The Lessons of the Past

Hello all! First of all, thanks to TPM - one of the premier places for serious conversations about books - for hosting this discussion. I am truly honored to be joined this week by Jonathan Alter, Michael Barone, Lawrence Kaplan, Michael Tomasky, and Jim Traub - a group of writers and thinkers whom I have greatly admired and learned much from over the years.
I'd like to kick things off with an event that took place a month ago that has been widely noted (including in a story on the front page of the New York Times) but whose significance has been ignored. On April 26, an unprecedented, citizen-demanded referendum took place in Berlin. For the first time in the city's history, enough Berliners signed a petition to put a matter on the ballot of a special election. The subject was whether the city government should shelve its plans to shutter the small Tempelhof airport located smack in the center of the German capital.
When the election was held, 60 percent of the Berliners who cast their ballots in this advisory plebiscite voted to keep the airport open. Those who lived closest to their airport were most fervently in favor of keeping it alive.
The question to consider is this: What would lead the neighbors of a noisy, polluting, urban airport that loses $15 million a year to demand it be kept open when it is scheduled to be shuttered?
In any other city, at any other airport, residents would be campaigning to close it, not keep it.
But Berlin's Tempelhof is not just any airport. It is remembered as the American military base used during the Berlin airlift that kept the city alive during the Soviet blockade in 1948-49. As German Chancellor Angela Merkel said the week before the vote in weighing in with her belief that the airport should be kept open, "The airport is for many, and for me personally, a symbol with the airlift of the history of this city."
The Candy Bombers was an attempt to write the kind of character-driven, narrative history that I enjoy reading but - more importantly from the standpoint of this discussion - it was also an attempt to excavate a "usable past" for progressives, something we talk a lot about but have not done enough of.
About four years ago, I asked myself these questions: If, in this era of Abu Ghraib and a descending situation in Iraq, America is doing the wrong things in the world, when were we most clearly doing the right thing? If we are at a low ebb of our standing in the eyes of people in other nations, when were we most beloved and admired and trusted around the world?
The answer was clear to me: the Berlin Airlift - not only the greatest humanitarian effort of all time, but a military operation that changed the flow of history and put America clearly on the side of kindness and decency in the world.
Like many others, I had a passing a familiarity with the Berlin Airlift, but did not know the full story of what had happened - in large part, as I discovered once digging into this subject, because it had never been written. I found that, like other seemingly familiar aspects of our past, it was a mystery in plain sight. I knew that the powerful symbol that Angela Merkel described had to have a more interesting story than the sentence or few paragraphs the Airlift gets even in most histories of the Cold War or postwar Europe and America.
But as I began writing this book, I realized that I would not be able to tell the story of the Berlin Airlift without also describing America's foreign policy challenges in the years after World War II and Harry Truman's political challenges in the 1948 election.
I will turn to how presidential politics and the Berlin crisis were intimately tied together in a future post, but want to kick-off our discussion by focusing on the challenges America faced in the world in 1948 - and what, if anything, we might learn from them.
1948 found Americans struggling, for the first time, to figure out how an exceptional nation should act at the summit of world power. The sense that victory in World War II would be followed by a return to isolationism had been replaced by the realization that America would not be able to again shuffle off the world stage. All through the previous year, the governments of Eastern Europe had fallen one by one to Soviet coups and the United States found itself in a new kind of worldwide ideological struggle. The Marshall Plan spent nearly a year after its announcement stalled on Capitol Hill. The American military had been not only demobilized but decimated. And, three years after the end of the war, the occupation of Germany was, by most any measure, failing.
But the story of this book is how a set of imperfect people - presidents, diplomats, generals, ordinary citizens - responded and brought America to the high-point of the American century. It was the closest we ever came to World War III (closer even than the Cuban Missile Crisis), the point at which we stopped the Soviet expansion across the continent of Europe, and the source of NATO and the Federal Republic of Germany.
