Cost-benefit foreign policy?
One might disregard that the New York Times published a savage review of a well-meaning book. However, one cannot ignore -- especially as we about to face a changing of the guards -- a call for a foreign policy that ignores moral considerations and is built on costs and benefits. Killing people is very often much more efficient than helping them build a life for themselves, but helping people is clearly the right course, and happens to be what the book at issue calls for.
The book is A Path Out of the Desert by Kenneth M Pollack, the head of research of the center for Middle East policy at Brookings. Granted, Pollack's record is not without blemishes. His previous book made a case for invading Iraq, which by now most agree was at best the right war in the wrong country. And his current book is sociologically naïve to the nth degree. Pollack believes that a sort of Marshal Plan for the Middle East could provide jobs, education, and political reforms for the region, which in turn would drain the swamp in which terrorism breeds. However, the record shows that the conditions in the Middle East make such efforts much more difficult to advance than they were in Germany and Japan after WWII. In addition, terrorists and their supporters are more numerous in nations that have a higher level of income and education than in those with low ones. I do believe that we should provide help to nations for humanitarian reasons, although the Middle East is swimming in oil revenue and hardly needs our cash. However, to expect that such foreign aid will stop terrorism is simply a profoundly mistaken notion.
None of this, however, justifies the kind of abusive barrages Max Rodenbeck, a reporter for The Economist, unleashes on the book and on its author. Among the nicest things Rodenbeck has to say about the book is that it's full of errors and "outdated generalizations," and that it's "disingenuous" and offers false or misleading assertions. Pollack is said to have "a shaky grasp of history"; he is "oddly unaware of history's motivating forces," and makes "absurdly cockeyed assertions."
Only in the last lines of the review does Max Rodenbeck himself become clear about that which troubles him--what he labels the United States' "strategically burdensome" support of Israel which is "driven by the passion of several domestic constituencies" rather then "cold cost-benefit geopolitics." Even if one accepts for a moment the notion that there is such a thing as "cold cost-benefit" foreign policy, it would suggest that abandoning Israel, after decades of close alliance, would undermine the already shaken confidence of whatever allies the US has left. The US just demonstrated in Georgia how meaningless its declarations of support are. The Bush Administration repeatedly declared that "we shall stand with Georgia" but in effect has shown itself to be powerless to do anything meaningful about protecting it. (I am not arguing that the US should have rushed to Georgia's defense, only that it should not promise support which it cannot back up with action). If Israel would be left to the same fate, it is hard to see that Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Taiwan, or any other nation would still consider the US a viable ally.
More profoundly, public life at home and overseas cannot be disassociated from moral considerations. People are not willing to die for whatever cost-benefit analyses determine should be paid for. They are willing to sacrifice their lives for the promotion of human rights and democratic freedoms, to stop an ethnic cleansing in Kosovo because it is morally reprehensible, even if it does not have oil or serve any other strategic interest of the US. The US saved Europe from the Nazis at huge human costs, although it could quite readily have retreated behind its borders. I am not saying that nations do not or should not pay mind to their narrowly defined interests. I am merely suggesting, as have many others, that in this day and age doing what is right also plays a key role in shaping a nation's foreign policy. Anybody who does not understand this most basic fact of contemporary international life should not call others ignorant.
***
Micro-blogging
Rodenbeck is not alone. Don Wycliff refers, in the May 23, 2008 issue of Commonweal, to a "daily diet of images of [Israeli] soldiers shooting at [Palestinian] rock-throwers and of homes being bulldozed." Actually such confrontations have become extremely rare. Better yet, Hamas has stopped attacking Israel with missiles for now and Israel has ceased killing militants in Gaza.
Edited to add:
In response to the comment by destor23, "...Etzioni never deigns to answers his critics here. The professor is here to lecture": I would be happy to respond to all serious criticisms from all those who will give up their aliases and own up to what they are saying -- just the way I do.
Amitai Etzioni is a professor of international relations at The George Washington University. For more discussion, see Security First (Yale 2007). To contact him, write comnet@gwu.edu. www.securityfirst.com















No matter what good will America’s “policy community” proclaims toward the Middle East, this mix of blinkered indulgence of Israel and disdain for the rest of the region, as well as a predilection for Wilsonian dreams over achievable goals, suggests we will remain in the wilderness for some time to come. Max Rodenbeck The New York Times "Sunday Book Review" 8/22/2008
Seems a pretty fair criticism of Kenneth Pollack and the rest of the self-described "liberal" Scoop Jackson foreign policy crowd.
September 12, 2008 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for providing the link Ellen. After reading Rodenbeck's article, I'm still looking for the "abusive barrages." Sure, Rodenbeck, after acknowledging the strengths of some of Pollack's analysis of the problem, criticizes his proposed solutions. But that's just a book review--not an abusive attack.
Etzioni takes one line of Rodenbeck's review and blows it out of all proportion. Rodenbeck's concluding paragraph reads:
What is troubling about Pollack’s view, which is fairly representative of his fellow liberal interventionists, who are likely to be in power soon, is its lack of clarity. Can’t we just admit that American support for Israel is strategically burdensome and is driven by the passion of several domestic constituencies rather than cold cost-benefit geopolitics? Can’t we see that the temptation to intervene in places like the Middle East arises as much because “they” are weak as because “we” are just and noble? No matter what good will America’s “policy community” proclaims toward the Middle East, this mix of blinkered indulgence of Israel and disdain for the rest of the region, as well as a predilection for Wilsonian dreams over achievable goals, suggests we will remain in the wilderness for some time to come.
Rodenbeck doesn't actually argue for replacing moral arguments about foreign policy with cost-benefit analyses as Etzioni implies. He simply is pointing out that Pollack goes through contortions to make America's support for Israel seem like a strategic positive. Rodenbeck earlier in his review quotes this line from Pollack:
“America’s support for Israel over the years has even been a critical element in winning and securing Arab allies.”
In this statement, Pollack seems to be arguing that our support for Israel has strategic benefits including helping us secure Arab allies! I haven't read Pollack's book, so I can't say for sure what the context of such a statement is. But on it's face, the statement seems ridiculous. Rodenbeck is simply pointing out that Pollack is so driven by his desire to portray our support for Israel as a strategic positive in our overall Middle East policy that he ignores the obvious fact that a lot of our support for Israel is driven not by any cost-benefit analysis or strategic concerns, but simply by pro-Israeli lobbying organizations like AIPAC. There's nothing wrong about this. And there's nothing at all about how moral issues are not to be considered in determining our foreign policy.
Etzioni (ex IDF member) seems to be a bit hypersensitive if you ask me.
September 13, 2008 8:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
One other point. If we were actually to consider the "morality" of our foreign policy decisions, I think we might have to reduce our support for Israel until they begin to treat the Palestinians better. From both a cost-benefit perspective and a moral perspective, our unyielding support for Israel is troublesome. Rodenbeck is absolutely right that primary reason our support for Israel is so excessively strong is because of the influence of domestic political groups. Both morality and self-interest argue for a bit less unconditional support.
September 13, 2008 8:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
OTOH, what is a cost-benefit analysis as applied our relations with other countries?
For example, what do we get out of being an ally of the UK...or France...or Germany...in terms of a hard cost-benefit analysis?
What do we get out of being allies with Saudi Arabia...or Jordan... or Egypt?
Is it trade? Certainly, every country in the world wants to trade with the US whether we're "friendly" with them or not. We're the biggest market in the world.
Is it security arrangements...sharing of intelligence? Surely Israel has shared a great deal of intelligence with us (some of it not very good) as have these other countries.
Is it supplying a market for our goods and services? Surely, Israel fits the bill, given its size almost as well as these other countries.
Does it mean not dragging us into unwanted conflicts? Then surely the UK is NOT a good ally of the US because they supplied some key cover (Downing Street Memo) for the Iraq invasion, not to mention being the only other major power to join us in the invasion.
In this regard, Kuwait is surely NOT a good ally because they dragged us into the first Gulf War...and Israel is a far better ally because they agreed to stay out of it, even though missiles were raining down on them.
