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The EU bombers

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I live in a building owned jointly by a hundred families, a cooperative. The other day the board asked the members to vote on a plan to spend four million dollars on renovating the building. When the members voted "nay," the board asked for another vote, on a slightly reconfigured loan. The membership reacted with great dismay, as it was obvious that if they had voted for the loan, no second vote would have been called for. They felt manipulated, and their resentment is still agitating our small community and threatening future plans to act in unison.

EU politicians are responding to the Irish "nay" vote on the Lisbon Treaty in the same high handed manner my board did, and the effect will be the same. EU leaders are all for democracy--as long as the people vote the way they prefer the vote to come out. In effect, leading EU politicians are more devious than my board. At first they pressured Ireland to hold a swift second referendum. When the Irish refused, the EU politicians called for others to proceed anyhow.

First of all, both German and French leaders, and even the highly respected Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker of Luxemburg, called for the other 26 nations to proceed in ratifying the treaty. This move makes little sense if the EU is going to abide by the procedures it itself set, namely that all 27 member nations must ratify the treaty for it to take effect. Why ask for the remaining 26 to go through the trouble if the treaty cannot be legally implemented anyhow?

One response is that, as France's Europe minister, Jean-Pierre Jouyet, put it, that the EU will find some "specific means of cooperation" with Ireland. Another-- a two speed Europe, in which those nations that will ratify the treaty will work more closely together than the others. In either case, the remaining 26 countries do not plan to allow their people to vote on the very consequential treaty, and will rely on ratification by the parliaments. The result? Growing alienation from the whole EU project by large segments of the European publics.

The EU politicians involved are emboldened by the decades in which they made what they considered great progress without truly involving the people. The EU's European Commission made hundred of decisions without effective public hearings or proper consultations with the citizens of the countries involved or even with the weak EU Parliament. Those decisions stuck because they often dealt with highly technical matters (e.g. harmonizing the axle widths of the railroads of the various countries); the EU ignored the fact that many member nations did not implement the policies the EU pronounced (e.g. the requirement that each member nation dedicate 3% of its public budget to research and development); or -- the decisions did cause a measure of resentment, but an initially limited one. However over the years, the high-handed ways of the Commission have become one reason major segments of European publics have soured on the whole idea of a united Europe. True, when the French and the Dutch voted "no" on a previous round of the treaty (then called a constitution), they had several reasons, but among them was a lack of ardor for the whole EU project.

Moreover, the issues the EU now faces are far from limited technical ones, but tap into deep-seated political, moral and emotional issues, such as what is to be done about immigration (which the citizens of several nations are keen to limit, while other EU nations allow immigrants in quite readily-- immigrants quick to move to other parts of the EU); terrorists (different nations have very different notions about civil rights); further enlargement (esp. the admission of Turkey); and above all, the surrender of sovereignty, which the significant increases in EU majority voting, detailed in the new treaty, will result in.

These are not matters that lawyers, civil servants, and a few representatives can rule upon in secret or opaque meetings, or ram through parliaments-- if the majority of the public has other preferences. Either the majorities will have to be persuaded, or the policies adapted. If the EU continues to proceed in the same high-handed, undemocratic way it has been acting, it will face ever more resentment and opposition.

The rejection of the further expansion and enlargement of the EU will express itself in many ways. In some cases, national governments that are pro-EU will be voted out of office. In others, voters will flock to nationalistic right wing parties or movements. Or, they will support strikes, demonstrations, and even civil disobedience to EU measures, or vent their frustrations in some other way.

The time has come when the EU authorities and those who champion the EU project either win more people over to their cause, or sharply modify their project. Most likely they must do both if the EU is to continue to grow and not regress to a merely trade union.

AE is professor of international affairs at The George Washington University and the author Political Unification Revisited: On Building Supranational Communities and Security First: For a Muscular, Moral Foreign Policy. For more, visit www.securityfirstbook.com. To contact him, write comnet@gwu.edu.


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The result? Growing alienation from the whole EU project by large segments of the European publics.
The EU politicians involved are emboldened by the decades in which they made what they considered great progress without truly involving the people.
This is true.

What's sometimes called the democracy deficit of the EU has more and more become sort of an Achilles' heel, and at this historical juncture, one may guess that the functionaries of the EU will not ever view democracy issues as serious matters.

The multitude of mothertongues and the lack of an enforced common lingua franca for the Union makes union-wide democratic discussion nearly an impossible task.

And too much of EU's traditions are inter-governmental. It has proven hard to escape from those traditions.

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I'm a big believer in giving the elite room to do its job. On some issues the people can be quite useful, such a jury, parliamentry elections and local school boards, but when it comes to constitutional matters and international treaties, a hopeless provincialism and irrational chauvanism unfortunately reigns supreme. The ulimate safeguard is the internal democracy each country possesses. If the national leadership crosses the line, a true anti treaty party will win power and correct the error. In many ways, the referendum violates the spirit of representative democracy because it allows the nations leaders to evade their responsibilites and places the fate of the issue in a whimsicle popular vote, where topics unrelated to the matter at hand often dominate.

Cut Ireland out and get on with it.
Trust the people of Europe to act through their own political systems. And yes I see you smile here, but my point is that if the Irish political elite are so craven that they want to hide behind a referendum everytime there is a difficult decision to be made, then they deserve to stay at the kiddy table.

so, northern observer, you favor a system where an unelected elite lords it over the "masses", who are only convenient in your not so humble opinion, when they can be considered "useful".

so essentially, a totalitarian, fascistic state is just fine and dandy with you?

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I've been posting about this for days on my blog (see here).

They had a new constitution, and it got voted down by (IIRC) France and the Netherlands, and the response was to come back with the basically the same thing in a way that did not involve a vote...except that the Irish constitution required one anyway.

Trying to fast track a 250 page document that is so complex that no one understands all of it is fundamentally suspect, and it comes from an attitude that important decisions must be insulated from "politics", which is a code phrase for removing democratic decision making from the process.

If they want a new constitution, start with a 4-5 page document that describes principles in the way that the US constitution does, then they might get the votes to pass it.

Interesting article.

In response to Northern Observer, Ireland had a referendum because of the way the Irish Constitution is set up - it's a legal requirement that there be a referendum to ratify a treaty like this. Each member state has to use its own means of ratifying - if the Irish government could have got away with not having a popular vote like the rest of Europe's governments, they certainly would have. The EU Constitution, this treaty's forerunner, was negotiated by Irish diplomats and politicians during Ireland's last presidency of the EU - so this particular government has no interest in blocking the progress of the treaty.

I voted 'yes' in the Irish referendum last week, despite a lot of misgivings, but I know a lot of Irish people who are very pro-Europe who voted 'no' for a wide variety of reasons and after a lot of thought (none of it particularly whimsical!). I agree that a yes/no vote on a major international treaty is a blunt instrument, but people did their best to make a decision on the treaty as presented to them.

Going on without Ireland or kicking Ireland out isn't an option under EU law - despite some of the heated comments over the last week. After the EU's response to Ireland's no vote, I'm probably less likely to vote 'yes' next time around - some of what I considered paranoid in my compatriots' reasons for voting 'no' now looks more like prescience...

After the EU's response to Ireland's no vote, I'm probably less likely to vote 'yes' next time around - some of what I considered paranoid in my compatriots' reasons for voting 'no' now looks more like prescience...
Yes, this is truly tradgical, since surely you are not the only one who feels like this.

And, for sure, not only on Ireland do people make this conclusion, although of course most of all there.

I followed the referenda concerning Finland's and Sweden's entry into the European Union in the early 1990s, and am afraid most people (on both sides) now can conclude that the Eurosceptics made a much better prognosis for how a membership would turn out. This was again repeated during the referenda concerning the currency union in 2003.

The European Union really has a problem here, if it more and more looks like the EU-proposals can be sold to the public only by exaggerations and over-optimistic marketing, and if the solution to the obvious disconnect between people and rulers is to further marginalize and alienate the people. That way only leads to more troubles.

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