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Temporary Auto Fix
Everyone seems to want to punt the majority of the Auto Bailout to the new administration.
New signs of deterioration in the U.S. job market added impetus to appeals by Detroit's auto makers for a bailout, as top lawmakers on Capitol Hill coalesced around the idea of providing a small downpayment to keep the industry afloat until early 2009.
The vehicle might be a simple modification of the already passed $25 Billion for fuel efficiency upgrades. Each of the big three would need to commit to x% of their fleet to be alternative energy vehicles (Hybrid or electric) by 2012 in order to get a down payment on the $25 billion. That plus a conversion of 40% of the debt to equity (a cramdown) and Chrysler and GM could survive until the Obama administration has time for a comprehensive approach.
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x%? Way to drive a hard bargain there, J-Tap.
December 6, 2008 8:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sooo, they give all the money to the financial industry without Obama's imput but to bail out the largest remaining manufacturing industry in America is left to Obama? riiight
Nothing but partisianship.
December 6, 2008 9:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think you've hit the nail on the head, and this is probably the best the lame duck congress can hope for in the next week and a half.
Happily, December isn't that long, and we should be looking forward to the new congress getting a serious piece of legislation put together by the end of the second week of January. By then we will have jettisoned much of the hostility from the congress, by way of jilted Republicans.
Sure, this is the result of Republican partisan posturing and not the result of good clear thinking. We'd all be happier if the current government was functioning. Of course, it hasn't been since at least 2005. Considering the other flailing Bush is doing with his executive orders, attacking environmental protections, this imperfect solution seems like manna from heaven. Relatively speaking.
December 6, 2008 10:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
The core problem that will remain is that the big 3 auto makers cannot compete with Japanese auto makers. I hope eventually one of the conditions attached to a bail out, which is only necessary because those corporations are "to big to be allowed to fail", will be that they are split up as the telephone companies were several years ago. We have antitrust laws for good reasons, but those laws have been ignored for far too long.
The world is a different place now, as far as the business climate is concerned. US automakers need to be small enough to be able to react quickly to changing market conditions, and make money without having 50% of the market. GM, Ford and Chrysler can't do that now. They will survive only if they find a way to do that.
December 6, 2008 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
So how do you reconcile Toyota, an exponentially larger company than the so-called Big Three combined, with what you see as the need for smaller scale US auto manufacturers?
December 6, 2008 5:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
From http://www.expressindia.com/latest-news/Toyota-No-2-after-GM-war-for-India-heats-up/265078/
December 10, 2008 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
When the modern day Democratic leadership decided to get in bed with the Republicans and the Wall Street sharks 90% of the public lost 90% of their representation. Today, we get trickle down economics from the Republicans and trickle down government from the Democrats. Today's Democrats give us a raise in minimum wage, a little on environmental laws, and alittle on social prigrams, but the bulk of their energy goes to the people that casaued this economic tsunami.
The Democrats aren't dealing with old time Republican businessmen, they're dealing with the sharks Reagan set loose and who have been growing in number until today where they permeate our business community.
I watched two hearings on the present economic storm; one chaired by Rep. Dennis Kucinich, the other chaired by Sen. Chris Dodd. The Kucinich hearing was full of fireworks, with serious charges being spoken and inconvenient facs introduced. Sad to say, becasue of the state of the leadership, not much will become of that hearing.
Watching Chris Dodd's hearing with pretty much the same type witnesses, Dodd was almost serene, his attitude toward the witnesses was friendly.
Look how easy it was to bail the banks, investment companies and AIG. They're the people our modern day political parites are in bed with.
Has anyone who had hand in this been punished in any way? Any pay cuts?, any lost bonuses? any resignations? Money, being fungible, most probably means that the bailout money will help the sharks increase their salary and bonuses.
People like Dodd, Schumer, Clinton, Biden, Bayh, Carper, Feinstein, etc. will give us trickle down legislation in solving this financial disaster.
The Democrats are no longer the opposition party when it comes to how to treat the captains of industry and finance.
The liberals need to take over the party.
December 6, 2008 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Like many of us, I'm bit conflicted on this issue:
Examined as a pure free-market economics issue, it's fairly simple: Let nature take its course. The Japanese (most notably) have learned how to make cars more efficiently and better than we can, at lower overall costs and better overall value. Just let them (and increasingly, others) make all the cars, TV sets, power tools, and (increasingly) just about every other substantial hard item we use in everyday American life. Meanwhile, we'll take back the $$ we give them for these things to sell...what? Walmart? KFC franchises? Mutual funds?... back to them.
The problem is that the 'Detroit 3' automakers simply cannot be examined 100% as a free-market economic issue. In some vague (but certain) way, America IS Chevy, and Ford, and (maybe slightly less) Dodge. The mighty productive capacity that they SHOULD still represent saved the world in 1940-1945, every bit as much as Churchill, Roosevelt, or Eisenhower did , or MORE. They (or someone - Toyota?) will almost certainly have to step forward to do it again someday. Whether we like it or not, they MADE the modern America that still represents the envy of the world. I think if we simply turn our backs now, we risk losing our American soul, and perhaps in the fulness of time, more down-to-earth things as well.
I don't know the answer. I think I DO know this: A great nation must MAKE things. We cannot hope to maintain our status (even in our own minds) by becoming a country of exclusively paper-shufflers, pizza-deliverymen, and financial wizards. Someone in a great nation must do other things besides stare at computer screens.
December 6, 2008 4:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
one_wilson says:
"A great nation must MAKE things."
Exactly, and what caused this assault on the economy wasn't manufactureres, it was people in offices buying and selling debt over and over. It didn't matter that the debt itself was shakey, what mattered was the "deal", from the original broker who sold one mortgage, to the next shark who bought it and bundled it in with many others and sold the bundle, only to see others sell the same bundle or some hybrid. Not a frikking thing was made except salaries and bonuses.
All made possible by the gang of Republicans and Democrats that brought you the "get the government out of the way" philosophy.
December 6, 2008 8:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly.
Jon Stewart's comment
December 7, 2008 4:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ditto!
December 7, 2008 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
The engines of economic growth for the 21st century will be finding new ways to harness the renewable sources of energy that are available, making them as reliable and efficient as possible, and making them affordable for everyone.
December 7, 2008 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Whatever we ought to be doing in 2009 the A item
right now is for Congress to refuse permission to Paulson to spend the remaining $350Bn.
I certainly don't pretend to know how it should be spent,just that this administration shouldn't spend it.
JUST SAY NO
These sums are so enormous we can lose sight of how much of the future is being mortgaged.( My guess is is that $350Bn =s two years of the Iraq War.) And of what else could be done with those funds-which happen to be 10times the amount the auto industry has requested ( and maybe 3 times what it will ultimately need!)
Whatever weight we have now should be exercised in
preventing this Administration from this final raid on the country's future.
If we once let Paulson disburse that money the Right will have some justification for arguing that we really can't afford to go to the well again on behalf of the Big 3.
December 6, 2008 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
flavius,
I'm with you, freeze the remaining $350 billion.
Paulson is a Bush appointee; enough said.
December 6, 2008 8:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Corrupt financial institutions can be bailed-out. It is simple, and it works fine until they have to be bailed-out again on a larger-scale. They are just feudal conduits for redistribution of wealth from the working class to the ruling class, financing mercenary armies, and beautifying or de-oderizing wealth extracted from overseas slavery, wars, plantations, or mining.
You can call financial institutions a "financial services industry". But, they are not and never were an industry. They do not create or add-value to anything. At best, they are a necessary complement to industry and commerce, not a substitute for them.
Today, these institutions in extract monopoly-rent and indirect taxation (a) by creating money from fractional-reserves (commercial banks), (b) by building short-lived pyramids out of mud bricks from the bond-lawyers, water-soluble morter from the credit-rating agencies, and sugar-coated decoration from the accounting firms (investment banks) or just (c) by barter of arms and drugs (merchant banks).
Industry (and commerce) require (1)uniform and efficient prices, (2) planning, (3) standards, (4) regulation, (5) competition, and (6)protection all at various times, to certain degrees, in particular places. This is harder than what one is taught to do in law or business school. But, as long as a robust suite of patriotic professions and trades can keep all of those in good working order, financial intermediation across time and space will work. Jews, Unitarians, and others can all earn decent livings in the various sorts of banks.
But, when a financial institution, organized crime syndicate, or other criminal enterprise starts calling itself an industry or, rather, hires lawyers, lobbyists, even preachers, doctors, and, of course, either Senator from Connecticut to do so, you can be sure that the cringing liberals and faux-conservatives in Congress are conspiring (bi-partisan! bi-sexual! bi-ethical!) to (a) steal your money, (b) rape your daughter, and (c) kill your son ... with mere words.
December 6, 2008 9:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
In all this bluff and bluster, would anyone care to explain how the US auto plants run by non-US companies are thriving while Detroit isn't? Could it have anything to do with unions?
In the debate over what UAW workers make, whether it's $42 or $70 an hour, the bottom line hasn't been addressed. While the consensus is that $42 is the correct figure, they still have to produce $70 per hour of value. Each worker has to earn his own way plus that of the retirees. It's the same dilemma SS faces. Each upcoming worker has to produce enough value for himself and somebody else. In other times it was called indentured servitude.
As for the TARP program, I agree that the remaining money should wait for the next administration. Then there isn't any reason for Democrats to weasel around when that doesn't work either. Like everyone else, I'm eagerly anticipating January 20. After that, everything that happens is the Democrats fault.
December 7, 2008 8:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
shooter,
people like you are consistant, I give you that.
When you say "I'm eagerly anticipating January 20. After that, everything that happens is the Democrats fault..."
Just as when the Republicans had control people like you said; 'everything that happens is the Democrats fault', or was it Clinton's fault?
December 7, 2008 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
... and gosh, it's not important that things get better, only that Democrats can get blamed when things get worse.
December 7, 2008 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Except that if Shelby filibusters it's not the Demos fault that things get stalled.
And no, it's not $70/hr, period. Smoke and mirrors accounting jokes don't count.
December 7, 2008 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I understand you are using the $42 an hour for union costs, but you did add that they must produce $70 an hour of value. That extra $28 in value is for retirement health care and pension costs.
The health care was addressed in the 2007 contract (which was actually the bulk of the $28 figure) through the VEBA. This was part of the UAW concessions at that time. There were other cuts to bring costs in line with foreign competitors.
To me, the problem is we went from a society that cared and helped each other to the extent most people had health care, pensions and other benefits to a society that wants to tear each other down.
A lot of this can be traced to the Reagan years through the firing of PATCO and open warfare on the working class. The racist attacks against minorities through the talk of "welfare queens."
Reagan tapped into the white man's fear of minorities and organized labor (there are many minorities and women in unions--at least at that time).
This divide and conquer was brilliant. Because the white man kept Reagan, than Bush I and now Bush II in office.
They governed to destroy the government and to take away any kind of clout organized labor may have had.
Unfortunately, many people blindly agreed and the Republicans went their merry way--using Robin Hood in reverse--taking from the poor and middle classes and giving to the rich.
Benefits were peeled away from the workers and middle class one-by-one. Some (such as health care), the costs were passed onto the workers. All of a sudden, we look around and only the unions have decent benefits.
Instead of saying, "Hey, I want what they got. How do we get it?", we say, "Why the hell do the unions get treated so well? They need to give up their benefits or die."
We need a societal transformation. One that lifts everyone up, instead of our current one that wants to bring everyone down.
December 8, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
December 7, 2008 7:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Exactly. Just like all the casualty counts that are no longer important, but crucial during previous election seasons."
I admit, I have no clue what you are talking about here.
"If Dems improve things, great. But if they don't, there is no one else to blame."
See, there's the problem: under Republican leadership, Congress turned into a partisan body. Minority leadership couldn't even reserve a room for committee hearings. They couldn't even be sure that conference committee reports reflected the will of both chambers. We are supposed to have a government resulting from bipartisan compromise.
I'd rather have a successful government resulting from bipartisan cooperation than an ideologically pure one that can't find its a** with both hands.
December 7, 2008 8:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why would I blame Clinton for a 2000 recession and especially for 9/11 and forward? CLinton wasn't handed, so he didn't disregard a PDB titled (paraphrase) 'Osama bin Ladin determined to attack inside the US'
Clinton was working with a Republican controlled House and Senate for the last 6 years of his Presidency. For 6 years of Bush's presidency he had a Republican controlled House, and for 4 years and 4 months a Republican controlled Senate.
That's why so much is Bush's and the Republican's fault
And don't look for me to defend Clinton for some of the crap that's happening today, after all, he did sign, among other things, NAFTA and the Gramm/Leach/Bliley Act. Clinton is part of the Corporate friendly branch of the Democratic Party, I'm not, I'm a liberal.
December 8, 2008 9:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
The crowning hypocrisy was the Foley affair. He was certainly indiscreet, but didn't do anything illegal. But that certainly didn't deter the Dems from hounding him out of office, even while ignoring their own history. Garry Studds D-Mass had actual sex with a page, held a press conference about it, and was re-elected numerous times.
For eight years Democrats have called Bush every vile name possible, demonized his policies, and fought his appointments. As far as I'm concerned you can take bipartisanship and stick it where the sun don't shine.
December 7, 2008 9:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
shooter says:
For eight years Democrats have called Bush every vile name possible, demonized his policies, and fought his appointments.It wasn't only Democrats calling Bush names, it was Americans of all stripes, along with people all over the world.
Shooter, you're in that 20/23% minority that still defends Bush from perfectly legitimate criticisms. And your tactic of, 'well, the Democrats do it too' is lame.
December 8, 2008 9:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can certainly see a difference between the Studs and Foley scandals given the values the GOP claims to represent. But that has nothing to do with the fact that a bipartisan Congress gave Bush what he asked for, the AUMF, to respond to a national emergency - the Sept. 11 attacks, and a bipartisan Congress went along with the exec on another national emergency, the banking bailout.
Now the auto industry is reeling, largely from the consequences of policies their management sought to protect for many years and the foreseeable results of oil industry market economics. And the GOP see an opportunity to break the UAW, hurting many Americans in the process, and they decide to play politics.
Why does the GOP hate America?
December 11, 2008 4:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ugh, I have one other promise in all of this...
We're suddenly so concerned about auto jobs why?
I work hard too, but nobody cares about my profession.
The biggest problem with an auto bailout is that the money will go to Bob Nardelli and not real people. The second biggest problem is... why those real people and not the rest of us?
December 8, 2008 2:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
If it makes you feel better, Nardelli is taking a salary of $1.00 for the year. I believe some of the others are as well.
As for auto jobs being a larger concern than anyone else's, there are a number of factors.
* The auto industry is not only the car makers but also the parts suppliers, component manufacturers, and dealerships across the country. The ripple effect is huge.
* That area of the country is large, heavily populated, and dependent on manufacturing.
* "Detroit" was once the proud symbol of American manufacturing might from WW2 forward. We as a country are loath to let that go.
* That area is unionized and votes Democratic.
All that said, the cost of retiree benefits are killing the business, very much like state employee pension plans. At some point they are going to have to share the pain. NB. As this goes so goes SS.
December 8, 2008 7:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
December 8, 2008 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
shooter,
you obviously read only the posts I offer in reply to you. Just a cursory glance would see that not many are as hard on Democrats as I am.
I suggest you get your head out of your right wing ass and scroll up and check my posts on this thread alone.
December 8, 2008 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
December 8, 2008 5:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
shooter,
we weren't talking about my ideology, we were discussing your mindless charge of my not criticizing Democrats.
Nice sidestep though.
December 8, 2008 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you want to make the distinction between liberals and Democrats, be my guest. You have indeed done a fine job of chastising Democrats for not being liberal enough. Heh.
December 8, 2008 6:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
shooter,
you seem to suffer from stickmyfootinmymouthitis.
Is Democrat Senator Ben Nelson of Nebraska a Liberal?
Is Democrat Senator Mark Pryor of Arkansas a Liberal?
Go away, shoo!
December 8, 2008 7:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
December 8, 2008 7:47 PM | Reply | Permalink