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Debating Who Obama Picks is Relevant to What His Administration Will Do

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I've been saying for some time that the day after Obama's election, all sorts of policy and personality battles would unfold around him.

This is happening as predicted, and the tension, backbiting, and jostling for position is fraying the nerves of many who are highest on the list of candidates Obama is considering for senior positions throughout the government.

One quite senior national security personality close to Obama told me that "I hate this. I hate this focus on people and personalities. It's the ideas that matter. I'm just sick of this back and forth about appointments and the people. It just doesn't matter."

I actually agree with the commenter that it should be policy that we focus on -- but where I disagree is that different personalities in a job telegraph different policies.

The notion that everything will derive from America's new great leader and inform every dimension of the work and objectives of those appointed is probably naive. People do matter because of the ideas that they bring to the table. Thus debating the "who" is also part of debating the "what".

We have already seen that John Bolton differed from Zalmay Khalilzad. Bob Gates was a radical departure in views and performance from Don Rumsfeld. The battle over John Bolton's confirmation at the United Nations in which this writer and blog were so involved was never about John Bolton personally, it was about stopping the further ascension of Jesse Helms-style pugnacious nationalism.

Dennis Ross, in the Democratic Party case, has different views of global affairs and a different sense of strategic priorities and how to approach them than James Steinberg. Susan Rice, who along with Gayle Smith, Anne-Marie Slaughter, Anthony Lake and Samantha Power, is a harbinger of an important new discussion the nation needs to have on 21st century national security threats and global justice does not have the same "structuralist" and "realist" tilts of a Charles Kupchan, Rand Beers, Robert Hutchings, Fareed Zakaria, or Gregory Craig.

Richard Holbrooke and Rahm Emanuel convey different approaches to national security and the conduct of power than a Tom Daschle and Chuck Hagel.

So the debate about "who" fills the positions of responsibility around the president does matter when debating the policy objectives of the incoming team.

But things are tense and still complicated in the process of selecting a national security team. There had been high-placed rumblings that we would hear soon who would occupy the top posts at the State, Defense, and Treasury Departments -- as well as the National Security Council but the process has been complicated and intense for those in the game.

To give the Obama team credit, they are working hard to consider who would be the best in these roles and a lot of the assumptions analysts previously held about who would get what posts needs to be reconsidered. There may be some suprise choices.

-- Steve Clemons is Senior Fellow and Director of the American Strategy Program at the New America Foundation and publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note


20 Comments

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Chuck Hagel in a State or Pentagon slot would be a very nice touch of bipartisanship. Former Military Officer, Veteran of a Foreign War, strong conservative credentials without any rabid interventionist baggage, and soon to be retired Senator respected by both sides of the aisle. If he is kept away from the domestic decisions, Democrats should welcome his addition to the Administration.

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Sadly, I find myself against this idea. Hey, let's put a cool Republican in a prominent Defense position so he can do a great job--and run for President in four years talking about how well he works with Democrats.

I'll take my bipartisanship slowly if it's ok with you.

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I wouldn't worry too much about this scenario.

McCain wanted the amphibious Lieberman as his VP to run to the center with, but the GOP had other plans- the extremist Palin. McCain was forced to run to the right.
Assuming Hagel has such a successful tenure at Defense, it will be good for the country, but I doubt the Republican establishment will see matters the same way.

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The Republican establishment are Gastropod wranglers, intent upon keeping their comatose base in the corral, and will not be swayed by anything that Obama or the Democratic majority does.

There are however, many true Conservatives from the old-school, who believe in principles over party. They are the Chris Buckleys, Colin Powells, Hagels, and even to my surprise, the Kathleen Parkers. These are a constituency that the Republican establishment has increasingly disenfranchised from the GOP since Nixon's southern strategy. Look around; presently it's the Richard Vigueries, Blowhard Schlaflies, those who Focus on other peoples' families, and 2nd generation neocons who are screaming about the Republican Party needing to return to its "conservative" roots. None of these factions should rightfully be classified as conservative. There is not one amongst the whole lot of them who is qualified to tongue shine the interred shoes of Barry Goldwater, and that assuredly includes the poseur libertarian Paul.

I do not exist upon the plane of linear politics, and am walkabout in the Dreamtime America. There are many conservatives who do not "love wealth greater than liberty, the tranquility of servitude greater than the animating contest for freedom". The Nation has suffered immense damage from this Administration's pillage, rapine and illegitimate arrogation of human liberty. It is time to work on what has been spoiled, and not an opportunity for a Herculean implementation of Neo-Dealiism. That course leads to this turn at the top of the wheel being nasty, brutish and short. It's better to engage the real conservatives now, enlisting their support, freely given, for the the needed repairs. That path increasingly isolates the shrieking new righty harpies, and howling neocon renunciants.

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...new righty harpies, and howling neocon renunciates...

I agree in your incrementalist (if that's what they are) sentiments.

However the harpies were/are doomed from the start. The harpies represented by the Palin contingent are an historically sterile but steady contingent on the political landscape. Even though they are all full of fire and brimstone, they have proven totally incapable—when heeded to-- of steering the ship of state anywhere but ruin. If the Karl Roves of the world think that that's where the pot of gold is for the Republican Party, why disabuse them of that?

A similar argument cannot be made about the Straussians : they have deeper intellectual roots.

A sad and unhappy coalition those two!

I don't quite understand why you call them renunciants unless you mean renunciants of the New Left 60's counterculture with its moral relativism and social libertinism.

In international affairs what they seem to renounce (if anything) is minimal interventionism and what they seem to embrace is empire.

