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Response to Barbara

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It’s great to have you here, Barbara, as you are always a voice of sanity in the wilderness. And thanks for getting us started—your entry raises great questions.

“Crunch” really does purport to be more about how the economy should work than about how it is working. And that’s important, because it’s pretty clear that it’s not working and has been broken for awhile. It has, as you say, “fallen down on the job.”

Right now, we see that through the lens of the housing meltdown, its spillovers into credit, financial, and now labor markets, and the resultant recession. But the distributional failure—the failure of growth to reach so many of those that helped to generate that growth—has been with us for most of the past few decades.

Of course, you’ve been writing about this market failure with great resonance for years.

I think there are two important questions to ponder: how did we get here and how do we get “back to the garden,” as we said in the ‘60s (that’s the 1960s, not the 1860s—we’re old, not ancient). I’ll address the how we got here question in this post and save the “where to from here” for a later one. But I’d love to hear your thoughts, Barbara, on both of these questions too.

How we got here—to a point where economics doesn’t merely ignore the obvious imbalances, it exacerbates them—is a central theme of my last book (All Together Now: Common Sense for a Fair Economy), one I revisit in throughout Crunch. Here’s a relevant excerpt:

Critically placed persons are structuring government practices, policies, and philosophies to meet their economic agenda. What makes up that agenda depends on who’s running the show. But for the past few decades—and note, this is not simply a George W. Bush critique—that’s largely, though not always, been an agenda with two parts: (1) to unleash market forces from the alleged handcuffs of regulation, and (2) to redistribute wealth and power to those at the top of the wealth pyramid.

I wrote about this (d-)evolution in my last book, under the heading of YOYO economics. That’s an acronym for “You’re on your own,” and it embodies a political philosophy that got us in our current mess. Under YOYO economics, the sole plan to meet any economic challenge we face, from globalization to health care, is a tax cut, a private account, and a solid push off the plank into the deep and murky waters of competitive market forces, where “you’re on your own” to sink or swim.

Operating in this mode leads its proponents to oppose worthy ideas that strengthen the diminished bargaining power of most working persons— ideas like minimum wages; a level playing field for those who would organize unions; a universal, nonmarket-driven approach to health care and pensions; progressive taxes; and less porous safety nets. Each of these ideas strikes at the heart of YOYOism, as they seek to pool the risks of economic insecurity over large groups of people, while unifying less advantaged groups under a WITT (“We’re in this together”) agenda.

The point is that a WITT agenda obviously leads to a very different political economy than does a YOYO agenda. In fact, the history of economic policy is nothing more than a ride up and down this continuum.

As I write these words, the failure of YOYOism to meet the challenges of globalization, the growing health care crisis, not to mention category five hurricanes, has the YOYOs on the ropes. We may be poised—I’m confident that we are—to start moving down the continuum away from YOYO toward WITT. This cannot occur, however, if the YOYOs are dictating the terms of the debate.

In that spirit, “Crunch” addresses some of the YOYOs most common arguments and objections to a new political economics, one based on the WITT agenda. Needless to say, I find them wanting, which is a nice word for “lame.”

There may be a real political opening to make this case right now. Interestingly, both Democratic candidates for president have adopted this YOYO/WITT framing, Clinton months ago, and Obama more recently. And when the Treasury secretary in this Bush administration starts talking about regulating banks, even if his ideas are far from adequate to the task, something different is in the air.

There is a growing recognition that it’s not OK:

--to cut taxes quite massively and finance a war with years of “emergency supplementals” to the federal budget;

--for policy makers to watch huge speculative bubbles inflate and even nudge them along;

--for financial firms to keep some of their riskiest transactions off the balance sheet, or to take out derivative contracts worth much more than the underlying equity or bond from which their value is derived, so that a hedged position becomes a big, speculative bet.

--for almost all of the productivity gains to bypass those who are partly responsible for them--to end a productivity rich business cycle with higher poverty and lower real median family income;

--that extremely high levels of income inequality and downward mobility vitiate the principle of a fair chance for all;

--to ignore the spiral in health care costs until they’re swallowing up much more GDP than those of other advanced economies who have workable, attractive solutions to this challenge.

Today’s economists and the policy makers we advise either failed to recognize these deep policy failures or failed to correct them. So, we need a new economics that bespeaks a new policy agenda. Stay tuned for upcoming “Crunch” posts on that very point.


5 Comments

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That’s an acronym for “You’re on your own,” and it embodies a political philosophy that got us in our current mess.

It always struck me as odd that there's this correlation between social Darwinists and evolution skeptics. :-)

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Why shouldn't financial firms do incredibly risky things with their investments?

Oh, I know! Conventional economic wisdom says terrible things will happen when their bets go awry.

Prove it! Prove terrible things would have happened if Bear, Stearns' lenders hadn't been bailed out.

Good luck.

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Ellen,

The point is not that they shouldn't make risky investments. They're welcome to buy futures on Martian wheat yields, as far as I'm concerned. The problem is that when such liabilities are kept off balance sheet, only deep insiders can accurately assess risk, and such non-transparency is really bad for the economy.

Similarly, neither you nor I have the information to judge whether BS was TBTF (too big to fail). But if the powers that be are going to make that call, at our expense (ie, the bail out), then oversight become critical--a no-brainer, really. At that point, we have an absolute right to know that the firm was as integral to the integrity of the system as we're being told. Like you, I'm skeptical, but also like you, I'm wholly in the dark.

That's the problem: it's a shadow financial system and it needs to be brought into the light.

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. . . the powers that be . . . .

And it's the goddamn conventional (aren't they all?) economists which have made them "the powers that be."

Tell me why these "powers that be" should "be" or have those "powers," at all.

Oh, I know! Economists all say terrible things will happen to the economy if they don't. And round and round and round we go.

I see the trend towards citizen's economic disenfranchisement as going on for about 120 years or more.

Back to the 1880's when the corporation as citizen with constitutional protections first began to surface in regards to Rail Road companies.

Somewhat after this occurred, Unions began taking off and made some significant inroads to protecting citizens from corporate abuses in the name of profit. Miners paid a particularly high price for this small victory.

But then the globalists won again when the Federal Reserve was instituted early in the 20th century. This laid the ground work for the debt based economy we know today. And profits soared for a decade and a half, until the Black Monday crash.

We foundered as a nation for a bit, then FDR's works programs began to have an impact. Unions took off again and as the work place exploded into production to support WWII, the American worker knew their greatest expansion of wealth that had ever occured. Union's became extremely powerful during this period.

Union corruption, just like corporate corruption, began to unravel the gains the American worker had made. And the pendulum began to swing the other way again.

When Nixon disengaged the dollar from the gold standard, it effectively turned the dollar into a promissory note, in other words, a debt with no real asset backing int, and this further strengthened the Federal Reserves control over our economy.

The pendulum swing of workers rights on one side and corporate rights on the other has been ongoing for a long long time. But for every stride forward that citizens made, every return swing has favored corporations just a little bit more.

The loosening of media ownership restrictions and bank lending regulations has further ensured that debt loads on the average citizen will increase while realtime pertinent news and information becomes filtered through a corporate owned looking glass, helping to keep the masses, more or less, uninformed.

Today, we appear to have a financial model which favors profit over citizen. A debt based economic model conveniently called trickle down by the Reagenaites and Chicago schoolers, in which the only thing that consistently trickles down is debt load.

The American citizen today, is pretty much treated as a potential profit center, and until very recently, pretty much unable to have their voice heard ABOVE the corporate lobbyists, by their elected representatives in Washington.

The blogosphere has the ability to change all of that. It's impact in gaining the ears of our elected representatives has already been noted. It's ability to disseminate news and information which is never covered via the corporate owned Main Stream Media has proven invaluable.

Josh Marsall, Glenn Greenwald, John Amato, Digby, Brad Friedman, Nouriel Roubini, these people are the modern day heroes, without their astute observations and lust for truth, we wouldn't even be having this discussion today.

This is the "Network" as it should be, and we, as the citizenry MUST stand up, go to the window and shout at the tops of our lungs..WE AR MAD AS HELL, AND WE AREN'T GONNA TAKE IT ANYMORE!

Corporations...OUT of GOVERNMENT NOW!

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