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Why Hillary Will Take the Vice-Presidency

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Forget Obama as Vice-President-- the real conventional wisdom is that Hillary Clinton wouldn't take the VP slot. But the most obvious analogy to this year's campaign is the "inexperienced" JFK beating out the experienced Lyndon Johnson in the 1960 primaries. The view then was that LBJ wouldn't take the VP slot, but he did. And exactly for the reason that it put him so close to the Presidency that any slip of fate would land him with the top job.

As the Elliot Spitzer debacle underlines, top executives do end up in trouble far more often than people expect. For Clinton, the reality is that she won't increase her likelihood of getting to the Presidency if she waits it out in the Senate. So the "LBJ scenario" for Clinton is unfortunately her most likely path to the Presidency, a ghoulish reality, but then the VP job description is all about being prepared for ghoulish circumstances.


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She won't take it because it won't be offered. She brings nothing of value to the ticket. Jim Webb would be my personal choice. Or somebody else who can stand up to the McCain campaign with GENUINE national security experience.

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She brings nothing of value to the ticket.

Yeah. It's not like the women's vote is important to Democratic chances or anything...

Oh, wait...

Maybe women should just stay home if she's not on the ticket. Then we can discuss what might or might not be a "value" for the ticket.

My point is not that he should offer her the spot. As I've posted elsewhere, I wouldn't want her on the ticket as V.P. anyway. It would be a demotion - if she's not at the top of the ticket, she'd have far more power, in her own right, as a Senator. And, maybe she *should* stand for Majority Leader, although I'm not sure about that either.

My point is this immediate, automatic dismissal of the first serious female candidate as not "bringing anything of value." It may look that way to you, as a man. I can assure you, for me and many other women--especially my age--it is of enormous value.

(Before the obamabots chime in, yes, I know there are many women supporting Obama. Not discounting that. But you'd have to be particularly--and I suspect, willfully--blind not to see how insulting this "argument" is.)

Of course, the way things are going for Spitzer, maybe she should run for Governor of NY.

The problem with Hillary is not her gender; rather it is that she is a has-been loser....

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I think it's safe to assume that you're not a supporter of Hillary. Therefore, what you think of her or her gender isn't the issue. The point is that her gender IS important to a lot of the women who support her--women whose votes we'll need in the general, no matter who the nominee is.

What she "brings" to the ticket is those supporters. Steve and Liam *seem* to be saying that those supporters are of no value. No, that's not what they *actually* said. But that's what it feels like they said. Again, I don't think she should be V.P. But using that "no value" argument is going to piss off those supporters. Hell, it pissed ME off, and I'm not a partisan in this. I like both of the remaining candidates.

There are other reasons she might not be the best pick for V.P. Use those.

>What she "brings" to the ticket is those
>supporters.

You mean racists like Geraldine Ferraro?

>There are other reasons she might not be the best
>pick for V.P. Use those.

The probable costs downticket if she's on it? The fact that roughly 50% of the American public outright hates her, and will wait in line in the rain for a chance to vote against her if it's offered? The very real probability that she will cost the ticket more votes among the energized new base by her recent comments (and those of her followers) than she could possibly bring in?

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Why do you keep bringing up gender? It really trivializes the Presidential race into a gender battle.

Margret Thatcher is a woman. Condi Rice is a woman and black. So what? They're lousy.

This isn't about gender or color. It's about individuals, experience, judgment, record and polices. What policy does Hillary have on women's issues that's any better than Obama? None.

There's no explanation for Hillary's disproportionate support from women other than gender bias. Which is really lame.

The NY chapter of NOW that claimed Ted Kennedy's endorsement of Obama was "a betrayal of women everywhere" is kind of crazy. A lot of women should ask themselves if they're supporting Hillary for the right reasons.

What she'll bring is a big ol' knife that she'll stick in Obama's back as often as possible. Judging by her current behavior, she'd undermine him every chance she got. The well has been poisoned by the Clinton campaign pissing in it. There will be no offer.

I understand the political logic of this, as she is the #2 candidate.