I support their renuciation of moral relativism as a path to nowhere.

Their dream of empire, well you can see where that is going.

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"love wealth greater than liberty, the tranquility of servitude greater than the animating contest for freedom"

Okay, PseudoCyAnts, lovely quote. Where is it from? I likely reveal myself to be a total moron because I don't know, but whatever...

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Steve Clemons writes:

One quite senior national security personality close to Obama told me that "I hate this. I hate this focus on people and personalities. It's the ideas that matter.

Exactly, its policy and ideas.

Its my belief that most, if not all, of the problems facing 90% of the public can be traced to what we've been getting from the National Political parties for the last 25 years.

From the Republicans we've been getting Supply side, trickle down Economics, and from the Democrats we've been getting supply side, trickle down Government.

This scandal on Wall Street might not ever have happened if the present day Democratic leadership weren't so friendly and reliant on the boys in the corporate board rooms and the sharks on Wall Street, the same gang the Republicans represent.

When I see Dodd and Schumer on TV babbling about this scandal I'm tempted to throw something at the TV because they, among other Democrats, were only too happy to go along with the Gramm/Leach/Bliley Act and other gifts to their corporate masters over these many years.

If Obama continues the type of governance we've been getting lo these many years, and tries to cure our ills by running the cure through Corporate America first (supply side government) he will become the biggest disappointment in History.

When I see Obama and the Democrats say they're going to repeal the rule that taxes hedge fund managers at 15% when these people are making tens of millions annualy then I'll believe Obama might actually be a "transitional President."

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Your comment is right on. This *is* actually about ideas and how the Dems of the recent past didn't have many of their own, but instead gave us warmed over Republican ideas.

"Ending welfare as we know it"? Republican idea, stolen by Clinton.

"Reinventing government"? (e.g. outsourcing what used to be the military to KBR and Blackwater) -- Republican idea, stolen by Gore.

NAFTA? Republican idea, passed with help from Clinton.

Banking deregulation? Phil Gramm's idea, cheered by Summers, signed by Clinton.

Even Social Security privatization -- something that Chuck Hagel is STILL TRYING TO FOIST ON US in a year that has seen the biggest fall of the stock market in ages -- is an idea some Democrats have been trying to steal.
http://www.govtrack.us/congress/billtext.xpd?bill=s110-2765

Those Dems who are fans of Chuck Hagel -- why? The man also voted against letting the The Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women (CEDAW) out of committee. About the only countries that haven't yet ratified are the USA, Iran, Sudan, and Somalia. Seriously. WTF?


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tiggers,

your opinion on Hagel is why I never liked McCain; many seem to forget they're Conservatives.

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To give the Obama team credit, they are working hard to consider who would be the best in these roles . . . . Steve Clemons

All this time I thought the "Obama team" was lounging about considering who'd be the worst in these roles.

What a relief to learn that isn't the case!

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Ellen, Ellen, Ellen, tsk,tsk,tsk, there ya go again.

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Echoing JohnW, Ellen, tsk, tsk, tsk.

The last Republican president and his advisors lounged around discussing who would be the appointees most loyal to the administration. Who would be the best, the most competent seldom if ever came up.

So, you see, deciding who would be the best to fill the slots is actually quite unique - among political types, extremely unique.

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phelicity,

come to think of it, I worked hard thinking which woman to marry.

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For people who didn't really vote for Obama you certainly have many ideas of what he should do. It is known that 67% of Caucasian people voted for Obama. But they were mostly young, intelligent people between 18 and 29. You older folks still didn't vote for him in any great numbers in spite of all his explaining about change and reform. Since you didn't vote for him I don't think you should be voicing your opinion about what he should do or who he should put in cabinet.

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Redphilly,

get back in your playpen.

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I've been saying for some time that the day after Obama's election, all sorts of policy and personality battles would unfold around him.

Wow, what a brave prediction. Next you know, you'll be predicting that the sun will rise in the east tomorrow.

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William,

are you related to Ellen?

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I felt it was a good argument for the quality of Obama's judgement of people that his campaign ran so smoothly. This was without any reports of heavy-handed message control, and we saw no personnel changes.

Zero turnover, almost zero absenteeism, tremendous productivity. Not likely an accident. I have confidence in the appointments he will offer.

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"policy and personality battles" didn't start recently, they've been going on for well over a year when it comes to advisors on Obama's FP team. The purge has worked thus far.

According to the most recent edition of The Forward:

"Washington sources told the Forward that Dennis Ross, the veteran peace negotiator, may be asked to take on the issue once again, though at a higher level than before."

snip}

"All advisers and potential Cabinet members are known to be supporters of a two-state solution and of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process, though they are all on the record saying that they will not pressure Israel, and indicating the need for change on the Palestinian side before an independent state can emerge. All the names mentioned so far for top foreign policy positions oppose opening a dialogue with Hamas and advocate a tough approach toward the Iran-based Hezbollah in Lebanon."

snip}

"Meanwhile, Israeli diplomats have made a special effort in recent months to get to know these advisers in a series of meetings and conversations."
http://www.forward.com/articles/14520/

Same old same old.

One wonders if Obama will hear opinions from Israelis who advocate opening dialogues with Hamas. Will anyone be allowed to inform him that continuing the US policy of interfering with the democratic process in Lebanon has increased regional instability and terrorist attacks from sunni salafist jihadi groups frequently linked to our Lebanese & Saudi "allies"?

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"Will anyone be allowed to inform him that continuing the US policy. . ." (lally)

not with Rahm Emanuel playing dragon at the gate of the Oval Office.

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