What Is The Predator State?

For those who are interested in reviews, The Predator State has so far garnered three: Pedro da Costa in Reuters, Roger Gathman in the Austin American-Statesman, and Randall Wray in the Journal of Economic Issues. Kevin Horrigan of the St Louis Post-Dispatch also devoted a column to it, and Tom Frank gave it a mention in the Wall Street Journal. Last Friday and Saturday, it was the top seller on Amazon under "Economic Policy". All of this is not too bad, for a book published less than a week ago.
Gathman takes note of something important. The book originated, in part, as a challenge from my father, delivered in our last conversation, on Wednesday, April 26, 2006 in his room at Mount Auburn hospital. Dad seemed, at the time, to be recovering (slightly) from a bout of pneumonia, and had the energy to ask what I was working on. I told him of some recent lectures on predation. "You should write a short book on corporate predation," he said. "It will make you the leading economic voice of your generation." And then he added his typically modest, typically paternal touch, "If I could do it, I would put you in the shade."
But of course the ideas for the book had been germinating a long time. I came of age, politically, during the Reagan wars of the early 1980s. I was, then as now, a liberal Keynesian, educated at Kaldor's Cambridge and Tobin's Yale, but not yet thirty and very much on the losing side. By the late 90s, very few people even knew about the economics I was brought up on. I felt a bit like the last survivor of a Papuan tribe.
There is a tendency, seen in Jonathan Chait's book The Big Con and Paul Krugman's Conscience of a Liberal - good books both, by the way - to treat the conservative revolution of the 1980s as a pure fraud - a con game - put over on a gullible public by the paid agents of corporate and plutocratic power. There is of course something to this story, but I never felt that it was the whole truth. As I got to know the free-market, supply-side crowd, the hard money, low-tax, Wall Street Journal deregulate-and-privatize team, I came rather to like them. I never thought they were right. Far from it: on matters of economic policy they were in my view mostly nuts. But I did think - and do think - that they held their views in good faith. They were, by and large, willing to argue the merits of their ideas. And they had behind them the authority of a vast academic establishment, ranging from Friedrich von Hayek to Milton Friedman to such contemporaries as Gary Becker and Robert Mundell - all just as nutty in my view. (For those who would be amused by it, my 1990 debate with Friedman on his TV show, "Free to Choose" can be found here. )
The academic economics of the 1970s lined up behind the right-wing politics of the 1980s for a reason. Reaganomics had a logic. Each policy would aim at one problem. Tight money would cure inflation. Low taxes would stimulate saving and work effort. Small government and balanced budgets would 'crowd in' investment; free trade would make us efficient. Corporate executive pay should be tied to the stock market, as this would cure the "agency" problem and make the firm work for its owners; "market discipline" would instill a new competitiveness in the enterprise. Deregulation, above all, would substitute the invisible hand of the "efficient market" for the dead hand of bureaucracy.
This was a modern version of the economics of David Ricardo, of which Keynes wrote long ago:
That it reached conclusions quite different from what the ordinary uninstructed person would expect, added, I suppose, to its intellectual prestige. That its teaching, translated into practice, was austere and often unpalatable, lent it virtue. That it was adapted to carry a vast and consistent logical superstructure, gave it beauty. That it could explain much social injustice and apparent cruelty as an inevitable incident in the scheme of progress, and the attempt to change such things as likely... to do more harm than good, commended it to authority.Reality soon barged in. Following the steep recession of 1981-82 and the victory of the congressional Democrats that year, economic policy became much more pragmatic. Monetarism was abandoned. Social Security was not privatized. The income tax cuts kicked in, and while they never stimulated saving or work effort, they did increase purchasing power in the usual Keynesian way. Later on, Congress took back quite a lot of the initial Reagan tax giveaways, and enacted a comprehensive tax reform. Reagan's trade policies were quite protectionist- notably on cars and steel -drawing stern protests from libertarians. And after the fiasco of the savings and loans, that industry was re-regulated while many perpetrators of financial fraud went to jail.
Still, though the free-marketeers lost many battles, their propaganda machine remained very strong. And historians have so far largely accepted their story. Global events helped: the fall of communism in Europe reinforced Milton Friedman's argument that capitalism meant freedom (something that many Chileans and Argentines in those years found hard to swallow).
