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Let's Talk "Crunch"

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First, I want to thank TPM’s Andrew Golis for setting up this book club. Second, I want to thank Brad DeLong, Barbara Ehrenreich, and Alan Viard for agreeing to post along with me on “Crunch” over the next few days (Tyler Cowan is a “maybe”—I’m hoping he will post some responses too).

A bunch of “Crunch” is me answering real people’s questions about the economy—not wonk’s questions, but actual questions gathered from folks who are interested in matters economic but not necessarily schooled in them. The questions range from the definitional: “What’s GDP; how’s unemployment defined,” and “What does the Federal Reserve do, anyway?” and the timely: “What are bubbles and what is a recession?” There are behavioral questions, like “Should I give money to a homeless person or hire an undocumented worker?” as well as policy questions and solutions, like “Do other countries really spend less than we do on health care with better results?” or “Are budget deficits really a problem?”

And, of course, “Why do I feel so squeezed?”

Crunch is not Wikipedia, and the answers I provide are not simply descriptive or economic but are infused with “political economy,” which I describe as the intersection of economic rules and power. As you’ll see below, power plays a much more important role in my economic analysis than it did in my—or anyone else’s— economics education. And the reason for that is its dominant role in economic outcomes, especially those in recent years (and even in recent weeks).

In future postings, I’ll present questions and answers from the book, and I look forward to the posts from both my respondents and my follow cafe’ dwellers. But to get things started, I wanted to share an abridged version of the book’s introduction. Here, I lay out the paradigm within which I analyze the questions, problems, and solutions to the “Crunch.”

I recently completed my toughest speaking gig of the year: I taught an economics lesson to my first-grader’s class. The goal was to teach them the fundamental concepts of needs versus wants, goods versus services, and scarcity. These distinctions are critical, because a good working definition of economics is the following:

The economy is the way we organize our society to best provide the goods and services that we need and want. Economics studies the best ways to do this.

They quickly got the needs/wants distinction, but they raised some fascinating questions. They got that housing is a need. But someone then asked, “What about a mansion?” (Just to be sure, I asked them if they knew what a mansion was. “A big house with lots of cobwebs,” they said.) They discussed that and determined that a mansion is a “want,” not a need. Smart kids, I thought.

Anyway, all I’m saying is that anybody of any age can get this stuff. In fact, to not get it, to give up because it’s too obscure, is, as I will show, a profoundly important political act, one with damaging consequences. The stakes are high, for ourselves and for those who come after us—too high to entrust to those whose agenda is to redistribute power and resources to themselves and their friends.

Am I really suggesting that evil people disguised as social scientists are out to rob us blind while we willingly sign on the dotted line because we don’t get the math? No, not at all, though many powerful political and corporate actors use economists and economic (il)logic to do just that.

It’s just that there are countless ways to organize our society to “best provide the goods and services that we need and want.” In other advanced economies—in those of Europe, Canada, Scandinavia—they answer this question quite differently from the way we do. For example, they take access to health care services “out of the market,” based on the beliefs (a) that health care is a basic right in an advanced society, and (b) as discussed in some detail in the book, that there are special attributes of health care that make unregulated markets a particularly inefficient (read: wasteful) way to deliver and provide it. And you don’t have to get on a plane to learn the lesson that there are different ways to organize the economy. In other periods within our own history, we organized things differently, too.

This question of how we organize the economy matters a lot. It determines how the benefits of growth are distributed. Even more important, it determines who gets the opportunity to realize their potential. If the best educational opportunities go to the haves, their position relative to the have-nots will become etched in stone, as economic mobility atrophies. If those in political power believe—and act on the belief—that labor standards, like minimum wages, overtime, or the right to collectively bargain, are harmful to economic growth, then the ability of some workers to bargain for their fair share of the growing economy will evaporate while that of others grows stronger. How we organize our economy determines how we structure our response to the challenges from environmental degradation, globalization, the lack of health coverage, and staggering wealth inequalities.

