Bad News Folks: The Uppity Negro Charge Is Winning It for McCain
I see a terrible problem here and I don't see the solution.
Throughout the primaries and now the general, the only way Obama's opponents have scored against him was by (I'm going to be polite) reminding voters that Obama is "not like us"
In the primaries it was the Rev. Wright thing, the Muslim libel, the e-mails to the Jewish community, the "elitist" brouhaha, etc. And now it's the "One" and the rest of that meme. Not one of these charges, not one, would have been launched if Obama was white.
Team McCain is not stupid. It studied what worked against Obama in the primaries and sees that the "uppity negro" thing is a winner.
So far it has been.
At this point, it is impossible to know if race will, in the end, put McCain in the White House. Although, a friend told me yesterday that it definitely would. I was going on about how if Obama lost because he's black, I'd be "so done with this country"
She said: "You are crazy. If five years ago someone had told you that in 2008, a terrific, brilliant, charismatic black guy would come along in a Democratic year but would lose to an ancient white Republican simply because he was black, you would have said that 'of course he'd lose.' What's changed?"
She's right. That is what I would have said. And maybe I would have been wrong. But so far this year it looks like most Democrats can live with the idea of an African-American President but a majority of all voters probably can't.
Luckily there is still time to turn it around. But not if we don't confront the race issue rather than duck it. I understand why Obama feels that he has to pretend that it is not the elephant in the room, more relevantly the elephant in his opponents' war rooms. Unfortunately, playing as if it wasn't almost lost him the nomination and could easily lose him the election.
One more point. The polls, in my opinion, are crap. Obama should be 10% ahead of McCain. The fact that it's tied means that he is not winning.
Racism dies hard in America. What a shock.

















The difference between now and five years ago? Well, the economic, moral and physical damage of the Iraq war, for one. It's not just depressing to consider that a majority of Americans won't vote for a black president, it's depressing to think that they'll vote for the continuation of the worst policies in modern times instead of a black president.
If, indeed, that's how things go down. I believe Obama will win. But it is scary that the "uppity" line has been so effective even when its demonstrably false.
August 2, 2008 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
He needs to forget racism. America isn't racist, America is nervous.
Focus on the one thing we all care about...will he push the button to defend the country?
Is he in the mood to kill terrorists?
August 2, 2008 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think 'uppity' engenders the real - and unfounded - fear that may ultimately defeat any black man seeking a position of power in white America.
The McCain ad featuring the black man juxtaposed with the young, white, nubile likes of Paris and Brittany was not to equate his 'empty' fame with theirs, it was to evoke that old fear of the predatory black man lusting after young, white female flesh. Afterall, there are plenty of young white male celebrities whose only fame is being famous who could have been used in the ad, even more appropriate given Obama's gender, but weren't.
August 3, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree it's working, and it's probably the reason the race is so close right now...
McKrusty throws out 4 nasty and stupid attack ads at Obama in a couple of weeks which cable news shows free of charge again and again and when the Obama campaign fights back and tries to correct some of the perceptions and lies, he's accused of going negative.
When he points out that he's not the candidate from central casting, he's blasted as a racist by McKrusty, and the bobble-heads dutifully pick up and amplify the message...
The stupid really hurts...but unfortunately these attack ads appeal to the reptile brain of the uninformed voter, and as it's negative message seeps in, the damage is done...
August 2, 2008 11:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJ
McCain's campaign is now based on substance-free ads that are provocative. The uppity negro theme is being successfully applied. The race issue cannot be avoided but other issues can dominate the news cycle and Obama needs to forcefully introduce them.
Obama needs to fire off his own ads with the following themes:
John McCain isn't independent. He is 4 more years of GWB.
John McCain is desperate to get attention. Ads with Brittney Spears and Paris Hilton mean are the only things that get anyone to notice him.
John McCain is a horrible, philandering husband. He left his ailing wife, calls the current one a cunt in public and cheats on her.
John McCain is senile. He can't remember that there is no Iraq/Pakistan border, doesn't know the difference between Shia and Sunni muslims. He is old and incompetent.
Obama must get ugly. Ugliness worked for Clinton in the primary and Obama had a tepid response. He must make McCain look like a crazy, grumpy, old man. Since he is, that should be easy.
August 2, 2008 12:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I totally agree!
August 2, 2008 12:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Me too. But where are Obama's allies to get ugly for him? Now would seem like a good time for say Hillary to show up and smack McCain down for him.
August 2, 2008 12:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary an ally? I don't think so. Her primary campaign against Obama laid the groundwork for McCain's current stategy. I think she and Bill are going to hang Obama out to dry until November.
August 2, 2008 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's just plain bullshit.
Hillary did not lay any groundwork for any loss for Obama.
You guys might have lost the election for the Democrats by demonizing Hillary and now you want to cover your tracks by blaming her if Obama loses. How disingenuous can you get?
Obama was a long shot from the start. That's reality.
That's what we were trying to tell you knuckleheads all along. For that we got demonized as racist crypto Republicans.
The kids who were all going gaga over Obama have a short attention span and have long moved on to other "thrills".
If the Democrats lose this election don't you fucking dare blame Hillary you bozos.
As far as the tactic of getting down and dirty with McCain is concerned, that’s a loser. Obama does not have the luxury of getting down and dirty with a white grandpa. Obama needs to finesse this somehow. I don’t know exactly how, but he has to make McCain look foolish in the eyes of Joe six pack.
This has to be handled very very carefully.
August 2, 2008 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew, I agree that Obama was a longshot.
Hillary also laid the groundwork for the republican attack. The two are not mutually exclusive. Hillary, could have stopped long before she did, right after she lost 10 consecutive primaries would have been most reasonable.
She didn't. She instead launched meaner and nastier attacks even to the point of claiming that the republican opponent was ready to be Commander in Chief.
Hillary will be a fundamental reason for the effectiveness of the GOP attacks as she laid the groundwork and sowed the seeds of oppostion before McCain.
August 3, 2008 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
What a pile of crap!
You're basically saying: if McCain attacks on character, then we should counter-attack on character.
That's the best way to lose, because John's got Teflon.
Hillary would have started pummelling him now on economy, Iraq, jobs, oil, gas, etc until she was able to paint him as a clueless, infantile old egomaniac.
Too bad Obama has nothing to say about any of this.
August 2, 2008 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's entirely possible that McCain could win, because of the "uppity black guy" theme. But it was going to come out, and the Obama campaign knew it was going to come out.
I actually think it's much better that RACE CARD-GATE erupted now, at the beginning of August, because there are fewer people paying attention right now, and in a week, there will be even fewer, what with the Olympics.
Imagine had this come out a week before the first debate. And, if you want to scare the daylights out of yourself, imagine that ABC was hosting the debate!
So while it's ugly and may do lasting damage, it's possible that by being out there now, the damage will be less.
And I think the allies are going to come out soon, frankly.
August 2, 2008 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right! McCain is playing the race card too early. He should have unveiled this lovely tactic after Labor Day. On the other hand, had Hillary taken the low-road earlier she probably would have won. Her campaign staff didn't go vicious until too late.
But Team Clinton definitely showed that the card works.
August 2, 2008 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh I see MJ it took "Team Clinton" to show us that the race card works.
You can't be that stupid!!
August 2, 2008 9:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
For God's sake MJ get a grip.
Are you surprised that McCain is doing this. If so, shame on you. You know this is what Republicans do.
Are you surprised that the media isn't stepping up to smack them down. If so, shame on you. Fool me twice and all that. Media ain't going to do it, the campaign and its supporters have to do it.
Are you surprised that this crap is resonating with the American people? Trick question. The fact is, I've seen no poll that demonstrates that it is, though there may soon be some, who knows. But if that happens, the campaign will just have to react to it. Up to now, we have no real data on what the effect of this barrage is, other than some remarks of revulsion toward it by some not-very-powerful Republicans, which means little.
Is there anything here at all, MJ, other than your feeling of dread, doom and gloom? And please tell me, what good your sharing of that doom and gloom is doing. I'm sure Obama will go negative if he decides that that's what he needs to do.
August 2, 2008 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
It does good because most of us think we are well ahead and we aren't.
And what you call "dread" leads me, and others, to give more and do more AND pushes the campaign to get off its high horse and fight the SOBs.
I wasn't around in 1948 but we need to recall Tom Dewey. While I'm there, I think that McCain will start invoking Truman soon. Both scrappy, both short, both "straight talkers" and both running against smart kids (Dewey was 46, Truman was 64).
August 2, 2008 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I suppose.
But I read it, and I guess this wasn't your intent, as throwing up your hands. There are people who might take it that way. It reinforces the "American people are a bunch of morons to fall for this crap" meme, which has been incredibly destructive to the progressive movement's chances this past decade.
Now, I'm sure there is some discussion in the Obama camp about when and how to go negative. It isn't necessary clear to me that "right this minute" or "it's already too late" are the right answers.
But yes, we, Obama's supporters have to do more.
Oh, and show a little faith in your guy's judgment. He was always more your guy than he was mine - although I did vote for him in the primary and have donated to his campaign.
August 2, 2008 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Me neither. If he goes negative now, he'll be seen as "panicking". I can just hear the commentary now: Is Obama rattled by McCain? Obama showing the first signs of strain...blah blah blah blah blah blah....plus, we'll get a thousand more free showings of the Britney ad.
On the other hand, if he waits too long, it may be too late.
IN any event, I prefer to think of the state of the race right now as this: McCain, benefitting from some huge media attention on that ad, bleating about the race card, and disparaging Obama at every single event is behind in many states, and tied over all nationally. Could be a lot worse for Obama. Could be significantly better, as well.
August 2, 2008 1:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, this uppity negro subliminal message is working, and it comes from the same guys who did swiftboat. But how long can it play?
I will say that the tactic does appeal to the working class dems who supported Clinton and have found Obama elitist and too self confident for American mass consumption. I would never vote McCain though, and will vote Obama. I just don't care for him much and see some truth to this stuff. Nevertheless, when it comes to policy he's the better choice. One can see that just from listening to him speak on the economy and the middle east.
But Obama is going to need all the allies he can get.
August 2, 2008 12:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only way a black guy is going to defeat a white guy is if Americans are convinced that the black guys is the one who is going to deliver the goods.
Obama has allowed (encouraged?) the conversation to be about him. It must be about the American people if he is going to defeat McCain. He's fallen into the "I" trap. Listen to him lately. He sounds like Hillary early in her own campaign. "I, I, I, ..."
Plus, he seems to have decided to run a John Kerry campaign, all mushy nuance, no clear distinctions, no clear alternatives and the Republicans are morphing themselves into "moderates" at the same time Democrats still have the delusion that being just another generic moderate is going to beat them. Obama doesn't look like a "generic" brand and he isn't offering them anything new or better.
Democrats, you have to deliver the goods. You have to represent interests. You have listen to the left on FISA and listen to the working people on jobs and listen to the environmentalists on off shore drilling.
What have you done for me lately? What are you going to do for me tommorrow? I still don't have a clue.
August 2, 2008 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Amen brother
August 2, 2008 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
"What's changed?" How about the wrath of the most incompetent President in history? That HAS to change people's minds. You are justified about "being done with this country" if they don't see reality at this moment, after 8 long and painful years.
Which brings me to how Obama fights celeb/race attacks....
GRAVITAS. He needs pics of him and uniformed military leaders at EVERY event.
Dick Cheney is pure evil, but he has gravitas. Obama can't float above these charges on a unicorn and be above the fray, he needs to sink his feet in the ground, and firmly plant his case next to the most serious people in Washington DC.
August 2, 2008 12:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Rip Van Winkel, wake up, Bush is not up for re-election. Bush does not stick on McCain all that much even as McCain utters Bushisms left and right.
August 2, 2008 9:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew Strat: You're opinions are worthless. Stop commenting on my posts.
August 3, 2008 3:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew Strat says;
Andrew, who can look at McCain and not think Bush?
After 6 years of Republican rule and the resultant disasters, foreign and domestic, there is now a black cloud that follows all Republicans running for office and the public is well aware of that cloud.
August 3, 2008 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
John
You and I know that. But the general public (that mythical ghost) does not make the connection between John McCain and Bush. Maybe that might be an Obama tactic that might work. I would roll that one out not just yet, but it has great potential especially if things get worse with Iraq/Afghanistan, economy etc.
McCain, if you notice, does not mention Bush or lets himself be photographed with Bush at all.
Would a McCain Administration be a Bush 3 term? I honestly don't think that anybody could be as bad as that. But he will certainly not turn the ship of state around from our perilous course, or at least it seems that way from what he says. Yet somehow his numbers are not affected by this crap. Go figure.
August 3, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew,
regarding McCain's numbers. I think the story being reported is ass backwards; its not that McCain is making the race close, its that an unknown young black guy is beating McCain and his history in a number of polls.
August 4, 2008 8:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
I like that!!
But will the MSM run with it" I doubt it
August 8, 2008 12:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why does Obama bring up the fact that he "doesn't look like" other Presidents?
That may help him with the African American vote, but he doesn't need help there.
He needs to stop antagonizing the largest voting block in the country, the one without which no candidate can win...White Men.
August 2, 2008 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nonsense. If this tepid remark antagonized some white voters, those particular white voters were never going to vote for him anyway. As for the African-American vote, I doubt this remark helps or hurts him with that demographic. He mostly has their support and those he doesn't have won't be swayed by this.
Race is always there whether you talk about it or not.
The question is how you bring the question to where it can be discussed. Make no mistake about it - the McCain camp is playing the race card. How DOES Obama respond to it? You seem to think that this wasn't an issue until Obama brought it up.
If even this triflingly humorous remark is beyond what can be discussed then there truly is no hope. I don't think that's the case.
August 2, 2008 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
VintageClub: O was trying to innoculate, but Rove being Rove, took the innoculation and shoved it right back down his throat.
There is no more time to waste. Barack must hit back now with a decimating attack.
August 2, 2008 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama should confront these types of ads head on. He should do an ad in which he states unequivocally that McCain has NOTHING TO SAY about America's problems.
McCain has to compare Obama to Brittney Spears, Paris Hilton and, amazingly, Moses because he has NOTHING TO SAY about how he is going to improve the lives of ordinary Americans. McCain has no plan for health care, the economy, ending the Iraq fiasco so all he has is whiny complaints about Obama's celebrity and arrogance.
Obama should not dwell too much on the fact that McCain is hinting at racial stereotypes. He is, but who cares. He should remind people that all McCain can do is distract them, not lead them.
That hits back and doesn't get ugly.
August 2, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
eamseneca: Damn Straight! He can raise expectations for McCain's proposals and words, and when he stumbles and gaffes, his fall will look even worse in this context.