But liberals and Democrats also abetted the triumph of the right. They mostly stopped arguing over theory. "The age of big government is over!" Bill Clinton declared. Liberals accepted the virtue of balanced budgets, of low tax rates, and of deregulation in many spheres, of leaving the fight against inflation solely in the hands of the Federal Reserve. In alliance with big business, Democratic presidents became aggressive advocates of what they called "free trade" - though it was really just the use of diplomacy for political payola. Democrats and liberals won some policy battles and some elections, and they presided over a prosperous moment. But they did it by selling themselves as Reagan-lite, by overselling small social advances, pilot projects and placebos, and by riding the crest of a credit boom that could not be sustained.
The judicial coup of December 2000 that installed Bush and Cheney brought back some of Reagan's men and his most extreme policies - tax cuts for the wealthy, big increases in military spending, aggressive deregulation. But it didn't bring back the ideas. Instead, it became clear that Bush and Cheney had no real ideas, no larger public justification. They cut taxes to enrich their supporters. For the same reason, they outsourced to Blackwater and Halliburton and pursued military pipe dreams like Missile Defense. They were willing to have the government spend like a drunken sailor in 2003/4 to boost the economy before the election. They placed lobbyists in charge of the regulators, representing, in every case, the most extreme anti-regulation perspective. (Not so long ago, Bush's financial regulators showed up at a press conference with a chainsaw.) Under Bush and Cheney, oil and gas, drug companies and defense contractors, insurers and usurers control the government of the United States, and it does what they want. This is the predator state.
It was very interesting to me that some of the first to sense this loss of public purpose were the very conservatives who had swept in with Reagan. The nemeses of my youth, people like Bruce Bartlett, Paul Craig Roberts, the late Jude Wanniski, went over into hard opposition. This was compounded by their opposition to Bush's assaults on civil liberties and the war in Iraq, but at the core they felt that Bush had no conservative convictions. And so, at least as far as broad politics go, we were suddenly on the same side. As I put in on Marketplace on Thursday: "Had I gone crazy? Or had they gone sane?" Either way, there seemed to be a book in it and The Predator State is the result.
Of course, we have very different views of where to go from here. Reagan abandoned the free market in practice, and Bush abandoned it in theory. Why? Because it is a useless, romantic concept, with minimal real world application. In the world of arcane technologies, structured financial derivatives and a precarious global atmosphere, decentralized markets and "supply-and-demand" decide very little, and "market discipline" is a contradiction in terms The job of discipline belongs to governments. And they must act not only on behalf of today's citizens but of all those yet to come - of those who need clean food and water, of those who need safe cars, appliances and workplaces, and of those will be around the low countries when the ice caps melt. Dealing with problems means thinking ahead, from an independent, forward-looking point of view. This is called planning. It means providing stable, predictable rules for the private sector. This is called setting standards. And in the present international economic climate, it means giving the rest of the world a reason to finance the continuing prosperity of the United States.
The Predator State criticizes conservative economics, but that's not the big point. My argument is directed largely at liberals. And especially at those liberals who remain transfixed by the "logic" of markets, by the faded political clout of the Reagan rhetoric, and by the idea that respectability requires continuous genuflection at the shrines of the Chicago School. It is these mental habits that we, who are liberals, must break. The Predator State is aimed at the notion that the liberal formula should be "making markets work."
I have never accepted that the United States fits the mold of a "free market economy." If we ever did, that model collapsed in the Great Depression. What was built in its place was a remarkable mix of public and private. There was, of course, plenty of room for enterprise. But it came in a framework, of a government that was, at its best, competently concerned with research, infrastructure, national security, the workplace and the environment, that provided Social Security and a large share of education, health care and housing. Part of the accidental genius of the system was that the public-private mix in those three areas, especially, created "soft budget constraints" that caused higher education, the medical sector and the mortgage market to grow very large - far larger than they ever could have, under either the free market taken alone or under socialism. While many notorious problems remained (especially our lack of universal health insurance), this enriched the middle class and was an immense source of growth.
The Bush-Cheney years should have taught us that today's right wing understands this very well. They are not interested (if they ever were) in reducing government. On the contrary, they are perfectly willing to expand it. But the goal, in every case, is to expand government in such a way as to benefit, first and foremost, political friends and supporters at the expense, mainly, of the middle class. And while a rich country can survive a fair amount of this, it cannot withstand the complete control of government by predators. For what happens then, is a population crash of the prey. This, as a result of the sub-prime mortgage crisis and the systematic deregulation of securities and futures markets, we now confront in the financial crisis and the speculative commodities bubble. And if we do not reclaim and rebuild the capacity of our government to act, with purpose and on a large scale, we will eventually see far worse as the climate crisis unfolds.
What's required? Three despised ideas need to be re-thought and re-spoken. The first is planning. Markets cannot foresee the future, only human imagination does that. Corporations, of course, do plan. The question is, can you trust all the planning that needs to be done to the "planning" department of ExxonMobil? No? Then government needs to get back into that game. The job is not for the faint-hearted: there is no perfect plan, and the first thing predators do, of course, is shoot the planners.
A second is standards. In a world where interest rates are set by the central bank and the oil price is set by the Saudis, there's nothing wrong with guidelines for fair wages and to protect the living standards of the working poor and the middle class. (We already have the minimum wage, after all: it's just not high enough.) Standards are needed not just in trade agreements, but at home can give a more fair society, and also a more efficient and successful one: you need to be efficient to pay fair wages. Firms, on the other hand, that cannot pay decent wages or meet environmental and safety codes should not be coddled. They should be phased out, and the jobs transferred, in effect, to more productive and efficient firms.
The third idea is interdependence - as a financial fact. America can no longer justify its huge debts and the world role of the dollar through the security leadership we once provided, when people needed it, back in the Cold War. As a substitute, the war on terror is a dud. And the go-it-alone mentality that got us into Iraq is even worse: a path to financial disaster.
We can't escape debt or deficits, and any attempt to do so by cutting government - the old conservative "solution" - would just lead to depression. So what's the way out? How can we reconcile the imperative public challenges that face us (in particular) on the environment and energy fronts with the political and social imperative that the economy grow and provide jobs and decent living standards? What we must do, is get to work. We should be doing what needs doing, to change our transport system, our patterns of energy use, and to create and spread the technologies that will bring climate change under control. No other country could do as much, as quickly, as we can. No other country can contribute as much, as we could, to solving these crises. And if we can persuade the world to fund us, we could keep Americans fully employed for a generation or more, in this work.





















In the world of arcane technologies, structured financial derivatives and a precarious global atmosphere, decentralized markets and "supply-and-demand" decide very little, and "market discipline" is a contradiction in terms.
Much too blithe.
All you're really saying is that if the government takes the position that certain market participants are too-big-to-fail, then, "'market discipline' is a contradiction in terms." Which isn't saying very much of interest.
I hope that over the week you'll expand on your conclusion -- prove you haven't drunk the Kool-Aid on offer by Wall Street and its governmental enablers.
August 11, 2008 12:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I felt a bit like the last survivor of a Papuan tribe. James K. Galbraith
Nope. Just a member of the Too-Big-To-Fail Cargo Cult.
August 11, 2008 12:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
@ Ellen
I looked at that same sentence and thought you were much too polite...but, of course, I would.
When I buy a product I compare it to the competition, when I bid for a job I am compared to others. If too many people buy Toyotas or Airbus employees at GM and Boeing lose their jobs. I don't know what he's talking about.
August 11, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am very conflicted. To Glass-Steagall or not to Glass-Steagall.
For as long as the Federal Reserve Bank is allowed (encouraged?) to fund the trading desks* of the major banks with cheap money I'm hard pressed to see how regulation will accomplish the task us liberals are looking for -- namely, a huge reduction in the size and importance of rent-seeking finance capitalism.
* Even Paul Krugman has drunk the Kool-Aid of convention: "A simple supply-demand economics cartoon shows why $145 per barrel oil is just what it should be." So how come its suddenly $111 per barrel? Bank trading desks? Speculators? Keep movin' folks; nothin' to see here.
August 11, 2008 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
One way to think about this: when was the last time a "person" bought an Airbus? Aside from the occasional Saudi prince, products like that are sold exclusively to corporations.
And when you look closely, you find that the transaction is a detailed bilateral contract, in which price plays a relatively small role, and price adjustment practically none. Boeing lines up its buyers long in advance. Meeting technical specs and deadlines is much more important -- and as with the Dreamliner or the A380 -- quite difficult.
Does this mean that the "market metaphor" -- supply-and-demand, price-adjusting-to-sell- whatever-is-produced -- is off-base for this sort of product? Sure.
To the ultimate consumer, of course, the type of plane you fly in is something you have no control over at all.
