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Can Mortgage Industry Block Help?

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The pending bankruptcy amendment that would let judges make a downward adjustment on mortgages when the loan exceeds the value of the property goes to a vote in the Senate tomorrow. It will take 60 votes to push the bill forward. The mortgage lenders think they can block it, giving the Republicans a chance to kill the bill through filibuster.

Right now this is the only bill pending in Congress that would have any meaningful impact on the slide in the real estate market. The bill would provide critical benefits: It would put an estimated 500,000 families into long term, permanent mortgages that they could afford, and it would cost investors far less than a foreclosure. Best of all, it would force the write downs to be absorbed by the investors, not the taxpayers.

The mortgage industry is opposed. Perhaps the industry believes it can squeeze out more by talking people into handing over the keys to their homes or in pushing through to foreclosure. Or perhaps the industry believes that if things get bad enough, the government will bail them out. Either way, the industry doesn't want to have to write down the loans.

Larry Summers weighed in via his column in the Economist. He supports the bill as a way to create a mechanism to get the borrowers into deals that are good for the borrowers and cheaper for the lenders. He points out the the current ideas of jawboning the lenders just isn't working. But he seems to be having some trouble with the details of how bankruptcy works.

Despite his support, Dr. Summers would change the bill by letting the lenders have some upside appreciation if the market recovers because, he says, that already happens in business bankruptcies. I think Dr. Summers needs to re-read the Bankruptcy Code. There is no upside participation for the unsecured portion of secured debts. Unsecured creditors (including the unsecured portion of a secured claim) get pro rata participation in any distributions, but there is nothing special for mortgage lenders. There may be equity participation in a Chapter 11, but only if such participation is needed to secure a majority vote of the creditors for the plan of reorganization. Moreover, that participation goes to all the creditors and is not based on specific property appreciation. It is simply an equitable ownership in the business--a concept we don't have for live human beings.

I'm very glad to see Dr. Summers support for the basic idea, and I hope he sticks with that. More importantly, I hope Congress is listening to what he says: this is a bill that is good for families and good for lenders. The proposal is the best chance we have to avert a full-fledged collapse in the real estate markets.


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While Summers' policy suggestion can be the subject of argument, I doubt he's confused. Bankruptcy works the way Congress says it works.

And if to get lenders on board, to avoid Constitutional issues, and most importantly, to avoid disputes over valuations*, Congress decides to keep the "deficiency" alive post-cram down, why not?

* The dispute over "cram-downs" is over the fair market value of the property which is always based on opinion. But if lenders know that on sale of the property the "deficiency" will be paid to the extent that there are sales proceeds sufficient to make the payment, they'll be a good deal less likely to raise a fuss, initially.

My first thought was good bill...but it doesn't allow for renegociation if the market recovers.

Then I saw this;
"Despite his support, Dr. Summers would change the bill by letting the lenders have some upside appreciation if the market recovers"

and I thought. Wow! Great bill!

Then I saw your opposition, your justification via legalisms, and I thought "liberalism really is a mental illness."

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You still live at home, so WTF do you know?

I do still live at home. My own home. The one I designed and built and own free and clear. Don't you wish you were as fortunate?

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Nah. I prefer to work for what I own. It builds character. A quality that people that have things handed to them lack.

I should think the fact that he designed, built, and owns the house free and clear qualifies as working for what he owns.

Thank you, furion3.

It's obvious, isn't it? Too obvious for any person of normal intelligence to miss. Yet look how many did.

It's worth exposing why they did...which is why I've engaged in this flame war.

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Nah.

Makes it harder to be angry for anger's sake.

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I have had some interesting luck just waving at a foreclosing bank the possibility that the mortgagor would quitclaim to a corporation which would then seek relief as a debtor in possession under Chapter 11.

The flexibility which apparently recommended itself to the local foreclosing counsel led me to believe that they perceived the bankruptcy court as a far less favorable venue for them than superior court.

On the same topic, it has seemed to me that a nolo press type of do it yourself chapter 11 could be produced, based upon the incorporation or merely the establishment via partnership, of some business entity eligible for a federal tax id number.

Ma and Pa Kettle open a Bed and Breakfast, as it were, and the next day they file their do it yourself chapter 11.

Everyone knows it's better to be a chapter 11 debtor in possession than a chapter 13 slave to the trustee.

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I guess you'll be writing a book. DIP Proceedings for Dummies, perhaps.

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Actually, the book I'm writing is "Mau Mauing your Lender for Dummies". It's way better to lead your lender to the abyss, and then say "but because I like you, here's an offer you can't refuse"

The abyss, by the way, is otherwise known as the Canyon of R.I.C.O. (The "luck" I had with a particular lender involved the prospect of an adversary proceeding within the Chapter 11, sounding in extortion, fraud, oppression, you know--your standard lending practices under a repugnant regulatory regime.)

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Except that certain borrowers were investors who worked with originators who used favored appraisors to pump up values to get loans for more than 100% LTV given real market value given real world assessment of risk. In a up market these guys coined gains using other people's money, now they want to use the bankruptcy courts to hide profitable past mortgage fraud. Well I cry bullshit.

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There IS that.

But hush.

No deal unless the bankers get to risk everything on 00 at the roulette wheel and have a federal guarantee that they'll win.

"Risk" is something you charge for, not something you actually engage in.

That's for "little people."

I own a mortgage lending business and am pretty up on what is going on. A couple points. Mortgage lending is based upon the idea of foreclosure as a way to recover assets, in the last 2 years that idea has been turned and is now no longer compatable with reality. One case I know of in South Florida is of a house that was bought for 671k in early 2006. The owners went into default within 6 months, and the house was foreclosed upon, in a foreclosure, the bank will usually buy back the house up to the amount owed on it, in the hopes that real estate will rise in value and they will be able to break even in the transaction. In this case the house was foreclosed, bought at auction by the bank for the 671k they owed on it, and sat for months unsold as the real estate market imploded. The bank that owned this propert actually went bankrupt which put it's assets on hold for several months as house values continued a downward trend. In the end it was auctioned again and sold for 540k, a loss to the bank of 131k in real cash, plus 18 months of taxes that they had to pay of about 15k, and interest of about 19k. That is a huge loss. And this story is replayed all over the country in many markets.

The banks lose big in this, the guy who bought a 100% LTV house and made payment for three months, then sat in the house rent and mortgage free for 6 months while in foreclosure does no bother me at all. The banks are losing big and need the protection. The bill should go forward and be passed, but there are many within the big banks who cannot accept the idea that they made poor lending choices and will not get thier investment back are rampant. Leaving the decision in the hands of a foreclosure or bankruptcy judge is a risk that will produce many bad judgements, but it better than the other option. The invisible hand of the market is currently giving the lending industry the finger. Can you see it?

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I'm not sure an anecdote about a single overpriced house financed by some jerkwater bank* in the South Florida swamps tells us very much about what's happening in the lending industry, generally.

We can note that the new owners who bought at the auction sale likely financed their purchase, that is, the metaphorical "invisible hand of the market" not only did not give the "lending industry the finger," metaphorically, but rather facilitated the lending of the money that financed the transaction.

This is not a "credit crunch"! The sky is not falling!

* Or was that bank just your everyday, average fraudster, a characterization suggested by its early choice of bankruptcy.

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Several years ago I conducted hundreds of foreclosures for a couple of major banks, and the case RE outlines was a very common situation. The banks weren't anxious to foreclose and then have to pay taxes, maintenance and resale costs and then lose money. It took many months for the banks to decide to foreclose (after trying to make accomodations with borrowers), and months to complete the process, and most of the time the borrowers were making no payments at all.

So, truly, I did not have any sympathy for the couple that had been living in a house for 18 months for free, had been through a complete foreclosure process with all proper notices and such, had refused to vacate and forced us to undertake a summary eviction process, then called me up the day before the eviction and said they needed a couple of more days so they could scrape together first and last months' rent and find an apartment. Then they stole the hot water heater, stove and floodlights from the house on their way out the door.

That having been said, those were the old days with foreclosing banks that had also been the originating and servicing institutions for the mortgages. One of the problems with mortgage securitization (on top of the games played by the rating agencies and other Wall Street players) is that the servicers have little desire, incentive or authority to review the circumstances of individual loans and make rational decisions about how to manage "non-performing assets."

The "safe" option for servicers (and perhaps the only option they are given under the agreements which appoint them) is to proceed with the foreclosure, even if the more rational economic decision would be to lower interest rates, stretch payments, accept interest-only payments for a while, etc. Nobody in the system is likely to question the foreclosure, while a workout arrangement (a certain number of which will still ultimately end up in foreclosure) exposes the servicer to second-guessing. If you don't get blame for one action and won't get credit for the alternative action, which do you choose?

Anyway, IMO that is why "jawboning the lenders just isn't working." I'm a supporter of free markets, but the system here is just too distorted to encourage economically rational decision-making. No lender in their right mind could think that waves of foreclosures make economic sense--why would they want to own lots of homes in a down market?

I'm okay with Summers' proposal. Given a cyclical housing market, why shouldn't the lender, instead of the homeowner, get the benefit of a recovery that might take place within just a few years. It does seem equivalent to giving equity interests to unsecured creditors in a business bankruptcy reorganization.

Dancing Bear,

I think you hit on a point most people do not understand. The bank that you send your mortgage payment to in most cases is not the place that holds your debt. Mortgages are broken up and sold off in packages as investments to foriegn investors, retirement plans, and numerous other investment vehicles. The idea of foreclosure and the reason it has worked in the past is that both parties had a vested interest in making sure that the payments kept coming in and the house remained in the owners hands. Currently, the servicing bank does not usually have a stake in the debt on the house, that risk is borne by investors. The owner might have paid little or no money down so there is no vested interest, infact, quite often they owe more than the home is worth. So why worry about foreclosure, the borrowers do not have a stake in the process, and neither do the banks.

By the way, i know this is just one example in the "south florida swamps" that I pointed out, but infact there are tens of thousands of these homes in south florida in the same situation, and the condos are even worse. California is just as bad if not worse, as is most of the urban midwest like detroit and chicago. House prices are dropping just about everywhere, so unless you live in an area that did not have a sharp rise in the last 7 years, your market is probably falling as well.

But it really enrages you that some people are smarter and more talented than you, can do things you can't do, get paid more than you, doesn't it? You can't admit it. You writhe around consumed with envy and impotent rage, don't you?...blaming them for all your shortcomings and failings.

Did I neglect to mention that I designed and built my house myself? With my own head and my own hands? I don't think so. Apparently, that's utterly beyond your comprehension. You can't believe that's possible.

Congratulations to you, offensivetoyou, on designing and building your own home. I'm quite sure it must be a remarkable domicile, a veritable Monticello. I expect all the building materials that went into its making all cried out as one: "We boards, we nails, we poor stones -- we're not worthy! Why are we the favored few who are allowed to compose such a singular work of architectural genius?"

Can we move on now, please?

It is a great house.

But why are you addressing your post to me? I didn't start flame war. Workerbee did...incensed because I'm not an egalitarian.

If you want to move on, please do. I'm not stopping you...and I'm not having any trouble posting more substantively to this and other threads.

To announce, on a liberal-leaning board, that "liberalism really is a mental illness," is to positively invite a flame war. Sorry if you can't see that. Try consulting a human being.

You are right. I apologize. I let ad-hominems directed at me in other threads intrude into this one. But my comment was not the cause of this war. If it had been many more would have referred to it just as you did).

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Don't feed the trolls

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The south-florida-swamp anecdote is not that far off from what I've seen (relatives who bought a repo house, living in Houston in the 1980s). Banks don't do foreclosures very well, and they do a terrible job of reselling the property after the own it.

Yet another possibility, one that is likely to be pursued only after foreclosures become clearly a bad idea, is selling the loans (at a loss, of course, but perhaps less than a foreclosure loss) back to local lenders, who will have autonomy, flexibility, local knowledge, and the ability to call the sheriff to track down that stolen water heater.

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I've often wondered what's preventing this from happening. It may be hard to raise the capital or if you already have it on hand to convince the right people that it's a good/safe idea to do it now, with so much uncertainty out there about the housing market.

For someone looking to take some risks with potential upside, it does seem like a good idea

Pat yourself on the back again you dipshit. The unabomber accomplished the same feat.

Wow. What a surprise. Workerbee has company.

Are you seriously suggesting that anyone who builds a house on his own - or, by extension - anyone who does something which you recognize as a "feat" - has the same mentality as unabomber?
Sad to say, that's what you and workerbee and far too many others posting to this site, really believe.

Didn't you notice that I mentioned the "feat" only because workerbee completely distorted who I am in her posts to this thread (and on every other thread)? Sorry but my analysis of her (and you) stands.

By the way, that jerkwater bank you were talking about was a national lender that closed 18.3 billion in mortgage loans in 2006, had 1900 employees and 41 locations nationally.

I guess if that is your idea of a jerkwater bank, your critique is justified.

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A jerkwater bank with 1900 employees is still a jerkwater bank! In South Florida it's always 1929.

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I have this basic problem, in that I don't know how a house can be valued until it's sold. Every house that's on the market increases the oversupply and decreases the value. If you were trying to value 100 houses, would you just look at comps? Is that realistic at all in neighborhoods where people are hanging on to their houses in the hopes that they'll be able to sell them until they're foreclosed on?

I think coming up with a meaningful market value is a core problem in any solution. It sounds to me like adjustments are going to have to be iterative.

County appraisers value property by looking at most recent comparable sales. In an up market they err on the downside, in a down market they err on the upside...and comparable is often only roughly so.

So far as I know. That's it. All that's left is well-informed guesses on future trends.

Elizabeth Warren for Vice President!! (Or at least Treasury Secretary...)

But seriously, the severity of the predatory lending & consumer debt problem can not be understated.

Credit Card companies are the new tobacco companies - ripe for a class action. There's definitely a smoking gun memo out there depicting their plans to trap people into debt for life. Somebody please find it and leak it.

1) Cynically mining college campuses, and 2) ruthlessly preying on individuals emerging from a bankruptcy. This makes up just the tip of the iceberg.

This is usury folks. The industry is designed to create a nation where those making below $100,000 are essentially indentured servants to their debt burdens.

Dean Baker, on another trend, said most people defaulted because of their upside-down position (their house was worth much less than their mortagage), not because reset teaser rates or other factors made it impossible for them to make payments.

I assumed he was correct on this (which is why I think the bill is such a good one). Apparently, the mortgage companies agree. They don't dispute that the bill would keep many, many people from defaulting. Their objection is based on a refusal to acknowledge losses.

It's also true - I think - that the bill, by acknowledging reduced value through a smaller mortgage, would significantly lower monthly payments, enabling additional numbers to meet their obligations.

"It will take 60 votes to push the bill forward."

Okay, this has finally put me over the edge. When will the Democrats make the Republicans'use of the fillibuster an issue!? Remember how the Republicans found a way to successfully make the Democrats ashamed of using this "procedural gimmick" (I think that is what they called it). Yet another example of how our leadership just stinks at the game of "playing politics".

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I'm a Democrat. And I think any plan to bail out homeowners is foolishly naive and will ultimately be counter productive. There were far too many people buying homes with no money down and option ARMs. It's no wonder they are now underwater-- they got mortgages designed to put them underwater. Why should those who were the most fiscally reckless-- buying houses that they could not afford-- be rewarded while those who were more realistic in their choice of housing be forced to pay for their neighbors' mistakes?

There are plenty of folks who chose to buy a smaller house, or chose to rent, or chose to save money so they could put 20% down on a home. Under these bail-out plans, they would be forced to subsidize the greed of a minority. I feel bad for everyone losing their house, but in the end, they'll just be back in the same boat many of us are already in-- they'll be renters. And any idea that the lenders will pay is pure fantasy. They will sue the government and negotiate with them, and the taxpayers will be left footing the bill. Guaranteed.

Any bailouts for homeowners are a bad idea. If the lender wants to make a deal, that's up to them & the borrower. Leave me out of it, I'm not going to pay for the greedy mistakes of others.

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"Any bailouts for homeowners are a bad idea."

In an economic sense, you are very correct. But, in the vote-buying sense, they are fabulously successful. So-called conservatives will declare the free market a success and liberals will declare they've done it for the homeowners, not the banks.

Seriously, as a fellow renter who stayed on the sidelines, I am with you. But, there is no reward for prudence in America. Seeing what is happening has caused me to put away all my youthful idealism. I will be watching like a hawk for the next great government-sponsored boom to begin and I fully plan to take advantage of it. From now on it's either make a sucker or be a sucker. No two ways about it. I'm just thankful I learned this lesson at a young enough age to make use of it.

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Even if you think that's true, you should still want to prevent certain situations that are bad for all involved.

Entire neighborhoods in Maple Heights, Ohio are in danger, as peoples' homes are now worth less than their mortgages, through no fault of their own but rather due to the lending and borrowing practices of others. It then makes no economic sense to continue paying your mortgage. We should want to prevent entire neighborhoods from being wiped out, due to the even bigger costs that will likely be associated with that than with possible remedies.

Also, foreclosure may take place even where it doesn't make economic sense, due to mortgages being owned by mortgage-backed securities that basically make it easier to foreclose rather than renogotiate. Doing something to unwind/reverse that scenario would also make sense.

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You need to stop looking at this issue in moral terms and start thinking about it in practical terms.

While it may be emotionally appealing to you to imagine people "getting what they deserve," you will be singing a different tune if the massive writedowns amid plunging home values continues to ripple through not just the world of finance, but the real economy (e.g., municipalities unable to get bonds issued because the bond insurers' credit has been downgraded) -- 'cause it'll be you and I "getting it" too.

My house was foreclosed on seven years ago since that time I have not been able to even put together the money required to take bankruptcy so I - from a totally personal point of view, not from statistics - know of which I speak. My comment is meant only to express my opinion, not to be a treatise on the economy.

While there are worthwhile provisions in this bill, I am in total disagreement with lowering a mortgage to its current market value as opposed to its original mortgage value.

I do not want anyone to lose his/her home. I do not want the value of homes to fall for those people who own homes they can afford and on which they are making payments; however, I have limited sympathy for those - like me - who were less than smart in their choices. Unlike many, I made a substantial down payment, had made on time payments for more than three years and was a victim of substantiated fraud in my last refi. Still, the outcome was almost entirely due to my stupidity and greed.

Those people who bought way more home than they could afford, who paid little or nothing down, who have made very few payments and/or did not make sure they understood their mortgage terms need to face up to the problems they have made for themselves. If a person is old, sick or the victim of fraud (by this I do not mean he/she just didn't read the terms of his/her ARM) then he/she should receive as much help as possible.

While many banks were party to the credit and debt that led to the current problems, so were most of the home buyers. Most banks will work with a homeowner who can afford the home he/she has bought. I do not understand why people who bought at the height of the bubble should be given any more relief than those who bought at the height of any bubble. Play the game, take the chance.

http://strictlyanecdotal.com/2008/02/11/there-should-be-blood.aspx

Fascinating post and comments! I look forward to some action to be taken to further investigate and regulate the lending industry. I have come across victims of predatory lending via my job. One person, who is a homeowner and on psychiatric disability was pursued by a predatory lender. Her home payments were easily within her ability to pay, but the lender told her that they could get her a lower percentage, some cash, and this would involve an adjustable rate that she could change into a fixed rate once she cleaned up her credit rating. She was looking to take out a little bit of money on the equity of her home, but the lender said take more, because it would be alright once she can refinance. She did and now her house payment is more than twice it was. Her disability was cut off and her attempts at employment were unsuccessful. A court ruling got her back on disability and we are pursuing job training that will work with her disabilities, but the road is a bumpy one.
Also when you see the economy deflate, you see human services cut. That is what is happening as federal, state, and county budgets a slashed. It is now becoming harder for those on the edge to get services. Predators sought these folks out and now many of them are seeing their supports erode away. I see her pro bono now.

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Don't feed the trolls.

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Posted by fname
February 26, 2008 12:29 PM "Why should those who were the most fiscally reckless-- buying houses that they could not afford-- be rewarded while those who were more realistic in their choice of housing be forced to pay for their neighbors' mistakes?"

If the money to bail out the investors or the buyers should come from taxpayer money, then I think you, and I, have a legitimate complaint.

Otherwise, if these loans are re-negotiated in order that both buyer and lender remain solvent and that does not come out of taxpayer money, then neither you nor I have any complaint.

As to responsibility, these lenders also knew what they were getting in to. But all they wanted to look at was the instant making of big bucks and not risks of their long haul investments.

Over the years I have watched as big business, under the flag of "free enterprise", extended itself far beyond its capabilites only to have the government bail them out, while small businesses went under because they didn't have the same political clout.

If the home lending institutions have to finally eat some of their loses, it's about time. Then maybe some sound fiscial policies will return to this country.

And could we hope to our own Congress as well, although I don't have faith enough in them for that.

You don't have to be a blind conservative not to see it, just an ignorant one to deny it.


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This morning I read a column by Summers at FT.com on his foreclosure remedy. It said the following:

"First, remarkably, bankruptcy laws currently provide that almost every form of property (including business property, vacation homes and those owned for rental) except an individual’s principal residence cannot be repossessed if an individual has a suitable court-approved bankruptcy plan. The rationale is the prevention of costly and inefficient liquidations. It is hard to see why similar protections should not be prudently extended to family homes."

The link is here: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/471e6794-e2e7-11dc-803f-0000779fd2ac.html

Informed readers will recognize this as a complete misunderstanding (or mistatement) of current bankruptcy law, which allows debtors to avoid foreclosure but NOT TO CHANGE THE TERMS OF THE LOANS ON PRINCIPAL RESIDENCES. IMO, such a grand misunderstanding disqualifies him from claiming any expertise on the issue whatsoever.

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Well, I think I am an informed reader, but I don't follow your last paragraph at all.

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County appraisers don't come anywhere near making true valuations for homes. In south Jersey I bought a house in 1994 for $181,000 that was tax appraised by the County at $147,000. When I sold it in 2005 for $270,000 it was still appraised at $147,000.

offensivetoyou, I don't know where you built your home but unless you live on your own island your neighbors' home values directly affect yours. If 20% of the homes in your county are vacant there is corresponding drop in tax revenues and services. Like it or not we live in a society and it behooves all of us to find a way out of an impending financial meltdown with as little destruction as possible. Unless you have a way of making all your transactions without using money it's in your best interests too.

markg8 says;
"County appraisers don't come anywhere near making true valuations for homes"

That's right. They deliberately stay low to avoid expensive and time consuming appeals. Easy, in an up market, very difficult in a low one.
But my post was aimed at someone who wanted to know how to value his property. Recent sales are available at the County Assessor's office and they're usually pretty honest. I'm most familiar with Assessor's records in small counties, where the sales records are up-to-date. It's possible that the larger counties are always so far behind that their "recent sales" records are useless. Then it gets much harder.

"your neighbors' home values directly affect yours"
Obviously. Did I say something which made you believe I thought otherwise?

"Like it or not we live in a society and it behooves all of us to find a way out of an impending financial meltdown with as little destruction as possible."
I'm losing you. I support this bill, and Summer's suggested amendment, for just that reason. I've said so on this thread. Why have you concluded otherwise?

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Fname - I gotta go with you. I bought my home in 2001 - one I could afford - came with a 4 year break on the note rate (NOT an ARM -it has a fixed note rate, I just paid less than that for 4 years)and a 10 years tax rebate for urban infill. In the 6 years I've owned it the market value has increased by $100,000. I have never missed a payment; I have NOT borrowed against it because I keep my credit card balance to what I can pay off each month and put $$ in savings for emergencies.

No one is offering to lower my rate when I have to start paying the full tax rate. No one is offering to lower my note rate. Why not? I'm the good customer, not the person who is going under in more house than they can afford and who will cost the lender $$ one way or another.

I'm not saying that there shouldn't be ways for people to get out from under, just that they should not punish those of us who follow the rules.

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