Republicans to Chrysler/GM Workers: Drop Dead
For auto workers the Bush cavalry is on the way, except they are years too late. The latest shoe to drop is George Bush's rejection of a potential merger between GM and Chrysler. Coincidentally the merger is said to be a threat to many workers in Ohio and Michigan, since it could mean the closure of plants in those states.
Ought the Federal government keep its nose out of the declining U.S. auto industry? Will the new program for fuel efficient vehicles be sufficient? I'd say no to both.
A GM/Chrysler merger is not necessarily a positive step. More to the point is the long-standing indifference from the national government to the course of U.S. manufacturing, built on conservative nostrums about the free market. If we can't see now where the free market has gotten us, we never will.
Jimmy Carter bailed out Chrysler in 1979. The company revived and paid back the money, providing some profit to the Feds in the bargain. Was this a catastrophe? I would say not. Would it have been better to let the company die? Some people think so, but that is a risky, radical proposition to defend. Good luck to any politician, such as John McCain, who tries.
One way to shore up the industry and the many good jobs therein is to launch a national crusade for rail travel. That means lots of railroad cars. I don't need to recapitulate all the reasons more rail and less auto and air would be good, except to note that a big push for rail reduces if not eliminates the need to make auto and air more expensive.
A set of high-speed rail lines (in the Northeast corridor, the Midwest hub centered on Chicago, in California from San Diego to SFO) would transform the nation's economy. Four or five systems might cost $200 or $300 billion to build (total), much less than the apparent outlays planned to deal with Wall Street's machinations. Did I mention, by the way, John McCain doesn't like Amtrak?
Auto workers don't look forward to careers delivering pizza. What's bad for General Motors is bad for the U.S.A. John McCain can afford his own bus. Let him spend the next four years driving it around the U.S., maybe he'll figure out what's going on.












I was and am skeptical of the Wall Street bailout so the idea of putting my money towards GM can buy Chrysler is really annoying to me. At least you can make the argument that there is and was a credit crisis and that the feds had to get involved to restore confidence in the banking system. There isn't a car crisis. There are lots of cars around.
One reason the feds wanted in on the GM/Chrysler deal is that a failure of either would test the Pension and Benefits Guaranty Corp. which doesn't have the money to cover the liabilities of either company. This is the airline industry failures gone nuclear.
But I'm still mad about this one... Chrysler went to a private equity firm that put freaking Bob Nardelli in charge -- the same guy who, when he was running Home Depot, delivered sub par returns, took excessive compensation and refused to even show up to address his own shareholders when they called him out on it! Dr. Rotwang, why do I have to pay for that?
November 3, 2008 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
A discussion similar to this took place on DailyKos a few days ago, so I'll simply paste in what I wrote for that thread, because I'm sitting in my office, which has been taken over by the Obama campaign, waiting for the first poll watching reports to be brought in by the runner.
. . . there is a fundamental difference between a manufacturing company and a financial company. No matter what it produces, a manufacturing company is a depository of physical machine assets, and labor, technical, and engineering skills, that can, and must, be used to begin producing our way out of this new economic depression.
Think of the industrial mobilization for World War II. Factories that made toasters or Victrolas - arguably consumer goods that did not serve a vital purpose - were converted to producing vital war material such as radio tubes or radios or radar sets or whatever. What bank or financial company could be converted to produce vital war material? Therein lies the essential difference between a manufacturing company and a financial company, and why, no matter how wrong-headed the recent management history of a manufacturing company may be (and I absolutely agree that the past few decades U.S. automakers were very, very wrong-headed), we cannot afford to allow any of our manufacturing companies to fail and their valuable physical machine assets, and labor, technical, and engineering skills dispersed.
Why? Think of almost all the recent commentary about the financial crises that is now dragging the real economy into depression. "The U.S., and U.S. consumers, have been living beyond their means. They have been consuming more than they produce." The standard prescription to this observed problem is that Americans have to be forced to stop consuming so much. Which is going to cause an even worse depression. The reason for why this apparently obvious solution – the curtailment of consumption – leads inexorably to this abysmal outcome, were ably explained by Marriner S. Eccles, who served as Franklin D. Roosevelt's Chairman of the Federal Reserve from November 1934 to February 1948, in his memoirs, Beckoning Frontiers (New York, Alfred A. Knopf, 1951):
"As mass production has to be accompanied by mass consumption, mass consumption, in turn, implies a distribution of wealth -- not of existing wealth, but of wealth as it is currently produced -- to provide men with buying power equal to the amount of goods and services offered by the nation's economic machinery." [Emphasis in original.]
The full quote from Eccles, which explains how the income inequality created by the financial speculation of the 1920s led to the disastrous weakening of mass consumption, can be read on the Wikipedia page Great Depression
http://en.wikipedia.org/... - scroll down about one third of the page to the section, "Inequality of wealth and income."
Many of the commenters above evince a hostility toward the idea of manufacturing industries, and many probably share the unfortunately common belief that "mass consumption" is an unsustainable model of economic organization. There are two problems that need to be addressed here.
First, is what I call the idea of the flying monkey butt economy - these people must think that all the things they take for granted in their everyday life: the computer monitor in front of them, the wood paneling and plasterboard on the walls surrounding them, the concrete and re-bar in the sidewalks and streets they walk and drive on, the simple ceramic cup they sip their coffee or tea from -- they must think that all these things come from some flying monkey that squats in front of their abode and shits these things out just for their own personal use. Or maybe they think these things are made in the back rooms of the stores they buy these things at. It really is a massive mental disconnect to think that we can get along without industry. You want wind power generation? You want urban rail mass transit? Fine. But just where do you think the steel and the aluminum and the plastic and so on for the windmills and the rails and the passenger rail cars is going to come from? the butt of a flying monkey?
Look, we need manufacturing. It’s as simple as that. We’ve allowed much of our manufacturing base to be moved overseas to take advantage of cheap labor and lax environmental and safety regulations. That was not just immoral, but now we see that it has fatally weakened our national financial position as well. Thirty years ago, the U.S. was the leading manufacturing nation in the world, and the largest creditor nation as well. Now that we’ve allowed so much of our manufacturing to slip away, we’ve become the largest debtor nation, and China, whence much of our manufacturing base was relocated, has become our largest creditor. Don’t you see a connection there?
Second is the bias against a mass consumption economy. Now, this is tricky, because I do not wish to deny that much of the U.S. economy today is based on useless and dangerous consumption which imposes an unacceptable burden on the environment and on finite natural resources. Perhaps the best way to make the point that needs to be made is to remind you of the point often made, in commentaries on the Wall Street collapse, about "robbing the future." What exactly does that term, "robbing the future," mean? It has to do with investment, or, to be accurate, the misdirection of investment these past few decades. For example, an obvious one in the context of a discussion over whether or not to "save" the auto industry is that our society has invested way too much in the development of a transport system based on the personal automobile, while nearly starving for investment alternatives such as urban rail transit and passenger rail between urban areas. That misdirection of investment is the real problem – not the fact that the U.S. auto industry did not create and market more fuel efficient cars.
So, you can punish the auto industry by letting it fail – but would you have accomplished? The real problem would still remain – the misdirection of investment into a transport system based on the personal automobile, rather than urban rail transit and passenger rail between urban areas, and you will have destroyed part of the nation’s physical capacity for meeting the challenge of building a future alternative to a transport system based on the personal automobile.
Yes, the auto companies were stupid. But if you don’t see that we need the manufacturing capacity those companies have, then you are just as stupid.
I want to make a final point here, that I fear may divert your focus on these important questions. If you look at the boards of directors of the auto companies, you will notice that very few of the directors actually come from an industrial background. The overwhelming majority, something like 90 percent, of the directors are affiliated with financial institutions of one sort or another – banks, investment funds, money management companies, or so on. This is a problem you will find in every industrial sector of the U.S., and it is largely the result of the corporate raiding and mergers and acquisitions of the past that began in the 1970s. Think Michael Milkin, Kohlberg Kravis and Roberts, and T. Boone Pickens. Getting the U.S. auto industry, and the rest of U.S. industry, back on track to begin meeting the need for changing our future for the better, is going to require removing these financiers and usurers from the control of manufacturing companies.
November 4, 2008 7:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree completely with the Rail lines angle. It is truly an opportunity for America to wake up and see the benefits of having massive public transportations systems throughout the US. I do not know that much about the manufacture companies which represent the train industry but it is a bit heartening to see the CSX commercial for the first time in my lifetime. The advent of rail does not signal the end of the auto industry but reflects the diversity that America has to have available to meet the diverse energy needs of our future.
Plus it is much more fun to sit in a drink/bar car while traveling than staring at the road for a couple of hours.
November 3, 2008 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well I didn't say I supported the merger.
A bailout might support a company that revives itself and pays the money back. In that case there is no cost to the taxpayer. Or it might pour the money down an bottomless rathole, a different proposition.
How relief for the auto industry might go remains to be seen. A difference between the parties is that the Dems are willing to ask the question, which should be asked.
November 3, 2008 10:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
So -- Rotwang! If you veel dat way, vots vith de hysterical headline?
Lack of writerly self-discipline? That old image has colonized your brain and you just couldn't leave it alone?
November 3, 2008 11:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Naked political opportunism is all. I indulged myself, just for today.
November 3, 2008 12:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree completely with the Rail lines angle. It is truly an opportunity for America to wake up and see the benefits of having massive public transportations systems throughout the US. I do not know that much about the manufacture companies which represent the train industry but it is a bit heartening to see the CSX commercial for the first time in my lifetime. The advent of rail does not signal the end of the auto industry but reflects the diversity that America has to have available to meet the diverse energy needs of our future.
Plus it is much more fun to sit in a drink/bar car while traveling than staring at the road for a couple of hours.
November 3, 2008 10:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry about the double post, when I submitted I received a page whch stated that TPM had unprecidented traffic and I should try again later. Now I get a double post, who would of thought?
November 3, 2008 10:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
I follow the auto issues very closely.
I'll be VERY glad if the Feds don't sweeten the pot for Cerberus and GM.
See, it was this big private equity group that bought Chrysler back from Mercedes recently. Their plans to dismantle chrysler piece by piece were foiled - largely because no one wanted to buy individual nameplates or assembly plants of a doomed automaker (the strategy only works when a carmaker is doing well).
For example, they've recently been sort of walking out on the street and yelling "Viper? anyone want to buy the Viper? Anyone? Anyone? Viper? Viper for sale!" And they've had no takers.
Now they're trying to pawn the whole company off on GM - but get the rest of GMAC finance arm.
GM just wants to 'buy' Chrysler to eliminate competition. They largely have the same problems (legacy costs) and the same product mix of guzzling SUVs. There would be no 'synergy' in the merger - just a way to for GM to play feeding vulture on the Chrysler carcass - and they wanted a check from Uncle Sam to do it.
"Buy a Chrysler get a check!" (Remember Iaccoca)
By the way, the amount of the commie Carter bailout of Chrysler was 1.5 Billion.
I think Bernanke would be able to find 1.5 billion under the couch cushions.
November 3, 2008 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
I would suggest a 120 day tax holiday for the Auto Makers as a way of helping them but they might be among the Corporations that don't pay any tax.
Is it true that X number of American Corporations don't pay income tax?
November 3, 2008 11:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Some pay no tax because they don't make any money, others pay no tax even though they make a ton.
Here's a piece on no-tax corporations:
http://www.ctj.org/corpfed04pr.pdf
November 3, 2008 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bailing out companies that don't learn from their mistake the first time -- inventing the 4 cylinder engine but deciding changing the assembly line for the chassis would cut into profits too much -- and now stalling on fuel efficient vehicles as their repeat of essentially the same mistake the first time around -- seems like providing incentives to be focused only on the short term profit concerns.
So I say let them rot.
Regarding the train initiative -- as an environmentalist from the get go, I like the sounds of it of course, as trains produce less pollution than jets, but I also think trains are an easy target for terrorists since there are hundreds of miles of track to locate a bomb. As in California when it's been years since a Big One has struck, we forget about the dangers of terrorism.
November 3, 2008 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Trick:
BMW and MErcedes don't make fuel efficient cars (Mercedes has SMART - the car that looks like a phone booth - but it has never turned a profit on them - BMW has the Mini, but they make the big money on their gas swilling, rear drive 'driving machines')
The point is that the 'liberal' agenda for US carmakers pushes to mutually exclusive goals.
Make lots of money - but make cheap small cars.
The two just don't go together.
November 3, 2008 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then WTF is this King?
http://www.bimmerfile.com/2008/09/10/confirmed-new-4-cylinder-in-development/ .
Jim G
November 3, 2008 3:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then WTF is this King?
http://www.bimmerfile.com/2008/09/10/confirmed-new-4-cylinder-in-development/ .
Jim G
November 3, 2008 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I suppose I should also mention that fuel efficient vehicles use less gas than trains. So if you can convince your employer to loosen up on the amount of time it takes you to go to the conference -- drive it in a hybrid. Although wine tasting in California along the way doesn't work unless you have an associate who will be your designated driver...
November 3, 2008 1:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
You'll have to support that amazing assertion. Hard for me to see how any vehicle rolling on rubber tires, with acceleration power, can do better than a train.
November 3, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hi Tom:
(Assuming a high fuel efficiency car is used such as a Prius, which seems to be the way of the near future.)
US Transportation Energy Data Book for 2006 -- Note that this is not a high efficiency hybrid type of vehicle.
Transport mode Average passengers per vehicle Efficiency per passenger
Vanpool 6.1 1,322 BTU/mi 2.7 L/100 km (87 MPGeUS)
Motorcycles 1.2 1,855 BTU/mi 3.8 L/100 km (62 MPGeUS)
Rail (Commuter) 31.3 2,996 BTU/mi 6.1 L/100 km (38 MPGeUS)
Rail (Transit Light & Heavy) 22.5 2,784 BTU/mi 5.7 L/100 km (41 MPGeUS)
Rail (Intercity Amtrak) 20.5 2,650 BTU/mi 5.4 L/100 km (43 MPGeUS)
Cars 1.57 3,512 BTU/mi 7.2 L/100 km (33 MPGeUS)
Air 96.2 3,261 BTU/mi 6.7 L/100 km (35 MPGeUS)
Buses (Transit) 8.8 4,235 BTU/mi 8.7 L/100 km (27 MPGeUS)
Personal Trucks 1.72 3,944 BTU/mi 8.1 L/100 km (29 MPGeUS)
From: http://www.lafn.org/~dave/trans/energy/rail_vs_autoEE.html#s9
"The very low rolling resistance of a steel wheel on a rail is partially canceled out by the high weight of passenger trains. The higher weight also means more energy used for accelerating and climbing grades although some of this could be recovered by coasting and regenerative braking. Aerodynamic drag is low for a train at moderate speed but increases rapidly (with the square of the speed). Thus one may say that passenger trains are potentially energy efficient, but in actual practice such trains turn out to be little more energy-efficient than the automobile."
Here is another chart showing 2.3 average passengers with a non-hybrid type car I think:
Vehicle Average no. of Passengers MIles traveled per gallon Passenger-miles per gallon
Automobile 2.3 28.4 65.3
Bus 23.2 6.2 143.8
Jetliner 89.6 0.34 30.5
Train1 20.5 2.6 53.3
So it would seem once you have two people in the car, even if it's an average car by today's mpg standards, it is more fuel efficient than heavy rail. When two people are in a Prius I would think the value almost doubles beyond this value.
From here: http://www.sierraclub.org/howgreen/getaway/answer.asp
"How do commercial airplanes, trains, and cars rank from most to least efficient per passenger mile?