But BO may be too late at this point.
WAKE UP O-CAMPAIGN! You're getting rolled!!
August 2, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are crazy. If five years ago someone had told you that in 2008, a freshman senator who never was a governor or major or a statewide leader or distinguished himself in any other way would come along in a Democratic year but would lose to McCain, a war hero, because he was was wrong or flip-flopped and so many issues, such as Iraq, drilling, FISA and many other issues and because he was not very good without teleprompter , you would have said that 'of course he'd lose if is not a President's son.
August 2, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
But tnathan, you are precisely the audience for the ads. You've been consistent all year on your disdain for African-American and your feeling that they can't be trusted on the only issue you care about; Israel.
You aren't exactly a swing voter.
August 2, 2008 3:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
With friends like M.J. Rosenberg, Obama doesn't need enemies.
August 2, 2008 3:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
This uppity/arrogant/presumptious business wouldn't be gaining traction if it were only the McCain campaign pushing it. It's being amplified by the entitled ones sniggering in agreement from their perches within the MSM superstructure.
Obama can provide all the substantive ideas he wants but if the smirking media ignores it in favor of the McCain camp's framing, it won't matter.
The McCain camp has in essence, recruited the media by appealing to their highschool dweeb loser sensibilities of "ironic detachment". It worked against Gore and Kerry and is even worse against Obama.
Recall that Mark McKinnon, creator of the Kerry windsurfer ad, saw it coming and for whatever reasons, informed the McCain camp a year before it happened that he would not be producing video should Obama become the nominee.
If he would talk, it would be interesting to get McKinnon's take on the current situation.
Josh? Greg? Gitlin? Anyone?
August 2, 2008 3:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Rove Shop is back...
http://www.startribune.com/politics/national/president/22845884.html?location_refer=Wild
and Rove not in jail!
nuff said...
August 2, 2008 3:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Excellent point. How do we cope with the media noise amplifier?
August 2, 2008 4:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just posted a suggestion for a new Obama ad campaign--in response to the McCain ads--on reader posts in the Cafe. Take a look and recommend it if you think the idea has some merit.
August 2, 2008 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Stop whining folks. Don't you understand. We are not here because one man can't get elected. It's not about lack of leadership. It is because we have as a nation falsely believed in the power of individual achievement. Our egos keep us from joining together to use the power of the collective will. Stop distracting yourself with cult of personality. It is only by working together that the predation by wealthy on the poor will stop. Don't believe me? Check out the YouTube video that shows lions attacking water buffalo. Its the perfect metaphor.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LU8DDYz68kM
The power of the collective folks, live it, learn it.
By the way, Study how wealth works in conjunction with other wealth to achieve there goals. Theirs is a tight affective movement. Very successful. They sell it as if it were individual achievement.
August 2, 2008 3:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
So upset I forgot to proof read. sorry...
August 2, 2008 3:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is typical GOP behavior. The nadir of GOP support among African-Americans was ushered in by Barry Goldwater and States Rights. Blacks fled the GOP. Republicans often cite that MLK was a Republican. However if you read King's words he advised his supporters not to vote for Goldwater. King also said that Goldwater gave comfort to the racists. McCain is following the path of one of his political heroes, Barry Goldwater, in his message the campaign is sending.
We now are in an era with news infotainment. Instead of discussing differences of opinion, we get snippets. The term race card is used to avoid talking about race. If Obama making a factual statement that he does not look like the people on US paper currency is outrageous, than we have reached a pathetic state of affairs.
If the dollar bill comment is playing the "race card", then we are saying that the default position regarding ethnicity is White skin. Shouldn't we celebrate that African-Americans (Obama), Latinos (Richardson), etc. can run for the highest office in the land?
The only reason that skin color could not be a part of the mix is an unspoken fear that African-Americans will do to Caucasians what Caucasians did to Blacks. We assume that the Caucasian is the President of the entire USA. African-Americans, Latinos, and women have to prove that they will serve the entire country. Again the deafault is White.
JFK to a large extent, and Romney to a lesser degree had to verify that their religion would not impede their Presidency. GW Bush could proudly proclaim his Conservative Christian faith.
Race card, gender card, religion card? Total idiocy!
August 2, 2008 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
agreed
August 2, 2008 4:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
aaargh....This Obama supporter sometimes finds your posts advising Obama on politics incredibly maddening.
Adlai stevenson, uppity white man:
I think you're too fixated on old racial divisions and fights. Obama never expected or wanted the votes of old-fashioned racists. He is an "other," and has always sold his "otherness". He doesn't want to play the old you're either black or white race game, MJ. He always knew he wasn't going to win the kind of people that would freak out over the fact that he has black skin or has half-family members that are Muslims. He did know that his purposeful choice of Rev. Wright's church in order to immerse himself in that community would could cause him grief later, but he chose to do it and figured he could handle it if it caused problems later.
Facts: He's half white and half black, raised partly in Indonesia with an Indonesian stepfather, and then by white grandparents in an exotic state. He gerrymandered his Illinois district to include more upscale whites because he knew he didn't appeal to certain traditional Afro-American segments. He understands reverse racism, he wrote it hit hard when he had the realization that his mother had a physical attraction to black men. His father was not an Afro-American, but a foreigner who went back to his native country. He struggled with fitting into American black culture as a youth, he wrote about it unashamedly in a book. He is not going to pretend all these things aren't true. They are him. If his books had been all about how he is just like other Americans, they wouldn't have sold well, that would be boring. He knows he's an "other" and is trying to sell that, thinking lots of other people consider themselves "others" too, and thinking that "otherness" is good for change. Change as a campaign slogan signifies otherness.
He's betting that a majority of Americans still do not think everything is black v. white like you do, he is going to go for those who don't.
His problem right now is the "uppity", not having black skin or foreign Muslim relatives.
People who hate that way were never going to vote for him. He knows that. I hope he doesn't take your advice. You worry too much about old racist voters that never were Obama's target. He never expected to get their votes. You keep fanning the race thing, I think you hurt and don't help. You seem to want to drag him down into dealing with old issues that bother you. Sometimes it seems you want to turn him into a reincarnation of MLK so you can refight some old fights and win over some old racist Jews you know. He can't be that for you. That's why you can't see a solution. You have to let those votes go.
He's got to worry about the uppity egghead/rock star thing instead. That hurts hims among some of those voters he knows he can reach.
August 2, 2008 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
P.S. I think Theda Skocpol is right and you are wrong:
Forget Racism, Use Memorable Ads to Make McCain's Economics Scary
August 2, 2008 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
And you need to read LisB's post: My Family Dislikes Obama I am willing to bet her family doesn't find Colin Powell or Condi Rice "uppity" or arrogant.
August 2, 2008 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, seriously. This is a no brainer. Just present the essential policy tradeoff. McCain wants to cut taxes for the rich. That means higher deficits, crumbling infrastructure, crappy schools, insecure health care, and less research on alternative fuels.
It's not like McCain is hiding this--he's constantly emphasizing that he wants to cut taxes/shrink revenue. Obama should just remind people what less revenue means.
August 2, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
the "elitist" brouhaha, etc. And now it's the "One" and the rest of that meme. Not one of these charges, not one, would have been launched if Obama was white.
Funny, I remember the Repugs charging Senator Kerry with elitism and effetism, too. Isn't Kerry white? Your argument is weak! And not what we need now.
August 2, 2008 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dream on.
Why do you think Obama lost West Virginia by 50%?
Because they love the Clintons? Because they think Obama is an elitist?
Yeah, right.
August 2, 2008 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Would they vote for a white state senator to be the President? Did they ever vote for a state senator?
August 2, 2008 5:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can't you see how your obsession with race puts you in a sad place? The converse can be thrown right back atcha, i.e., if he wasn't black, he wouldn't have gotten virtually all the primary votes of blacks in many other states. MJ, once again, he knew before he even started running that he wouldn't get the vote of racists, because, well, they're racist. Let go: racists are not going to vote for him. Racists are not going to be affected by anything anyone says, including McCain, because they can see the color of Obama's skin for themselves. Get it? Let go of their votes. Stop seeing imaginary plots that someone is trying to turn the people who aren't racist into racists. There are racists out there, and they are not going to vote for Obama because of the color of his skin. Everyone knows that. Move on to the other voters.
August 2, 2008 7:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly Lamont
August 2, 2008 9:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
So let me get this straight MJ. You pushed for Obama against Clinton because you knew that Obama would lose the white racist vote to McCain?
Is that your story today?
August 2, 2008 9:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I second everything sTiVo said above, especially about getting a grip.
There's no basis to conclude "a majority of all voters probably can't ... live with the idea of an African-American President."
If that were true, the U.S. would simply deserve John McCain, no?
Sure, there is racism -- and it helps explain why Obama is barely ahead in national polls.
But, as it did with Hillary, the Obama campaign has its eye on the ultimate prize, an electoral-vote majority. There, McCain isn't even close.
Should Obama be 10 points ahead by now? Logically, yes. And he will be on election day.
Beneath the radar, early enthusiasm is being transformed into a massive warchest and exceptional organization on the ground.
Lacking enthusiasm, the Republicans can generate neither.
McCain is already blowing his advertising budget on nonsense like the Britney ad.
Obama, after August when voters start tuning in, can saturate the air with the far more effective ads that his team is honing even as we speak.
Finally, massive voter registration and get-out-the-vote drives will be Obama's ace in the hole.
That's where the 10-per-cent margin will come from.
Settle down, MJ.
August 2, 2008 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, MJ you are right. Racism dies hard and yes, the Republicans are going to use race like there's no tomorrow. And you again, are right, when you point out that it's difficult to battle this. And yes, he should be at minimum 10% ahead of McCain at this point (since typically the Dem. is about 15-20% ahead at this point in a Presidential year). But many of you who plunged in with Obama wagged your fingers at those who pointed out this glaring vulnerability throughout the primaries. That you and others express any surprise at what is taking place is only because you refused to face reality when you were all swept up in Obamamania this spring. Any sober consideration of what would happen if Obama were the nominee took into account that the Republicans would use race at every turn and that while it does not necessarily mean it will defeat Obama, it well could. Anyone who doesn't own up to this prospect is only fooling themselves. The only way we'll know is by seeing the results in November. But this is no surprise and what it means is that the reality of this weakness was not particularly well considered by many. It is not Obama's "fault" that he is black, but it is a weakness for him as a candidate in the general election much ore so than during the primary season.
I was never a Hillary person because she too, was flawed and had glaring political weaknesses as does Obama. But we were trapped in the year of the first woman vs the first black nominee. And whenever the subject came up that Obama would be a sitting duck for the Republicans because he is black, the fool that raised the issue got shouted down or worse: called a racist. No, you and the other Obamaites knew that he would transcend race and partisanship and all that other blather from camp Obama. Now that the reality is hitting, it's difficult to know how to combat the racist attacks and the GOP hasn't even begun to roll out anything like what we'll be seeing after Labor Day.
I have a suggestion.
Instead of standing there like a punching bag and every now and then responding with some "above it all" sort of statement, Obama and his campaign need to go on the offensive and they need to stay on it. Obama's campaign has not left primary mode (except to pander to right wingers and Republicans by flip flopping on FISA, the Second Amendment and now offshore drilling). I know, that is a departure from the typical DC Democratic lay-there-and-get-pummelled-and-hope-you-win-anyway trategy:but it's time to fight. If you, and the others who demanded we nominate a candidate with such an obviou Achilles heel would simply abandon the idol worship and start demanding the campaign wake up and take note of what is happening all around them it might not be too late.
Do you ever hear St. Obama of Chicago say anything about how corrupt the Bush regime is? Do you ever hear him talk about how he and his Republican cohorts have bankrupted the nation and driven us into recession? Does he ever remind the average person that if those crooks get another 4 years there will be nothing left of this country for our children? How often do you hear him thunder against the unjust war in Iraq? The answer to all of these questions is he almost never says these thing. He almost never goes on the attack about the corruption, misrule and lawlessness nor does he talk about the total wreck the Republicans have made of our economy, etc... No, he continues with the namby pamby "can't we all get along" crap of bipartisanship and "transcending" the "old politics" as though the problem isn't that one party is thoroughly and completely corrupt and the the other is populated by cowards and pantywaists in the main.
The time has come MJ for the Democrats to fight and to condemn our enemies (the Republicans) and Obama must lead this fight. It is the only way to prevail over the racist garbage that the other side will be hurling at him. This is a fight he and we, can win. If he fails to do this and the longer he waits to get a clue (a la Kerry), his chances of winning recede further into the distance.
August 2, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
RIGHT!
August 2, 2008 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I see a terrible problem here and I don't see the solution.
Why even look? What do you expect to find? The man is black. The man is different. McSame is, well, the same old S
What's to look for?
Obama ties the last eight years, Karl Rove, GWB, the whole gang in a bow and we change
to someone DIFFERENT
August 2, 2008 6:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Those last three paras are spot on, Oleeb. Power to your elbow.
There's a link on Drudge today to an article in the Financial Times suggesting that even Obama advisers are getting worried. Hopefully they'll be making your case.
August 2, 2008 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you. It amazes me how utterly stupid our "grand strategists" are in the Democratic Party. They keep trying the same lame strategy as though it will work when it has been proven over and over again NOT to work. It is even more amazing that the Obama people are as slow on the uptake as they have proven to be. Harry Truman would be appalled as would, come to think of it, FDR, JFK, RFK and a host of other Democrats of yore.
August 2, 2008 7:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
"grand strategists" - one major problem picked up:
Yep, Democratic Party Consultant cronyism/jobs for the boys racket just doesn't seem to be working for us.
August 2, 2008 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well I'm less confident now that he'll listen having just read of Obama's comment today at a press conference
`Later, Obama actually repeated Republican attack lines of the past few weeks, point by point. And he signaled that he would not be tempted to go on the offensive with negative attacks of his own. “What I think we’ve got to do is just keep on driving home the essential message of this campaign -- which is we’ve got to change business as usual,” he said. “We’ve got to change economic policies, and we’ve got to change Washington. And we’ve got to change how our politics is done.”
He's in la la land if he believes this is all it takes.
August 2, 2008 9:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, he continues with the namby pamby "can't we all get along" crap of bipartisanship and "transcending" the "old politics" as though the problem isn't that one party is thoroughly and completely corrupt and the the other is populated by cowards and pantywaists in the main.
Never confuse the adage that "power corrupts" with "power is corrupt".
Power is of the essence of ANY political creed.
There are no political virgins who hold political office here in the USA or anywhere else on planet earth.