I had an entertaining experience traveling with a group of friends in China a few years ago. We were at the airport, leaving Guilin for Xi'an, when our guide decided that the plane we were flying (on something called Hainan Airlines) was too small for Americans. So he took our tickets, got them reimbursed, and rebooked us for another flight at the same hour on a different airline, flying a Boeing.
Imagine trying that in the US, these days.
JG
August 12, 2008 9:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
@ Galbraith
You now force me to reread your article and all its links. Can't hurt to be better informed...so thanks.
First, you mention Airbus but not Toyota. Rather selective since your argument is not valid for the latter.
Second, do you really want to argue that airlines do not consider price when they buy airplanes? You say "price plays a relatively small role" arguing that tech specs and deadlines are much more important. Are you really arguing that the latter do not ultimately translate into price, into dollars and cents? I'd like to hear more about how Boeing lines up its customers well in advance without talking money.
Third, I fail to see the relevance of your China story. Were you just showing your blithe side?
August 12, 2008 11:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Blithe?
No one has ever accused me of that before, I had to look it up to make sure. "Of a happy, light-hearted character or disposition." According to Merriam- Webster.
Hmmm. Really?
August 12, 2008 9:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rather more in the sense of -- lacking or showing a lack of due concern, the leading definition here and here and here in .
August 12, 2008 9:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I haven't read the book yet, so perhaps this is covered, but the "vast right wing conspiracy" is responsible for much of the mischief.
Wackos like Norquist would have been standing on his soap box next to the flat earthers if he hadn't been able to ally with the super rich group that has funded the "intellectual" underpinnings of the movement.
The Manhattan Institute, Cato, Heritage, Hoover, GMU economics dept and U of Chicago didn't just happen, the received (and still do) millions from the core group of plutocrats who have most benefited from the policies that they promote.
This includes Scaife, Olin, Koch, Walton, Mars, Coors and about a dozen other such families. When a "liberal" think tank starts up it is two people in a hole in the wall. When Charles Koch decides he wants libertarian economics to become acceptable he gives $28 million to GMU and has them import eight like-minded people as the core of the faculty.
I'm reading a book which contrasts the Ford and Rockefeller foundations with the group I listed above. Apparently fighting poverty and disease is a "liberal" idea, while bending trade and tax policies to benefit the super wealthy is "conservative".
There are no well-funded "liberal" think tanks.
To complete the picture add in the big media companies which are allied with the military or other international interests (Murdoch) and you can begin to see the outlines of the "conspiracy".
Follow the money...
August 11, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Didn't the Democratic presidential nominee have a certain amount of elbow rubbing with folks of the Chicago School, as did his "brilliant" legal advisor, Mr. Cass Sunstein?
Hasn't B.O. signed off on "free" trade, wth a wink-wink/nudge-nudge to Canada, this spring?
August 11, 2008 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here is a link to more information about Obama's advisors. http://www.cfr.org/publication/16188/foreign_policy_brain_trusts.html#5
August 11, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope Mr Galbraith takes notice of the big Colluder in all this.....Media.
How was all this propaganda delivered? What could be a more efficient tool to resculpt the american mind thru mass communications ...The Corporate Media.
Who could make sure that THEIR message got out, but any ideas to the contrary were smothered in the crib....The Corporate Media.
Who could keep you busy drinking soda pop, eating junk food, and shopping for miracle cure meds?....The Corporate Media. Who could keep you wanting more shiny stuff and keeping up with idealized TV Joneses?....The Corporate Media.
They control what we hear, and they control what we see. Anybody here, who believes we could have come to this pass without The Corporate Media agenda, raise your hands.
August 11, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Galbraith's regulation of big business to accomodate the public good surely is capable of encompassing media regulations designed to prevent the type of media consolidation that has led to corporate ownership of our news.
That more than anything else has contributed to the long decline in quality to the sad state it is today. Ratings driven drivel.
August 11, 2008 4:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dr. Galbraith,
One of the major obstacles is that economic education, including college courses, has deteriorated drastically over the last four decades and that's after purges during the McCarthy era. Another is that there was a very different ethic following WW II and the Great Depression. The difference seems to be that most people wanted to have a decent life as opposed to a chance to get rich. Worship of the latter ideal has just made the already quite rich a great deal richer.
Those in college now may being seeing through all the smoke and mirrors. I hope so for their own sake. At this point it looks as though it will take nothing short of a disaster for many folks to realize what it takes to have a successful modern economy and that measuring the number of millionaires is pretty meaningless, especially given how little money that is these days.
I have no idea of what the future will bring but I do know that the demographics are due to change dramatically and that US dominance in the global economy is declining. Who knows? Maybe we will have to make our own consumer goods some day.
I do agree that there are major projects like the one's that you suggest that would be productive and exciting for those involved. Right now, though, it seems that far too many think these things happen by magic as opposed to people getting organized and figuring out how to organize the work and to fund it. That's what happened after WW II.
August 11, 2008 3:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Economic education is a very difficult problem, thanks for making this point.
Part of this has to do with the way economics departments have evolved over the past generation.
At one point, they were centers of social criticism, and homes to people who tried to interpret the entirety of life in independent terms. If you think about the great mid-20th century economists, you can associate the word "great" with "economist" in a score of cases, going right across the intellectual spectrum, from Friedman and Schumpeter to Leontief, Hirschman, Samuelson, Clarence Ayres in Texas, Baran & Sweezy, and all that without crossing the Atlantic.
Try coming up with a similar list today. It's not that today's economists aren't bright. It's that they've narrowed themselves down so far that they've become largely invisible, inconspicuous, and therefore unimportant. And that makes it quite difficult for the subject as a whole to evolve.
Of course, I always hold out hope that we can change that.
JG
August 12, 2008 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
AMEN.
Wonderful to see this book out - and its success.
That quote by Keynes is spot on. The whole purpose of classical economics is not analytical but rhetorical. It was a way to blame social ills on 'nature.'
Bush and Cheney are the ultimate expression of American nihilism.
While waving the flag, they create a patronage class by handing medicare to privateers who then become 'conservatives' in favor of 'small government' where lots of tax revenue goes to them.
This is particularly chilling when they do it with mercenaries. As if the Pentagon weren't enough of a vampire on taxpayers, now we're going to have a 'private' and super powerful "war constituency."
August 11, 2008 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Somehow, I doubt whether 1970s liberalism will make a comeback and quite frankly I think that's a good thing.
The right-wing media would have a field day with the inevitable inefficiencies involved with Federal *planning*. And in that event, they would have a point. Better to leave such efforts to the states.
What we need is universal health care, countercyclical fiscal policy, small-bore policy innovations and adaptive regulation of financial institutions that will inevitably be treated as too big to fail. All of those are consistent with mainstream liberal economics. Traditional conservatives might accept a few of them. None have much appeal to modern conservatives, to their shame.
August 11, 2008 4:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
"...universal health care, countercyclical fiscal policy, small-bore policy innovations and adaptive regulation of financial institutions."
A good start.
But there are at least two areas where state-level planning would not be sufficient.
The first is infrastructure. California and NY/NJ are big enough to contain their own infrastructure planning, but in much of the rest of the country you need a federal authority. The National Infrastructure Bank would be a very positive step. (That's a proposal I like particularly, in that it originated with a bill written by Lee Hamilton and James Howard in the early 1980s, and staffed largely by the JEC during my time there.)
The second is, of course, energy and climate change. There is, in my view, no way to cope with this problem without concentrating planning and resources on it at the federal level. So the right-wing media just has to be taken on, over this issue.
It's worth noting that we already do quite a lot of research and planning at the federal level (think CDC, NIH, the national labs). It needn't be controversial though of course when you start stepping on toes, it will be.
JG
August 12, 2008 9:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dr. Galbraith,
Wonderful post. I don't know why people here seem to be so down on it. In fact, it seems pretty much to be an updated version of FDR's New Deal Policies and the idea that big business needs to be regulated in order to force them to serve the public good.
I just finished reading Arthur Schlesinger's The Crisis of the Old Order which focused, amongst other things, on FDR's election and plan to deal with the Great Depression.
He reaches almost the exact same conclusions you do in this essay, which, in its conclusions, is extremely populist and quite radical... dare I say socialist?
Under Bush/Cheney, we have indeed reached the predator state, which clearly existed and contributed too, the Great Depression.
Recall the Pecora Committee?
