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Paulson Begging in Moscow
My how times have changed. In the early 90's the Russians were begging for American financial aid and investment. Yesterday, Russian President Medvedev talked about the recent visit of Treasury Secretary Paulson to Moscow, in search of Russian investment in a faltering U.S. economy.
Mr. Medvedev made his comments on Tuesday in a meeting with a small group of foreign journalists a day after the American treasury secretary, Henry M. Paulson Jr., appealed in Moscow for Russian investment in the United States. The symbolism of the visit resonated here, in that only a decade had passed since the Russian economy was in shambles and the country was desperate for Western aid.
Whether Paulson can convince the Russians to invest some of their new Sovereign Wealth fund in our failing banking system will be a true test of his negotiating skills. The sight of him sucking up to Putin and Medvedev is a true snapshot of a changed world order. As I pointed out last week, the Russians and the Chinese are already the largest holders of our Treasury Bills. I'm not sure even Karl Marx would have understood the irony that the countries that rose to power in the 20th Century under Communism, would end up bailing out the world's largest Capitalist power.
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Hmmmm...so there are no US corporations willing to invest in the US economy? Even with all the money being made by hedge fund managers and speculators? None of them are American I take it? Where is that money going then?
Hey buddy can you spare a dime?
July 3, 2008 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
We have around $ 90 billion in foreign currency reserves in our Treasury. Poland has more than that. That means even if we wanted to try and support the dollar, we don't have the reserves to do it, and Europe is not going to print more Euros to douse their currency. That will only add to inflation. Basically, we are in deep, deep....
July 3, 2008 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
"We have around $ 90 billion in foreign currency reserves in our Treasury."
That is TRUELY depressing.
July 3, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeh; why the hell does the FRB hold that much? What's it good for, anyway?
July 3, 2008 10:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
we need a certain amount of foreign reserves for the day-to-day operations of changing currencies for foreign commercial transactions -- and even travelers coming to this country who want to change their currency for US dollars and vice versa.
July 9, 2008 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
We have always needed each other working to gether as opponents. This is precisely the reality that the neomorons can't accept.
I treasure the irony and hold it dear to chest while now, it is I feeling the pain.
July 3, 2008 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ahhhhlms, ahhhhhlms, ahhhhhlms for the Bush, ahhhhhlms......
July 3, 2008 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
If we would just balance our budget, we wouldn't need Russia's oil money so much (money which they got from Europe). Or China's manufacturing money (money which they got from us) so much. What was to be a simple post now has me confused....but the fact is that our government needs to spend less or take in more.
July 3, 2008 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Paulson should stick to getting his Street cronies to take their money out of oil, corn, and Brazil and put it in Countrywide, Citibank, etc.
That what they in the business call "eating your own cooking."
Ya think?
July 3, 2008 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
No one's suggesting that Russia and China "bail out" the "world's largest Capitalist power."
Paulson's reminding them that if they want to protect the value of their investments in U.S. Treasuries, they'd be wise to invest in U.S. too-big-to-fail banks. Why?
Because current U.S. (FRB and Treasury) policy is designed solely to recapitalize bank balance sheets. As of now, it's being done with cheap money (2% fed funds rate) and swapping good FRB assets for bad bank assets. The result is dollar depreciation and the reduction in the value of foreign held U.S. Treasuries.
As Paulson might say, "Invest in our banks, and we can raise the discount rate and the value of your investments. Pay us, now, or pay us, later. What's your pleasure, boys?"
July 3, 2008 10:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good point. The capital value runs into sovereign creative fiat one way or another.
The following is a cynical take that may be wrong, but it satisfies my intuition / suspicion. I don't say I have proof. I am for investigating the truth of the matter.
Another way of looking at it is, Paulson is trying to generate some election-winning economic investment data from our "partners". The Administration seeks Russian funds to bribe the American people to forget what they've done via the Iraq grab.
The bottom line for relative economic freedom is secure productivity and self-sufficiency in natural resources in one's sovereign territory. These are the basics that Russia has been working on building this past fifteen years.
The Iraq grab may be the US preemptive energy strike to balance Russia's steady nationalization of capabilities for exploiting huge reserves under former Soviet lands. These aren't fully developed by any stretch, but the Russians are getting better at it. Russia could move to number one energy producer eventually, but their own corrupt central powers are reportedly taxing energy development into a coma.
Huge governments (as market participants and employers) cannot act radically without making huge waves in the economy. Russia for example, taxes its energy companies at nearly 65% base rate, combined with other taxes at times reportedly reaching a 92% rate (this from the Economist). This income creates a new consumer culture (bribed Russian citizens) from the government's hand. Beneath that consumer culture is a nationalistic patriotism that waxes sentimental over what consumer benefits the government has 'won'. What it really did was subject the oligarchy to an authoritarian who has charmed the people.
One question: to what extent is the US doing the same thing? In our case, the indentured servants of our latest acquisition of mineral interests and production interests in energy producing territory (Iraq) is the US Armed Forces, and indirectly, the US taxpayers who pay for them.
Who benefits? Big Oil and its cronies in the executive branch. Alan Greenspan said as much, as did the pipe smoke escaping the doors of the conference room where Cheney and the energy scions worked out how they were going to milk the maximum amount of wealth out of fossil fuel before being forced to move on to the next level.
[Were one of those folks to get immunity and proof that a fraudulent conspiracy precipitated the invasion, in a time of war, would that be a high crime against the US (bringing hostile forces against US forces for personal gain)?Trifling with national defense for non-defense reasons damages the actual national defense. That's a treasonous outcome during wartime, isn't it? Isn't that an offense for the firing squad?]
If a private interest wields undue influence in the executive branch, even if temporarily, the concentration of power contracts immensely. Like a black hole. Such a force can pitch enormous wealth into concentrated private hands then let go of the reins again before it brings revolution. The windfall beneficiaries must then do some popular palm greasing to stay legitimate. That comes later.
That's the truly scary giant sucking sound, whether its Russia, the US, China or elsewhere: corrupt influences amassing wealth using a joint venture between industry and government as the principal tool. This is similar to what we see happening in Russia. We just don't want to call our version nationalization. I guess we could call it hijacking.
July 4, 2008 3:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
A postscript to the last comment:
The Cheney-ites would argue that I am making a too big deal out of what is essentially an alpha male version of hunting for resources for the tribe US. It's reality, deal with it, they'd say.
And this is at its foundation the competitive ethos. It is an ethos lacking morals. It is an ethos that wholey embraces self-interest as being the best policy. Nixonians call it "realism."
What do we say to this? That there is a better way that is both competitive, yet non-damaging to the US and to other nations.
The Cheney-ite view is that democracy is window dressing -- command execution is what really brings the groceries home.
However, democracy says that there is strength in numbers. It assumes that partisanship need not distort reasoning to common interests that would employ greater numbers behind common good.
Cheney-ites will say you can't get such numbers together without first forcing them into a relatively unified group. In America that has come to mean dependency on fossil fuel driven transportation in some sense. Hence those who protest are like those who eat beef while protesting the killing of cows for the beef supply.
Again: how do you answer the Cheney-ites? The answer involves bringing the greatest numbers of Americans together to solve common problems in a way that satisfies key interests among what were once our 'factions'. Where there is an educated population, force is not necessary to make a unifying case to the jury of public opinion.
July 4, 2008 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Ronald Reagan proved that deficits don't matter" Dick Cheney in a meeting with Colin Powell.
July 9, 2008 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Absolutely amazing. Paulson is begging for investment from Medvedev to save the banking system.
Meanwhile, our mainstream media toils day and night to report on the next fake campaign scandal.
July 6, 2008 10:34 PM | Reply | Permalink