From Concord, NH: Obama's Music
While Concord High School looks brand new (or at least recently renovated), the gym reminds me of the gym from Back to the Future: old flannel banners line the walls, lots of iron supports criss-cross the ceiling, golden wooden bleachers flank the sides. It was a slice of Americana, and today, the second stop of the Obama campaign’s New Hampshire return.
Four years ago, I was in a different gym in some town in New Hampshire whose name escapes me to see that year’s Iowa winner, John Kerry. Then as in now, the place was packed. Then as in now, the elite of the media elite were there (Bob Schieffer, EJ Dionne, Ron Brownstein, Maureen Dowd – who bummed a stick of Orbit off of me -- Al Hunt, Rick Hertzberg, to name a few). Then as in now, everyone went to see the conquering Midwest hero.
But the differences were stark.
First, I saw no Burberry scarves; you know the ones: tan with the distinctive tartan pattern. In 2004, it was as if I made a wrong turn and ended up in Aspen or Louisburg Square. In Concord today, the crowd was generally local; middle and upper-middle class folks who actually looked like the people you may see browsing the aisles of your local Borders or grabbing a sandwich at the Panera just off Route 93 (where I sit as I write this). Not working-class, but not many people who prepped with the candidate’s cousin either.
Second, and most importantly, in 2004, Kerry was hitting the right notes – Iraq, health care, education, etc. – but had no music. In 2008, Obama has the music. His speech today, which closely mirrored what he said last night, is a coherent argument about what is wrong with America (we are divided), and what needs to change (unite and bring about change). “The size of our challenges has outgrown the capacity of our politics to deal with them,” Obama said. As Roger Simon notes, Obama is inspirational. If you listen carefully you can tell the buttons he is trying to push, but unlike many other politicians’ speeches of the past few years, you don’t feel as if the speech was written off of the latest poll (although its contents were almost certainly tested). That is, the buttons aren’t readily apparent. It’s music, not a random collection of notes.
To put a finer point on it, Obama is very skillfully making his case for where we are in American history, what comes next, and why he is the person to take us there – something every presidential candidate must do. His reprised his litany from the end of last night’s speech about great moments in American history where hope prevailed (the Revolution, civil rights movement, etc); which explicitly links his campaign into the sweep of American life. That’s what Reagan did; it’s what Bill Clinton did; and it’s even what George W. Bush did. In short, it’s what presidents do.
Also to Obama’s credit, the speech is much more about the audience, and less about him – “I believe in you” is his explanation for why he decided to run. And unlike last night’s victory speech, an address in which the “notes” were faint, today he hit the issues a bit harder. He got into some specifics about his health care plan, covered a range of issues from Darfur to CAFE standards, but he did not mention the name of one piece of legislation. As a speechwriter, I say: good for him.
Add to all of that, Obama looked comfortable up there – something that we all expect, but forget how rare it is until one sees it again in person. He opened up his speech by calling up the two young people who organized the rally, praising them, and kidding with the crowd about how he had to work as hard as they and all the organizers do. It was a very genuine moment.
Like others, I don’t want to get overwhelmed with the moment and swept into the frenzy for Obama. But, from my highly predictive focus group of New Hampshire voters (the guy at the car rental desk at the airport; the elderly couple and their daughter who sat behind me at lunch; and a woman walking her dog down the block from the high school), New Hampshire has some Obamania. And from the media folks I spoke with, they feel his mo-jo; they are impressed with it; and they can’t for the life of them figure out how Hillary can overcome it.
I will write more about that later.
Now, I have to go find my hotel, and then off to the 100 Club dinner in Milford where all the Democratic candidates will speak.










I was struck by something in his speech last night that I haven't seen commented on yet. That is he spoke at the podium with no conspicuous faces behind and the clear center of attention.
Hillary on the other had shared the stage with many others the most obvious being just to her left Billy boy and just to her right, most inexplicable of all, Madeleine Albright.
Obama said I am running to be the leader, Hillary seemed to say that she is running to be committee chair. That couldn't have her could it?
January 4, 2008 1:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is regarding last night-I was not in Concord. It was a brilliant speech which effortlessly linked this moment to conspicuous moments in history and which did, as you say, was coherent. The notion of a candidate with a coherent narrative is basically foreign to democrats. Clinton came rather close in 92, but as good a communicator as he is, this man is far better.
I am unapologetically swept up. Haven't felt this good about politics in many, many, many years.
``...Stand still. The forest knows
Where you are. You must let it find you.''
from `Lost' by David Wagoner
January 4, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
obama's "music" is as bland and unconvincing as Creed's. i think it was jon stewart who said of Creed: "making CDs for people who like to buy stuff". or something like that.
kinda how i feel about obama.
i'm not buying the 'music' he's selling. because the problem isn't that "we" are "divided". that's a "problem" that obama has invented so that he can sell us the "solution". nothing more than snake oil and inert 'tonics' if you ask me.
January 4, 2008 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I disagree a little bit. I think he really believes what he's talking about. And I like his talk. I am just not convinced he has the "action" part in him. After all we need "fight" more than we need "hope" to deal with the aftermath of the republican misrule.
And all this talk about unity smacks of liebermanism to me, just like it struck you.
January 4, 2008 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
but i think his talk about 'hope' is part and parcel of his talk about 'unity'. i don't think the two can be separated. his argument, as i understand it, pretty much comes down to 'partisanship' being somehow the opposite of 'hope' (since it's supposedly an obstacle to 'change').
January 4, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
but i think his talk about 'hope' is part and parcel of his talk about 'unity'. i don't think the two can be separated.
Naturally it is, but it's because of the utopian aspects of both. Hope is a necessary component of unity because perfect unity is not possible, so "hope" serves as the engine toward this perpetually inchoate goal. The more he focuses on "hope" the less he has to enumerate specific things, keeping things nice, fuzzy and malleable. The things he talks about in this vein are things that he cannot be held to.
January 4, 2008 9:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh baloney. Nice try at a totally vapid smear job "manys."
Obama has all his policies, in detail, on his web site. The economy, healthcare reform, Iraq, Energy & Environment, and plenty more.
ObamaIssues
January 4, 2008 9:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Reading this comment and kosmik's further comments down the thread, I would have to ask:
If kozmik is for Obama, is that a good enough reason in itself to oppose Obama ??
January 5, 2008 12:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
LOL! Well said featherfamily; you are hardly alone, believe me. Take my advice: when some of the "take my way or the highway" folks on here start to irritate your sensibilities, take a stroll through Freeper land or some reasonable facsimile thereof and you will be reminded and then some about why you are here in the first place. And if Obama is the Dem nominee, and if you are an old-fashioned pragmatic Democrat like me, you will support Obama with vigor. Hang in there and remember, regardless of the rancor and the in-fighting and the pettiness that the anonymity of posting on the interenet permits, what happened in Iowa on Thursday on the Democratic side was historic and something we should all be proud of. Don't let the "kozmiks" of the world ruin what is your party as much as it is his or hers.
Bruce
January 5, 2008 8:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
what??? why? why should i be 'proud' that obama won when i don't support obama? what does that even mean?
January 5, 2008 1:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
zkosmo:
Hey, whatever rocks your boat. I think a record turnout with lots of young people voting for the first time is something to be proud of, and I think that the victory of an African American in a state with Iowa's demographics is historic and also something to be proud of. And, fwiw, I'm not committed to Obama either.
Bruce
January 5, 2008 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
ok, i'll buy that.
i find that part kind of offensive. implicit in the notion that voting for a black candidate if you're white is something you ought to be especially proud of is the notion that a candidate's race is a legitimate reason to vote for them.
January 5, 2008 5:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Zkosmo, I'm not talking about any particular voter's choice, black or white. In fact, I hope all voters feel a sense of pride in their electoral choices. I'm saying, however, that the results in Iowa are a testament to where we've come from in this country (regardless of what happens). Zkosmo, you're not going to dispute that we've had a three hundred plus year history of turbulent race relations in this country, are you?
January 5, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think you guys are too cynical for your own good.
Lieberman (despicable, I agree totally) used the idea of unity to excuse his cozying up to Bush and company.
And god knows we have plenty of people who use unity as a vacuous concept that is supposed to rally people -- apple pie and motherhood, but without so much substance.
But I think Barack is using the unity theme to redraw the map, refocus the country on the economy, health care, the war, and a bunch of progressive issues that test well but which Democrats have for a generation not succeeded in getting people to vote on and put together a winning majority. I see the potential for a realignment where Obama brings back the Reagan Democrats and more, around the economy, health care, energy and the environment, etc. It's a bit of judo where he uses the overreaching partisanship of the Rovian Republicans against them, and they are caught helplessly off balance.
I'm as partisan a Democrat as they come, on the left wing of the possible, as Harrington used to say, and pretty hard-bitten in my politics, I'm not some mush-headed person, by the way. What I think Krugman and company miss when they criticize Obama's call for unity is that what you say and do is very different if you are running for president (or are president) and if you are in Congress. I'd be very suspicious of a congressional candidate (Lieberman or anyone else) who called for unity. There is no unity with the Repubs in Congress, obviously. They need to be destroyed. But as President, you try to unify the country against the conservative forces in Congress.
January 4, 2008 3:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
So here's the thing. Where are Obama's liberal credentials? You either have the Krugman view that government works best when restraining corporate power or you don't, because in the absence of government restraint, corporate interests use government to magnify their power, as in the current era of Bush II. Which is a disaster for everyone, even the corporate interests in the long term.
I see Obama only running to the right of Hillary and especially Edwards on this most important point. And that's where he loses me.
I don't need someone who is going to run to the right and dog whistle to the intellectual left giving them nothing but words, much as Bush dog whistled to the evangelical right and provided them with just as much bupkus.
I love the oratory but I need some kind of evidence somewhere that he has any intentions at all of following up on those left dog whistles. Hopefully you or someone else can make that case.
So far it's been "trust me". And I am long out of trust.
smacfarl
http://reddit.com/user/smacfarl/
January 4, 2008 4:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you. It appears to me that Obama has been running on ghosts of policies, designed mostly to be distanct from those of Hillary and Edwards rather than to really work.
He lost me when he inserted the right-wing points about the imaginary Social Security crisis into the campaign. Then the other day he attacked both Hillary's and Edward's health care proposals because they included mandates. Universal coverage without either mandates or taxpayer provided single payer health care is impossible. He's running against universal health care!
I'd make an even money bet right now that Obama will be the Democratic nominee. But if he will not realistically support universal health care I won't vote for him. Not once he defeats the Democratic candidates for the nomination who are for some form of universal health care. I'll even work to defeat him.
Right now it appears that the two most charming candidates (Huckabee and Obama) are leading. But I don't vote on charm. I simply don't trust it.
Like you, I ran out of trust a long time ago.
I wonder if Nadar will run again.
January 4, 2008 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nader? You are a total loser.
January 4, 2008 4:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Obama runs against universal health care as the Democratic nominee then all of America are losers.
Again.
As they have been since Truman tried to get Universal health care back in 1948.
January 4, 2008 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Excuse me while I butt in, Rick, how have the Dems done since Truman on universal health care? This issue has gone nowhere. Did Edwards and Clinton proposed this in the Senate and I missed it--or are they now pandering for votes without any action behind the words?
I'll take the legislation to move us toward universal healthcare without the damned mandate; you and others like you apparently want the whole apple or nothing. I disagree completely.
Dust off those damned Democratic Party policies that have public (translation: voter) support and get the legislation moving. That is the promise that Obama makes.
January 4, 2008 6:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
The mandate is the poison pill for suckers.
Mandates are disastrous and corporate interests know it plays right into their hands. the Massachusets mandate has been a disaster. No child left behind is a disaster. Mandates are easy to sabotage.
All they have to do is sabotage the implementation and stick the public with a lousy mandate and botched implementation, to sour the public on HC reform for another decade or more. And that's if they can even pass mandates, which is unlikely, and many Congress people will balk at them.
Just the way the Clintons poisoned it last time, while passing NAFTA, deregulation, and everything corporate interests wanted.
Edwards probably doesn't know any better being a populist, and neither do his supporters.
January 4, 2008 6:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do share concerns about the injection of social security into the debate, but note two features of this which I have not seen discussed widely here.
1) It is a major concern of young people. I have talked to plenty of reasonable people 30 and under who just assume (without having looked deeply at the evidence) that social security will be gone when they come of age. Hence, as a political strategy, it is about appealing to the young, who have anxiety about health care but not obviously as much as older American or those with families. I could be wrong about this, but I think that this could be a component of his strategy. I note that Bush tried this as well, but his transparent effort to raid the coffers was quickly recognized as theft and abandoned.
2) Obama is expressing concern about social security without offering privatization (rather, he focuses simply upon maintaining solvency through increased limits on payroll deductions). This is easily explained and understood, I believe.
OK, if the republican congress was in power and Barack was espressing this, it would be a ``Danger Will Robinson'' moment. Instead we are facing a democratic congress with a likely increased majority. Hence, as a simply explained exercise in upping the cap on deductions to render the system solvent, he can a) actually solve a problem, albeit one that is down the road, and (b) ensure that the public understands no coffer raiding is required.
Moreover, he pulls in the youth.
I have concerns, but think that the generic response of Krugman and left blogistan are a bit overblown.
``...Stand still. The forest knows
Where you are. You must let it find you.''
from `Lost' by David Wagoner
January 4, 2008 10:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I see Obama only running to the right of Hillary and especially Edwards on this most important point."
You naysayers on these blogs are as vague in your unsupported claims that Obama is running to the right of Edwards and Clinton(!)as you generally accuse Obama of being.
Let me make it simple for you:
1) wanting to privatize Social Security = rightwing - wanting to insure its long term solvency by raising the cap on payroll taxes = not rightwing;
2) criticizing trial lawyers because they file frivolous lawsuits and make America less competitive = rightwing - criticizing trial lawyers by saying that you chose public interest law instead = not rightwing;
3) wanting to achieve universal health care by providing additional tax breaks to people already able to afford their own insurance = rightwing - offering a workable program of subsidies and the option to choose government provided insurance that lacks a mandate requiring adults to purchase their own health insurance = not rightwing;
4) voting in favor of a preemptive war against a supposed enemy on manfactured intelligence = rightwing - opposing such a war even though many members of you political party find it politically expedient to do so = not rightwing.
Get it?
January 4, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Single payer cannot be passed, so the perfect becomes the enemy of the good. That leaves the subsidy plan. But what happens when someone choses no health care and gets ill or has an accident? Someone pays for charity care, or we shove them to the curb and let them die.
If the subsidy plan gets passed with no mandate, I want the "curb" option made law.
The alternative is if they accept health care paid by government, mandatorily enroll them in the government plan and tax them for the premiums at 150% the rate of anyone else, and if they die and still haven't reimbursed for the cost of their health care, the government gets first call on their estate.
If the option for universal health care exists, then there is no room for Free Riders, just as there is no room for Free Riders when is comes to getting national defense or the benefits of the police and the courts. You opt in by living in the United States, you opt out by leaving. That's the choice you make. The costs and benefits come as a package.
January 4, 2008 5:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I understand the argument. I just think that claiming that failure to include mandates in a plan seeking to greatly broaden the availability of health care for people (and which, by all estimates, will do so) may be a legitimate policy difference, and Obama's plan may be inferior for that reason. It is simply not a difference between "left" and "right", whether the estimable Paul Krugman describes it as so or not.
January 4, 2008 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's absurd. Have you really bought into this nonsense people don't want medical?
Here's a reality check:
1) Mandates aren't free politically. Talking about mandates, and actually doing them, are two entirely different things. Mandates come with huge political cost, and can be a poison pill to any reform. Which could stop reform for another decade or more, just like last time. mandates can also be hugely beneficial to insurers, as it will allow them to jack up rates while the government program is hobbled, as they've done in Mass under mandates.
2) 85% of America is presently insured, even at absurd rates. The 15% that are uninsured at any given moment aren't the same people as at other times, becasue they fall in and out. As much as the lower income 50% of Americans have HCI sporadically or in danger. NOT BY CHOICE. Many of them lose insurance with work, or are forced out by plans who actively cull sick people. Meaning, they are people who want insurance but can't afford it.
3) Rates for a household can easily be into several hundred dollars a month, and more if there are pre-existing conditions, who are also the people insurers force out.
4) 20% of American households make $0 to $18.5K/year.
5) 20% of households make between $18.5 and $35K.
6) Virtually 100% of Americans want catastrophic and preventative insurance. Much of the lower 40% of the households are already paying through the nose, which shows how much people want medical insurance.
7) It's just a matter of cost.
Meaning, we don't need mandates. Mandates don't help, they're a poison pill.
All that's needed is to allow Medicare to compete with private insurers, and to legislate regulation ending cherry picking and force outs, make plans portable, and allow Medicare to do negotiated drug buys. That will allow people to buy into affordable plans, lower drug costs,and force private insurers into a shrinking market, which will cause investors to flee for greener pastures, like supplemental care for the rich.
We don't need mandates at first. It's a poison pill. They've been disastrous in Massachusetts.
People need to think, not be suckers for all the populist spin, and get hoodwinked again just like in the 90's.
January 4, 2008 7:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem of a pay or play system, with mandatory coverage for pre-existing conditions, without a mandate, is the same as if car insurance companies were forced to offer car insurance that could not exclude pre-existing damage. Many people would wait until they had an accident, and sign up then.
As I understand it, Obama's response is some system of penalty that discourages that freeloading behavior. If it is effective enough to eliminate that freeloading behavior, it is a mandate ... so it will either be a mandate in disguise, or will be not entirely effective at eliminating freeloading ...
... or (most likely) both, with the effort to create a de facto mandate that cannot be labeled a mandate resulting in something that is less effective than if it could be honest about what it was.
January 4, 2008 7:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama has worked for progressive causes in the trenches. Importantly, he opposed the invasion of Iraq, something that Hillary and Edwards did not. He called Hillary out on her foreign policy attitude of giving the country information on a "need to know" basis - just like the corporate executives advised me when I worked for them years ago. And as far as the unity theme goes, what he's saying (and to his credit, although I'm not a social conservative, creationist, Huckabee too) is that people in the US basically aren't divided on a lot of things: we want to take care of business at home, we don't want an empire but we do want defense, we want to alleviate poverty, we want to overcome racism, we want to overcome barriers. He doesn't seem to me to be a "corporatist" - most of his money has been raised by individuals, rich and poor. I was an Edwards supporter, but when you actually look at his voting record, he fails. So does Hillary. So???? Prove your case.
January 4, 2008 4:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's amazing people claim Edwards is so right on, when he lined up and voted for the Iraq resolution, which he defended all through 2004, and then flipped on recently.
He talks all this populist stuff, but where's the actual proof, and compared to whom?
Edwards makes it sound like he's from extreme poverty. No, his dad was a textile mill worker, but was made supervisor. And that was in the era of pretty good pay for blue collar labor.
He makes himself sound like a lifelong hero of the people motivated by his family's plight. No, his early legal career was defending corporate interests.
Then he realized how much money there was in class action law suits when he one a big case for $3.5M. Some of his first big pay days were to sue the Red Cross, three times. From there he's been on the bandwagon as people's advocate, but also racks in the pay in multi-million dollar settlements.
Which is fine and all, but I don't get the populist hero routine. He's very ambitious and very rich, that we know for certain.
And Obama by comparison graduated from Columbia with BA in foreign affairs, and then Harvard Law magna cum laude after being the first black editor in for the Harvard Review in "107 years" of history. Much better credentials than Edwards ever had, yet Obama turned down offers to work for high power lawfirms, and went straight into community work for issues like healthcare reform, childcare, ethics reform, and voting rights.
No big paydays for helping individuals lucky enough to get to court. No ambulance chasing. No high rolling corporate law forms. Just community service ans legislation effecting the lives of all Illinois people.
People need to get real about who worked for the people, for politcal reform, and motivations.
January 4, 2008 7:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, you are saying that he graduated from Harvard angling straight for a career in politics vis community organizing, was an experienced state legislator when he won his seat in the Senate, and the best way to fight the war he could come up with when he got to the Senate was to fund the war and buy into the Republican talking points that the Congress exercising their Constitutional authority of the purse is equivalent to the Congress "not supporting the troops"?
On the other hand, it was a kick ass speech that he gave on Thursday.
January 4, 2008 7:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh get real. It would be suicide and totally counter productive to try and have ended the war by defunding it. That's a fool's errand.
January 4, 2008 9:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I liked the fact that Edwards based his campaign on relieving poverty and supported him early on, but you're absolutely right, kozmik, that he really doesn't have a political track record standing for the things he's basing his campaign on. If he could win, that would be one thing, but if I really wanted to support an underdog with whom I shared beliefs, I'd support Kucinich.
January 4, 2008 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
What DD said.
People need to get real.
The Edwards supporters calling Obama naive and idealistic, are projecting, big time. Edwards is going to be out of the race soon, and he and his supporters should have the grace and sense to go in a way which helps the issues, not egotistically pulling a Nader.
The people who claim to be Edwards supporters who then back Hillary, are just liars and Hillary supporters all along, or utterly clueless.
January 4, 2008 9:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I couldn't agree with Ann H more.
I think what those of us who are "tapped in" to politics (sometimes to our detriment) often lose sight of is the fact that "Washington, DC" is not "America". When I hear Barack Obama talk about hope and unity, I don't think he's talking to the Senate Minority leader. I don’t think he’s trying to build a coalition with Duncan Hunter. I don't think he's "reaching across the aisle". He's talking to real people, and in this case, I don't even think he's primarily talking to those of us who are blogging and commenting and trolling and flaming (and I'm not sure we're "real people" sometimes, but I digress). I don't think he has this pie in the sky notion that he's going to convince Rush or Hannity or O'Reilly to sing from the mountaintops about strengthening the middle class or marching on the White House to bring the troops home from Iraq because he's not talking to them.
In a nutshell, Obama moves me because I think he's trying to actually change the dialogue here. I think he's making a nationwide effort to "reframe the debate," as the expression goes, but on a host of issues and on a national scale. He's moving the goal posts in a positive way by changing what people think of as “centrist”. I think his oratory is an effort to marginalize the hate mongers by appealing to people's desire for America to be great; he's trying to use patriotism (a positive trait) to diminish nationalism (a negative trait). I think he's making an effort to communicate with actual people and remind them of who they want to be and what they actually want this country to stand for. There are plenty of people in America who are good, honest, God-fearing, moderately conservative people who aren't happy with where we're headed right now, who aren't happy with Gitmo or Abu Ghraib, and who aren't snowed by Bush's false conservatism, Romney’s plastic head, Huck’s “awww, shucksism,” or Rudy's 9/11 Tourette's. I know those people exist because I've worked with them and broken bread with them, and even lived with them. Obama seems to understand that they exist and he seems to understand that we are better as a nation when they stand with progressives to make the country better.
Progress isn’t about moving full speed ahead without giving a damn if anyone agrees with you. Leadership isn’t about communicating only with people who already support what you believe in. If the Democratic nominee is going to get elected, it will only happen with the support of people who aren’t the heart of the TPM constituency. If the Democratic President is going to get a damned thing done without a supermajority, it will only happen with political carrots and sticks. It will only happen with ideas that are appealing and the will to get the Susan Collinses and Olympia Snowes of the world to do what is right for America. If you can’t go directly to the so-called moderate Republicans, you have to turn up the heat on them by pointing it out every single time they stand to the right of the coalition you’ve built. In order to do that, you actually have to have a coalition of real people in place in a lot of different places who actually care enough to call and write letters and raise hell. If you think HRC is the best candidate to build such a coalition, you have every right to volunteer for her, donate to her campaign, vote for her, etc. If you’ve seen John Edwards inspire what Obama is inspiring in people, show me. I’d love to see it too. The better the field is, the better each individual needs to be in order to earn the nomination. For my time, my money, and my emotional investment, Barack Obama is my candidate.
January 4, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
.
I live in a traditional conservative area of this red state. Traditional in the sense you describe. I had many discussions with those traditional conservatives (Republican and Democrat) in 2004 who expressed what you describe in anguished tones. Then they went into the voting booth and punched the chad to put Bush/Cheney back in office. Pretty much every single one if I read the statistics correctly. Terror terror terror and gays won out over the Constitution - that and the "death tax". So I really need an explanation of exactly how Obama's theory is going to work in that environment because I haven't seen anything convincing yet on how he will convince those people AND remain true to the Constitution.
.
sPh
January 5, 2008 7:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
In total agreement, sPh.
The Kentucky county I live in is near Louisville, the fastest-growing county in the state, affluent, with lots of out-of-staters -- so you'd think it'd be at least as liberal as the nearby city. But the county votes overwhelmingly in every election for the Republicans, and everyone seems convinced that only Bush's presence in the White House has prevented terrorist attacks on Kentucky these six years. (OTOH, judging from the huge number of Hummers and oversized SUVs registered to county residents, global warming seems not to worry them at all.)
These people dismiss as "weak" and "a joke" any bipartisan attempt by Democrats in Congress. Why should anyone think that Obama's "unity" message will affect them any differently?
January 5, 2008 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, he's not going to get all of them, obviously. We just need 50% plus 1 for starters-- and then if you get 52% or 55% you get mandate momentum. Of course there is a solid red mass out there who are not coming over, and we wouldn't really want them to, either, because they'd move the center to the right. I want Obama to unify 55% of the country, get a mandate from people who tell pollsters they believe every American should have health care, and would be willing to pay for it. 55% would enable him to force action from Congress, even without 60 Dems in the Senate. That's what I want, and what I think he has more potential to do than Hillary or Edwards.
Don't get me wrong, if Hillary or Edwards win the nomination, I will support them like crazy -- but I think Obama is positioning himself for a governing majority -- in public opinion -- that he will be able to do good things with. I'm from Illinois, I watched him as a State Senator, I know he's good but not perfect, we will need to organize to make sure we push him as far left as possible-- but he's damn good. And we'd have to push Edwards or Clinton just as much if not more. That's how politics works.
January 5, 2008 3:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re: unity...Obama is speaking during the Democratic primaries. Not in a general election. So what gives?
January 6, 2008 2:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Brilliant insight, zkosmo, and, of course, it's right out of Rove's playbook. Works especially well when you have a voting populace that really doesn't pay attention or that receives all its information from corporate-controlled media.
January 4, 2008 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see what was especially brilliant about parroting the tired idea that Obama is somehow selling a story, devoid of any real belief.
Politicians in Presidential elections spout all manner of focus-group tested messages in the hope of telling America what it wants to hear. Bush's "compassionate conservativism" being just the latest, and probably the most insincere. It seems foolish to knock Obama for his message of hope and unity given his history. His story has the benefit of being consistent from start to finish, so why doubt him now?
January 4, 2008 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
the problem isn't obama's sincerity, the problem is obama's diagnosis and prescription.
the problem is NOT that 'we are divided'.
so the cure is NOT 'hope' and 'unity'.
it doesn't matter if obama developed these ideas in a laboratory or picked 'em in his garden or pulled 'em from a focus group.
what's important isn't whether or not obama believes in his ideas, what's important is whether his ideas are TRUE.
and they aren't.
January 4, 2008 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
In fact, the problem is partially that we are "divided". Not that R's and D's are being too partisan-- but that Dems need a leader who can pull together a governing majority (in Congress and in public opinion). I think Hillary and Edwards both (maybe Edwards less than Hillary)have trouble with this-- and I think it is a big slog for either one to pass legislation in the currently divided Congress. Obama I think can break through this.
I see more gridlock ahead with Hillary. I like a fight as much as anyone, if I think it is moving in the right direction, and progress will be made-- but I think Hillary would be four more years of fighting without much result. Or more likely, that she will triangulate just like Bill to pass stuff that we won't like, no matter what she is saying now.
And hope as Obama uses the word is the opposite of fear, as has been peddled by the right wing. Anyone who gets us out of that rut is good by me-- and Obama is the only one who opposed the war from the beginning, who I think will take foreign policy in a signficantly different direction. I don't think Hillary will be signficantly different from Bush on Iraq. Obama will.
I'm not thrilled with Obama's health care plan -- hell, I wish they were all for single payer -- but I think he has a better chance of rallying the country behind something reasonably solid and getting it through Congress than either Hillary (I don't think she can do it) or Edwards.
January 4, 2008 5:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
based on WHAT??
hasn't he been in a position to do just that as a senator? what does he have to show for it? what has he done?
January 4, 2008 5:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
He and Dick Lugar passed an important non-proliferation bill that might make my son's future just a little bit safer. Of course, he could have chosen the much more productive course of impotent blogospheric ranting.
January 4, 2008 6:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
ok, he helped pass a bill.
good job.
obama is obviously the cure for the partisan gridlock that has poisoned our once great nation.
January 4, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's position is that the majority of the electorate is not bitterly divided. And he is starting to prove that he can draw together a different coaltion of voters behind the Democratic Party and behind him. The primary will allow us to see if he can do this; Iowa certainly shows that he can draw in disparate groups of folk.
The second position is more important. I do think the problem in WDC, and our resulting gridlock for too damned long, has been the partisanship practiced by the Democrats and the Republicans--in Washington. Obama plans, if elected as President, to speak directly to the American electorate who put him in office and ask for their help against a recalcitrant Congress who fails to enact legislation.
I think this will work. You may disagree. But I am damned tired of WDC politicians and pundits deciding what needs to be enacted--or doesn't need to be enacted because it isn't "good enough".
January 4, 2008 6:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
put together, these two positions are even more underwhelming than i first imagined.
hmmm... so obama's position is: "i can win"?
democrats should find the second 'position' as offensive as it is boring and vacuous.
here's how i see things: the democrats are right, the republicans are wrong. the democrats haven't been able to do what's right because the republicans have prevented them from doing it. because the dems in congress - obama included - haven't stood tall enough or strong enough.
pandering to republicans and people who don't like politics by blaming democrats is a crock that i completely reject. you may disagree.
January 4, 2008 6:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's a difference between pandering to Republicans, and uniting the country in favor of Democratic progressive values. Obama was a community organizer, which means that he actually had to help change the minds of real, sometimes eccentric, sometimes uncooperative people. In other words, he uses rhetoric and skills at unifying people to bring Independents and Republicans around to a common cause that Democratic progressives have been working for. We're not talking about Joe Lieberman or David Broder. We're talking about someone who can bring good people around to thinking about things in a constructive, logical way - which leads to progressive politics.
January 4, 2008 7:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
.
And as I asked over on DailyKos, having done some of that work myself and known many who have broken themselves doing it, I would really like to see some solid examples of what community organizing has changed in Chicago since the 1960s. The entire city is firmly in the grip of the Daley machine and they laugh at the people who think they are making a difference in the small organizations. If any such organizer does get anywhere the machine invites him to show fealty and join - which is more-or-less what Obama did in order to get elected to the state legislature.
.
sPh
January 5, 2008 6:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
This guy zkosmo is just trolling and flaming. Childish rants.
January 4, 2008 9:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
re: "impotent blogospheric ranting"
good one. boy, you got me there. how dare i bother talking politics when i'm just some nobody voter.
just so you know, i wasn't comparing obama to ME. so my blogospheric ranting, impotent or otherwise, really has nothing to do with whether or not there are concrete reasons to buy into his rhetoric.
January 4, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I replied to the wrong Ann H post, obviously, but if she wants to run for something, I'd be happy to start canvassing on her behalf in Maryland!
January 4, 2008 8:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, then we can't hope for any kind of honesty in what a politician represents. That's kind of a low standard, isn't it? You see, what I'm looking for is the kind of politician who doesn't depend on focus-group tested messages to set their agenda. Even if it means a politican would come right out and admit they were wrong about something they did earlier, like say, vote for the war authorization. It just seems, like, honest. Real. Instead of the vagueness of "hope" and "unity."
January 6, 2008 2:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let's face it. If we were to hire a CEO to head the Executive Branch of government based on his resume (which the functioning world does) rather than crowning a daydream, we'd opt for Richardson.
We ignore background checks at our peril. George makes the point.
January 5, 2008 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
One thing I'll have to say for Obama, especially as the post describes him: he talks a lot. He and Edwards can both gear people up or offend people by what they say. Obama's ticked off even people I agree with, like Krugman and some members here, even if I've argued they much overstate the conservatism of what he says. This is in stark contrast to Clinton, who ticks off people by saying as little as possible. (I can't ever imagine her gabbing on ad lib like her husband, much less in the substantive rhetoric of Obama or Edwards.)
And she came up disappointing in the caucus. Does this mean we can finally put to rest the Democratic gurus wanting poll driven campaigns?
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
January 4, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama didn't tick off Krugman.
Krugman is ticked off anyone is challenging the Clintons, who are, and have been for over a decade, his patron saints that he's automatically endorsed and defended on both the good and the bad. All that is good and bad about the Clintons is also reflected in Krugman. They're tied at the hip.
In fact, Krugman was expected to get a position in the Clinton WH in 92, but was deemed more valauable for his continued endorsements. Which he provided, on everything from NAFTA to deregulation, while he was also a consultant to ENRON for $45K.
Krugman isn't this wonderful, progressive, independent, intellect that some people imagine. He's a player. He's very closely tied to the Clintons. He's been a big proponent of deregulation and flirts dangerously close to romanticism of laissez faire in all the wrong ways, just as the DLC and Third Way types are generally prone to.
And again, it was Clinton deregulation that brought us ENRON, NAFTA, and such, with Krugman's 110% endorsement. Krugman has been good on some issues, but always remember he has another side too.
January 4, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Funny you should spin all these tales, because Krugman endorsed Edwards over Hillary.
Now, I'd like to see you 'splain that.
January 4, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're both wrong. New York Times columnists aren't allowed to endorse anyone; Krugman has endorsed neither Hillary nor Edwards.
At the beginning, he was writing favorable things about Edwards because Edwards was the only major candidate with a decent health care plan. He warmed to Hillary after she came out with a comparable plan.
He has said in the past that he liked Bill Clinton's policies but not his triangulating politics -- which is consistent with his recent criticism of Barack Obama for thinking that reconciliation with the right-wing is possible.
In other words, there's nuance here. Don't go around making claims based on nothing.
January 4, 2008 3:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nope. Regardless of official NYT policy, defacto and clear endorsements are common. Next you'll be telling me Bill Kristol isn't going to endorse hawks from the NYT pages, or that Brooks doesn't already.
Krugman clearly endorsed Edwards and Hillary. He's not stupid, and knows Edwards isn't going to win. And he has long ties to the Clintons. It's a Hillary endorsement.
The notion that Krugman got Hillary to steal Edwards' plan is laughable. Hillary and al candidates obviously needed a plan and couldn't campaign without one. She didn't need Krugman to tell her that, and Krugman knows that too.
And it remains a fact Krugman endorsed NAFTA. Not just endorsed, but championed, and vigorously defended NAFTA, in print and in talks, many times. Everybody with Clinton was onboard for NAFTA, by power of their persuasion and condition of patronage/employment. Krugman totally bought into free trade dogma, along with all the DLC types he's close with. He went as far as to ridicule people who raised alarms about NAFTA. Error in judgment or just outright patronage? Either way, not good.
Another example is the way Krugman backed deregulation all through the 90's, which directly led to the kind of energy trading markets that created ENRON, who then paid Krugman $45K to promote them, which he did. Again, vigorously.
There are plenty of other examples of his blind patronage to DLC policies, and being a sucker for watered down laissez faire.
Then you have Hillary sitting on the board of WALMART and other lousy corporations, and the fact she was a college Republican and Goldwater gal, and you see where they absorb all this economic hogwash, that Krugman is also inundated by.
That's the problem. The status quo these people represent is infested with ideology and talking points straight out of Wall Street. I didn't support NAFTA. Or deregulation. Though I do support trade and healthy market competition, deregulating utilities and lousy trade deals were clealry not in the interest of the American public.
Nobody I knew supported them except Republicans and DLC types. There were plenty of reasonable critics who accurately predicted the problems. But not many in Washington, not in the beltway. None in the DLC, New Democrat, Third Way types.
That's what the Clintons do: wrap corporate dogma and political mediocrity in democratic tokenism and push it on the public. They use proxies like Krugman, who are dazzled by them, to sell bad policy to the public.
Maybe he's a toady, maybe just a sucker. I don't know. He's good on occasion, but totally unrelibale, especialy when it comes to the Clintons. It's sad but true that Frank Rich and Bob Herbert have consistently better economic and political judgment than Krugman.
***
And speaking of accuracy, I'll thank you for substantiating where Obama claims he'll "reconcile with the Right wing." What he's said is that he wants to get moderate votes for common issues. Which is common sense. Only he actually seems capable of doing it.
For accuracy, do you claim Krugman hasn't supported NAFTA? Deregulation? Wasn't on ENRON's payroll for $45K for "consulting" that amounted to nothing, and smells a lot like payola for a player.
Where is this consistent progressive Krugman some people seem to imagine?
Sure, he attacks Bush, as a DLC proxy. But then he endorses many of the the same policies from the Clintons as Republicans would pass. He got on Bush for the housing bubble, at first, and then backpeddled away and took the Republican and DLC line that it really wasn't so bad.
He's tied at the hip to DLC economics, which are just watered down laissez faire with some social policy tokenism thrown in, which they usually fail to pass anyways.
January 4, 2008 11:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think we're confusing terms, here. An endorsement is an official announcement of support for a candidate over others. You can't endorse both Hillary and Edwards.
Moreover, I never said that Krugman is the reason Hillary came out with a health care plan. Indeed, I've never heard anyone make that claim. So I'm not sure whose argument you're finding laughable.
January 5, 2008 9:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are confusing the pre-Bush II Krugman with the post-Bush II Krugman. Krugman's Conscience of a Liberal shows he is more in line with Edwards than anyone else. If anything he is a rightfully concerned academic who woke up in late 2001 to throw off the mental chains the DLC bound us all in the late 90s.
Look closely at Obama and you will have as much concern as anyone. The choice before us is stark. Do we let an out of control corporate agenda continue from the Bush II years and grind us all under, or do we reverse that and make room for a saner FDR-like era where government restricts corporate malfeasance. If anything Obama is running to the right of Clinton on these issues, which is essential asking for another four years of what as Grover Norquist would call "date rape".
smacfarl
http://reddit.com/user/smacfarl/
January 4, 2008 3:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you out of your mind?
The Clinton who voted for Iraq? The Clinton who sat on WALMART's board? The Clinton who pushed NAFTA on Democrats despite much opposition, while real progressives protested in horror. Even Ross Perot was against NAFTA, a fairly conservative Libertarian, and it was Clinton who pummeled him on that issue and sold NAFTA to the public.
Get real. Have you even looked at the Clinton legislative record? Clinton and the DLC are economically to the right of Nixon. No joke. Aside from social issue tokenism, they're basically moderate Republicans. Joe Leiberman.
What did the Clintons do for the middle class? The environment?
Their legislative record is pro-Corporate and laissez-faire-lite. Many of Bush's economic policies, hawkish policies, and the unitary executive stuff, goes right back to Clinton.
Clinton claimed Saddam had a nuclear program and made "regime change" the policy. Clinton deregulated energy markets, banking, telecoms, and on and on. Clinton was for line item vetos and got them till it was ruled unconstitutional. Which Reagan had been for, and which helped lay the groundwork for Bush's signing statements and regal tendencies.
I could go on to list plenty more. You can't be a Democrat to the right of Clinton, becasue that's called a Republican.
January 6, 2008 3:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
That's one of the more unfortunate assumptions of our politics.
Being able to relate to people, and know what people really value, isn't just a politcal skill. It's called being human. Most people figure these things out to a varying degree in ordinary life, from dealing with family, coworkers, the community, and so on.
Not everyone is a gifted speaker or has Obama's resume and life experiences of course. But i do think Obama is actually more like most ordinary people than most politicians, in that he hasn't become so accustomed to power brokering, he can still remember what it's like to relate to ordinary folks. Especially becasue he comes out of grass roots community work, and there you have to be real.
That's one of the great ironies (tragedies?) of the beltway pundit class and other pols take on Obama. They think he's some kind of "magical negro" or "invisible man" or "incredibly talented politician" as Bill would say.
Sure, he's talented. And sure people like that he's not in everybody's face all the time like Sharpton. No duh.
But he's also just like my uncle in Ohio, who is just a genuinely nice, stand up, guy. Everybody likes him. He's white, knows just about all white people, but never had a racist bone in his body and has mixed relatives. He's a Democrat, a lifelong Union leader, Christinan but not really practicing, but not a hardliner partisan in any way. He's a pragmatist and all around decent person.
Or my aunt, who is another good person, very Christian, but also a pragmatist, and disillusioned with mixing politics and religion, and looking for a good practical leader. And she's also just a real nice person, who cares about many of the same issues as I do.
There are those people in the real world. Plenty of them. But they seem utterly lacking in politics.
Just watching the news the other night covering the Obama victory, it struck me how even the pundits on the same broadcast, were all kind of repeating each other in the echo chamber while taking petty little shots at each other. Which we mostly all do I guess, but it seems especially ramapant in politcs and the MSM, where it's all about power brokering, leverage, and undercutting each other.
There are plenty of exceptionally good stand up people in the real world. Any functional business, community, or family has them keeping things together and on course.
January 4, 2008 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's my tentative explanation. This year is about the end of the Reagan Revolution. It is over, and it has been a disaster for most Americans. The Press, however, has been reporting on the run up tot he primaries just like they have for the last three decades because all they know is horse-race coverage. They've never had to report a major "change" election, so they have been focusing on polls and the money primary and trying to put those things into the frame they've all operated on for their entire reporting career.
Only last night they were shown the the money primary meant nothing. Message trumped money in Iowa and the reporters don't know how to report on messages. Iowa threw them a major curve.
Worse, this election is ramping up to be one that is both against corporatism and against the political establishment, and the reporters are, themselves, representatives of the political establishment.
Today we have seen a great deal of confusion presented with great certainty from the Press. They are operating outside their expected frame, and don't really know how to do it.
Unfortunately, the populism that Huckabee and Edwards are expressing goes after the Press as much as the corporations and the two political parties, so the Press is going to quickly start working to shut down the populism and focus on the message from both Obama and Huckabee that much of the problem is disagreement and lack of civility between the politicians.
In so doing, the Press will protect themselves (they NEVER self-criticize) and they will be both missing and suppressing the real story which is the failure of the Reagan Revolution and the need to replace it with something more like the New Deal designed for the 21st Century.
This Summer's recession and inflation is going to make them even more confused, since the political reporters are as a group remarkably ignorant of economics.
That's what I think we saw today. The Press is confused because their usual methods of reporting have failed to identify the big changes that were reflected last night in Iowa, but they still have to report and sound certain. That is what that echo chamber effect was. They are simultaneously talking to their audience and trying to find out who has a message to works.
January 4, 2008 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
You got it exactly.
It's also that much of the current press evolved in the Reagan era environment, conforming to it's ideological demands and opportunities. At this point it's deeply ingrained. They're all huge corporations with a vested interest in deregulation and as much laissez faire as they can get, while still having a market to sell profitable "news media."
Yeah. And it doesn't need to be true, just whatever narrative is sensational and fits into a soundbite. SOS.
January 4, 2008 11:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I watched a great interview with Sy Hersh the other day, where he got into a discussion on "space" in the New Yorker, and how he always needed more for his insider scoops and analysis. I was thinking how great Sy Hersh is, and how for his age it's amazing how he's still so incredibly prolific and probably the best investigative writer around, with truly meaningful and relevant news and analysis.
I was also thinking how swell the Internet is, with unlimited virtual space.
January 4, 2008 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
That struck me last night too hearing him after Edwards. Edwards talks too much about his own story which also focuses on history while Obama has really made himself the candidate of the future.
Hillary also makes a mistake when she keeps reminding us of her 35 years of experience. Unless you are over 55, 35 years of experience makes you sound old.
January 4, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I actually just saw Hillary in an aircraft hangar in S. NH 8:30AM this morning. It was (-15 F) when we all left the house a little before 7:00 to get there. And I have to say her experience is a real plus.
The audience went crazy when she declared she was the only candidate that has demonstrated she can not only handle the modern republican attack machine, but get things done in that climate.
She not only declared that 2008 was going to be terrible economically, but that we needed to embrace the legacy of FDR and get ready for a knockdown drag out fight with those same interests that back the republican attack machine, to achieve any meaningful change ala healthcare and refocusing the economy domestically rather than in the Bush style revolving war tent that we find ourselves in.
She talked real policy, not imagery.
Admittedly she hasn't gotten into the three point rhetorical roll yet that Obama has found or that Bill has mastered, but she the only one with a plan and the ability to execute. Experience plays that in aces.
If she can work on different aspects of her stump, and get that preacher roll down she'll make up the "impressions" deficit.
Obama's 2004 DNC speech was awesome and similar to the one he's currently using. But it was Bill Clinton's simple 3 point take down at the 2004 DNC that won the day. If Hillary can produce a similar speech by the debate this weekend she will ride her NH victory to the nomination.
smacfarl
http://reddit.com/user/smacfarl/
January 4, 2008 3:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
So did Walter Mondale.
January 4, 2008 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
What has Hillary done in the face of the Republican attack machine? Vote for the Iraq war? Vote for a constitutional amendment against flag burning?
January 4, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Go to Obama's site and read his plan. Plenty of detail there, and good policies.
I'm sure Hillary is all for change, and populism, now. She's changier by the hour.
How about Hillary's active support for the invasion of Iraq along with the DLC? How come people like me and Obama suspected it was cooked, and knew about the IAEA and European reports, and yet Hillary supposedly didn't. How come people on the left had more sense on the issue the further they were from Washington echo chamber.
How about Bill's claim in his 1998 SOTU that Saddam Hussein was seeking nuclear weapons, which was bogus then too.
How about Bill's Iraq Liberation Act of 1998, which supported "regime change" and paved the way for the later Iraq War Resolution of 2002, which Hillary voted for.
How about Hillary's plan to keep nukes "on the table" in Pakistan and her criticism of Obama that he was "naive" for ruling it out. Have nukes ever been "on the table" for a tactical strike against terrorists, in a Muslim country, that is also nuclear armed. No. Hillary is nuts.
Her vote for PATRIOT, twice, including the original version which was especially egregious.
The Digital Millenium Copyright Act helped kill fair use and criminalizes reverse engineering even when there is no copyright violation, and was a complete giveaway to corporate lobbyists.
Deregulation of telecoms ownership, which continued consolidation which began under Reagan and has continued under GW Bush.
Expansion of the death penalty.
the Line Item Veto Act of 1996 which was overturned as unconstitutional, but which Clinton supported to give him unconstitutional legislative powers, which was an echo of Reagan's request for the same, which GW Bush has since taken as encouragement to abuse so badly with his signing statements.
How about the DLC, "New Democrats" and "Third Way" types whose biggest legislative accomplishment was NAFTA.
What's missing on that long list of legislative accomplishments? Or right, healthcare, or anything big for working Americans.
****
Yeah, real great leadership and experience Hillary's got. A real populist, if you have a good imagination, and squint real hard, and block out all the give aways to corporate lobbyists, and ignore the fact the DLC and New Democrats are adamantly against what they term as "traditional divides" between populism and the elites.
As Bill said on Charlie Rose "I want a candidate who's made some mistakes." And sure, he would, particularly if they were his mistakes, made in a deliberate and serial manner, on issues which his organization still endorses ideologically to this day, which all favored corporate interests.
January 5, 2008 12:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
one of the best capsule rebuttals to clintonism i've ever read made even more concise and credible absent gratuitous derision of other commenters or points or view however tempting.
January 5, 2008 11:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
i don't think anyone's denying that obama actually has detailed policy positions. i think what bugs people is that it isn't obama's policy positions that have everyone so excited about voting for obama. it isn't what he stands for that obama supporters talk about, it's how he makes them [i]feel[/i] that obama supporters are always going on about.
January 5, 2008 12:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're free to feel that.
That's not the reality of my support for Obama, or any Obama supporters I've met, nor does it discount the fact he has solid policies, laid out in detail, which are progressive, and practical, and which he's been able to mobilize a broad coalition for.
Speaking of feelings, how about nostalgia bordering on the delusional?
Every Hillary supporter I've talked with has close to zero knowledge/memory of the Clinton's actual legislative record. They all talk about how they "feel" she's inevitable, and "hope" the economy will be good again under a Clinton as it was in the 90's. Nevermind it had nothing to do with Clinton's economic policies. Nevermind he left office immediately before the dot-bomb, ENRON, and banking/accounting scandals, which were an outcome of his continuing deregulation and laissez-faire economics under Reagan. Nevermind laissez-faire-lite is the corner stone of the DLC, "Third Way" "New Democrats" whose greatest legislative "success" was NAFTA.
But feel free to feel your way through the issues. Don't let history, facts, and legislative records impair your feelings.
I do agree that Clinton was the best Democratic president since Jimmy Carter. So I can understand the nostalgia some people feel.
January 6, 2008 3:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
In Concord today, the crowd was generally local; middle and upper-middle class folks who actually looked like the people you may see browsing the aisles of your local Borders or grabbing a sandwich at the Panera just off Route 93 (where I sit as I write this).
Hey Ken. You're in my neck of the woods. I live about 5 miles away from that Borders and Panera, and am in at least one of them most weekends with a black iced coffee and a laptop.
January 4, 2008 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nice article, but I must ask again - why are all men in the media so infatuated with MoDo? I am amazed at the number of times simply being in the same room with her has been noted by one reporter or another over the last few months. Her columns are pure drivel and diminish your business.
January 4, 2008 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Second that. MoDo is a character assassin masquerading as a "journalist", and it'll help your credibility if you stop acknowledging her pathetic existence.
January 4, 2008 3:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes MoDo is incredibly annoying. Her column is speculative drivel at best and near-libel at worst.
January 4, 2008 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
MoDo is a character assassin, but definitely Jekyl and Hyde. I like her Jekyl side and dislike her Hyde side (who can forget her invented ``Who among us does not like NASCAR'' attribution to Kerry in 2004?)
``...Stand still. The forest knows
Where you are. You must let it find you.''
from `Lost' by David Wagoner
January 4, 2008 11:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Beats me too. Maybe it just comes down to the red hair and red lipstick thing.
January 4, 2008 8:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mr Baer's observations on Obama, as well as Obama's rhetoric itself, seems a throw-back to Clintonism. I marvel that after seven years of the divide-and-conquer Bush approach and eight years of the Republican witch hunt against Clinton, people still have an appetite for this kind of pablum. A friend pointed out the irony that the Southern White male is now the most progressive choice for president. But it's true. The media loves Obama. So what? The people have to live with the consequences of the vote.
And Mr Baer's observation about Obama explicitly linking "his campaign into the sweep of American life. That’s what Reagan did; it’s what Bill Clinton did; and it’s even what George W. Bush did. In short, it’s what presidents do." seems to me a ringing endorsement of two incredibly destructive Republican presidencies, and one that failed to stick up for Democratic principles.
This is more of the horse-race campaign coverage that degrades American political culture and gives us candidates that all essentially offer the same.
I'm looking for a real change and a candidate who isn't naive enough to think those with a monopoly of power are going to give up for a handful of "music."
January 4, 2008 4:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was an Edwards supporter (and still like him) but when you look at his actual voting record, and what he did during his Vice Presidential campaign, it's pretty disappointing... so rhetoric - yeah - it's a rhetoric war. I think any one of them is capable of doing the right thing in office. I think any one of them is susceptible to being co-opted. I want one of them to win, and Obama has the unifying voice.
January 4, 2008 4:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm with you Dee Dee. And just yesterday I was with all the other cynics here. Even posted to that effect all over the liberal blogosphere, you could look it up.
Watching Obama last night, put me back in the mindset of his 2004 Senatorial campaign, no not the ridiculous no-competition contest against the hapless Keyes, but the one where he started as the longest of longshots in the Dem primary, then maybe as one black guy against 6 white guys he could pull it out, all the way to a majority of the vote against multiple opponents.
The key word is in the previous paragraph is "watching". Reading all this stuff on the internets, reading Krugman, etc., distilling it down to its intellectual essence there's what seems to be a compelling case against Obama. That case sort evaporated for me when I SAW his speech. He's a snake charmer, all right. He makes you believe against your own better judgment. It was a very good speech.
But as Dee Dee says, "any one of them is capable of doing the right thing in office. I think any one of them is susceptible to being co-opted."
Politics is a crapshoot, there's no two ways about it. Sometimes you think you're voting for fiscal conservatism and you get an FDR. (check out the 1932 campaign). Sometimes you think you're voting for "Putting people first" and you get NAFTA.
It looks like Obama's year, so I'm going to put my cynicism on the shelf for awhile, because whether it's right or whether it's wrong, it doesn't seem to be very effective right now.
I can always pull it down off the shelf later.
January 4, 2008 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's the thing - I'm tired of being a cynic. I loved his speech because, at heart, I'd like to think that America is capable of trying to come together to meet the challenges of this age (and there are problems we all agree need to be solved). Why not? Why not believe that someone with a good heart and a right minded spirit, who knows something about the Constitution, and comes from a background that transcends barriers, and isn't full of hate rhetoric, why can't that person bring most of the people of this country together to solve problems that we all want to solve?
January 4, 2008 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Apropos of the FDR reference: I realized I had some ignorance about FDR's political life prior to winning in 1932. There was not much! His DC experience consisted of being an assistant secretary of the Navy in the WWI era. He did run for veep on the famed Cox/Roosevelt ticket that had the ignominy of losing to Harding/Coolidge, an administration among the worst in American history. Then, of course, just prior to running for pres he was a one term governor of NY, which does count for quite a bit. Against this Obama's record as community organizer, state legislator, and senator does not seem so pale, and let us recall that Edwards had just one term in office and Hillary has just one full term under her belt, the rather debunked First Lady experience notwithstanding (as Chris Rock says, to paraphrase, `My wife watches me all the time but that doesn't mean she can get up on the stage here!').
``...Stand still. The forest knows
Where you are. You must let it find you.''
from `Lost' by David Wagoner
January 4, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
No optimism required.
Just compare Obama's record, in Washington and in Illinois, with Hillary or Edwards. I have. Obama is the real progressive. It's not even close.
He was for Iraq from before it started, and said why, in detail. His argument against the Iraq war and predictions of insurgency and a huge mess, were dead on. You really should read them to see what good judgment actually is.
While Hillary was on WALMART's board and stumping for NAFTA, and Edwards was making millions in class action suits to help handfuls of people, Obama was passing ethics reform, childcare legislation, and doing real grass roots work for middle-class and the poor in Illinois.
***
I really encourage people to read their legislative records and public/private resumes. I have, and it's no contest.
If people spend one hour to read their records, get the facts, all the MSM narrative about "hope" and "experience" and all the soap opera BS will become irrelevant. Stop regurgitating whatever "narrative" crap the MSM is feeding the public.
Start by just Wiki searching the candidates. It's our democracy. We get the democracy we deserve. Do yourself a favor and take an hour to be informed. If people don't, we'll get more of the same old shit.
Every time the MSM feeds people fluff and bull, they expect people to be dumb, ignorant, emotional, and easily manipulated. And it's worked for the last 30 years. Are we sick of it yet?
January 6, 2008 4:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
You can gush about Obama, but it is a good idea to appraise him critically, as his opponent next november surely will, and as we should, if we truly want an electable progressive candidate who will reverse the tide of militaristic corporatism we have sunk so deeply into.
Obama negatives: as Greenwald posted at salon yesterday, none of the three Dems have deviated from the insanity of defense spending policy...ten times the amount of our closest military rival, and more thAN 50 percent of the annual world total.
He is inexperienced, it does matter. He wears the stench of the adjacent home lot division and quick re-purchase.
He did not keep the "connected" acquaintance who sold him the lot, at "arms length". It is potentially as damning as anything in the non-story of white water, and that triggered an 8 year long witch hunt.
He has voted to continue funding the war, and is all for pointing the blotted "overspent on" military, at any foreign relations problem that the military option should be chosen, as an absolute last resort, to "solve".
......To renew American leadership in the world, we must immediately begin working to revitalize our military. A strong military is, more than anything, necessary to sustain peace. . . .
We must use this moment both to rebuild our military and to prepare it for the missions of the future. . . . We should expand our ground forces by adding 65,000 soldiers to the army and 27,000 marines. . . .
I will not hesitate to use force, unilaterally if necessary, to protect the American people or our vital interests whenever we are attacked or imminently threatened.
We must also consider using military force in circumstances beyond self-defense in order to provide for the common security that underpins global stability -- to support friends, participate in stability and reconstruction operations, or confront mass atrocities.....
It sounds as if he's flirting with a pre-emptive war policy, when he needs to condemn it as a Bush era aberration.
Russ Feingold makes Obama look like a neocon, bu t he ain't running. It feels like we're settling for Obama, and his "unity" appeal. Until our militarism and the corporatism is reigned in, there is nothing to "unify" us. Obama is not talking about those critical influences, and the militarism comes down to corporatism, as well.
January 4, 2008 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
the chicago sun-times helped break the story on rezko with or without an obama context but even the sun-times agrees there's no there there. if critics intend to taint by association, that's a game obama would surely win.
plus, it takes a certain chutzpah for the new york times to overreach on someone like rezko when the junior senator from new york and her campaign have been infected with persons or events far more diseased throughout.
Barack Obama's non-scandal Chicago Sun-Times, Dec 24, 2006 by Conor Clarke
Disappointingly, these questions have answers that are boring, uncontroversial, and well-known: The house had been on the market for months, the seller required that the sales be closed on the same day, and there still isn't any evidence that Obama has ridden to Rezko's rescue -- he actually opposed gambling interests that would have made Rezko a pretty penny, and, since the indictment, he has donated the developer's campaign contributions to charity.
So when Obama apologizes for having created the appearance of wrongdoing, he isn't apologizing for anything meaningful -- and rightly so. He's apologizing for a public misperception.
The same holds true for the way in which the events "raise questions" about Obama's judgment: Without pundits there to misinterpret them, Obama's actions are trivial. By itself, the Rezko deal couldn't have been a "boneheaded" lapse (Obama's word), because the wrongdoing depends on circularity: The Rezko deal was stupid only to the extent that observers arrive at the mistaken conclusion that Obama was doing something wrong.
January 5, 2008 11:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
lol. That's a stretch.
Imminent.
That has always been US policy, and the policy of every government worldwide. In fact, it's the Constitutional responsibility of our President, and a Sovereign right for a nation to defend itself in the face of "imminent" danger.
Iraq wasn't an imminent danger. It was a war of choice on a cooked premise.
Obama is the only major candidate who was against it from the beginning, and laid out in detail why, and predicted the outcome.
Hillary and Edwards both voted to give Bush/Cheney authorization for war, when it was clear to many they were cooking the books and rushing to war, without imminent danger.
January 6, 2008 3:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
That new speech he has recently unveiled in which we get the Obama take on American history really bothers me because I think it is revisionist history at it's worst.
Hope was the catalyst for, and got us through the American Revolution??
As well as for The Civil War, the Great Depression, defeat of fascism, and the struggle for Civil Rights?
Just bad, bad history.
In each case it was the moral test of the age.It was about facing reality at the time,determining that no further compromise or negotiation could achieve that which was necessary and standing firm and fighting for principle. Recognizing that it was a moral test.
When people accept that there is a moral test involved in a great struggle that is a movement. He just trashes the significance of the historic events he enumerates and minimizes the sacrifice of those who fought and died for more than "hope".
It is the part of his speech where I cringe every time I hear it - because it is so fundamentally intellectually lazy.
Hope was an ingredient, but it wasn't the be all end all he makes those instances out to be.
January 4, 2008 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
but it makes people feel good.
and that's why we vote, right?
January 4, 2008 7:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's nothing wrong with "hope" being the spiritual impetus that helped us meet all of those challenges. It was a speech, not a historical treatise. I would say that my father, who fought the Nazis in D-Day, did so based on his "hope" that we, as a nation, could prevail against fascism. How would you have written the speech to make it not a historical revisionist speech? How would you invoke the past to inspire people to meet the challenges of the present and the future? You claim it's wrong - I would dispute you, point by point. Social movements have required a certain amount of unity among comrades or citizens or fellow travelers - mutual trust - union, etc. That's what Obama is calling for and I'm for it.
January 4, 2008 7:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you could seriously misread history in a speech, and not just any history but the most significant historical events of the Nation you wish to lead I worry about that person's judgement and grasp of just what the lessons of those significant movements were: the end result of that speech in that section is that he seems to minimize what the people of those ages sacrificed, fought, and died for.
It wasn't just hope.
It was partisan bickering at full flower that achieved real fundamental change.
The impetus behind the American Revolution was the realization that we could self govern and that we had become something different than British citizens, anew people, Americans- we didn't "hope" this was so - we said it was so and fought to be given the right to stand among other nation's as an equal.
No negotiation about it.
The Civil War? It was about finally reaching the end of the the negotiation/compromise shell game Congress and certain leaders had engaged in for years. The Union was indissoluble and worth fighting and dying for and slavery was a scourge that no amount of "hope" would extinguish. Again the part of negotiation and compromise to settle differences in this instance had passed( those stages had a lot of"hope" associated with them too)and failed. Facing reality and realizing that no compromise was going to work to get real change and a determination to stand for principle was the result.
The Great Depression ? I think 25% of the population was unemployed, banks failing,people starving, manufacturing output practically at a standstill. Much was required but negotiating with "the captains of industry" and those of a certain political phlosphy that believes that the "market will correct itself so do nothing" wasn't going to get the job done. Unions played a huge role here. As well as FDR's ability to call a spade a spade and correctly identify the forces he and we were up against. FDR believed "do something and if that doesn't work try something else" the ultimate in accepting reality coupled with a determination to alleviate the economic suffering of millions. Very, very, little compromise with the forces that got us in this condition.
Defeating fascism? First recognizing what it was correctly- a huge threat to democracy, that negotiating with it accomplished nothing. Again, the most important component was facing reality and the willingnes to call it what it was( I am speaking about leadership ability FDR had in the last 2 instances)
Civil Rights? Facing reality that "hope" alone wasn't going to get the Whites in the South to end Jim Crow. Demanding that Jim Crow end. Standing up and demanding equality. No compromise.
Hope is present in all those instances but it is a small component.
January 5, 2008 5:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Susan H said:
That perfectly describes John Edwards' at last night's debate, especially that last sentence.
January 6, 2008 6:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
DeeDee,
I was there with your father on D-Day.
January 5, 2008 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
It was intellectually lazy when Bush/Rove decided to make the 2004 campaign about fear. Guiliani is still selling fear. Even Hillary is selling fear some of the time.
"Hope" in that context is a repudiation of everything Bush and the cowed and intimidated establishment has been selling us since 9/11.
It should have been obvious that the antidote to that message was the good old FDR "there's nothing to fear but fear itself". That Obama was the only Democrat to figure that out speaks volumes about the intellectual and emotional poverty of the Democratic Party.
We have to start someplace and starting with hope might be as good as it gets until some of the new people brought into this party start making real reform a reality.
January 4, 2008 7:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually hope and hard work were the themes that Obama stressed last night. And those words could have been spoken by FDR -- it is time for us to no longer live in the cowardly nervous nellie world created by W's administration.
Obama's energy reminded me of the joy of what it was like to be an American teenager in the Sixties. Today -- W has done his best to turn us into a nation of pessimistic cynics.
I prefer that optimistic America in which change is possible. All that we need to do is roll up our sleeves and apply some elbow grease to achieve the impossible. I still remember the infectious joy of working to ensure that RFK would get elected -- so that we could end the war, deal with social justice issues and make this into a better country. It is something that a nice Goldwater girl like HRC missed and will never understand.
Dion -- wrote a wonderful song about the loss of this vision -- there's a nice youtube version located at:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SuIMeHv9aHU&feature=related
BTW -- the saddest thing about the legacy of the Democratic Party since FDR has been the loss of that "can do American spirit." It was rooted in the vision of this country as a progressive force for good. That concept has been perversely corrupted by the likes of Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, George H. Bush, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.
After listening to Obama's speech last night -- it brought tears to my eyes. The sleeper in me finally woke up! I remembered how wonderful it is be an American -- so let's get back to work on restoring the American dream of liberty and justice for all.
January 4, 2008 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I still think it's going to be impossible for good people to have an honest difference of opinion, because the Republicans are neither.
I remember Bill Clinton being all about not what's a Republican idea or a Democrat idea but what's a good idea. I remember Bill Clinton supposedly not caring who gets credit as long as it works. I remember it lasting about a week.
Clinton's signature issue, along these lines, was hiring 100,000 police officers to get tough on crime. Remember the conservative reaction? A few guys quibbled with the 100,000 figure. A handful denied that hiring more police would help, or quibbled around some other margin.
The rest were unanimous: Clinton was a murdering, draft-dodging, philandering, Communist, illegally-parked S.O.B. who stole all their good ideas.
So heck yeah, I like Obama. Maybe he can pull it off, maybe not. I don't know. Meanwhile, I still think I prefer Edwards, but I'm going to wait and see who makes it to Arizona.
January 4, 2008 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
changed my mind
January 4, 2008 8:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, I'm just not buying the Obamania and all this vague talk about unity and hope. Why is it when I listen to him I'm left scratching my head as to what his description of the problem facing the US is? Likewise, I'm left wondering what he proposes as the cure.
Edwards says clearly that corporate power has corrupted too much of American life. He says the widening income gap is a fundamental problem.
I notice that Edwards has become an increasingly inconvenient candidate for the media. After all, Hilary is a story in herself. The first serious black candidate is a story in himself - a man whose background curiously sidesteps the wider legacy of black America. But he's the media's choice. I know he is the media's choice because before I ever knew who he was, I had seen a picture of him in the offices of a big time New York magazine editor. And Edwards? Well, Edwards is proposing the kind of sweeping, substantive change that hints at a narrative the media and tastemakers, well, they might not be capable of covering it objectively.
Edwards close association with labor means the guys who wear mustaches and work with their hands will end up with more power. And where would that leave the class of people with a historical choice in setting the presidential agenda?
Talk about hope. I can't think of any more hopeful America than one in which the white collar guy doesn't feel vaguely embarrassed in the company of the blue collar guy who is obviously getting hosed down in the system. Talk about hope: I can't think of any more hopeful America than one where the blue collar people, and all people, are paid enough to allow them to live respectable lives. What did Cicero say? "Freedom is participation power"? How about an America where people from every background and color can look each other in the eye. But as Edwards says rightly, those holding the power aren't going to give up lightly. And going at them with hope and unity will get you something like the DLC, which presided over the Democratic Party not just when the middle class was dismantled but the core values of the Democratic Party were. Hope?...Hmpf...
January 4, 2008 8:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
If I read your comments and view Edwards as a union organizer, they make more sense. I simply do not support the President of the USA being a union organizer. Want to curb corporate power, then recruit folks to the unions.
January 5, 2008 4:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
For all of those like charley baker and swift2 who are taking this approach:
Why is it when I see comments like this I'm left scratching my head as to why the other campaign operatives here still cling to such outmoded tactics?
I'm reminded of what's called in my world "FUD". The term, invented back during the hot days of the computer platform wars, stands for "Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt." The idea was/is that if you carefully drop reasonable-sounding "concerns", half-truths and veiled threats out there into the market's bloodstream, you can hurt your competitor by creating in the listener some anxiety, hopefully enough to keep them from buying the other guy's computer or operating system. It's relatively risk-free, because the listener isn't supposed to connect your criticisms of the other guy to your product... you're just trying to be helpful, after all. You don't want to seem them make a mistake they'll regret, you know?
Microsoft was always the master of this, and it worked for a long time until the consuming public finally caught on.
I keep seeing classic FUD like the above, and it's quaint, almost. Dumb, but quaint. I guess it's what you do when the basic product you're trying to sell is something that people don't want to buy.
I'd give you a link to get all the answers you claim to want, like someone did above, but that would be a waste of time, wouldn't it? You've had plenty of time to do your homework if you were interested.January 5, 2008 7:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
because obama's speeches are about making you feel good about yourself for voting for him rather than persuading you to vote for him based on his actual policy positions. and it's a pretty effective tactic - especially with disaffected voters and people who don't like politics.
January 5, 2008 12:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, Obama's "inspiration" leaves me blinking to find it. It seems to be all wrapped up in that statement, "In the blue states, we have an awesome God." Like hell we do. That smarmy turn of phrase is as revolting when he says it as when Falwell says it.
But what I wanted to criticize mostly is the idea of Dowd and most of the rest as "elite" media. Much of the "elite" media are wealthy pigs driven by strange obsessions, nothing more, and Dowd more than others. The rule by the Mean Kidz has got to end. The rule of our politics by the billionaire corporate types has got to end. Period. They would raise Caesar's horse to the Senate, and would as gladly ruin a reputation as the proverbial wanton boys. I'd love nothing more than that we pass legislation undoing all of these conglomerates, for the good of Democracy.
January 4, 2008 11:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Regardless of your personal opinion, most Democrats are religious and do "worship an awesome God," at least in their own minds. Further, effectively conveying this message can sway religious independents and soft Republicans unhappy with both their party's governance and the current GOP candidates to consider voting for a nice religious black man.
Like it or not, the question of religion in politics is live for many people, and countering GOP religio-political propaganda is an important task. Falwell aid such things to elect Republicans (and now his out-of-control minions are stumping for Huck), Obama said it to elect Democrats. I don't equate the two, and despite my personal beliefs I don't begrudge others theirs. We all have to tread our own roads.
January 5, 2008 7:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is transparently using advertising psychology, with terms such as "change" and "unity". They will work, by triggering useful emotions in listeners.
We can maintain our virtue and speak literally, without employing effective rhetoric and psychology, or we can win elections and fix some problems. I'm down for the second choice.
With the GOP well-trained to untilize Newt Gingrich's list of charged terms against us, and feel-good terms for the heartless policies they espouse, I'm not too proud to propagandize. I don't accept this as trying to do good with evil means, I call it politics.
It occurs to me that Senator Clinton's experience is a bit like Giuliani's. I'm not sure how failing to achieve health care reform, or watching Ken Starr rifle through her drawers, or not crying publicly while Bill was impeached, is useful experience.
I don't dislike her, and rather liked hearing her speak when she was only a senator, and would vote for her in November. I'm not enthusiastic, though; that would be my reaction to Obama.
January 5, 2008 7:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's not saying these things because they are his intellectual academic analysis of the problems of American society; he's saying them to get elected. The polling I have read indicates that he is the candidate most favored by Republicans. Given his obvious strengths with independents as well, he would be well positioned to chip away at small but vital edges Republicans used to hold.
That said, this is a primary and I am not focusing on his "electability" but rather on advancing my man, fierce John Edwards, to the nomination. But Obama would be a fine candidate and I'll take a Republican to the mat for him.
January 5, 2008 7:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Daddy Love said:
Sure the Republicans favor Obama as the candidate, because they know they can beat him.
January 5, 2008 9:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Martin Luther King:
“Lamentably, it is an historical fact that privileged groups seldom give up their privileges voluntarily. Individuals may see the moral light and voluntarily give up their unjust posture; but, as Reinhold Niebuhr has reminded us, groups tend to be more immoral than individuals.”
Obama so disappointed me when he called Edwards naive for saying we can fight to reduce the power of special interest groups that threaten our democracy, then mischaracterized John Edwards’ passionate truth telling and call for constructive change as some sort of haphazard or destructive anger.
Edwards’s approach seems an honest one. Edwards has mobilized people by telling it like it is, acknowledging their legitimate frustration, and then directed those frustrations toward the main problems. There is nothing the special interests fear more than representatives and a president with a decisive mandate for constructive change.
Obama is almost doing the same thing as Edwards, but it also seems Obama is cleverly playing every side and assuring the status quo powers that he won’t buck the system too much. One could wonder if Obama is trying to get people going enough to vote for him, but also trying to put a cork on the power of a movement that could shake up the status quo.
Taking his cues from the MSM who have decided to try and discredit Edwards by calling him “angry,” Obama is now spending a lot of time stressing that “there is too much anger” in Washington, etc. (anger is the term the MSM media has attached to Edwards when they aren’t busy ignoring the fact that he came in second in Iowa, just as they attached “crazy” to Ross Perot and ignored him; just as they attached “compassionate conservative” to Bush’s name and WMD to Saddam’s name.) Anger is not a bad thing; it’s normal when there is injustice. Anger is only a bad thing when it is not harnessed in a constructive way.
And if the MSM implies something like frustration or anger is bad, those in the public who outsource their thinking to the MSM will promptly assume it is bad, too. So Obama’s making a good bet to ride the media deception at the expense of the truth. But it makes me ill that Obama seems to be taking part in that manipulation, or that he’d even want to win at the expense of the truth. I’d be more likely to vote for him if he convinced me he could do a better job than Edwards at creating change.
Fighting groups in Washington that would compromise our democracy is not going to hurt us, but deceit and allowing the media and others to shame us into accepting their self-serving definition of political correctness will. Time will tell.
January 5, 2008 7:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
This
old flannel banners line the walls
is a bit silly. It is obvious that the "old flannel banners" function as noise dampeners, and the older and more tattered that they are, the better that they work.
January 5, 2008 8:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Again: none of these candidates are saviours, any of these candidates could leave us betrayed and disappointed in 2011.
The lists of policy positions that may be available on some website is not compelling if you've at all studied American history: Presidents are just as likely to do the opposite of what their platforms and campaign promises suggest. Sometimes that's bad and sometimes that's good (early FDR), the essence of it lies with the President and his/her advisors and their reading of the historical moment and what needs to be done.
So character does matter ... but in an age of hi-tech media smog, we're still left making our own guesses and judgements on character, just as we were in the previous ages of low-tech media partisanship and ignorance. (Check out what partisans said for and against Jackson, or Lincoln, for example.)
Both Obama and Edwards are media-savvy, well-spoken, highly ambitious self-made men ... and the Clintons were much like that too, as they rose in eighties ... their choices in rhetoric and advisors and policy positions are the clues they leave us to guess at their characters.
And here we should also mention that whichever one we end of electing (cross your fingers and work like hell!) will be selecting from approximately the same pool of advisors and potential Cabinet members and on down to potential postmasters. They will ahve to be working with the same cast of (poor) characters in Congress and in the media.
So to set up one as being SO GREAT and another as being SO BAD is the essence of my antipathy to kozmik and the other tendentious partisans.
Do we have to make a choice? Yes, if you're a New Hampshire voter or if you're lucky enough to be in the twenty-odd states with early primaries , you probably should make a choice. (The other half of the country, we should remain skeptical and somewhat neutral, we don't get a choice and we need to provide a counterbalance to the media hype surrounding the frontrunners.)
None of the top 3 Dems is as serious about ending imperialism in American foreign and military policy as I would like to see. I do trust that any of them would be marginally better than any Republican, at least in terms of possible Supreme Court appointments and in the sense "they might be willing to listen to us more radical leftists," while the Repubs will surely shut us out.
Having said all that, for the moment my guess is that the power of big corporations is a more serious problem than a "lack of unity" -- if we had all united behind Bush's war, as that was the unity being offered to us in 2002-4, would we all be happy and safe now ??? -- and my further guess is that Edwards is marginally less likely to disappoint us in actually working for the goals he professes to uphold. I absolutely don't like a Democrat who promises to have a Republican in his cabinet, why, which one, what for? What progressive policies will have to be sacrificed to THAT campaign promise?
Could I be wrong? Sure ! That's why all the Obama hype on this thread fails to move me, the commenters' sense of conviction and righteousness in their choice is a reason to reject their arguments, not a reason to accept them.
January 5, 2008 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink