Back to the Book

Following a spirited debate on the war, Bob Bateman suggested that everyone get back to my book and the focus on media coverage of that war. So here goes.
My first post raised questions mainly about news coverage, concerning the surge results, Gen. Petraeus, and the recent falloff in the amount of coverage. Now let me turned to the other half of the media treatment: opinion mongering.
As I have noted previously, there was (contrary to what many may believe today) considerable editorial skepticism about the invasion five years ago. Most newspapers and columnists believed Saddam had WMD and were not opposed to an attack on Iraq at some time, but many came out against the rush to war.
But after the war started, and then for years, and years, afterward, the editorial pages and most pundits backed the war and continually argued against a real change in direction, at least for “another six months” (it wasn’t just Tom Friedman). Months passed. Years passed. Then they didn’t raise a single word against Bush’s inevitable surge plan until after it was announced.
Finally, last spring the Los Angeles Times called for the start of a pullout, and The New York Times followed suit last July. I had been calling for this at E&P for more than three years by that point. Now you see more and more of that, if a bit tepid.
So what does everyone think about the reasons for this reticence going back years ago – especially given that public opinion backed some kind of withdrawal early on – and what about the punditry, as you see it, today?













Comments (13)
Well, one term we used to explain it was that all pundits want to be considered a "Very Serious Person."
To be fair, there was reason why people thought that calling for a withdrawal was not a serious position to take. The most defensible was that we caused the situation and that we had to fix it. If you take that point of view (I never shared it but I can imagine it) then you might well try for "another 6 months" until it became really clear that you're doing more harm than good.
There's also a pretty widespread belief that in military maters public opinion isn't all that meaningful. So the fact that the public got ahead of the pundits here really didn't bother the pundits who felt they were better sourced and know more than their readers.
I'm not defending this by any means but it does strike me that for a long time the "We should withdraw our troops," point of view was considered either uninformed or irresponsible or just an emotional outburst. Editorial writers took that point of view from the public the same way they'd take a poll result that said something like "I want a massive tax cut and no deficit." They dismissed public opinion and were wrong to do so.
But look at Michael O'Hanlon... he's still doing it. And the major Op-Ed pages still think he's more qualified to write about Iraq than the commenters here at TPMCafe even though I could easily find people who post here who have better predictive records on Iraq than he does.
March 19, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Destor23 nails it. So much for my follow-up post!
March 19, 2008 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
It seems like reporters and editors have some kind of stake in the war as they never seem to end a story on a negative note. They start a story on a negative aspect; deaths, attacks, corruption, etc. then end on an upbeat note telling us how total deaths are down or they babble about the progress being made toward reconciliation or cut to McCain telling us how the surge is working.
Maybe they don't want to alienate the powerful, or their sources.
As to the pundits, ignore them, as 99% are no more qualified to comment on war than my long dead Aunt Tilly. If you want relevant, valuable information, go look for Christiane Amanpour.
On another note: Bush and a reporter from CNN just told me troop casualties are down in Iraq; well that depends on the time frame used to measure, they certainly are not down this month.
March 19, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
it is true that there were isolated voices counseling against an invasion of Iraq on the grounds that saddam was not a threat, he was not, and that the costs of an invasion were way out of proportion to any actual benefit to American security, it was and is.
however, the Busch administration got their war and the natural inclination amongst the press and the population was let's see how it plays out.
soon it was clear that the isolated voices were entirely correct in their assessment and it has became impossible for the Administration to continue to sell the war on anything other than removing Saddam was a "good thing to do" and that leaving now somehow equals defeat.
March 19, 2008 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even I thought Saddam Hussein still had WMDs, back then. As the old joke put it: "Q: How do we know he has WMDs? A: We kept the receipts." (As in, "of course he has them, we gave them to him.) The question was not so much "did he once have them" as "did he use them all up", and as it turns out, he did (I thought he probably still had some left, but apparently not). (I never thought we should go to war, though.)
I am not sure where the reticence to call for withdrawl came from, but I would bet on two or three main factors:
"we should finish what we started" (also known as "throwing good money after bad");
"you break it, you bought it" (the Powell "china shop" idea);
guilt: "we broke it, now we have a responsibility to fix it".
The last one is almost but not quite the same thing as the 2nd item, the difference being one of motivation: one is "being responsible" without actually feeling guilty, the other is guilt-driven avoidance of responsibility. I honestly believe that our presence there is making things worse, and I would bet that a number of media types believe it too, but are afraid to say so.
March 19, 2008 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
In the same vein as the "Very Serious Person" idea, it always appeared to me that, much like elected officials, "pundits" weren't interested in being smeared as anti-American or unpatriotic. The revenue streams now available to these people who can get their mugs on TV far exceeds the salary of a mere print journalist or college professor. Why risk that by calling for troop withdrawals or at least some coherent exit strategy? No need to upset the apple cart...
Similarly, I suspect they have no appetite for the taste of crow in their gullet-the drumbeats for this war were never accompanied by anything that illustrated what a victory would look like for the US. I asked many war supporters from the early stages what victory for the US would look like, meaning what did a "win" in this scenario look like and how would that make things better for the US? To this day I've never learned how a win in this conflict would manifest itself in the US. Seems to me the job of punditry is to play out scenarios and predict outcomes based on a specific knowledge they should have. Instead, we had people, both paid and unpaid, puppeting the Administration talking points without really having to detail what a win would look like.
The Friedman "six month" fraud is a prime example. "Give the boots on the ground six more months to work it out," is an easy thing to say when you don't have to detail all the things that actually need to be worked out. This riff on the suspension of disbelief has been played out on movie screens over the years. After all, Face/Off would have been an awful movie if you really couldn't surgically remove Travolta's face and put it on Cage's head. Oh, wait...
March 19, 2008 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good point. There was a fear of eating crow. Or a sense that as long as we stayed in, we'd find a victory. Atrios called it "looking for a pony." I think it's like hanging onto a stock that's lost half of its value on the theory that you don't lose money until you sell.
There was also the fear, for about the first year that the day anyone said "let's get out of there" the giant cache of super villain weapons would be found.
To be fair, and I know this from experience, the vast majority of print journalists who do television spots do not get paid extra money for them by either the cable networks or their own publications. You're lucky to get cab fare to the studio. Fact is, even though the cable stations have a lot of time to fill, it's very easy to get people to go on TV. They like it, they think it's fun and it's an ego boost. Also, Mom sees you and she gets very excited. But really, there's not a lot of money at stake (if any).
March 19, 2008 3:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the right questions are now being asked. As to an answer, I think that the "tepidness" of recent war coverage might be attributed in part to the fact that stated opposition to the war, and not just to its execution, but to the war itself, would require the sense of responsibility that is concomitant with real political opposition, and that responsibility might be too much to bear for our journalistic institutions. It might also raise the specter of discussing the Iraq war in the context of a long-term imperial policy that could be easily sideswiped and brushed off as crude anti-Americanism, true thought it may be.
March 19, 2008 3:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
And then there's this...
Associated Press president Tom Curley says his news organization does not buy the government's argument that one of its photographers arrested in Iraq was working on behalf of the enemy, and he alleged the US is rounding up journalists in an attempt to control information.
Noting that at least a dozen other Iraqi photographers have been detained or arrested, Curley stated, "It's impossible not to conclude that the words and pictures these journalists produced were considered unhelpful to the war effort and that their arrests would have served a broader strategy of information control."
March 19, 2008 4:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Scott Horton at Harper's No Comment also has this up today that is part of a piece that is very relevant to this discussion.
3. Chalabi’s relationship with the media seems to have been charmed from the start. You tie him with Steve Kroft at 60 Minutes, Flora Lewis at the New York Times, Peter Jennings at ABC, David Hirst at the Guardian and a long list of others.
Each seems to have accepted Chalabi as a highly-reliable source. This again raises questions about Chalabi’s background and his ability to sell himself as an objective analyst, when in fact he was a man on a mission. Did any of these reporters ever come to think that they had been had by Chalabi? Did they ever attempt to correct or supplement their Chalabi-based reporting?
There are some reporters who confronted their relationship with Chalabi in a very serious and profound way. And others who simply trudged on. And then there are those who are simply his friends, who say that they believe that Chalabi never did lie to them anyway. They may be right too.
One journalist I describe at length in the book, who certainly believes he was lied to by Chalabi, is David Rose, who met Chalabi after 9/11 and quickly became one of the journalists to spread the INC’s stories. He became a powerful, if naïve, ally. The book describes how Rose, a very sincere and talented journalist, now says he was charmed by Chalabi, manipulated by him, and “used” by him.
Rose believes that the INC researched him to learn more about him, to flatter him and play to his vanity. After a story or two, he became convinced that Chalabi and his associates were incredible sources. He wrote various stories that firmly linked Saddam Hussein to the attacks of 911, to al Qaeda, and to weapons of mass destruction programs.
Rose’ stories had tremendous public relations impact, apparently linking Saddam to immense threats against the West, and seeming to back the call for war.
And after the war started, he had an incredible crisis of conscience once he realized how wrong he was, and tried to investigate his own reporting. I honestly found his story a harrowing tale for a journalist.
One thing that he, and other journalists did not ever realize or report at the time was that all the false information given to them by Chalabi’s INC was basically paid for by the United States State Department, which was unwillingly funding an INC “intelligence” program.
March 19, 2008 5:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the BBC and the European press have done a much better job covering Iraq. But they aren't owned by the giant American corporations profiting the most from this war. Here is a great article from the BBC:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7303985.stm
March 20, 2008 9:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bushco 'sold' this war to the media and the public. The media who were willing to 'play ball' were praised and treated like prize pigs (viz Judy Miller). The supportive public were treated like sub-prime mortgage buyers; fed full of happy horsesh*t and promised very easy terms...with the devil hiding in the fine print.
Those who were paying attention the first time, and saw through the lies and propaganda were ridiculed, marginalized and ignored.
Nobody who's been made out to be a sucker wants to be reminded of that fact. There are a lot of simple people who wanted a simple solution (smash and grab), and who didn't (and don't) want to be reminded of the complexities of the situation, and especially the 'failure' of the war.
There are basically 3 types of war coverage--the 'embedded' success story, the classic 'war is hell' coverage, and investigative journalism into the machinery behind the war. The first is the only one sanctioned by the military and Bushco, the second has been denigrated by new media videobytes, and the third is working frantically, only to be ignored by the suckers who don't want to be reminded that they were in on this con.
I agree with the larger premise here that there should be more war reportage, however, this appears to be working against the larger system, where 'news' equals 'entertainment,' and trivia is elevated above more complex stories. I'm sure that for many in the 'establishment,' this is a feature, not a bug.
March 20, 2008 11:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
It certainly wasn't just Tom Friedman who used the "Friedman Unit"! Here's a link to a handy timeline of FUs, now out of date, that I saved. Click and scroll to the left on the date portion and you can go back in time to a long list of FU statements that would be funny if they werent' so tragic.
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2007/08/timeline.html/
March 20, 2008 12:35 PM | Reply | Permalink