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The Obama Challenge: Make Four Transformations Work Together

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In the wake of a momentous victory, Barack Obama, the Democrats, and the nation are at a watershed. Transformations that complement and deepen one another can happen in four momentous areas -- in race relations, in the economy and social contract, in America's place in the world, in our civic democracy and partisan balance. Much of the punditry we hear deals in false opposites and fails to grasp the propitiousness of this moment. Let's look at each part of Obama's challenge to see why he can accomplish complementary enduring and major changes in all these spheres.

For RACE RELATIONS, the key moment has already happened and little beyond business as usual needs to happen to deepen positive changes going forward. At the wondrous moment that a self-identified African American won the presidency, generations of struggle and suffering were sanctified: one remembers the Union solidiers and freed slaves who fought to preserve a Union cleansing itself from slavery, the Civil Rights pioneers who persisted over generations of legal segregation, the students and black church-goers and northern volunteers who, led by Martin Luther King and others, challenged Southern supremacy and sometimes died to prod LBJ and Congress into the Voting Rights act -- all of them were vindicated, as were the American people as a whole, last Tuesday night. From here forward, Obama and his family need only quietly exemplify the new racial reality, and Obama needs only to focus on succeeding as president for us all, to continue the progress in racial symbolism and integration that this moment signifies. Needless to say, this is a positive breakthrough for the Democratic Party, too, which has been bedevilled by racial divisions since 1968. An enduring bottom-to-middle coalition is now possible, bringing people of all backgrounds together.

Obama's biggest challenge is to revive U.S. ECONOMIC GROWTH and do so in a way that re-founds the SOCIAL CONTRACT ensuring opportunity and security to most Americans. Two decades of conservative ascendancy have wrecked the economy and shredded social solidarity. Voters chose Obama, above all, to fix this, not because of his race. He and his team must hit the ground running and they must not flinch from quick and major steps. Only large new government investments in social protections, in technical and physical infrastructure in all regions, and in health care and education can hope to push forward both economic revival and social inclusion. Editorialists and conservatives call for Obama to be fiscally timid -- but if he flinches, he will ensure failure for his first adminstration and the Democrats. By two years from now, the economy has to be revived and middle-class as well as lower-income Americans need to see real gains. Environmental and infrastrure challenges must be on the way to being met. A lot of nonsense about a "center-right country" is spewing out right now. The truth about Americans has always been the same: abstract-philosophically they may be free-market conservatives, and they are moderate on social values. But operationally, as pollsters have shown since the 1940s, Americans are pragmatic liberals -- they want government to act for majority well-being. They always endorse measures like Social Security, jobs, educational access, and so forth.That is more true than ever right now. Obama ( as he seems to know) need only talk cautiously but act boldly. If he delivers the goods economically with more social fairness (including in the tax distribution), he will be applauded by the vast majority, no matter what the government deficit may be over the medium run. We are going to have big deficits either way -- Bush has ensured that -- but the question is whether the U.S. economy will soon work better for most families.

On the INTERNATIONAL FRONT, false antinomies also abound. Obama from the start has espoused a fascinating combination of liberal internationalism and conservative realism, which is why most of the foreign policy establishment apart from neo-con crazies, backs him. His election symbolizes a willingness to forge cooperative interational alliances again, and his administration will prove tough, I think, in areas where there are important military challenges to face (such as Afghanistan). Good idea to keep some Bush people involved as we cautiously pull back from Iraq, but otherwise, with Biden and the right security/foreign policy teams, Obama should be able to re-assert American global leadership in a new way -- assuming he can revive inclusive economic growth at home. The domestic economy remains the key internationally as well as domestically.

Finally, a challenge and opportunity too little discussed is Obama's possibilty to reorient U.S. CIVIC DEMOCRACY AND PARTISAN BALANCE for the next period. Let us hope that he does not just dismantle or ignore the broad social movement of activists and involved citizens across all the states that helped him win the election. The DNC and state parties need to build on and incorporate and continue many of the Obama campaign's gains in technology and volunteer infrastructure. Obama's own administration should keep in touch with his network. While Obama needs to be bipartisan and inclusive in his consultations and legislative coalition-building, he needs to do this on Democratic terms. He needs to change the tone of politics, but not to wimpy irrelevance. He needs to keep pushing forward the progressive agenda by allowing citizens to see what is happening, contribute ideas, and contact legislators and fellow citizens each step of the way. This will also be the key to keeping Congress people in line -- if they think Obama's electoral strength can help or hurt them next time.