It seemed to me in writing this book that was relevance in the tale of how America turned around that failing occupation of Germany; how we learned to marry our moral power to our military strength to inspire people around the world; how we brought democracy to a place that many thought was culturally and historically incapable of such freedom; how the relationship between Germans and Americans turned from one of enmity to amity; how Americans embraced sacrifice and service in a time of trouble; and how we bested a global ideological threat to our country without firing a shot.
The communists are not the jihadists; Berlin is not Baghdad; 1948 is not 2008. Yet I still can't help but wonder whether the residents of Baghdad will - sixty years from now - be campaigning to keep an American army base open because of their gratitude for the American occupation. So I'd like to kick off this conversation by asking whether that is a fair comparison.
What - if anything - can America during the Berlin Airlift and the early Cold War teach us about America during the occupation of Iraq and the War on Terror? What are the lessons of the past?















Now seems like a really bad time to romanticize a US led foreign occupation.
"I still can't help but wonder whether the residents of Baghdad will - sixty years from now - be campaigning to keep an American army base open because of their gratitude for the American occupation," you say.
Wow.
The only person I've ever seen say anything similar (and expect to be taken seriously) is John McCain.
But, since you asked. The answer to your question is no.
June 2, 2008 9:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hello there!
I'm thoroughly enjoying your book. Thank you for illuminating this chapter of our history.
One thing that strikes me right off the bat. The U.S. then didn't seem too concerned with rebuilding Berlin or it's infrastructure. Berlin in 1948 didn't reveal too many tangible signs of progress compared to June of 1945.
There's alot of talk now about how the Iraqi's continue to live in squalor and suffer daily power outages, etc... The people of Berlin suffered under similar or worse circumstances. In spite of that, they came to view us as allies against a threat.
June 2, 2008 9:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's pointless to discuss Baghdad in the context of Berlin in 1948. We invaded Baghdad without even the pretense of self defense so the situations are entirely different.
And somebody should tell Cherny that we're not fighting "jihadists" there. We're fighting the citizenry.
June 2, 2008 10:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can't wait to get your book. After reading this post, I am intrigued. I hope to have more to say after finishing it.
Thank you for coming to the TPM Cafe.
June 2, 2008 10:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Some of these initial comments illustrate a thought that kept creeping into my mind as I read this book. On the one hand, it is an incredible story. On the other hand, most people today are too cynical to actually believe you are telling a true story without embellishment. It is almost impossible for anyone without some direct recollection of these events to believe that the United States would undertake such an endeavor and be viewed as a champion of freedom. That's a sad commentary.
Another point... you illustrate how we went from a state of mutual animosity to a state of mutual admiration in the course of roughly three years. While we were never really 'greeted as liberators' it did appear that the Iraqi people were at least open-minded to our presence at first. It went downhill very fast.
June 2, 2008 11:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
What - if anything - can America during the Berlin Airlift and the early Cold War teach us about America during the occupation of Iraq and the War on Terror? What are the lessons of the past?
Precious little I suspect. I am always skeptical of such attempts to distill simple "lessons" from a tiny sample consisting of a couple of notable events. And the geopolitical situation is so vastly different now from the situation in 1948 that I don't see much we can draw on.
And I hope you're not one of those who is about to tell us that the US needs a "Marshall Plan" for the Middle East. What the people of the Middle East seem to want from us most is that we trade with them, but otherwise stay out of their domestic affairs.
There is something a bit pathetic about the increasingly frequent attempts by contemporary Americans to reach back with nostalgia into the WWII and postwar American Century glory days for re-assurance and re-affirmation. It is good to seek more amicable relations with the rest of the world and to repair the diplomatic damage that Bush has done. But the ceaseless cravings of the exceptionalists for something from abroad that goes beyond good relations and mutual respect - for something more like love and constant admiration - are childish and dangerously quixotic.
