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Keeping Track of Change (It Takes More Than Hope)

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For anyone seeking real reform of America's foreign and defense policies in the years ahead, Obama's introduction of his national security team was a mixed bag. Set against an increasingly worrisome national security environment -- from the mounting tensions in India/Pakistan to Sunday's New York Times front-page story about epidemic U.S. military-industrial corruption to this week's Washington Post story about Pentagon plans to station 20,000 U.S. troops on the American homeland by 2011 -- it was at least refreshing to see a new row of faces to replace those who have brought us the tragic missteps of recent years. Yet what these appointments really suggest about Obama's broader prospects for reform requires vigilant public attention.

As someone who seeks fundamental reform of so much of the American system, I've been heartened to see a growing number of voices on the airwaves and blogosphere express concern at certain choices made by the Obama transition team that are hard to reconcile with the public's hopes for change. This kind of unrelenting pressure for reform is vital and has already provoked an entirely healthy discourse even among Obama's most ardent supporters, between those who seek far-reaching change and those who see themselves as more pragmatic. Since Obama has not yet even been inaugurated, these voices can only speculate on what his governance might look like, and there's a danger of being either prematurely critical or overly complacent. Still, it's never too early to be vigilant. Let us not forget that it was Obama himself who invited each of us to fulfill our end of the contract between citizen and president in an historic effort to bring about change.

For my part, I like making lists. So rather than over-interpret any single decision, I thought it would be a good idea to catalog some key appointments and policy statements thus far -- the promising alongside the worrisome -- to take stock of and prepare for the bigger picture the transition has begun to paint of what lies ahead.

First, the good news:

Continuing Inspiration for Change. Obama continues to inspire millions to believe that change is both necessary and possible. His transition team reports having received 200,000 applications for jobs in his administration.

Economic Crisis Leadership. Obama has swiftly made key appointments and policy statements to fill a "leadership vacuum" to calm domestic and global economic jitters.

Expanding U.S. Employment. In an echo of the New Deal, 2.5 million jobs will be created to improve U.S. infrastructure.

Revoking Unconstitutional Bush Policies. It's been suggested that work is already under way to reverse politically-motivated executive orders ranging from climate change and reproductive rights to stem cell research.

Ethical Hiring Practices. The transition team is said to be subjecting candidates for administration posts to unprecedented ethical scrutiny.

Improving International Relations. Reciprocating the world's resounding approval of his election, Obama is expected to appoint ambassadors who are experienced diplomats rather than follow his predecessor's example of awarding ambassadorships to big campaign donors.

Guantanamo Closure. Obama has stood by his campaign promise to close Guantanamo and end U.S. torture practices.

Transparent Governance. The announcement of Obama's plan to give weekly updates on YouTube -- a high-tech echo of FDR's fireside chats -- is inspiring.

Restoring Cabinet Level Status for U.N. Ambassador. Signaling real change in America's approach to foreign affairs, the appointment of a new and improved Dr. Rice to the role of U.N. Ambassador was compounded by the announcement that the position will also be restored to cabinet rank.

Now, the developments that are, at minimum, twists on the spirit and pledges of the campaign and, at maximum, a troubling departure from them:

Protracted Iraq Timetable. Though opposition to the Iraq War was a defining feature of Obama's early candidacy, his position on a timetable for withdrawal has grown elastic with time. Though he had already begun to retreat from his original 16-month troop withdrawal commitment long before last week's the Status of Forces Agreement arrangement was struck with Iraq, this agreement, which makes December 31, 2011 a date certain for withdrawal, may spare Obama the awkward work of having to explain a softening of his originally firm commitment.

Gates and Lieberman. To further dilute his once-impassioned antiwar position, Obama's decisions to have kept Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, an opponent of any date-certain withdrawal from Iraq, and to have come to the defense of Joe Lieberman maintaining his senate chairmanships, may be politically shrewd but are dissonant with the antiwar spirit of his campaign.

FISA and Wiretapping. Obama dismayed many supporters when he voted for last summer's FISA legislation, granting telecom companies legal immunity from prosecution for wiretapping. More broadly, there has to date been no evidence of any movement to redress his predecessor's far-reaching assaults on civil liberties.

War Crimes Accountability. The new Obama Justice Department is not expected to launch criminal probes of forged intelligence, torture, and other unlawful practices undertaken by the Bush administration. But without real accountability for these trespasses, what motivation will there be in Washington for reform?

Continued Tax Cuts for Wealthy? There have now been indications from Obama's advisors that may allow a Bush tax cut for the wealthy to expire on schedule in 2011 rather than repealing it sooner, as previously promised.

Lobbyists Appointed to Transition and Cabinet Positions. Despite his lauded vetting practices and his campaign pledge that "no political appointees in an Obama administration will be permitted to work on regulations or contracts directly and substantially related to their prior employer for two years," Obama has selected a number of people for his transition team and cabinet (including Tom Daschle) who have served as lobbyists or worked for lobbying firms in the fields in which they will be involved.

Clinton Era Appointees. Without speculating on the pros or cons of any single cabinet appointee, the number of Clinton-era cabinet appointments so far, from Hillary Clinton to Rahm Emmanuel to Eric Holder to Robert Rubin protégé Timothy Geithner, is surprising and begs the question: how much change is likely to come from an abundance of representatives of an old guard?

Misplaced Rhetoric Toward Russia. During the late phases of his campaign, Obama escalated his rhetoric toward Russia in the wake of its five-day war with Georgia in August 2008. Given the now growing evidence that Georgia initiated the conflict and that the Bush administration concealed this from the American public, Obama's anti-Russian rhetoric represents both a non-change from the belligerence of the Bush years and seems to betray the undue influence of longstanding Cold War strategists among his advisors.

A Nuclear Double Standard Toward Iran. When, just days after his election, Obama declared it "unacceptable" for Iran to possess a nuclear weapon in a world where other nations (including Israel) have nuclear weapons, he sent a signal that echoes the position taken by the Bush administration over the past eight years. Right or wrong, this position is read around the world as a double- standard on nuclear policy. Had Obama instead spoken of the need for global nuclear disarmament (Iran, Israel, and the U.S. included), this message would have been a departure from the posture of the Bush years.

Surging in Afghanistan. While the matter of the worsening situation in Afghanistan is a sensitive one, Obama's late campaign call for a surge in the war-torn country was a departure from the antiwar platform on which he first appealed to the American people. It seemed instead to suggest a shifting of certain troops from Iraq, where Obama had opposed such a surge, to Afghanistan, rather than simply bringing those troops home. Another model for implementing a peacekeeping presence in Afghanistan might have been more compatible with the spirit of Obama's original commitments to reducing unilateral U.S. military activity overseas.

Saber-Rattling at Bin Laden. While a police action to capture al Qaeda leadership should have been America's first priority after 9/11 and it remains a stain on the Bush administration that it knowingly distracted the nation with other pursuits, pursuing Bin Laden, who is believed to be in Pakistan, implies expansion of U.S. military activity into the territory of this increasingly unstable nuclear power. Though it is hard to argue with the need to capture Bin Laden and hold him accountable, Obama's sweeping statements toward killing the leader beg the question: at what cost?

(Note to reader: If, while reading the above list, you feel I have omitted something, positive or negative, please post a comment to that effect so we can begin to build a comprehensive "change checklist" as the new administration gets under way)

On a host of other issues from the drug war to the death penalty to the Patriot Act to military-industrial and other corporate corruption to gay marriage to reproductive rights to gun control to gays in the military, it is not yet clear to what extent Obama will defy or fulfill the hopes expressed by his supporters during the campaign. But broadly speaking, what the various cabinet appointments and statements of policy above illustrate is an administration and worldview that are simply more centrist than change-oriented. To those who are critical of this, it represents a retreat from the inspiring passions of the campaign. To those who support it, the choices simply reflect the necessary pragmatism to get things done in Washington. They see Obama as avoiding the error of Clinton's first term, in which his early struggles were attributed to an overabundance of inexperienced Washington players on his team. This may be a smart lessons-learned strategy, but when there have been virtually no reform-oriented or progressive candidates appointed or even floated as names for cabinet-level posts, one has to wonder whether the pragmatism argument isn't perhaps being overplayed.

To his credit, Obama addressed this in a two-part answer when asked about the impression of centrism in his appointments at last Monday's press conference. First, he recognized the need to balance the impulse for change with a measure of pragmatism, stating that his administration would "combine experience with fresh thinking." That's reassuring. But he then went further, making the bolder statement that, notwithstanding his cabinet appointments, "the vision for change ... comes from me. That's my job, is to provide a vision in terms of where we are going and to make sure, then, that my team is implementing it." After eight years of vaulting executive power exercised by a "decider" in the White House to whom Congress and the public gave so much power, being told by a leader basically to trust him is uncomfortably familiar. Worse still, it contradicts the crowning message of the Obama campaign.

"I am asking you to believe," candidate Obama rousingly told us, "Not just in my ability to bring about a real change in Washington ... I'm asking you to believe in yours."

Well, there's the rub. For what Obama correctly recognized as a candidate he -- and we -- must now remember: that no person, no matter how talented, inspiring, or well-intended, can single-handedly bring about the kind of far-reaching reforms that our deeply wounded society needs. It will instead require unrelenting vigilance from all of us including making ourselves heard when Obama's path appears more inclined toward conciliation than reform. When in recent weeks comparisons to Lincoln were drawn to explain some of Obama's counter-intuitive cabinet appointments, Congressman John Conyers offered the wonderful retort, "It tells me I'm going to have to be Frederick Douglass to his Abraham Lincoln. " Recalling the pressure Douglass exerted on the 16th president's policymaking, Conyers did us the great service of speaking to the much-needed Frederick Douglass inside each of us, underscoring that we the public must be prepared to commit ourselves beyond any level of civic engagement we've known before -- to exert pressure on our political leadership to make the changes we seek. For it was Douglass, after all, who noted that "power concedes nothing without demand."

* * *

jarecki

Eugene Jarecki's 2006 film "Why We Fight" won the Grand Jury Prize at the Sundance Film Festival as well as a Peabody Award. His new book, The American Way of War: Guided Missiles, Misguided Men, and a Republic in Peril, has just been released by Simon & Schuster/Free Press.


11 Comments

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Good balanced list but I think you are too pessimistic about Russia. To be sure, during the campaign he made some dangerous sounding statements over the Georgia crisis, but if he had not, McCain would have been all over him for being soft on Russia. I can see why he avoided letting that question become a campaign issue as I believe the Republicans were hoping it would be (and plausibly egged Saashakvilli on in his invasion for that purpose).

There is a positive point that could have been made with respect to relations with Russia and that is the outcome of his meeting with the Polish president. It was reported in Poland that Obama refused to commit to building the contentious missile defense base there and later the Poles have hinted that they would drop the issue if Obama was not interested. This might be tea leaf reading but I saw some encouraging signs here.

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I'm keeping this on hard drive. Every time you come across some Republican Schmuck like Wallace or someone repeating w, pull out lists like this. Good job. Unrelenting vigilance. Great. Never get lazy.

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This kind of unrelenting pressure for reform is vital and has already provoked an entirely healthy discourse even among Obama's most ardent supporters, between those who seek far-reaching change and those who see themselves as more pragmatic.

Thank you very much for saying this. Those who voted for Obama and support him need to understand that he has not been elected Supreme Boss of the Universe, and cannot bring the changes progressives desire all by himself. Our role goes beyond simply sitting back and trusting him to do the right thing. Obama needs our help to bring change, and that help comes in the form of sustained pressure. Obama is walking into a challenging job in which he will be under unrelenting political pressure to satisfy various powerful players, elites and constituencies. If the left simply sits back, hopes and trusts, we will lose time after time when these power plays are made. Obama needs to be able to walk into the room filled with heavies, point to a poll, and say, "Look, I've got 10 million voters on my left flank telling me they'll have my hide if I do what you guys want me to do. Sorry, but I've got to satisfy my people and sustain public support for my administration. So no dice."

Obama emphasized over and over that he wants to restore participatory democracy, with policies driven from the bottom up, not the top down. Citizen participation does not consist in saying, "You're awesome O! Whatever you say is fine by me!" We have to be citizens, not Obama Girls.

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Well, to begin with the high percentage of "strong support" supporters already gives him a lot of clout. And I'm certainly willing to do my part to make clear what matters to me. But that doesn't mean I'm going to whine if I don't get everything that matters to me. I see our role as helping Obama enlarge his vision of where he's taking us. Doing out part to discuss and analyze and come up with ideas. Not just ideas we expect legislators to put into practice. But ideas that can also be put into practice at the grassroots level.

It's ok if people are thrilled with having a leader we can respect and admire. But that does not automatically mean we're expecting he's some kind of wonder worker. Believe me, positive expectations are a type of "placebo effect." They do make a difference. They give people hope. You may not be in that boat of needing it. But be patient with the ones who do need that. (just a tiny friendly piece of advice)

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It is not called whining to see a real opportunity with Obama to make some once in century progressive changes. It is realism to accept that Obama cannot do much on his own but that he could, with the right mass movements, be pushed in the right direction. Roosevelt was not a radical, in fact, many of his instincts were quite conservative. But he did respond to what was happening in the streets.

This opportunity will be what we make of it.

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This is not a guy you can push. Try it if you want though. We can support and encourage in my view.

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Of course we can push him. He's not a god; he's a politician. He's already been pushed into modifications of any number of earlier positions by the firm application of political reality.

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I think the pressure should be focused on Congress. We can all sit behind Obama shouting for him to speak up, but that leaves him to fight the battle alone. Why is there no talk of holding Congress's feet to the fire. Aren't they elected officials also? Don't they work for us? It seems to me that the only one who has a plan to use his voters to get Congress to follow Obama's agenda is Obama. I'll stick to change.gov and barackobama.com to help Obama.

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Great overall reflective summary.

One thing that completely puzzled me during the Georgia-Russia conflict is that from the reporting I saw it was clear that Georgia initiated the conflict from the beginning. I was somewhat confused by McCain's remarks toward Russia at the time but attributed them to his associations and links to Georgia and wondered if this was done in part to help boost McCain's chances of winning by creating a national security issue. I was completely confused by Obama joining in and condemning Russia's actions because our country may have done no less if someone acted against us in such a way. We owe Russia an apology or some sort of recogniation that it's actions were in response to aggressio from Georgia.

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Bill Richardson the new Commerce Secretary:

At some point during the long series of Democratic debates last year, Bill Richardson came to realize he was not exactly the center of attention. Most of the questions were going to the star candidates, and he began tuning out. So when a moderator turned to him with a question while he was not listening, Richardson panicked -until the candidate next to him saved him.

"Katrina!" Barack Obama whispered. "Katrina!" Richardson launched into his spiel on the hurricane that ravaged New Orleans. "He could have thrown me under the bus," he later recalled, "but he stood behind me."
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/12/04/news/transition.php

So this is the way Democrats will handle things, ask them a question on some policy and they'll mutter "WMDs in Iraq" or "Kyoto Accords", get a few nods and some laughts and then go on to the next question.

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