In past Democratic administrations, electoral politics and coalitions have been treated as entirely separate from governance (which has supposedly been consigned to "experts"). Clinton thus did little to build new majorities. But Obama offered a vision and promised policies that have the potential to engage citizens and build civic infrastructure. Student loans married to social service, for example, or infrastructure investments in high-speed internet access stretching even to remote rural areas, for another example. Health care concerns are everywhere, too, and providers and citizens should be engaged when the inevitable legislative choices are made. And environmental policies can also spur economic growth and engage citizens very broadly.

Each area of policy should be fashioned with measures that engage and empower the groups and voters that will build a sustained Obama and Dem/Indep majority for the future. Policies create politics as well as vice-versa, and one hopes the Obama people know this and act on such knowledge. Obama's presidency has every potential to expand a broad-tent Democratic/Independent majority, but only if Obama pushes forward all four of the trannsformations I have discussed simultaneously, so that gains in each sphere facilitate gains in the others.

Yes, he can -- and yes, we can! Now is not the time for half measures or timidity. Now is the time for bold thinking and action to address current crises and deficits in ways that forge a better racial, economic, international, and civic tomorrow for America


8 Comments

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I know this is a small point but please fix the spelling of complementary. I'm pretty sure that "complimentary" is something one receives free of charge.

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Good point, Erica, but I don't know how to make corrections to a post. Maybe TPM can do it! Theda

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Here's how to do it. Click my name. Scroll down to the post which is called "helpful hints with the new system" - and it will tell you how to go in and make changes. I am no IT person, but many people have been able to follow my instructions. There are other helpful hints there, by me, and in the comments.

Also, thank you for this wonderful post! Here is the image it brought to mind for me. I thought of an umbrella being opened. The kind of outdoor umbrella that has 4 arms that open outward. Each of your 4 transformations is one of those arms. And the 4, working together, provide this wonderful national umbrella, which we all need.

Hope you get this message and are able to follow the instructions. After that, you will always know how to go in and fix any post at all. Good luck!

:)

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...type in Word, spell check (F7), cut and paste over for submission.

...but who for the Secretary of State - Hillary, Kerry, Powell or better yet, Joe the Plumber?

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I like a LOT of what is said in this column, and its proper focus on the need for bold economic policy. But let's remember that from 1933-1937, the economy was still in a depressed state under FDR, even though it was a period of economic growth prior to the 'second trough' of the Great Depression in the late 30s before WWII. Yet the FDR presidency, in my view, was the most successful in the US in the last 100 years and more, because he laid a groundwork of reform that helped people, restored confidence in the nation's leadership, and left an enduring and pivotal institutional legacy. Americans don't expect the president to work miracles -- and I do NOT think that absolute prosperity, if our economy tanks to the degree it seems everyone is expecting, is something that must be or will be demanded by most Americans of Obama.

With that caveat, however, the point about the economy is basically spot on.

I am more concerned about what is left out. Clearly, in my view, one of the major dimensions, urgently more important that the urgency of race relations in America (which have just gotten their biggest boost since the Nixon Administration era), is the ecological crisis, a "planet in peril" in Obama's repeated phrase.

(Before discussing eco-industrialization and its urgency, I just want to say that New Orleans and statehood for DC are both must issues in the short run, issues I believe Obama can be able to do at least most of the wowing he needs in terms of the concrete situation of African Americans in his first two years. I believe it is mainly the excruciating incompetence and agenda malevolence of the W Administration that have made it possible for the recovery of N.O. to be as bad as it has been.)

On eco-industrialization, I want to once again draw TPMers' attention to Jim Hansen, leading US climatologist who says that we need to not only lower and eliminate emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs), but to ACTUALLY LOWER THE OVERALL ATMOSPHERIC LEVELS OF GHGS FROM THEIR PRESENT LEVELS -- and to get to THAT point rapidly! Specifically, he has noted that the current levels of CO2, now about ~387 parts per million and rapidly rising MUST be reduced to BELOW 350 ppm or human civilization is basically toast. This goes well beyond even the most aggressive goals of almost the entire movement, although there is at least one (much too minimal) group pursuing that called 350.org. Obama apparently accepts the goal of the mainstream of politics, and even 'progressive' coalitions like the 1Sky Coalition, of an 80% reduction in GHG emissions by 2050. That goal is CATASTROPHICALLY INADEQUATE and mass politics must focus on getting well BEYOND that point of progress WELL BEFORE 2050. There is much else to say about the environment but I'll stop there.

On healthcare, I think Obama's first goal should be to clean up the institutional mess left by W's reforms, as well as some of the most obvious reforms like negotiating pharmaceutical prices and other no-brainers. Of course, we need to push for the most and the best health care reform possible in the next two years, realizing that losses in Congress in '10 are possible (though in the Senate, where it matters urgently, HIGHLY unlikely). As a supporter of single payer I think it the priority of the movement in this area to demand that any and all reforms be compatible to moving on to single payer subsequently, if such a consensus in America continues to emerge. States might be able to opt into single payer plans w/o losing any federal support.

Wow, a zillion other things to say, including a detailed list of urgent environmental polices, but enough for now

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I like your post, but see a few things differently.

You said: "Let us hope that he does not just...ignore the broad social movement of activists and involved citizens across all the states that helped him win the election."

I believe it is up to the citizens to refuse to be ignored and until American citizens understand this once again, they will continue to be ignored.

You said: "...citizens should be engaged when the inevitable legislative choices are made."

I agree and believe that citizens should make sure of this and not count on anybody else to make it happen for them.

You said: "Each area of policy should be fashioned with measures that engage and empower the groups and voters that will build a sustained Obama and Dem/Indep majority for the future."

I agree and even believe that Obama is even in a position to convert many Republicans to his team if the citizens ensure that he delivers the changes he has promised. I believe this because there are so many things the majority of both Democrats and Republicans agree we need to change (e.g. a stronger middle class, health care, peace, competitive education, etc.) But I also believe that citizens must only count on themselves. We must empower ourselves and engage on our own and raise our voices together. If Obama or any other representative helps with that, even better. If they don't, at least we will not wait any longer for an invitation to be heard in our own government of the people.

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Agree with most of the post. On the domestic side I would say a focus on the common good is paramount; the ownership society notions are buried. To his credit the common good appears to be central to Obama's thinking and approach.

On the economic side, consistent application of existing regulatory schemes with enforcements should go a long way; some carefully attention need be given to structuring the debt build up for the long term. The bailout of the financial sector is problematic, avenues for manipulations need be curbed and closely regulated.
International affairs will follow the others, the inevitable flare up will be handled with little drama or pointless posturing.

Much of the election was a call for the common good or for the society wide focus on issues that impact everyone, this is long overdue. The Republicans appear to be trying to resurrect Reagan but I suspect in the short term their rebirth will be minus any sustaining structure. I suspect the Republicans will not be too helpful. Thus, on the political side I do hope Obama and the Democratic Party keep these themes high on the agenda.

Governmental units have been highly abused by Bush & Co; the Justice Department and all of the regulatory agencies need to be exorcised quickly. Hopefully various camps on the Democratic side do not conflate this clean up with policy alternatives and implementation. Indeed, these are interrelated but it is critical that the solid measures be put in place quickly and tune ups and modifications be made a part of the review cycle.

Health care, the environment and energy are the big issues of the day; these all have critical economic impacts and the current political climate allow for major structural changes to be made on these issues. Some short term benefits will be seen but the nature of structural change is that they take time to percolate. In sum many can partake in national discussions and activities as there are no shortages of issues, in the short term keeping the country engaged is the key.

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To Prof. Skocpol’s excellent post, I would add another, more specifically political possible legacy: a (partial) de-racialization of American politics, particularly among the white working class, that could threaten GOP fortunes for some time. As an immediate caveat, I should point out that this result is far from assured; though I think it is unlikely, it is certainly imaginable that an Obama presidency (particularly a failed one) could lead to an increase in racial factionalism. I also do not mean to suggest that anything approaching complete de-racialization will occur, however that might be defined.

That said, the modern Republican Party is founded, at least partially, on appeals to white racial solidarity, in ways that go far beyond obvious racial issues (e.g., affirmative action, etc.). To take only the most recent example, what else could Joe the Plumber have represented but an appeal to white identity, given that the critique of Obama’s tax plan that brought him to fame essentially invited the working class to join him in voting against its economic interests? The fact that this and other appeals by the McCain camp were unsuccessful is cause for optimism; on the other hand, I would suspect that the McCain campaign must have seen some benefit or Joe the Plumber wouldn’t have had such an unexpectedly long shelf life. Obama’s victory, against an incumbent party that bore the lion’s share of the blame for an unprecedented economic crisis, is hardly proof that we have reached a “postracial” political era. If, however, Obama can find some signature issues – and enacting tax cuts at the lower end of the scale would certainly be a good start, at least politically – to dramatize the idea that he, and not the Republican Party, is on the side of the (white) working class, then I think he could go a long way in that direction. Loss of this support could undermine the Republican coalition as it has come to be constituted since the days of Nixon's Silent Majority, and – dare I say it – perhaps even help to reconstitute a contemporary version of the New Deal coalition (which would be fitting given the calls by many on the left for a new New Deal).

A wildly optimistic thought, I know, but I hope not an impossible one...

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