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Radical Doubt


With all due respect to Dan K, the debate about first principles is highly relevant to the content of policy, even if it leaves open key questions about hard cases. First of all, the policy of the last seven years has been driven by a set of fundamental assumptions. Second, the counterargument to those philosophical premises hasn't really been deployed, which really is the point of Matt's book. And then there's the fact that we seem to have so much disagreement just within the first day of discussion here in the Book Club.

Let's see if we think the following questions are abstract. Do international norms have a valid claim over the behavior of governments? Do all norms have the same kind of claim? If not, what differentiates them? What role do institutions and decision making procedures have in relation to international norms? Are such multilateral bodies and mechanisms able to induce or enforce compliance with norms, or is the power of the world community's powerful nations critical for enforcement? Is the United States capable of acting on behalf of higher principles and the greater good, or is it bound to be self-serving and generally make a mess of things?

Here's how the arguments of some of the skeptics sound to me. Humanitarian intervention is a contradiction in terms. It is either a cover story for an ulterior motive or an exercise in destructive self-righteousness. There might be a grudging benefit of the doubt that goes as far as acknowledging good intentions, but we know where that road leads in this fallen and complicated world. American ideals are likewise a kind of oxymoron, a set of blinders that keeps us in denial about our brutishness.

That description may be a caricature itself, and perhaps skeptics aren't so rigid in their suspicion, but I think it's a fair logical extension of these ines of reasoning. In other words, looking at some of the points about the actions taken in Iraq and Kosovo (and the general idea of democracy promotion), it seems to leave us with pretty big questions about whether intervention or other actions are ever warranted.

Actually I welcome many of these cautions as very strong arguments for acting deliberately rather than hastily, giving diplomacy its full due, and building the broadest possible coalitions. But the hard cases (Kosovo, Rwanda) are hard precisely because they don't sort themseves out. Diplomacy doesn't always work, proper procedure sometimes patently fails to uphold the substance of the norm, and (related) other nations oppose intervention out of their own self-interests rather than principles and the greater good.

Given recent history, there is more than enough room for skepticism and caution. As I said in my last post, the US is going to have to earn back its legitimacy rather than presuming it. The attempt to justify the Iraq invasion as a humanitarian intervention was absurd on the face of it. But its very absurdity -- coming 10-15 years after it actually might have been justified -- indicates that the norm has meaning. The UN Security Council is the most legitimate legitimizing body we have, but I can't buy into a doctrine of Security Council inerrancy. Russia was wrong in blocking action in Kosovo, and the US was wrong in vetoing intervention in Rwanda.

And as repugnant as I found the invasion of Iraq, we shouldn't be so comfortable with Security Council's role in that case either. It's just too easy to say that Saddam was contained. He defied numerous UNSC resolutions, had kicked the inspectors out five years earlier, and was successfully pushing back against international pressure.

I think Matt has it right on Kosovo. The bigger problem with the Kosovo liberals isn't the bombing campaign itself, but how they saw the precedent, the belief that it was the new rule rather than the exception. Not sure I agree with Matt in his retro-ist rejection of new ideas. There are new realities that at least demand a new sense of the challenges we're dealing with, even if not a wholly new approach. Today's shrinking, globalizing world makes legitimacy, the promotion of gradual change, effective international norms and cooperation, and transnational threats all much more complex.


Comments (18)

Let's look at first principles and fundamental assumptions. The most basic tenet of US foreign policy has always been, through every administration, the concept of American exceptionalism. Currently no other country in the world (except Israel) has anything quite like it, the idea that the US is free to intervene militarily, economically or any other way in another country. You can go to Mexico, Brazil, Spain, or even China, any country, and not find a comparable feeling to the one that Team USA can arrogantly do whatever it wants, perhaps dragging some other countries along, including military action.

American exceptionalism has been historically referred to as the belief that the United States differs qualitatively from other developed nations, because of its national credo, historical evolution, or distinctive political and religious institutions. The difference is often expressed in American circles as some categorical superiority, to which is usually attached some alleged proof, rationalization or explanation that may vary greatly depending on the historical period and the political context.