B is the right answer: Trains are the most efficient, followed by cars, and then planes. You get partial credit if you guessed A since you realized that planes are the least efficient. According to the DOE, passenger trains use 2,978 British thermal units per passenger mile, while cars use 3,496 BTUs/passenger mile, and airplanes use 3,959 BTUs/passenger mile. However, if you include personal trucks and SUVs along with cars, the nation's vehicle fleet uses 4,329 BTUs per passenger mile, which is worse than airplanes. You could vacation Easy Rider style on a motorcycle, which uses 2,272 BTUs for every passenger mile. Or consider a bicycle trip: just as breezy as the Harley but gasoline free. "
However -- no Prius is used or included in this example obviously. And the DOE's average passenger per car again is 1.5, not 2. (or 3 or 4 for that matter.)
Perhaps that isn't fair as we would have full trains as well if they were in vogue. But if you are going by the use of a Prius, it would seem the efficiency is higher than a Train pretty much no matter how you slice it, due to the train's inherent heavy weight. High speed trains would be even worse, but so would an Autobahn.
November 3, 2008 11:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Although to be fair, someone probably has a hybrid electric/diesel train or other more fuel efficient train designed. And in fact the Japanese are working on one now apparently: http://www.goodcleantech.com/2008/09/new_japanese_train_to_be_faste.php .
When I postulated that high speed trains would be even less fuel efficient, it was a hasty assumption, and this addendum fixes that part of my above post.
Here's another link I found searching for fuel efficient trains though that supports my snap calculation that Prius's are more efficient than today's trains even with only one passenger:
http://bicycleaustin.info/forum/viewtopic.php?id=128
November 4, 2008 11:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Question: Is "muddle through" and/or "kick the can down the road" the appropriate response to economic problems?
Should we look for the cheapest current resolution -- in Chrysler's case loans or guarantees to save the immediate costs of unemployment insurance and of claims against the PBGC -- and let subsequent history take care of the outcomes? Or should we look for a present economy-wide, longterm, systemic solution?
N.B. The credit excesses of the 1960s were resolved by "muddling through" -- that is, by accepting high inflation in the 1970s which "paid off" the old debt and beginning in 1984c. led to 20-years of economic growth.
November 3, 2008 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
If WE THE PEOPLE, DEMAND no more vanity, no more production of gas guzzlers, for those who can afford them, at the expense of using up the available supply of fuel.
Let the auto industry compete say every 5 or 10 years, to design (1) one to (3) three types of vehicles, maybe a morning commuter vehicle, a family vehicle, or a semi heavy-duty vehicle etc.
Transportation vehicles of such simplicity, no new features or modifications in esthetics, only safety features if necessary.
A rental people car, instead of ownership of lemons?
Like a car battery amortized monthly, till replacement and continuation of cost of the battery amortized.
Imagine the cost savings for example, a vehicle is damaged in an accident.
No problem, the wrecking yard has an immediate part, because the supply is tremendous
Interchangeable parts readily available.
Would not insurance rates go down because all the body parts are the same? Insurance would now be based more on the risk of the driver(s), and not the expensive cost of replacement parts.
Build a car with interchangeable interiors; drive the car into the shop. Zip, Zip (what is the sound of air guns?) Lifting out your personalized interior, leaving the old car body, with it’s worn parts, emission challenged engines, or fuel cells needing replacement behind, to be serviced and then brought back for future needs.
Mileage fees? Fine-tune a system that works for the people. Not the auto company CEO’s
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volkswagen
http://people.westminstercollege.edu/staff/bknorr/html/history.htm
Literally, the word "volkswagen" means "people's car." In Germany, the idea of a people's car wasn't exactly a new one. Before the 1930's, there had been many efforts to create simple cars that everyone could afford, but none met with profound success. Almost all cars before 1930, even if they were designed to be simple enough for the average person, ended up costing more than the average worker's yearly wage.
November 3, 2008 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rotwang, way, way, way too close to my real-life duties to allow me to take part in the discussion, but recommended and thank you for addressing this at the Cafe (whoever the hell you are :)).
