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Obama Going To Mideast In January To Push Peace Deal

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The naysayers were wrong about Barack Obama yet again. Both the pundits and the status quo lobby predicted that he would be crazy to take on the Israeli-Palestinian and other Middle East issues during the first year.

During the campaign Obama repeatedly said that he would. And now, he says it as President-Elect. (It didn't hurt that he received 80% of the Jewish vote).

Yesterday he told the Chicago Tribune that he will be going to a Middle East capital (probably Cairo) as soon as he takes office to tell the Arab world (and the Israelis) that the bad old days are over. The Obama administration will put all its weight behind peace and, reading between the lines, behind the Arab League initiative which offers Israel full peace and normalization of relations with all 22 Arab states in exchange for a Palestinian state in West Bank/Gaza and East Jerusalem.

Obama gets it. He understands that until we resolve the Arab-Israeli conflict, preserving Israel's security and achiieving a state for the Palestinians, American interests throughout the Muslim world are doomed. He also know that the status quo is killing Israel and, as a strong supporter of Israel, it is incumbent on him to use his authority to end the deadly occupation.

There is not a single problem that America faces in the Middle East that will not be ameliorated if America becomes what it must be, an honest broker between Israelis and Arabs. This is one of many reasons Barack Obama was elected President.

As Sam Cooke sang, "change is gonna come." Even sooner than I expected.


69 Comments

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Nice post, MJ. I believe it.

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MJ: Let's hope so. But how is this going to happen?. The EU just upgraded ties with Isarel despite the seige of Gaza. And what did the Palestinians get? Nothing. And what did the Arabs get for Annapolis? Nothing.

All these steps are merely solidifying the Occupation, not ending it.

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As in the campaign, Obama remains an enigma to me. I can guess what his next step is going to be. In fact, I can assert an opinion as to what I think his next step should be. Yet, time after time he does something totally unexpected (i.e. Shinseki for VA; Mideast trip in January) and I'm left to say "Why, that's brilliant! Why didn't I think of that?"

Gonna' be an interesting number of years here, I expect.

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Probably explains why you didn't decide to work toward becoming president. :O)

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Indeed! And also why Bill and Hillary and their campaign advisors were so often left with a WTF look on their faces during the Primary.

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Kind of hard to figure out the next checkers move when your opponent is playing chess. "King Me" takes on a whole new meaning.

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MJ says:
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The Obama administration will put all its weight behind peace and, reading between the lines, behind the Arab League initiative which offers Israel full peace and normalization of relations with all 22 Arab states in exchange for a Palestinian state in West Bank/Gaza and East Jerusalem.
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The Arab League initiative in unacceptable to Israel, including the Left. Livni has said so explicitly. Why? Because it demands implementation of the phony Palestinian "right of return" according to UN General Assembly Resolution 194. Of course, MJ conviently leaves this out of his statement above. In a previous thread I asked MJ if he actually read the Arab League terms. He didn't answer me so I assume he hasn't. He reduces the the Arab/Israeli conflict to a mere question of territory. The Arab League resolution explicitly expands Arab demands beyond territorial issues.

MJ says:
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Obama gets it. He understands that until we resolve the Arab-Israeli conflict, preserving Israel's security and achiieving a state for the Palestinians, American interests throughout the Muslim world are doomed.
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The Arab-Israeli conflict is UNRESOVABLE in terms of a "contractual" peace agreement. Ongoing efforts to force the sides to come to such an agreement are due to failure and only push peace further into the future. The Arab world can not accept the existence of a dhimmi Jewish state within the "Dar al-Islam" (Realm of Islam). What should be pressed for is an UNOFFICIAL modus-vivendi which would mean not pressing the Arabs to recognize Israel and not continually pressing Israel for territorial concessions which have only increased Arab radicalism and violence (the terrorist war in the wake of the failed Oslo agreements and the ongoing rocket fire from Gaza after Israel destroyed its Gush Katif communities there).

Also, American interests are not "doomed" in the Middle East. Most of the Arab states (i.e. those not allied with Iran and Syria) are totally dependent on the United States for security, as was seen in the wake of Saddam Hussein's invasion of Iraq. The Arab world is also economically totally dependent on the US and its economic power in order to keep their oil resources valuable. The Arabs can't eat their oil, they must sell it in a world in which the US is still the number one econonmic player.


MJ says:
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There is not a single problem that America faces in the Middle East that will not be ameliorated if America becomes what it must be, an honest broker between Israelis and Arabs
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This is a myth. As far as radical Islam is concerned, America is a major enemy. It is a Christian country with a significant Jewish minority. Radical Islam views themselves in confrontation with this. This has nothing to do with Israel and this conflict would be just as sharp if Israel didn't exist. The Iranian regime calls the US "the Great Satan" and Israel "the little Satan". The radicals in Iran hate the US for its involvement with the Shah over the years, and the overthrow of the Mossadegh regime. None of this is connected with Israel. Tensions between Shi'ites and Sunnis have nothing to do with Israel. Even if the US forced Israel to withdraw from Judea/Samaria, the US would not get any credit for it, because even within the pre-67 borders, Israel's existence would still be intolerable and the US would still be blamed for supporting Israel. This is because, unlike the myth that MJ and other "progressives" push, the problem is NOT Judea/Samaria, but the very existence of Israel. A smaller Israel would be viewed as a weaker Israel, and this would only increase Arab demands and radicalism.

