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A Warning For Young Workers: The Up-Escalator May Be Broken

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My 22-year-old daughter graduated from college in May, and I'm worried about her as she enters the workforce--actually I'm worried about her whole generation as it enters the workforce. Many young people don't realize that they face a far less friendly workplace than when my generation entered the workforce in the 1970s.

To tell the truth, when I began researching my book, The Big Squeeze, Tough Times for the American Worker, I wasn't planning a separate chapter on the nation's young workers--by that I mean, workers under age 35, and especially young Americans who have recently entered the workforce. But as I proceeded with my research, I was surprised and chagrined to learn how tough things have grown for young workers--and that was before the current economic downturn. As a result, I added a chapter, "Starting Out Means a Steeper Climb."

One especially dismaying study found that men in their thirties have a median income 12 percent lower, after factoring in inflation, than their fathers' generation did when they were in their thirties. That study, sponsored by the Pew Charitable Trusts, said, "There has been no progress at all for the younger generation . . . . The up-escalator that has historically ensured that each generation would do better than the last may not be working very well."

In my chapter on young workers, I write about a depressing trend: two-tier contracts in which newly hired workers are permanently consigned to a lower pay scale than older workers. I profile John Arnold, a 29-year-old forklift driver for Caterpillar, the tractor manufacturer. Because Arnold is on the wrong end of a two-tier pay scale, the maximum he can ever earn is $14.90 an hour or $31,000 a year--some 25 percent below what the fifty-somethings who work alongside him earn.

Another unfortunate trend is that entry-level wages for college graduates and high school graduates fell from 2001 to 2006, after factoring in inflation. Not only that, in families with at least one parent aged twenty-five to thirty-four, median income slipped by $3,000--by nearly 6 percent--from 2000 to 2005, according to the Census Bureau.

Today's young workers face these wage problems partly because they are the first generation to come of age after the high-tech bubble burst, after the offshoring of jobs to India exploded and after millions of factory jobs disappeared in a new wave of deindustrialization. Moreover, today's young Americans are entering a workplace in which the job security that my parents' generation largely took for granted has all but evaporated. Nowadays the unspoken message is that you have to bust your butt and perform well to make sure your employer keeps you. You also have to earn your pay increases because automatic raises are increasingly a thing of the past. As one business school professor put it, "It's an, 'If you give, you'll get' model,"

Longer-term wage trends have been just as troubling. From 1979 to 2005, entry-level wages for male high school graduates without college degrees slid 19 percent (after inflation); for their female counterparts, they fell 9 percent. For young workers with college degrees, entry-level wages did rise during that quarter century, although modestly and still far more slowly than wages for most older workers.

The changing mix of jobs--think Wal-Mart stockers and Starbucks baristas--is undercutting entry-level wages for those who do not go to college. "In the 1960s and 1970s, you saw high school graduates getting good jobs at Ford and AT&T, jobs that in inflation-adjusted terms were paying twenty or twenty-five dollars in today's wages," said Sheldon Danziger, a professor of public policy at the University of Michigan. "Nowadays most kids with just high school degrees will work in service-sector jobs for ten dollars or less. That's where you see a big drop."

Their wages may be falling, but one thing has certainly increased as young Americans struggle to maintain a middle-class lifestyle: their debt burdens. In households headed by someone aged twenty-five to thirty-four, average debt has climbed to over $55,000, up 70 percent from the 1980s (after accounting for inflation). Indeed the average debt load for young Americans--comprised largely of housing debt and college loans--actually exceeds their annual household income, a sharp change from two decades ago.

And the safety net for young workers is in sorry shape. All told, more than one-fourth of the 45 million workers under age thirty-five do not have health insurance from any source--by far the highest rate of any age group. As for young workers with just high school degrees, two-thirds do not receive health coverage in their entry-level jobs, up from just over one-third in 1979.

Corporate America's increasing tightfistedness over pensions is also hitting young workers hard. The share of workers twenty-five to thirty-four participating in an employer-sponsored pension plan or 401(k) slid to 42 percent in 2005, down from 50 percent five years earlier.

As Anya Kamenetz points out in her book Generation Debt, the Internet Generation will enter the prime of life in a nation as gray as Florida is today, and as a result that generation will face an unprecedented burden in sustaining the Social Security system. In 1960, sixteen Americans were working for each retiree. Today there are four active workers contributing taxes to Social Security for each retiree. In 2030, there are expected to be just two-and-a-half workers per retiree. Today's young workers may well face a double squeeze--to keep Social Security solvent, Congress might increase the younger generation's payroll taxes as well as trim their Social Security benefits. Also disturbing is the fact that the folks in Washington are building mountainous budget deficits, and they're simply passing the bill to their children's and grandchildren's generations. How fair is that?

All these trends have fostered considerable pessimism. Forty percent of voters surveyed in exit polls conducted on Election Day, 2006 said that life would be worse for the next generation, while just 30 percent said it would be better. Still, it is important to remember that some things are better for the younger generation--longer life spans, lower crime rates and wondrous developments like the Internet.

Labor unions often pay scant attention to the struggles faced by twenty-somethings, and many young workers do not relate to unions. Many labor leaders are in their sixties and seventies and don't talk young people's talk or issues. Sometimes I think that every labor union should have a youth division that focuses on reaching out to young workers--and union should have spokeswomen (and men) who know how to connect with young workers.

To be sure, some young workers are doing very well. That's especially true for those who get the most advanced or prestigious diplomas, especially M.B.A.'s, law degrees and medical degrees. At some corporate law firms, starting pay for twenty-five-year-olds out of top-notch law schools is $145,000 a year. Frank Furstenberg, a sociology professor at the University of Pennsylvania, said that young adults increasingly feel "that having just a B.A. isn't going to get you a really good job as it did three or four decades ago." The message is, to get ahead, you need more and more education, preferably at elite and expensive schools--and to get that education you generally need affluent parents or to go deeply into debt.

With good jobs increasingly requiring specialized skills, it appears that young workers without college degrees will generally end up in worse shape than those without college degrees did in the past, while those with superior credentials will do better. "You're much better off as a young worker today if you're the child of the well-to-do and you get a good education, and you're much worse off if you're a child of a blue-collar worker and you don't go to college," Professor Danziger said. "There's increasing inequality among young people just as there is increasing inequality among their parents."

I keep wondering what, if anything, are young Americans going to do about all these problems.


65 Comments

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There is a solution, one that worked well for Greenhouse's generation of the '70s. Vote for the Printing Press!

Young people are supposed to be in debt. A lifetime of earnings pays off that debt and results in the late acquisition of assets. Whether one comes out well or poorly depends upon whether or not one pays off the debt with depreciated currency.

Inflate Young People! You have nothing to lose but your debts.

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That's one answer.

Another is: Get off the materialist rat race hamster wheel.

Wal-Mart stockers, or others, stop buying so much materialist crap, and cheaply made materialist crap at that, at Wal-Mart, let alone Best Buy, etc.

socraticgadfly: Agreed. Get off the hamster wheel! I paid off my student loans last year, have never had a Credit Card, and I have no other debts. I never got a cell phone until last month, or cable or any of that other stuff.

www.yourmoneyoryourlife.org

www.daveramsey.com

:) :) :)

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That whole inflation thing works really well for those of us who saved all our lives... :-) :-)

Have your daughter and children write to Congress and thank them for outsourcing first manufacturing jobs and now, outsourcing white collar jobs to Iraq, India and China. Thank you, and have a nice day - signed, President G.W. Bush

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"Nowadays the unspoken message is that you have to bust your butt and perform well to make sure your employer keeps you. You also have to earn your pay increases because automatic raises are increasingly a thing of the past. As one business school professor put it, 'It's an, 'If you give, you'll get' model,'"

Must have been a slip of the tongue on the part of that professor. I think what that business school professor meant to say is this:

"If you give, the CEO will get. You, on the other hand, will get little reward for your hard work. So if you are really smart, you will work to change the way things work in your country to ensure that people who work hard are rewarded. To start, you might want to get the money out of elections, because then your representatives will be working for you and your interests."

After reading your piece and thinking about recent policies and trends, I think we are likely to end up with a generation of people who work LESS hard because they have little to lose and no incentive.

And when the notion of a strong work ethic loses all meaning for workers, the majority of corporations and investors will lose, too. Karma for greed, I guess. Just another great way to lower productivity and ruin an economy.

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Beg to differ a little. I graduated 1970, and it was two years almost before I got a job in my field [chemistry, BTW]. So it wasn't that hot a market for quite a while.
Then to speak on the average wages back then, I have always thought it was skewed all out of proportion. Soon after I got my job I was listening to relatives talk about one of their kids getting a push-broom summer job where they worked for an auto company - union factory work. The kid was getting paid over 80% of what I got paid with my degree.
I think that era is an anomoly; low skill factory jobs in particular industries were getting paid way beyond their value as measured against other industries and professions. I do remember talking about how workers in the auto industry would be pricing themselves out of their jobs. Times since have trended back to more rational proportions.
I don't think it is unusual for a professional to spend more than a year to find the right job. Ahead of us, the economy is and will be much worse than now, and people should be paid a living wage; I am not arguing that.
Yes, wages for low skill jobs have been going down while degreed jobs have gone up. But I have not seen an explanation as to why a factory worker should get paid as well as a skilled worker, so perhaps this is a natural place to be.

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i am a young worker and i feel the pressure to get an advanced degree. good jobs are hard to come by if you don't have one. I have a decent one now but there's almost zero chance for me to move up unless i have a masters or a law degree or even a phd, and i don't feel comfortable settling down without some chance to move up. and from what i hear, you don't even really pick up new skills by getting these degrees! they're a total farce!

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I don't know if I'd call an advanced degree a 'total farce'. Yes, you often aren't taught work-related skills. But you ARE taught to think, which is really valuable. Another way to learn to think on your feet, without an advanced degree, is to be an entrepreneur. Those people learn to be pretty quick--either that, or they go down in flames.

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Define "thinking skill" and please give me an example of when this skill made a difference.

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Perhaps Steven covers this in his book, but another challenge for the young worker or the unskilled worker is the difficulty in finding permanent jobs. Typically, young workers are hired on a part-time basis or an on-call basis. Companies would rather hire 2 part-timers than one full-timer because they save on benefits. I see this as little more than a scam - we'll give you a job, but it won't have any benefits or hope of becoming a full-time permanent position.

There are many parents like Steven who see what's happening and worry not only for their kids, but for themselves because parents are providing many of their kids, struggling towards independence, with housing and/or financial aid at a time parents are trying to prepare for their own retirement.

Over the last 20 years we've slipped from being the financial dynamo of OUR parents to an economy that resembles post-war England.

The young people coming out of college are perplexed. Thinking that jobs would be there, and seeing the way some find them while others are completely left out, they have no idea about their next move -other than how keep the costs of their lifestyles going --often a Starbucks job and home with the parents. They're not readers of books, unfortunately. Hard to figure how the message in your book gets to them.

Steven Greenhouse: Robert Reich (sort of) attempts to answer the following question in his book Supercapitalism.

"What is the difference between the docile, dispirited and exploited US worker who is too afraid to demand a bathroom break AND the French workers who riot (or at least demonstrate) in the streets across the country if Gov't threatens to lose even ONE (1) DAY of their 5+ weeks of vacation every year."

I saw Reich speak once, so I asked about the role of VISA/Mastercard (consumer debt in general) and "Gotcha Capitalism" in the pockets of the average person. I love the guy, but he completely dismissed the notion that debt was hindering people from fighting back for worker's rights (a quick check in the Index to Supercapitalism reveals that he doesn't mention in the book either).

I think he made a BIG mistake by ignoring it. For the average joe to make the leap to FULL, ACTIVE CITIZEN, they must not be afraid of losing everything and going bankrupt.

In my opinion, the 22-year olds right now are thought of by the lenders as a part of their parents and their grandparents' financial portfolio. That is to say, Johnny 18-y.o. at Univ. of Nebraska is given a $7,000+ spending limit on a credit card with no job BECAUSE the companies know that the kid may end up borrowing from their parents or grandparents to pay it back in 5-10 years anyway. They're trying to perform (in Sopranos language) a "Bust-Out" on THE WHOLE FAMILY, not just the young ones.

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I dunno. I'm 37, so I'm right around the age of what you're looking at. I don't think it's that hard to reach whatever level you aspire to. Most kids get too hung up on irreconcileable personal goals when it comes to work/family/lifestyle. They impose a lot of this debt on themselves tilting at windmills. I always provide whatever advice I can to my younger coworkers, and I think most of them appreciate it. (The college career center won't tell them the truth.) It's always better to work in or around a prospering company/industry/region than one in decline. You can *always* find one. I tell them bounce around early--every six months if you have to--until you find a career field/position you like. Liking your job is the key to long-term satisfaction. After that, be competent, ethical, and diligent. Your first six months will define you within the company. Never say no to the first special project (big or small) you're offered. Knock it out of the park, and you'll be promoted at your first annual review, if not sooner. If not, put the experience on your resume while it's still fresh and walk. You've spent too many years honing your skills and cultivating your interests to be insulted. Sell them to someone who will appreciate your worth...and someone will.

Holy $hit, tenaciousd, that's fantastic advice. You should be a life coach. :)

As one who was stupid enough to graduate in 1975, I must say, the blogger is confused about how easy it was in the 70s. The 70s were a nightmare.

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It is interesting that back in 1969, without a college degree, I was turned down for being "over-qualified" for a position I applied for. Being a white male was not an asset when companies were trying to meet Affirmative Action goals to eliminate race and sex inequalities in the workplace.

Then after I earned my bachlors degree I had the same thing happen. At least that time the person that interviewed me admitted that if he hired me I'd probably end up with his job!

One of the big mistakes the unions are making by accepting two-tier scales is that you have a group that feels screwed over right from the get go.

In a decade, those same young workers will be able to vote on getting rid of health benefits for retirees in exchange for a raise for themselves.

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I think it's possible for this line of inquiry to be both fruitful and meaningless at the same time. On the one hand, research may adequately describe the situation faced by young workers. On the other hand, it may fail to usefully compare their situation with the situation of similar-aged people in prior eras. I guess what I am saying is, history is written by the winners, so, it seems like every generation but the current one has done better.

Here's a quote which certainly makes it seem to me like things are no worse now than they've ever been:

"...tens of millions of Americans are, at this very moment, maimed in body and spirit, existing at levels beneath those necessary for human decency. If these people are not starving, they are hungry, and sometimes fat with hunger, for that is what cheap foods do. They are without adequate housing and education and medical care."

Michael Harrington, from _The Other America_ written in 1962.

Overall we are at least not worse off than that, right?

Dave

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Moreover, today's young Americans are entering a workplace in which the job security that my parents' generation largely took for granted has all but evaporated. Nowadays the unspoken message is that you have to bust your butt and perform well to make sure your employer keeps you. You also have to earn your pay increases because automatic raises are increasingly a thing of the past.

This is one major reason why so many young people are opting out of hierarchical employment tracks, either trying to start businesses early or choosing lower-paying careers with more work-life balance. Ironically, in the minds of far too many employers, this attitude is labeled "lazy" and/or "entitled."

Even the highly skilled, high-paying professions (like law) have huge downsides exactly because of this new "constant competition" mentality. New lawyers work far more hours than entry level lawyers did 30 years ago. The disparity between firms and government/public interest is also much higher. And while firms' starting salaries partially reflect these hours, the new lawyers accepting these jobs must effectively cede their personal lives entirely. 80 hours work weeks in-office are not uncommon, and the hours you're not working are tied to a BlackBerry. But it's what's necessary in order to hang on to that salary -- and without that salary, that huge debt you need to pay off starts to become a serious, scary issue.

I am 25 and currently in law school, and it's interesting to see the dichotomy in attitudes. A lot of people are seriously considering giving up roughly large salaries (not counting bonuses) to go to government jobs with loan repayment benefits rather than firm jobs specifically in order to secure a reasonable working life. The high-paying firms are very often seen simply as places to service debt for a few years before moving on, and they suffer HUGE (and quite expensive) attrition rates as a result. But this isn't seen as a labor issue so much as a symptom of irresponsibility.

The alternative is to try to get out of the system of large employees entirely and start your own business. Even in the best of times, that's never been easy right out of school (you have to accumulate capital, contacts, etc...). But today we also have record high health costs and virtually unaffordable private health insurance. It's hard to opt out of a hierarchical system when it can literally mean taking your life in your hands.

I'm really happy to see books tackling this issue being published because this is, in my opinion, one of the biggest gaps in generational understanding in years. We see huge institutional debt, a crushing attitude towards work, virtually no job security, and a hugely inadequate system of social support. Our bosses, remembering how it felt to be a college graduates 20-30 years ago, generally see a bunch of lazy bums asking for more than they deserve.

Cheers. I'm turning 25 in August and have put off Law School for that exact reason: I don't want to live my job. So many of my friends love their jobs but work crazy hours and cede to their position a loyalty that, to me, seems to trump family at times.

When you are afraid to take vacation time that YOU EARNED for fear of what your employer might think well that to me is just crazy. But when I question this it's always "i love my job" or "i'm going to bust my ass to get to management and then i won't have to work like this" .... i just don't know, I've been able to walk away from jobs like that and boy did it work out better for me.

I think tenaciousd put it really well in regards to strategy for the young people...it's exactly what I did and now I've landed a job in a secure industry with great pay, benefits and an employer who understands that my life does not begin and end in this office building!

I'm totally with you on this issue, as I went into law school viewing corporate America as a debt refunder for a time, then realized that I wanted some job security, time off work, time to start a family (newly engaged), and actually HAVE a life. I 've seen too many of my friends here go into complete dark depression over their work schedules, and I'm not a lazy person. But I have been treated that way, for not wanting to strive for that after some experience with it.

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According to a recent NY times article, very few recent college grads from elite schools like Harvard are choosing lower-paying jobs in public service. Those with the right qualifications are still overwhelmingly choosing high-powered corporate jobs:

The professor, Howard Gardner, hopes ... more students [will] consider public service and other careers beyond the consulting and financial jobs that he says are almost the automatic next step for so many graduates of top colleges.

“Is this what a Harvard education is for?” asked Professor Gardner, who is teaching ... seminars [promoting public-service careers] at Harvard, Amherst and Colby with colleagues. “Are Ivy League schools simply becoming selecting mechanisms for Wall Street?”

Although others have expressed similar concerns in recent years, his views have gained support on the Harvard campus with students, faculty and even the new president, Drew Gilpin Faust, who made the topic the cornerstone of her address to seniors during commencement week. Dr. Faust noted that in the past year, whenever she has met with students, their first question has always been the same: “Why are so many of us going to Wall Street?”


Great discussion and thanks for the insight into many of the scary numbers which young workers are facing in the marketplace.

Because I am young I have very little perspective on the generation which preceded my generation. But one thing seems clear, in the past there was a substantial industry of blue collar jobs for those that did not have technical degrees or college degrees. Many of those jobs had retirement plans and healthcare plans protected by union representation. We do not seem to have as many of those jobs for my generation but maybe our country has more people therefor less jobs. Also throughout my life it seems that there has been a concerted effort by the business community and the goverment to get rid of unions and union jobs, not to mention the piss-poor management of our Auto industry by the leading American companies. Another facet to this story is the way that corporate America uses and endless supply of young college educated workers to work as contract employees. Two of the companies my sister worked for in the late 90's and early 00's employed her over a 9 month period as a prospective hire/contract employee. For her work she was given no healthcare benefits nor retirement benefits until such time as her contratc expired. Obviously I can not speak for her or the company but the result in both cases was that she was let go at the end of her term and had to look to find another job. In both cases she was left the impression that both companies frequently used this tactic to hire high-ckilled entry level workers without having to give them benefits. I would guess that the ttransition for such a job was not as critical in cost analysis as saving money not paying benefits! When I graduated from grad school, I was given the opportunity to work for a leading Goverment Contractor on the same type of temporary basis. Six months later I was given the opportunity to get healthcare and a 401K. I think this is a normal business practice throughout corporate America and somthing that I believe is rather unethical on a part of corporate America. Throughout my grade school education I was told to succeed and that if you succeed opportunities will come your way. They told us that college was the way to guarentee your future but here I am and here my sister is following the steps and leadership from previous generations then getting treated like indentured servants having to pay the piper first.

Another complaint I have and my girlfriend has about corporate America that may not be unique to my generation but standard operating procedure for corporate America is business asking you to give up much of your free-time in order to succeed. I am of the school of "working to live" not "live to work". I have been educated, I have a college degree and a Master's. I understand that if a business is going to succeed that it must have worker's who go above and beyond but nonetheless I feel like much of corporate America resembles a Autocracy with its own rules meant to control the lives of the employees of the companies. I feel like I have to be proven innocent by the background checks, the drug tests and the trial employment period demanded by companies such as the one I work for. I understand that many coroporations in America do not resemble my words but I fear that this is an exception not a rule. I am angry at the previous generation, I am angry at the lack of quality fo life which corporate America only rates in relation to their bottom lines. I feel that their are many who make up my generation who have massive doubts about globalization, corporate America, the role of our goverment and its ties to coroporate America and the violations of our personal rights by this current administration and those of other administrations. It would seem that control and a lack of liability is all that many care for, I do not seek control I seek life and integrity in leading my life. There I go rambling again, Sorry! I am just extremely cynical about the lifestyle which I was told to expect as a child and the world which I see as an adult. The two are mutually exclusive but not quite exact opposites!