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Worth a Second Look

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By the end I was demoralized. I thought Obama had allowed himself to be patronized, of all things, regarding America's Middle Eastern wars, diplomacy (or at least, Dr. Kissinger's view of it), "Russia." It was McCain who spoke of building an "alliance of democracies," for God sake, not Obama, who had told 200,000 in Berlin that he was a citizen of the world. A friend sent me this lament by Nora Ephron, with which, at first, I sadly agreed:

I was, by the way, the least pessimistic person in the room where we watched the debate, a room full of blue-state pinkos, and our hearts had collectively sunk as we watched Obama miss opportunity after opportunity to score a knockout punch -- as the men in the room tended to put it.

But then I heard surprising snap polls showing Obama had (narrowly) "won." Without quite meaning to, I actually watched the debate all over again, from the beginning, saw how much better Obama came off than what I had feared--and realized my problem.

The first time around, I was actually debating McCain myself. Every time he spoke, I answered him in my mind's eye, and with a righteous anger much like McCain's own. I did not try to see Obama the way an undecided suburban mother in Colorado, without time for MSNBC, might: the people who, along with young people, will actually decide this thing. I was seeing McCain the way the people in Nora Ephron's room did, passionate intellectuals, finding openings, driving imaginary punches, as if this brilliance is what every one's waiting for. If Obama missed the "opening" I saw, I felt disappointed in him, sorry for him, and us. I did not credit (indeed, I can still hardly understand) his cool, his patient engagement, his stand-up decency.

This may not have been Obama's best night. But then, I wanted McCain to look ridiculous. He did not--and is not. Neither is Obama Jon Stewart--and cannot be if he wants to govern this country.


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He continues to amaze. He just plain knows what he's doing. I want the GOP criminals to pay dearly, and I want them all to do their shameful perp walks as soon as possible, but you're right, that's not primarily what's going to win this election.

GO GET 'IM BARACK!

Agreed. Obama long ago decided to run as the man he is: an aspirant small-D democratic national leader and statesman, not demagoging pol. People get that--he's on their side, he's extremely able, and he knows that this is not a game or a boxing match.

It was said of FDR that he had a "second-rate intellect, but a first-rate temperament". I don't know about the "second-rate" part, in either FDR's case or in Obama's, but I get the point: Temperament can be just about the most important quality one can possess in a crisis. It's that mysterious quality we tend to look for in a great leader, without entirely knowing how to define it ahead of time. We tend also to know it when we see it, and I think Sen. Obama showed in this debate that he has it.

Exactly. People I know were upset that Obama hadn't gone in for the kill. But they're already in Obama's camp. And they aren't the target audience. The target audience is someone who is a bit concerned about Obama because they don't know who he is and he has a funny name. And he's a Democrat and they often vote Republican. But they're sick of Bush and they're sick of negative politics.

Obama showed respect for McCain, smiling when attacked, as if to say "oh, you are a funny one Mr McCain" and then, in a couple cases, actually allowing the debate to move on rather than pressing a point to hard.

He showed maturity. And that will hopefully win over those on the fence.

Think about the contrasting strategies of the two men: McCain spent the majority of his time 'going negative' on Obama, and saying very little in terms of detail. Obama, by way of contrast, spent the majority of his rhetoric communicating to the audience by word and attitude that he is ready to lead and is knowledgeable on the issues of the day. Sure he attacked McCain too, notably on his being wrong about Iraq. But he didn't sink to McCain's level, and I think disproved McCain's repeated statements that "Sen. Obama doesn't understand", not by refutation or attack, but by simply DEMONSTRATING that he is well-versed and intelligent.

Obama looked and acted presidential. McCain looked old and grumpy, and spoke in platitudes. Hopefully America is tired of that crap.


'Everything else but defense (military=$1,449 billion)/Social Security' is a tiny 18% of the federal budget of $2,560 billion called 'non-defense discretionary' or about $477 billion.

It is likely the interest on the debt will rise faster than any savings from the freeze as the nations deficit continues to expand.

http://www.warresisters.org/pages/piechart.htm

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I had a similar experience. In fact, just as the debate ended, the body language I saw in Obama said to me that he was already internally chastising himself for opportunities missed. I don't think he did badly at all. And I think he will go to school and get better going forward. How many of us who have done interviews with press or debated in a public forum finish up thinking there is not a thing we could have said or done better?

I also was fairly quickly able to remind myself that my reaction doesn't matter, that what matters is what truly undecideds going in, plus any who previously considered themselves decided who are now up on the fence, thought. The early poll results on how watchers thought they fared I find extremely encouraging.

It's conceivable to me that Obama might have gotten advice to act as if his audience last night consisted entirely of white women. It's conceivable to me that he might have consciously sought to adopt such a mindset.

He bent over backwards to show himself a gentleman. But he also provided reassurance, I thought, to any questioning his commitment to defend our country by speaking convincingly, with authority and resolve, about how we need to keep our eye on the ball and deal with the real enemy that brought us 9-11, bin laden and al qaeda.

I found myself really wishing he'd come back at McCain with a ready zinger in hand to fire back at McCain every time McCain said "What Senator Obama doesn't understand..."

Maybe next time, if McCain tries to pull that, he says something like, "Well I really don't feel I need to be lectured about what Senator McCain says I don't understand when it was Senator McCain who was consistently wrong on Iraq, when it was Senator McCain who was complicit in allowing the Bush Administration to take its eye off of dealing with our real enemies bin laden and al qaeda, when it was Senator McCain who..."

At one point in a 1960 presidential debate, Nixon started to lecture Kennedy, saying "Senator Kennedy has a moral responsibility to..." At the time Kennedy's youth and CIC fitness were a concern for some. Cool as a cucumber, Kennedy responded, roughly, "Well I really don't need to be lectured on my moral responsibilities by Vice President Nixon..." and went on to make his point. On the clip I saw I thought it showcased one of Nixon's ugly sides. Kennedy came off looking, well, presidential.

A couple of questions I hope the media will pose to McCain:

1. Senator McCain, do you respect Senator Obama?
2. Senator McCain, when you say we need to make sure we win in Iraq, what exactly do you mean by victory? In your view, how will we know we have won?

This discussion makes me feel better because as I watched the debate I was so angry I could spit. We trial lawyers talk of the other side "opening the door," and McCain opened so many doors it was insane. Obama failed to walk through any of them. Why would he let McCain go on about earmarks without calling him out on Palin being the biggest hog in government? And when McCain brought up the bear DNA earmark I gleefully assumed Obama would hit him with Palin's 3.2 million for harbor seal DNA. But nothing. And if I had to hear "John is absolutely right" one more time I thought my head would explode. And why did he never require McCain to define his terms, such as "victory?" In debate, you must define your terms. McCain would have looked like an idiot using a World War II model of "victory" to define Iraq. In short, I was in such a foul mood I called my sister and screamed at her for about twenty minutes just to make myself feel better.

And then something happened. The polls started rolling in. Honestly, had we watched the same debate, I wondered? But then I remembered that the people I hang out with, in life and on-line, know a hell of a lot more about politics and this campaign than lay people. An audience of ignorant undecides didn't know that Obama missed opportunity after opportunity because they didn't know McCain had opened the door in the first place. Because they don't pay attention.

I guess that's good. But it still pisses me off that he let McCain get away with all those easily provable lies and hypocrisy.

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I don't agree that Obama failed to walk through any of the open doors. If he had tried to walk through all or most of them, given the barrage of charges McCain made, he would not have had time left over to make key points he wanted to make.

Maybe those who have both litigated and also participated in a presidential debate can weigh in on this one.

In a trial, you don't have a 2-minute clock that limits what you have time to say. And you know you will have the opportunity at closing to make your affirmative case, to frame it exactly the way you want to based on how you have set up the evidence you are going to draw from.

Being an excellent trial lawyer strikes me as being extremely challenging. Participating successfully in a presidential debate strikes me as, um, more so.

I just finished watching Tina Fey, or maybe it was Sarah Palin, do a hysterically funny and scarily realistic impersonation of Sarah Palin being interviewed by Katie Couric on SNL. Check it out on the web if you missed it.

When McCain repeated the "Obama voted to raise taxes" for lower-income Americans canard, I was hoping Obama would say, "Senator, I want you to look me in the eye when you lie about me . . ." I don't see a downside to doing that.

I have a feeling Saturday Night Live tonight will do a very telling/crushing bit about McCain's inability to look Obama in the eye last night. It will stick in everyone's heads, and will make enough people (Independents) uneasy with McCain that the polls will open up this week as we start to accept Obama as President.