From Wiki;
As reiterated by SEC Chairman Arthur Levitt during his 1995 testimony before the United States House of Representatives, the Pecora Commission uncovered a wide range of abusive practices on the part of banks and bank affiliates. These included a variety of conflicts of interest such as the underwriting of unsound securities in order to pay off bad bank loans as well as "pool operations" to support the price of bank stocks. The hearings galvanized broad public support for new securities laws. As a result of the Pecora Commission's findings, the United States Congress passed the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, instituting disclosure laws for corporations seeking public financing, and in 1935 formed the SEC as a means to enforce the new Acts.
In 1939 Ferdinand Pecora published his memoirs that recounted details of the investigations. Titled "Wall Street Under Oath", Pecora wrote: "Bitterly hostile was Wall Street to the enactment of the regulatory legislation." As to disclosure rules, he stated that "Had there been full disclosure of what was being done in furtherance of these schemes, they could not long have survived the fierce light of publicity and criticism. Legal chicanery and pitch darkness were the banker's stoutest allies."
My favorite?
the testimony of the powerful banker J.P. Morgan, Jr. caused a public outcry after he admitted under examination that he and many of his partners had not paid any income taxes in 1931 and 1932.
August 11, 2008 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Measure:
Seems like your sort of an apologist. It's like you're saying, "Yeah, well, what James is saying happens to be true - but you know Richard Mellon Scaife and Heritage Foundation aren't going to like it, so why bother?"
Judge us by the quality of our enemies!
If the most evil people in America have to approve of it before we've even started fighting, I guess just stay in bed for the rest of your life.
This isn't just you though - it seems the history of liberalism is littered with the "necessity" to giving in to the very worst of its enemies - Kennedy and the early 'fun' years of Vietnam was one example.
Clinton - the man and every single thing he did - is a living epitome of what you get in return for bowing to the right on everything. Remember how he met them about 80% of the way on everything? What was his reward? Impeachement - and on the slightest and silliest of grounds.
Now what is Pelosi going to do with a REAL President/criminal - let him off as a 'necessity' to bowing to the worst right wing filth.
August 11, 2008 6:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
The best evidence that conservative economic and social policies are a sham is that their authors have to spend so much time dressing them up as something other than what they actually are.
August 11, 2008 6:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great point yokel!
I've been considering that lately - the more you need to 'explain' why up is down, the less likely that up is, in fact, down.
August 12, 2008 10:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Like John McCain, my eyes glaze over when someone mentions Economics. However, this was fun! Thanks.
August 11, 2008 10:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
My best abstract take on "markets":
What the central planner is unable to do -- at all -- is duplicate the zillions to the zillionth power different rational decisions that need to efficiently operate a market. What the central planner (in the broadest, most general sense of the term) is able to do -- very efficiently -- is to interfere with or substitute any individual decisions that he can be personally aware of -- like deciding what the minimum price per hour of labor should be.
What any one of the millions of individual decision makers are not usually doing -- at all -- is seeking an outcome that the overall consensus of millions of decision makers would see as useful.
Fans of the unfettered free market believe its outcomes are perfectly proportional and that interfering with it is inherently inefficient. Actually, whether 80% of the profit of a fast food enterprise goes to labor and 20% to ownership -- or vice-versa -- has no direct effect on the consumer at all -- only affects what the profit will ultimately buy: perhaps better educated because better paid labor or perhaps more business investment because more profitable; both of which are within the realm of reasonable predictability to central planners.
Ditto for labor upping the price of a burger through minimum wage hike (or collective bargaining) to the highest price consumers are willing to pay (even it means selling fewer burgers for more labor profit per burger). "Natural" utility, if you will, should be seen as the highest price a product or service can command, not the lowest.
If a piece of land is sold at a fire-sale price because the owner is destitute and on the verge of starvation, that price probably wont fully reflect the utility the land might have to the purchaser. Unorganized labor is often in the same fire-sale position, since necessity may force it to accept whatever price will barely sustain it. There is nothing "naturally" efficient about sale of anything below the price which reflects its full utility to the purchaser. (There is something very naturally inefficient about keeping people too poor to reach the natural potential of their personal talents.)
August 11, 2008 11:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Elijah Cummings, the former chairman of the Congressional Black Caucus and an early Obama supporter, told me a story about watching his father, a South Carolina sharecropper with a fourth-grade education, weep uncontrollably when Cummings was sworn in as a representative in 1996. Afterward, Cummings asked his dad if he had been crying tears of joy. 'Oh, you know, I’m happy,' his father replied. 'But now I realize, had I been given the opportunity, what I could have been. And I’m about to die.'” New York Times Magazine 8/10/2008
August 11, 2008 11:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah; its called a "dis-incentive to produce".
Funny, you hear Conservatives complain about that all the time, but it's almost always in the context of investment. You never hear them talk about it in the context of wage equity.
August 12, 2008 2:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jamie, I think you've earned your place as economic spokesman of this generation with this argument.
I mean, how absurd has it been for government to be dedicated to proving how bad government is. That's the Psycho State. And when lobbyists write legislation, regulations and policy, the Predator State is complete.
We can only hope Sen. Obama is listening.
August 12, 2008 11:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dr. Galbraith,
Thank you for writing this book.
I live in the Austin area and I encounter a lot of Libertarians here. Underlying their religious zeal for free markets is a tacit belief that economics, their particular version of it, is natural law.
An economic system is a human artifact and how it functions is subject to all the vagaries of human behavior.
I used to work for an electronics distribution company and I have had the chance to observe how engineers make their decisions to buy components. Even in this area where hard data and objective performance characteristics would seem to be the driving force most component choices were based as much on emotion as any other factor. I don't believe at all in the ideal of the rational actor in the economic realm.
The message must be conveyed that the shape of our society is a result of our collective choices. It is not just that that is what the market determines so put up with it.
Long ago Henry Ford realized that if his workers could afford the products they manufactured he would sell more cars. The rich of today seem to have lost sight of this fact. If we continue as we are going, they will soon find that they are the oligarchs of a third world nation.
Stuart
August 12, 2008 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
To say the Bush crowd didn't have any ideas is absurd. They didn't have Reagan's ideas per say. And why should they. Reagan's ideas were solidified under Clinton. The free marketeers had already won.
No, the new ideas the Neocons were on to was Phase 2 of the Bush/Reagan agenda, laid out in Cheney and Wolfowitz's Defense Planning Guidance in late 80s and leaked to the New York Times.
These ideas would ferment in the thinktank PNAC until Bush took power in 2001.
The other thing I want to correct in this post is that you can be a believe and a con artist at the same time. And while the author may find the free marketeers he knows likable, kidnap victims often grow a fondness for their captors.
The reality is that many of these business leaders display strong symptoms of sociopathy. Many sociopaths appear to be quite charming before they chop you up and boil your limbs for a snack.
August 12, 2008 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dr. Galbraith,
I think you might want to revisit the assertion that the Saudis set the price of oil. They don't
I also have to ask how you think it might be, that a few central planners are going to be smarter than a nation's worth of entrepreneurs seeking to find the next "big thing"?
Then there's the observation by many that the Depression lasted until it was interrupted by WW2 and the destruction of the majority the of industrialized world, except for us. Bombing the competition to bits does wonders for economic growth don't you think?
I also understand that global cooling is upon us with greatly increased ice formation in the arctic. Wouldn't that contradict the value of planners by sending us in the wrong direction?
Lastly, isn't the basic idea here to follow the direction of failed economies like Cuba, Venezuela, and the USSR? What makes you think the results would be any different?
August 12, 2008 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is the essence of anything like a government to set the rules under which economic activity is carried out. This includes a monetary policy.
The rules are not written in heaven. No rules (or, no rule setters) equals only social chaos.
The m.o. has been for the powerful to evoke the rules when convenient, or to deny the existence of rules (or the ref's legitimacy), or to change the rules when the desired change will favor the powerful.
Economic activity is very much a game; a game in which the mythical "state of nature" or "invisible hand" is both an insufficient and a chimerical official.
JKG wants us to realize we can get the real rule setters to run the game (and to write the rules) to the greater benefit of more of the players. We cannot continue to buy the old "just so" story.
The most successful economy of the last century was, in fact, a mixed economy. All non-primitive economies, successful and otherwise, are mixed economies.
I argue only for a better and more deliberately chosen "what it is". A better mix.
Thanks for a great post: a cogent look at where we have been, where we've gotten ourselves to, and where we might go. Looking forward to reading the book.
August 13, 2008 1:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
why does keynesian economics work? legal tender laws, enforced by guns. regulations and taxation enforced by guns. its so easy for the statist to sit back and look at his creations since he cant do it without violence.
every adventure the state engages in is at the expense of the citizen. the state will never use its own money, but instead steal and inflate. evidence? the US deficit
August 14, 2008 2:54 AM | Reply | Permalink