The new generation of megalomaniacal exceptionalists, among whom speechwriting and wordsmithing seem to be very popular occupations, are lost in their own elevated and inflated rhetoric. They seem to be mourning over the death of a place that has more reality in their imaginations and illusory childhood memories than in historical events, and pine for the return of that place. As a consequence they will repeat the tragedy of Iraq over and over gain if given a chance to get their hands on the wheel of the ship of state.
WWII is over. The Cold War is over. We are not the City on the Hill; we are not the Indispensable Nation; we are not the Benevolent Hegemon; we are not the Republic of Virtue; we are not Captain America or Superman or Spider-man. Stop trying to make America into a superhero. It's hard enough being an ordinary, decent, neighborly country that makes its way in the world and cooperates with others without killing millions of innocent people.
The Greatest Generation is gone. But we are perfectly capable of building a happy new America, even if it will be a somewhat less egotistically romantic and titanically heroic America. It's a new day. Let's move on.
June 2, 2008 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well said.
I'd add that "The Greatest Generation" is also not so great. We just romanticize them. I'd rather hang with people from the Roaring 20s than from the World War II years anyway. Better gin and better parties.
June 2, 2008 11:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, so much negativity here.
Answer? Back then, we had good clear intentions and were sometimes tough as nails in our resolve. People respect that combination. Who knew a bag of raisins would be so appreciated?
June 2, 2008 11:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
And it was easier, back then, to tell the bad from the good. We answered evil with good and heaped burning coals on the heads of our enemies.
Today the players are not as clearly good and bad and our intentions are both unclear and selfish. And the nails; they were left out in the rain.
June 2, 2008 12:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Curious if either of you have actually read the book
June 2, 2008 11:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nope. But it's up to the author to present his thesis here and up to me to decide if the thesis is credible enough to warrant my spending time with the book.
So far it's not looking good.
June 2, 2008 12:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I spent the summer of 1950 in Europe. (In the third year of the four-year-long Marshall Plan,) much of West Germany was still in ruins, like much of today's Iraq is in ruins. And that's where any similarity ends - I didn't need an armed military escort to roam the countryside nor was I looking at day-old rubble.
I'm all for the 'carrot' approach (the Marshall Plan) but when it's accompanied by daily bombing raids, it's hardly likely to win hearts. Until we pull out of Iraq - quit bombing it and killing Iraqis, if ever, rebuilding it as we contributed to doing in West Germany can't be on the table
June 2, 2008 12:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
While I was and remain absolutely opposed to the invasion and occupation of Iraq it is interesting to note that U.S. servicemen were advised, for their personal safety, not to roam the streets of Berlin at night.
June 2, 2008 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
60 years, that's an eye blink in Iraq
they've been fighting the Shia-Sunni argument for 1300 years
they're gonna hate us for a thousand years
June 2, 2008 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I haven't read your book yet, but will. I'd like to add something before I read it, perhaps unfairly then, but there are many books to read these days and I may not read yours in time to join the discussion. I speak as someone who loves Berlin deeply in many ways, and as someone who was living in Germany when the wall and check-point Charley came down. I can be uneasy in Berlin also, still a city addicted to political intrigue that can range from nothing at all to some rather serious stuff.
I hope that people of different viewpoints, perhaps some Berliners, will bring some of the current turmoil to light in your discussion. Part of that turmoil is the tension in Germany between memorializing some things and forgetting others --in Berlin in one instance, paving over an important memorial that protests the Nazi burning books to make it a parking lot.
Also, while America rebuilt Germany for a variety of reasons, and defended them by deploying nuclear missiles (we had other reasons too, obviously) many Germans began to resent the American presence in the 80's. One would hear a comment
like "it's time we had that land back, it's good farmland" --referring to a particular US army base. It was time for America to lessen its presence. And I don't think we belong anywhere in Europe today, but the attitudes bothered me in tone then as do some of the attitudes and forgetting today.
It's hard also to get directions from a local in Normandy to place a flower on a parent's grave whose last breath was given
to defeat Nazism. Well --there's a joke there, but why not let the Germans and French tell their own jokes about each other? They've been telling the same ones for centuries.
Lots to talk about, and your book revs up the mind even before a read -- a good sign I'm thinking.
June 2, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
The difference? Back then we simply supported actual democratization in the face of militarism and totalitarianism. Germany went through a variety of civil war in the 1920s in which most internal scores were settled with minor outside interference, and Hitler proved the major late gasp of the anti-democratic forces. (The Soviet-type Communism Ulbricht was head of in East Germany was also a manifestation of anti-democratic forces and beliefs, but historically lesser and obsolete by the Seventies or so.)
Iraq is happening under a colonial hegemonic theory on the part of the executive branch in Washington. The result is American interference in an Iraqi civil war and internal settling of historical scores whose end result will be democratization. But the present American interference is excessively in favor of the wrong and popularly discredited side(s) in the process, just as in Vietnam.
American efforts at wiping out the violent anarchist forces, e.g. AQI, is probably for the good of Iraq's future. But in Iraqi eyes, that is exceeded by creating, propping, and manipulating Maliki. Maliki is being kept in power as colonial-type strongman with a very small real constituency among Iraqis via electocracy based in ruining any and all competing coalitions with American and Iranian help and consent. Al-Sadr is leader of a growing popular plurality, perhaps soon a majority. He stands to inherit non-Kurdish Iraq.
The Berlin airlift equivalent in Iraq would be for Americans to do what was done in Yugoslavia- withdraw to 'safe haven' zones, protect and aide civilians there, and allow the Iraqi factions to fight out the remains of the civil war on roughly equal terms of armaments and minimal foreign participation.
June 2, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
When the election was held, 60 percent of the Berliners who cast their ballots in this advisory plebiscite voted to keep the airport open.
yes, but ...
while ...
As German Chancellor Angela Merkel said the week before the vote in weighing in with her belief that the airport should be kept open, "The airport is for many, and for me personally, a symbol with the airlift of the history of this city."
still, "More than three quarters of Berliners had either voted no or not voted at all, [Mayor Klaus Wowereit] pointed out. "I would therefore ask the supporters ... to respect this majority."
re democracy in action, economies of scale & commemoration, they the people: monument, ja. airport, nein.
June 2, 2008 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
"What - if anything - can America during the Berlin Airlift and the early Cold War teach us about America during the occupation of Iraq and the War on Terror? What are the lessons of the past?"
I think the question you have to ask yourself is this: was the Berlin Airlift truly a simple, selfless humanitarian measure done out of pure concern and goodness... Or, was it a strategically calculated move meant to deal a psychological blow to the Soviets?
Similarly was the Marshall plan a selfless attempt to help the war torn people of Europe, or a very clever economic move to stop the spread of communism?
If you agree that there's no such thing as a purely selfless foreign policy then in actuality nothing has changed. All US foreign policy is based at least in part on securing some sort of short term political advantage.
In the case of Berlin it was executed perfectly, the situation was carefully analyzed, and the correct conclusion (that the Soviets would not respond with force) was reached. In the case of Iraq no attempt was made to analyze the situation.
I think it's obvious that the administration naively believed it would be a quick and very easy way to score political points. They likely felt Iraq would fall quickly with very little casualties, that there would be no resistance, that the country could be quickly secured and paraded as a victory against oppression and an example of American military might. We would establish bases in the region, and the administration would pat itself on the back and proclaim themselves champions of freedom and democracy. Hence the goal was actually not so different from 1940s politics...
Of course it was painfully obvious that none of these people had any interest in history and did not understand the extremely fragile situation in the region, or learned a single thing from the previous experience in Vietnam, another war where easy victory was predicted.
June 2, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great additional ammunition for us reader Morsus!