PS - Obama effing rules. :)

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I certainly agree that's what Obama should do but he never will do that and it's a shame. This determination to be the professorial gentleman may cost him the election and us our country. Obama is to self righteous in that regard. The polls that will matter are ot the instant polls. What people will remember is not what they said but the impression of the candidates they were left with. McCain doesn't care what impression people have of him because it is already so poor. Thus, he has nothing to lose by debasing himself as he did. His objective is to smear Obama. He did so effectively. The question is whether the combination of smearing lies via tv, radio, and the debates will amount to enough doubts having been raised about Obama to keep McCain's chances alive. I don't know that the GOP has any alternative means of achieving victory but this is and has been their basic M.O. for 40 years. Obama's refusal to put McCain away is a strategic error that means the election will remain close and Obama will not pull away in the coming weeks. if the election remains close then it is within the reach of the Republicans to steal once again. I'm not sure the public will put up with a third stolen election.

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Some thoughts on Obama along the lines of Avishai's "first look" -- but I would avoid OVERthinking the difference in how Obama comes off to someone else (suburban moms) than you or I.
My immediate thought of the debate afterwards was 'advantage Obama, but he failed to score any of the MANY possible knockouts'; by the latter I mean something like when Kerry in the 1st 04 debate pointed out how it was AL QAEDA and not Iraq that attacked -- and Bush had justified the Iraq War by saying "the enemy" attacked us.

Here is a list at least from the first half or 2/3 of the debate, when MOST of those opportunities, some more brazen and more absolutely guaranteed success w/a modicum of finesse (I am assuming Obama would maintain his usual modulated tactfulness), others less so. This a list of requested "McCain FuckUps":

*A few doozies, starting w/trying to palm off current financial crisis in terms of earmarks (!?!?)...

* the way he tried to place the financial crisis also at the feet of the SEC Chairman, likening him to Eisenhower on D-Day.

*Frankly, his total failure to explain his bizarre efforts to cancel the debates and suspend the campaign was a glaring ABSENCE which Obama could have much more effectively exploited. (I feel the debate was advantage Obama, but he had many opportunities to score real knockout punches that would have literally blown McCain out of the water and left the press with a near-impossible job of trying to sell McCain to the public. (My view is that the indicators are that press policy on key points suggests the fix is in, although it might very well have also been in against Clinton in 92 -- remember the NEWSWEEK cover, DURING THE ELECTION, of "WHY AMERICA DOESN'T TRUST CLINTON"?)

*McCain was totally behind on the Ted Kennedy issue, and opened with it. Obama was probably right not to have seized on that one (unless he could relate, eg, having spoken w/Kennedy or his family shortly before the debate or something)

*Trying to defend the role of the House Repukes, in KILLING THE DEAL (???????!) -- Obama should DEFINITELY have KO'd him on that one and didn't

* his point (another where Obama should have struck HARD, but politely) about having 'warned' of the FMs and 'greed' and excess. The name Rick Davis should have been raised here by Obama very sharply, among other points.

I understand that Obama is not a boxer by nature, but a consensus builder. But the debates ARE IN FACT boxing matches (I know polls show, as I felt myself,advantage Obama)

*blathering on about the fundamental "goodness and strength" of the American worker in response to the finance crisis, which is an almost senile non-sequitur

*McCain's ridiculous crack about "handing health care over to the federal government" which Obama should have used to clobber him, and to add focus on health care coverage and McCainian
privatization. McCain left another opening here which was not fully exploited.

*McCain's repeated references to "MISS ???" Congeniality?

*McCain in drawing lessons of Iraq War, where the indicating lines on CNN showed Obama consistently doing better than McCain (something the punditocracy seemed to miss), focused only on war STRATEGY and nothing about why we went in and weapons of mass destruction. He also implied that only STRATEGY was the lesson of the Vietnam War, later on suggesting "let us win" (something that if I were a Repuke supporter of imperialism, I would cringe at, seeing it as something at least better left unsaid)

TO GIVE McCAIN CREDIT, AT ONE POINT HE MADE A FAIRLY EFFECTIVE STATEMENT OF HIS CASE ON IRAQ, A CASE WHICH IS NOT STRONG FOR THE OVERWHELMING MAJORITY OF AMERICANS:


MCCAIN: The next president of the United States is not going to have to address the issue as to whether we went into Iraq or not. The next president of the United States is going to have to decide how we leave, when we leave, and what we leave behind. That's the decision of the next president of the United States.


