A Letter to Jay Solomon and Siobhan Gorman

Dear Jay:

Did you readily agree to the title heading your article in today’s Wall Street Journal, In Iran Reversal, Bureaucrats Triumphed Over Cheney Team? Because the article, at least as I read it, is a smear of Tom Fingar and certainly implies that he is some partisan, political maverick eager to thwart George Bush for his own petty reasons. I am particularly troubled by the following portion of your story:

In 2002, Mr. Fingar vigorously quizzed his analysts’ assumptions on Iraq, according to people who took part in the process. He particularly liked running “red teaming” exercises where competing groups sought to expose flaws in the bureau’s judgments. Mr. Fingar told top State Department officials, including former Secretary of State Colin Powell, what his analysts had concluded: Saddam Hussein didn’t have an active nuclear-weapons program. In particular, they disputed evidence cited by the White House relating to Iraq’s purchase of aluminum tubes, purportedly for use in making weapons-grade nuclear fuel.


Mr. Powell ultimately broke from his analysts’ beliefs, arguing before the U.N. Security Council in February 2003 that Mr. Hussein was actively seeking a nuclear weapon.

Mr. Fingar’s department’s Iraq position, a lonely one, infuriated top Bush administration officials, say current and former U.S. officials.

The two sides clashed on other issues. One of Mr. Fingar’s State Department colleagues, Vann Van Diepen, for example, repeatedly battled with John Bolton, the close ally of Vice President Cheney who served as the State Department’s top counter-proliferation official at the time.

Are you in an Alice in Wonderland world? Fingar’s approach was what one would expect of a professional intelligence officer. He had no preconceived notions. He simply insisted that the judgments advanced by his analysts be supported by intelligence rather than wishful thinking. Moreover, we now know without one shred of doubt that the positions presented by State Department’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research with respect to the threat posed by Iraq were accurate and sound. If policymakers like John Bolton and David Wurmser had been willing to act on legitimate intelligence rather than preconceived notions at least 3000 American soldiers would still be alive not to mention at least 150,000 Iraqis.

Your article is a disservice and insult to intelligence professionals. Pretending that Fingar was acting in the same reckless manner as the likes of neocons like David Wurmser and John Bolton is simply not supported by the facts. Instead of educating your readers about how an NIE is crafted and how it is coordinated before it is released to the public, you have decided to cast your lot with the same officials who insisted they knew where Iraq’s WMDs were stashed and promised that American soldiers would be greeted with flowers and embraces. That is not journalism. That is propaganda. Shame on you.

Larry Johnson


Comments (17)

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The mention of red-teaming suggests he wanted conclusions that stood up to attack. Exactly the right thing, no? To me it portrays him as both dedictaed and judicious, and of course right.

Right. I don't really see what Larry is so outraged about.

I suppose the complaint here is an implied false symmetry. I don't see it, in that if the consensus facts, i.e. absence of weapons, are stipulated, then Fingar et al are obviously in the right, and those that argued against them de facto wrong.

Is there some fear that a reader would erroneously conclude the argument is stil going on? At least on the basis of the quoted material I get the impression Fingar is reporting and standing by his team's assessments, not vague imaginings. The mention of red-teaming suggests he wanted conclusions that stood up to attack. Exactly the right thing, no? To me it portrays him as both dedicated and judicious, and of course right.

Seeing something not there, I'd say. At least the story is getting told. It could be worse; we had to wait longer for the facts on VIetnam.

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i get the impression you didn't read the article.

the portions quoted by larry fail to capture the context and tone of the article which gives credence to the false storyline of the NIE as a battle of opposing politics rather than the battle between politics and intelligence.

Quite correct. I was using the quotes as offered. They did not make LJ's point. I will readily believe his point is good, since we have come to expect he said-he said reporting. I know LJ feels some loyalty and admiration for Fingar, and I'm sympathetic to his efforts here, excepting some hot words on the primary candidates.

But LJ didn't suggest we needed to read the article to get his point. And when one quotes, the reason is usually to illustrate the point.

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Well, it is a weird article. It goes out of its way to set up intelligence about Iraq and Iran as a game or debate, with winning and losing sides, making only the merest references to the fact that one side got its facts right while the other did not. A person who had no knowledge of the history could easily miss the fact that one "side" was evidence-based and correct, while the other was bellicose and wrong.

I had to laugh (while wincing, of course) at the parsing that "Now, the more cautious intelligence camp is taking the reins." You mean the one that was intelligent? Well, WSJ wouldn't go so far as to say it in so many words.

Also a big laugh line--"This all smells of policy validation," says David Wurmser.....these guys were State Department bureaucrats....It is hardly surprising that they now use their new positions to try to prove they were right."

Because they WERE right, dude. Not much more proof required. An evidence-based policy sorta validates itself--except in topsy-turvy Bush world, with tragic results.

I don't see why it was necessary to point out that Fingar was a gymnast--a contortionist, policy-wise? A veiled gay reference? Who knows, but this article is one of the finest examples of damnation via faint praise I've seen in awhile. No one else was singled out for going to meetings in their shirtsleeves, or any other article of clothing for that matter. (If I had to meet with the NeoCons, I'd wear hipwaders, but that's just me.)

Maybe the red-teaming thing is an implication of disloyalty.

I kind of expect weirdness from WSJ. But if the guy were a friend of mine, the WH had dragged him through the mud for years, and thousands of people had died because the people in power ignored him, this WSJ article making it all sound like no more than a horse race might be a last straw.

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I guess I didn't read the article quite the same way as you did, I didn't find the writers to be critical of how the intelligence analysts did their job.

They did however draw an equivalence in terms of a "policy fight" between the analysts and the Cheneyites, and there's a potential problem with doing that. Because the fight was not fundamentally about policy, it was about the facts.

And that said, they give Fingar the last word:

As for Mr. Bolton's critique, "it [the Iran NIE] didn't say what he wanted it to say, I guess," Mr. Fingar says.

Bureaucrats often get harsh press - I know from personal experience - but I think this article is okay, indeed guys like Fingar look reasonable set against the Neocon hystrionics.

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I know they gave Fingar the last word, but it's common practice in journalism to put the information that you want people to take away closer to the top of the article. And what's at the top is the policy fight you mention. Sneaky, huh? Making people read the whole thing with an open mind!

"Bureaucrats" is, after all, a dirty word to movement conservatives.
'Cause everyone knows that "government isn't the solution, government is the problem.
Alis to note, the WSJ is a major organ/mouthpiece of the movement conservatives.

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gonzone

but apparently 'bureaucrats" in the private sector like the insurance industry are benign.

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Right--just good people supporting America by doing their business in her.

That didn't come out quite like I meant it, but I'm going to leave it up.

I wonder what happens to good bureaucrats when they go into government. Do they grow fangs?

I am curious to hear what Larry found so particularly offensive about this article.

Agreed, just so long as you're not an evil government career civil servant, you're golden.

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gonzone,

I was a squad leader during WWII, to the Forces of Wingnuttery I guess that made me a Government Bureaucrat.

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I thought I remembered something about Solomon, I did;


http://www.tpmmuckraker.com/archives/002121.php

he's finally gone home, to the Washington Times.

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that's john solomon, not jay.

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I stand corrected,

thanks, zkosmo.

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Unfortunately, to this casual observer of NIEs, the whole history of them and the way they are "crafted" leads me to suspect them all. They are worked up by (previously) anonymous experts in secret on a sporadic and selective basis, and then secretly manipulated by politicians for their own imperialistic benefit. According to Newsweek, Bush has openly said (to Israelis) that he disagrees with the most recent one.

It seems to me that, in a perfect world, there would be an annual intelligence appraisal on all of the country's potential threats, this report then being publicized so that the American people and their elected representatives could make intelligent decisions on defensive measures. No more of this leaking of NIEs (as in 2002) or arbitrary decisions to release (2006). Release of unclassified reports would be automatic. There is no valid reason to classify intelligence on foreign threats.

The United States is now under at least three "national emergencies" declared by the president -- WMDs, terror and Iran. Are these "emergencies" warranted by intelligence findings? Or are they just merely the basis for domestic repression. The American public needs to know. We need a better return on the billions of dollars being spent on intelligence in this democracy.

ecotourism
WeGoEco.com

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On rereading the WSJ article, I find it has the typical slightly airhead (or cautious) reporter's slant of speaking in terms of a two-sided game. But anyone reading it really carefully finds the facts are there. I'd rate this as "passable" reporting. Real in-depth investigative reporting makes it clearer who has the facts on their side. (E.g., the Fallows and Pollack articles in The Atlantic, Jan./Feb. 2004.)

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