Paul Krugman's Hypocrisy
Paul Krugman has been a Clinton Restorationist-- a big Hillary supporter and Obama's fiercest critic in the progressive punditocracy. So today he writes a very good piece laying out the regulatory disasters that led to our current economic crisis. He tells a tale of how after the Great Depression, Democrats worked to protect the banking system from runs, by enacting a split of Investment Banks and Commercial Banks. But, Krugman points out.
Wall Street chafed at regulations that limited risk, but also limited potential profits. And little by little it wriggled free — partly by persuading politicians to relax the rules, but mainly by creating a “shadow banking system” that relied on complex financial arrangements to bypass regulations designed to ensure that banking was safe.
But never once in the whole article does he point out who yielded to the enticements of Wall Street--who was responsible for destroying the Glass-Steagall separation of Banks and Investment Banks--Bill Clinton.













So what? I'm sure it was one of the things that Hillary very quietly disapproved of behind the scenes. You know, like every other thing about Clinton: Episode I that people don't like.
March 22, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
The best article from that time that I've seen on the topic:
http://www.wsws.org/articles/1999/nov1999/bank-n01.shtml
"An agreement between the Clinton administration and congressional Republicans, reached during all-night negotiations which concluded in the early hours of October 22, sets the stage for passage of the most sweeping banking deregulation bill in American history, lifting virtually all restraints on the operation of the giant monopolies which dominate the financial system."
"The proposed Financial Services Modernization Act of 1999 would do away with restrictions on the integration of banking, insurance and stock trading imposed by the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, one of the central pillars of Roosevelt's New Deal."
March 22, 2008 12:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
You simply don't get it.
If certain compromises hadn't been made in the '90s, we would never have been able to pass the progressive legislation then that leads us all now to yearn for the Clinton years.
I'm sure we're all aware of the legislation I'm speaking of, so I won't bother to cite it here.
March 22, 2008 1:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
If that was sarcasm, pardon me for the following. But seriously, what "progressive legislation" are you referring to? NAFTA? Finance deregulation? Alan Greenspan?
How does dismantling Glass-Steagall count as a "compromise" anyways?
Regulation such as Glass-Steagall was a foundational part of the New Deal. It was specifically designed to be a firewall and prevent the kind of widespread financial meltdown we're now seeing. Glass-Steagall was designed to prevent exactly the sort of financial crisis and recession we're now in.
People should be aware that the present recession and housing crisis; the dot-bomb; the many corruption scandals such as widespread accounting fraud (Arthur Anderson, KPMG, WorldCom, TYCO, etc) and outright market manipulation; insider trading, fraud and rent seeking on a massive scale (ENRON, Merryl Lynch, etc.); as well predatory practices such as credit card and fees gouging and the failed home loan industry; these were all due to dismantling of regulatory safeguards designed to prevent exactly those scenarios after the collapse of the last gilded age.
Deregulation and dismantling which the Clintons consistently championed and forced onto Progressive Democrats with much protest.
March 24, 2008 6:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is a simplistic post. We have had tremendous popular support for neoliberal economics since at least 1980. The people of the United States loves to shop. We are trained that way. The US population has shifted from an equitable division of economic goods to more, more, more - no holds barred. Bill Clinton is thus far the only Democratic president in all this time. He was only able to win by not rocking the boat all that much, and by presiding over an economic that kept growing steadily. For this he depended upon Robert Rubin and Arthur Greenspan, and followed their advice. But don't forget, he also followed the advice of Joseph Stiglitz. Except for the time of Clinton's presidency, Stiglitz has been unable to work in the public sector, the public being the loser.
For sure anyone can pick and choose and show how Clinton was a horrible president. By the same token, you could pick and choose to show how Bush is a great president. Like what he's done for the coral reefs around Hawaii.
March 22, 2008 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
You understate the extent to which the Clintons went in the 90's to "not rock the Boat." Besides the Banking deregulation, the allowed Big Pharma to start adverrtising prescription drugs and signed the Telecom Act of 1996--The Big Media giveaway of all time. Any attempt to portray the Clintons as "progressive" in relation to Big Business is pretty far-fetched.
March 22, 2008 4:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bill Clinton's economic and social welfare policies (at least after the health care reform disaster) were essentially Reaganism-lite. He may have moderated the flow of Reaganism a bit, but he didn't stray too far from the main current.
I'd assume Hillary Clinton would follow a similar economic approach. More of a concern, though, to me is that her foreign policy seems in my mind to be Bush-lite. Sure, she'd end the worst abuses of the Bush presidency, but as far as I can tell she's centering her foreign policy on security, the military, and countering terrorism. We need a foreign policy that shifts economic and envorinmental relations with other countries to the forefront and downplays war and security.