August 2, 2008 10:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I understand, but the point is that his message is fundamentally weak. It almost disarms him in the face of the enemy. He needs to go on the attack. How he and Axelrod, et al fail to see they have the biggest, juiciest target in history is beyond me. They are running against the most corrupt, lawless gang of fascists in Amercan political history who have destroyed our economy, bankruptd the government and ruined our reputation worldwide and they refuse to talk about it. What in the hell is wrong with those people? They are so out of touch with reality it is scary. Blinded by their own brilliance, they are once again moving us toward snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. People need to be raising hell about this right now and Obama, Axelrod and the rest need to be reminded that this isn't about them it is about our country and the future of our country. I don't think they see it that way. If they do, it is impossible to tell.
August 3, 2008 11:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm in total agreement with you. However how you roll out that message is a tricky thing. You want to be smooth in execution. Don't start blasting it out shotgun style. The shock would be too great for the people and they will revert to the ostrich syndrome.
But he does have to get off that mamby pamby bullshit and start landing some solid punches soon.
August 3, 2008 6:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
But shotgun style is better than nothing and nothing is what we're going to see. Until about two weeks out from election day when the geniuses that defeated Gore and Kerry will do their quadrennial waking up and suddenly realize they have to attack if they hope to win, but by then it will be too late... as usual.
If the DC Dems don't put some lead in their pencils and act this time, I say we put a posse together, go to DC hunt the fuckers down and put them out of our misery once and for all. Come to think of it, if we started now, we might be able to take em out by Labor Day if we start to organize the posse now. That might just give us a fighting chance.
August 3, 2008 8:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
You have to appreciate the tricky situation Obama is in.
Gore and Kerry are white. Their mamby pamby campaigns have no excuse. I agree with you on that.
But Obama--as MJ points out--can't come through as the "angry black man beating up on an elderly white war hero". It is a tough thing to sell, really.
So he has been trying to reason with the nervous whites by this rather weak self-effacing "I'm not your typical presidential candidate, I don't look like anyone who is on a dollar bill" stuff.
You want to tell him to get some balls, but Axelrod has a point (if that's who is behind it). He has to try to appeal to those white guys somehow. He CAN'T WIN WITHOUT THEM.
McCain is exploiting this inability on the side of Obama to come out swinging by basically taunting him with Brittany/Paris/Moses crap knowing full well that Obama does not have the luxury of slapping the old fart back.
He has to attack McCain on issues but you and I know that a lot of these so called “issues”: drill/don’t drill, surge worked/did not work are losers or at best snoozers for Obama.
But maybe you are right and he needs to do it since if he does not he loses in at least two respects
a) he is seen as weak by the security moms who crave strength
b) he is effectively painted with the "latte drinking effete intellectual above it all" label by Joe six pack who likes to see a scrapper (W got elected TWICE with his effective scrapper routine).
As I say, it is a tough one but I think you are being a little hard on Axelrod on this one.
Where I think Axelrod went way off the reservation is in cultivating an image of Obama in qasi-religious terms. The symbolism , the big stadium arena, the groupies, the Obama Girls, all of it was crap. It got him the Democratic nomination, sure, but I doubt that it will have enough juice to get him across the finish line.
You can’t change that however, so you have to keep going that way at least in part. I would modulate it more into the prescient statesman approach that seemed to work so well against Hillary.
August 4, 2008 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
The GOP has done a lot to make me distrust them. Even Black Conservative Glenn Loury has stated that Conservatives have no moral authority on racial issues.
Colin Powell's exploration of possibly running against Bill Clinton in 1996. Polls suggested that Powell had a 50%-40% advantage over Pres. Clinton.
Democrats were quaking in their boots. The GOP far right-wing actually launched a campaign to dissuade Powell from even entering the race.
A group of anti-Powell GOPers appeared before the National Press Club on 11/03/1995 to openly challange Powell's possible run. Some interesting comments:
_One speaker, Morton Blackwell, the Republican national committeeman from Virginia, went as far as to suggest that some conservatives were promoting the general only because he is Black.
_"I cannot find any reason why any conservative would want to sacrifice the work of decades on the altar of political celebrity," said David A. Keene, chairman of the American Conservative Union who is an adviser to Senator Bob Dole's campaign.
_"We know from his record that General Powell is risk averse," said Paul Weyrich, chairman of the Free Congress political action committee. "He may not want to run after this press conference."
_In one of the baldest threats, Carol Long, director of the National Right to Life political action committee, said that if General Powell ran, "our top priority during the primaries will be his defeat."
_Frank J. Gaffney Jr., a Pentagon official in the Reagan Administration, said he had been reluctant to speak because he had been "privileged to consider Colin a friend for over a decade." But Mr. Gaffney went on to criticize the general as "too cautious to be Commander in Chief."
A most telling comment from a NYT article on the press conference was the following:
Even so, the spectacle of a dozen conservatives standing side-by-side determined to block the candidacy of someone who has not even announced his intentions belied their contention that General Powell was unelectable.
http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9F03E3D81639F930A35752C1A963958260
There was a subgroup in the GOP who did not even want Powell to have the oppurtunity to compete for
the Presidency. Some of the themes like ethnicity, celebrity, and military timidity have a familiar ring.
Other anti-Powell GOPers attacked Alma Powell who was on medication for depression. MCain is just reverting to type with the GOP base who form his advisers as the catalyst.
Posted by rmrd0000
August 2, 2008 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama needs to hammer on McCain with the issues. To be perfectly blunt the Obama campaign has been long on the rhetoric but very short on details and is letting McCain 'define' him. He is allowing McCain to play the 'celebrity' canard but not aggressively highlighting policy differences between the two. Of course race will be an issue but a bigger issue will be who has the plan that will benefit average Americans and who has the plan that will benefit wealthy Americans. Bring up the fact that Phil 'A country of whiners' Gramm is a long time friend of McCain and will probably have an important role in the shaping economic policy in a McCain administration. PLAY THE CLASS CARD!!!
If Obama doesn't start 'returning fire' soon it'll be over before it starts...McCain will have already defined him.
August 2, 2008 9:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hear! Hear!
But Obama has apparently decided to take the "high road" to defeat.
August 3, 2008 11:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
oleeb;
You make some outstanding points in your reply to Consumatopia regarding what happened to Gore and Kerry in 2000 and 2004 respectively. They allowed themselves to be defined trying to remain 'above the fray' and it cost them both BIG time. Instead of learning from past electoral missteps the D's seem condemned to repeating them.
Taking the high road? WTF is that? The opponents are immoral and corrupt plutocrats. What is so 'undignified' in pointing out what they stand for? I don't get this 'high road' strategy. When did pointing out that the policies of the opposition party and their politicians are destroying our country something a 'dignified' politician couldn't do? The American people hunger for change and what does Obama do? He changes his mind and says it is OK for the government to spy on its own people without cause. He says he is for oil companies to make even more profit and potentially opening the door to another environmental disaster by saying he is now for allowing offshore drilling...drilling that no one has proven will lower gas prices in the short or long term. He is starting to come across as just 'another Washington politician' of the Democratic variety who won't take a stand or defend himself. Taking the 'high road' doesn't mean that a candidate shouldn't 'attack' his opponent and his policies, painting them in a negative light, when it is correct to do so. National politics is a vicious hard ball game traditionally not played very well by the 'nice'. And there are 2 options, either hit the gas and get out of the slow lane or become roadkill. And Obama is reminding me more and more of a confused deer caught in the headlights right before impact.
August 3, 2008 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's often difficult (for me at least) even to contemplate, but a major factor here is that the Democratic Party (as a whole) no more represents the aspirations and desires of the American people than does the Republican Party and hasn't for a very long time. Yes, they are better and I am a loyal Democrat but they are only marginally so. I wish it were otherwise, but it's just the plain truth of the matter.
The DC Democrats claim to represent the people but their performance demonstrates clearly that they are captives of the very same big business interests as the Republicans--they just aren't quite so over the top in being willing to hand the wealthy interests everything they've ever dreamed of.
Democrats have come through on almost nothing they claim to stand for in decades precisley because of their unwillingness to actually fight for what they say they believe in. Pat Buchanan said it best one night on MSNBC in the context of the FISA cave in by Democrats: that it showed the Democrats didn't "have the courage of their convictions." It is hard to disagree with Buchanan on this because it is so obviously true. It is this complete lack of principles and comprehensive unwillingness to actually stand for something when it counts that is the problem both for Democrats in Washington DC overall and for Obama in particular.
For people like us out here in the hinterland, however, we have no choice since there's no viable alternative to the Democratic Party. We must support them or else a far worse group of unprincipled politicians gains power. Along those same lines, the reason Obama is now coming off as just another Washington politician is because that is exactly what he is and what he has always aspired to be. His whole "message" of "hope" and "change" has been a transparently thin marketing device from day one. I do not say that to be nasty but the truth is the truth and he's a politician who had a better slogan, great timing and good execution i the primaries. That, and that alone, is what made Obama different. Otherwise, there's just not a whole helluva lot that is remarkable about the man. Again, it's difficult to contemplate because we all so desperately want to beliee otherwise, but it's the truth. I just wish that their own self interest would drive the DC Dems to see that if you want to win you have to stand for something---at least as a tactic! They don't seem to be able to grasp even this tiny bit of what seems so obvious to everyone who is not a part of their little community of alleged Democrats inside the beltway.
For me, the pointless cave-in by Obama on the offshore drilling is really the coup de grace since he gains nothing whatsoever by "compromising" on that point other than adding to his reputation as a flip flopper. It's really difficult to swallow the whole shameful situation.
August 3, 2008 5:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
oleeb;
I am replying at the risk of having this sound like our personal echo chamber but you are right on the money again!!!
I hate to admit Pat Buchanan is right about anything but I have to agree with him, the D's don't have the courage to stand by their convictions. I thought it might be 2 mediocre, mediocre in terms of campaigners, candidates back to back in '00 and '04. But it seems like I am watching a rerun of a B horror movie where I know the evil monsters kill all the town's inhabitants.
For me the tipping point was FISA with the offshore drilling cave being the cherry on top of the cake. And sadly I have no choice but to think that both caves were all about the money...Telecom's and Big Oil's. I can just imagine the strategizing going on. 'We need to get on the right side of this issue so McCain can't use it to hurt us with it later'. They have to be afraid that if Obama makes a principled stand against drilling McCain will paint him as someone who doesn't care about the plight of 'ordinary Americans' struggling with the high costs of energy. If that is what they are thinking, what a load of crap!!! Offshore drilling WILL NOT ease the financial burden of rising energy costs on the American people...it will just enrich the oilmen that much more. And Obama and his team can't figure out the proper response to such hooey?
You're right. We have no choice. The R's are that bad...I have absolutely no desire to live in a corporatist theo-plutocracy...I will NEVER vote for them. But like you pointed out the D's are just as beholden to the slop being fed to them at the corporate feeding trough. Our 2 party system has maybe leading us to institutionalized tyranny, that is if we're not there already. The reason that Obama isn't farther ahead isn't because of racism or racist ads. There are racists out there but they were gonna vote for all along McSame anyways. It is because when the rubber met the road on 'The Change We Can Believe In' caravan's trip it is becoming apparent there is very little change being offered by the Corporate Left candidate, whose policies (i.e. on FISA and offshore drilling) show little if no distinction from the Corporate Right candidate's positions. And on top of it Corporate Left's candidate, and his 'advisers', are showing they are as inept at national campaigns as most of their predecessors were.
I have said it on other threads and you have said it on this one...it is like watching defeat being snatched from the jaws of victory. In the words of the legendary philosopher Yogi Berra, it is like deja vu all over again.
August 3, 2008 8:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Most people who vote for a president don't know or even care much about his policy ideas, his past achievements, his experience or his "vision."
Most people base their vote on some estimation of his character. They go on a "what kind of man is he" thumbnail sketch and vote.
Rove and his acolytes understand this. The McCain ads are trying to express a sentiment that Obama is over adulated, too popular and is adored by too many. Their timing was good. Obama had just returned from a successful European/Middle Eastern tour and given a speech in front of 200,000 American flag waving Germans. This over adulation breeds resentment and the McCain ads express that. Sure there is a tinge of racial stereotyping, but the essence of the ad is to remind people that the world might love Obama too much.
Obama's response ads MUST go after McCain's character not the fact that the ad had racial overtones or isn't about issues. The truth is only a small percentage of the electorate care or know about issues.
Obama's ads should go after what kind of man John McCain is:
He is a man who left his ailing wife and remarried a beer heiress 5 weeks after divorcing her. He got a marriage license to his second wife while still married to the first. He has no integrity and cannot sustain the most important commitment a man makes.
He has filled his campaign staff with lobbyists despite claiming to seek to decrease the influence of wealthy special interests.
He is a man who supported Bush's stupid Iraq invasion when Obama recognized it for the folly is is. He has no common sense about foolish foreign policy misadventures.
Nail his character. Forget race. Forget the details about issues. Nail his character.
August 2, 2008 9:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dream on. He won't do it. He's said so - today.
August 2, 2008 10:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
I thought about this some more, and I suddenly realized how we're all getting this exactly wrong.
Barack Obama's heritage and story is something he should be proud of. It's inspired millions of Americans, black and white. But the Obama campaign has allowed Obama to be put into a defensive crouch--it's internalized the racism, and let the enemy turn his asset into a liability.
Worst of all, by internalizing what the worst of Americans think of him, he's betraying a lack of faith in the rest of us. Sure, America isn't perfect--but we're not all just cartoon caricatures clinging to guns and xenophobia. I think if he ran commercials on the healing the trans-Atlantic divide, and he started, say, telling stories about his childhood in Hawaii and Indonesia, Americans might respond more positively than a lot of us are giving them credit for.
Moreover, deep down, Obama the person knows this. He sees thronging crowds of white people in the midwest all the time. But somehow his campaign keeps acting like he's got something to hide.
His campaign needs to be more, well, audacious. It needs to actually spell out that, yes, we need to raise taxes because we have important national priorities. And he needs to come out and say--loudly, repeatedly, unashamedly--that his dad was from Kenya and he grew up in Indonesia. Maybe even make some visits to both those countries.
The really courageous act in the face of a cultural bully like McCain is not retaliation and defensiveness, but love and confidence. It's not easy. Obama may very well win the election without pulling this off, and no one should begrudge him that. But I really miss the pride and love of the 2004 convention speech, and I really doubt I'm the only one.
August 2, 2008 10:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
With respect, I think you're making this far too complicated.
The Obama campaign is dominated by Washington thinking which is defined, more than anything else, by political cowardice. Axelrod may have offices in Chicago but he's a Washington man and now that they have the nomination all the birght bulbs of the DC Democratic establishment have been integrated into the campaign and their idiocy is guiding Obama's campaign. Obama himself is far more comfortable with the Washington mindset than he is with the idea of fighting to win in November.