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Your post is laughable. Arabs don't combat America because we are the Christian Enemy. They combat us for invading their land and protecting their despots. Christians have lived in Muslim lands for many, many centuries.

As for Israel, many Arabs oppose the placement of a European Colony in their midst, fictionalized as "A Land without a People for a People without a Land."

Jews of all people look ridiculous generalizing about Arabs and their "eternal" beliefs. Israel's First PM lusted after the Litani River. Begin believed that Amman should belong to the Jews. Yet nobody recylces these old Zionist fantasies today as evidence of the "eternal" beliefs of Jewry--or as the policy of the current State of Israel.

Why don't you leave your friggin' racist ghetto and go meet some real people.

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Mythbuster says:
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Christians have lived in Muslim lands for many, many centuries.
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How are Christians doing today in the Muslim world, particularly in Iraq, the Palestinian territories, Egypt, etc? They are being run out of those places or supressed. I suggest you follow the news more closely. There was an article in a recent New York Times about the terror the Christians are living in Iraq. A large percentage have fled. The Yazdi minority is also being terrorised. That's what the Muslims have in mind for us Jews in the Middle East as well. I suggest you go talk to some Islamists.

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My wife's Christian relatives are doing fine in the Palestinian territories. It is the evil Jewish Fundamentalists and the IDF who are making their lives hard. And the Iraqis Christian community has been destroyed as a result of the war launched by our so-called Christian President.

Like I said: Leave your racist ghetto and learn about the world.

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I'm glad your wife's Christian relatives are safe. Really, I am in no way being sarcastic.
But, the evidence is clear that Christians and Christianity are being persecuted in many portions of the Arab and Muslim-controlled parts of the world. You can't just blame Pres. Bush and look only at Iraq and the PA.
I wonder if you realize that in pre-67 Israel/Palestine, when Jordan controlled part of Jerusalem, it didn't allow Christians access to their holy sites. (Of course, it didn't allow Jews access.)
Since 1967, Israel has made all of Jerusalem available to all religions. The signs are in three languages: Hebrew, Arabic and English.


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Did you know that before 1965 African-Americans were denied the vote and the use of public accommodations in most Southern States? May I then conclude that the current American South is irredeemable because, basically, we used to be total douches?

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"Radical Islam" represents such a minority view that it should be discounted when forming solutions. That is like consulting the KKK to find out how to modify Affirmative Action. Ridiculous.

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YBD/b_k132.

You and I share skepticism about the "moderate" Arab allies of the US; granted, our reasons differ somewhat but we do have that in common. Perhaps it's because we both grew up in California.

I thought you might enjoy the following bit from an Israeli analyst, David Schenker from the JCPA, who points out that their larger agenda has more to do with countering growing Syrian influence that threatens to overwhelm their own waning relevence in the region:

"An Obama administration may also face constraints from its Arab allies, like Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Jordan, which possess few illusions about Syria's capacity and willingness to change. This "moderate" Arab bloc would not welcome a policy that freely gives away the few precious levers of pressure on Syria while strengthening Iran.

These Arab states, and particularly Saudi Arabia, are concerned about recent Syrian diplomatic gains, and have tried to revitalize the Arab peace proposal - focused on Israeli-Palestinian negotiations - as a means to counter progress on the Syria-Israel track and the international rehabilitation of Damascus."
http://www.imra.org.il/story.php3?id=41687

It's always refreshing to read Israeli analysts who harbor few delusions about what our mutual "moderate" Arab allies are really up to. Oddly, their opinions continued to be ignored by those who treasure the past while studiously ignoring the present circumstances.

I hope the speculation that Obama will choose to make his address in Cairo, of all places, is dead wrong. Not because of the usual stuff about "rewarding" one of the most hardline despotic regimes in the region, but because it would be a security nightmare.

Another factor is that the Egyptians are also part of the past paradigm of influence in the ME. If Obama wants his visit to have relevence and speak to the future rather than the past, he should make his address in an Islamic country that is actively involved in working to stabilize the region.

Both Turkey and Qatar would be suitable locales. The symbolism of "rewarding" countries with verifiable track records of forging ahead to bring antagonists to the table would be an unmistakeable endorsement of a forward-looking agenda of working together for the common good.

An Obama appearance in Cairo or worse, Amman, would signal more of the SOS. Hopefully, Obama has a few ME advisors who can point to this obvious truth.

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Well, after what has appeared to be a very risk-averse set of cabinet appointments, I can't accuse Obama of being risk-averse in this department. He truly is putting his massive political capital at high risk by embarking on such a high-profile gambit this early in his administration.

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Reading your tone here a bit, Dan, it seems that it's hard for Obama to please you.

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I don't know, Tintin. So far I am very pleased by what I am hearing about Obama's domestic economic agenda, which is shaping up - at least in outline - to be bold and progressive. I haven't been pleased for some time by what I perceive as some uninspired back-tracking, playing it politically safe but strategically dull, in the area of foreign and national security policy.

About this latest news, I am ambivalent. I am glad to see evidence of risk-taking. But this is indeed a huge risk. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict is a graveyard of good intentions, and I worry about the chances of success, and the possibility that other aspects of Obama's agenda could be wrecked by a large failure in this one situation.

My tone isn't likely to change much, no matter what happens. I just don't do giddiness, tears, enthusiasm and excitement very well. The last several years have given me a very chastened, melancholy and mildly misanthropic view on political affairs. I strive for rational and realistic views on the potential for progress, and try to be neither dazzled by outlandish hopes nor dispirited by excessive pessimism. But the whole picture is a bit sad, gray and rainy for me.

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I hear you. And just so you know, I ALWAYS read your posts because they are so well thought out and considered, even when I disagree. But it has seemed to me that, especially with Hillary's selection, you felt that Obama was tacking too far right, to speak in short hand. But now that he seems ready to take on the shibboleths of the right, you seem a little frightened--almost as though you wished he would stay a little more in the center all of a sudden. Hug the shore of convention a bit more.

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I don't see the problem as consisting only in shibboleths of the right. US indulgence of Israel has been a competitive bipartisan sport for decades, through Republican and Democratic administrations alike. The Clinton administration was the most uncompromisingly pro-Israel administration in US history. If it hadn't been for secret negotiations in Oslo that did an end run around Washington, there never would have been a peace process in the nineties. And Camp David was, in my view, a farce in which Clinton and Barak joined up to bully and tag-team Arafat into a deal he couldn't possibly accept.

The fundamental problem is that the US and Israeli side refuse to grasp and acknowledge history, and continue to beguile themselves with self-indulgent myths that shield them from the Palestinian perspective. What I'm afraid of is that Obama has now surrounded himself with the same limited perspectives, and doesn't realize just how far he has to go politically in order to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict through settlement, and how much he has to venture. And if he doesn't understand this, then he will fail.

If Obama goes to an Arab capital and tries to preach Hillary Clinton's message, or Martin Indyk's message or Dennis Ross' message, that will not get him very far I'm afraid. Mainstream Jewish Democratic perspectives are still stongly on the Jewish side of the Israeli-Palestinian divide.

If Obama doesn't deliver a message that makes Rahm Emanuel, Tzipi Livni and Hillary Clinton knash their teeth along with Khaled Mashel and Mahmood Abbas, then he is not going far enough.

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Change will be coming, and it will doubtlessly be the kind of change that gratifies amoral swine who respond to Jews being slaughtered by Muslims with columns fretting not about homicidal anti-Semitism but about potential Islamophobia. A decent human being would react to Jews being murdered by expressing that there seems to be a problem with Jew hatred. But not our MJ. He responds to Jews being murdered by fervently hoping that the Muslims who killed them are not disparaged. Each incidence of Jewish blood being spilled is cynically used by Mister Rosenberg to campaign for the presidency of CAIR.

America's interests in the Muslim world are doomed for the same reason that India's interests in the Muslim world are doomed, and neither has anything to do with the Evil Zionist Entity Mister Rosenberg despises with such psychotic zest. Americans and Indians are I-N-F-I-D-E-L-S.

Until that changes, the jihad will persist...even after Obama and Rosenberg and J Street and other "friends of Israel" succeed in destroying the Jewish State.

This Rosenberg column is truly a classic. It fuses a maliciously false premise with an irrationally inane conclusion. As such, it represents the quintessence of the author's work product.

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No I just oppose immoral swine who think that Jewish blood is more valuable than Arab blood.

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galdsher, where do you think Israel's borders should be? What do you think of Jews who believe God gave them all of the West Bank and Gaza? Do your beliefs on these issues in any way affect your views on the (eternal) nature of Muslims, and Palestinians in particular?

I know it's an inane question...

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I love it. Some serious frothing at the mouth. I feel for you, Galdsher. All those Cossacks under the bed.
:-)

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Careful, M.J. I hear Dershowitz's footsteps coming, and it sounds like he's dragging his hopelessly naive stick.

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We are militant. We haven't accepted the fact that our lives are worth less than him/her and his/her friends. How presumptious of us!!!

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How does Israel plan on remaining a Democracy?

They either have to create an apartheid system for Arabs living within their borders, or limit their borders. Pretty simple choice. What's it gonna be?

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I like the plan of Mr. No. 20 on the Likud ticket: The Arabs can have human rights without civil rights. They have a right to control their daily lives so long as they remain loyal to the Jewish State--and have no role in that state.

Sounds a lot like Jim Crow to me.

Can I make the movie: "Hebron Burning"?

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"He responds to Jews being murdered by fervently hoping that the Muslims who killed them are not disparaged."

I think one would have to work hard to so badly mischaracterize MJ's post on that. You know how Jews hold their breath whenever a Jew does something really bad and really public? Everyone is hoping against hope that this one act doesn't turn the public against the Jews. That's what MJ's post was about. Drawing the wrong conclusions about a horrific act and stoking passions and ignorance. He condemned the act, of course.

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I think that what American Jews can do--the best service they can give as to advance Middle East peace--is to support Israel as much as they can. And by support I do not necessarily mean "give money". In fact, giving money is the easiest way for people to support someone when they do not want to be bothered--but I'd like American Jews to be bothered. I want them coming for visits, I want them caring, I want them lobbying. And no--I do not want them to be criticizing Israel in public and trying to pressure Israel on matters of policy and trying to "save Israel from itself" and all that condescending crap. Not because I think Israel doesn't deserve criticism, or doesn't make mistakes, but because there are more than enough people criticizing Israel already and because making policy is for people who will eventually pay the price for it--and because Israel is a "responsible adult". And with all due respect for those thinking that they know better--I think they don't. Not those on the right urging settlers to defy government orders to evacuate from their homes in Hebron (I know some American Jews were involved, and not in a good way, in matters related to recent clashes in the city)--and not those on the left thinking they have the key for Middle East peace (your recent interviewee, Daniel Levy, is such an example).

To all those I'll say: you think you have a solution? Come and convince Israelis. And if you happen to fail, don't go and work behind their backs to advance your cause by making America pressure Israel.

And I know that I'm going to be mocked for my primitive tribalism, and I know that unconditionally supporting Israel might sound like a mission that is hardly ambitious for those Jews in America who believe that their role is fixing the world (Tikkun Olam). But I'm a man of small ambitions, and I think that it is better for American Jews to try and do one thing they actually can do--and not the many things they can't. Supporting Israel is a responsibility you did not ask for--but it's yours nevertheless. And since I also believe that a stronger Israel gives more hope for Middle East peace, this is what I'd prescribe for those eager to advance this specific cause.

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Nicely said but wrong. As Israel's only ally, the United States is implicated in every action Israel takes. American acceptance of the occupation endangers American interests and....American lives (no matter where they live).

The best thing we can do for America, and for Israel, to to encourage the United States to push for an end to the occupation....before it, in all its ugliness and brutality, blows back on us along with Israelis living within the '67 lines.


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In response to Shmuel Rosner’s post on James Baker’s belief that both Bill Clinton and George W. Bush “waited too long” to tackle the Arab-Israeli issue, Emanuele Ottolenghi listed everything Clinton facilitated from 1993 through 2000, including: the ceremony on the White House lawn, the Cairo Agreement, the Washington Declaration, the Jordan-Israel peace agreement, the Oslo-II agreement, the Wye Accord, the Camp David Summit, and the Clinton Parameters.

The seven-year Clinton “peace process” ended with the Palestinians rejecting the Camp David offer of a state, starting a new terror war, and declining the last best offer in the Clinton Parameters. On January 20, 2001, George W. Bush inherited a war already in its fourth month and an Israeli electorate that within two weeks dismissed Ehud Barak in a landslide election. Dennis Ross retired to write an 800-page book to explain how the process did not work out as planned.

Far from ignoring the Arab-Israeli issue, Bush did the following: (1) became in 2002 the first U.S. president to endorse a Palestinian state as a matter of official policy; (2) translated the policy in 2003 into a Road Map approved by the UN, the EU, Russia, the Palestinian Authority and Israel; (3) negotiated with Israel in 2004 on the Gaza Disengagement Deal (and got West Bank settlements dismantled to demonstrate it would not stop with Gaza); (4) supported a Palestinian election in 2005 to endorse a new leader pledged to dismantling terrorist groups; (5) permitted all parties to participate in the 2006 elections to give Palestinians a choice between the “peace partner” party and the premier terrorist group; (6) scuttled the first two phases of the Road Map in 2007, in order to keep the process going, even after the Palestinians elected their premier terrorist group; (7) convened a worldwide conference in Annapolis in 2007 to begin a year-long period of final status negotiations; and (8) had his Secretary of State make umpteen trips in 2006-2008 to push the negotiations.

And Bush ended up exactly where Clinton did: with another seven-year “process” culminating in a Palestinian refusal to accept a contiguous state, on substantially all of the West Bank and Gaza, unless Israel accepted the “right of return” and a re-divided Jerusalem along the 1967 line. During the entire 14-year process, not a single terrorist organization was dismantled. The problem was most certainly not U.S. presidents who “waited too long.”

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What are the borders of this "state" they rejected? If you are honest, you will admit you don't know.

Show us the paper that contains Barak's "generous" offer. You can't because it doesn't exist.

And during the time of Oslo, Jewish settlers on the West Bank and East Jerusalem increased from about 60,000 to 240,000.

Wow. What good faith negotiating on the Zionist side.

And please don't cite either Bill Clinton or Dennis Ross to back up your arguments. They are the main purveyors of this fraud.

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M.J Are Bill Clinton and Dennis Ross main purveyors of this fraud? What's your opinion?

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Why do you need MJ to answer that? Bill Clinton lied about Camp David during his wife's senate run, which was quite brave. Few Americans are willing to stand up to the powerful Palestinian Lobby, particularly in NY.

And Dennis Ross, "Israel's lawyer"? Boy, that is a credible source. (See Clayton Swisher's "The Truth about Camp David" and the refernce to MJ's comments about the book, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camp_David_2000_Summit.)


BTW, do you know how many Muslim or Christian Arab-Americans were on the American negotiating team at Camp David? Zilch. Must have been an oversight.

Ironically, the only Arab-American was Robert Malley, a Jewish Arab American . Now this decent man is now considered "suspect" on negotiations. Get that. Even Jewish Arab Americans are not considered "fair." No wonder we can't have a Christian or Muslim Arab American negotiating for us.

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M.J has a right to express his opinion. Please don't silence him.

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You're joking, right? How can I silence MJ?

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So, let him to tell us if he thinks that Bill Clinton and Dennis Ross are main purveyors of this fraud.

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I wonder if they know the borders of the state they want.

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The fact that you don't know tells you everything about the fraudulency of the Peace Process so far--or at least the coverage of it in the Western Press. Both sides made proposals at Camp David, for example. If you don't know the Palestinian proposal, well, the reason is simple: It was unacceptable the Israelis and Clinton did not want to embarrass the Israelis by showing what they rejected. He had so such problem blaming Arafat while his wife was running for Senate in NY.

Read the "Truth about Camp David" by Clayton Swisher and you will see how "fair" Clinton, Ross, et. al. were at Camp David.

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And how long have we been working toward the arrival of the Messiah? Longer than 14 years, I'd say. What is the phrase about not finishing the work, but never giving up on working to get there? Hopelessness is not an option here.

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BTW, your English has gotten MUCH better. I mean it.

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MJ, repeat after me:
The war is NOT about the "occupation" of Judea/Samaria, it is about the very existence of a Jewish state. You know that but you exist in a state of denial. I am very sorry you refuse to see the truth. Fortunately, here in Israel, after years of lies by the myth-makers of the disastrous Oslo Agreements, most Israelis now realize the truth of what I stated. You don't. Your views are irrelevant. I think Obama realizes this. He said in an interview in the Jerusalem Post during his visit here in Israel during the campaign that he can not impose an agreement. He is lucky that he doesn't suffer from the Jewish angst and feelings of inferiority you and the other "Jewish progressives" have. This should allow him to see things more clearly.

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"The war is NOT about the "occupation" of Judea/Samaria, it is about the very existence of a Jewish state."

Whatever gets you through the night, and up in the morning to support the expansion.

Why don't you work to achieve peace along the '67 borders, and then tell us you told us so after the Palestinians try to take over Israel.

Assuming the Settler movement doesn't start a civil war first, of course, with pogroms and terrorist attacks against progressive Israelis and their inferiority issues.

What's that? You like the settlements and their expansion? What a shocker!

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YBD,

arambone will now explain to you why the Arabs launched three wars of annihilation against Israel while the Jewish State existed within the 1967 boundaries.

No?

Maybe mythbuster or Rosenberg can explain to you why a return to the 1967 borders will placate the same Arab states that repeatedly tried to destroy Israel prior to 1967.

No?

Well, maybe these Three Stooges can explain to you why they are appalled by Jews killing olive trees but unmoved when Muslims kill Jews.

Alternatively, they could just continue to spew fact free anti-Semitism, and YBD...that is definitely the way to bet.


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galdsher, I seem to remember a war in 48-49, when Europeans invaded Palestine, ethnically cleansed several hundred thousand people, and convinced themselves that it was justified because of some serious issues they had with other Europeans.

Let's not completely leave that little war out when weaving our perfect victim mantras.

You should read the book Scars of War, Wounds of Peace by noted anti-Semite and self-hating Jew Schlomo Ben Ami. It turns out that it really wasn't a barren land for a people without a land.

You seem to dismiss any justified sense of grievance by the Palestinians, even though there is evidence that Israel provoked the Six Day War.

Let me guess, any sense of Palestinian grievance is illegitimate, because there are other Arab countries in existence.

Israel is a military superpower. It is questionable that even the US would win a military war against it. Be brave and realize that Israel will not be crushed by thrown stones if they pull back to their internationally lawful borders.

Anti-semite? That's clever.

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No, but I will.

Remember when the US was at war with Germany?

Are we still? Is Germany getting ready to invade France and Belgium?

I think you would agree they are not. In fact, they are strong allies...of us and Israel.Here's why: Time and change.

Take the Japanese. Once upon a time, they attacked the US, viciously so. They conquered and enslaved the Pacific Rim.

What are they now? A modern, basically peace-loving nation. And a big ally of the US.

Why? Time and change. Throw in Italy, too, if you want.

Now, there is no guarantee the Arab states will ever make friends with Israel, but the possibility is always there. Time and change.

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You mean the War of 1948 in which Israel leveled hundreds of Arab villages? Check.

You mean the War of 1967 in Israel engaged in sneak attack, er, "preemptive strike" (that's sneak attack committted by white people). Check.

What about the Israeli invasion (along with UK and France) of Egypt in 1956?

Hmm....that ones doesn't seem to fit the narrative of the tiny citadel of freedom being besieged by the Muslim Hordes. How to deal with it? I know: ignore it. The Gentiles won't remember that one. Yeah, and talk about the Holocaust every day, particularly when you are literally stunting the growth of Palestinian children in Gaza. Let Freedom ring!

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I do believe that Levy is an Israeli. Wasn't he part of Barak's negotiating team?

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Chin up, YBD. Pretty soon Israel is going to have internationally recognized borders that do not include, take a breath, that tomb in Hebron.

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MJ: Then who is going to throw stones at Palestinian school children?

I really think you under-estimate how difficult it will be for any Isareli government to repatriate these Settlers. My fear is that we will see massive violence against Palestinians in the West Bank when that happens. That will be part of the political price. Lots of dead Palestinians.

The articles in Ha'aretz are quite frightening.

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Jeffrey Goldberg: Is what we're seeing in Hebron a continuation of the same sort of settler struggle, or does it represent something new in the evolution of the movement?
Shmuel Rosner: It is not exactly new, but yet another proof that the settlement movement is crumbling and that the fear some people shared--that the state of Israel will not be able to deal with the possible need to evacuate settlements--has no basis in reality.
What happened in Hebron and is happening now in the West Bank is, of course, very troubling, but it is also somewhat encouraging. The Israeli government had vowed to evacuate a house in Hebron and, once the order was given, it unceremoniously did it within an hour or so. The radical elements threatening to prevent such evacuation proved to be a paper tiger, and the disgusting acts of "revenge" they were perpetrating after the fact are signs of frustration, not strength. Those radicals are not only alienated from Israel's larger society, they are also at odds with the settlement movement itself.

Of course, this does not mean that Jewish radicals are not a cause for concern. As we've learned time and again, events in this region can be easily ignited by acts of alienated fundamentalists. So I think the real question for now--a question to which one can receive more than one answer--is about the real number of people aligning themselves with those fringe elements of the Jewish far-right. Surely, it is more than a bunch of kids. Yet, again, the house in Hebron was not "defended" by thousands, but rather by hundreds. And contrary to what these people presumably believe, the lines they were crossing will not make the state more reluctant to "deal" with them, but rather more determined.

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"Jewish radicals"? Let's call a terrorist a terrorist. Whey you try to burn down a house with a family inside you are a terrorist. When you randonly shoot and seriously wound two Palestinians because you are "angry" you are a terrorist.

When you mail a bomb to the home of a respected Israeli academic because you don't like his political views, you are a terrorist.

When you spray paint graffiti that says "All Arabs to the Gas Chamber,"

Denial is unhealthy.

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I think the IDF can remove them without much difficulty. I think the whole settler movement is a paper tiger like the segregationists of Little Rock or Ole Miss.
You send in the army, and they fold.

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Except when they pay some soldiers to disobey orders. There is some serious rot there.

Your analogy is great. Similarly, George Wallace gave his speech and then stepped aside!

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When the Muslims slaughtered Jews in Mumbai, you responded by writing a column desperately hoping that the murders did not engender Islamophobia. So when Baruch Goldstein killed Muslims, did you write a column expressing hope that the incident would not engender anti-Semitism?

Just kidding, Adolf.

Rhetorical question.

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Hey, my uncle was named Adolph. For real. Uncle Adolph, a plumber, though, not a painter. Came from Hungary and smoked fat cigars with an amber tip. Loved working out the best route to the Catskills. Thank you for reminding me of him!

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I hope you are right about the settlers MJ. Most of them will have to leave the OPT voluntarily or be removed by the IDF in any final-status agreement that Palestinians and the Arab League could accept. I believe President-Elect Obama knows exactly what he is doing, and can have no illusions about what will be required. He must realize that he will have to exercise the full (non-military) power of the executive branch, and have a critical mass of support from the House and Senate, to overcome inevitable recalcitrance to the sacrifices all sides must make. This of course includes the Likudnik faction of our domestic pro-Israel lobby, who in the end will probably have to be sidelined by the Israelis themselves, stalwartly pursuing their own interests.

His Cabinet and staff appointments so far seem to be consistent with the notion that he is planning for domestic damage control for a ME peace initiative. I recently read a comment (I can't remember whose) that P-E Obama was dangling a Nobel Peace prize before Senator Clinton. I laughed at the time, but it sure makes sense now. Go for it Madam Secretary! Huzzah!

I think that any agreement will have to be one where all sides can claim victory with enough credibility to pacify or sufficiently isolate their respective 'dead-enders'. I can't imagine the Israelis accepting any final status agreement where they would withdraw from the OPT and allow a GENUINELY sovereign Palestinian state to develop (especially with regard to fair partitioning of water resources) unless the Palestinians gave up the 'right of return' and agreed that their state would remain de-militarized. And the Palestinians sure aren't going to agree to the latter without substantial numbers of international troops on the ground acting as a 'tripwire' against Israeli incursions. Arab League nations will have to 'walk-the-talk' in recognizing Israel by establishing embassies in West Jerusalem, which they would have to recognize as Israel's political capital. And the Israelis will undoubtedly have to give up their designs on East Jerusalem. If President-Elect Obama is indeed going to lay it all on the line for Middle East peace and pummel agreement to all these concessions, he will have to be willing to take the 'kid gloves' off with ALL sides. If he truly has the stones to do this, his courage will be remembered a thousand years from now. Especially if he is seen to be willing to take all the heat, and let others take as much of the credit as possible. Now if he could only do something about the tens of thousands of nukes we still have aimed at each other...

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Excellent post. I believe Hillary was MOSTLY appointed for this one task and for the reasons you allude to.

One of the little-noted aspects of Obama's (because we've become so used to the opposite) is that he wanted to become president to solve REAL and CHALLENGING problems.

For GWB and McCain, it was all about the family business or impressing Dad or simply the next promotion. Much was made of Obama's childhood essay about "wanting to be president someday." But these guys really EXPECTED to be president some day, particularly GWB.

But I'm fairly sure Obama never expected it. The improbability of his campaign was real, and while he was confident in his ability and his strategy, he didn't assume or expect victory in the sense that it was his to lose or his "right."

I think that frees him to make bold moves. And events have conspired in such a way that the general public mostly sees the need for bold moves on a LOT of fronts. So my sense is that it's the right man at the right time.

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"Chin up, YBD. Pretty soon Israel is going to have internationally recognized borders that do not include, take a breath, that tomb in Hebron."

Poor, pathetic mental munchkin, cursed with the intellect of a lobotomized squid.

Will Iran recognize Israel's borders?

Will Hezbollah?

Will Hamas?

How I rue the day that Mama Rosenberg chose to ingest Thalidomide.

Yet fairness dictates acknowledging that you will be a smashing success on the exciting new Fox reality show, "America's Most Clueless!"

The prospect of Obama crippling Israeli national defense has Rosenberg more excited than Michael Jackson at a Cub Scout Jamboree.

"There is not a single problem that America faces in the Middle East that will not be ameliorated if America becomes what it must be, an honest broker between Israelis and Arabs."

Yeah, that should convince Saudi Arabia to end slavery and Iran to stop female genital mutilation.

What a dunce.

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C'mon. You really sound like a buffoon.

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I hadn't heard about "female genital mutulation" in Iran. Can we fit that under the catagory of "evil things the evil Iranians are probably doing"? Similarly, I've heard that Jim Morrison is running a pirate radio station out of Bandar Abbas.

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This post by M.J. with the avalanche of response and rebuttal it has generated illustrates the depth of passion surrounding the Israeli-Palestinian issue. Respondents on both sides have made some legitimate arguments but the central fact is that this little fragment of land called the West Bank has been steadily eroded and infiltrated by settlers who deem it their legitimate property. But there is one small problem. Millions of people already live there, and have lived there for centuries. They are called Palestinians. At one time they lived on that entire space between the Jordan River and the sea, and beyond, but through developments they had no control over, another people were "given" the right to settle there, and because of assumed "rights" those settlers have steadily moved in, with the aid of a powerful and moneyed ally across the Atlantic, to now dominate that entire space.

Folks, that is the central issue! Forget all this smokescreen about Arab extremists and terrorists and how uncivilized they are. Without the profound injustice of the apporpriation of one group's homeland by imposters (I mean that) this tragedy would never have happened.

I am not saying this is going to end with a just solution. Unless Obama has more courage to enforce such justice than I'm afraid he has, this relentless process with continue, and hatreds will intensify. In the long run it does not bode well for the Israelis. It will be hard to survive in the 21st. century when a good 1.5 billion Muslims hate your guts. You can bomb Iran and pre-emptively destroy perceived enemy plotters wherever and whenever they exist but sooner or later something really bad is going to happen.

So my advice to YBD and all you other Zionists, get over your obsession about this "promised land" that supposedly includes "Judea" and "Samaria". If your people are willing to live within the 1967 borders just maybe moderates on the other side will be emboldened to find an accomodation. The initiative presented by the 22 Arab states certainly suggests this. And if the U.S. political establishment has the moral courage to enforce such an accomodation this just might avert a truly terrifyingly tragic outcome.

Do I sound like an anti-Semite? I have never considered myself such. I just yearn for world peace, which will never occur without political justice.

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"Do I sound like an anti-Semite?"

Yes.

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Dude, do you really think a magic man in the sky said, "I choose this small wandering tribe, which looks a lot like these other wandering tribes, to be my chosen people. I also hereby grant them one tiny particular piece of sand to own, occupy, and cleanse if need be, for all eternity, even if they are absent for 1900 years and are only given 2/3 of it upon their return. They must have it all, or recognize that all who oppose are anti-Semites, and my people will face my wrath if they do not fight to the death for that land."

How does that not make you a loony toon religious extremist? Do you think it's possible that a Jewish fellow in olden times got the brilliant idea to write down that "God" valued the lives of Jews more than others, and that good Jews should act accordingly?

I'd like to live in the penthouse of the Waldorf. How about I write down that God gave me that penthouse, and then I refuse to accept only 2/3 of said penthouse? Would you think I was a little nutty? Yes? Then maybe you're an anti-arambonite.

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Ever notice how just about every culture has a belief system that enshines itself at the center of creation?

Jews (Chosen People)
Roman Catholics (People of God)
China (Kingdom of Heaven)
America (Providential Nation)

The list goes on and on.

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Haha! No he doesn't. How ridiculous can you get?

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The 1967 "borders" were not recognized; it is an armistice line.
The 1967 "borders" are unrealistic in terms of Israel's security.
But, something reasonably close to those lines could be workable if as part of a legitimate package of recognition by the Arab world, peace treaties, and trade pacts, etc. This cannot possibly include a so-called "right of return" as promoted by the Arab League.
Speaking of which, how about the hundreds of thousands of Jews kicked out of Arab countries (and property confiscated) in 1948 and thereafter? If you want fairness in the Middle East, then you must show some awareness for this. Most of these "refugees" went to Israel. They have yet to see anyone care about their dispossession.
I don't think disparaging others personally helps this discussion. The name calling of MJ is way out of line, even though I agree with only a small part of what he generally says. OK, I mostly think he is way off base. Calling him names can't convince anyone of that, so I ask that the posters with whom I mostly do agree knock it off.
BTW, I don't think anyone posting here thinks Jewish lives are more valuable than others. Sure, a few Jews undoubtedly have a prejudiced, misguided view. I just read about a program in Israel encouraging Arab Israeli teachers to teach in elementary schools. They wear "traditional" Arab clothing, and help bridge the gap between cultures. How many Jewish teachers are in schools in the PA, or for that matter anywhere in the Arab world?
But there seem to be plenty of people in power (not just the "street") in the Arab world who "officially" denigrate Jews as sub-human, in state-sponsored media and in other ways. The Palestinian educational system teaches this. The Egyptian TV has had shows about Jews drinking human blood for passover, etc.
To mythbuster I would say, if you want to call a "terrorist a terrorist" then apply the term to people who send rockets to civilian areas, who send suicide/homicide bombers to pizza joints, and the rest. If you agree that Israel has a right to exist, then these attacks can't be justified by the actual and the alleged misdeeds of Israel, any more than settler attacks on innocent Palestinians can be justified. PM Olmert called the recent attacks "pogroms." When did Hamas EVER criticize ANY attack or death of ANY Israeli?
Obama certainly has his work cut out for him, and it's far broader than the Israel-Palestinian conflict.


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This is a thoughtful post. I happen to fundamentally agree with M.J. of course, but rational arguments like this make it possible to engage in constructive dialogue. Without mutual respect very little can be accomplished toward a just solution to this difficult problem.

The problem arises when ideology replaces reason, and in this regard there is plenty of blame to go around.

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Hmmm: "To mythbuster I would say, if you want to call a "terrorist a terrorist" then apply the term to people who send rockets to civilian areas, who send suicide/homicide bombers to pizza joints, and the rest."

Yes, the two Palestian children who were murdered by an IDF drone outside the house in Gaza this week were they "terrorists"? You really need to ditch this childish view that Israelis are the "good guys" and the Palestinians are the "bad guys." There are lots of Jewish terrorists, many of them (Begin, Shamir, for example) have become Prime Minister.

You seem to forget that a few years ago, Barak said that he would fight the Occupation if he were born a Palestinian. That tells you something about the injustice of it.

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