* Again, when McCain talked about "victory", Obama needed to get critical about that (eg you don't "win" an occupation). It was another potential vulnerability for McCain

*repeatedly bringing up the issue of Obama's subcommittee (on EUROPE) and Afghanistan, a gaffe Obama did exploit but not fully (actually, there is I believe another SUBcommittee more focused on Afghanistan). But the point was plain bogus (the supposed link being NATO)

* Another (political AND substantive) WINNER from McCain:

... Graham and me to attend a ceremony where 688 brave young Americans, whose enlistment had expired, were reenlisting to stay and fight for Iraqi freedom and American freedom.

The issue of forced redeployments should have been raised powerfully here


There were others further on in the debate, though MOST of the worst blunders by McCain were in the first half.

(I could list more if people think that's really essential)

I completely agree with Bernard. I was frustrated, angry, and desperately wanted Obama to stop the conversation, turn to McCain, and call him out on his serial lying. By stringing together four or five lies in rapid succession McCain forced Obama to choose whether to spend the whole debate refuting the lies and thereby looking petulant and trivialg.

Obama's choice was a classic demonstration of not only his character but of how he intends to lead. McCain was dismissive and clearly despised Obama. He refused to even glance at him even when directly addressed; he fidgeted and his faced twitched whenever Obama spoke. Obama, meanwhile, looked intently and confidently at McCain while he was speaking, laughed outright when McCain lied, and forcefully laid out his plans.

So McCain spewed attacks and Obama laughed. CNN's audience monitor thingie calmed me a lot. ndependents reacted sharply negatively to an awful lot of what McCain said, including the lies, even on foreign policy issues, and generally agreed with Obama, with few spikes and rising approval as he spoke.

As many of us have said before, Obama is a master. His fans are always clamoring for him to attack McCain as viciously as McCain attacks him. But Obama recognizes that undecideds want a leader at the helm. So he behaves like a leader, like someone who's ready to win and ready to take control.

McCain, on the other hand, is redefining the term "maverick" to mean impulsive and unreliable. And that's what I, in my ignorance of strategy, hope Obama and his allies will start saying. After all, the first deinition in my American Heritage dictionary is:

1. An unbranded or orphaned range calf or colt, traditionally considered the property of the first person who brands it.

However, one of the best tactics in oral argument is bringing the jury right to the point where the conclusion is inescapable. Then, when they decide they agree, they 'own' the decision, rather than giving in to you. Obama is doing this with undecideds. So if he does what I want, fine; if not, well, he's been right so far.

I also had the same initial reaction, thinking Obama did not come at McCain hard enough, and expecing the pundits to say McCain came out ahead. But I also think this is analogous to the Reagan-Carter debate, where people wanted a reason to vote against Carter but had been afraid of Reagan. Reagan came off as not scary and thus democrats (even died-in-the-wool ones like my parents) felt able to vote for him. (I remained terrified of Reagan and shell-shocked by his landslide, and still regard him as a terrible president). Obama maintained a calm demeanor and impressive command of the facts, and it appears that this was noticed by the undecided voters as demonstrated by the initial polling. He certainly passed the threshold of appearing presidential, and was gracious and mature, as opposed to McCain seeming extremely condescending, even insultingly so.

Cloudy, you hit many nails of their heads. The one thing to consider is how, if Obama answered sharply, the result would resonate going forward. For example, health care. McCain is, in a way, right: we do want the federal government greatly expanding its role in health insurance, much as it is doing in insuring our financial institutions. But for Obama to use this moment to celebrate government management of health care would have been a lost cause. He would need more time, and a different context, to seal this point--and I expect he will get it.

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I think the remaining hurdle Obama faces in the minds of the undecided voters is the question of 'Does he have the character to be President?'. After the debate I went to the message board of a rock band I really like. We discuss politics there quite often and in an honest way...no partisan ideologues. Many are Obama supporters, there are some McCain people and many undecideds. I was heartened to hear many McCain supporters (many from the deep red South) say to me 'Congrats this thing is over. I just hope Obama does a good job.' To a man/woman everybody who saw that debate came away with a better impression of Obama, who we all agreed looked and sounded Presidential.

It is not over by a long shot but Obama continues to effectively make the case to the undecideds and doubters that he has the mettle to be the leader of our country.

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And someone posted this (which has nothing to do with last night's debate but gets to the heart of McCain's 'judgment problem');

Turtle Soup?

While suturing a cut on the hand of a 75 year old rancher who's
hand was caught in the gate while working cattle, the doctor struck up a
conversation with the old man. Eventually the topic got around to Palin and her bid.