November 3, 2008 2:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Unless they intend to put train Marshalls in the cars, I’ll not ride or support rapid rail. I don’t need the trouble.
Examples of Past violence
Bernard Hugo Goetz, the "Subway Vigilante" by the New York press. he shot four men intent on robbing him on the train in Manhattan in 1984.
Attempted murder charge for subway shooter; fired on cops out of 'wild' fear he'd be deported. Updated Thursday, October 23rd 2008
Police have made a second arrest in a TTC subway shooting earlier this year.
November 3, 2008 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
There isn't much worry about security threats to trains, and I've asked around. Even after the attacks in the UK, Spain, and India. Not sure why, but it's a fact. As everybody knows, there is virtually no security checks on trains here, nor apparently anywhere else, and still no attacks in the U.S.
If there's a case against rail, it's not due to security threats. It's hard to hijack a train, and there's not much flexibility about where to take it. You could get on a train and shoot people or blow them up, but you could do that on a crowded street. Same with blowing up something.
Goetz & the LIRR loon are not very good examples. You could just as easily cite drive-by stuff on highways.
November 3, 2008 9:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rotwang wrote "Goetz & the LIRR loon are not very good examples. You could just as easily cite drive-by stuff on highways."
Once I'm locked up in the streetcar or train I can't run while gang bangers rampage, or some loon decides to take a few out with him.
I suppose a comet, or some random act of violence on the road could hit me.
Staying alert and vigilant to road rage. You know, someone flashing they're lights or flashing obscene gestures, tips me off, to get out of the way.
I can’t get out of the way on a train can I?
Also
Is Amtrak solvent or heavily subsidized?
I have always felt, the biggest rip off to the American experience, was allowing every other section of natural resources be given to the railroads to finance and maintain the rails.
100 years later, the rails have been ripped up or abandoned. The railroads still own the resources.
Someone told me that Beazer or some other Home builder was backed by Union Pacific or Southern Pacific, or some other major rail company, with large lumber holdings.
Harvested from the every other section giveaway.
I wonder if this is true?
November 3, 2008 10:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rotwang has an excellent point regarding terrorism is terrorism no matter where it occurs.
But he has overlooked I think the economic terrorism of what one well placed railside bomb does to the passenger train industry. Once it happens, who rides a train? With planes, we were able to fix the problem in a jiffy after it happened. Not so with the hundreds of miles of rail strewn across the land. Unless terrorists have brought surface to air missiles into the States, trains are not as easy a target to protect. SAMs are more expensive though than bombs I would think, and bombs can be assembled within the States rather than solely imported as SAMs would have to be.
A freeway side bomb would cause a big scare as well, but we have the freedom to drive the back or country roads if we need an alternate route, unlike with rail where you are on a predetermined route.
November 4, 2008 12:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
100 million people a year ride BART in the Bay Area. Can they all be wrong? I have ridden rapid transit for varying lengths of time (for a total of about 6 years) in the following cities: San Francisco, New York City, Portland (OR), Chicago, Montreal, Paris, London, and Frankfurt, and I'm still alive to tell about it. I've never personally known anyone who was assaulted or killed on a rapid transit system. However, I have known 3 people who died in auto accidents, for whatever that's worth.
Unfortunately, railroads mostly don't own rights-of-way any longer. You see, in California, as in other places throughout the US, GM and Goodyear bought up the railroad rights-of-way in the 50s so they could promote highways and sell lots of cars and municipal buses. So guess who owns the rights-of-way. Yeah, the car companies, and probably an oil company or two.
Your anti-rail paranoia is simply a result of 50+ years of auto company propaganda.
What are you going to do when gas is $10 a gallon? Just sayin'.
November 3, 2008 11:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can you say communicable disease?
I can think of many reasons to avoid large congregations of the population. OOPS
What was that fluid on the seat or why is that railing wet?
"Damn, cover your mouth mister, when you sneeze?
You talkin to me?"
As for the 10 dollar a gallon gas?
Ask for a raise?
November 3, 2008 11:52 PM | Reply | Permalink