Obama rode a wave of enthusiasm to the nomination without having to engage in any sort of real "fight" with Hillary's campaign. He defended himself but rarely even took a swing at Hillary while she flailed away. The final weeks of the primary campaign were embarassing to watch as Obama sat there like a lump on a log while Hillary relentlessy went after him.
His etire political success has come in races where he didn't hardly have to fight at all. In the one race he did have to fight hard in he lost (his first run for Congress). This belief that he can somehow "transcend" the realities of politics without fighting to win is a perfect match for the timidity and pussified approach of DC Democrats and the marriage is strong as we can see by Obama's limp response to the character assassination campaign going on right now and his humiliating capitulations on FISA, the second amendment and offshore drilling. This pathetic response was predicted by many and is playing out just as the Republicans would like it. John Edwards was right while he still was in the race when he warned Democrats that "you can't nice these people to death."
It isn't internalized racism, it's a fundamental lack of backbone and will to stand up and be proud that you're a Democrat and it's a fundamental fear of fighting for what you believe in.
Gore made this mistake in 2000, Kerry did it in 2004 and now we get a reprise of those two failures with Obama unless we all scream to high heaven and demand that they stand up like big boys and FIGHT! Gore and Kerry waited until it was too late to fight. Obama is behaving in exacty the same idiotic manner now.
If Obama would demonstrate he has the balls to lead Democrats into battle they will rally to his flag and we will slaughter those God Damned Republicans. If he fails to do so we are all fucked.
August 3, 2008 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't suppose that the Obama campaign should "confront rascism" in America, whatever that means. Rascist Americans are not going to be weaned of their rascism by rational appeals to fairness.
The best thing, I believe, would be for McCain to be portrayed as pro-war and anti-working class; as anti-health care; a man too old and confused to be President, who doesn't even know how to properly use a computer; one who relentlessly supported the war in Iraq, and who flip-flopped on his original position against using torture; someone without a credible plan to lead the U.S. It's time to play offense instead of defense.
August 3, 2008 1:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have been an ardent supporter of Barack Obama's campaign; However, his strategy for winning is strangely and unfortunately similar to John Kerry's 04 campaign, and it's pissing me off. There is a way to beat back this type of politics and it has nothing to do with the sad tactic of defensive complaining Obama and Kerry fall trapped into using. EVERY attack has to be answered with an attack. Never go on the defense. In this particular situation, Obama should use embarrassment/Authority figure. Ex. Obama: John McCain, You're embarrassing yourself and you have become an embarrassment to this great American political process. These childish tactics have no place in this adult arena. Britney Spears has no place in the process. You've become an embarrassment to your party. Even your own supporters have said[.....] and are ashamed to repeat your tactics. You've become the laughing stock of the entire nation. If you have any sense of seriousness about yourself, your party, or the American people, you will treat this process with the respect it rightly deserves. The American people are hurting. Stop this nonsense and talk about the issues Americans care about. Also, Obama needs to attack and do it so often, it's hurts-literally. There should be three "attack" ads for every 1 of John McCain's attack ads. McCain has enough stuff to attack.
August 3, 2008 4:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
...Continued....He should use very strong, controversial words like embarrassment and joke: John McCain is quickly becoming a joke in this process. If he can't get serious now, there no way he can seriously tackle the issues facing the American people. He a joke and an embarrassment.
August 3, 2008 4:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is really a lot to do with nothing; McCain and Co is saying he is falling and will continue to fall. If Chicken Little was right or wrong it don't matter, bench pressing the sky in place ain't going to happen.
Race is not new and old news, something like McCain, let it go.
August 3, 2008 4:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
I favor Obama for president, but I do not think he should "play the race card." It may help him with blacks and PC liberals who would mostly vote for him anyway but it will otherwise be at best a useless distraction for his campaign. Obama's electoral strength comes not from his skin color but from his wit, his speaking skills, and the fact he has consistently opposed the idiotic GW Bush policies that are damaging the US economy and which led to the Iraq disaster and which McCain, in his aged mental rigidity, has embraced.
I think Obama knows this and, while he (rightly) reserves the right to rebut sleazy boob tube commercials that fling mud at him, he will continue to mainly stick to the issues. McCain blew it years ago by betraying his principles and bear-hugging most of the policies of the most incompetent president of our lifetimes. Obama needs to continue to focus on those policies and his alternatives, and I believe he probably will.
August 3, 2008 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
This race card nonsense angers me. Look at what you are saying. Mention of having a darker skin hue is cause for rejection of a political candidate by those in the majority. Isn't that essentially a White's only viewpoint?
I am not calling you a racist, just like Obama was not calling McCain a racist. The fact that Obama does not look like the images on paper currency is a statement of fact. The fact that the mere mention of race (meaning not Caucasian which is the default skin color) is considered playing some mythical race card is absurd.
Following the death of Tim Russert, Chris Mathews, Pat Buchanan and Mike Barnacle talked about how a an Irish Catholic background they they all shared with the late newsman. The Kennedys and Bushes can talk of their histories in Massachusetts and Connecticut. Their youthful stories are going to be mainly amomg Whites. Apparently newsmen and politicians who talk about a Caucasian background is no problem.
We now have the first viable African-American Presidential candidate and the message is that we cannot mention race.
John McCain suggested Obama was a traitor who would lose a war to win an election, but Obama stating the obvious is playing the "race card"
Please explain the race card. I am trying to understand people who take your position on the racial aspects of the election. This is not a personal attack. It's just frustrating from where I sit.
August 3, 2008 2:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
MJ first you say:
"She said: "You are crazy. If five years ago someone had told you that in 2008, a terrific, brilliant, charismatic black guy would come along in a Democratic year but would lose to an ancient white Republican simply because he was black, you would have said that 'of course he'd lose.' What's changed?"
She's right. That is what I would have said."
then you say:
"One more point. The polls, in my opinion, are crap. Obama should be 10% ahead of McCain. The fact that it's tied means that he is not winning"
If you put those two things together you would understand why he is not winning!! You would understand the polls!
Moreover, you would reason that Obama IS the unknown and that is why he is not further ahead. This election is about Obama vs. the status quo. People are wondering who he is and he KNOWS that, which is why he made reference to how he is different, talking about his name, his bkgrd and his looks'
MJ it seems you have not really stopped and given this issue serious thought. Obama is a trailblazer he is a FIRST and to top it off he is an AFRICANAMERICAN First!
What that means in America is that he has to be 10x as good as his opponent, that his qualifications have to be FAR superior (beyond reasonable doubt) AND he has to demonstrate he is "just like" WHITES for them to accept him. IF he does all that as an AFRICANAMERICAN First..he will just EEK out a win.
This is a KNOWN truth to African Americans. No matter there bkgrd, achievements or superior qualities, IF they are trailblazing they will barely win! They will have to fight really hard to get the promotion, make the team, get admitted when it comes to any leadership or competitive role.
Obama is right where he can be expected to be given that this is AMERICA and the history of 'uppity negroes' in this nation. There are no firsts who have NOT endured that criticism, after all success and self assurance are only confidence if you are white in America..if you are black the individual 'doesn't know their place'.
So, get it together MJ...Obama is doing FINE. He is right where he should be at this point.
He has to focus on his personal narrative and helping folks become comfortable with him and recognize he has their same values.
