Roger Cohen to HRC: Time for Tough Love in Israel
From Roger Cohen on today's NYT site, a timely recommendation:
I think Olmert's words should be emblazoned on the wall of Hillary Clinton's eighth-floor State Department office: "We must reach an agreement with the Palestinians, meaning a withdrawal from nearly all, if not all, of the territories. Some percentage of these territories would remain in our hands, but we must give the Palestinians the same percentage elsewhere -- without this, there will be no peace."Asked if this included a compromise on Jerusalem, Olmert said, "Including Jerusalem."
He also declared, "I'd like to know if there's a serious person in the state of Israel who believe that we can make peace with the Syrians without, in the end, giving up the Golan Heights." Those words should go up on Clinton's wall, too....
Getting to...a two-state deal at, or close to, the 1967 borders will require concerted U.S. involvement from day one of the Obama administration. Its tone should be one of tough love, with the emphasis on tough.















Bush admitting regret, and now this. Signs and wonders.
December 1, 2008 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I might call it "smart love." To see the way wind is really blowing, I suggest Robert Baer's book, "The Devil We Know: Dealing with the New Iranian Superpower."
If Israel doesn't cut a deal soon, they will be facing an entirely new Middle East. And no, it won't be dominated by corrupt, ineffectual Sunni kings.
Imagine instead: Hezb'Allah on steriods.
December 1, 2008 12:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope this voice of reason actually gets listened to. We have too much "love" and NO "tough" (or "smart," as mythbuster puts it).
-- Cris
My site: Obama Wallpaper Archive
December 1, 2008 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mythbuster-
Do you really think that the Iranians would dismantle their bombs after Israel gave up the Judea/Samaria? Did Ahmedinejad say "the Settlements are a cancer", "the settlements are a threat to humanity", "the settlements will soon disappear". NO, HE DIDN'T. He said "Zionism is a cancer" and "Israel will cease to exist soon" (G-d Forbid).
Cohen's column is a bunch of meaningless platitudes. "The President has to be tough". What does that mean. Note that the generally unstated assumption is that the US has to be tough with Israel. As if the Arabs wanted peace. Olmert himself stated they have not accepted his offer. Not even close.
What is the President going to do to be "tough" with the Palestinians? What leverage does he have? NONE AT ALL. Can he threaten to cover the financial aid given to them which covers the majority of the operating budget of the Palestnian Authority? For years the US and EU donors have been demanding accountability (i.e. not having the money disappear into the Swiss Bank accounts of high ranking PA officials, including Abbas himself, or demanding that the PA collect taxes which is an unpopular thing to do) yet every year, nothing changes and the handouts continue at the same level. Why? Because all the PA has to say is "If you don't give us the money, HAMAS will take over...they get money from Iran and other unsavory characters", so the US and EU keep giving. The Palestinians have them over a barrel. So do you expect Obama to threaten to cut them off if they don't accept what he views as a "reasonable" agreement. The Arabs will never accept ANY agreement that is not on their terms and that means insistence on the Palestinian RIght of Return, which no Israeli gov't can accept in the way the Palestinians mean it (i.e. not merely "symbolically" with only 50,000 refugees returning).
Gitlin, Cohen, MJ Roseberg and others are all thrilled that Olmert has said Israel has to capitulate to the Arab demands. Olmert is an extremely unpopular, discredited, corrupt political leader. He is facing felony criminal charges that could lead to him spending years in prison. So he has this "epiphany" that the Israeli Left was supposedly correct all these years. Do you think he is going to sway anybody with his recent revelation? Olmert says "Israel is doomed if they don't give the Palestinians a state right away". Wow, I can see the Palestinians saying "we had better hurry up and make compromises so that we can help save Israel". Olmert has said, in front of MJ Rosenbergs Israel Policy Forum (whom Olmert ripped off by double dipping them for his plane fare) that Israel can't fight any more. So if Israel can't fight, all the Palestinians have to do is sit tight, keep firing rockets, and Israel will capitulate all by itself without the Palestinian leaders having to make any concessions that could cost them their lives (remember Sadat?-Arafat told Clinton he would be assassinated if he compromised on the Right of Return). They probably also figure that once the Iranians have "the bomb", Israel will go under on its own out of fear. (I don't believe this, but this is how the Arab/Muslim side sees it). So what possible reason do the Arabs, including both the Syrians and the Palestinians have to make concessions to Israel. It is the the Israeli gov't that is crawling on its belly for an agreement, not the Arab side. They can wait. If Obama grovels also, just like Clinton who could just taste that Nobel Peace Prize, he will tarnish his presidency. Pushing Israel for concessions will only embolden Arab rejectionism and push peace even farther into the future.