Under Reagan/Bush/Clinton/Bush, America has evolved into a less caring, more paranoid, more xenophobic, more belligerent, more greedy, more shortsighted nation. I don't have great confidence that Clinton will do anything to stem the tide. I'm not 100% confident in Obama's abilities, but at least I see a greater chance of him bringing a new and less cramped outlook to American economic and foreign policy. (McCain, by the way, just strikes me as a hothead--unpredictable and potentially dangerous. He might break with the mainstream of Reagan/Bush/Clinton/Bush but there'd be no guarantee that where he'd break to would be safe for the country.)
March 23, 2008 8:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly right. Thank you for taking on the Clinton Apologists and I hope you continue to do so. btw, Don't forget DMCA which was another horrendous give away to big business. Or the Iraq Liberation Act.
Draw a line from Reagan to GWBush, look at all the disasters from economic meltdown to FP escapades, and HW Bush and Bill Clinton are right on track.
The notion that Clinton's policies such as NAFTA, deregulation, and killing Glass-Steagall were somehow forced on him, well, it's just absurd.
Clinton championed NAFTA. He could have pushed for human rights and environmental standards, as his Progressive critics begged him to. He didn't. In fact he forced NAFTA on them and rammed it through. Same for Glass-Steagall and many other examples of the Clintons dismantling safe guards and ushering in another gilded age. and as you point out, Krugman was his main cheerleader.
March 24, 2008 6:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
It should be noted that the removal of the restrictions on television advertising of prescription drugs involved no Congressional action. This was purely a regulatory decision by the Clinton Administration. The American Medical Assn. in 2005 called for a moratorium on such advertising, citing, among other things, the horrendous impact that direct-to-consumer advertising had made on health care costs.
Another item that should be mentioned is the Clinton Administration's initiative to sell off American ports to foreign corporations, an initiative that went thoroughly unnoticed until the Dubai Ports World sale hit the headlines. Delightful footnote: the lobbyists for Dubai Ports World, Inc. were Howard Wolfson and Madeleine Albright.
Finally, if selling off US ports was not enough, in 1996, the Clinton Administration cut off all aid the government of Haiti, when President Aristide refused to privatize Haiti's ports.
March 24, 2008 8:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
and do you not think this "not rock the boat" phenome isn't want BARAK OBAMA's reaching across party isle means? lol
March 25, 2008 3:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
The deregulation disaster of the Reagan/Bush/Clinton/Bush era made a lot of rich people even richer. Now we are beginning to see the legacy of that era; Bear Stearns is just the tip of the iceberg. As Ambassador Peck said (as quoted by Rev. Wright), "America's chickens are coming home to roost."
March 22, 2008 1:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
The popular mistake is to confuse Dems with progressives. There are a few progressives in congress, like Barney Frank and Bernie Sanders, but they don't get to make policy.
The Clintons are middle-of-the-road politicians and Bill did a middling job when faced with an overwhelming GOP majority. Would Hillary be more progressive with a Dem congress? Hard to say.
Would Obama be more progressive than Clinton? That's what people want to believe. Wishing won't make it so, however. The same institutional forces that own legislators will continue to exist no matter who wins.
If you want to think of worse case scenarios then contemplate a McCain win and a Dem congress. How will anything get done with that balance? It is not so far fetched, there is some data to support the possibility.
Why is everything cast in terms of Clinton-Obama these days? There are bigger issues and either one of them would be vastly superior to the alternative.
March 22, 2008 1:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Aren't you disproving your own case? If the Clintons are not progressives, what great harm is done by electing McCain?
I'm not naive about Obama. It's true he'll have plenty of trouble trying to act outside of the box in which both parties hide from true change but what does change is us. We didn't just put up with the conventional wisdom. We didn't surrender to inevitability. We didn't say, sure swell Hillary, vote against the anti-war left, cave and surrender and triangulate and we'll nominate you anyway. Nothing changes until we stop putting up with business as usual.
March 22, 2008 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
The very worst Democrat as President is better than the finest Republican.
It really doesn't matter too much except at the margins which individual holds the Presidency. The problem is that the party that put them there fills the 7,000 plus political positions listed in the Plum book. Electing a President puts his/her party's internal dynamics into control of the government.
Though, I'll admit I prefer Obama as a "pig-in-a-poke candidate over Hillary since she is so clearly restrained by both her past and by what she is having to say to win the nomination. Clinton era government managers are corrupted by the Clinton triangulation they had to do to govern with too damned many Republicans in Congress.
McCain is too much of a fool to be President. He seems even more personally, attitudinally, and intellectually limited than even St. Ronnie, if that's possible. His claim to fame consists of being unable to keep his plane in the air over Hanoi, remarrying rich, surviving the Keaton S&L scandal and being nice to the Media (which is always easier for a Republican who can claim to have worn a uniform more than one or two days.)
March 22, 2008 5:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well said, bluebell.
I would extend your call to stop putting up with business as usual. It's time to become the business. It's time for participatory democracy to take a great leap forward in America.
This is an FDR moment. FDR became an agent of change because the economic conditions gave him no viable option and a large number of populists* gave him a great deal of push and support.
Well, the recession is moving along nicely, and the depression is right on its heels.
Obama is inviting Americans to become populists, to rise up, and to become an integral part of the presidency he envisages.
In times like these, no one can do the business for you, the people. Y'all have to do it yourselves. And I do mean y'all.
* Definition populism: the political doctrine that supports the rights and powers of the common people in their struggle with the privileged elite.
* Definition populist: a person who advocates populism.
March 22, 2008 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is a good point that the Democratic Party is not a progressive organization, although it does occasionally advance progressive causes.
The persistent conflation of Hillary Clinton with her husband is detestable. When Michelle Obama was making nasty comments, did anyone conflate Barry's opinions with hers? Is it a fact that Mrs. Obama will be standing behind the throne, issuing orders clandestinely?
Biographically, there are many points of departure of Hillary Clinton's ideas from those of her husband.
As far as I can make out, Barry Obama runs to the right of Clinton or parallel to Clinton on every significant issue from health care to Iraq. I completely fail to see how that makes him an improvement. And, in addition to his political positioning, his entire political experience consists of one year in the US Senate, 2+ years of campaigning for President and a decade in the lower house of a state legislature. Whee. GW Bush had more experience.
Thanks.
mp
March 25, 2008 5:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Paul Krugman is excellent at analyzing the economy. Although he clearly was for Edwards before he was clearly for Hillary (I assume because of medical coverage for all in both cases) I don't think it makes him a hypocrite.
March 22, 2008 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
You might add that before calling Krugman a hypocrite for not mentioning that President Clinton signed the repeal of Glass-Steagel, the name-caller should lay out his theory as to why and how matters would be substantially different if G-S were still the law of the land.
March 22, 2008 5:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
One question about your comment, rdf. I pretty much agree with you. I am not sure the Clintons agree with you. I hear from Bill that a Clinton-McCain contest is fine because both are patriots; I hear from Hillary that a Clinton-McCain contest is fine because both have taken and passed the Commander-in-chief test. Does it sound to you that they are saying that either Clinton or Obama is vastly superior to the alternative? I am not hearing that.
March 22, 2008 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, they are are vastly superior to the alternative. It's obvious for any reasonable person.
March 22, 2008 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree, Paul Krugman is a hypocrite.
The last Democratic administration is responsible for 911. Democrats can’t be trusted on national security. Now we also are finding out that last Democratic Administration is responsible for the current recession. Democrats can’t be trusted on economy. Vote Republicans!
March 22, 2008 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you for sharing.
Now go home.
March 22, 2008 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Read Reference one in the Wikipedia Glass-Steagall article linked by Taplin.
March 22, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've read it!
So ---?
What's your point?
March 22, 2008 5:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Curriculum of the Dick Cheney School of Debate:
Lesson One: Repeat after me..."So..."
Lesson Two: Repeat Lesson One
Final Exam: What is the core message of Lesson One?
Congratulations, Ellen... Here's your diploma.
March 23, 2008 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
The hypocrisy and lies of the Clintons are breathtaking. It has distressed me no end to see Paul Krugman, whom I always trusted to be intellectually honest, to go off this insane cliff. That he would have the audacity to write about banking deregulation and NOT mention Clinton's role in it -- I've lost all respect for him. I'll be writing a letter to the NY TImes voicing my disappointment.
What a lying hypocrite. But it appears that's what's necessary to join that particular club.
March 22, 2008 3:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's remember: Clinton's nominees for the Supreme Court were centrists, not progressive. I've decided Billary don't have a progressive bone in their body.
If I could be sure that McCain would have to face a decent sized Democratic majority, I wouldn't have to even consider voting for HIllary. But I see no coattails for her to sweep Democrats into Congress, and although Bill is certain there's absolutely nothing left to swiftboat the Clintons on, he also told us he didn't have sex with that woman. So I'm thinking there might be an issue or two out there.
Still betting on Obama pulling it off. He would be better for the country than these other two.
March 22, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not at all sure there is any real value in personalizing the differences between Obama an Hillary. Both exhibit severe emotional derangement by the very extent of their ambition to become President.
I will say that here in Texas I see no evidence of Clinton coattails. The reverse is more likely to be the case. Whereas, Obama will get Democrats out like no other candidate I have seen, even Richardson or Edwards. I supervised three precinct caucuses here. Four years ago I had five people (including me and my son) at those three precinct caucuses. This time it was roughly 200 (crammed into space for about 50.) Until after Feb 5th, I was betting on perhaps as many as 25 on the outside.
While the competition between the two Democrats was some of it, the Obama people were the ones who wanted real change. Since Texas has no statewide Democratic office holders, and the most disliked Senator in the Senate (John Cornyn) is up for reelection this year, we really need Obama's organizing and inspirational abilities.
And I haven't seen any politician in America give a speech like Obama's speech on Racism. Hillary is a nuts-and-bolts person with great gifts, but inspirational? A change-maker?
I'd say that Krugman is reacting to her as a nuts-and-bolts person. That was my first reaction to Obama, also. Electing him will be a big roll of the dice, and Krugman is probably too analytical to accept that big of an out and out gamble.
One other point. What does Krugman have in space? 700 words? It is amazing that he can be so clear on such technical subjects in such a short space. Anyone reading my material can tell that I can't do it. So expecting him to present balanced views rather than precise and grabbing views is simply asking too much of the medium he is publishing in. Again, I don't think it is especially personal with him. His first goal is to be short and interesting. His second goal is precision and informative. Balanced? Forget it. That would muddy both interesting and short in particular.
March 22, 2008 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
yeah, breyer and ginsburg have been just terrible for the country!!!
March 23, 2008 12:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
What did I miss?
March 22, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
It makes him a hypocrite when he's been so vehement and over-the-top about Obama (and yes, it is about healthcare and nothing else. He likes mandates).
But it is the height of hypocrisy to talk about banking deregulation and not mention Bill's deregulation of the Glass-Steagall Act. That's blatantly dishonest by omission. Krugman writes about progessive issues and not just economic issues.
To say that Obama is not progressive and infer that Hillary is? Oh, come on.
March 22, 2008 3:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's just agree that anybody who doesn't agree with Obama and doesn't want to follow him is a hypocrite and a racist.
March 22, 2008 4:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem is Clinton's.
She designed a campaign for the general election with the goal of picking up one more state like Ohio. She figured she could ignore a substantial part of the base which opposed her on the war and related issues. In fact, she figured she could run against us and earn her CIC cred by framing herself as the second coming of Margaret Thatcher.
She didn't count on Obama snatching another big chunk of the base plus appealing to younger voters and independents and becoming the anti-Hillary candidate to those of us who oppose her foreign polic.
Those were her errors. They were errors of hubris. We've had too much of that in the White House for too long.
March 22, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
tnathan: "Let's just agree that anybody who doesn't agree with Obama and doesn't want to follow him is a hypocrite and a racist."
You say hypocrite, but we might be looking at a lying scumbag.
You say racist but what if he's only a garden-variety bigot?
Why are Republicans and their fellow travellers blind to nuance?
March 22, 2008 5:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't want to pop your balloon, but there is no evidence that Obama is a "populist". There is scant evidence that he can be pushed into populist positions either. If you want to hope that this may happen, feel free, but don't be surprised if your desires don't pan out.
Both candidates are constrained by the same institutional forces. The majority of congress has no interests in "populist" or "progressive" policies. They are all beholding to the big money that funds their campaigns. Just look at the sudden growth in earmarks and their relationship to campaign contributions.
As I said elsewhere, I was for Edwards and after he dropped out I lost interest. I find either candidate acceptable and have no preference.
However, infighting only helps McCain, and recent data indicates that he has more support than might be expected. Direct your guns at the real target, not at fellow Dems.
March 22, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Like Ellen, I am puzzled by the alleged linkage between the demise of Glass-Steagall and the current mortgage meltdown.
Indeed, mortgage securitization preceded the 1999 repeal. I don't see how G-S could have blocked banks from selling loans with the most complicated terms to the least sophisticated investors.
Furthermore, Krugman's blog notes that lax regulation was very much a part of Bush admin policies:
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/03/22/hiding-behind-the-invisible-hand/
I opine the partisans for Obama or H. Clinton need to take a deep breath.
March 23, 2008 3:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Both the Banking Deregulation Act of 1999 and the Commodities Modernization Act of 2000 (which kept derivatives from being regulated)contributed to the cancer like growth of the "Shadow Banking System". Check this out. http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/23/business/23how.html
March 23, 2008 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
While that article does mention those two de- and non-regulatory statutes, what it clearly does not do is argue/show that a different legislative outcome would have had any substantial effect in connection with the current crisis. Lots of smoke there; not much fire.
March 23, 2008 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Frankly, I see it as problematic the Clintons having strong tie-ins with supporters in the financial services and banking communities. It isn't illogical for this to be the case with Hillary as a senator from NY. I doubt there has ever been a senator from NY who wasn't mindful of legislation that favored this powerful NY constituency.
What I see as problematic is the general scheme of things within the financial community whereby there have been an awful lot of regulatory changes over the years and especially a lot of high profile mergers that should never have been approved. A number of these occurred in the last several years and I wrote the senator personally about at least two of these asking her to intervene on the side of disapproval. No such thing occurred and so we have the financial marketplace moving merrily along with centralization of financial power as a product of the political lancscape.
This consolidation of financial power coupled with unencumbered influence on capitol hill is thoroughly anti-consumer and anti-citizen. Even a superficial examination of credit card rates relative to FED, prime and mortgage rates informs us of how seriously lopsided the financial landscape has become. And that says nothing about industry practices which in many cases are highly questionable. This is not unassociated with what amounts to coerced borrowing because of depressed wages and the general scheme to disadvantage wage earners. This presents a unified picture whereby the power being wielded against consumers and working persons is politically subsidized. No matter the angle I examine this from it gives a similar view leading to similarly obvious and discomforting conclusions. And we can top this off with a largely unfettered buying and selling of private financial information that in my view should be impermissible in any way shape or form. I don’t see how it is viewed as ethical or appropriate to have peoples private financial information serve as a profit center for the banking or financial services community.
I want to depart here to address a recent article describing how China and India have and continue to regulate energy costs in their countries. Holding energy costs artificially low in these countries worsens the condition of having an advantage over developed countries relative to the cost of energy and makes for difficult relations between countries. In addition to the energy cost differential there is also friction because of the impact on global warming. Another element of this is energy prices in the U.S. rest at the opposite end of the scale with providers arguably passing along every nickel of cost and then some.
While developing countries benefit from this economic relationship it seriously harms American workers and their families and drives even more manufacturing to offshore locations. No amount of efficient manufacturing, green energy practices and conservation can account for the labor cost and energy cost differential enjoyed by developing economies.
The global economic transition that is under way will take half a century after which time the U.S. economy will be in dire straits, with two entire generations having to absorb the impact of a dramatically altered lifestyle. And that alteration encompasses far more than luxuries, digging deeply into U.S. workers ability to even get by. The final piece of this puzzle is that many U.S. corporations which are global in scope, are beneficiaries on both sides of this relationship. This is the ultimate double dip with that double dip being financed by American consumers and taxpayers. Coupled with the influence of these global corporations in Washington I see no chance of relief for the U.S. middle class and hard times ahead for the U.S. economy. The call for tax reductions and lessening of regulation on U.S. industry is total bullshit when viewed in this light.
The things I have described have a common genesis in our national governance. I’ve little doubt of the need to absolutely isolate government from the operations of the private sector and return to a regulatory climate that actually serves the long term interests of the citizens and particularly the majority working class persons of this country. However, I think that unlikely because our elected officials are compromised to the extent that I think it all but impossible to change course. In the final analysis Washington truly represents only a small minority of citizens. This nation was founded upon, among other things, a need to address inequities of representation. It is all too apparent that our government has revereted to the very scheme of kings, lords and what have you that is uniquely devised to primarily benefit an elite class of persons. As revealed in the current political campaigns all we really get from them is self-serving rhetoric. Any real alteration of the evolved system has only to do with the needs and wants of this elite class and nothing whatsoever to do with the majority. A simple examination across the last fifty years of who holds, and very importantly, controls wealth in this nation makes this an undeniable fact. Just ask yourself what has happened to the real value of IRAs or other government devised savings vehicles over the last decade or so.
March 23, 2008 5:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good point about the Clinton repeal of Glass-Steagall along with the enormous corporate media consolidation on his watch which basically assured that the American public would not get wind of the massive over-leveraged Ponzi schemes.
Now, how to keep John and Jane Doe public ignorant of all this Clintonian "experience"? Opening up this sordid economic history (in addition to the already well-known soap-opera stuff) could make you-Know-Her's claims to "experience" a rather frightening conception. Not that any American in his or her right mind should ever vote Republican again for generations, but tarnishing the mythical reputation of former Democratic President Clinton (lucky recipient of Ross Perot and the one-time-only Cold War "peace dividend") can't help the currently collapsing Clinton candidacy in the least.
I still don't get what any of this has to do with Senator Barack Obama, though. What does Professor Krugman have against him? The fact that he "has no experience" repealing Glass-Steagall, et cetera?
March 23, 2008 6:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: If you want to think of worse case scenarios then contemplate a McCain win and a Dem congress. How will anything get done with that balance?
One possibility: in exchange for a free hand and a rubber stamp on foreign policy, McCain agrees to implement pretty much anything Congress passes domestically (and to avoid nominating wingnuts to SCOTUS). Thus we bomb Iran, but get universal healthcare and Roe vs Wade remains intact. Not saying this is probable, but I could see it happening. McCain cares mainly about foreign policy; he isn't particularly rigid on domestic issues, and even feints left on some (e.g., global warming). Plus he's unlikely to run for reelection and so won't give a damn what the wingnut right says about his grand bargain.
March 23, 2008 8:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Didn't the Financial Services Modernization Act of 1999 also have a controversial clause that restricted suing Wall Street denizens?
Age is the bane of memory.
March 23, 2008 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Paul Krugman was one of the harshest critics of Bill Clinton's tendency to weaken New Deal regulation of the financial industry. He did this AT THE TIME IT WAS HAPPENING, who virtually no one else was saying it.
I have always felt he felt a little guilty about this after Bush won. Sure, Clinton made some mistakes, but those mistakes were NOTHING compared to what Bush did. So: "What if the things I [Krugman] said helped contribute to Bush's election?"
I suspect this explains the degree to which he is supporting Clinton to some degree...or even the degree to which he lambastes Obama.
But Krugman has been making a consistent mistake lately: makin too many of his good economic columns into bad screeds on the Democratic primary.
Let's not take him to task for not doing it this time. Especially since it would not be very appropriate.
I opposed the repeal of the Glass-Steagal protections. Paul Krugman opposed them. Who knows, maybe Jonathan Taplin opposed them. I certainly predicted they could play a role in a financial meltdown much like the one we are currently facing.
But Krugman is right: The shadow banking system is the real culprit here.
No need to make this story be about something it is not just to give it relevance to the primary fight some of us (including Krugman as well as Taplin) have been investing just a little too much of ourselves into.
March 23, 2008 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good points all!
It might be added that no evidence that there is a real problem in the financial system has been offered. There have been musings and harrumphings about a deflationary threat -- but such mumblings are pretty clearly nothing but excuses.
After all the top 150 American companies currently have $500 billion of cash, enough money to make any capital investments they wish to make. Sovereign investment funds have trillions of dollars in cash equivalents which would be available for investment if there were things to invest in. Nor are there reports that any sensible investment opportunities have been (or even, are likely to be) lost due to the unavailability of credit.
Indeed, there has been no evidence provided that the investment banks and hedge funds which are the principal beneficiaries of these bail-outs perform any useful economic function, at all.
March 23, 2008 5:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
"It might be added that no evidence that there is a real problem in the financial system has been offered."
Wow. Earth to Ellen. Come in Ellen.
Perhaps you'd like to deny man made climate change or describe a young earth theory while you're at it?
btw, interesting picture. Was that you as an adolescent girl after recently discovering makeup? Were you going more for Tammy Faye or Ann Coulter?
March 24, 2008 7:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Our own kozmik applies for the role of Chicken Little -- again!
March 24, 2008 8:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
To all:
The posts would be much easier to follow if people typed the name of the person they're posting to at the start of their post.
March 23, 2008 2:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Paul Krugman must be reading our dialogue. Here is his admission this morning of the Clinton role in our current problems.
"In retrospect, it’s clear that the Clinton administration went along too easily with moves to deregulate the financial industry. And it’s hard to avoid the suspicion that big contributions from Wall Street helped grease the rails."
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/24/opinion/24krugman.html
March 24, 2008 11:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, I read krugman this morning and it wasn't as typically bad as most of his stuff. I stopped reading him because of his obama diatribes. However, the concluding paragraph just pissed me off. Obama hasn't taken money from the street and clinton has. Obama hasn't taken money from special interests and clinton has. How does krugman come off with trying to lump the two together as possibly being bought off by street people? That is just a bald face lie. How does he get away with it?
March 24, 2008 3:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know where you get off saying Krugman is reading your dialogue since that paragraph was in the column when you started your diatribe. You obviously didn't read down to the end of the end of the column since the last four paragraphs are the pay-off. Following the Clinton statement Krugman goes on to state:
Last year, there was no question at all about the way Wall Street’s financial contributions to the new Democratic majority in Congress helped preserve, at least for now, the tax loophole that lets hedge fund managers pay a lower tax rate than their secretaries.
Now, the securities and investment industry is pouring money into both Mr. Obama’s and Mrs. Clinton’s coffers. And these donors surely believe that they’re buying something in return.
Let’s hope they’re wrong.
When I read the column this morning -- all the way through -- I was rather impressed with how even handed it was. Hardly supportive of Clinton, unless you stopped reading at:
Hillary Clinton has not, as far as I can tell, made any comparably problematic economic claims. But she, like Mr. Obama, has been disappointingly quiet about the key issue: the need to reform our out-of-control financial system.
Hardly a rabidly pro-Clinton position, but obviously enough for you to stop reading and jump to conclusions. You should be doing an Emily Litella right about now
March 24, 2008 3:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Substantively, if the government is going to bail out the investment banks, then they in turn should accept regulation.
Let me take this from another angle though. The original post states, "Paul Krugman has been a Clinton Restorationist-- a big Hillary supporter and Obama's fiercest critic in the progressive punditocracy."
Well... actually Krugman leaned towards Edwards during 2007. And let's not forget that he was passed over by Bill Clinton for the Head of the Council of Economic Advisers in 1992. Sure, Krugman now prefers Hillary over Obama. But so what?
I happen to support Obama, but I certainly don't mind less-than-glowing commentary of either candidate. The best analysis will sometimes be even handed and sometimes favor one candidate over another, depending upon the underlying circumstances.
March 24, 2008 4:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ellen says, "It might be added that no evidence that there is a real problem in the financial system has been offered.... Indeed, there has been no evidence provided that the investment banks and hedge funds which are the principal beneficiaries of these bail-outs perform any useful economic function, at all."
Well, little evidence of any kind has been offered in this thread. But yikes: this is important.
I'll refer you to Krugman's blog for discussion of the current financial crisis. But briefly, if the investment banks fail en masse, the commercial banks will go with them.
And if they both go, it will be difficult for firms in the real economy to borrow money.
We've been on this road before: during the Great Contraction of 1930-33 whole geographic regions lost access to credit as banks closed their doors and the economy collapsed. One of the experts on this time period happens to be... Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. This helps explain his vigorous efforts to address this crisis.
Krugman's blog: http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/
March 24, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
We've been on this road before: during the Great Contraction of 1930-33 . . . .
Uh. No, we haven't.
In the first place investment banks are not commercial banks. In the second place the banks that failed in 1930-31 were on life support and not providing new credit at the time they failed, anyway. And in the third place the bank failures were due to the Fed tightening credit to defend the gold standard with the consequence that the money supply shrunk. Today, we have a safety net and a tradition of public works investment both of which can be increased to keep the money supply from deflating.
More importantly it was the recent phenomenal growth of the worldwide "money" supply (it's in scare quotes because, as Greenspan pointed out, no one can define it) for which there appears to be few investment opportunities of any utility which led to the bubbles -- first in internet "investment"; then, in housing and commercial real estate, and now, in commodities.
We suffer from an excess of "money," not an absence. A deflation is desirable and will hurt primarily the investment banks, the GSEs which will be nationalized, and the hedge funds -- and we'll all be better off for it.
March 24, 2008 8:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
So why is no one except TPM calling out Krugman on this?
March 24, 2008 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's remember the last time Paul Krugman was demonized and by whom. I have come to see no light between those that thre thew stones the first time and those who throw them now. The opposite side of the same coin.
I am ashamed of the association between this thread and my membership to the Democratic party.
March 24, 2008 6:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
In this article that you claim states nowhere that Bill (not Hillary, by the way) Clinton gave way too much there is this paragraph that you carefully did not cite:
"In retrospect, it’s clear that the Clinton administration went along too easily with moves to deregulate the financial industry. And it’s hard to avoid the suspicion that big contributions from Wall Street helped grease the rails."
So I acquit him of hypocrisy and charge you, sir, with lying.
March 24, 2008 7:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does the Cafe have anyone they could send to read Krugman columns that is the least bit literate? Taplin's One Big Complaint about the column is that Krugman forgot to mention Clinton's part in financial deregulation.
I happened to read Krugman's column a few minutes before stumbling across this TPMCafe post, and find myself startled to assure Taplin that Krugman did, indeed, mention Clinton, by name, in the column.
Of course the Clintons are two faces of the Devil himself, and of course Krugman is a demon from Hell, since he was once spotted daring to criticize St. Barack, which, without perfect recitation of the Lord's Prayer both before and after the attack is proof of demonic possession.
Sorry, Taplin, but to the Crime of failing to denounce a President Bill Clinton maneuver of the past, I am a witness to Krugman's innocence.
March 24, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jeebus!
Hey jeffreydj, Oregon Activist, and the rest of you accusing Taplin of illiteracy: you're looking at the wrong article!!!
The one that Taplin is refering to is titled "Partying Like It's 1929" and was written by Kaplan on 3/21; Taplin's response was written on 3/22.
The one where he mentions the Clinton's administration's complicity is titled "Taming the Beast" and was written today (3/24).
Keep yer bloody powder dry and your by-lines straight.
March 24, 2008 7:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll quote Krugman from the new column:
"In retrospect, it’s clear that the Clinton administration went along too easily with moves to deregulate the financial industry"
Like I said...
March 24, 2008 7:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
One of the experts on [the Great Depression] happens to be... Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. This helps explain his vigorous efforts to address this crisis. Measure for Measure
Frankly, I'll take the word of economists who got it right, who saw and described the bubbles in real-time -- Robert J. Shiller, for example. And here's what he says about Bernanke's vaunted expertise.
"In the near future, substantially higher oil prices, lower real estate prices, or both, could, depending on public reaction, put Bernanke into uncharted territory for economic stress. If confidence declines, his historical understanding of the Great Depression of the 1930’s could leave him ill-equipped to prevent such shocks from sinking the US, and the world, economy."
Note. That was said in 2006. It's 2008 and we have "substantially higher oil prices, lower real estate prices, or both." And Ben Bernanke, who made his bones misunderstanding the causes of the Great Depression, is bound and determined to prove himself correct.
March 24, 2008 9:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
It had to be sarcastic.
March 24, 2008 11:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
"""You mean to tell me that the success of the economic program and my re-election hinges on the Federal Reserve and a bunch of f#cking bond traders?""" -- Bill Clinton
March 24, 2008 11:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ellen;
Experts have been talking about impending peak oil - with increasing desperation - for a half century. Matt Simmons wrote "Twilight in the Desert" in 2004 or 5. The documentary "A Crude Awakening" was made in the same year and released in 2006. Economists have, overwhelmingly, been "in denial" on this issue...as they have on most environmental problems.
The housing bubble has also been a worry for a long time. Bubbles - after all - are endemic to a fractional banking, fiat money system. Greenspan said prior knowledge of their timing was impossible but Bernanke was speaking about deflation and the tools available to the Federal Reserve to combat it back in 2002. He's using those tools right now.
You like Schiller IN HINDSIGHT. Dean Baker also claims he was able to predict the course of events. I doubt it in both cases but "I told you so's" don't cut it. Whose predictions and policies do you like right now?
you say:
"there has been no evidence provided that the investment banks and hedge funds ... perform any useful economic function, at all."
and follow with
A deflation is desirable and will hurt primarily the investment banks, the GSEs which will be nationalized, and the hedge funds -- and we'll all be better off for it"
So you think it'll be a good thing if we nationalize USELESS hedge funds and investment banks. Great recommendation.
Nor are investment banks the only "useless" thing in our economy. Most of the things our economy produces and most of the people who actually produce them are useless...and this doesn't even begin to address the problem posed by the vast numbers of people who don't work and can't be educated for work. (which is why I think there's nothing at all progressive and progressives. you're all advocating stale egalitarian ideas which are completely out of step with the massively contracting economy of the future, and with our most recent understanding of genes and environment).
The best part of your post is the bit about investment opportunities. You're right about availability of credit and lack of opportunities...and that's the most worrisome thing of all.
March 25, 2008 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Typically, central banks soak up foreign earnings in order to sterilize their home economies and prevent them from inflating. Much the same thing must (it should have been done 4-5 yedars ago) be done in order to sterilize the world economy and prevent the next bubble which otherwise is baked in the cake.
How do you propose to do so in the absence of an asset deflation?
March 25, 2008 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
prevent the next bubble
It can't be done. There will always be bubbles as long as people can borrow money.
How do you propose to do so in the absence of an asset deflation?
No economists and no societies are prepared to handle massive asset deflation, or massive shortages of fundamental commodities. We are headed for war. Real war. War which destroys cities and their populations, ours as well as those of others.
This is an old vision and all the world's leaders have nightmares about it. They will do everything they can to avoid it, avoid even acknowledging it.
March 25, 2008 1:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jon,
Good post. I respect Krugman and have read several of his books but his anti-Obama, pro Clinton screeds are very troubling.
There is no question that Krugman has gone out of his way to be hyper critical of Obama and particularly his health plan. The shrillness of his Obama criticism seems in contrast to his beliefs about liberalism.
Perhaps he was hoping for a cabinet position in the Clinton administration. But surely he knows that neither Clinton is a liberal or even a centrist. Instead they are both corporatists.
March 25, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually Krugman has pointed out repeatedly where Obama's policies suck and has not been shilling for shrill Hill.
Obama is not a god. His healthplan is also Mitt Romney's healthplan. Obama is WRONG on this one.
Stop crying and start pressing your candidate to do the correct thing for America and the American people.
March 26, 2008 8:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
The bank bullshit has its roots in Nixon, Reagan and Bush41. Clinton just rode the slide into our hell . . . Bush43.
While my dislike of Clinton is deep, Hillary is not Bill. The basis of this posting is crossed logic . . . And that is a Clintonian tool. Thank you for surrendering to the dark-side.
March 26, 2008 8:17 AM | Reply | Permalink