Obama also needs to counter this 'celebrity status' with pictures of the biggest and best GOP celebrity Ron Reagan who became President.
That should be his counter punch.
If you can get that message to him it would really help.
Obama is a celebrity like Reagan was a celebrity.
August 3, 2008 12:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
this is fun. all you guys who supported Obama in the primaries because he was a "different kind of candidate" are now shocked, shocked to discover that he is--a different kind of candidate.
Obama gave you every indication that if nominated he would be all about "change" and "hope"--he never gave particulars of what he meant by those words, and that was ok with you.
but now that the American people are asking for particulars, you all suddenly realize that spouting off about unspecified change and hope is not enough to win an election.
one commenter says Obama is "running against the most corrupt administration ever" or words to that effect. that's not true: he's not running against Bush. he's running against McCain. maybe liberals don't see that there's any difference but apparently Americans do, or the polls wouldn't show a dead heat between the two.
the reason that the "uppity" label sticks so well is not that Obama is black, it's that he's--well, uppity. I'd use the word "presumptuous" but since I've learned on another TPM thread that that word is "just a code word for uppity" I guess it doesn't matter. the European-World Tour, all that posturing about us waiting for us, etc....liberals may adore it but "likely voters"...well, apparently not so much.
August 3, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
You miss the point gretz.
Obama is indeed and ought to be running against the corrupt Bush regime and that McCain is part and parcel of the lawless, corrupt gang of profiteers who have nearly wrecked the country but he refuses to do so. The Republicans are STILL running against Jimmy Carter for God's sake and it more often than not has worked. It's called partisan campaigning. But St. Obama is "post-partisan" and thus will not be engaging in that sort of tawdry, albeit devastatingly effective, campaigning.
This is the year Democrats have waited for, for a generation where we can make it partisan and clean up on election day by amassing huge majorities all across the country from the Presidency on down to the town halls of every state and county. Instead, with Obama at the helm we will eschew the partisan approach for a rousing chorus of Kumbayah thus exchanging a massive, overwhelming victory for a narrow win at best. Obama isn't really running against the status quo at all. He's simply representing a wing of the status quo that isn't quite as harsh and repulsive as the present regime.
August 4, 2008 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see sexual innuendo as the major issue in the Britney Spears ad--I see trivialization of Obama's teeny bopper cult. I do see Obama obsessing over dollar bills, which mostly just demonstrates that he's like most other politicians under the skin.
I do think Ludacris' ludicrous rap is big trouble. Maybe he likes his Bush tax cut after all.
When I put it together, it sounds to me like Obama needs have to start worrying about mature voters and Vietnam veterans, and let the dollar bills go.
August 3, 2008 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
This seems to be the way our country will thoroughly fail. With McCain in charge. The last masterstroke of Bush and Rove. So, since McCain's obvious racism is polling well for him, we need to ask a question of the country.
Since John McCain is getting away with race baiting and the American people are buying what he's selling, why would John McCain not be the president America deserves?
August 3, 2008 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
They only get away with it because Obama and the Democrats are letting them do it. If we didn't cede the entire field to them we could win.
August 3, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
a small addendum to the above...
It is not a "masterstroke" to beat the opposition when the opposition refuses to do anything to defend itself or to win. It's like a professional football team playing a Pop Warner team and winning... not much of an accomplishment really.
August 3, 2008 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
does the opposition have a pulse?
The DNC should have that $100 Franklin to Obama morph ad on the front page of its website.
So should MoveOn.
With the blazing headline "THIS IS THE AD OBAMA IS TALKING ABOUT AND AS YOU CAN SEE, OBAMA IS CORRECT."
but they're not. so they're culpable too.
August 3, 2008 6:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
kravitz
agreed about the ad- it is still on YouTube on McCain's site
I am a BIG Obama fan but think they are so afraid of Obama appearing as the "angry black man" that the ONLY choice is to name a VP this week who can ATTACK - and not Hillary--
Obama needs the election to become about McCain and Bush and get it off of him as the topic
If Hillary was the VP it would be worse and be about THEM -- he need Biden (lesser choice Bayh) who are more white bread - but have been around and can push back
"I have been in the Senate with John McCain for 20 years and John is not the same man. He is willing to do anything to win even embrace the strategy used against him by GWB in 2000"
This has to be about the population and the issues
and the democrats have to SIMPLIFY the message
The democrats needs to train all the Obama surrogates how to fight back --
And as not ONE of them has mentione the McCain ad with Obams's face on the $100 bill - the Obama campaign needs to prepare them better
It is a mistake to think this is all going to go away - which is what I think the Obama campaign is doing --
THEY NEED TO FIGHT AND THE SAME WAY OBAMA GOADED BILL CLINTON - HE NEEDS TO GOAD JOHN MC CAIN
McCain is not as smart as Bill Clinton and has a worse temper -- and Obama needs to draw that out
THE MC CAIN CAMPAIGN IS DISRESPECTFUL OF OBAMA
MC CAIN VOTED AGAINST MLK HOLIDAY ON A STATE AND FEDERAL LEVEL
MC CAIN SUPPORTS BUSH'S TAX CUSTS BECOMING PERMANENT
MC CAIN CALLED SOCIAL SECURITY "DISGRACEFUL"
MC CAIN'S ECONOMIC GURU CALLED THIS A "RECESSION IN PEOPLE'S IMAGINATION"
c'mon Obama people - the ammo is there
GET THE GUN
and load it
Buyt you need people who are willing to fire their weapons
stop this now
August 3, 2008 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
August 4, 2008 1:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you want someone on the left to be the 'attack dog' the search can stop with Chris Dodd. He is very articulate, passionate, persuasive and a seasoned, tough campaigner.
I see McSames political surrogates out there trashing Obama but I don't see anyone from the left pushing back for Obama. It is the same thing every national election. A high degree of coordination from the political right to promote their candidate with the corresponding indecision, confusion and inaction from the left.
August 4, 2008 1:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama has several problems on the schedule:
1. Jeremiah Wright's tell-all memoir will be coming out in October and he will go on a PR tour that will dominate several news cycles. He will get his revenge against his former protege.
2. The author of Obama Nation has a video he is going to release in the fall of Obama in 2006 campaigning for his Muslim cousin Raila Odinga in Kenya in Raila's attempt to lead Kenya and impose sharia.
August 4, 2008 3:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
I do not want to feed a troll, but some cites from Wikipedia may help:
In 2007 Raila Odinga was rumoured to have signed a secret memorandum of understanding with the National Muslim Leaders Forum,[22] NAMLEF. Kenyan Muslim leaders denied that the MOU promised to introduce Sharia for Muslims if it won elections, but said its deal with the Orange Democratic Movement was to end the current discrimination against Muslims.[23]
[.............]
Raila Odinga is of the Anglican faith[25] and is married to Ida Odinga (born Ida Anyango Oyoo). They live in Nairobi (but has a second home in Bondo District) with their four children - two sons and two daughters. His oldest son, Fidel, is named after Fidel Castro[26] and their youngest child, Winnie, is named after Winnie Mandela.[26]
August 4, 2008 5:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
M.J.
I presume you're basing this worry of yours on the national polls. I think you need to remember national polls are not the indicator. A presidential election is based on 50 state elections.. and therefore state polls and the # of electoral votes each candidate gets in those states is what you should instead be looking at.
And, if you look at sites that track those, Obama still is winning the electoral college quite handily.. so I think you're jumping the gun here a bit in your alarm.
August 4, 2008 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink