Yep, it’s official. Al Qaeda, not Hillary, killed Benzir Bhutto. How do we know? Well, the Pakistani Interior Minister said so.
Interior Ministry spokesman Javed Iqbal Cheema said that on Friday, the government recorded an”intelligence intercept” in which militant leader Baitullah Mehsud “congratulated his people for carrying out this cowardly act.”
He also let us know that she died from hitting her head. Amazing how Pakistani authorities could know such a thing since no autopsy was performed. Must be the equivalent of psychic healing. Worth noting that the physician who examined her at the hospital emergency unit appeared to indicate that she had a hole in the side of her head.
I do not rule out Islamic radicals who are not part of the government as possible culprits. But they are not the only folks with motive and access. In fact, the Government of Pakistan’s rush to pin this on Al Qaeda smacks of scape goating. There are longstanding ties between Al Qaeda and elements of the military and the intelligence service.
The virtual absence of any uniformed security detail around her gives further credence to the belief that elements within the military and ISI did away with her. There was no doubt that Benazir was a high risk for an assassination attempt. Why were Pakistani authorities so passive when it came to her security? It would be one thing if she resisted efforts to cover her. But the opposite is true. She had specifically and repeatedly asked for more security. At least she was not suicidal.
AQ is always a convenient boogeyman, but there is a pretty significant gap between what they claim to do and what they have actually accomplished over the last two years. Talking a good game and doing something are two different things. President Musharef and his crowd have some explaining to do.
UPDATE: The notion that a woman standing up in a car, with her torso above the sunroof (at least from chest up) would be thrown downward and strike her head defies physics. The bomb was below her, not above. The blast wave was moving up. If anything, it should have popped her out of the car. Except she had already been shot and was collapsing inside the car. That's what an autopsy likely would have demonstrated.
Al Qaeda will continue to be a convenient boogeyman so long as it resides alive and well in Pakistan, and its Saudi funders continue to dictate our Persian Gulf policies.
December 28, 2007 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
NO, al Qaeda will continue to be the boogeyman as long as it serves the interests of those in our government. Not one day longer and not one day shorter. If the President in 2020 finds it in his/her interest to scare us with al Qaeda he will do so and we will duck.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 28, 2007 11:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
You need a bogeyman to make money! The brave and courageous President Musharraf is just as serious about eliminating al Qaeda as our Bring 'em On, straight talkin', 'smoke 'em out' President George W. Bush. Surely the $10 billion unaudited blank check to Pakistan's military will need to be doubled after this tragedy. Optimistically, another 30 years of occupation may advance Iraq to the same democratic level as Pakistan.
December 28, 2007 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Guess where that $10 billion to Musharraf actually went. Don't bother, it went to US "Defense" industry corporations, where a lot of it was used to pay the year end bonuses for the corporate top honchos. Now we have justification for doubling those bonuses. (Maybe the CEO's of those corporations should be questioned to see if they have good alibis?)
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 28, 2007 6:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not to comment on your wild conspiracy flailings, but to blame the assassination on AQ serves to keep Musharraf and the US on the same side of this issue.
December 28, 2007 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not to comment on your putting words in people's mouths, but nowhere did I pin the assasination on Al Qaeda, which, yes, is funded by Saudi money.
December 28, 2007 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I didn't say you did. I said "to blame AQ" not "you blame AQ." Even though the words rhyme, there's a difference, most glaringly in my leaving out the word "you" in that clause.
December 28, 2007 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Again Larry, Obama's spokeman Axelrod, NEVER said that Hillary killed Bhutto or that she was responsible for it. Go back and read the fricking quote you put in your other piece.
He was asked by a reporter whether the assassination helped Hillary because of her experience and he said no because the unrest in Pakistan is due to policies Hillary has supported.
He NEVER said that the assassination is due to policies Hillary supported, and your insistence on twisting it into that is disturbing.
My guess is that Axelrod was assuming that the questioner, in saying that the assassination would help Hillary, was suggesting that it would because it highlights the unrest in Pakistan and the Middle East. And so he addressed the question of the unrest in Pakistan, not the assassination of Bhutto. Never said anything about the assassination in reference to Hillary.
December 28, 2007 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why bring this up? Does your Obama internship stipend depend on posting this sentiment whenever Bhutto's name is mentioned? Maybe it's the "Task O' The Day" in the phonebank pool?
December 28, 2007 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
It was a sarcastic joke, a cheap (but mildly ausing) dig, nothing more.
Switch to the decaf, have a bran muffin and move on.
December 28, 2007 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Those were clearly the dots Axelrod was trying to link, without explicitly doing the connection. Obama should have just disavowed them as the remarks of an over eager flack and moved on. Now he owns them.
December 28, 2007 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
No, I really don't think that was his intent and he and Obama made it quite clear today that, that was not his intent.
Fromm CNN
December 28, 2007 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
CNN mischaracterized Axelrod's amplifying remarks as backing away from his earlier remarks.
Every candidate will be talking about the Pakistan situation, and US conduct in regard to it, by the time of the Iowa caucus. It would be irresponsible not to. Reporters and commentators who find it insensitive or politically opportunistic to dig into the issues so soon after an assassination (even in response to a reporter's question) should apply the same standard to all the candidates. Hiding behind an ostensible mourning period (of a few days at most), rather than delving immediately into important Pakistan-related issues, hardly looks presidential-grade. That goes for all the presidential candidates.
December 28, 2007 1:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dear Unique Nightmare,
(I suppose that's the opposite of Common Dream) Ouch! I obviously touched a nerve. As is suggested below, cut back on the caffeine, save your pennies, and buy a sense of humor.
December 28, 2007 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
So you're only joking when you say that Obama is accusing Hillary of murder?
Do you really think this is a good subject to be joking about?
December 28, 2007 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't take it personally.
Larry is pretty sloppy with facts at the best of times, and his "I was CIA" schtick is wearing pretty thin. His only contribution to TPMC was cheerleading on Valerie Plame. Lately he's in the habit of repeating the obvious with a lot of embellishment, or citing mysterious and totally unverifiable sources. And Larry is no Sy Hersh.
On top of that, he's also shilling for Hillary, and denying it becasue his mind supposedly isn't made up, pointing out he's also a Biden fan. His co-blogger and co-author, whose opinion on Hillary he cites, is a big Hillary shill. Which just adds to the credibility thing.
December 28, 2007 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
And now that he's requesting to view it all as humor, I was right in the 'murder" thread to write off the Hillary remarks from the Masked CIA Man as too much sherry in Larry.
I bet he's the center of attraction at the company's New Years party.
~OGD~
December 31, 2007 10:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Larry, what do you think of this for a conspiracy theory of how the attack might have been carried out:
First, you take some eager young man in intelligence service and give him the job of shooting her. You promise him protection, a bunch of money, a house in Dubai, whatever. And to prove your sincerity, you give him a bullet proof vest to wear while he's doing it. Only it isn't a bullet proof vest, it's a vest loaded with explosives and rigged with a remote detonator.
This eager young man goes out and pulls the trigger and then gets blown up by his superiors before anyone can lay a hand on him and question him.
That's my theory. Only, I can't imagine why Musharraf would think killing Bhutto was a smart move. My guess is it will lead to his downfall. So, I'd also theorize the culprit is someone poised to take over as dictator.
December 28, 2007 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not only a good theory but a good plot for a Hollywood thriller. Let me know if you get a deal with a studio.
Seriously, if you look at the video and the hand gun being fired at Bhutto it sure appears the guy was given access.
December 28, 2007 12:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I haven't seen any video, but...
December 28, 2007 1:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
And this video was shown by what source and where can it be seen online, if available online?
Seriously.
~OGD~
December 28, 2007 7:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lex Luthor strikes again.
December 28, 2007 11:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
One can only wonder to what extent our $10 billion "aid" to Pakistan contributed to this? Meanwhile, congressional Democrats battle bigger enemies such as MoveOn.org.
December 28, 2007 11:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have a feeling people will be asking, "Who killed Benazir Bhutto?" for decades.
December 28, 2007 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
What's more Pakistanis will be asking that question.
December 28, 2007 12:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Larry, when you've got something besides "you can't trust the government of Pakistan," I'll look forward to hearing about it.
December 28, 2007 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about, how do you determine she died of a skull fracture without an autopsy. Moron.
December 28, 2007 12:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Post-mortem x-rays and/or CT scan would have ruled in or out a skull fracture, cervical spine fracture, and metallic foreign bodies. If she died instantly, her blood pressure dropped essentially to zero, so there would have been little or no intracerebral or intracranial bleeding. I haven't read that any diagnostic procedures were done.
Why on earth would these steps, not to mention an autopsy, have been omitted? In the US, an autopsy would have been mandatory. Is it optional in Pakistan? Does it transgress some rule or tradition of Islam? If not, who had the juice to refuse consent? Her husband?
And people still think the Warren Commission report wasn't thoroughly investigated!
December 28, 2007 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
And people still think the Warren Commission report wasn't thoroughly investigated!
I'm one of them! Unlike the Kennedy assassination, which bullet trajectories could show evidence of a second shooter, and therefore a conspiracy, there is nothing an autopsy could show that will solve this mystery.
Who killed her and why, if ever known will not be determined by finding out if her skull fracture, as opposed to the bullets actually caused her death. And bickering over whether the force of the blast caused her head injury rather than a reflexive jerk to get back into the car is just silly.
Jan
December 28, 2007 4:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know what the law in Pakistan says, but yes, Islam generally views autopsies as a desecration of the body, so they are much less common in the Islamic world than they are in the West. Islam does not permit voluntary autopsies, they are permitted only when the law requires one to determine how someone died. That exception would seem to include this case, but again, it would depend on just what Pakistani law said. In any event, it is my understanding that yes, it was Bhutto's husband that did not wish there to be an autopsy.
December 28, 2007 10:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Johnson:
Referring to anyone here as a "moron" is not acceptable behavior.
As the saying goes in the Navy, "Put a sock in it!"
~OGD~
December 28, 2007 7:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Larry, I was going to let your comment stand on its own merits, as it is my usual dictum to not feed trolling, but it being the New Year and all...
Larry, I was not saying "you can trust the Pakistani government." What I was saying is: doh, Larry, we all know this already, you got anything interesting on this, let us know.
Larry, when you knee-jerk name call without understanding what people are saying, well, that makes me question your ability as an analyst of printed information. You should really think again about that modus operandi on this website. You are not writing for a market of USA Today readers here. What you said didn't hurt me, it hurt you.
December 31, 2007 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
artappraiser.
"Larry, when you knee-jerk name call without understanding what people are saying, well, that makes me question your ability as an analyst of printed information. You should really think again about that modus operandi on this website. You are not writing for a market of USA Today readers here. What you said didn't hurt me, it hurt you."
Salud.
December 31, 2007 9:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
According to that minister: the force of the blast slammed her head into the lever of the car. Yet some papers have made it seem like she just hit her head and accidentally killed herself.
I'm not saying that it actually happened that way, but that's the current explanation.
December 28, 2007 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
(continuing from above...) I have seen photos of the vehicle, and there is blood on the sunroof knob and blood all over the back seat. It does look like she might have hit her head somehow, probably from the force of the blast. It's not the kind of sunroof you're probably thinking of. It opens up on hinges and has a knob to lock it down when closed.
Some have said that this is implausible, since if she were that close to the blast, she would more likely have taken shrapnel. But only if there were shrapnel in the bomb. If, instead, the bomb was merely explosives hidden in an article of clothing, something that looked like, say, a bullet-proof vest...
December 28, 2007 1:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
What about the other shootings? Sharaf was apparently the target, although not there at the time, but four of his people were killed. Was that done by the same culprits?
December 28, 2007 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Larry,
here's a post of mine over on Jo-Ann Mort's opinion.
This guy's comment could have been written by the Bush/Cheney gang.
The opportunists will be coming out of the woodwork trying to make political points with this poor woman's murder.
PS: I thought al Qaeda was "on the run".
December 28, 2007 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Spencer Ackerman posted an observation made to him by an ex-intelligence official over at Josh Marshall's TPM' it's absolutely worth reading.
The official noted that there were at least two native radical Islamic groups in Pakistan which had more to 'win' by assassinating Bhutto than either the Taliban or Al-Qaeda. But I doubt we'll ever find a full explanation of her death, any more than we know the true details surrounding JFK's assassination 44 years ago.
One thing, though -- a more destabilized Pakistan (however that's achieved) is very attractive to Pakistani and Afghan Taliban, Al-Qaeda and its satellites, and 'local' Islamist groups in Pakistan, in that it creates more opportunity for them. This is a simplistic analysis, but Bhutto's violent death could be viewed as benefiting all fundamentalist Islamic groups in the region to some degree -- and if sympathetic elements in the Pakistani military of ISI were involved, it makes no difference to that result.
But any number of harsh-response scenarios (from the U.S. pressuring Musharraf into a wider war with the Taliban/Al Qaeda in the Northeast; to a Cheney decision to send U.S. Troops into Pakistan to secure their nuclear munitions; to Musharraf's reinstitution of marshal law) would be good news for native groups which want a fundamentalist Pakistan, and Al-Qaeda with its vision of a wider, international jihad.
The real worst-case scenario for the United States is any which continues overreaching itself through stupid and ill-considered military planning, just as our economy begins to seriously falter.
Lil' Boots and Shooter have wounded and crippled this country far more than any terrorist attack could have; they're incompetent and irrational. Their stupidity and lack of foresight will make any move regarding Pakistan a foregone disaster for America -- and they still have a solid year to continue destroying our country.
(Just as an aside, Axelrod's comments were idiotic and unnecessary, no matter who you support in the primaries.)
December 28, 2007 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Than perhaps, citing this actual words, you can identify the precise statements which are incorrect.
December 28, 2007 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, Larry, but you are no longer credible. I can't imagine why you thought you could come out as Hillary's hit man in the Cafe and expect to be effective either as a campaigner or as an analyst, but now you are effective as neither.
Too bad. Many of us used to really respect your knowledge and your instincts.
I have been turned off by Ms. Clinton since her vote to criminalize political expression two years ago, so I may not be the most objective observer, but I think she's crazy to think she can succeed by converting a well-spoken, well-informed commentator into a pit bull.
December 28, 2007 1:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wait, aren't you supposed to get an extra commission on your posts if you mention Obama? Why would you pass up free money like that?
December 28, 2007 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, I'm not sure Obama is acceptable, either. And I'm quite sure you're not.
December 28, 2007 2:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why should it matter who Larry supports? Shouldn't the key be the validity of what he says?
Afterall many post here with ideological committees that trump facts.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
December 29, 2007 7:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
Shouldn't the key be the validity of what he says?
Of course. That's why it's such a shame that he has surrendered his credibility by becoming a shill for the DLC.
December 29, 2007 12:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Larry posts:
"The virtual absence of any uniformed security detail around her gives further credence to the belief that elements within the military and ISI did away with her. There was no doubt that Benazir was a high risk for an assassination attempt. Why were Pakistani authorities so passive when it came to her security? It would be one thing if she resisted efforts to cover her. But the opposite is true. She had specifically and repeatedly asked for more security. At least she was not suicidal."
The Pakistan authorities aren't the only ones Bhutto asked for security according to the Arutz Sheva account of a report in the Hebrew Maariv. She also made requests of the CIA, Scotland Yard and Israel:
"Appeals by the popular Pakistani politician to the U.S., Israel and Britain for protection by their security agencies weeks earlier had gone unanswered."
snip]
"A report published Friday by the Hebrew-language Maariv newspaper revealed that Bhutto had "desperately" asked the CIA, Scotland Yard and the Mossad security agencies to assist in her personal protection in the weeks prior to her murder.
She said in her appeals to the U.S., British and Israel security agencies that her opponent, President Pervez Musharraf, would not let her protect herself adequately; she was not allowed to use dark-paned windows in her motorcade or use equipment to locate roadside explosives. She said she suspected Musharraf wanted to make her an easy target for assassins.
In Israel, discussions were held on the subject between the Foreign Ministry, which supported Bhutto's request for protection, and the Mossad as well as other bodies involved with protection of state leaders and VIPs. No decision was reached due to Israel's concern about upsetting the Pakistani or Indian regimes."
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/124733
I can see why Israel would be reluctant to provide Bhutto with security, it wouldn't be politically wise. Bhutto had good relations with Israelis and had promised to open Pakistan to diplomatic relations with Israel.
Unfortunately, unless someone who can read Hebrew translates the article, we have no idea whether or not the CIA and/or Scotland Yard considered her request and if not, why not? What would be the downside of providing Bhutto with protection, especially in the eyes of the Bushies?
As if things aren't muddled enough, in Haaretz, Yossi Melman discusses the conspiracy theories about responsible parties and points to yet another suspect I haven't seen mentioned elsewhere, India:
"One can make the claim - and some already have - that foreign agents of countries in conflict with Pakistan (re: India) orchestrated the assassination so as to create chaos and to create an image of a country that is unstable and unreliable."
December 28, 2007 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think that makes sense. Why would India want to destabilize a country on their border that posesses nuclear weapons? Especially if that destabilization ran the risk of having it taken over by radical Islamists?
December 28, 2007 11:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
slb.
You said:
"Why would India want to destabilize a country on their border that posesses nuclear weapons? Especially if that destabilization ran the risk of having it taken over by radical Islamists?"
HUH? was my initial reaction to the India did it theory for the reasons you cite. Then I wondered what could India gain from regime change in Pakistan?
If India is reassured that we have control over essential doohickies required to trigger the Pakistani nukes, they may not be as concerned as we might assume. I get the impression that Bhutto wasn't trusted in India. On the other hand, General Ashfaq Fayani (replaced Musharraf as head of the Army) is not considered to harbor plans to rule Pakistan or engage in "adventures" against India. He's also got the US stamp of approval. Bigtime.
Who knows?
Haaretz' Yossi Melman thinks the India did it (and the Musharraf did it) scenarios unlikely. I'm assuming he heard the India-as-perp theory from his Israeli sources within the military/security/defense sectors. They have close ties to their Indian counterparts. The Arutz Sheva article summarizing the Maariv (Hebrew) report indicates that the Mossad advised against providing Bhutto with security and that India's reaction was one of the reasons to refuse.
Bhutto's direct entreaties to the CIA, Scotland Yard and Israel's Foreign Ministry are curious given "we" and the Brits have been engineering the Bhutto/Musharraf power sharing deal for two years.
Why fail to protect our joint asset(s)?
Why were both US and the UK also "helpless" to persuade Musharraf to allow Bhutto hire Blackwater and the like?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/12/30/wbhutto230.xml
IMO, something is really odd...off about this entire business of
Bhutto's security..... well beyond Pakistan's borders and even Musharraf's control. This bit is what's making less and less sense to me and for some reason brings Lebanon to mind.
Edited to add link to Haaretz' Yossi Melman analysis:
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/939112.html
December 30, 2007 12:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Apropos doohickeys, the US made a wise decision to share some highly classified Positive Control and Permissive Action Link technologies with the Soviets. Apparently, there was a time where a Soviet lieutenant with a grudge could fire a live warhead, but the Soviets responded rationally. They both used the US technology, and also came up with a "dual key" arrangement with one in the hands of the Strategic Rocket Forces and the other in the hands of the KGB, both sides having separate security details.
One of the reasons that I support amending the NPT to allow India, Israel, and Pakistan to join as declared nuclear powers is that it brings them more inside the arms control tent. There have been arguments that sharing positive control technology with a country that isn't a NPT nuclear power is a violation, which I regard as insane.
The US and Russia continue to do some stabilizing things. Things are far beyond the original "hotlines", which are no longer teletypes but allow audio and videoconferencing. In addition, both countries have a 24/7 team of liaison officers in each others' strategic warning centers (e.g., NORAD) to minimize the chance of misunderstandings -- there have been some scary close calls, on both sides, when one side didn't tell the other about a planned research launch.
There is a direct communications link between the US and Israel heads of government, and I strongly believe there should be similar bilateral links (maybe with multiparty conferencing capability) between all nuclear powers, NPT or not.
A more difficult question is whether it is a violation, and, separately, if it is a good idea, to share silo superhardening and other techniques with the three outside-the-tent powers. At least with India and Pakistan, it might be possible to move to a MAD model. While I can't see Israel having a mutual deterrent with anyone, my understanding is that many, if not most, of their Jericho missiles are at one main base and with very light (as these things go) protection.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
December 30, 2007 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your constant shilling for Hillary is unbecoming and damaging to your reputation that I, at one time, admired.
December 28, 2007 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, Common Dreamer. Axelrod said something stupid. It happens. Bill and Hillary have done it too. Grin and bear it. Your golden boy screwed up for once.
December 28, 2007 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know, I'd really appreciate it if "supporting Hillary" wasn't "shilling for her," and a million other little insults like that. All it impresses me with is the fact that a lot of Obama supporters only seem to be able to support their guy after saying something snide about Hill. Grow up.
December 28, 2007 4:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Supporting someone means that you stand up and get counted; you say why you think that person is the best. You may be forgiven for hyperbole, and for overzealousness.
Shilling, on the other hand, is when you say every negative thing you can dream up (true or false) about person "B", and point out that person "A" doesn't do any of that stuff, and does everything else right [[so far still within the realm of a supporter]] The "shill" thing comes in when you claim to be agnostic about the election; completely undecided; just presenting the facts. A shill is a decoy; a poseur -- something CIA agents might be trained to do, for example.
The difference between the two, and the reason people don't generally believe the shill message is the pretense of being a disinterested observer. If you can't trust WHY someone is saying something, why should you trust WHAT they say?
Jan
December 29, 2007 4:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
As the consequences of the Greatest Strategic Disaster in US history continue to unfold before our eyes, Sen. Clinton, co-sponsor 2002-2006, gonna have lots more 'splainin to do.
But it's nice to see Larry Johnson practicing his doubletalk and burnishing his resume for a job in Mrs. Bill's new regime
December 28, 2007 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm interested in getting on to my next errand and so maybe I'm missing something, but I simply don't see where anything LJ said is supposed to be so biased or influential on the side of Hillary or any other candidate.
Clearly the point of the joke did go over me since I wasn't wrapped up in what somebody's spokesperson said or didn't say yesterday. So I just glossed over it and it didn't register, I guess I assumed it was a hit at Bush or somebody.
With 30 years experience writing, a joke is almost always a very poor idea if you are not named Art Buchwald -- even the pros throw a lot of incompletions when they're trying to stretch the intellectual field, so to speak. If you are so great your punch line is hilarious to all factions, then you've scored a touchdown, but the odds are way against you. At the very least it's good sense to announce that you're trying for a joke in an otherwise serious piece.
Obviously LJ didn't hit it this time.
But to me, the serious advocates of peace are not going to make any progress until we can absolutely rid ourselves of the habit, and launch an education campaign to rid others of the habit, of choosing our Presidential candidates on the basis of emotion and then defending them thick or thin against all the other similarly flawed candidates.
None of these candidates is going to be a saviour. After the years since Nov. 7, 2000, we have all become justifiably paranoid that any of them could become the AntiChrist, the Rosemary's Baby, the Nero who completes the destruction of civic values begun by Caligula Bush. So there's a lot of emotion out there, and it's real and move to it.
And that's precisely why we have to undertake the civic movement to consciously make the choice more intelligent and rational. This would also help deny the traditional media the power to move us with their "Dean Screams Muskie Cries" lemming rushes.
December 28, 2007 6:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't often disagree with Dan K. on foreign policy (or anything else). It's also fun to bash Clinton and to harp on her Iraq and Iran votes, although in practice I think of her positions as more cowardly and evasive than hawkish. Trying to figure out her intentions on Iraq, or even whether it actually differs substantively from Obama's, is as pointless as reading tea leaves. I also enjoy screaming about Bush, whose policies in Pakistan have been very bad, and I'd certainly be suspicious of anyone using hysterical attacks on Clinton to justify her. We've had enough "the enemy of my enemy is my friend" from foreign policy realists, much less in campaigning.
However, let's even let aside how serious Clinton stand out among others in responsibility for Bush's war. I've said it's overblown, but I'll at least entertain the notion that it requires scrutinizing her more than others. But even without that, this "direct line from the war in Iraq" thing to Bhutto's death is so overblown that I can't waste time on it.
True, a little more success in Afghanistan might have put pressure on Pakistan to work with us, so going to war in Iraq hurt there, but I doubt it's a major driver to Musharef's seizing power or Bhutto's return from exile. True, we stirred up more Muslim extremism worldwide, although not so obviously in terms of destabilizing Pakistan than some other places, such as with the growth of AQI. True, if we had seized bin Laden on schedule, we might not have to cut Musharef a break, but that's logical only if you think Bush has ever been serious about catching bin Laden. True, there's a similar set of assumptions in Bush's hope for the spread of democracy in Iraq and in Pakistan, with similar lack of knowledge about both nations, but that's not cause and effect from one nation to the other. And true, militarism generally is not terribly democratic, but that's an even looser link to Bhutto's assassination (and she was only the most secular, not the least corrupt or perhaps even democratic of the bunch). Besides, that assumes it's our job to play tough and shape up Pakistan, which is not my idea of liberal foreign policy.
Have we so demonized Clinton that we're desperate to find anything to lay on her? Why not just say you'd like to hear her speaking out more forthrightly for peace, if that's the real beef with her, and stop trolling the mud for more?
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
December 29, 2007 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
For what it's worth, in their December 29 editorial, the editors of the Pakistan Daily Times are buying the story of Mustafa Abu Al-Yazid phone call and that al Qaeda is responsible. They give reasons. It appears that they ae so convinced that their concluding paragraph is quite striking, chiding their fellow citizens for not taking al Qaeda's designs seriously enough as a problem concerning their own selfish interest:
While moderate, they are not exactly stooges of the Musharraf government. For an example, see one of the editors' interview in November by Foreign Policy on Musharraf's martial law plan. and here is their Nov. 7 editorial blasting him for imposing it.
December 29, 2007 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
There are other reports from the Pakistan Daily times, which tend to implicate al Qaeda in the assassination:
I am no fan of Musharraf, but I am a fan of using Occam's Razor in analysis. That leads me to believe that al Qaeda is the entity most likely behind the assassination. This does not rule out rogue ISI, but one thing that is certain about Musharraf, he is not stupid. It is unlikely that he would have believed Bhutto's assassination would be a sure positive event for his designs.
January 1, 2008 9:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
New video footage of the assassination picked off of Youtube today. No personal analysis yet, but I may need to revise my beliefs about the assassination.
January 2, 2008 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
My two-cents worth: I'm neither a Clinton nor an Obama supporter so with any luck bias will not play a part in my comment. A large part of Obama's appeal to many Dems is his firm stand against the Iraq War, both in its inception and its currently disastrous consequences. It's only rational politics that he would take every opportunity to use Clinton's (and Edward's) war resolution vote as his best weapon in this campaign. And, quite frankly, I think he has a point in saying that had the US not been intentionally misled into a war having absolutely nothing to do with al Qaeda or 9/11 and instead had focused on Afghanistan and its reconstruction and northern Pakistan, then the threats still existent in that region would be considerably less. That's simply a realistic view on US policy. Whether such a wise policy would have 'saved' Bhutto from assassination is anyone's guess. The fact that her return to Pakistan was largely brokered by the US and Britain as a means to achieve a more aggressive anti-terrorist Pakistan should also be given
a certain amount of blame for the current crisis. US attempts at regime change, whether military or whatever you would call this move of bringing Bhutto back, almost always lead to tragedy for the people of the country involved.
As to the comment about the FBI, Scotland Yard and Mossad being asked for security help by Bhutto, I can't imagine that such a forthright foreign presence would have been appreciated by the Pakistani people and would have rather clearly shown the world what was taking place in Bhutto's return, i.e., regime change approved by Western powers. This isn't to say that Bhutto didn't want to return, just that the timing was too dangerous and should have been given higher priority.
December 29, 2007 2:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Disclosure: I've given money to Barack Obama.
Let's see.
Agree or disagree:
1-diverting resources from Afghanistan to Iraq weakened the U.S. effort against al Qaeda and boosted al Qaeda recruiting?
2-The very quote to which the "joking" headline refers has Axelrod citing specifically al qaeda's resurgence as a main reason for the assassination
3-Thus, an opening sentence that reads "Yep, it’s official. Al Qaeda...killed Benzir Bhutto," actually lends credence to the idea that Bhutto's assassination can be somewhat linked to U.S. policy in Iraq
No?
4-Regardless of your political take on the situation, Larry Johnson's "joke" in the headline and lede are in poor taste.
5-Larry Johnson's behavior here and here are inappropriate of any commenter on this site, let alone a regular columnist. Regardless of political persuasion, one should not be calling others "moron[s]" or twisting their usernames into insults. At first I rated them each "1"s because I felt almost awkward rating a regular columnist a troll, but then realized that, [a]were he not a regular columnist, I certainly would have rated those "0" each, and [b]columnists ought to be held to higher, not lower, standards. As such, both were rated troll-worthy, and I will be submitting a formal complaint to the site managers.
That behavior is simply unacceptable.
December 31, 2007 5:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Peter Bergen Jan. 1 on CNN, from the Anderson Cooper 360 Degrees transcript; my highlighting is just to point out his main opinion for those not wanting to read the whole thing:
January 2, 2008 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink