:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
.
Well . . .
Very soon the public may find out, along with those insurance companies that generate massive amounts of investment capital on the back of the public's health.
Just saying . . .
~OGD~
"If I was an eagle I'd dress like a duck
. . . Crawl like a lizard and honk like a truck."
December 22, 2008 7:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
The primary objection to employer-paid health insurance at its inception was that the cost of health care/insurance could and would increase big-time without the recipients realizing it as a direct cost - nevermind that it came out of their paychecks. In other words, if you don't feel it it doesn't hurt.
As it is, under Bush the cost of a family health insurance premium has gone from $6,772/year to $12,680, an 87 percent increase. As soon as enough employers drop health insurance for employees, we should expect some active pushing for universal health-care.
December 22, 2008 12:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about saying some good words about the one Republican who warned us all of the consequences of the Fed's easy money policies? Who warned us during the debates about the "false wealth" of the hedge funds, etc., built on a mountain of government-backed credit?
Can we get any love here for Ron Paul, folks?
December 21, 2008 1:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
No.
He's wrong on too many other issues.
December 21, 2008 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sure, but I'll give credit to Paul's economic adviser, Peter Schiff, who saw all this coming back in 2006.
December 21, 2008 8:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Schiff will be right about downturns about once per business cycle. Does he get credit for being a perpetual bear? Did you know his investors (many of them) got hosed this year, despite his alleged prescience? He even wrote a formal apology/defense in his newsletter.
December 21, 2008 9:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
How do you tell the difference between a perma-bear and an early-bear?
And does the latter get "credit where credit is due" while the former doesn't?
December 22, 2008 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
By the frost... permafrost stays year round, while the pretty patterns on windows come and go with the economic seasons! :-)
But Schiff is proud of being a long term bear, so in this case there's no standard needed.
As for timing, that's tough. For example, Dean Baker is proud of having mentioned a possible housing bubble in 2002. That was vaguely correct but apparently not very effective on its own. One needs to look at an extended track record of predictions and analysis to find the power...
December 22, 2008 6:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
You make it sound like Schiff is just trying to hedge his bets on a capricious economy by remaining a "perpetual bear". What's unclear is how that would make him worse than his dopey, bullish cheerleader counterparts. If Schiff is a long-term bear it is because he (rightly) believes the fundamentals of the economy are not sound ----- they're shit.
He deserves credit for being one of a very few with enough vision to predict this crisis and defend his unpopular stance in the most public way possible. His views might make him a pessimist, but they also make him right.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2I0QN-FYkpw
December 22, 2008 10:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, being right by accident doesn't warrant credit. Anyone who says, "The market will fall next year (or whatever)" year after year is just eventually lucky. And being right for the wrong reasons... is that a good basis for credit?
This thread is not about Schiff, but if you want to credit him with something, credit him with hosing his investors this year while you're at it.
December 23, 2008 12:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
The WaPo is correct.
It's massive cognitive dissonance that allows our minds to remove "us" as contributing to the problem.
The fact is that "we" got the government we deserve. Most of us do not break from groupthink that allows a relatively few to sway the country at large. There is simply too much risk to do so (in personal lives, safety, etc.)
And so, we decide, as individuals, to "duck and cover". And then "we" get what we deserve.
Regardless of how the 2000 election turned out, how does one explain the 2004 election? Where were all these people that, through their inaction or nonaction, allowed Bush to win a second term -- after initiating a war on false pretenses?
Where was the courage of Congress to stand up to the president (including many people who subsequently tried to run for the presidency)? They, too, were scared for their personal ambition. So they went along. And why were they scared of their personal ambition? Because they were scared of us not re-electing them! Again, "we" are the problem.
"We" took the sub-prime mortgages. "We" decided that "too good to be true" didn't hold any more. "We" were suckered by not critically thinking along each step.
So, "we" are the problem. And the faster that people see that connection, the faster society can get off the auto-pilot that will crash this plane into a mountain side.
December 21, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Where were all these people that, through their inaction or nonaction, allowed Bush to win a second term -- after initiating a war on false pretenses?
Ummm...waiting in line for a chance to vote in Ohio?
December 21, 2008 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's some truth in what you say but I think that "we" have also been lied to and in every way bamboozled on a scale larger and broader than at any time in probably over 100 years at least.
I pride myself on having been smart enough and attentive enough to figure out in advance that we were being lied into a completely unnecessary war in Iraq.
But I was and continue to be clueless about the financial mess. It never would have occurred to me that people in responsible positions would have behaved with such reckless disregard for their responsibilities. The greed I might have anticipated. The overwhelming stupidity is on a scale even someone as totally cynical as I am never imagined.
December 21, 2008 4:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
This "We" has been around for a long time. I've poked myself occasionally to remind myself that I'm in the majority not included in the pundit "we." With the present crisis, the pundit "we" seems to be appearing a lot lately as the pundit elite seeks to spread the blame for the situation the Captains of FIRE have gotten us into. One commentator, so desperate to spread the blame to all, included anyone who'd obtained a job during the bubble.
I wish that one of these people would write a "we" article that listed the political and economic elites of the country as the responsible parties (including anyone who ever uttered the phrase "the era of big government is over"), and forced them to the deserved obscurity of, say, DW Griffith.
But instead, Obama has given them jobs.
December 21, 2008 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you've lost your job, your 401K is toast, and your house is worth less than your property tax bill, the blame can be placed squarely and entirely on the UAW. Really, it was on CNN, it must be true.
December 21, 2008 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right. And it's also responsible for Global Warming. And the Chicago Cubs.
December 21, 2008 7:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why should those of us who are not experts in the fields of finance and economics be held responsible when Nobel Prize winners don't know anything useful themselves.
Here's Paul Krugman at the height of the housing price bubble issuing a warning. But a warning about what? about a possible recession.
"If housing prices actually started falling, we'd be looking at a very nasty scene, in which both construction and consumer spending would plunge, pushing the economy right back into recession." May 27, 2005
". . . if, in particular, the housing bubble bursts before the trade deficit shrinks - we're going to have an economic slowdown, and possibly a recession. In fact, a growing number of economists are using the "R" word for 2006." August 29, 2005
Nothing whatever about a financial crisis; nothing about the risks of debt destruction or deflation; nothing about the risks of securitization; nothing about the risks of derivatives -- where was Krugman?
It's always the same cry: Look everyone; there's a bubble. Something bad may happen. What it will be I do not have the foggiest idea. Therefore, I cannot offer any useful advice.
December 21, 2008 5:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have said that Krugman is great at noticing things post facto, with the implication that I haven't seen useful forward thinking from him. And have Dean Baker blogging at TPM who is apparently proud of his 2002 paper talking about a housing bubble which didn't happen then but did happen later under slightly different circumstances. He too talked about exports (trade deficits).
But as for Nobel, Stiglitz did offer an opinion on the GM situation, one I happen to think is close to a good move, or would have been if Bush hadn't thrown an emergency TARP over the situation.
But back to K. and the crisis: Economists have a tough time with non-linear situations like "liquidity traps" and hard landing edge effects, the math just isn't tractable in concrete terms. That said -- an economist who knew about Cox's decision to allow super-leveraging and did not speak up loudly in caution should be considered part of the problem.
December 21, 2008 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The point is that the Post and it crew of cronies have badly failed the world in a large number of ways and continue to do so."
Truer words were never written! But let's be clear about who the "crew of cronies" includes. Of course, it includes the wealthy and powerful forces of predatory wealth, the military industrial complex and so forth... And of course, all of the corporate media in America (which is to say almost all of the media both electronic and print) were essential to the success of the fraudulent and reckless policies of the past 8 years and more.
But absolutely critical to the success of all the bad ideas among the "crew" were the cooperation and cheerleading provided by elected Democrats in the Congress of the Unites States. At every turn, congressional Dems had the opportunity to block these bad ideas, policies, and programs. At every step congressional Dems had the power to expose the lies and criminal activity involved in carrying out these schemes. But precious few of our Democratic leaders stood up to be counted forcefully in opposition to these foolish manuevers. The so-called conservative and "centrist" Democrats have been by far the most complicit and have the most explaining to do. But with the help of the other crew members they will not have to answer any questions at all. They will simply bellow as loudly as they can about how "someone was asleept at the wheel" or that we must tighten regulations and so on, ad nauseum.
One needn't have been an economist or well-placed individual to understand that the people in command of public policy on the national level have been little more than expensive whores to the highest bidders for years. The interests of the people always have come second when our "leaders" were given a choice between the public interest and serving the interests of those who could fill their campaign coffers now and hire them for lucrative lobbying posts later. Millions of us on the outside looking in at the orgy of greed and excess taking place both in government and the private sector have known this would occur for a long time. The only mystery was when it would happend and the only surprise is that it all happened such close proximity. The house of cards has now fallen and the illusion of prosperity is fading. It is very clear who the responsible parties have been in creating and enabling the various messes we now face economically, militarily and so on. But the moment anyone points out who the culprits were and are, they are shouted down by a din of deniers and of those who have an interest in keeping the current game going.
Getting back to the critical role of conservative and centrist Democrats, their chief representative now is preparing to take the oath of office next January and become our President. He campaigned on "change" and he campaigned for a "new politics" and came to represent some mythical beast known as "post" partisanship. He has appointed a very impressive array of people to his cabinet. Among them are some of the most prominent Democratic advocates of all the policies Dean Baker is condemning as being foisted on the nation by the Washington Post and it's "crew of cronies." Oddly, however, nobody points out the complicity of these people in Iraq, the economic collapse or any of the associated problems. I pray that Obama's policies do not reflect more of the same go along/get along tendencies of the "centrist" Democrats who were so instrumental in the "crew of cronies", but the problem is I dont' see any indication of anything other than a slight tweaking of the status quo despite all the hllabaloo over how big a stimulus package Obama may come up with. Massive spending without a national health insurance plan like those in Europe and Canada won't make a dime's worth of difference to the average American or with respect to the major problems our current system causes in our economy. Tweaking the Iraq and Afghanistan policy with Bush's Sec. of Defense isn't going to bring about any withdrawal from either country let alone orderly withdrawal. The list goes on and on.
Unless and until concerned Democrats and others are willing to admit that a massive part of the problem is and remains "centrists" who lick the boots of predatory wealth and who do their bidding, we will never escape the darkness they have plunged us into.
December 21, 2008 10:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
The irony is that while the right has grown increasingly ideological and moved further and further from the center, the Democrats have been playing "postpartisan" politics for the last 25 years. The right makes a demand and they postpartisanly compromise by giving the right 90% of what they want. I don't see that changing. Now that Democrats control the White House and Congress, they'll just be more efficient at preemptive surrender
December 22, 2008 10:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
I pray to God you are wrong on this, but frankly, I see no evidence at all to the contrary so you're probably right. What the hell is wrong with those people once they get to Washington?
December 22, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
They become "pragmatic".
December 22, 2008 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
oleeb,
for this offering, I nominate oleeb for a Pulitzer Prize, and if that doesn't work, then I nominate him for a Nobel Prize.
Excellent post, oleeb.
December 23, 2008 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
congratulations, dean baker. you've written the dumbest column a smart person has written in months. blaming the country's troubles on the washington post is idiotic. did the post warn of the housing bubble? did any newspaper? if you did, good for you. did the post warn that the biggest cause of the deficit is the broken health care system? first time i've read that anywhere. maybe you've been warning about that for years. and maybe you're even right about it. again, if so, good for you. and you blame the post for u.s. trade policy? maybe they support it. maybe a lot of people did and are wrong. but don't blame it on the post! how much attention does anyone pay to a newspaper's editorials and op eds anyway? the post supported both gore and kerry. but bush won both times, indicating how much influence post editorials have. do you really think bush would have changed his trade, deficit and housing policies if the post had editorialized differently. if so, you need to have your head examined? the post won six pulitzer prizes this year: including one for exposing the shameful conditions at walter reed and another the disgraceful use and behavior of military contractors in iraq and the frightening power of cheney. and a couple of years ago the post won one for exposing the disgraceful practice of rendition. god bless them for that. you are juvenile if you think one damn good newspaper can do everything. sure post publisher donald graham has his links to the rich, famous and powerful, being one of them. sure you can criticize him and the post editorial pages for a lot of things. but get real. graham could dump the post in five minutes if he didn't have a commitment to public service and make a lot more money from his kaplan courses and tv stations. his descendants may, god forbid, do just that. you don't agree with him on a lot of things. fine. on a lot of them, i agree with you, not him. there are days i could throw up after reading will and krauthammer or some dopiness hiatt or malaby or samuelson or cohen or some other person writes on the editorial or op ed page. but i'm happy to have the post around for the great good it does the country. or would you prefer the washington times and its jailbird, lunatic messiah of a publisher and its racist editors as the only newspaper in washington? get real, dean baby!
December 22, 2008 4:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lenders intentionally designed mortgages to never be repaid. Homeowners with two incomes were routinely maxed out, just to make teaser payments that didn't even cover the interest due. The whole thing collapsed right on schedule, when the ARMs all adjusted at once.
This is just the macro result of a million micro decisions all adding up at the same time. Even if the micro decisions seemed like they made since at the time, they add up to a big disaster.
December 22, 2008 7:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Myself, when 9/11 happened without leaving a lasting impact on the economy, and the war began, again without a lasting impact on the economy, and we all began to be inundated with sales pitches to refinance, and home prices climbed, I knew in 2003 that I needed to sell my house the summer before the 2008 presidential election. Do these basic ideas connect for anyone else?
December 23, 2008 8:40 AM | Reply | Permalink