But I don't see how someone with her negatives, especially with the distinction that's been clear about new politics v. old politics, and all the other Clinton baggage, could be a good choice.

I would think Obama would need to have someone with the same vision and someone he could trust. After this campaign, how in the world would he ever be able to turn his back on Hillary and Bill for two minutes? I just imagine them constantly scheming to take over. It would be like Byzantium, when we have the chance to have a clean break with the past.

It's a problem.

hear hear

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Call me cynical, but I kind of like the idea of having a pit bull like Hillary Clinton as a VP candidate and eventual president of the Senate. It would be like having our very own Dick Cheney at the exact moment in history when the Party of Ideas needs a serious kick in the head.

Hillary would add nothing to the ticket. New York is a safe State without her. On the other hand, she would chase away a lot of Independents and even some moderate Republican cross over votes. She would be a drag on the ticket, not to mention having to put up with Bill around all the time.

McCain is going to take Florida with that States popular governor on the ticket. That means that the Democrats have to take Ohio and Pennsylvania. That leaves ony two logical choices for the VP slote. Either the governor of Ohio or the governor of Pennsylvania. I predict that
it will be Ted Strickland of Ohio as the VP candidate that will be picked by either Obama or Hillary. They have to carry Ohio, because theyHillary would add nothing to the ticket. New York is a safe State without her. On the other hand, she would chase away a lot of Independents and even some moderate Republican cross over votes. She would be a drag on the ticket, not to mention having to put up with Bill around all the time.

McCain is going to take Florida with that States popular governnor on the ticket. That means that the Democrats have to take Ohio and Pennsylvania. That leaves ony two logical choices for the VP slote. Either the governor of Ohio or the Governor of Pennsylvania. I predict that
it will be Ted Strictland of Ohio as the VP candidate that will be picked by either Obama or Hillary. They have to carry Ohio, because the will have no shot at Florida. will have no shot at Florida.

Hillary and vice-presidency?
Ha ha, very funny. She was even the number one when Bill was president.

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Obama would be a fool to offer her the VP spot. Not only does she bring nothing to his campaign other than the potential to alienate a bunch of independent supporters; but he would have to spend the next four years having his food tested and paying snoops to keep tabs on Hill and Bill to make sure they weren't plotting his downfall in some way.

But would Clinton accept it, if it was offered? I don't think so. She already had to spend eight years gazing at the throne and wishing it was hers. I doubt she really wants to go through that again. And ultimately, the VP has very little real power - much less than a powerful Senator.

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I can't see Obama allowing Bill anywhere near the White House, nor does it serve either Clinton's longtime interest. Hillary is on course to a more powerful job than the generally ceremonial President of the Senate post that comes with being VP. Majority Leader is operationally a more powerful post and she has a path to getting there. Bill is in a position where he can jet around the world making speeches for big dollars, raise funds for the Clinton Foundation in an environment largely immune from scruitiny and speak out on whatever he wants without being bound by current Administration policy. Informal advisor to the first woman President? Unparalleled world visibility? Well that is something which might make you sideline your other interests and return the loyalty Hillary demonstrated all these years. But Second Spouse?

I don't see it happening. Certain Hillary supporters have no problem trash talking Obama, but few if any are taking the petulant "I'll take my ball and go home!" stance you see among Obama folk, most of them will show up and vote for Obama no matter who is second on the ticket.

Senator from New York is a pretty damn good day job, lots of perks and real power, and it certainly beats attending funerals which is probably the only political function Hillary would be able to perform in an Obama Administration.

Clinton-Obama? Makes sense on all kinds of levels. Obama-Clinton? Doesn't compute.

Although there are reasons enough to be concerned with Hillary in the VP slot, she may simply have enough supporters to make this happen. It may be what is needed to avoid a convention fight and it may be what the super delegates demand.

There are positivies to Hillary's VP candidacy. She would put Bill in a "safe" place. She would bring the history of the GE to women--and would be in play as the first female VP which is a significant gain forward and certainly puts her in the history books going forward.

It would be a historic unity candidacy and I do think they would win the GE.

My two cents....

Here's what one of the biggest powers in the party thinks about it:
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0308/Pelosi_No_ticket.html
Ain't gonna happen.

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For some reason your post about Hillary becoming Obama's VP puts me in mind of an old recipe for rabbit stew that begins, "First catch your rabbit".
http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com

The "real conventional wisdom" is that Obama won't offer it. And rightly so.

Check out what just happened to Admiral William Fallon. He has been pushed out of his command by the Bush Warmongers.

He would be a great VP pick for Obama. Then let us see McCain go after him on the National Security issues.

Pelosi to Clinton: Drop dead. You pumped up McCain, how dare you. Don't forget that I have lots of pull with the Supers.

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I might be missing something, but I think we may be discussing smoke and mirrors.

Do you really believe that HRC offered, or suggested BO, for her VP? Sure, I heard her say it too, but let's not confuse genuine offers with stagecraft.

Listen to it this way: HRC offers BO her VP slot. Subtext is magnanimity, statesmanhip, the inevitability of her ascension, the natural fit of BO in it, the good of the party, the realization of the “dream ticket.”

BO responds, too early to talk about it, wait a minute I’m in the lead, no way, she said I was inexperienced but willing to make me an experienced heartbeat away from the presidency. Then he mocks her from the stump for suggesting it.

Now who looks good in this scenario, and who looks not as good?

The wonkers and wankers who read and post at rarified places like TPMCafe are not the intended audience. Why would they be? They’re just such a small and intractable part of the electorate. The target are those who get their news from ABCNews, CNN and Time Magazine.

For s&g I just trolled those sites. I’d say HRC’s stratagem works. Lead ins like “Obama finally struck back at the Clintons' suggestions that he would make a fabulous vice president…” are loaded with subtext.

But let’s not get ahead of ourselves. Some have made valid comments that geography may play a more important role than name recognition, or even competence.

Those who believe the Vice Presidency is some ceremonial do-nothing post haven't watched the career of Dick Cheney too closely.

Hillary will take it if offered. Obama will offer the job to avoid a nasty convention fight. All depends on what happens in the remaining primaries.

For now, the issue is on the back burner, slow boil.

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Obama could use a white Catholic guy. Any white Catholic guys with foreign policy experience in Ohio?

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Those who believe the Vice Presidency is some ceremonial do-nothing post haven't watched the career of Dick Cheney too closely.

The amount of power a Vice-President has is exactly equal to the amount given by the President. Because Bush was willing to give Cheney unprecedented power as Vice-President does not mean that the next President will (especially if it's someone forced onto the ticket for "party unity").

The position could easily revert back to the one that John Gardner Nance described as "not worth a bucket of warm piss."

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The position could easily revert back to the one that John Gardner Nance described as "not worth a bucket of warm piss."

That's John Nance Garner, of course.

Obama in short is gone...from this national election

Ohio killed him...and pa will put to rest the hopes of many

and many of you just don't realize it yet...

its sad to see so many who are so intelligent and so bright think they understand national politics

listen...she won 84 counties in Ohio...and she won ALL demographics...

..w/ the pa win that is coming..and it will be a LARGE ONE guarenteed...not single digits..as many of his folks are believing or hoping...

the end will be near for obama..

even Jay Rockerfeller and John "the liberal" Kerry...knows this much...

where are their big mouthed endorsements now?

even move on..has ...truly..

moved on..from obama and they are back to talking about...

zzzzzzz 'ending the war in iraq...'

as if that is what they had hoped to talking about the day after Ohio voted...

its over folks...

and no super delegate...who understand ANYTHING about winning the white house

will consider wyoming, DC, Virginia, or even Mississippi black vote...

over those 84 counties of Ohio...

will ever think of putting Obama at the head of this ticket right now..

polls are just another gamenship issue

appalachia....i'm sorry guys and girls and

all you east/west coast political neophytes

ended his real geniune bid for the presidency...

and it aint' going to survived long after PA and West Virginia...OK???

so...lets all just go back to the good ol days of having the obama supporters get all upset and angry at their own naivete and political "fete"


and either get in line and vote for the true winner...in the fall...

or sit it out..and stop your whining...

and/or...maybe..just realize a true winner

is made or broken...as it happened

in the heart of it all...

in Ohio...and now...in Pa....to come

OK you and Hillary have convinced me. She has already endorsed John McCain over Senator Obama.

Hillary is the new Lieberman.

If John McCain is good enough for Hillary he is good enough for me. If Senator Obama does not get the nomination, then we must all heed Hillary and elect John McCain.

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News flash:

According to the polls, popular vote, and delegates, most of the Democrats aren't too fond of Hillary Clinton.

Indies dislike her too.

Republicans absolutely loathe her and will turn out against her and Bill like nobody else.

Her negatives going into this race, before she got nasty, before the cackle, before everything she's done to hurt herself with Democrats, her nationwide negatives of "wouldn't vote for her" were already in the 40s.

Hillary is a net negative.

Her followers are the delusional ones. Hillary and her fans thought she was inevitable, before she had any real competition. Now she and her fans can't cope with the reality she's already lost. And lucky for Dems she has, because she's at best a 50/50 chance with McCain who appeals to Indies more.

Even if she wins Pennsylvania by 15 points, even if Florida and Missouri have do-overs, she just can't close the pledged delegate gap which is now about 140-145.

If the Supers throw a coup, I guarantee it'll suppress turnout and she'll lose.

Hillary's followers need a "reality check." They're beyond hopeful. They're delusional and going to wind up throwing the Presidency to McCain.

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Obama now leads by about 170-175 pledged delegates. There are 158 in PA, total, and Hillary's best case is maybe a gain of 30.

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Hillary + Bill won't be offered the VP slot.

The whole idea they're a "dream team" is a complete myth. They're together less than the sum of parts in the GE. The only people who think they're a "dream team" are partisan Dems who want party unity. With independents and swing voters their perceived positives (reform/experience, establishment/outsider) are mutually canceling.

The Clintons said too many nasty things and going back now will only make them look weak and phony.

Antiwar and reform indies don't like Hillary, and indie hawks wouldn't don't like either of them. Hilalry brings NAFTA, deregulation,a nd alll of Bill's DLC poltiices with her, which Obama would be stuck trying to defend in debates with MCain, which would be a disaster.

Bill is a loose cannon and disaster waiting to happen.

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If Obama truly intends to change anything, he might want to ensure any potential enemies would not prefer the VP he chooses as president. (no laughing matter, but some might wonder if Dick Cheney is the guy who has kept Bush alive all these years!)

As for VP national security experience, Cheney had plenty of that. Putting aside any larger, disagreeable, agenda Cheney might have, maybe his experience was too Cold War for effectively dealing with modern threats. (Then again, he's also dismissive of diplomacy. And the administration seems to have taken every step to inflame terrorism and make Iraq intractable, then conspicuously insisted that there is no solution to these problems except expensive wars on terror with no end in sight).

Despite some who self-appoint with no regard to their lack-of-success record, how many real experts exist who have a successful record of experience with this new and different war on terror?

Maybe Obama could consider someone along the lines of Richard Clarke, the former Clinton Terrorism Czar, who also worked for Reagan, Bush I and Bush II for a time. (http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/03/19/60minutes/main607356.shtml)

Edwards might be a wise VP choice, especially if people have confidence that Obama will also put together a first-rate national security team. I would be pleased to see Edwards on the ticket and know some Hillary supporters who feel the same way.

By this rationale she should be McCain's running mate. He's much more likely to croak than Obama is to be assassinated.

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Oh, I had a feeling I shouldn't go there. :)

Awwww, appalachianblue......this is so depressing. You just killed the last little bit of hope in me. I will sit it out. Lots of us will. Its McCain then?

Detailed analysis of Obama's top VP picks, here:

http://indepthleft.blogspot.com/2008/05/and-nominees-are.html

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