No other country has been so "threatened" by Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan or Yugoslavia that it had to drop bombs and kill so many innocent people. Panama, Grenada, Somalia, etc. -- same deal.

Until the subject of American exceptionalism is addressed then no rational foreign policy discussion can be conducted, because it drives every consideration. The assumption that the USA is the City on the Hill, able to get its way, is what has driven the country into debt and disarray, Americans into despondency and disdain for their government, and has brought us into the abyss of world hatred.

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The most basic tenet of US foreign policy has always been, through every administration, the concept of American exceptionalism. Currently no other country in the world (except Israel) has anything quite like it, the idea that the US is free to intervene militarily, economically or any other way in another country.

How far back are you going? I would argue that this has been a tenet of US foreign policy ONLY in the post-WWII era. Previously, this attitude would only have been applied in our hemisphere and the purpose in applying it was to keep European powers from using instability in the region as an excuse to intervene themselves. I realize that a lot of Leftists here view the Monroe Doctrine as a proclamation of American arrogance over Central and South America,but that forgets the historical context, which was a world where the European powers were much more dominant and expansionistic than we were, and the world to the south of us was one of current or former European colonies struggling to become or remain independent.

I would agree that this eventually got twisted into other things just as Clinton's call to do what we can in places like Bosnia in terms of peacekeeping, while initially sincere, was eventually twisted into an excuse by others for American world domination as the "indispensible superpower." But I would argue this view is very recent.

Is each crisis sui generis requiring an ad hoc response? Is claiming that those responses are compelled by some particular abstract IR principles, merely, a demonstration of arrogance?

Take Kosovo, for example. Everyone knew that the KLA was in the process of driving the Serbs out of Kosovo and knew, as well, that no Serb leader could cede the "Field of Blackbirds" and survive. The US and friends stood silent as the crisis grew.

Milosevic did the only thing he could have done, but the video of trains of Albanian refugees arriving at the Macedonian border combined with the US and western Europe's distaste for a replay of the Croatian and Bosnian secessions doomed him.

In the end the appearance of the geopolitical situation in Kosovo was deemed unaesthetic, bad art, even pornographic. And the art critics de-hung the exhibition.

Sounds about right on Kosovo.

I have trouble finding principles reliable enough to follow, beyond self-evident necessity. And that is usually only self-evident to some, so argument will always ensue, and should.

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"Milosevic did the only thing he could have done..."

...the only thing he knew how to do: create ethnic majorities where none existed before by forcefully ejecting non-Serbs.

As I've argued before, this doesn't mean that the case for U.S. intervention was strong. But please let's not cry rivers over the poor Serbs, thuggish aggressors that they were.

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Re: Currently no other country in the world (except Israel) has anything quite like it,

France has something at least a little similar: The French do occasionally intervene in their former colonies and this is coupled with a chauvinistic national myth of France as the core and font of European civilization.

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My problem with Matt's liberal internationalism is ultimately going to be that law is a very weak way to accomplish our goals. People like to complain that international law has no enforcement mechanism, but that's really beside the point. Even on the domestic level people only follow the law to the extent that they think it is just or expedient. If law actually constrained people, there wouldn't be murders or jaywalking. The fact that we punish murderers after the fact doesn't really say anything about the utility of law in constraining behavior--if you're going to kill someone, you'll do it regardless of the punish.

The same holds on the international level. If we're going to invade somebody, we're going to do it regardless of what the law says. Even if there were a retributive mechanism for holding people accountable, our leaders would still do it. Does anyone think that Bybee, Yoo, Gonzales, Rumsfeld, Rice, and Cheney will actually be tried for war crimes?

The legal aspects of the lead up to the Iraq war demonstrates this. There is an argument that the war was legal. Maybe not a perfect argument, but it's there. In some ways, the problem with legalizing international relations is that it allows for legal arguments and legal distinctions. Fundamentally, law is not the moral project we want it to be. Thus, making international relations more legal--more based on law--won't make it more moral.

What we need is a national commitment to moral international relations. If the legal framework reinforces that, it'd be great. If not, we can still expect to do the right thing.

I think you're wrong to criticize the security council on Iraq. So what if Saddam wasn't contained? He no longer had aggressive intentions towards anybody, he just wanted to deter Iran. So, did he need to be fully contained at that point? He'd been under sanctions for more than a decade. If he was pushing back against international pressure well, what of it? A situation is bound to change over that many years. Maybe he didn't need to be contained forever.

And remember, a lot of smart people felt that the sanctions against Saddam's regime were too harsh and badly enforced. Maybe we should have gone in the other direction entirely. Not from war to sanctions to war again but from war to sanctions to some sort of negotiated peace and normalcy.

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Suppose we have a theoretical debate here about whether certain international norms are or are not “binding” on various governments, or whether they have a “claim” on those governments. How does the outcome of that debate have any bearing on how people actually behave? The percentage of people in positions of power whose behavior is actually influenced by arguments in moral and legal philosophy is quite small.

Rules, laws, codes, compacts and conventions are things created by human beings to serve various ends. People can dream up all sorts of possible rules for conduct and systems of law and regulation. You might even get a fair number of highly rational people to recognize that there are collective benefits to be gained by instituting some such system of rules. But for law to move from the realm of wishes and fantasies to an instituted system of norms that actually influences the behavior of large numbers of human beings, it needs more behind it than the reasonings of moral philosophers and legal theorists. It must be made efficacious and held in place by various positive and negative sanctions.

Building any such international system, even a modest one, as opposed to just talking about it as an exercise in the philosophy of international law and cooperation, is an incredibly challenging task. But the first step must be to get clear about precisely what ends we are trying to accomplish with the system in the first place. And this is where I have my most serious issues with a lot of contemporary liberal thinkers. I just don’t think they are grappling with the major challenges facing the world, and so far most of them are not being serious about proposing, planning and pursuing global-scale solutions to these challenges.

We are getting a lot of continuing debate about “preventive war” and “humanitarian interventions”, with obsessive focus on a few problem cases. Based on a lot of contemporary liberal debate, you would think that the most pressing problems facing the world today are issues like Darfur and Tibet. Well I’m sorry, but I don’t think so. It’s sad to say for the people of Darfur and Tibet, but I suspect that when the historians of 100 or 200 years from now look back on these times, Darfur and Tibet will barely merit a paragraph or two. What they will be interested in is how the billions of people in the US, in China, in Russia and in Europe failed to tame their extravagant hunger for the world’s resources, failed to restrain and manage their competition for these resources, failed to organize collective projects and plans for transitioning the global economy to a new post-petroleum economy, failed to prevent a new era of colonial competition and exploitation in Africa, Central Asia and the Middle East, failed to restrain the proliferation of massively destructive military machines, and how they thereby collectively blundered into a calamitous world war. Unless China, the US and other energy-consuming countries come to some sort of accommodation and organized framework for managing their competition, there are going to be a lot more Darfurs and Iraqs. But if leading liberal thinkers are so committed to impossibly rosy images of the behavior of states that they cannot even grasp the most obvious geopolitical root causes explaining why the US is in Iraq and is working to prevent the involvement of other countries there, or why the Chinese are in the Sudan and are working to prevent the involvement of other countries there, then how can they possibly hope to address these problems in an effective way?

This is why the romantic nationalism and exceptionalism of a lot of liberal thinkers is so dangerous and irresponsible. It flies in the face of the lessons of centuries of human history, and the overwhelming body of empirical evidence about the actual behavior of the United States and other countries in the present time, and substitutes for that reality some fantasies and wishes, and an image of a world that never did exist, and doesn’t exist now.

Should we try to build a strong international order that includes China, Russia and other non-democratic or imperfectly democratic countries, or should we instead invest our energies is a strong international order that excludes these countries and is rooted mainly in the aims and preferences of the more democratic countries? That’s a question that has been raised. In my view, the answer to this question has little to do with the answers to questions about the true essential nature of “legitimacy”, or the first principles of international legal theory. It is a question about the most optimal organization of power in the contemporary world, and about the ends toward which that power should be exerted. The reason we need to invest our energies in building a potent international order that includes China and Russia is that the chief challenges facing us over the coming decades - and by "us", I mean the people of the world, not just the United States - will require the participation of the Chinese and the Russians. China has a quarter of the world's population, and is an extremely powerful and influential country. It's just silly to think we are going to make substantial progress on the chief economic, environmental and security challenges facing the world if China and Russia are left out of the equation, or if the rest of the world attempts to dictate terms to such a large proportion of humanity through some sort of ideology-based Justice League.

David asks:

Is the United States capable of acting on behalf of higher principles and the greater good, or is it bound to be self-serving and generally make a mess of things?

But being self-serving is not the same thing as making a mess of things. Some self-serving people and countries are very prudent in their behavior. People and countries are in fact driven preponderantly by self-interested motives. And in most cases the greater good is served not by betting on unsustainable policies of selflessness and altruism, but by trying to organize circumstances in such a way that the pursuit of self-interest leads to broader benefits. The reason the US, the Chinese, the Europeans and the Russians need to cooperate more on collective goals and projects is that it will pay for them individually if they are able to achieve these levels of cooperation, and they might be able to avoid in this way the destruction of their economies, the collapse of global peace and security and the deaths of millions of their people. It’s not about the Magna Carta, Natural Law or the Rights of Man.

...when the historians of 100 or 200 years from now look back on these times, Darfur and Tibet will barely merit a paragraph or two. What they will be interested in is how the billions of people in the US, in China, in Russia and in Europe failed to tame their extravagant hunger for the world’s resources, failed to restrain and manage their competition for these resources, failed to organize collective projects and plans for transitioning the global economy to a new post-petroleum economy, failed to prevent a new era of colonial competition and exploitation in Africa, Central Asia and the Middle East, failed to restrain the proliferation of massively destructive military machines, and how they thereby collectively blundered into a calamitous world war. Unless China, the US and other energy-consuming countries come to some sort of accommodation and organized framework for managing their competition, there are going to be a lot more Darfurs and Iraqs.

Here the arguments for a brief while runs parallel with the debate in many other democracies. What maybe ought to be added, though, is that people in Japan, Russia and the rest of Europe have a collective memory of how war leads to serious sufferings for civilians. Avoiding war thus becomes an important goal with broad appeal across the political specter.

That may be relevant to remember, if America again would aspire to its old role as Leader of the Free World.

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I have to take serious exception to your equating Kosova to Rwanda. There was a serious act of genocide going on in Rwanda; there was nothing like that in Kosovo.

I have a feeling that most people here still uncritically accept the prewar propaganda that Clinton and Albright pushed in the lead up to that war. But folks, the story is out there now, take a little time and see for yourself.

Basically what was happening in Kosovo before our invasion was something like this. Rugova lead a nonviolent movement against Serb domination of the province for decades but in about 1996 the KLA got impatient and started to assasinate policeman (espececially ethnic Albanians who were cops). By 1999 they had killed about 500. The Serbs responded with counter insurgency tactics. By the time that the US attacked about 5000 people had been killed on both sides, maybe 4000 Albanians. This was presented as genocide in the west. The forced removal of Albanian citizens was not a factor. That happened after the US started bombing.

In short the Kosovo genocide was Clinton's WMD story -- good to rally support for war but one big lie nevertheless. Just because he was a Democrat and the Sainted Wesley Clark led our forces is no reason to excuse that lie.

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In case this thread is still being read here is a supportive piece to my comments:

http://commentisfree.guardian.co.uk/robert_skidelsky/2008/04/the_kosovo_effect.html

By Robert Skidelsky, house of Lords in 1999.

Actually, I agree wiith Dan about how much broader the current agenda is, or should be, and the importance of challenges other than what we've been focusing on. I would be more than happy to talk about other issues besides the use of force, but the question of intervention and preemption seemed to be exerting gravitational pull on the discussion.

I'm not sure what to make of our respective positions on the role of norms in the international community. On the one hand, Dan says that a desire to be seen on the side of justice and benevolence doesn't really factor into leaders' decisions and actions. But then he describes how self-interest serves as the basis for an alignment among powers that rationally (rather than morally) lays the ground for a stable and functioning world community / order. I guess we're differing over whether this is a purely pragmatic calculation, or whether it's driven at all by a desire to occupy the moral high ground.

. . . the moral high ground?

That's what we have Hill & Knowlton for, n'est-ce pas?

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I can agree that leaders often try to be seen as acting on the side of justice and benevolence. It's good PR. But my main complaint is that a liberal foreign policy discussion that concerns itself mainly with the nature and validity of international norms is missing about 95% percent of what's important. International norms are a collection of "thou shalts" and "thou shalt nots" that establish certain boundaries for action. But even if you get people to agree that we should obey all international norms respect these boundaries, that doesn't tell them very much about what they should actually be doing. The main challenges facing the world right now are a collection of thorny and interrelated practical problems, and the dangers and opportunities posed by different ways of dealing with these problems.

Suppose a young person goes to a wise mentor and says, "I'm confused about what to do with my life. Should I go into medicine or investment banking? Should I get married now, or wait several years? How can I make some money? How can I build some assets and protect them against the possibility of an economic downturn? Right now, I live in a dangerous community. Do you think I should buy a gun? Study martial arts? What do you think the world is going to look like ten years from now? Twenty years from now? How do I prepare for it? Should I stop smoking? If so, what's the best way of doing this? I was offered the opportunity to put some of my money into an investment opportunity with a friend. Should I take it. What's the best way for me to protect my long-term health and live a long life."

If the mentor simply answers, "Well, you should obey the law, and do unto others as you would have them do unto you," our young friend is likely to answer, with some exasperation, "Yes, certainly. But what I was hoping you would help me with are questions about what I should do besides being a law-abiding and morally well-behaved person."

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I've been looking for intelligent discussion on this issue..nice to have finally found some.

syvanen leads us toward the most interesting point, which is how can we support our government when they manipulate circumstances? Clearly, the ulterior motive of our involvement in Kosovo was the establishment of Camp Bonsteel and the attendant "protection" of the flow of oil from the Caspian Sea (don't trust me...do your own research). Oh...and of course Haliburton being able to make millions for the construction. But really, how can you believe anything they tell us?

Further, how is our country supposed to function...even within the "new world order" if it does not honor it's agreements. No one forced the US to sign UN 1244, which protects the territorial integrity of Yugoslavia (to which Serbia is the successor). Yet, we simply throw that out the window when it suits our needs and recognize an independent Kosovo. I think that it's very telling that only 37 other countries have recognized Kosovo - mostly our allies -and that includes only 1 predominantly muslim state, NATO member Turkey. (Who by the way is dealing with their Kurdish insurgency the same way Milosevic did with the ethnic Albanians).

In the interest of full disclosure, I'm a 3rd generation American of Serbian descent (now Croation, Bosnian and Serbian), so much closer to this issue than many. However, it still makes me very uncomfortable to be living in times when our government so blatently manipulates circumstances to justify actions that they could never get the citizens of this country to support otherwise. And I am even more uncomfortable when our leaders make agreements that mean nothing in the real world. As long as this is the way we operate, when will our allies stop believing us...those of them who haven't already? It only leads to isolation....but the idea of that is another discussion, is it not?

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Damir - Don't misrepresent. I suspect you (or your family) are from this region (Bosna most likely), so you know that the Serbs suffered the first ethnic cleansing in the Balkans (from Kosovo in the 80's as reported by the NY Times) and from the Dalmatia section of Croatia in the early 90's. Just because press coverage was manipulated here in the US, doesn't mean it didn't happen.

This was a civil war...and nothing less...that the US should have stayed out of all together.

Instead, we chose sides - siding against the Serbs that had been our allies through WWII saving over 500 airmen from capture - and sided with those who ran concentration camps for Serbs, Jews and Gypsies just like the Nazi. (Croatia even has the exact same flag they flew when they declared war on the US). What would the world have said if a reunified Germany chose the same Nazi flag? Anyway....it now comes to light that we provided satellite intelligence and other aid without anything being debated in public.

Again, it just supports my opinion above...we have leaders who act based on some secret agenda/interpretation of our national interest, without full discussion and disclosure. That not how our country is supposed to work.

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