December 1, 2008 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
I mistakenly wrote:
---------------------------------------------
What is the President going to do to be "tough" with the Palestinians? What leverage does he have? NONE AT ALL. Can he threaten to cover the financial aid given to them which covers the majority of the operating budget of the Palestnian Authority?
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What I meant to say is that the President can NOT threaten to cut the financial aid the US gives the Palestinian Authority.
December 1, 2008 1:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay, you challenged me, so here goes:
1. "Do you really think that the Iranians would dismantle their bombs after Israel gave up the Judea/Samaria?"
Response: They actually need to have a bomb before they can dismantle it. Unlike Israel, Iran does not have hundreds of nuclear devices. Did you confuse the countries?
2. 'Did Ahmedinejad say "the Settlements are a cancer", "the settlements are a threat to humanity", "the settlements will soon disappear". NO, HE DIDN'T. He said "Zionism is a cancer" and "Israel will cease to exist soon" (G-d Forbid)."
Response: Well, the Settlements are a cancer on the Palestinian's huamnity. No argument there. Will Israel disappear soon? No. Will its strategic position be irretrievably weakened if American and Israeli politicians keep listening to Know Nothings like you and Netanyahu. Yes.
3. "Pushing Israel for concessions will only embolden Arab rejectionism and push peace even farther into the future."
Response: You mean like the Arab rejectionism that Egypt and Jordan have engaged in since their peace treaties with Israel?
YBD: You logical fallacies are a gift that keeps on giving. You claim the "Arabs" (who is that?) are unchanging and cannot be trusted. In Texas, people who talk about others like that usually like Minstral Shows and focus on "preserving Southern Culture."
Egads, man, just go away!
December 1, 2008 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Remember when neocons and followers were saying "they only understand strength"? This while forgetting about the corollary, revenge.
There are always a few that seem to enjoy dying, but most don't. Satisfying the majority will tend to weaken the minority, who had a message that resonated when the desires of the majority seemed hopeless.
December 1, 2008 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
“It is no longer my country”
“For me, this business called the state of Israel is finished…I can’t bear to see it anymore, the injustice that is done to the Arabs, to the Beduins. All kinds of scum coming from America and as soon as they get off the plane taking over lands in the territories and claiming them for their own… I can’t do anything to change it. I can only go away and let the whole lot go to hell without me.” - Israeli actress (and household name) Rivka Michaeli, quoted in Israeli peace movement periodical, “The Other Israel”, August 1998
December 1, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
YBD: your screen name must stand for "Y Bother with these Dunderheads?" because I don't get why you keep trying to talk sense into them. it's a losing battle.
the Left has deserted Israel (if the Left indeed ever really defended Israel) and unofficially adopted the Palestinians as their new favorite repressed minority. nothing you or I say is going to change the minds of these people.
nothing Israel does, no concessions it makes, will EVER be good enough for the Arab apologists and self-hating Jews who worship at the MJ Rosenberg altar.
mythbuster: you might want to run spell-check before you post. "minstrel" is spelled with an e, just to correct one.
December 1, 2008 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is a joke, right? Sarcasm, possibly? Arab apologists? Oh, you mean, people who oppose the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians. Yeah, I'll apologize for that Crime Against Humanity forever.
.
December 1, 2008 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
only in TPM-land is "ethnic cleansing" of Palestinians at issue. the rest of the world is concerned with land for peace.
but on the bright side, your spelling is much better!
December 1, 2008 3:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
"only in TPM-land is "ethnic cleansing" of Palestinians at issue. the rest of the world is concerned with land for peace."
Huh? I guess if you only talk to like-(small) minded people YBD, you can make this silly statement.
I can always work on the spelling. Why don't you work on your lack of human decency?
December 1, 2008 4:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have just one little observation from some comments above. In speaking of the US and the EU YBD said "The Palestinians have them over a barrel." I would transpose that statement to read: "Israel has the US over a barrel". Always has. (not so much the EU). Has the US ever dared to threaten to cut off the BILLIONS given annually to the state of Israel over these many decades, money that comes with few if any strings attached? Meanwhile Israel enjoys one of the highest living standards in the world and is now the second largest arms exporter in the world. Why do they need all this free help in perpetuity? Many seem to think they are our 51st. state. I'll say this, their representatives are masters of the PR game.
When was the last time a US administration dared taking any meaningful steps to get Israel to make real concessions to the Palestinians? By real I mean like stop building settlements in land seized in 1967, stop demolishing Palestinian homes without justification, stop building a wall in territory that all recognize as located on occupied territory and that is slowly choking the Palestinians to death. All we seem to hear about is how evil and retrograde the Arabs are, esp. the Palestinians, and how they will never concede anything while the Israelis are the virtuous ones with all the "generous offers".
Terrorism is a symptom of oppression and a last resort for those who perceive they have nothing left to lose. Get rid of the oppression and terrorism will quickly abate.
Look at the wrath endured by Mearsheimer and Walt when they dared to publically examine US policies toward Israel in an objective way. Even a respected organ like the Atlantic Monthly quickly withdrew their offer to publish their work in fear of retaliation.
I would say about 95% of the US Congress would never dare take any steps to invoke the ire of the Israel "lobby". Just ask Paul Finley or Charles Percy.
There will never be peace between Israel and the Arab world until Israel gives up its goal of ethnic cleansing of all the land between the sea and the Jordan. And only the United States has the power to enforce a just peace in this region.
Now I don't expect several of the posters here to agree with anything I have said but for those with an open mind perhaps some changes will become possible. And do I need to say I don't hate the Jews? I don't. I deeply respect those open minded liberal Jews, like many here, who dare speak out on these issues. In the final analysis they are the ones who just might make the difference.
I want Israel to flourish in safety and peace but this will never happen until there is true justice for all involved.
December 1, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
RWH,
According to whom? Not anyone who keeps track of it, like the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute -- not even close.
http://www.sipri.org/googlemaps/at_top_20_exp_map.html
December 2, 2008 10:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
gretz:
nothing Israel does, no concessions it makes, will EVER be good enough for the Arab apologists and self-hating Jews who worship at the MJ Rosenberg altar.
cmurray:
Err, exactly which concessions would those be? Name one.
December 1, 2008 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe we can agree that the name-calling doesn't advance anyone's actual argument. To me, it only signals a closed mind.
I tend to agree with what Olmert said, BUT that is only part of the picture, kind of like one hand clapping.
It is no answer to the statements of Iran's President about Israel itself being a cancer, and Iran's impending nuclear weapons, to say the settlements are a cancer and Israel has the bomb.
Israel is not saying the Palestinians must be destroyed, and all their land taken. Even the settlements take up a relatively small portion of the West Bank (and no longer any part of Gaza.) And yes, I know there is a problem of contiguity, and other problems. Like I said, I mostly agree with Olmert on this, and have long thought that Israel should get out of the West Bank for many reasons.
Israel has needed the bomb, although if it ever had to use it the circumstances would be pretty hopeless.
In terms of US aid to Israel, most of it is loans. Israel has protected US security interests--especially during the Cold War.
Why the criticism of Israel's high standard of living? They took a desert and built a nation. Israel's standard of living is not dependent on loan aid, although the loans and any other aid certainly helps.