June 2, 2008 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
... the tale of how America turned around that failing occupation of Germany
yes. star-spangled mise en scène is ill served by clutter, especially german flotsam, like, say, ludwig erhard.
June 2, 2008 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
A few thoughts:
The late father of a friend of mine was a pilot on those Berlin airlift flights. I sent him the url for your book.
If bin Laden had thousands of tanks parked in Saudi Arabia or Syria full of angry vengeful jihadis who had recently seen their country ravaged and tens of millions of their people murdered by Iraqis maybe our occupation of Iraq would have the same impetus for success as our occupation of West Germany. As it is we are as welcome in Iraq as Soviets were in East Germany after WW11. We invaded, destroyed and occupied Iraq without justification. We arrested them without charges, imprisoned them without trial, and tortured them. This war ended and the occupation started over 5 years ago.
The closest we've come to a Marshall Plan for Iraq is lying to foreign nationals to con them into coming from Asia to work as indentured servants building a huge fortress within Baghdad.
June 3, 2008 11:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
I too spent considerable time in Berlin over the years -- as an exchange student before the Wall was built in 61, (and thus with access to the whole city with ease) and a number of return trips, including a research stay in E. Germany during the 1980's. The Occupation of Germany intrigues, I would suggest lack of knowledge generally as to what was actually involved set many in this country up to be propagandized by the Bushies in the run up and immediate aftermath of the Iraq war. Condi could lightly reference the "success" of occupying Japan and Germany, and heads nodded and we went off to shop.
What happened in Berlin in 1948 can't be comprehended unless you know the details over a number of years of the dialogue between George Marshall and Franklin Roosevelt. You see -- they met during the Versailles Conference in 1919, both then quite junior members of Pershing and Wilson's staff's respectively, they compared impressions of what was going wrong in the wake of World War One (both had traveled in Germany, taken a long look at the anarchy, the rise of the Frei Korps -- political militias -- and while they were not then influential, both were impressed with the other's observations.
Marshall had been Pershing's Liason with the French and British forces in the joint occupation of the Rheinland in 1919 -- and he understood the end phase of the war was failing due to lack of mission clarity and planning. In the 20's he did two things -- he got Pershing to commission a study of the US Army's experience with military occupation, 1775 - 1922, and he set himself a very elaborate study of the Histories of various occupations. George Marshall wrote and taught about it in the Command School, at the Army War College. By the time he came back into FDR's orbit in 1934 (Building CCC Camps) they had both had considerable time to consider the political failures at the end of WWI. What would become the Occupation of Germany at the end of WWII was very much a sub-set of their Political objectives, and while FDR was dead, and George Marshall was Secretary of State in 1948, the concepts that had emerged from their dialogue still guided German Policy.
Their overall intent was to quickly destroy the former government, its institutions, and civil society institutions that had been Nazified, and quickly bring into being new local governments. To this end, elections had been held in the fall of 1945 in the French, British and American zones, including those in Berlin, which operated under a limited mandate, subject to the Military Government. This quickly put normal services back in the hands of Germans. In 1946, work restoring the Lander (state) governments began, charters were written, elections held, and by early 1947 these were functioning. Traditionally Lander Governments in Germany operate schools, and deal with most transport issues. Following the Failed Foreign Ministers meeting in late 1947 to reach agreement on future occupation policy, the French, US and British agreed to combine zones, and begin the process of drafting a basic law (constitution) for West Germany. They established a Central Bank, and commissioned a new currency. It was the conversion to the D-Mark for the western Zones in 1948 which was the proximate cause of the Berlin Blockade, because it essentially cut the Soviet zones out of the economy. But each of these steps were key moves in rebuilding a working German Government. The decision to respond to the Blockade with the airlift was an improvised move, but totally consistent with the interpretation of Yalta and Potsdam, that the American, French and British zones in Berlin were a part of what was becoming West Germany. Supplying them with food and fuel that could only be purchased with D-Mark was a necessity, given the decision to proceed with the creation of West Germany under its new basic law, and consider West Berlin as an outpost of the new West Germany as well as in compliance with the 4-power occupation agreements at Yalta and Potsdam.
There is no question that the commitment of the Allied Military to supplying Berlin, including the candy bombs and the summer camp trips for kids to W. Germany, were part of an overall strategy of bringing the West German population into the institutions of the new Germany. There was almost immediate pay-off, in that the combination of the Marshall Plan (economic reconstruction as distinct from his planning for occupation) The new currency, followed by the creation of the Bonn Government forshadowed the economic expansion of the early 1950's which by the mid 50's restored the standard of living in W. Germany to the late 1930's level.
As far as I can see -- the only relevant comparison between the occupation of Germany after 45, and the Iraq project is that it illustrates what Marshall and Roosevelt thought was the lesson of Versailles -- if you don't have a clear mission well conceptualized, and a detailed plan as to how you intend to proceed, and the assets in place as required, you will totally fail either in the short or long term.
June 3, 2008 4:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Excellent comment!
I'd be interested in your views as to the absence of diplomatic efforts -- not assigning fault -- in the run-up to the Berlin Blockade.
1. U.S. and British unilateral abandonment of the Morgenthau Plan for the "agrification" of Germany which Russia had signed on to.
2. U.S. views on the necessity of rebuilding the German economy less for the benefit of Germans and more as a necessary engine of the recovery of the European economy (especially, to counter the influence of Communist parties in France and Italy).
P.S. I think Operation Vittles (okay, "Operation Little Vittles," too) was great but more as a technical flying accomplishment (and in putting unemployed Luftwaffe mechanics to work) than as a foreign policy coup. Recall -- the airway agreements were in place; the road and rail line agreements hadn't been reached.
June 3, 2008 4:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
As I said, the proximate cause of the Blockade was the introduction of the D-Mark. The French, British and Americans did let the Soviets and the E. Germans know they intended such a currency conversion, but they refused to give the Soviets the plates for printing currency, as they had massively over-printed Reichmarks, causing the total destruction of that currency. (Worth something as cigarette paper.) This was in response to the Foreign Minister meeting in late 47, where the Soviets had pretty much rejected all proposals. You can just see the decision clicking in at that point -- rebuilding W. Europe with Germany integrated into it was priority. With the Soviet moves in Czechoslovakia, unwillingness to deal on Poland, the flip in Yugoslavia -- it was just time for a clear decision, and you can just see Truman and his Sec of State Marshall, being the kind of decision makers who would execute. I think diplomacy as a process with the Soviets pretty much ended in 1947.
The Morgenthau Plan -- I don't think this was ever a serious plan. Remember, FDR frequently had members of his cabinet, his policy aids, draft plans for the same thing, and when he got them they went in opposing directions, he would end up saying -- well just combine them. I think Morgenthau was an example of this. When it became public (and someone leaked it)FDR immediately got criticism from Churchill who was horrified, and FDR backed off with respect to Churchill. FDR and Churchill clearly knew by the time of the plan (as did Henry Morgenthau himself) just how bad conditions were in Germany -- with respect to Jews and other political enemies, but also POW's and all, and for public consumption the word needed to be that Germany would be punished harshly. The idea of the Morgenthau's draft plan made that very clear to the public, but if you look for planning on the part of Marshall's staff, what you find is that they just executed what had been agreed as early as 1942. There is simply no evidence that FDR ever asked Marshall to alter any of his post war plans for Germany -- and FDR had taken a personal hand in evolving them. He even personally recruited the kind of experts the occupation required, he filled about 1500 slots in the occupation officer's corps created by Congress, all selected in support of Marshall's overall plans.
One thing frequently overlooked with regard to FDR is that he was quite knowledgable about Germany. He read and spoke German, his parents took him to the German spas many summers when he was a child, he attended regular German schools for about 6 months, and when Eleanor and Franklin married, they honeymooned in part in Germany and Austria. Roosevelt's family had relations among the minor Austrian nobility, and FDR kept track of these cousins, visited them when he was at Versailles. He held a number of opinions about Germany with which I disagree -- I think he put too much emphasis on Prussian Militarism, for instance, as cause for the rise of the Nazi's and not enough on economic causes ... but above all he was not uninformed, and he was quite comfortable with all sorts of German experts. Quite a contrast if you will with those who can't yet figure the Sunni-Shia split. Anyhow, I don't think FDR was ever serious about the Morgenthau plan.
Rebuilding Europe. Well, the Industrial Powerhouse of Europe was always Germany, and you could never achieve economic take-off without the Industrial Sectors. The key was to incorporate it into European structures, which the Iron and Coal Community accomplished in 1949. This plan, The Schumman Plan, had been around since the 1930's, had always been understood as an alternative to Fascism, it could easily incorporate many Social Democratic objectives, (Such as Labor Rights, Social Market Economy,) and in the period prior to 49 it was being prepared by the French, Dutch and Belgiums, and once currency reform was accomplished, and the Bonn Government was in place, the US signed off on it. I would suggest that looking at how this plan evolved in the immediate post war period is key to understanding European Reconstruction, and it very much influenced the specifics of the Marshall Plan of 1948. In particular, countries participating in the Marshall Plan had to collaborate in making economic plans -- estimate each country's economic advantage sector by sector, and then assign Marshall funds on those terms. Dealing with the Marshall dollars forced this economic planning practice, and thus trade and economic cooperation. Begger thy Neighbor policy was left in the dust -- assets went toward developing the most promising plans. The upshot was reasonably quick restoration of living standards.
Operation Vittles (the Berlin Airlift) which was capable of providing adequate if plain food, and sufficent energy for a City under Blockade for a year -- including a fairly cold winter, convinced the Soviets the West would follow its own plans for rebuilding Western Europe, and that by standing in the way of such plans, their own friends in the west would change positions. For instance in Denmark in the immediate post war election, the Communists got about 17% of the vote, a good deal of this a recognition that the CP had led the underground resistance to the Nazi occupation. After the Blockade of Berlin, that support dropped by about ten points, and a year later, Denmark became a charter member of NATO. Much of this change was a rejection of Soviet behavior in the German Occupation. Similar patterns can be seen in France, and the low countries. The Blockade was a mistake from the Soviet point of view, and it provided the US and GB with an opening to demonstrate determination to preserve the essence of Yalta and Potsdam, which provided for the zones of occupation. The rest of the Cold War era essentially was defined by this drawing of a line.
June 3, 2008 11:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree that the Morgenthau Plan was never likely; after all, JP Morgan and National City would never have been satisfied financing nothing but German wheat crops. I should have put the phrase in scare quotes, because I meant it as a shorthand for the geopolitical status of post-war Germany and its long-term threat to Russia, a threat which Germany had made good on in 1914 and 1941.
I have always been intrigue with the question of whether the Cold War could have been avoided. Would a 20th century Metternich have worked out some system sufficient to recognize and minimize Russian security anxieties? To what extent did the American elite's experience of the failures of capitalism (traditional "economic liberalism") in the Great Depression make it unduly anxious over the prospects of post-war western Europe (Benelux, France, Italy, and Germany) going communist -- and thus, unwilling (psychologically unable?) to admit to Russia's practical hegemony over eastern Europe?
Whether it's the West or the East, somebody has to keep those unruly South Slavs and more importantly, those romantic Western Slavs in order -- :-).
June 4, 2008 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Congrats on the book, yet as I look at my copy of Ann and John Tusa's book "The Berlin Blockade" it doesn't seem like this is The The Untold Story...... of the period. It has been told, and the situation and the time bear no relation at all to George W. Bush's unprovoked invasion of Iraq.
June 4, 2008 6:59 PM | Reply | Permalink