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Blagojevich and the Pendulum of Public Distrust

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Throughout its history, America has cycled back and forth between two distinct targets of distrust -- big business (including Wall Street), and government. In periods when big business is most distrusted, Americans seek protection from it, and reluctantly give government authority to expand its scope. When big government is most distrusted, Americans want less of it, and give big business greater leeway.

Exactly where the pendulum of distrust is located at any given time depends partly on the business cycle. When the economy is expanding briskly, distrust of big business is muted and the public fears that government will spoil the party; when the economy is plunging, big business is deemed the culprit and the public looks to government for solutions. The location and direction of the pendulum also depend on headlines documenting self-dealing and corruption -- either among business leaders or, alternatively, government officials.

In recent months the terrible economy combined with headlines about Wall Street's astounding malfeasance have pushed the pendulum far toward one end of its historic swing. Add in the goodwill a new administration brings, and the public seems ready to accept massive government intervention. Quite apart from good economic arguments in favor of it, for example, the public is supportive of a $500 to $600 billion stimulus plan come January.

But two sets of headlines could cause the pendulum to start swinging back even before the new administration takes office.

The first involves the current administration's massive bailout of Wall Street -- the Troubled Assets Relief Program -- to which some $350 billion of taxpayer dollars have already been committed. Never before in history has so much money been spent with such little effect. The Government Accountability Office has already made headlines about the program's inefficacy and lack of transparency; the Treasury Department's own Inspector General has described it as a "mess." Even if the current Treasury Secretary doesn't ask Congress for the second $350 billion tranche, these and related stories could give the pendulum a shove backward.

The second is this week's headlines about Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich's bizarre and brazen plans to profit from selling off Obama's senate seat. Nothing has been proven yet, but the tapes are incriminating enough. The longer Blagojevich clings to office and the more stories link his plans directly or by innuendo to anyone else in public life, the stronger the push on the pendulum -- back toward public distrust in government.

Robert Reich blogs regularly at www.robertreich.blogspot.com.


12 Comments

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Can we please stop saying "spent" as though we were consumers on a spending spree? The term is "invested" for most of the 170 or so instances of Treasury involvement with TARP recipients. If you want to account for likely losses separately, that would be great. I don't know how to characterize the Fed "loans" which reportedly reach about $2T total (tho' not necessarily net outstanding). The total opacity quotient here is indeed mind-boggling, and a refusal by the Fed to provide even slightly redacted documentation strikes me as criminal at least in the moral sense.

We all know that 2 months is not a medium term investment time frame. And most of us know that the Sept./Oct. crisis fix wasn't going to solve all economic problems in this country (or the world)

As for Blago, he's clearly incriminated as being a swaggering foul-mouthed speculator. If conviction via "trial by press conference" is sufficient, well, "off with his head!" and I don't mean ala the French Revolution but ala dear Alice.

People seem to love Fitzgerald, but so far this reeks of politicization. I say "so far" because I presume there's more substance to it already on record in evidence or testimony not released yet. I'm no fan of Blago, but I am no fan of rush to judgment either.

We Obama supporters just need to buckle down to the realities of smear politics and keep our objective in mind.


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eds,

I have this lingering suspicion that Fitzgerald let Cheney and Rove off the hook in the Plame leak case. Cheney, to me, was a given to get off. I added Rove due to his being able to return to the grand jury about 5 times to adjust his testimony.

Mr. Reich,

what does the public do when they can't trust either Goverment OR Business? Isn't that what we have today? As a Democrat, I don't trust today's party leadership because they were enablers of todays economic tsunami.

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John --

I share the suspicion that politics played a role for Fitz. in the Plame case. That is one reason I'm more than a little suspicious now.

How do you rate the press today, trust-wise?

For myself -- I believe we have no choice now but to trust Paulson (et al) a little, and Warren (COP) a lot. Going forward, are you interested in building "trustability" in Government and/or Business?

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eds,

I trust the press to give us superficiality. They're slothful, and you see it every day on TV when they present as news, misinformation or half a story which makes the message misleading. I think I trust newspapers more than Network news.

I sometimes wonder if the networks have any research people who look into an issue before an anchor or TV reporter presents the story. Just one example; A few days after it was disproven, there was Wolf Blitzer babbling that UAW workers were making $70.00 per hour.

To have trust in Government and Business is sometihng I'd like to see, but I won't see it in my lifetime.

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I still love to come to a site and read Secretary Reich. Connecting these two stories in the news today is awesome. I can see the distrust of government and it plays back four decades for me. But I do not think it has been proven that the 'bailout', how badly it has gone so far,was a loss. And the New Administration has not yet begun and the best and the brightest have not yet taken office. Barack still has high trust in the polls.
Things like this do make it difficult to hit the ground running.

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Recently it's occurred to me that most of modern American politics amounts to a power struggle between Wall Street and Washington. Hoping to break out of this cycle is fruitless. However, Obama does represent a temporary reprieve - an effectively populist leader who understands the concerns of both sides, but who is primary interested in positive outcomes for the "common folk," and communicates to us regularly and directly. That may give us a break long enough to restore the system to some semblance of operability.

The really troubling thing about the bailout seems to be that it isn't being implemented or responded to in any way that makes sense. Buying "troubled" assets at above-market value merely constitutes handing cash (the margin above the asset's value) to the firm requesting the bailout. Handing them cash gives "the people" no leverage whatsoever. It's as ridiculous to complain about AIG spending their bailout money on fancy parties as it was to give the money to them in the first place. They didn't sign a damn contract promising to only spend it for politically popular purposes; any such contract would be thousands of pages in length anyways. You gave them cash, they can do what they want with it, so shut up.

I believe that a simple method has been intentionally overlooked: just buy stock. If a company needs a bailout, have them issue a large amount of stock and spend $X for it at a fixed rate of the current market value as of the time the deal is struck. The company gets $X to survive with. In return, the government gets a proportional stake in the company depending on how much stock $X bought. We could then appoint a government representative to the Board of Directors of that company to represent the public interest. Only then would we have a mechanism by which we could have a say in how that company functions, much less what they do with our $X.

The neat thing about this is that it would use mechanisms that already exist in the market. No new laws or complicated legislation would be necessary to correct a bailed-out company's behavior. Just a shareholder's vote.

Of course, conservatives will scream "socialism" at this, but how is that system any more socialist than the one we've got going on now, which amounts to little more than a handout? As the company does better, we could gradually sell the stock back, take our profit, and get the government back out of the business of business ownership.

This is key to striking the quintessential American balance between economic conservatism and liberalism: every foray that government makes into business life should have a viable and responsible exit strategy. Get in, fix things, get out. That way we don't create more and more permanent political institutions in our business infrastructure. This is the beginning and end of the amount of concern that should be given to the interests of economic conservatives.

Why this has been overlooked is beyond me. Most likely it seems that the "powers that be" (aka. those who live in the revolving-door grey-area between financial business and government economic policy) don't want it and don't think we could understand why it's bad. The reason we couldn't understand why it's bad is that there is no good reason for why it's bad, and 2008 isn't a good year to feed us B.S.

You get what you pay for. All I ask is that our government be able to explain what, exactly, we are getting.

Now, maybe the Treasury is going to be able to play catch-up on the bookkeeping and (once the oversight committee manages to find office space and hire some interns) be able to produce a complete report itemizing just what we have bought for these ridiculous sums of money. Maybe they got a good deal. Maybe it'll take a few months to find that out. That would be fine.

But - bringing the auto bailout in to this - it's patently ridiculous to claim that nothing less than $700B is going to scare the financial boogeyman and prevent it from destroying us all, while $25B is far too much to pay to bail out an industry that actually produces goods and jobs.

Here's a concept that Washington could learn from Wall Street: R.O.I. That's "return on investment." It should be the first and last quesiton asked with any bailout situation.

I say, throw all the damn money at whatever you want whenever you want. Just at least buy their damn stock when you do it.

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Amen to that. The taxpayers get an ownership interest and a voting ownership interest.

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But Paulson has been in effect buying stock, special "preferred stock" shares. The advantage is ongoing returns (interest bearing) and seniority. That is, ordinary stock holders get wiped out in most bankruptcies, but preferred stock can be "senior", first in line even with claims to any assets which can be salvaged.

Thus "stock injection"

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Good to hear. Got any links on what Paulson bought? I haven't seen anything, except for reports that nobody has a clue...

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http://bailoutsleuth.com/ is one place to start. Also web search on

"stock injection"

might get some hits.

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Can anybody here tell us why on earth Ed Bruce's idea is not a good one? Why don't we just buy stock and take our seat at the table and speak up as we're entitled to as shareholders?

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Pendlum swinging both ways at the same time?

Democrats should heed the Professor's warning lest we get too caught up in schadenfreude and inaugural celebration

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