On the other hand, no one disputes that much of the aid money going to the PA has been used for military build ups, youth "education" in hate, and incitement.
The USA has given billions to Egypt, with no strings, and not much help to the US, either. Egypt remains a repressive dictatorship, which in fact sponsors continued antisemitic propaganda on state-controlled media.
Jordan is somewhat different, and offers some hope for peaceful coexistence.
Finally (for this post) the Reagan administration was pretty tough on Israel, tying loan guarantees to settlement activity. That may be a good path for Obama, but any real results will only be achieved if the Palestinian political leadership is willing to accept Israel and engage in building up a nation of peace.
December 2, 2008 12:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
The worm is turning.
I wonder if the more than likely prospect of another round of PM Bibi is pushing some to take on the problem of the "no pressure" paradigm.
Cohen is talking to Hillary AND her team AND.......
December 2, 2008 1:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Israel is not saying the Palestinians must be destroyed, and all their land taken"
No, they would never say that but it is an unacknowledged and obvious goal of the Zionists. Since this cannot be accomplished by direct genocide it has to be done surreptitiously and is documented in the writings of many of the early Zionists. As they say, "facts on the ground" will accomplish the same goal and it has been happening for 60 years.
"In terms of US aid to Israel, most of it is
loans."
According to Mearsheimer and Walt and accompanied by extensive documentation: "as of 2005, direct U.S. economic and military assistance to Israel amounted to nearly $154 billion (in 2005 dollars), the bulk of it comprising direct grants rather than loans". They go on to point out: "...the actual total is significantly higher, because direct U.S. aid is given under unusually favorable terms and the United States provides Israel with other forms of material assistance that are not included in the foreign assistance budget." These aid packages did not begin in earnest until after the Six-Day War in 1967. The authors add: "Since 1974, some or all of U.S. military aid to Israel has been in the form of loans for which repayment is waived. Technically, the assistance is called loans, but as a practical matter, the military aid is grant." And further: "Israel became the largest annual recipient of U.S. foreign assistance in 1976, a position it has retained ever since." The documentation for all this is widely available.
"Why the criticism of Israel's high standard of living?"
It isn't a criticism, just a mere statement of fact which certainly raises the question of why this uncondiditional financial aid has continued all these many decades. Israel's expansionist agenda would change in an instant if this aid were to be threatened by meaningful stipulations.
I don't mean to belabor all this but any discussion like this should be clear on what is fact and what is opinion.
December 2, 2008 9:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Or a simple obervation: Why are we providing economic aid to a country with a per capita GDP on par with Spain?
And: The aid to Egypt is mostly to build up Mubarek's security forces. Not surprisingly, Egypt has totally stagnated under the US-funded Mubarek dictatorship.
December 2, 2008 11:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am glad to note that Olmert has finally come around to believing that without giving up territories occupied in 1967 war, there can be no peace.
Much terrorism that exists today around the world, U.S., Europe, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India and the Middle East is a direct consequence of Israel's occupation and brutal handling by Ariel Sharon, which was blindly supported by a disastrous US foreign policy of Bush Administration. Instead of following up peace dialogue of dying days of Clinton Administration, Bush reversed the course and apart from a mere lip service of two states, he did absolutely nothing. Recent effort by Condi Rice to hold a peace conference was nothing but a hollow and a sham effort.
Bush policies have fanned hatred amongst Arab & Muslim youth who have taken up the cause of despicable people like Osama bin Laden.
If Obama accomplishes Israeli - Palestinian peace early in his Presidency, he will remove the raison de etre from the youth to join terrorist groups.
December 2, 2008 4:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
The arms business makes more money for "the right people" than constuctive endeavors. Genuinely proactive third-party leadership may begin to engineer the circumstances to the point where resolving the conflict can compete with lucrative industries that sustain it. But Obama cannot do it all by himself.
December 2, 2008 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Liberal tough "love" for Israel is indistinguishable from jihadist tough hate for Israel. The only real difference is that the jihadists are not deceitful cowards who pretend to love those they want destroyed.
December 2, 2008 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink