A Clinton Attack Plan?
I just want to add two thoughts to Reed Hundt’s post below.
Yes, it’s possible (as Hundt says) that “the Clintons will attack Obama in harsh, personal terms,” and that Clinton and McCain “will go low and will be outrageous.” (Though after Billy Shaheen’s inquiry into whether Obama might have done a little drug dealing, exactly how much lower can a fellow Democrat go? Is someone going to start a whispering campaign that Obama has fathered a white child out of wedlock?) But it’s also possible that the Clinton team will respond to last night’s drubbing in Wisconsin by becoming even more message-incompetent.
Ever since Super Tuesday, the Clinton campaign team has collectively sounded like Spinal Tap manager Ian Faith, he of the immortal line, “the Boston gig has been cancelled . . . I wouldn't worry about it though, it's not a big college town.” (One waits eagerly to learn why the Wisconsin vote doesn’t matter!) The next two weeks are going to be a challenge, especially since the campaign hadn’t bothered to learn the primary ropes in Texas. But beyond March 4, the Clinton camp is looking at some very dispiriting news. Here are the latest (Feb 18-19) polls from four insignificant states (none of them conducted by the bizarrely erratic ARG):
Virginia: McCain (R) 48%, Clinton (D) 45%
Obama (D) 51%, McCain (R) 45%
Iowa: McCain (R) 52%, Clinton (D) 41%
Obama (D) 51%, McCain (R) 41%
Minnesota: McCain (R) 47%, Clinton (D) 42%
Obama (D) 53%, McCain (R) 38%
Wisconsin: McCain (R) 49%, Clinton (D) 42%
Obama (D) 52%, McCain (R) 42%
Granted, these are only polls, and it’s only February. But this just can’t be good news for the Clinton campaign, and if I were a superdelegate (and why, now that I mention it, am I not a superdelegate? I think I’m pretty damn superdelegatious, myself), I would be looking hard at numbers like these. So perhaps the Clinton campaign will drop the charge that Obama is campaigning by using words, and attack numbers instead. This campaign is about solutions, not numbers – that might work! Or maybe Numbers don't put food on the table. Numbers don't fill up your tank or fill your prescription or do anything about that stack of bills that keeps you up at night.
Failing that, Mark Penn can lament that no one anticipated the breach of Super Tuesday, and that the campaign has actually been doing a heckuva job.
It’s sad, really. As I’ve said before, I have no animus against Hillary Clinton, and I don’t believe that Barack Obama is the chosen one who can bring balance to the Force, end the war with the machines, and destroy all of Voldemort’s horcruxes. But Hillary really is surrounded by the gang that can’t shoot straight, and for some reason I’ve grown leery of politicians who don’t fire incompetents.
I have just one quibble with Reed Hundt’s analysis. Toward the end of his post, he writes, “Mrs. Clinton is right in at least one statement: she has faced this sort of attack for a long time and weathered it. So must Barack Obama.” In my last post, I wrote, “she’s endured an endless stream of vicious, psychotic wingnut abuse with unfathomable equanimity.” Maybe I’m putting too much pressure on words, words, but I think there’s a subtle distinction here, and I think the Clinton campaign has been trying to blur it.
This has been one of Clinton’s arguments from the start: she’s tested, she’s vetted, she’s ready. This is supposed to mean, among other things, that she’s seen the worst the right-wing noise machine has to offer, and she’s lived to tell the tale, whereas Obama hasn’t yet felt its full fury. But this argument always overlooked the fact that the right-wing noise machine has, in fact, scored a few very palpable hits. Thanks to all that machinery and all that noise over the course of two decades, millions of people now seem to believe that Hillary Clinton will nationalize American industry, institute Wicca as the official state religion, and castrate all firstborn males (Chris Matthews and Tucker Carlson get especially squicky about this last bit). As Matthew Yglesias said last month, reviewing this Pew survey, it’s “funny how unhinged Republicans' views of Hillary Clinton are.” Except that in a general election, it won’t be funny.
So yes, Hillary Clinton has endured a great deal of psychotic wingnut abuse, much of which seems to have something to do with the fact that she is a woman (aha!), and she’s remained a national figure and a human being despite it all. But it has taken a severe toll on her numbers. No doubt the right-wing noise machine will do all it can to drive up Obama’s negatives, and as we’ve learned, their barrel has no bottom. But if that’s the argument, then we’re not being asked to choose between a battle-tested veteran and a naive greenhorn; we’re being asked to choose between a candidate who has been badly damaged by psychotic wingnuts and a candidate who might yet be. That’s really not a compelling case for Clinton.

















Weathered attacks or attracted them? Hard to parse that.
I feel like I think you do, that the "attacked and surviving" thing is weird, and basically wrong. She has not slunk away, but I don't see that her joint presidential project with Bill survived the attacks. What got done in the second term? Not much, with attacks sucking the life out of a reasonably-mandated victory. And there was health care.
Her Senatorial term has been pretty much ignored nationally, until now. So any survived attacks were against Bill more than her, and were not exactly survived.
February 20, 2008 9:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Weathered attacks or attracted them? Hard to parse that."
Thank you, Tom!
That, and the way one is perceived if they armor up and go out with guns blazing... She's come to symbolize some kind of Rambo... and it just doesn't become her. Or look good in contrast to the competition.
Makes Hillary and McCain, actually, look like mirror images of each other. As if Barack was running against twins.
February 20, 2008 10:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
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March 3, 2011 8:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
One other issue with the Clinton argument is this - she claims that experience is critical; that you need someone who has faced down the wingnut attack drones.
Remember this is the person hoping to run against John McCain.
February 20, 2008 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good point. Clinton would have to retool for the general, and run as the outsider, the new arrival to the Senate -- or argue "I'm ready and tested, but there is also such a thing as being too ready and too tested."
February 20, 2008 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Cue the inevitable media narrative of Hillary the ageist or Hillary the swiftboater.
Ps. "Retool" - I take that, literally, to mean replacing Mark Penn and co?
February 20, 2008 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm surprised this doesn't get highlighted more often. If Hillary's mantra is "experience", she'd have to vote for McCain in the general. I guess no one could have expected McCain could be the Republican nominee... no one in Camp Hillary anyway.
February 20, 2008 10:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
A couple observations about that Pew survey:
(1) The Dems actually placed themselves closer to Hillary than to Obama ideologically.
(2) If you assume that the "all voters" assessment is correct, and that the Republicans are unhinged in making Hillary far too liberal, then that leads to the additional conclusion that the Democrats are unhinged in making Hillary far too conservative. Personally, I think the answer is somewhere between the "all voters" and Democratic assessment. Then again, I also consider myself to be somewhat independent.
February 20, 2008 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
and why, now that I mention it, am I not a superdelegate?
I don't think that DNC rules allow candidates, even for Veep, to be superdelegates.
February 20, 2008 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dang. Now you tell me.
February 20, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
But this argument always overlooked the fact that the right-wing noise machine has, in fact, scored a few very palpable hits. Thanks to all that machinery and all that noise over the course of two decades, millions of people now seem to believe that Hillary Clinton will nationalize American industry, institute Wicca as the official state religion, and castrate all firstborn males (Chris Matthews and Tucker Carlson get especially squicky about this last bit).
I think the mocking tone here shows a failure to grapple with the real source of Clinton's vulnerability. Your suggestion seems to be that we wise and canny ones know that all of the charges against Hillary Clinton are bunk, but that we have to acknowledge that the right-wingers have nevertheless managed to dupe a lot of the rubes.
But the right wing hits that have really scored - and which would be used to greatest effect in the fall campaign - are not the crazy ones about drug-dealing, secret Socialist cabals and Vince Foster murder conspiracies - but the not insignificant number of charges that are actually true and for which Clinton will be able to offer know convincing defense.
February 20, 2008 12:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Dan -- point taken, but I sense a logical fallacy at work here, so I'm gonna have to quote you some Richard Rorty.
Only kidding about the Rorty part! Seriously, my post did say that crazed wingnut attacks on Hillary have been effective, but it didn't thereby suggest that all critiques of Hillary are crazed wingnut attacks. My point is simply that whatever plausible reservations anyone might have about her, Hillary Clinton's negatives are (a) out of all proportion to her actual policies and her actual record and (b) driven largely by loony-tunes enterprises like this one.
February 20, 2008 3:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dan K,
I'm an ex Hillary supporter, who was willing to hold his nose for her war vote and vote for her, but who became infuriated by her votes against the Levin Amendment and for the Kyl/Lieberman amendment.
As a Liberal I was never a strong Bill Clinton fan
as I saw him as too Corporate freindly, but for all his years in the White House I found myself defending him and Hillary against the moronic attacks by the right and the main stream Republicans. I guess I'm still afflicted with the vestiges of those defenses.
With that said, tell me, what are these "not insignificant charges that are actually true" you refer to.
February 20, 2008 1:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Such as ... ?
February 20, 2008 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dan K:
The right wing hits on HRC haven't just duped "a lot of the rubes." Those "highly educated, upscale" Dems who support Obama are just as likely to grab onto those brickbats and beat her with them. It's too nasty out there for me to want to play with those folks at the moment.
The human urge to demonize one's opponent is hard to resist. Just goes to show you, the leftwingnuts ultimately have reptile brains just like the rightwingnuts. Hopefully, the former cause less damage.
February 20, 2008 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's actually kind of insulting to Clinton to imply that educated, successful people support her opponent. It's like saying her supporters are ignorant losers...I'm sure that wasn't what you meant to convey.
February 21, 2008 2:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Regarding the attack campaign from the Clinton camp. Observing some of the campaigning down here in San Antonio, the line which I heard expressed yesterday on NPR at the Clinton campaign headquarters was delivered by political figures Henry Cisneros and Mayor Villaraigosa of Los Angeles. Cisneros message to the supporters as recorded by NPR was to the effect that the Clinton years had been good for the Hispanic community and that the Hispanic voice has a place at the table in a Clinton administration. Her message on the air, well as far as time warner cable goes, is emphasizing her record in providing healthcare to veterans and those in our military. So I have seen very little out of her campaign in San Antonio thus far which would mean that she would start going negative.
February 20, 2008 1:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Michael,
I would put it a bit differently, re: HRC's "experience" with the GOP smear machine. Namely, the definition of the successful response to smears is not whether you are "tough," whatever that means. Successful responses, whatever they are, result in your not being defined by the smear. If it does not stick to you, then whatever you did, be it swinging, swearing yelling, or reciting your mantra, you have won.
By that definition, I would say that HRC has not shown the correct kind of experience with the GOP. Unfortunately, she is defined as an opportunistic, unpleasant, old-school liberal who wants to raise your taxes and take your guns (and, did ya hear? she murdered a dude). None of it may be true, but it has stuck with her with too many people. What is it mean that she is "tough" or "tested" really? In any event, as you said, she is "damaged."
Obama has been pretty resilient thus far; thus far, not many people think he is Osama, a muslim, or a head-eating robot. His response is not teeth-baring "toughness." Instead, he seems to side-step most of the attacks.
The danger is that his excited supporters, many of whom are new to politics, may be more easily swayed if the whole race goes gutter early.
regards,
February 20, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe the preferred nomenclature is superdelega-licious.
February 20, 2008 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or?
supercalifragilistic expialidocious
February 20, 2008 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well said.
If you take a second to read between the lines of most of her sales pitches for herself they are confusing at best.
Not sure if she is insulting our intelligence or that's just the best she has.
February 20, 2008 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think this superdelegate thing is a real problem. if Clinton's superdelegates insist on playing "we're the judge and jury" game to over turn the popular votes and elected delegate votes, the democratic party will have a bigger problem than McCaine. I really do not think the demoratic party leaders even consider going that way.
February 20, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've been arguing lately that the Rightwing Attack Machine is vastly overrated. Specifically, how they can only be effective if they have the full cooperation of a media that is desperate to find material to attack the Democratic candidate with. But the media didn't start hating Clinton, Gore, or Kerry because of the rightwing attacks against them. Rather, the rightwing attacks were amplified by people who already hated these guys and wanted to find something to attack them with. And without the media promoting the smears, the attacks are only heard by wingnuts who weren't going to vote Democratic anyway.
And even still, the power of these attacks, even with media assistance, are fairly weak. Everyone can cite the Swiftboat attack on Kerry, but that wasn't the only attack they tried. Far from it. From the time Kerry became the obvious nominee, they were trying to make smears against him stick every day. Everything he did and said was put into negative context and hurled at him; often many in the same day. But who remembers any of that stuff? In fact, that's actually one of their problems: They throw so many attacks in the hopes that just one of them will stick that you can't even keep track of them, and they usually get ignored. And so they got one attack to actually stick against Kerry, and we imagine that this "attack machine" is unstoppable? Please.
And ignored in all this is that it wasn't the smear machine that lost us the last two elections. It was the election theft. And all the same, Kerry was a fairly boring politician whose main support came from the D after his name, going against a sitting president, during war, with a diehard following, an adoring media, and a huge assist by various government powers (including the DOJ); and yet still we should have won. Imagine how much better things will be with a charismatic nominee who many in the media consider to be JFK, RFK, and MLK combined; and who has millions of supporters ready to spread the word. I honestly don't see how McCain stands a chance. The media might like him as the old grandfather, but everyone likes the cool cousin better. And Obama is cool in a way that we've never seen from a Democratic nominee.
I'm sorry, but I'm just not seeing exactly why we consider these bozos to be so all-powerful. And remember, the fact that we all debated against wingnuts who believed this stuff means nothing. They'll believe anything. The test is whether undecided voters believe it. And there's little evidence to suggest that the daily attacks against us has that big of a part to play in all this.
If anything, the real danger from these attacks is if the candidate wastes too much time defending against them and is taken off message. And in that regard, we're better off with Barack than Hillary. Barack has shown he has the ability to defend against attacks with a deft counter-punch that allows him to get back on-message. Where as Hillary's "message" has always been that she'll defend against attacks. And that's exactly what they want.
February 20, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well Michael the point is unavoidable: she has not only been battered by right wing "wingnuts" as you say, she has been battered by so-called Liberal Democrats like right here at the TPM Cafe, at Huffington Post, at Daily Kos , by Chris Mathews and practically all of MSNBC and CNN. So it seems unavoidable to conclude that the fix is in. For that, I'm called a Paranoid crank. Well maybe it takes a paranoid to unravel the level of opinion manipulation that is going on. And all the criticism of her is rife with personal attacks and innuendo. Of substance what she did wrong, there is little. It is as if she is not allowed to campaign as anyone else. She has to be a "lady" and not get rough; otherwise she is a "bitch", so she can't win. And you have absolutely NOTHING so say about that. In fact you are on the bandwagon with it all
In Comparison Obama has gotten a free ride despite the fact that he has numerous shortcomings that are not picked up by you media types
The whole thing is UNFAIR and INJUST and I'm inclined to surmise along with some of the women here who think it is some hidden misogynism at work, although my preferred alternative theory is that it is a conspiracy to throw the presidency for Mc Cain.
February 20, 2008 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
She has to be a "lady" and not get rough; otherwise she is a "bitch", so she can't win. And you have absolutely NOTHING so say about that. In fact you are on the bandwagon with it all
Well, Andrew, since I've recently written on this site, "I deplore the media’s unhinged and openly sexist attacks on Hillary Clinton" and "I think she’s whip-smart and hypercompetent, and I think she’s endured an endless stream of vicious, psychotic wingnut abuse with unfathomable equanimity," your claim that I've had nothing to say about her treatment in the press is kinda patently false, and yes, that does damage your credibility as an interlocutor. But that aside, let me join you one more time in saying that Hillary Clinton has been subjected to some truly vile abuse over the years.
As for your use of the term "leftwingnuts for Obama," well, see "damage your credibility," above.
February 20, 2008 4:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, you aren't a paranoid crank but a lot of posters on this site have failed to address your concerns. Granted, there is some misogyny in the mainstream media (mirroring mainstream society) and a ton of it on the right-wing. There may even be some of it subconsciously among liberals and Democrats but I would offer that at its core, Progressive ideology does not espouse that kind of hate and division. In fact, I would say that there are many woman who support Clinton simply because she IS a woman. On the other hand, a man such as myself does not even view Hillary as a female candidate. I think she can handle herself as well as any man, just like the numerous female CEOs out there. However, she does have the "woman commander-in-chief" image to overcome which could hurt her heavily in the GE. How many American female combat arms generals do you know of? Answer: there are none.
As for evidence over the substance of what she has done "wrong" there is ample. She has voted for the bankruptcy bill on behalf of credit card companies and what would have been to the detriment of average Americans. She voted for the Kyl-Lieberman act which gave Bush more political cover to invade Iran. She voted for CAFTA, which if NAFTA is any indication will continue to siphon off thousands of American jobs to the detriment of the environmental and labor rights overseas. And most recently, unlike Obama, she decided to not even show up to vote for or against granting telecom companies immunity for helping Bush violate the 4th amendment (Obama voted against it) even though she was in D.C. at the time. Still unapologetic over her vote for the war, she claims she didn't even read the NIE which other responsible senators did.
Yes, Obama has probably voted for some things that I don't agree with as well. But the wiretapping immunity amendment was a stark enough difference for me. One is against giving lawbreakers immunity and the other doesn't have the political courage to vote one way or the other.
As for experience, the point is moot. Both have served virtually similar terms in Congress. If we are going to pair Hillary's time as First Lady with the policies of Bill than I have another set of solid evidence for you.
February 20, 2008 5:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think you may be missing the forest for the trees. What this article and Mr. Hunts article are pointing towards is that Hillary is going to continue with the Negative campaigning. But what they don’t make clear is that Mrs. Clinton does not really have much choice. Let me explain.
All the data points we've got, tell us her campaign is in utter turmoil. After Virginia she lost 4 key staff members including her Campaign and Deputy Campaign manager. It also became clear in Maine, that she did not have enough campaign cash to compete in a national election against Obama. She now regularly asks for Donations as part of her standard stump speech. (Not a good sign)
We know that she raised 15 million since Super Tuesday. Repaid herself the 5 million she lent to her campaign, and presumably blew most of the remaining 10 million in her GO NUCLEAR EVERYTHING NEGATIVE AND THE KITCHEN SINK scorched earth Wisconsin campaign. Now she needs to go be competitive in two very big states, Ohio and Texas. She does not have the cash to do that effectively.
Her campaign has no choice but to create news any way they can. She must dream up outrageous headline grabbing stories such as, “I’ll steal the election using super delegates.” Or “I’ll steal the election by seating Florida and Michigan.” Neither of these things are going to happen and she knows it. But its news. And she wins a news cycle when they appear above the fold. For a cash strapped campaign with the wheels coming off, this strategy is not a bad tactic.
From her to Texas, assume that Hillary will continue her scorched earth negativity trying desperately to make something stick to Obama. She needs to drag his negatives down to his level fast, or else she stands no chance of getting the Nomination.
Finally, I personally detest some of the things coming out of Camp Hillary, but as a horse race junkie, I understand what she’s doing. “Going Negative” is a tactic. And unusually one employed by a losing campaign. She is not a bad person for doing it. She really has no choice.
Personally, I think Mrs. Clinton really start considering her legacy. I think she should stop trying to win using the nuclear option. She should use these next two weeks to do some inspiring campaigning, so when it comes time to bow out, she can do so gracefully without permanent damage to her reputation inside the Democratic Party. Unfortunately, I think there is exactly no chance of her doing that.
February 21, 2008 12:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Extra Extra: Hillary's campaign is Attacking Obama Obama. I'm shocked!! What a vile woman to do such a thing. That's the level of discussion with you leftwingnuts for Obama. You are like groupies, either for one or the other, blind as bats to anything more complicated than that..
February 20, 2008 3:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your level of polite discourse, and refraining from calling people names is sure to make them grow fonder of your kind and gentle darling.
February 20, 2008 5:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me tell you why Hillary's constant whining about Senator Obama's oratorical skills is not gaining any traction:
In a Nutshell:
People will always choose to listen to the song of Nightingale, rather than listening to the bitter squawking protests about it from the Crow.
February 20, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Problems such as where her money is coming from and her experience myth.
For example Why is she holding back her tax records?
Who Was Hillary Clinton?
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120191002786436761-search.html?KEYWORDS=%22judicial+watch%22&COLLECTION=wsjie/6month
She claims she's for Universal Health Care and again the the experience to get it done -- But How?
She refuses to release her experience she lauds in the 90's when she first tried to get health care through, coupled with the fact she has more money coming from the corporate Health Industry than any other candidate? (Also the MIC!)
DoJ Confirms: As of Jan 31, 2008, Bill Clinton Holds Key to Release Hillary Clinton’s White House Records
http://www.judicialwatch.org/doj-confirms-jan-31-2008-bill-clinton-holds-key-release-hillary-clinton-s-white-house-records
And, as for learning from her experience regarding her Iraq Vote -- I haven't seen any evidence that she's worked through that major foreign policy gaff? Remembering Foreign Policy is a President's purview -- and then her NOT reading the NIE... wow... that's not going to go well against McCain.
February 20, 2008 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh now I read this (link via TPM):
Penn: Hillary Will Mount a Commander-In-Chief Offensive [Byron York]
http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZDllOTBhNmUyMWY5YWZlM2Q1ODVkMWRjNGVmMmNmNjQ=
Well, please remember this folks:
Sorry, but there is NO way this woman is qualified to be Commander-In-Chief... She's far too trigger happy.
February 20, 2008 4:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
The republicans have honed their attack skills since the 90s so, Hillary would probably have a surprise or two. The gop and/or their surrogates feel free to make things up if all else fails.
February 20, 2008 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew Strat is a paranoid crank if he thinks there is some "fix" between Obama supporters and the media. As if Josh Marshall, Kos, Chris Matthews, and Wolf Blitzer got together to figure out some way to sink Hillary (I'd have included you in this, Berube, but we all know you're just a flunky taking orders from above). The idea of this is so laughable that it only makes Hillary's candidacy look all the more suspect, in that even her supporters can't find nonlaughable points to support her with.
But so it is with her whole campaign. At this point, nobody is up in arms because Hillary is attacking Barack. They're laughing at her because her attacks are so lame. When she's not shooting herself in the foot, she's at best wasting money on ads that will convince no one. Her biggest problem is just that there is no good reason for us to pick her over Barack, and no amount of spin from her campaign can fix that. She wasn't a bad candidate, but Barack has proven to be far superior, and had she not already started off with huge advantages (name recognition and money), we wouldn't even be talking about this at all. She'd have dropped out after Iowa and Barack would already be focused on beating McCain.
BTW, it never helps to point out how much the media hates your candidate; particularly not for Dems who already have a hard enough time getting fair press and don't need a candidate who is especially hated by them. I'd much rather be on the side the media is helping than the one they're attacking. Yet another example of pro-Clinton points that only make her look worse.
February 20, 2008 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
The good professor's post brings to mind the question that while yes, Mrs. Clinton remains a playa despite the most potent propaganda money can buy, has she displayed the gumption to pwn the mighty wingnut machine? Any one-liner, riposte or comeback to ridicule the cretins? None that I've noticed.
Jon Stewart, Glenn Greenwald, Digby, Atrios and many more have created a vast repository of terse anti-wingnut rhetorical ordnance, fat and juicy for the picking. Why, a few phrases from M. Bérubé's above post would serve.
Alas, Hillary, like most in her position, fear their own instinct for original speech. Meanwhile, Obama has been zinging McCain to where the poor old coot can barely react the tracer.
An Obama-McCain debate is a dream come true. A Clinton-McCain debate will be yet another national embarrassment of irrelevant careful-talk.
February 20, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think both have, in much of their lives, demonstrated competence, endurance, adaptability, humility, talent and effective advocacy.
I don't get the bitterness seeping out of either fanbase, but I understand what campaigns must do to stay in the game, so I only consider the srreptitious and the blatant dogwhistles to be unfair. Both stopped the dogwhistles after South Carolia and claims since sound like over-parsing candidates functioning at the edge of exhaustion.
I think most should review a chart of Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs. See who's using what at each level of the triangle. Bush emphasizes mostly the next to bottom foundational level, creating fear and insecurity that keeps voters from thinking about the higher levels. Obama does more at the top of the triangle than any other candidate on either side, which motivates many who have few foundational insecurities (best educated, financially comfortable) which draws in Republican and Independents as well.
Clinton operates more in-between, and as about 40% of our society does have foundational worries, she remains strong in the race. Those who craft a message of reassurance to the most levels within the triangle seem likely to have the broadest appeal and I think Obama's been evolving towards that most effectively.
But I agree with your premise: not only has Clinton been successfully stereotyped by the rightists and their symbiotic media suckerfish, but there remain lingering demons longstanding in society via stereotyping that she gets tagged with : Sixties hippie radical, McGovernite, ice queen, lesbian, socialist, Communist, liberal.... none of which bears any resemblance to 3/4ths of her adult life.
Obama gets tagged with the last three, plus Muslim, so there's less biases from the outset. Fair or not, the biases of the electorate take decades to change, by evolution, better messaging and attrition.
So with less negative stereotypes and broader inspiration, it seems the only potential for him losing will require missteps or poor campaign organization. So far neither seem to be weaknesses.
February 20, 2008 8:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Professor,
I am a little disappointed with this post. All this deconstruction of Hillary v. Obama, old memes, I've come to expect you to be more on top of the breaking movements.
Seems to me that the "wingers" have already moved on to working on "Obama is the new Hillary" not just by conservative pundits but already posted on sites like TPM Cafe. (I hope he knows not to talk about "the children." :-)) There is already the extreme angle (ala Vince Foster conspiracies,) with Bill O'Reilly attempting to paint Michelle Obama as a sort of female Malcom X.
Meantime, the New York Times just this evening is creating a Jennifer Flowers for John McCain. First impression of that: I am not at all convinced yet that this is not coming from the McCain campaign itself, in attempt to make him "sexier." :-)
February 20, 2008 9:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's a real bizarre one I just ran across on NRO, they are still struggling with the memes of making Obama into the new Hillary:
"Barack Will Never Allow You to Go Back to Your Lives as Usual."
There is the Obama=socialist/communist thing going on there, in that he is supposedly an authoritarian who going to force you to work at what you don't want to do and force you to behave in his preferred manner. But I sense that the writer recognizes that there's a problem there in arguing that it's a conservative belief that it's a human right to be free to be lazy and stupid and bad people? :-) Oops, that's our label for liberals? It's Rummy, he's baaack, freedom means being free to loot and do all other kinds of bad things? Conservatives no longer like moral preachers in government?
February 20, 2008 9:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Michael
Yes Hillary is yesterday’s news. But you Michael want to savor the last moments of her defeat; like drinking yesterdays cold cup of coffee.
Sure you cover your ass Michael. I even quoted you in one of my posts. The point is the glaring ASYMETRY in your scrutiny of Hillary and your lack of scrutiny of Obama.
You throw Hillary a bone….”she has endured vile attacks blah blah blah and they have been effective’ That gives you away. Sure they have been effective but a beeter conclusion to come to is that it is UNFAIR of the Obamamaniacs who we all know are sanctioned by the Obama campaign.
Why don’t you scrutinize Obama’s record-- his bloviating rhetoric. His obvious manipulation of the feeble latte drinking yuppy mind? You seem to give Obama a total pass. What else can the rest of us reasonable liberals thinks other than there must be some misogynistic motive somewhere underneath all that asymmetric concern with Hillary’s shortcomings and only adulation for Obama THE MALE?
I don’t want to be too hard on you but why don’t you condemn these vicious leftwingnuts attacks right here in this thread and elsewhere in your posts at TPM? Some of us want to know. Why the pass on them and the schadenfreude at Hillary’s predicament? I don’t get it. Help me understand you better. I’m willing to learn. I’m a liberal and open to new ideas if they make sense
What is it about Hillary that motivates you to kick the woman when she’s down?
These other Hillary bashers over here are beneath me to respond to but you are a Professor of Literature. I don’t understand.
February 20, 2008 10:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Doctor
you conveniently leave out that the Media LOVES Obama who is also a Democrat. So don't hand me this Media-hates-Democrats crap.
You admit that the Media "hates" Hillary (including most of the writers on this site) and then you go on to say that it is paranoid nonsense that this is some sort of concerted phenomenon.
Let me get this straight: you are saying that all the negative press that Hillary has been getting from all the media is just ....what...accidental? A coincidence? Do you think we are stupid or something?
Alternatively are you saying that all the media hates Hillary because she is obviously a vile unlovable creature, just like 2+2 is obviously 4?
If you think that all the negative media Hillary has gotten is because she deserves it, enumerate all her sins and compare them to other candidates (Obama for example) and tell me that it is OBVIOUS that Hilarry is vile.
No, the people that are vile are people such as yourself and it is all in black and white here for all to see. And we do take notice of such things.
February 20, 2008 10:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
The good professor's post brings to mind the question that while yes, Mrs. Clinton remains a playa despite the most potent propaganda money can buy, has she displayed the gumption to pwn the mighty wingnut machine? Any one-liner, riposte or comeback to ridicule the cretins? None that I've noticed.
Exactly. I call it Battered Democrat Syndrome. Hillary is by no means the only one to suffer from it -- in fact, it's afflicted most of the Beltway Democrats in the past 7 years. First, they cave to the GOP on things like the Iraq War or torture because they fear they'll be attacked as "weak" (even though caving probably does more to reinforce the "weak" meme than voting no would).
Then after giving in for so long, they turn around and talk about how THIS time, they're going to stand up to those nasty bullies. But the common thread is that they're still defining themselves in relation to Republicans. I mean, after all the crap the GOP has pulled this decade, now we're supposed to let them determine who we nominate?
What I like about Obama is that he doesn't seem caught up in this dynamic. He recognizes that the you don't neutralize bullies with bluster. You do it with confidence.
February 20, 2008 10:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Michael
BTW, Rorty--although popular amongst non-philosophers--is a bad choice as a guide.
Either there is no "truth" that we can grasp or there is. We don't know the answer to which is the case. Rorty opts for the former (there is no truth to grasp) and winds up in the postmodern swamp. Most Anglo-American philosophers opt for the latter and the result is fruitful new results and discoveries and even progress on some fronts.
Rorty's choice (and the whole postmodern movement) is just an inherently bad choice under the conditions of not knowing which of the two is true.
February 20, 2008 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Doctor Biobrain writes
I'd much rather be on the side the media is helping than the one they're attacking. Yet another example of pro-Clinton points that only make her look worse.
Spoken like a true sycophant
He starts out calling me a paranoid crank and winds up agreeing that the media "helps" one candidate over the other....
February 20, 2008 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is it all about process? Are you interested in substance at all? Is it just the horserace that interests you?
February 20, 2008 11:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
He starts out calling me a paranoid crank and winds up agreeing that the media "helps" one candidate over the other....
Dude, I called you a paranoid crank because you said "she has been battered by so-called Liberal Democrats like right here at the TPM Cafe, at Huffington Post, at Daily Kos , by Chris Mathews and practically all of MSNBC and CNN. So it seems unavoidable to conclude that the fix is in."
I totally agree that the media hates the Clintons more than just about anyone (though I don't think the media gave Obama the free pass you people insist they did). But to suggest that TPM, Huff, Kos, Chris Matthews, and CNN are in some sort of fix together? That's totally nuts.
There was no "fix" here. Some people just liked Barack more than Hillary. And while freaks like Chris Matthews did it because he's a big weirdo with serious issues, many of these others just based their opinions on what they saw and there's nothing nefarious about this. They just disagreed with you. Get over it.
Oh, and I wasn't agreeing with you. I was just pointing out that it was ill-advised to tell everyone how much the media hates your candidate, as it might just give them a reason to vote against your candidate. As I said, it's already hard enough for us to get our point across without it having to come from the media's most hated person. I don't know if the media really was trying to undermine Hillary, but I fail to see how it helped to keep telling everyone they did. Especially if you say it was fixed, which makes you look like a paranoid crank.
February 21, 2008 1:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
You make an excellent point. The right fringe think Clinton is a socialist but progressives consider her republican-lite.
February 21, 2008 1:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Doctor
you conveniently leave out that the Media LOVES Obama who is also a Democrat. So don't hand me this Media-hates-Democrats crap.
Andrew - I have a blog (which once upon a time was linked to by Berube's before he pulled the rug out from under me like the vile fiend he is and quit his blog), and I've covered every issue you asked about...in detail. Why do you assume that anything left unsaid must mean I said something wrong?
As it happens, I believe that Obama is an exception to the media's hatred of Democrats, and hope this can be used to our advantage. I've also explained why the Clintons are the most hated people by the media; and no, I don't entirely blame them for that and think they got a raw deal. I defended the Clintons throughout the 90's and am offended that I'm now being lumped in with their haters just because I prefer a different candidate than you. I never suggested she was vile and don't believe it to be true. I said she wasn't a bad candidate, but Barack was better. If you think that makes me vile, then you have serious issues.
And for as much as you attack me for being "black & white," I'm glad to say that it is you, sir, who is making that mistake. I've said repeatedly on my blog and comments on other blogs that I would support Hillary if she was the best candidate. And I would support her if she won the nomination. I've been saying that for quite awhile. I have no idea what "vile" things I might have said, though I guess it's because I described her lame attacks on Obama as being laughable. I'm sorry for being truthful in front of such a delicate person as yourself, but I see nothing vile about this. If Hillary doesn't want people laughing at her attacks, she should make better ones or not make any at all.
You, on the other hand, have attacked Barack quite fiercely on this post, without providing any substance for attack. You suggest there's something wrong with his record and attack his "bloviating rhetoric" (whatever that means. And worst of all, you denounce millions of your fellow Democrats as "feeble latte drinking yuppies" and accuse us of sexism because we prefer "THE MALE." Are you nuts? This is no way to make friends OR influence people. If anything, your rants here have done nothing but made Hillary look worse.
But so it is with much of Hillary's campaign: Because people seem to prefer Barack over her, she's forced to level weak attacks on Barack, act like a victim, and denounce Democrats who didn't support her. Call me crazy, but that just doesn't sound like a smart strategy for winning an election. While I don't think Hillary is a vile person, she sure didn't run a very good campaign. And no attack against me will change my mind on that.
February 21, 2008 2:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have a blog (which once upon a time was linked to by Berube's before he pulled the rug out from under me like the vile fiend he is and quit his blog)
Bwah hah hah hah hah! Who can say how many blogs I toppled that day? Bwah hah hah hah hah hah hah!
February 21, 2008 12:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Doctor
I have no interest on this site fin engaging in a Kaffeklatsch with people that ditto each other’s drivel ad nauseum so your statement that "This is no way to make friends OR influence people." simply is irrelevant to any germane discussion of the issues at hand.
My interest is in exchange of ideas with people that have at least a minimal capacity to present rational arguments for their positions and are not cheerleaders or lemmings. Unlike you I'm not here to make friends. If I find a kindred soul that I can agree with, that's fine. But I don't EVER engage in "in crowd-out crowd" garbage.
Not going to bother answering point by point your post. It is basically more of the same.
But I will REPEAT my claim that
1) The Media does NOT hate Democrats per say and my evidence is Obama (you say is an exception, which seems absurd thing to say in the face of disconfirming evidence for your assertion).
2) The fact that the media--including the blogosphere media here and elsewhere--id and does act in general concert on the Hillary v Obama issues.
1) Hillary can do no right
b) Obama can do no wrong.
That's an established empirical fact.
You go with your "winning friends and influencing people" goal and I'll stick to my rational discussion aim
February 21, 2008 12:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
My interest is in exchange of ideas with people that have at least a minimal capacity to present rational arguments for their positions and are not cheerleaders or lemmings.
What a hoot. You've made some wild accusations against MB for things he didn't write or even imply in his original post. For example, And all the criticism of her is rife with personal attacks and innuendo. Of substance what she did wrong, there is little. It is as if she is not allowed to campaign as anyone else. She has to be a "lady" and not get rough; otherwise she is a "bitch", so she can't win. And you have absolutely NOTHING so say about that. In fact you are on the bandwagon with it all[.]
Can you point out the parts in MBs post where he wrote or implied any of the above? Or, if he didn't, why he was obliged to have SOMETHING to say about it?
It is as if she is not allowed to campaign as anyone else. This has to be one of the most idiotic statements ever written at TPM Cafe. Who else would you have her campaign as? Marie Antoinette?
Unfortunately, you didn't stop there and continued with this stunning bit of 'rationality', The whole thing is UNFAIR and INJUST and I'm inclined to surmise along with some of the women here who think it is some hidden misogynism at work, although my preferred alternative theory is that it is a conspiracy to throw the presidency for Mc Cain.
This statement is so 'UNLOGICAL' (fits nicely with 'INJUST', heh?), that the mind boggles even after re-reading it.
Please disabuse yourself immediately of the radical notion that you are conducting any kind of 'rational' discussion. In fact, isn't it time for you to rejoin your 4th grade class?
February 21, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew - You, sir, are a schmuck. In fact, I wrote an entire blogpost centered around your schmuckiness. And I can understand why you find it impossible to make friends, but if you have no intent to influence people then you're just wasting everyone's time.
You wrote: 1) The Media does NOT hate Democrats per say and my evidence is Obama (you say is an exception, which seems absurd thing to say in the face of disconfirming evidence for your assertion).
And I have no idea what you're talking about. I've written on my blog and elsewhere repeatedly my theory that the media doesn't hate all Democrats, but only the ones we've recently nominated for President (which includes Bill's wife by default); and I've backed up that opinion. Now, I don't expect you to have read my blog, but jesus christ, don't sit there and try to tell me what I think. You don't know a thing about me and insist on telling me what I believe? That's what we in the business call a "schmuck."
I'm not saying that because I dislike Hillary or her supporters at all, as I don't. I'm saying that because you're an absurdly laughable person who demands to be taken seriously while consistently attacking people you don't even know for having opinions they don't agree with. I'm generally a very nice guy, even to people I disagree with, but I have no problem saying these things about you as I know they'll just make you feel better inside for having insulted me first. You've been proven right by demonstrating that you can incite yet another Obamaniac to go bonkers and insult you, so I guess you can chalk up yet another victory in your quest to undermine Hillary's candidacy.
BTW, I should mention that I do appreciate the blog fodder you provided for me. I'm not sure if my readers will get as big of a hoot out of you as I did, but it was fun all the same. I geniunely support the work you're doing in making Hillary supporters look stupid and can't wait to see you join the anti-Obama side in the general election. I don't think they really need your help in looking dumb, but I sure don't want you on our side. Good luck!
February 21, 2008 3:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and for anyone interested, here's a link to the post I wrote on Andrew Strat:
Paranoid Cranks for Hillary
It sure is fun when someone blows you off so much that it becomes acceptable to blast them with both barrels. Even wingnuts pretend to have some sense of reasonableness about them (which they use to mask their unreasonableness). But coming from Andrew, any talk of debating rationally is nothing more than yet another insult against his enemies for not behaving that way. And the whole time it never occurs to him he's just looking in the mirror.
February 21, 2008 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here is a sample of the parade of insults from the fatuous Obama knee-jerk boosters
Reality Check:
"Obama has trounced Hillery in the last ten contests.
Hillary has not had the grace to even thank those who came to vote for her in those ten contests.
Now she is insulting the intelligence of all those who voted for Senator Obama.
Why should any of those who voted for or against Hillery in those ten states, vote for her in November, after she has spit in their faces now."
Posted by liam
By Reed Hundt - February 20, 2008, 5:42AM
The Clintons will attack Obama in harsh, personal terms for two main reasons: they hope to attract attention from the media, which they need to overcome Obama's advantages in paid ads, free media coverage (like the extraordinary coverage of his extraordinary Houston speech last night), and field organization, and they want to instill doubts about Obama in the voters in Ohio and Texas who threaten to follow the pattern of the last ten votes, where in the last few days across all demographic groups there has been a decisive change of mind among the Clinton-leaners to move to the Obama side
[Reed is totally off base on this given the Austin debate, but he's not going to issue any apologias any time soon]
Here is a gem by Michael Bérubé - February 20, 2008, 8:57AM
I just want to add two thoughts to Reed Hundt’s post below.
Yes, it’s possible (as Hundt says) that “the Clintons will attack Obama in harsh, personal terms,” and that Clinton and McCain “will go low and will be outrageous.” (Though after Billy Shaheen’s inquiry into whether Obama might have done a little drug dealing, exactly how much lower can a fellow Democrat go?
[ Another fantasy cooked up in a feverish Obamamaiac’s mind]
Consider this
"Weathered attacks or attracted them? Hard to parse that."
Thank you, Tom!
That, and the way one is perceived if they armor up and go out with guns blazing... She's come to symbolize some kind of Rambo... and it just doesn't become her. Or look good in contrast to the competition.
Makes Hillary and McCain, actually, look like mirror images of each other. As if Barack was running against twins.
Posted by TheraP
Look at this recherché comment by the professor
“Good point. Clinton would have to retool for the general, and run as the outsider, the new arrival to the Senate -- or argue "I'm ready and tested, but there is also such a thing as being too ready and too tested."
Posted by Michael Bérubé
“Let me tell you why Hillary's constant whining about Senator Obama's oratorical skills is not gaining any traction:
In a Nutshell:
People will always choose to listen to the song of Nightingale, rather than listening to the bitter squawking protests about it from the Crow.”
Posted by liam
“Andrew Strat is a paranoid crank if he thinks there is some "fix" between Obama supporters and the media.”
Posted by Doctor Biobrain
[Note; Never said such a thing. I said the Media has it’s “ Obama in Hillary out” Agenda. ]
“The good professor's post brings to mind the question that while yes, Mrs. Clinton remains a playa[sic] despite the most potent propaganda money can buy, has she displayed the gumption to pwn [sic] the mighty wingnut machine? Any one-liner, riposte or comeback to ridicule the cretins? None that I've noticed”
Posted by dswift
I totally agree that the media hates the Clintons more than just about anyone (though I don't think the media gave Obama the free pass you people insist they did).
Posted by Doctor Biobrain
[he says that with a straight face, ha!]
Then there is this juvenile comment
“Please disabuse yourself immediately of the radical notion that you are conducting any kind of 'rational' discussion. In fact, isn't it time for you to rejoin your 4th grade class?”
Posted by seashell
Andrew - You, sir, are a schmuck. In fact, I wrote an entire blogpost centered around your schmuckiness
Posted by Doctor Biobrain
Charming
Then he goes on to say
Oh, and for anyone interested, here's a link to the post I wrote on Andrew Strat:
Paranoid Cranks for Hillary
Doctor Biobrain
In short
The Anti Clinton Vitriol had no end and no rational cause.
February 22, 2008 10:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew - Anti Clinton vitriol? I purposefully stated that this wasn't about Hillary at all. Look, I don't dislike Hillary. I supported the Clintons throughout the 90's. I supported her run in the Senate twice. And as I've said repeatedly, I would have supported her now if I thought she was the best candidate. Sorry pal, but this is all about you. You're a nutjob. Deal with it.
As for your suggestion that you were only complaining about the media fixing it for Obama, I quote: "she has been battered by so-called Liberal Democrats like right here at the TPM Cafe, at Huffington Post, at Daily Kos , by Chris Mathews and practically all of MSNBC and CNN. So it seems unavoidable to conclude that the fix is in. For that, I'm called a Paranoid crank."
My mistake for actually reading what you wrote instead of listening to the echoes bouncing around your mind. For that, I apologize. I should have known that when you included blogs like TPM and Kos in your complaint, you weren't referring to them at all and only meant that Chris Matthews got together with Wolf Blitzer to decide which candidate they were going to sink and how they were going to do it. Nothing paranoid about that at all. I'm sure it happens all the time.
Oh, and don't think I didn't appreciate the irony of you complaining about insults from "fatuous Obama knee-jerk boosters," because I did. At least when I insult people I know I insulted them. You do it without thinking and imagine yourself above such things. Again, Andrew Strat, meet mirror.
Wow, I can be a pretty big jerk when I want to be. But it's sooooo much fun. No wonder people want to be Republicans.
February 24, 2008 2:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and just so y'all understand, I haven't been staking out this site waiting for a reply. I mentioned the whole thing in my post about Andrew and one of my readers mentioned that he replied back to me. But it's unlikely I'm going to keep checking here for an answer, no matter how funny I'm sure it will be.
February 24, 2008 3:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
I do not see the clintons bashing obama at all. I am not sure what you are thinking. These are very tight democrats. No doubt in my mind.
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July 13, 2010 3:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
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August 18, 2010 4:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
inquiry into whether Obama might have done a little drug dealing, exactly how much lower can a fellow Democrat go? Is someone going to start a whispering campaign that Obama has fathered a white child out of wedlock?) But it’s also possible that the Clinton team will respond to last night’s drubbing in Wisconsin
bag factory.
August 26, 2010 10:41 PM | Reply | Permalink