At AIPAC Today, Obama Shows How He Will Win (Postscript on Jerusalem)
It could have been a case of terrible timing. The first speech after claiming the nomination is delivered at AIPAC. Talk about your tough crowd.
But Obama won them over. He received standing ovations, cheers and even some tears (when he talked about the Holocaust and about slain Jewish civil rights workers, Michael Schwerner and Andy Goodman who were murdered in Mississippi with James Chaney in 1964).
Obama won AIPAC over without dropping his commitment to the two-state solution or engaging in the Palestinian bashing that is normal in that venue.
So how did he do it? It turns out the timing was perfect. Suddenly there is an awareness of the dimensions of Obama's accomplishment. And people want to be part of it. (The AIPAC crowd has a huge contingent of students who are not exactly enthusiastic about returning to the campus in September as McCain supporters).
A friend of mine walked out of the speech with this analysis. It is clear that AIPAC senses a huge shift in America and it wants to be on the right side of it."
Cool.
PS. I am not troubled by Obama's reference to maintaining an "undivided Jerusalem." That is what I favor. Unified city, two sovereignties i.e. shared. I love Jerusalem and the idea of walls going up to divide Jews and Arabs is anathema to me. Share it, don't split. I don't kbnow what Obama meant but I believe that his commitment to an undivided city is right.


More attention should be paid to Bush (& Neocon camp and rove/cheney/bolton Unilateralist camp role in blocking it) ignoring the Iranian peace overtures in 2003. This is relevant to the whole Obama vs. McCain debate over talking to Iran and others
Se for example/documentation:
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/showdown/themes/grandbargain.html
http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=36619
http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/001952.php
http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/001953.php
http://thinkprogress.org/2007/02/16/rove-iran/
Part of this deal would have been for Iran to wind down, freeze or have inspected its nuclear work. Back in 2003 when they were not as far along.
And of course this was by the Iranian moderates, including the then President, before the crazy anti-Isaeli they've got now was elected. Of course it is same Supreme Leader, then and now who is really in charge, and he too has indicated interest in serious talks.
Engaging with Iran in 2003 would have been beneficial for israel. But the Republican fantasists, including the hardline neocons, blocked consideration of it.
Clemons at Wash
June 4, 2008 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks. I appreciate your post.
June 4, 2008 12:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Any video links yet?
June 4, 2008 12:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
The new president needs to stop the creeping erasure of the Palestinian people
June 4, 2008 1:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cheers, MJ. Very cool, indeed.
June 4, 2008 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's a video link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0cOJNC2EuJw
June 5, 2008 7:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
The problem is that AIPAC is on the "right" side of the equation. If AIPAC wasn't for Israel uber alles, Olmert and our Dear Leader wouldn't be planning an October surprise (Wag the Dog) attack on Iran. We'll really be in a world of hurt after the attack!
June 4, 2008 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I highly doubt Olmert is planning anything for October right now. October is a long way off. He might have a google cache full of searches for things like "How to Back a Nail File into a Cake" by then...
And I highly, highly doubt that Bush would be collaborating with appeasers who have indirect negotiations with their neighborly enemies. That would just be ideologically inconsistent. Oh, wait...
June 4, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hi MJ,
Thanks for your post; I was looking forward to hearing your reaction to this speech.
I agree with most of what you said and continue to be impressed with Obama's ability to build trust with groups in which he has some key ideologic differences by focusing on areas where they agree (in this case, the security of Israel, addressing the nuclear threat from Iran); all while standing firm on crucial and more controversial policies (supporting a just two-state solution).
I did want to ask you, however, about one part of his speech that did cause me to have some concerns; and that was Obama's declaration of support for an undivided Jerusalem.
I have not heard him make this commitment before, and it does seem like a worrisome promise to make.
It seems that any reasonable or just peace agreement will involve the Palestinians having East Jerusalem as the capital of their new State (as the Israelis would of course have the other parts of Jerusalem as their capitol).
Was Obama referring to only the Old City? If that's the case, keeping the Old City under Israeli control, while giving East Jerusalem to the Palestinians seems a little bit more realistic; though, and correct me if I'm wrong, haven't past agreements made by moderates on both sides (the 2001 Clinton Plan, the Geneva Accords) included some type of division of the Old City (with each religion overseeing their Holy Sites)?
I'd really love to hear your thoughts on this.
Thanks!
June 4, 2008 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
But I thought you said that Jews believed all those e-mails about Obama. I thought you said they believed he was a Muslim. Suddenly you have confidence in them.
It worries me when you think something is going to happen, because that makes me think it won't.
June 4, 2008 2:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
You can always get a few to swallow crap like that in any demographic. But Obama polled better among American Jews than among the electorate at large, even before he clinched the nomination.
It is actually pretty funny the way Republicans are reduced to bragging about how Obama "only" beats McCain by a 2-1 margin in a poll half a year away from the election.
June 4, 2008 3:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
There would have been more of a point to that comment if I had included the following stats in the blockquote above....
June 4, 2008 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I appreciated Obama's Flip-flop on Kyl-Lieberman
June 4, 2008 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
04/06/2008 19:12 GAZA CITY, June 4 (AFP)
Obama speech draws widespread Palestinian condemnation
June 4, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
So much for Barack Obama, the favored son of Hamas!
June 4, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Holocaust, and Schwerner, and Goodman? That's it?
If he knew really knew his audience, he would have finished up by donning white-face and singing Mammy.
June 4, 2008 3:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Excuse me MJ, as I have not commented in any of your threads since January and will stay away as I pledged, but please allow me to tell this maggot Jim Bo to go fuck himself. [And no Jim, I do not now, and have never been, and would never be, a member of AIPAC.] Thank you and proceed, and please do excuse the interruption. I feel much better now. :)
June 4, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are a disgusting bigot.
June 4, 2008 8:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
What a strange day -- seems like everyone was mature at an AIPAC conference. Maybe you're right, MJ -- Obama has changed the mood.
June 4, 2008 4:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Campaign Spot, National Revue Online:
Read the whole thing, the RNC & McCain plan to continue to hit hard on his not voting for Kyl/Lieberman, but agreeing with it now, i.e., flipflopping. It started with McCain's June 2 speech to AIPAC and the Obama camp's response.
June 4, 2008 4:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
From an earlier diary, Demosaur shot that talking point in the ass:
"This isn't a flip-flop. Obama cosponsored S.970 to declare the IRGC a terrorist organization way back in 2007. That was not the portion of Kyl-Lieberman he disagreed with."
June 4, 2008 5:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well actually, I prefer to go by the last link I gave, than someone on the net, as that's the official Obama campaign response. That's what matters now, we're not talking about the past. If you read all 3 links, you will see today's speech is very much about McCain's speech 2 days ago. Obama's betting he can handle the flipflop accusation, he got dared by the McCain campaign to say things in the speech that would look like a flipflop and he decided to take them up on it. It's possible he thinks he can add the nuance later over time. That's what Kerry thought, too, though.
June 4, 2008 7:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Really? What portion did he disagree with? It has been claimed many times here that Obama opposed labeling the IRGC a terrorist organization, since that would, according to him and his supporters, lead to war with Iran, even though he skipped the actual vote. Are you saying that's not true? Sounds pretty revisionist to me. I think his flip on the IRGC had a lot to do with the AIPAC reaction. Get used to it. Many more to come. And when he bombs those nuclear facilities to keep Israel from bombing them? We'll have to justify that, too.
June 4, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
The fact that Obama had never kowtowed to the degree of supporting an "undivided" Jerusalem -- and thus guaranteeing that no peace will occur during an Obama administration -- was one of the many reasons I've supported him. Hillary Clinton did vocally support an "undivided" Jerusalem, which means being to the right of the current Israeli prime minister.
Now Obama's joined her. At AIPAC he said "Jerusalem will remain the capital of Israel and it must remain undivided." Sorry to be so crass, but WTF? This, along with his praise of Leon Uris, of all writers, to Jeffrey Goldberg, I'm seeing less and less daylight between Obama and Clinton or McCain.
This is really disappointing. It assume it's disappointing to MJ, Daniel Levy, the J Street Project, and anyone else who wants to move away from the maximalist AIPAC line.
MJ, why instead have you basically condoned his speech at AIPAC? Because they applauded him? You imply AIPAC has changed -- but where's the evidence. Instead, Obama has changed, and moved towards AIPAC. Please tell me I'm wrong. (I hope I am.)
June 4, 2008 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
To you and other Obama supporters who hoped he would sound like Mr. Rosenberg--
TRY TO LIVE IN THE REAL WORLD, PEOPLE. OBAMA CANNOT WIN IF MY FRIENDS AND I DON'T VOTE FOR HIM.
YOUR COMMANDER IN CHIEF HAS GIVEN ALL OF YOU A DIRECT ORDER: STOP BASHING ISRAEL AND JOIN HIM IN HIS UNSHAKEABLE COMMITMENT TO THAT ALLY'S SECURITY.
June 4, 2008 8:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ooooh, the Commander in Chief. And a direct order too! Achtung, baby!
June 6, 2008 10:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have the same concern as alopata2000.
There's only one thing that "an undivided Jerusalem" means to any Israeli or Arab, and that is the continuing Israeli colonization of the West Bank isolating East Jerusalem as well as the attrition of Arab property rights in East Jerusalem.
Obama is not the first democrat to have used this phrase lately, and I am wondering if this is a behind-the-scenes agreement to be included in a speech to garner AIPAC support for -- or, at least, noninterference in -- your political parade.
This runs counter to international law both in terms of Jerusalem as undivided and as the capital. It amounts to a United States action of neo-colonial gunboat diplomacy expropriating one nation for the benefit of another without hint of quid pro quo.
New ideas? Clean break? Change in Washington? Yeah. If I was Abbas, or any Palestinian, or any Arab with an interest, I'd read this as United States foreign policy continuing much as usual. Why wouldn't I?
June 4, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you have concerns about Obama's "undivided Jerusalem" at least give him a whistle as I did earlier this afternoon.
June 4, 2008 6:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Like several others upthread, I found the "undivided Jerusalem" comment worrisome. Such a comment seems to me a weakening of Obama's committment to a two-state solution, at least in the sense of promoting two viable states, and without that, why bother. This is not good, and I sincerely hope it doesn't signal some sort of concession to Clinton and her wealthy Israel-hawk donors. You say that for him to offer his first major speech after winning at AIPAC wasn't a case of terrible timing, but I have to ask why did he have to make this statement now, when he's just been victorious in the primary?
What are your thoughts, MJ?
June 4, 2008 6:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wordie,
I have more confidence in the creativity of a potential Obama administration foreign policy. I imagine that it is possible for two viable states to share a capital city that remains undivided. Obama also spoke of a contiguous independent Palestine. I would further imagine that these possibilities would depend alot on how such viability is diplomatically established.
It's not so bad. Obama has wealthy Jewish donors of his own.
June 4, 2008 7:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I certainly hope you're right. Note that in my reference to "wealthy Israel-hawk donors," the crucial word was "hawk," and I'm hoping that's what separates Obama's Jewish donors from those of Clinton. I do understand that there's been a lot of ugly propaganda designed to worry Jewish voters, and that Obama has needed to do something to counteract that. But he could have simply left the reference out of the speech and I certainly wish he had.
I guess I'm left like Aaron above, feeling deeply uncomfortable about the comment, but hoping that there's something to explain it and that it doesn't mean that my take on Obama wasn't entirely off. The candidate I voted for was seeking the most equitable resolution and a genuine peace for both peoples.
June 4, 2008 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
May I remind the provincially minded that Obama in fact made his firt major speech in:
SAINT PAUL
June 4, 2008 6:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, OK...I guess I sort of view his victory speech in St. Paul as being part of his winning the nomination, but technically you're correct.
June 4, 2008 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
More than technically, I think. Sure, he had to do the AIPAC thing but I don't think it's any accident that he went back to Iowa and Minnesota in a big way in the last couple of weeks to emphasize the heart of his campaign. The conventions are in Colorado and Minnesota this year. The country is looking inward and the candidate who wins this year is the one who best talks to Americans about the future of American states, cities and towns.
June 4, 2008 7:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
The speech was a disappointment. If JStreet was the US power broker in regards to Israel I don't think he would have delivered such a speech. He would have given his more characteristic nuanced approach to the issue.
June 4, 2008 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I thought this was rather interesting.....
James Zogby has a new column up at the Huffington Post in which he discusses Obama's AIPAC speech and notes both the positive (his continued support of a two-state solution, and his argument that the Iraq War has been bad for Israel's security) with the (in his words) deeply troubling: Obama's statement that Jerusalem "will remain the capital of Israel, and it must remain undivided."
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/james-zogby/obama-at-aipac-some-doubt_b_105272.html
However, Zogby also notes something else: that "it has been a Palestinian position that Jerusalem can 'remain the capital of Israel' and can 'remain undivided' as long as that does not preclude the Palestinians from also having their capital in a 'shared' city."
Could this be the frame of reference Obama was (albeit, quietly) using when voicing his support of an “undivided” Jerusalem?
Was he simply stating his support for something already “technically” supported by moderate Palestinians?
Would this represent a rather cynical approach on Obama's part, if true? Sure.
But Obama has a very fine line to walk here. He is clearly engaging in some political maneuvering, trying to stay true to what he sees as the core principles surrounding this issue (a just peace being in the best interests of both Israelis and Palestinians and the idea that Iraq War has been bad for Israel) while at the same time eking out every last drop of common ground that he can find to garner the support of members of an influential organization, many of whom have (fairly or not) viewed him with suspicion.
Am I looking for reasons to justify my candidate's position on this issue? Yeah, probably. But I do believe that Obama understands the importance of achieving a just peace between the Israelis and Palestinians, not only for the sake of the Israelis and Palestinians, but for America as well.
Therefore, I have to believe (want to believe) that he knows what he is doing and that he has a plan.
I guess one could refer to this as my audacity of hope.
June 4, 2008 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ken, anachnu yacholim!
June 4, 2008 7:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is not something to celebrate. While I want Obama to win and understand the power of the lobby and the sad but necessary fealty it begs, his remarks are cowardly.
The Palestinians will rightly disagree with the sentiment of an "undivided" Jerusalem, to which they are legally accorded to. For one, Israel has already illegally annexed parts of Palestinian Jerusalem and the indication of a continuation of this is unacceptable (which an undivided jerusalem certainly is, it must be demarcated toprevent further expansion). Two, despite the best claims of fantasists, neither the Israelis nor the Palestinians want to live together in a mutu