When answering the questions in “Crunch,” three unifying principles kept coming up. I found them to be useful navigational tools, providing the intellectual and moral guideposts needed to keep us moving in the right direction—toward an economy that works best for all.

BASIC PRINCIPLES OF CRUNCH-STYLE ECONOMICS

1. Economic outcomes are generally thought to be fair, in the sense that market forces dole out rewards to those who merit them. But that’s not always the case. Power, whether it’s based on political clout, wealth, class, race, or gender, is also a key determinant of who gets what.

2. Economic relationships often play out in surprising ways, contradicting both basic logic and textbook theory. The path to economic truth is paved with evidence, not assumptions.

3. Since economics is concerned with finite resources, economic decisions often invoke trade-offs: choosing one outcome over another. Though these trade-offs are usually thought of as the benign outcomes of rational discourse, it’s not so: See #1.

As I hope these principles suggest to you, the goal of this book is not simply to help readers become better versed in economic discourse, though that’s part of my goal. It’s also to offer a new way to answer the question, how can we best organize our society to provide the things we want and need? America is a democracy, and in a democracy we all get to weigh in on biggies like this, not just the elites and their scholarly shock troops.

It is this spirit that I approach the questions and answers I’ll be posting throughout the week. I hope you find them useful, elucidating, and economically liberating.

Crunchpoint:* Economics is not an objective, scientific discipline. It is a set of decisions about how to produce and distribute resources and opportunities. Understanding and evaluating the logic and rationales for those decisions, while recognizing whom those decisions favor or exclude, is a big part of what “Crunch”is about. To proceed with these insights foremost in our minds is the only way I know to rechannel the power of economic analysis back to the service of those who need it most: the ones in the vise grip of the crunch.

* Each question and chapter in the book ends with a “crunchpoint,” an allegedly snappy summary of the discussion.


17 Comments

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Economics lost a lot of value and meaning when it became nothing more than a branch of applied mathematics.

I've got to read your book.

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Lots to consider...

Anyone seen this report? http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article3646522.ece

Apparently, universal healthcare has its problems too. Do we really want this in America?

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That problems occur is not news. It is more the issue of do we share our problems, or do a few that got their gold early get to hog the goodies?

No one is proposing free adult dental care in America, which is what Jim Anderson's link is about, it is also common knowledge many Brits have bad teeth, although I haven't read about a child dying of an abscessed tooth in Britain, as happened in 2007 in Maryland link

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Is the root of the problem in this report of a child dying from lack of dental care a lack of insurance, or a lack of money to pay for the procedure? Insurance helps pay for expensive procedures that would otherwise be too difficult to pay for, so ultimately it is a lack of money.

Is the solution to this problem to lower everyone's access to care to be fair, or is it to help those who are feeling the economic crunch a way to create more wealth for themselves and plan ahead by saving for emergencies?

The problem we have with health insurance now is that people expect it to pay all their medical expenses. Last time I checked, insurance was a way of managing financial risk. If we started saving money more in our economy, we'd have more money when we needed it, and would have less of a need for insurance with $10 copay. In fact, the cost of healthcare would go down if everyone just paid for it, rather than using insurance to pay for everything, including office visits. The overhead is increased significantly with the paperwork involved. We should only be using insurance for catastrophic cases, that is its intended purpose.

Last time I checked, insurance was a way of managing financial risk. Jim Anderson

Access to basic and preventive, affordable health care is a way to manage the risk of getting sick (or having a kid die from a bad tooth).

That's why all industrial nations provide free health care to all their citizens. These nations don't let for profit insurance companies manage the cost and access to health care.

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We all have access. We don't all have money to pay for the care we may need. Maybe doctors and hospitals could be more flexible with the uninsured, with tax incentives from the government?

Why does the government need to be the provider? Isn't it possible that to provide the money through charitable organizations that might be more efficient in getting the care quickly to those who need it when they need it? We do have non-profit hospitals, but they are overwhelmed. Should all hospitals be required to be non-profit?

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jim,

this does indeed sound like a glitch in the system. one, judging by the outrage, will likely soon be rectified.

last time i checked, i didn't have any dental insurance at all.

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i will note, however, i have been blessed with excellent teeth after my childhood dental insurance, one of the perks of a military family, paid for extensive tooth extraction and braces.

god forbid any child needs that today and lacks insurance.

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The economy is the way we organize our society to best provide the goods and services that we need and want. Economics studies the best ways to do this.

Ho. Ho. Ho.

Ladies and gentlemen, "La Commedia è finita!"

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looking forward to some interesting posts.

it's worth noting that no Europeans who currently live in heavily, socialized and regulated economies like Sweden, Denmark, Finland, hell, even New Zealand...none of them would trade places with an American citizen.

housing, education, healthcare and food are the social needs that should be addressed by coordinated government action. the private sector has failed to provide the basic social necessities we, as citizens, have a right to expect.

take for example, the Veteran's Administration. Despite being overwhelmed by recent casualties, it once was a very efficient and top-notch medical facility that delivered excellent healthcare. In many cases, it still does, but the "surge" in war torn victims requires extensive long term renovation in its mission.

it's amusing to note that even a first grader can easily grasp the distinction between a mansion and a house.

Relating again to Jim's concern with NHS in Britain running out of funds for free adult dental care there, in the EU, Britain and Australia, medical care is universal, dental care is free and covered for children and also for basic care for the elderly. In the USA, not even children are universally covered for medical or dental.

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Jared,

Any chance of getting this published on the Amazon Kindle?


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Don't know but I'll check.

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On the topic of health care, I am curious whether the idea of basic health care being a "right" has been compared with the idea that basic health care can be a way to optimize the productivity of the citizens.

The statement "The right to healthcare provided by the government" can be made to sound like socialism.

The statement "Healthcare is so central to our idea of economic security that it's most efficient to make sure it's available to all" sounds like a rational argument that can be tested empirically.

I tend to shy away from the word "rights", preferring the less snappy phrase "privileges that we agree are so central to the smooth functioning of society that we can agree to regard them as rights".

So the question remains: Can we make reasonably supportable arguments along the lines of "universal basic healthcare is such a great way to allow the population to concentrate on getting their work done and lives lived that we should make it a basic "right" of participation in society"?

After being laid off, tracking the various tricks of COBRA and locating semi-affordable individual insurance absorbs time and attention that could be much better applied to starting my various little (someday big :-) ) businesses.

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Yes, I absolutely think you can make this case on an efficiency basis. The current system is a huge burden on employers and fraught with wasteful inefficiences. Of course, those inefficiencies have many beneficiaries, in the insurance industry and big Pharma, eg, and they won't go gently into that good night.

Which is why the current reform plans--eg HRC and BHO--goes through them, not around them.

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Crunchpoint:* Economics is not an objective, scientific discipline. It is a set of decisions about how to produce and distribute resources and opportunities. Understanding and evaluating the logic and rationales for those decisions, while recognizing whom those decisions favor or exclude, is a big part of what “Crunch”is about. To proceed with these insights foremost in our minds is the only way I know to rechannel the power of economic analysis back to the service of those who need it most: the ones in the vise grip of the crunch.

I believe there is an objective truth about how economics work. When you do the right things, it works. When you make bad decisions, you will eventually suffer the consequences. If it was subjective, what is true for you might not be true for me. That doesn't work in reality. Those who suffer in an economic crunch are usually the ones who are affected by the self serving acts of the more powerful and wealthy in combination with their lack of knowledge of economics. If we acted ethically, recognizing the poorer in society as untapped resources and as people who could contribute to add value to society, we would have less of a crunch. Instead, we have a system that encourages the hoarding of wealth and power at the expense of others. The flow of money isn't subjective, it is a fact that it flows.

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