
Today, 9/11, seems the right day to ask how American foreign policy, and the Middle East conflict particularly, are playing out in the presidential campaign. What, if anything, can Barack Obama do to frame the conversation and, not coincidentally, get himself elected?
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict, which we have been discussing in this space over the past few days, may seem a side issue here. It is not. Obama himself made the case when he returned from the region in July that any US advance toward diplomatic normalization with Iran, or toward a regional alliance to help out in Iraq, would be tied-up in large measure with Israeli-Palestinian peace. It is a matter of hearts and minds in the greater Arab world.
Moreover, as many of us have argued, the US is the key to any future deal. Given the strength of the Israeli right (and the vendetta culture of Israelis and Palestinians more generally), we cannot expect an Israeli leader to rally an incipient Israeli majority to an actual deal, that is, risk undermining national solidarity for a long while--not unless an American administration and Europe together force the issue, offering a larger, plausible vision, boots on the ground, new investment, and so forth.
Rightist notions like "the global war on terror" have shown how Israel's conflicts are consonant with America's. The Israeli government's ambivalence about ending its occupation, its default to military force, its tensions with Iran, etc., have seemed a kind of US policy agenda in microcosm. And if America approaches its Middle East problems, as Obama insists it must, not with military preemption but with an emphasis on collective security, patient alliances, containment, the power of the global economy, and so forth, how can this not imply a verdict on Israeli occupation?
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