The old rancher said, "Well, ya know, Palin is a 'Post Turtle'".

Not being familiar with the term, the doctor asked him what a 'post turtle' was.

The old rancher said, "When you're driving down a country
road you come across a fence post with a turtle balanced on top - that's a
'post turtle".

The old rancher saw the puzzled look on the doctor's face so he
continued to explain. "You know she didn't get up there by herself, she
doesn't belong up there, and she doesn't know what to do while she's
up there, and you just wonder what kind of dummy put her up there to begin with".

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Many immediate post-debate commentators said Obama was foolish for repeating his gracious "Senator McCain is right" phrase. It was argued Obama should have been more aggressive. But it seems to me Obama brilliantly handled a dangerous perception problem by being so deferential. Were he to have appeared in anyway like the stereotypic "angry black man" he would have lost the debate. His respectful treatment of McCain--who deserved none given his jeering treatment of Obama--I believed quelled latent racist fears about turning the presidency over to a black man. Obama came across as not only knowledgeable but as "one of us." He was not threatening. He seemed genuinely American. He was not haughty; he did not talk down but rather to the American people. His smiles were genuine. When McCain said something untrue or outrageous Obama's wry chuckle hit just the right tone of "come on John stop with those proven distortions you have been throwin' around." (Remember Gore's sighs under similar circumstances and how of-putting they were?).

I believe the consensus is going to coalesce now around the idea that Obama, an African America, is a competent and all around safe choice to lead this country and thus this really is the change election Obama has said it will be. McCain may have given a strong performance showing off his command of foreign policy issues but Obama not only matched him but won a much more critical perception problem.


It was McCain who spoke of building an "alliance of democracies," for God sake, not Obama

But remember

The "alliance of democracies" wasn't about creating new allies, it was about creating ways for us to ostracize and exclude former allies that we decide are not democracies. Like Spain.

McCain might have hit a good rhetoric point there, but only if you don't know what the substance of the thing he's referring to is.

LOVE the "post turtle" story!!!!!

As to Obama's approach ..... Think about the votes he needs. This campaign has always had its eye on the prize down the road -- stunningly so. Axelrod, I suspect, gets credit for that right along with Obama. Who are the people whose votes they may still be able to get?

I suspect many of them are sort of like children of divorce: they honestly LIKE both of these men - maybe long-time affection for McCain and/or respect for his history, attraction to the hope and future-orientation of Obama. They *want* to be able to reconcile that, to be able to continue liking them and at the same time chose one over the other, since they know they must. McCain's rudeness and continual belittling says "You have to chose -- love me or if you go with this twerp, I'll never care about you." Obama's courtesy and admitting the points of agreement says "You can like both of us, there is much to be admired about my opponent and I hope you see that I am worthy. Our differences are unemotional, based on the impersonal issues." If you are genuinely feeling torn in this most personal of all voter choices, which message attracts you?

Obama doesn't need to win my support - or the poster's - or Nora Ephron's. He needs the support of people who are, by definition, willing and able to vote for McCain if Obama doesn't win them away. Last night, he was sending a message directly to those people - and it seems he succeeded very, very well.

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This really appeals to me.

"Senator, if you actually believed the lies you are telling about me, you'd be looking me in the eye when you said them."

That's probably too nasty.

Maybe just a long, pensive stare, shaking his head. A nice even tone: "Senator, even you can't possibly believe that." (The long silent stare getting across the message that Obama is looking McCain in the face, and McCain is looking anywhere else.)

katjam - thanks. that's what i was going to say. The elephant in the room is that Obama is black but no one wants to point that out. And most of us "don't see color" (kinda like Stephen Colbert) but for those undecided voters who DO see color, he has to act respectful. He cannot come off as an angry black man. I wish it weren't so. But it is.

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But then, I wanted McCain to look ridiculous. He did not--and is not.

And what do you base that on?

I personally think his is a sorry joke of a candidate, a quitter, a chickenshit who is afraid of debate and would rather cancel than go through with it.

It is fine a dandy to say "What you would have said" but in the end it is what Obama did not say. He did not show leadership, he was bested by an old man, he tried to appeal to everyone and appealed to no one. He blew it. You know it and I know it. The guy cannot debate without someone typing into a tele-promoter for him. Harvard, Princeton and numerous other colleges are all ashamed he is the best they have.

...he tried to appeal to everyone and appealed to no one.

No one, except, apparently, a significant majority of the undecided voters polled after the debate.

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