Foreign Policy After Bushism

Greetings TPM Café! Its good to be back. I'm not sure how many readers out there remember, but I was a regular member of the TPMCafe gang for about a year back in its early days. I left to focus on some other commitments, including most notably a book that eventually became Heads in the Sand: How the Republicans Screw Up Foreign Policy and Foreign Policy Screws Up the Democrats (I liked the working title Untitled Matthew Yglesias Foreign Policy Project better myself, but authors dont have total control over these things), the book we're here now to discuss.
Much of the book covers terrain that should be reasonably familiar to the TPM community -- the Iraq War has been a fiasco, the Bush administrations policies are disastrous, etc. -- but much of it concerns questions that I think are very much alive among the broad left-of-center community in the United States. These are questions about what alternative strategies progressives have to put forward. My preferred answer is liberal internationalism, a very American approach to foreign affairs that the country has mostly followed in the years following World War II and that has been responsible for most of the successes of the post-war years. The core of this approach is the idea that interactions between nations can and ought to be primarily cooperative in nature. But just as it would be difficult for individuals to cooperate effectively in their private lives in the absence of any kind of effective legal system, it is difficult for countries to cooperate -- or, indeed, for citizens of different countries to cooperate across national boundaries -- when international relations is a series of anarchical conflicts between heavily armed powers.
Liberal internationalists seek to ameliorate this problem by creating international institutions and systems of international law. This is an idea that goes back at least to Immanuel Kant, but that Woodrow Wilson, and then Franklin Roosevelt, were the first to seriously attempt to put into practice with first the failed League of Nations and then the more successful United Nations. Cold War tensions, of course, preventing the U.N. from truly realizing its promise (though much good was accomplished), but for the past twenty years or so its been increasingly possible to imagine a world where rule-governed institutions are the dominant force in international affairs. The liberal internationalist imperative is to try to bring this possibility closer to reality -- for the United States to use its substantial economic, military, and political power to build and strengthen international institutions and international law.
This is, of course, inimical to the conservative mindset whose dominant nationalism tends to flit between indifference to matters beyond our shores and a desire to coercively dominate foreign people or territory. In either instance, international law and institutions are seen as irrelevant or, especially in the neocon rights more fevered moments, dangerous. Indeed, the Bush administrations official National Defense Strategy lumps international fora and judicial processes together with terrorism terrorism as weapons of the weak used to challenge our strength as a nation state.
The consequences of this line of thinking have, clearly, been disastrous. But a surprisingly broad swathe of opponents of Bush-style foreign policy object to it on oddly narrow grounds. Neither Hillary Clinton, who of course voted to authorize the use of force against Iraq, nor Barack Obama, who did not, have been willing to disavow the underlying doctrinal concept of unilateral preventive war as a tool of non-proliferation policy. Indeed, in the specific case of Iran, both leading Democrats (and of course John McCain) profess a desire for a diplomatic solution, but join the bulk of the party in ritualistically reciting the idea that all options including, presumably, unilateral military force are on the table. On the level of ideas, such notions continue to be affirmed not only by the large number of left-of-center elites who backed the Iraq War and continue to be unrepentant, but also by a group who've decided that if institutions and legitimacy are good, then we need more institutions and more sources of legitimacy.
The problem, allegedly, is that relying on the U.N. Charters definition of when force may legally be used isn't good enough. Peter Beinart and Francis Fukuyama have both produced provocative book-length critiques of the Bush foreign policy that wind up calling for multi-multilateralism, while Ivo Daalder and James Lindsay have written of an Alliance of Democracies, Daalder and James Goldgeier have advocated a Global NATO, and John Ikenberry and Ann-Marie Slaughter, the heads of the Princeton Project on National Security, argue that we need a Concert of Democracies. These ideas have some differences and some merits, but all share a common flaw -- the envision these new limited-member organizations as purporting to possess the right to authorize military action in the absence of a U.N. Security Council resolution in circumstances other than individual or collective self-defense.
One suspects that, in practice, this idea would be deemed a non-starter by the non-U.S. democracies who are supposed to sign up. But its prevalence in liberal security circles is distressing -- the alleged advantage here is that we could take action even in the face of Russian or Chinese opposition -- but by the same token it would be a recipe for a new Cold War that would only make it more difficult for the United States to advance its core interests. Since I finished the book, this idea has been embraced by John McCain -- perhaps the most hard-core hawk in all of American politics -- which is at least where the idea belongs. One must wonder, however, if this is destined to follow the invasion of Iraq itself on the list of bad right-wing ideas that the progressive camp was unable to resist effectively because too many left-of-center elites turned out to be on the other side.
















Comments (34)
Obviously we need a United Federation of Planets to decide global policy.
I know you talk a lot about the Green Lantern theory of warfare. This whole Concert of Democracies thing is the Star Trek theory of foreign relations.
April 21, 2008 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Welcome back, Matt.
I hope you have more than liberal internationalism to sell in your book. That's a pretty well accepted position, and as such is rather uncontroversial. In fact, given the level of generality that you're discussing this at, it doesn't even seem like much of an "alternative strategy" for liberals.
As you point out, lots of liberals--presumably liberal internationalists--supported most of Bush's policies. Policies that created specific disasters. If liberal internationalism isn't going to keep that from happening; if it will sign on to bad projects motivated by other theories, then there isn't much use for it.
And please, please, don't bring up the concert of democracies again. We, the cafe regulars, destroyed that crap two years ago when Daalder et al tried to shill it here.
April 21, 2008 11:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Unfortunately, much of the rest of of the world seems not to have been greatly impressed by the rhetorical power of us TPM Cafe regulars. The Concert of Democracies idea is as popular as ever, and still needs to be fought by those who oppose it.
Matt probably talks more about this in the book, but to the extent that one wants to appeal for support to people like Kant and the tradition of thought called "liberal internationalism", it is a real issue whether a very broad-based UN-centered system or a more narrow-based concert or alliance of democracies is more in keeping with the ideals of that tradition.
Personally, I would prefer just defending the broad ideals of "internationalism", and ditching the "liberal" label, which carries all sorts of associations, both positive and negative.
April 21, 2008 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Those are fair points. My theoretical point is pragmatic: To the extent that liberal internationalism or any sort of internationalism will allow these specific outcomes, Iraq especially, there is no reason to distinguish that IR theory from other IR theories. If we want a true alternative, we need to find one that will produce different outcomes.
April 21, 2008 1:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
The concert of democracies idea is pretty obviously about people who would rather not have to deal with Russia and China when executing schemes to remake the world.
And I understand, as a liberal, why one wouldn't want to deal with China, which has an awful human rights record and which does a lot of really bad things in the international arena. (Russia, of course, actually is a democracy, a fact that seems lost on all the concert of democracies advocates.)
But Yglesias has the key point exactly right. If you don't include Russia and China, then the incentives are for Russia and China to start a new Cold War, by sponsoring proxies around the world and creating alliances to check the power of the US and the concert of democracies. If they don't, there's no way they can sufficiently influence international affairs and protect their interests.
The fundamental problem is that the US foreign policy consensus includes the idea that China and Russia cannot simply be allowed to exercise influence consonant with their military and economic power. But that's like commanding the sun not to rise in the morning; it's impossible to accomplish. So, would we rather waste our money, our resources, and perhaps the lives of our servicemembers and those of proxy states trying to fight them, or would we rather cooperate with them as best we can?
April 21, 2008 12:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Russia's not really a democracy. There's been a lot of crazy stuff going on over there. Freedom House lists them as Not Free.
April 21, 2008 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
What's so great about democracy?
It's not particularly famous for being a carrier of the milk of human kindness. Recall the Athens demos and the Sicilian Expedition.
April 21, 2008 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Could you explain what you mean, Ellen? I'm just not sure that I know what you mean.
My first argument for democracy would be from a moral standpoint: If we actually believe that all people are equal, then democracy is the only form of government that is capable of respecting that equality. Aristocratic governments don't, monarchies don't, dictatorships don't, etc. Democracy is the only form of government in which individuals can have actual rights.
But perhaps I haven't addressed your concern.
April 21, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure this thread has sufficient elasticity to permit us to get into a discussion of democracy's benefits.
I'll just leave it with our friend Winston who famously said that of all the possible forms of government democracy recommended itself as the best for insuring that a country's political elite remained in power for the longest time.
April 21, 2008 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
What do you think he meant by political elite?
1. We might charitably interpret that to mean that, as the people are the ruling elite, democracy will ensure over a long time that the people are in charge.
2. We might interpret that to mean that some powerful, unelected elite will always control democracies. If that's the case, then according to the statement other forms of government are more prone to revolutions, especially revolutions that get rid of the political elite. But does that entail that after the revolution there won't be a political elite? Or are we to assume that there will simply be a new political elite? I can't see any reason to think that a political elite will be eliminated by a revolution, so I can't see why it would be advantageous to have another form of government.
As usual, Winston is glib and content free.
The reality is twofold: First, aristocratic elites ruled Europe and the rest of the world for thousands of years. Modern democracies have only been around a couple hundred, with the United States as the oldest example. Second, democracies actually do allow for popular government--our governments are responsive to us, even when their dominated by rich idiots.
So, I just don't see this to be a damning critique, and in any case, there's nothing better.
April 21, 2008 4:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
. . . the people are the ruling elite . . . .
C'mon, Reece! You're talking to Jane Sixpack, here -- that's a six pack of Diet Coke, BTW. I ain't no member of no "ruling elite."
Are you?
April 21, 2008 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am every couple years. =D
April 21, 2008 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hope you got the allusion. :-)
April 21, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nope. :(
April 22, 2008 9:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
If China becomes a democracy, then they too can enjoy idiotic and mind-rotting election campaigns. They will be so busy talking about whether Hu Jintao's Tai Chi instructor wears a Mao pin, or if his mother's brother had sex with a panda bear, that they will have no time left to make trouble for us. I believe this is called the "Democratic Peace Theory."
April 21, 2008 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
No doubt Russia has been restricting freedoms and deserves criticisms. But they do have elections, they do respect the results of those elections. Just because a country has serious human rights issues doesn't mean it isn't a democracy; if Russia is counted as "not a democracy", then lots of elected governments around the world aren't really democracies.
April 21, 2008 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, but the pretty easy response is that democracy means more than just elections.
April 21, 2008 4:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sure, democracy means more than elections. But it has to mean less than a general across-the-board respect for human rights, otherwise you could make arguments that countries like India (which all the concert of democracies folks want included) are not democratic.
If a country allows opposition parties, has multiparty elections, and respects the results of the elections, it's a democracy, even if there are serious human rights problems. Russia's got a lot of problems, but they still have an electoral process and a serious political opposition.
I get the feeling for a lot of these folks, "democracy" actually means "those countries whom we think will support US interventions".
April 21, 2008 5:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Except that Russia doesn't have those things. All the opposition groups were effectively kept out of the recent presidential elections. There was one candidate besides Medvedev on the ballot and he was only there because Putin knew that he couldn't gain any support. He was the classic token opposition.
Democracy doesn't mean simply human rights or simply elections. It means human rights and elections. India may not be perfect on the human rights record, and neither are we, but at least they're trying.
April 22, 2008 9:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you don't include Russia and China, then the incentives are for Russia and China to start a new Cold War, by sponsoring proxies around the world and creating alliances to check the power of the US and the concert of democracies.
If we were to build a strong international system that does not include Russia and China, then we would be the ones who started a new Cold War. Russia and China would just be fighting back.
April 21, 2008 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good post! I wish I could have just given it a 5 rating.
April 21, 2008 3:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, who else is in this book club? Are people like Slaughter and Daalder going to show up to start lecturing us again?
April 21, 2008 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Matt comes back to this thread, I very much hope he'll make an effort to explain how and where his idea of liberal internationalism differs from the ideas underpinning the Princeton Project on National Security -- if it does.
April 21, 2008 12:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Heh. Yglesias? Ummmmmmm...who left the door unlocked??!!??!! :-P
Welcome back dude...any new insights on France's economy?
Of course the D's can't seem to get foreign policy right. They seem to want to craft policy based on the R's idea that preemptive unilateral military action is at times preferable to diplomacy and that the UN is now so antiquated that it is completely ineffective and therefore a new "organization" is needed. I reject this premise. I have always felt the best course is to do the hard work to reform and improve the UN. The only way to be a "world leader" is to engage the rest of the world and not just the countries who will agree with us. It is a shame that the America Abroad gang unilaterally buggered off when people here didn't see things the AA way.
April 21, 2008 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Libertine? Where have you been? It's like a reunion in this thread.
Get over here, cscs!
April 21, 2008 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Destor. :)
I have been taking a bit of TPMCafe downtime while the bugs have been worked out of the new board software...which they have been for the most part. 8)
How things goin'? LOL...yeah no Cafe reunion would be complete without cscs.
April 21, 2008 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I haven't read the book, but I don't get precisely what Matt is saying about unilateral/multilateral preemptive military action without U.N. approval. I agree that a "Concert of Democracies" is a bad idea, and I was against the Iraq invasion. I also think military action without U.N. approval is generally a bad idea, and should be used only as a last resort. But to rule it out entirely is insane. I would certainly support it if it was the only way to keep Iran from getting Nukes, Russia and China wouldn't go along, and it seemed militarily feasible at a "reasonable" cost. I'm all for aiming for international law to replace anarchy, but you can't act as if it exists before it does.
April 21, 2008 1:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
The big problem with any internationalism is that it runs smack into the religion of American exceptionalism:
If an institution never prevents the US from doing whatever we want, it will have no international legitimacy.
but...
If an institution ever prevents the US from doing whatever we want, we will raise a mighty whine that deafens the universe and ignore it.
There's no way to square that circle. I mean, we can't even be bothered to adhere to the terms of our bilateral treaties if they inconvenience us; why would we behave differently in a multilateral institution?
April 21, 2008 1:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ivo Daalder and James Lindsay have written of an Alliance of Democracies, Daalder and James Goldgeier have advocated a Global NATO, and John Ikenberry and Ann-Marie Slaughter,
Why aren't any of this people in on this discussion? Were they not invited or were they busy? ... Mr. Golis?
April 21, 2008 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll answer that: It's because they suck. The last time they tried to talk about this stuff on TPM Cafe, they got their asses kicked in the comments. Some of them wouldn't come here to talk even if given the chance. Lindsay, at least, thinks that we're a bunch of morons for not seeing the brilliance of his concert of democracies.
April 21, 2008 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hi Matt,
Welcome back to TPM Cafe. I still haven't been able to get my hands on your book up here in New Hampshire. I guess the hay wagons and milk trucks that make up John Wiley's northern New England distribution system haven't arrived yet.
There is one issue I have had with a lot of liberal foreign policy thinking over the past several years, and since I don't have your book yet maybe you can tell us if this is something you address. The problem is that much of this thinking is a bit too philosophical. (I say this as a former academic philosophy professor.) Liberals these days tend to focus a bit too much for my taste on broad systems of foreign policy thinking, on abstract ideals, on constructivist outlines of ideally just and ordered societies, and on ways or styles of doing foreign policy in a sort of abstract, ahistorical, theoretical setting. But they often don't give nearly enough attention to the concrete, complicated, ugly, dirty, historical contingencies in which we actually find ourselves; or on the nitty-gritty details of the application of informed instrumental reason to the achievement of goals that have been described in something more than airy, idealized terms.
Saying that it would be great to have stronger international institutions is one thing. But it is quite another to put forward a detailed, practical road map for getting from our current situation of resurgent nationalism in large states; weakened international institutions; financial and resource insecurity; poorly regulated corporatocratic and state capitalist competition; dysfunctional and failed small states; grotesque economic inequality and unhinged weapons proliferation to a strong, functioning international system. Do you have an actual plan, Matt?
One challenge we face is the mindset of elites. Once upon a time in the twentieth century, the thinking of the foreign policy elite in America and Europe, and global intellectuals in general, was dominated by vigorously internationalist thinking. Internationalism was also much more popular, I believe, among the general public. That includes the East Bloc, which had its own socialist form of internationalism. But decades of McCarthyism, Hooverism, fragmenting international systems and resurgent conservative thought have severely damaged the internationalist cause. The uncompromising, xenophobic, paranoid sovereignty mania that used to be the province of John Birchers is now much more mainstream. It is hard to get credible people to give public expression to serious, full-bodied internationalism, and foreign policy proposals and discourse usually have to be couched in highly nationalistic and provincial terms.
Here's what we need to study: What kind of world do we live in now, in 2008? What are the chief challenges facing different regions in the world right now? What is it that really needs to be done? What precisely ought we try to achieve in the immediate term, the short term, the long term and the very long time? Even assuming we can build strong international institutions, what should we be trying to accomplish with them? What are we going to cooperate over? What kinds of governance can we and should collectively exert over the global economy? And whatever we aim at, how do we get there?
I just picked up Michael Klare's new book. I like Klare, because he tends to avoid merely theoretical debates, and focuses on the urgent matters at hand, and we see the present time in similar ways. My own view of the present time is that we live in an increasingly small and crowded world, driven by powerful, heavily armed states and their corporate stakeholders competing for control over, and the ability to profit from, vital global resources and markets. At the same time, we face growing threats to an incredibly over-stressed global environment, and to global food and water systems. And we have deeply unbalanced global class system with growing numbers of partially urbanized, underemployed, slum-confined have-nots, many with access to arms.
I hate being so pessimistic, but I see the world poised for another century of major state-level war, and also revolutionary violence. And I don't see people doing a lot to rectify this situation. Despite the foreshadowing provided by Iraq, there is a lot of complacency, I fear, among the current generation of Americans, especially young people. They seem to believe we are part of a generally organized and peace-minded community of large states, with only some mopping up to do regarding "rogue states", "failed states" and non-state outlaw groups.
But there is plenty of roguishness to go around. The whole situation reminds me of western world in the first years of the twentieth century. People then, to, thought they represented the civilized portion of the world, that they lived in an orderly system of rational and economically interdependent states, and that they mainly needed to concern themselves with their "civilizing missions" and "white man's burden" among the uncivilized corners of the world - the failed states and never-were states of their time. They thought their very interdependence and high level of civilization made war unthinkable. Within a few years, they were slaughtering each other in the most horrific and astonishing manner on the fields of Europe. And that was just a foretaste of the greater slaughter to come in mid-century. They tried building an international order through the League of Nations. But that effort collapsed.
April 21, 2008 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not to go off topic, but the plight of these liberal internationalists was predictable...they lie at the bottom of a slippery slope called "The Carter Doctrine," authored (I think) by Zbig Brezinski, that stated a threat to our Mid East oil supply is a threat to our national security. Sez who? For anti-Vietnam pacifists, the promise of war-for-oil is anathema. It's just one greasy step from war-for-oil to preventive war against potential threats to our national security.
But as I said, let me stay on the HITS topic: Is the next chapter about the robot threat?
April 21, 2008 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's one thing to cling to the slogan "No war for oil". But it is quite another thing to create the circumstances in which wars for oil are no longer likely. We in the developed world are part of a civilization in which the health of our economies and the preservation of our way of life still depends to a very high degree on the ready supply and affordable price of oil, and in which the wealth and power of nations hinges on their ability to profit from control over this most valuable resource. So long as that is the case, there is going to be geostrategic competition over oil, and occasional wars resulting from that competition.
April 21, 2008 6:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Another idiotic c. - Carter may have supported that position, he seemed to feel peace was in our interest between Egypt and Israel and in the Middle East in general. Bush seems to feel wars are the best way to control oil and do God's Work of freedom.
As to your comment:
a threat to our Mid East oil supply is a threat to our national security. Sez who?
that is a position of most politcians save perhaps Ron Paul, take-national interest middle east oil gives 302,000 hits on Google, most from the right wing, not from "liberal internationists".
April 21, 2008 5:11 PM | Reply | Permalink