So I guess I'm a little unclear as to what exactly cost-benefit analysis means in this case...
September 14, 2008 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with Ellen of the giant black eye!
Pollack and his ilk have not earned an open-minded assessment of their work or intent; quite the opposite really.
Actually, we know what their intent is: Continued cutthroat American dominance of a region that it has been financially and militarily repressing since the 1950s. A bully like the U.S. does not turn moral all of a sudden. Instead, it continues being a moral scourge in sheep's clothing.
Also, actually, Pollack's ideas amount to no more than putting lipstick on that pig George Bush's policies.
Love,
News Nag
September 12, 2008 8:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Amitai Eztioni defends Ken Pollack, what a shock. I really can't believe that you dismiss Pollack's Iraq blunder as a mere "blemish." But worse than that, you're fighting a straw man. Of course we should conduct our foreign policy with morality in mind. The first moral commitment we make should be to do no harm, the second should be to respect other cultures and governments and the third should be that we should rarely act with violence unless it's in our own defense.
The argument isn't between those who would act only in our interests and those who'd act with morals. The real argument is about what our morals should be. Ont that, Pollack is on the wrong side and Etzioni is wrong to try and defend him.
September 12, 2008 8:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can you tell me what is moral about ignoring costs and benefits?
September 13, 2008 7:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Silly bluebell, Etzioni never deigns to answers his critics here. The professor is here to lecture.
September 13, 2008 9:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
bluebell,
Good question.
Pollack wears two hats; He wants to be a remodeler of other people's culture and also be an analyst in the Kissinger mode of defining "spheres of influence." Your question requires Professor Etzioni to be clear about what he thinks is the dividing line is between the two activities. While I disagree with most of Pollack, the offhand way Etzioni dismisses him makes me want to argue in Pollack's defense.
destor23's comment lead me to ask a question. Has Professor Etzioni ever replied to comments in his posts? I have read and replied to many of them and never saw him put in an appearance.
September 13, 2008 12:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
bluebell,
Good question.
Pollack wears two hats; He wants to be a remodeler of other people's culture and also be an analyst in the Kissinger mode of defining "spheres of influence." Your question requires Professor Etzioni to be clear about what he thinks is the dividing line between the two activities. While I disagree with most of Pollack, the offhand way Etzioni dismisses him makes me want to argue in Pollack's defense.
destor23's comment lead me to ask a question. Has Professor Etzioni ever replied to comments in his posts? I have read and replied to many of them and never saw him put in an appearance.
September 13, 2008 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
bluebell,
Good question.
Pollack wears two hats; He wants to be a remodeler of other people's culture and also be an analyst in the Kissinger mode of defining "spheres of influence." Your question requires Professor Etzioni to be clear about what he thinks is the dividing line between the two activities. While I disagree with most of Pollack, the offhand way Etzioni dismisses him makes me want to argue in Pollack's defense.
destor23's comment lead me to ask a question. Has Professor Etzioni ever replied to comments in his posts? I have read and replied to many of them and never saw him put in an appearance.
September 13, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Whether Pollack or Rodenbeck is right is immaterial--strong U.S. support for America's only democratic ally in the Mideast isn't going to change no matter who is elected President, there is not a damn thing you Jew-haters can do about it, and the reason for that isn't because of my friends and me and our campaign contributions. It's because most Americans think the Arabs are a bunch of fucking thieving rapacious-oil swilling terrorists, while most Americans think Israelis, while not perfect, are friends to the U.S whom those same Arabs have tried to blow up again and again. If that was not the majority view, then no matter how much my friends and I give to candidates, the support for Israel that will not be changing wouldn't be there.
September 14, 2008 8:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
As usual, apacmember -- who may even be a member of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee -- goes off the deep end.
A true patriot "supports" such specific policies of a foreign country as will benefit his own country. To give to any foreign country thoughtless, generalized "support" which is ill-defined and without policy distinctions is unpatriotic.
No foreign country can be given a blank check against America's bank account.
September 14, 2008 11:24 PM | Reply | Permalink