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Ease up, Dr. Krugman

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The debate about health care mandates importantly divides Obama from Clinton and Edwards. Paul Krugman blasted Obama on this, which alarms even Obama's supporters. But perhaps Homer has nodded just this once and Obama is on the more solid ground.

Here’s the key point, in my view: either Americans should get insurance from their employers or, if they lack an employer, they should have ways to enroll very easily in a comprehensive health insurance plan through a variety of different techniques. But this approach is quite a bit different than a mandate.

Mandates alone, without more of a systemic approach to the failures in the health insurance market, can produce a windfall for insurance salesmen and bad deals for individuals.

In Massachusetts, the only state to have a health care mandate, waivers have been granted to 20 percent of state residents who cannot afford coverage. Hundreds of thousands more have refused to purchase coverage despite the mandate. The very idea of government mandates directed to individuals evokes a command-and-control model that disturbs citizens who want to enjoy certain freedoms in choosing health care.

Can anyone imagine a President Clinton or Edwards – even if they are taking the advice of Paul Krugman, who I’m second to none in praising on other topics than mandates – using employers or the IRS to enforce a mandate by fines or other sanctions? Could an employer fire an employee for not adhering to a mandate? Could the police arrest those who fail by accident, confusion, or even negligence not to sign up? Could a hospital decline to treat those who did not comply with a mandate?

What we want to do is reform the system, and then find multiple ways to assure that everyone is covered. Everything about behavioral economics tells us that multiple ways to sign up are necessary, because one size doesn’t fit all in health care, and what people sign up to is as important as how they get signed up.


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Phrases like "failures in the health insurance market" drive me nuts. Can't we talk about health CARE here not care for insurance companies and care for markets? This isn't an insurance company failure or a market failure. It's a failure to care for and care about people.

"Reform the system"? What are you talking about. That's just spin. "Find multiple ways to assure everyone is covered". More spin. All those multiple ways do is virtually guarantee that people who can't deal with navigating all the red tape and confusion of "multiple ways" will fall through the cracks. "Multiple ways" to provide coverage tend to turn into "multiple ways" to deny coverage. But the politicians get to pretend that they've accomplished something.

This does not excuse Obama for lying about what his plan would do nor for ignoring the problem of free loaders if you allow people to opt in at the last minute.

Obama's plan was poorly thought out and dishonestly explained,

The huge "elephant sitting in the middle of health care room" is how to reduce runaway costs which threaten our entire economy-especially what GAO head David Walker calls the economic tsunami of 77 million boomers hitting Medicare. (Everything else is secondary including mandates vs. non-mandates)

So I agree with Reed Hundt that

what people sign up to is as important as how they get signed up.

Reducing costs however is very dangerously close to denying "treatment" so politicians are very circumspect when talking about it.

As for me. I believe both individual(health behaviors)and institutiona(public health) prevention is our only way out of this fiscal crisis.

Prevention musy be implented incrementally and always with compassion

Dr. Rick Lippin
http://medicalcrises.blogspt.com

Any form of "universal" health care will cause the majority of Americans to pay more than they would have without that program. That is because a large majority of us don't have significant health care bills. Statistics have been tossed around over and over about how most of the nation's health care costs are spent on a minority of our citizens.

If you make buying insurance mandatory, with the cost the same for everyone, most of us will be paying more for that insurance than we did when it was optional, and we could pick a form of coverage that covered only disastrous health problems.

But, if you substitute a Medicare type program for the health care insurance sold by insurance companies, then it is possible for all of us to believe we are getting some value for out dollars. That is done by subsidizing the care of the very unhealthy minority with tax funds other than the tax to pay for the health care. Possibly that would be accepted by enough people for such a program to be successful.

Why must we continue to talk pretend health care coverage?

Hoppy in Sacramento

People who are mandated to buy auto insurance and fail to buy it have their license to drive revoked, so a refusal to obey the government's command to feed the trillion dollar health insurance boondoggle will lose. . .their right to life?

Anyone who has seen "Sicko", which was all about people who are supposedly "covered" by health insurance, knows how bad the health insurance racket is. They're basically in business to take premiums and deny care. But hey, that's where the profit is.

In this election cycle Clinton has received $2,340,461 and Obama $1,828,152 from health industry PACs*. Mandated or not, Clinton or Obama, the health insurance industry expects to get a huge return on these investments. The next highest Dem candidate, by the way, is Biden at a paltry $153,050.

It's a trillion dollar industry--and they want more. The whole mandate issue is a purposeful distraction from the wrongs of the health insurance industry itself. What's the alternative?

Congressman John Conyers has sponsored H.R. 676, the United States National Health Insurance Act (USNHI) which establishes a unique American universal health insurance program with single payer financing. The bill would create a publicly financed, privately delivered health care system that improves and expands the already existing Medicare program. Every person living or visiting in the United States and the U.S. Territories would receive a United States National Health Insurance Card and ID number. This program will cover all medically necessary services and there are no co-pays or deductibles under this act. Families and businesses would pay much less for health care than they are currently paying.
http://www.house.gov/conyers/news_hr676_1.htm

*health professionals, health services/HMOs and hospitals/nursing homes; data from opensecrets.org

ecotourism
WeGoEco.com

Reed Hundt:

Could an employer fire an employee for not adhering to a mandate? Could the police arrest those who fail by accident, confusion, or even negligence not to sign up? Could a hospital decline to treat those who did not comply with a mandate?

meet Paul Krugman :

Well, John Edwards has just called Mr. Obama’s bluff, by proposing that individuals be required to show proof of insurance when filing income taxes or receiving health care. If they don’t have insurance, they won’t be penalized — they’ll be automatically enrolled in an insurance plan.

That’s actually a terrific idea — not only would it prevent people from gaming the system, it would have the side benefit of enrolling people who qualify for S-chip and other government programs, but don’t know it.

(Italics mine)

they’ll be automatically enrolled in an insurance plan

That's a great idea. Then to reduce costs and charges of favoritism make that insurance plan Medicare, and to eliminate billing costs have the government pay. Then everyone, except those liking their current HMOs and private doctors enough that they're willing to continue to pay them, will go this way and (with proper financing) we'll have state-of-the-art health care like every other advanced country.

=== Here’s the key point, in my view: either Americans should get insurance from their employers or, ===
Why? Seriously and fundamentally: why?
.
I have read quite a bit of the economic history of WWII and I do know how paying doctor bills came to be attached to employment. And we all know what happened in the 1950s and 1960s with auto and steel industry union contracts - which may have been a good deal in an ever-expanding economy with some notion of job security.
.
But today the reasons for tying health care to an employer are long used up, and health care if anything is used more as a club against employees than anything else. And of course there is the entire trend of trying to force more and more workers to leave the direct employer and set up as independent contractors with zero or no health benefits.
.
So I really need to see some more than an assertion that health care "should" be tied to an employer.
.
sPh

Could a hospital decline to treat those who did not comply with a mandate?
Not in emegency, but they still would have to pay the bills. I don't want to pay for them with my tax dollars.

The issue is preexisting conditions. You can’t force insurance companies to issue flood insurance after flood, you can’t force medical insurance companies to issue medical insurance after heart attack or cancer detection. Therefore if Obama doesn’t require people to buy insurance, he can’t require medical insurance to cover preexisting conditions. If he does require insurance companies to cover preexisting conditions, he is being dishonest.

Re: Statistics have been tossed around over and over about how most of the nation's health care costs are spent on a minority of our citizens.

Almost all of us will eventually be in that minority at some point in our life, usually at the end, but sometimes well before that. A few people, mostly those who die in sudden accidents, do escape chronic illness and high healthcare bills, but that usually involves dying younger than one should so I'm not sure it's a good deal.

Re: If you make buying insurance mandatory, with the cost the same for everyone, most of us will be paying more for that insurance than we did when it was optional

Actually, no. One way or another the nation's healthcare bill is paid for, including the bill for uncompensated care. There is no free lunch. And while a person who gets his insurance through his employer (the majority of us) may not see the full cost of that coverage, it's still there. Mandates do not result in people paying more overall, though it may force them to confront the cost whereas now they can ignore it.

Re: so a refusal to obey the government's command to feed the trillion dollar health insurance boondoggle will lose. . .their right to life?

As we do with parents who don't pay child support we can hold their tax refunds and, in extreme cases, revoke their drivers licenses.

I DO want to pay for them with my tax dollars just like I DO want to pay for my local elementary school, middle school, high school, community college, state university, my streets, highways, bridges, parks.

I DON'T want to pay for war, for foreign adventures, for a bloated military industrial complex.

Defend the lives of ALL Americans. Provide them health care. Tax me.

Sure, then you want all of us to pay fair share and you don't want to make paying taxes to be voluntarily. But it's not what Obama proposes.

I think what he wants is what Kucinich is proposing: single payer.

Of course, we all know that's not "serious" and that "serious" proposals reform the system, because in America employers pay for health insurance from private providers.

How the hell did we go from being a country founded on revolution to one that supports the irrational status quo in healthcare (and college football championships, presidential caucuses/primaries, the electoral college, etc. etc.) simply because it is the status quo?

At any rate, the answer to the problems in our health insurance system is actually pretty simple: end it, don't mend it. The difficult part is the politics.

Why? Seriously and fundamentally: why?
Because politically, you can't change medical system fundamentally. I have my PPO ,I'm OK with it, I'm not going to vote for any candidate who is going to take it away from me, but maybe I don't mind to pay just a LITTLE more taxes to help insure everybody. This is reality.

Most of Krugman's comments are not mentioned here. The same criticism against Obama covers also social security and the mirage of bipartisan policy. Krugman, and rightly so, states that Obama runs with Republican ideas under the disguise of a liberal Democrat which he is not.

He doesn't know who he is.

How the hell did we go from being a country founded on revolution to one that supports the irrational status quo

It's easy to explain:
The proletarians have nothing to lose but their chains. They have a world to win.
I don't know about you, but I have a lot to lose, and not much to win from the goverment, therefore I don't want revolution. I just want from the President don't screw up much, or at least don't screw up as much as Bush did. That's all.

That makes you a conservative and you have two major parties to choose from. The rest of us have none.

duplicate.

Not true. If you have support of 25 % of American people, he or she can take over one of
two major parties, then if he has support of 50% of American people, he can be elected President. If you are in a small minority on the very Left or the very Right, you out of luck.

It is good to see, and not a moment too soon, some serious questioning of the extremely likely to have an impact but totally unfair attack by Krugman on Obama (disclosure: I have contributed several times to Obama's campaign). I see that some of these attacks are repeated in this thread, such as charges that Obama is "dishonest" without stating the specific fact and what specific statements contradict it -- like Krugman, we are to take the harsh moral judgment largely on faith.

I can understand a serious debate over the issue of mandates. An EXCELLENT article that was first posted on Huffington Post on Nov 30 by RJ Eskow discusses the issue rationally and in depth. I highly recommend it:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/rj-eskow/health-mandates-why-pau_b_74915.html

[I know you have to cut and paste this rather than just click it]

The key point, as Eskow says is not that Obama is fundamentally opposed to any mandates ever for adults (the plan includes universally mandatory coverage of all minors), but rather a question of what to put first, in terms of policy foundation:

The main difference between Obama's plan and his rivals' is this: They would mandate health coverage first and fix cost problems later. Obama would do the opposite. While both approaches are problematic, there is a strong case to be made that Obama's plan is fairer - and more politically progressive.

This point is particularly important given the nasty statements and innuendos made in lieu of substantive argument about Obama's plan. (further disclosure: I favor single payer, and as a socialist am much closer to Kucinich's position on this issue, while realizing it isn't about to happen in the US; I also am NOT deeply familiar with the different plans of the mainstream Democrats and their implications). For all this claptrap about Obama parroting rightwing talking points, the notion of trying to avoid the areas of the largest likely popular opposition to a plan, even if it makes the plan a little more expensive per capita covered (as Krugman suggests) is hardly closet reactionary thinking. It is political realism, and we need more political realism rather than what has struck me as unfairly attacking Obama, perhaps driven in part by his evoking a stricter political morality than others
(something often deeply resented).

Also, nowhere have I seen ANYONE parse HRC's repeatedly deployed number that 15 million would be left out of Obama's plan, where that number comes from and what the different substantive rather than merely food fight positions are about this number and its purported basis.

even if it makes the plan a little more expensive per capita covered
It's not a little more expensive, it's much more expensive. How in the right mind would buy insurance until he gets a serious medical condition. It seems that you suggest that Hillary/Edwards mandate can't work, and I suggest that without mandate Obama plan can't work. I'm afraid that we are both correct.

Early on, I also contributed to Obama. A young enthusiastic person with a lot of promise. I don't think experience is important.

Since then several things happen. I see heralding bipartisanship as a naive and dangerous stance. The Republicans are not partner to anything as of today. Then came the vouchers that are shorthand for decreasing money to public education. Then the half baked health plan. (The stories about the cost are beautiful but immaterial - take it from Iraq.) Finally came the social security canard. I don't even mention the support for the Iraq war in 2004-2005.

Is Krugman unfair? I don't think so.

There is one way to reduce costs per person covered that is not associated with "denying treatment", so in response to:

Reducing costs however is very dangerously close to denying "treatment" so politicians are very circumspect when talking about it.
... observe that people without health insurance increases the cost of providing health insurance to those who are covered.

Of course, the observation that permitting some to take a free ride on the system will increase the costs per person for those who do not take a free ride leads some to argue for universal health care.

The result is the same in straight bucks (setting aside likely lower overhead in single-payer), but you may be right about palatability. Also aiding the soft hit is the delay in onset, or at least not-obvious linkage, for the necessary tax offset.

But this sort-of-truth is only the case when all other things are equal, and they aren't. As mentioned, overhead could be much lower with less clutter in the process. Another savings would be less money wasted in ER treatment of minor issues. More money is saved when prevention avoids costly chronic diseases.

Cloudy, the criticism of "dishonest" aimed at Sen Obama regards his statement continually repeated that everyone would be covered under his plan. That's just not true as has been explained by a number the field's cognescenti.

I too am in favor of Medicare for all. As long as insurance companies are involved, coverage will be nothing but a cruel game: insurance companies takes the poor sucker's money and then work very hard to keep it, without having to pay out. The last I heard, something ridiculous like 80% of claims are denied. The bean counters figure that only about 30% of those people will fight the finding, so they get to keep the money. This is just immoral!

Until the profit motive is taken out of the equation, people will suffer and that is just not acceptable.

As a resident of Massachusetts and avid watcher of local politics, I can assure you that our mandated healthcare plan (AKA RomneyCare) is going to fail miserably for a number of reasons, many of which have not been noted in this thread.

First, the state is going to charge those who do not sign up 50% of the lowest premium they qualify for every month that they are not enrolled. In other words, if you are young and healthy and make $30K, you might qualify for a $200/mo policy. If you are not enrolled, the state revenue department is going to charge you $100/mo. that is going to be withheld from your tax return and potentially garnished from your wages.

Second, you will lose your personal state tax exemption for all on your tax return who are not covered - about $300/year per person. (2 parents + 2 kids = $1200)

Third, the subsidies to pay for the poorest resident's insurance are quite generous, but the second you hit the 3X poverty level, they completely disappear. Few families of 4 who make $65k/ year can afford the $700+/month *mandatory* coverage after they pay the mortgage and buy food. The subsidy curve is too steep.

Fourth, Massachusetts is a small enough state that those who are mobile enough can move 50 miles to Vermont, NH, Connecticut, RI, or NY and avoid the whole mess altogether. I live in a border town (North Adams, MA) and know of several working class folks who plan to move to Vermont or NY while keeping their jobs here in MA.

If this plan implodes the way I expect it, there will be one of three outcomes -
1) The state will fix it properly by reigning in the insurance companies and setting one-size fits all rates;
2) The state will cave on the enforcement of the mandates and make the problem worse;
3) The whole thing will be scrapped and the cause of Healthcare for All will be set back by a decade.

What happened the last time a government plan for healthcare collapsed? -We got Speaker Gingrich.

This is too important to screw up. Edwards is right - No penalties. Both Obama and Clinton are wrong.

Better yet - Single Payer.

Well said, koshembos. For the reasons you just mentioned, Obama dropped from my number 2 choice to my number 3.

Either he is being dishonest to woo the center (a turn off), or is being truthful and therefore much too center-right for my taste.

Frank Rich's article, which was an attempt to boost Obama, speaks volumes:

The drumbeat of approval has been remarkably steady. Last year Mark McKinnon, a top adviser to both the 2000 and 2004 Bush campaigns, admiringly called Mr. Obama “a walking, talking hope machine” who “may reshape American politics.” Andrew Ferguson devoted pages in The Weekly Standard to raving about “Dreams From My Father,” Mr. Obama’s memoir, before dismissing its political sequel, “The Audacity of Hope.” Rich Lowry, the editor of National Review, keeps trying to write anti-Obama articles but they’re so mild that they never really contradict his judgment of a year ago that the senator from Illinois “is the only presidential candidate from either party about whom there is a palpable excitement.” Even Tom Tancredo, the most virulent immigration demagogue of the G.O.P. presidential field, has spoken warmly of Mr. Obama.

Perhaps most striking is the case of Shelby Steele, the archconservative scholar who shares Mr. Obama’s mixed-race heritage. Though he has just written an entire book, “A Bound Man,” to argue (unpersuasively, in my view) that Mr. Obama “can’t win,” he can’t stop himself from admiring the guy throughout. Peggy Noonan wasn’t being tongue-in-cheek when she wondered in The Wall Street Journal last month whether Mr. Obama “understands the kind of quiet cheering he is beginning to garner from some Republicans.”


I see it the problem is in understanding the way our economic system identifies costs, who causes them, who pays, and who benefits from the disassociation of these three issues.

First, we are all paying for those who do not pay when they go to the emergency room and other offices and do not pay already.

This is said but there are many others that do not receive care and die, what is not understood by the public about this word, die because of lack of care or medications!

There would be an additional expense in truth to allow them to live. Thus it would be an increase in numbers of individuals who would receive treatment. The increase in heath care expense would depend on either paying more to treat them or reducing the causes of bad health.

I have said before that we have the best environment for profit of any other developed country. Others brag on this, but not in the way I see it. We allow poisons in our environment because it costs too much it is said to use safe chemicals.

I see workers sawing concrete without even a simple mask to protect their lungs. City workers blowing out stoplight control boxes filled with cancerous chemical dust and sand remains from passing exhausts with no mask or respirator. Need I go on? You hear the story every day. The EPA did not regulate…. OHSH does not exist it seems anymore… If we reduced the environmental problems, practiced safe working conditions and made the industries clean up their chemicals our deaths and lingering illnesses would be reduced.

There was an author on NPR talking about why the EU controlled the environment better than us even though they have as entrenched industries that have even more power than ours. The answer was that since the government had the money go through them they controlled the things that caused disease. That is to say they made the desease causer in the economy clean up their problems. In America we allow them to make a greater profit at the expense of the health of humans and the out of pocket health expenses of others.

Look at your family and friend and say to them, I agree to let you have a greater chance of disease, retardation and/or death because I want the business of America to have more profits! That is what we are doing!

You may think you have the greatest heath coverage but you cannot protect your family and friends. You may think you have coverage now but you never hear the statistics of how may will have gaps in coverage and for how long during their life time.
This truth is never revealed!

At present when even wounded Iraqi soldiers are not helped how far before insurance companies are allowed to drop the sick in mass as the expense of paying for treatment costs the company too much….

Remember to say I have my coverage and not to help expand health care to all is like saying, I am not going to save fellow human being from death when for insignificant changes to my income.

What is a life worth? Will it be yours or a loved one with cancer because of chemical in the food or in the environment?

Think about how many will die tonight because of money. Maybe we should declare “hording money" as one of the major causes of death in America!
-Ask yourself as I do the same, am I hording money tonight?

-----------------------------------------------
Today, are we searching for I deals or Ideals?
-Thinking

I accept the political reality that many, probably most, Americans are instinctively averse to government mandates of all kinds, and are generally initially opposed to any initiative by which the government will now coerce them to do something that in the past was a matter of individual choice.

So the best political strategy is to lead people gradually to the acceptance of new mandates by starting down a path whose first step lacks mandates, but whose inner logic leads in the end to mandates. You start with a plan that initially allows some free riders, and then eventually people say, "Hey, there are all these deadbeat free-riders in the system! Do something about it Mr. and Ms. Politician!" But if you start right in with a plan requiring mandates, the American citizen's kneejerk "don't tread on me" libertarianism kicks in.

So holding back on the mandates for now seems like good political strategy to me. But I hate to see this good political sense turned into a bunch of bad Republican-style arguments of principle against mandates, as Reed seems to be doing. He says:

The very idea of government mandates directed to individuals evokes a command-and-control model that disturbs citizens who want to enjoy certain freedoms in choosing health care.

Well sure. Also, the very idea of government requirements that individuals pay taxes on income evokes a command-and-control model that disturbs citizens who want to enjoy certain freedoms in choosing what to do with their wages.

For that matter, the very idea of government-enacted laws of any kind binding on individuals evokes a command-and-control model that disturbs citizens who want to enjoy certain freedoms in choosing how to behave in every sphere of life.

Big deal. We live in a mature modern society of laws that compels people to behave in certain ways for the common good. If some people want to live in a totally libertarian society where everyone is permanently "free to choose" and gets to do whatever the hell he wants, maybe they can find an uninhabited island somewhere and found one, and then move their with all the other tax rebels and free staters.

Can anyone imagine a President Clinton or Edwards ... using employers or the IRS to enforce a mandate by fines or other sanctions? Could an employer fire an employee for not adhering to a mandate? Could the police arrest those who fail by accident, confusion, or even negligence not to sign up? Could a hospital decline to treat those who did not comply with a mandate?

I don't know. Can you imagine the government actually deducting taxes from people's paychecks to pay for such things as education and national defense? Can you imagine people going to jail for refusing to pay their taxes? Oh, the horror! What kind of collectivist gulag state would ever dream of such a thing?!

Indeed, there are people all over this country who want to end government support for public education. They want to take their money out of the government-run system so they will be free to spend it on the private school of their choice. It "disturbs" them that they do not "enjoy certain freedoms in choosing" the education for their child. Generally, Democrats have taken a dim view of such arguments. Isn't health care at least as important as education?

What we want to do is reform the system, and then find multiple ways to assure that everyone is covered. Everything about behavioral economics tells us that multiple ways to sign up are necessary, because one size doesn’t fit all in health care, and what people sign up to is as important as how they get signed up.

Fine, but one can eventually allow and encourage multiple ways of signing up consistent with the general requirement that everyone sign up for something.

For now, we should recognize that while Krugman is no doubt an excellent economist, he's no political strategist.

What we want to do is reform the system, and then find multiple ways to assure that everyone is covered. Everything about behavioral economics tells us that multiple ways to sign up are necessary, because one size doesn’t fit all in health care, and what people sign up to is as important as how they get signed up.

What we want to do is send everybody a membership card, and pay for it with the income tax. This will increase the takehome pay of everyone who currently has insurance through their employer (because the cost of health care will be cut in half), and provide coverage to everyone.

Multiple ways to sign up means higher costs.

And, yes, one size does fit all for health care. That's part of the point here. If you get sick, you need to be treated. Everybody gets sick. Everybody needs to be treated. And it's cheaper, overall, if everybody pays for all the costs of treating everybody through a universal tax that provides universal coverage.

This is not a debatable issue. The US pays twice as much for worse care under a system that assumes silly things like "one size doesn't fit all" for health care than does the rest of the OECD.

How new system will deal with Medicare fraud:
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/18/business/18whistle.html
The suit, filed in 2003 in federal court in Dallas, and unsealed this year, argues that improper sales practices, together with erroneous accounting, are invisibly draining millions of dollars out of vital public programs like Medicare through overcharges or unauthorized uses. While whistle-blower cases typically involve, at most, a handful of companies, Ms. Fitzgerald’s alleges systemic fraud across a whole network of companies and more than 7,000 health care institutions.

Right.

This was discussed somewhat in Mahar's HCI thread recently. Where I was surprised she seemed to be endorsing the Mass system somewhat.

HCI costs must be made more efficient before more people can afford to enroll.

Private insurers, profit or non-profit, are too bureaucratically redundant, incompatible, and focused on cost externalization. They generate tremendous additional HCI costs to themselves and to doctors, which is then passed on to consumers through premiums. They are incapable of providing base coverage efficiently at rates everyone can afford.

Simply mandating enrollment of base HCI with such wasteful insurers won't work, and will fail politically.

I believe both individual(health behaviors)and institutiona(public health) prevention is our only way out of this fiscal crisis.

Right, they go together. Public policy must increase preventative, which also includes medical lifestyle advice and tools to patients to help themselves. Especially for children, the earliest and best opportunity for disease prevention.

The Mass plan looks like a disaster to me. Mandates without significant reform is just forcing people to buy lousy HCI they can't afford. The benefits to the risk pool will be a long time in coming, if the Mass plan survives long enough politically, and that's the best possible scenario.

Phased, universal, single payer, is a way better route. It can be accomplished through Medicare/Medicaid or subsidy with tight regulation. Economic disruptions are phased-in allowing parallel job growth/shifts, while the benefits are immediate and politically positive for each group that gains benefits.

Any form of "universal" health care will cause the majority of Americans to pay more than they would have without that program.

I think you meant to say "without any insurance."

Presently, Americans with insurance are paying about double what other countries spend to insure thier entire country with better care. The reason is much of what we pay is wasted in companies very efficient at making a profit, but inefficient at delivering health care.

The efficiency of Medicare, or the single player systems other developed nations use, isn't due to a tax subsidy. That's not it at all nor would that even be an efficiency, just a different source of funds. To be clear, Europeans, Japanese, and other developed countries with HC better than ours, pay about half, in total, including taxes, as what we pay per capita, to insure their entire population, with better HC. Japan for example has more MRI per capita than the US. Many European countries have family health care that is unimaginably good by American standards. Pre and post natal care is thorough, and includes in-home care.

American Health Care insurance, even the PPOs common to the $100-200K income brackets, are pathetic compared with what many other developed countries have for less cost, universally.

The efficiency of universal/single payer systems comes from:

1) Cutting the paperwork: increased standardization and compatibility reduces bureaucracy, paperwork, and doctor's office costs.

2) Non-profit stops the bleeding of the public health to Wall Street. Wall Street should profit by a healthy population and economy in a virtuous cycle, not by denying health care and beginning a vicious cycle.

3) Cutting costs unrelated to medical care: Reduction in marketing, executive packages, and other costs unrelated to health care.

4) Larger and more stable risk pool allows better management and efficient allocation of funds to predictable health care demands.

5) Ending predatory practices. Ending practices of cherry picking and cost externalization, which winds up costing the consumer a lot.

6) Increased preventative. The universality of care greatly increases preventative which reduces medical costs, AND raises quality of life and economic output.

7) Better medical records maintenance due to standardization, which both cuts costs and improves patient care.

8) Less Emergency Room visits and catastrophic disease. Everybody has insurance so the terribly expensive critical care, due to neglect of health, is greatly reduced.

9) Greatly lowered drug costs due to negotiated bulk buys.

Those are all efficiency gains. There are more, that's just a short list. That is why other developed countries are able to buy far more than we're getting, for far less than we're spending.

Every income bracket in America will save money and get better care

Obama's Plan to Cover the Uninsured. From his website. www.barackobama.com/issues/healthcare/

1. Obama's Plan to Cover the Uninsured. Obama will create a new national health plan to allow individuals without access to affordable insurance coverage to buy coverage similar to that available to members of Congress. The Obama plan will have the following features:

* Guaranteed eligibility. No American will be turned away from any insurance plan because of illness or pre-existing conditions.
* Comprehensive benefits. The benefit package will be similar to the Federal Employees Health Benefits Program (FEHBP), and cover all essential medical services, including preventive, maternity and mental health care.
* Affordable premiums, co-pays and deductibles.
* Subsidies. Individuals who do not qualify for Medicaid or SCHIP but still need assistance will receive an income-related federal subsidy to buy into the new public plan or purchase a private health care plan.
* Simplifying paperwork and reining in health costs.
* Easy enrollment. The new public plan will be simple to enroll in and provide ready access to coverage.
* Portability and choice. Participants in the new public plan and the National Health Insurance Exchange (see below) will be able to move from job to job without changing their health care coverage.
* Quality and efficiency. Participating insurance companies will be required to collect and report data to ensure that standards for quality, health information technology and administration are being met.

2. National Health Insurance Exchange. Obama will create a National Health Insurance Exchange to help individuals who wish to purchase private insurance. The Exchange will act as a watchdog group and help reform the private insurance market by creating rules and standards for participating insurance plans to ensure fairness and to make individual coverage more affordable and accessible. Insurers would have to issue every applicant a policy, and charge fair and stable premiums. The Exchange will require benefits comparable to those offered in the new public plan. Insurers would be required to justify an above-average premium increase. The Exchange would evaluate plans and provide information about differences between them.

3. Employer Contribution. Employers that do not offer or make a meaningful contribution to the cost of quality health coverage for their employees will be required to contribute a percentage of payroll toward the costs of the national plan. Small employers that meet certain revenue thresholds will be exempt.

4. Mandatory Coverage of Children. Obama will require that all children have health care coverage. Obama will expand the number of options for young adults to get coverage, including by allowing young people up to age 25 to continue coverage through their parents' plans.

5. Expansion of Medicaid and SCHIP. Obama will expand eligibility for Medicaid and the State Children's Health Insurance Program. Obama will expand eligibility for the medicaid and schip programs and ensure that these programs continue to serve their critical safety net function.

6. Flexibility for State Plans. Obama's plan allows states to continue innovating on health care reform. Due to federal inaction, some states have taken the lead in health care reform. The obama plan builds on these efforts and does not replace what states are doing. States can continue to experiment, provided they meet the minimum standards of the national plan.

Del

How about plans through your local hospital or something? Have em partner up with a local
bank or something to deal with providing
closely audited credit to people that need
it, instalment plans etc.

Of course that's not the way it works in practice.

Three-quarters of the public wants us out of Iraq. Neither major party's leadership does, however. So next November we'll once again have to choose between two pro-war candidates or "waste" our vote by voting our conscience and supporting a minor party candidate.

All forms of group insurance has mandates. That is why group insurance is cheaper than being insuranced individually. Insurance companies mandate that their insureds have minimum participation rates, often 80%. This is to allow the healthy and the young to offset the costs of the ill and the older. It is true the employees may not be aware of the mandate but it exists.

No form of health insurance that won't become prohibitively expense needs everyone to participate. Self selection and cherrypicking are the two bains of insurance costs. If you don't have a large enough pool for a health social insurance program, it is not welfare or an entitltement, it will be too expensive.

In this Krugman is correct and Obama and Reed really don't understand the system of insurnace and the law of large numbers.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

For what it's worth, I'm not in favor of this mandate. If there are any, there are very few issues where the federal government mandates some action by individuals. Usually, we leave individual mandates up to the states, and I am a bit bothered about federalism when it comes to the insurance mandate. Especially since the government would be requiring us to purchase insurance. It's definitely weird to think that the federal government is going to tell us what to do with our money outside of a tax.

The fact is that none of these proposals are "universal" health care in the true sense of the word. If they want to claim universality, then propose a goddamn single payer system. That's what I want. That's probably what most of us want. Enough of this other bullshit.

This does not excuse Obama for lying about what his plan would do nor for ignoring the problem of free loaders if you allow people to opt in at the last minute.Obama's plan was poorly thought out and dishonestly explained

Obama's plan is straight forward, honest and most importantly politically viable. Hillary spent all these years after a colossal failure only to come back with a MANDATE?  Mandates are not universal healthcare they are nothing but non=competive profits for the insurers. That is all the mandates do.  The problem is AFFORDABLE and ACCESIBLE healthcare not mandates.  Hillary once again is attempting to shove something down the electorates and politicians throat that simply will not work. Worst of all she is attacking rival plans on the very thing that makes universal health care possible. Obama's plan attacks COSTS of healthcare first.

Obama's plan means that folks are not being held hostage to insurance companies but that there is a government backed plan funded and afforadable to all Americans who CHOOSE to opt for that plan. Americans are not penalized for not choosing Obama's plan and Americans who choose to stay with the plans they already have can do so.

Obama understands that a MANDATORY plan will not be accepted by Americans and has no chance of passing through Congress. That is because he already has a track record of success on health care legislation which Hillary doesn't. Obama knows what the core issues are and what will prevent the legislation from passing. Hillary who talks a lot has nothing to show for all her fighting and bickering. She has no outcomes and a record of failure when it comes to getting anything passed by Congress that requires bipartisan ship.

 

 It’s true that Obama’s plan won’t cover people who don’t want health insurance. But that’s precisely why it’s politically wiser and economically fairer than Clinton’s plan.

The main difference between the two plans is what’s called a “mandate.” Clinton’s plan has one. It would cover everyone by forcing everyone to buy health insurance, whether wanted or not.

Obama’s plan has no mandate and forces no one to buy insurance. So Obama’s plan wouldn’t cover everyone. It would leave uncovered two groups of people: (1) those who don’t think they can afford insurance and (2) those who don’t think they need it. Obama would induce those in group (1) to buy insurance by making it affordable, mostly by repealing the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy and putting the money into health-insurance subsidies.

Clinton’s plan would try to cover both groups by forcing them to buy insurance. For those who don’t think they can afford insurance, it has to address the very same problem as Obama’s: making insurance affordable. But Clinton waffles on the best way of doing so, namely, repealing Bush’s unfair tax cuts. Clinton still wants to have it both ways; she wants to be perceived as a woman of the people and a tax cutter. As for people who think they’ll stay healthy and don’t want insurance, forcing them to buy it will just create political opposition to the plan and allow opponents to demagogue it to death once again.

Krugman and Clinton castigate the Obama plan for failing to “cover everyone.” The goal they say, is qualifying for that magic label “universal.”

But that’s not the goal at all. The goal is getting affordable health care for all those who want it, after several decades of trying. For ideological reasons, that simple, common-sense goal always encounters determined political opposition. Already Hillary has failed to reach that goal once—at a time when Democrats controlled both the White House and Congress.

Hillary Clinton’s 1993 proposal failed because she failed Politics 101. Her proposal neglected two important constituencies. It imposed a mandate for health insurance on small businesses, increasing their costs without providing means to pay them. It also ignored people who liked their current insurance and didn’t want to change it. For someone supposed above all to be a good politician—these were gross errors of judgment.

Now she’s made similar errors of judgment again. Her current proposal solves the second problem by letting people keep insurance they like. But it doesn’t solve the first. Instead of imposing a mandate on small business, it imposes a mandate on every employee and every citizen. You can bet that conservatives and lobbyists for the insurance and drug industries will make that mandate a rallying cry for opposition. Forcing people who don’t want insurance to buy it will make it harder politically to get it for those who do.

Rather than imposing mandates on people who don’t want insurance, Obama decided to tackle the pressing problem of millions of people who want it but can’t get it. That’s a reasonable political tradeoff. It makes Obama’s proposal much more palatable and resistant to demagoguery. Given our long history of entrenched political opposition to any effort to improve health care, Obama’s approach is more sensible and more likely to succeed.

Besides the spin coming from the pols, too many bodies out here have their health insurance paid by their employers. Until they get cut off and are forced to join the rest of us bottom feeders there can be no effective storming of the DC fortress. Pols aren't going to do diddly-squat until the rebellion's numbers get big.

It was predicted that when the patient/consumer no longer paid his doctor/hospital/insurance co. directly the costs of health care would eventually be prohibitive. (Not to mention having the big, fat greedy feet of the insurance industry in the mix.)

The argument was based on the idea that the consumer can and does keep costs in check but only if he knows what they are, feels the bite will he react. Paid for by the employer, they're hidden and painless.

It was also predicted that as their costs for employee's health insurance rose, employers would cut, or not increase wages. We've had years of stagnant or decreasing wages.

(And then there's the recent $6.5 million donation to the Dems and $4.8 million to the Repubs from the health care industry - doesn't bode well for health care reform soon.)

Then, I guess, it's a good thing that you're not an American, Davai. Otherwise, we might have to give a shit what you think.

Davai doesn't have any parties to choose from. He's an Israeli, not an American.

There are candidates in both parties who promise to get us out of Iraq right away. Vote for them. If this is what Three-quarters of the public want, and it's really important for them, anti-war candidates should win in both parties.

Right on, sph!


I am an unashamed socialist and have no problem with (shiver) "socialized medicine".
It would REALLY make sense to have single-payer, with a steeply progressive tax paying for health care coverage for all. Obviously, the fact that a significant % of the public would at least perceive it to be in their interests not to buy insurance, and would therefore be highly resistant to any "universal mandate" is a key factor that at least Obama has considered. Whether or not you disagree with his position (and as a supporter of a preferably nonprofit single payer system I do disagree with his position ultimately), it is simply hyperbolic of Krugman OR ANYONE to suggest that, by virtue of opposing mandates for adult coverage, and insisting it is better than 'universal mandate', Obama is "mudslinging".

I think a lot of people, in the hostility towards Obama reflected in this thread, are hostile to the very notion that anyone with sufficient integrity to be worth supporting can possibly win. That may be true, but it is worth at least giving it a shot.

At any rate, one key question I have is whether or not these health care plans will be open to LATER modification to a single-payer plan without massive dislocation, one of the strengths that I perceive to have been the case with Kerry's approach.

------------------------------------

One other issue about employer-based health care -- with companies using bankruptcy to ditch economic obligations, it is too unreliable even for those Americans regularly employed full time on the books by employers who provide complete medical coverage. I am given to understand that the latter includes the majority of Americans. (Without private plans, MedicAid, Medicare, etc -- MOST Americans, it seems [correct me if I am wrong] would not have coverage, and not 'merely' 40+ million.

I'm sick and tired of hearing about "mandates" and "choice". How about just friggin covering everybody?

There is one way to reduce costs per person covered...

I'm not sure that this statement is actually true, Bruce. If the American people would give some serious thought to fixing the unhealthy incentives that exist in their health care market, they'd be able to not only lower the costs-per-person of health care insurance, but would also be able to significantly increase the quality of health care that taxpayers receive.

Our so-called Private Health Care System (heavily dependent on government-guaranteed excess market power) creates incentives that have driven up costs, limited advancements in quality, and have compromised the care that patients receive. Prior to the arrival of Managed Care (HMO's), America's health care system gave doctors a financial incentive to over-prescribe treatment. With private insurance, physicians were hardly discouraged from over-prescribing care. Recommending more tests and procedures tended to increase their incomes. Private insurers didn't ultimately worry about this so much because they could always shift their increasing costs onto the backs of policy holders. The result? Skyrocketing increases in health care costs over several decades.

Then came Managed Care. Suddenly, the incentives for doctors were reversed. Now doctors received a fixed amount of income through their HMO contracts for services in a given time period. Under these constraints, doctors now had a financial incentive to under-prescribe treatment at a certain point. Yes, this approach did manage to slow down the growth of health care costs, but then we started to hear patients complain about receiving inadequate treatment and physicians complaining about the restrictions that were being placed on them by HMO numbers crunchers. Total health care costs were being "brought under control" to a certain degree, but they were only being limited through a reduction in the quality of health care being received.

This evolution in the incentives of America's health care providers should make it rather apparent to us that we need to create a system that gives primary care providers the right kind of incentives. How might it be possible to set up a health care system that would give physicians a natural incentive to give patients the best care possible while not also tempting them with financial incentives to over-prescribe care? The answer is to put doctors on a salary.

If a physician gets paid a generous salary for "just being a doctor", for "doing what a doctor does" [a certain number of hours per day] then she will not receive any extra revenue if she prescribes extra tests & procedures. Nor will she be rewarded financially for under-prescribing care. When physicians are on salary, they are freed from their concerns about financial matters and are able to fully invest themselves in the most idealistic inspirations of their calling. They can simply focus on healing people and not worry about all of the administrative headaches.

Great Britain has a health care system that creates the right kind of incentives for their providers. In spite of the bad press that it receives in this country (by the same people who give bad press to Democrats & Liberals), England's National Health Service (NHS) has actually proven itself to be perhaps the most efficient provider of superior health care in the free world. According to the OECD, both the NHS and America's private health care system produce roughly equal health outcomes. Unfortunately, America’s private health care system costs Americans more than twice as much as the NHS costs the citizens of the UK. In 2002, UK citizens spent only about 8% of their GDP on health care ($2,160 per citizen). This compares to the approximately 15% of GDP that Americans spent on health care that year ($5,267 per citizen). See why I doubt the accuracy of your statement, Bruce?

While the Brits enjoy a quality of health care that is superior to that enjoyed by Americans in many respects, the overall quality of their health service lags behind America’s in one important respect: they must put up with far longer waiting times for elective surgery. Is there something inherently flawed in the Socialized Medicine model that causes these long waiting lists? No, not at all. It's underfunding, pure and simple. If the British were to decide tomorrow to start spending the same percentage of their GDP on the NHS that Americans currently spend on their inefficient private health care system, they would be able to dramatically reduce waiting times for those elective procedures. If you hire more doctors and build more operating rooms and support services, then you will reduce wait times. It's just that simple.

Turning to the Socialized Medicine Model would not only solve our problem with incentives, it would also reduce our health care costs per person while at the same time dramatically improving the quality of care that most Americans receive. Remember, a big part of the quality equation is eliminating all of the frustrating paperwork (no insurance policy comparison headaches, no frustrating discussions of "ability-to-pay" prior to the provision of health services) and eliminating all of the money worries that parents and patients and loved one are overwhelmed with in American when someone gets sick or injured or is in need of dental work. At the point of service, adequately funded Socialized Medicine provides the best quality of care available.

Re: Obama, could someone please tell me how it is that all/most of the major Democratic contenders embrace a 'solution' could not possibly be more Republican. The classic Republican solution to the problem of uninsured citizens: force those who cannot afford insurance coverage to buy it anyway from private insurers, who are automatically able to enrich themselves further at the expense of the poor. If you subsidize the poor, then you are forcing the hardship on the poorest of working Americans who make just enough to not be classified as 'poor.' You know, the ones that have gone without insurance in order to take care of their families. Outside of the poor, who is in a worse position to handle a forced expenditure on health insurance? Why do we hate those Americans?

I think this is easily doable as follows: there are two tiers of government provided care.

Everyone is eligible to the basic tier. This guarantees you access to primary care physicians, preventive care for all (including pre natal care), and emergency care. This would go a long way to improve health care in the nation.

If you want access to specialists, treatment of cronic conditions, psychiatric care, etc., you then have three choices

a) get your own private insurance

b) contribute to a governement insurance plan. The plan will give people 12 months to sign up after its creation when nobody can be turned away for pre-existing conditions. After that, it will manage pre existing conditions, refusing coverage for those that fail to sign up (except children).

c) take the risk

This would

- ensure that everybody has minimum access to healthcare and that preventive care is funded for all

- give people choice of private insurance

- manage the issue of pre-existing conditions

does not strike me as difficult to conceive of a plan that addresses the health and funding issues. To me the difficulty is to find something that will survive relatively intact the impact of going through congress and the interest groups lobbies.

How do other countries handle elder care?

My mother-in-law was crippled but otherwise healthy. She started out with what we assumed would be more than adequate savings. She ended up being completely wiped out, and then I ended up being almost completely wiped out.

How would this scenario have played out in, for example, the UK or France?

And who is going to give me my money back?

Why were you wiped out?

In Tennessee, we have a Mandate to own car insurance. If you don't have it, and you have an accident, you pay a fine. I suspect that's what in health insurance mandate would do. People resist it at first, but like anything else, they get used to it and eventually accept it. You'll always have some who will never buy in, just like you always have some people who don't buy car insurance.

However, I think a health insurance mandate is a wonderfully awful idea IF you don't tie it to some kind of univeral state-sponsored health care coverage that actually is as good or better than private insurance.

Having heard horror stories about local nursing homes from people who would know, we were trying to run a one-patient nursing home without any experience in the business. (We heard, for example, from a nurse who had worked there and got away from the place as quickly as possible, that the most highly regarded nursing home in the area was under investigation for abuse of patients. That is just one example out of many.)

There might have been a less expensive way to do it, so you could blame us for not being experienced elder-care providers. One answer would be that we should have done thus and so, so everything is our own damned fault, and I am just a cry-baby.

OK. But what about everybody else? Why is the system not adequate to take care of such things?

So, to repeat my question, how would this have played out in the UK or France? What is the quality of their eldercare? How is it funded?

I have seen little or no discussion of this issue in connection with the current question of universal healthcare. As the boomers age, however, the issue is going to become very important.

The basic premise of Medicaid, for example, is that old people are essentially on their own to provide for their care when they cannot take care of themselves. Is that premise consistent with socialized medicine as it is understood by other countries?

There is also the fundamental issue of the lack of primary care providers (GPs, internists, family practitioners) in the US. The medical school process and incentives would have to be radically restructured to try to reverse the current split between primary providers (few) and specialists (many).

sPh

Right. The expenses that add up for elder care are not necessarily high tech. Basic skills are needed. Even well-intentioned nurses may not know how to feed a person without making them gag, for example. Some physical therapists give up easily, but others can inspire a patient to make progress in spite of themselves. You can pay higher than average rates to nurses who do little more than watch television. The consequences for the morale of the patient and the level of continuing care that will be needed in the future are enormous.

A concerned person who knows the ropes needs to have oversight over the whole process to make sure things are going as best they can.

The same country that is not willing to keep its bridges from falling down is the country that is not willing to pay serious attention to basic care for the elderly.

Great Post James Kroeger

I too as a Doc believe all Docs should be on a salary so we can become professionals again.

Dr. Rick Lippin
http://medicalcrises.blogspot.com

Do you think that all Docs should be government employees as public school teachers?

Not to speak for Dr. Lippin, but can you clarify your question? School teachers are typically working for the local school district, paid for through local property taxes. They are not federal employees.

Why do you compare doctors to teachers? I suspect you might be hoping to show that public schools are bad so public doctors are bad. Forgive me if I guessed wrong, but it would explain the otherwise weird question. Health care is very different from education, although both benefit society as a whole when offered unversally.

I don't mean "government employees" have to be federal employees only, they can be state or local government employees

How do other countries handle elder care?

Generally with a whole lot more compassion and safety net planning than we do. In regards to old age health crisis, which we're all headed for in one way or another, it's covered.

A weird but neat example: Japan's average population age is increasing somewhat, so they're looking for efficiencies in elderly care. And they don't mean "cheap" care which is generally what Americans tragically think "efficient" means. They mean high quality care with innovations to reduce costs.

One mundane but expensive problem for the elderly is simply bathing. Assisted bathing requires the attention of a nurse which is expensive and undignified. An elderly person may need several years of assisted bathing, which may take as much as an hour each day, which may be 20% of a nurse's productivity. So, one elderly patient may incur the costs of a man-year or two of labor, just for bathing!

Realizing that, the Japanese government launched various competitions in the private sector develop new ways of addressing old problems.

A Japanese robotics company invented a robotic, self opening and closing, walk-in, seated, shower/bath thing, with intercom, and communication functionality, and safety features designed for the elderly. It's got a bunch of swiveling jets and is designed to allow an elderly person to bathe unassisted in safety. Trials show it not only is far more cost efficient, and does the job, but the elderly love it because it restores some degree of self sufficiency, privacy, and dignity, and allows them to bathe at their leisure.

Economically, it's production creates good tech and manufacturing jobs, but is still many times less expensive than the nursing costs. The nurses can do other more important and skilled tasks in the saved time. Elderly patients like it better.

Who would have thought something like bathing the elderly could have been elevated to such a challenge and success story? To me, that's just a beautiful thing. It's so mundane in a way, but it's a win all around.

In America we're not planning ahead enough for these issues. Companies are watching their short term stocks, there is no national leadership on health care, and generally the assumption is we'll just import cheap labor from Mexico to do the washing, or won't have to because there will be enough poor and unskilled Americans already. Great thinking. We really should do better. What happened?

No that's not it at all.

All the government has to do is start offering a superior plan at a lower rate than private insurers can compete with due to all their bloat. It'll be Medicaid/Medicare basically, and people will sign up for it, voluntarily. Including you, if you're smart. It'll be a better value than any PPO or MMO can match.

The best way is Obama's plan of phasing it in by expanding subsidized care for children and poor first. That expanded pool will cost some, but it will also produce economic benefits due to improved preventative and improved public health. Additionally it will be offered to the general public to buy in at a good value.

That's enough of a pool to allow the benefits of single payer to manifest, and at that point the benefits will be apparent. The more people buy in, the lower the costs go, the more get insured, the healthier we are as a nation, and the less we spend on health care for more service. Wins all around.

The insurance companies will see the writing on the wall (after the obligatory foot dragging) and refocus on supplemental plans at market rates, so one can pay through the nose for as many MRI as one wants if one can afford it. They'll also switch lobbying to allow them to sell the government plan and provide customer service agencies and such for a small surcharge.

Re: Under these constraints, doctors now had a financial incentive to under-prescribe treatment at a certain point. Yes, this approach did manage to slow down the growth of health care costs


Not sure I agree that doctors have an incentive to underpresribe treatments. Most treatments (Rx, diagnostic tests, specialist referrals) are things the family doctor never did get paid for anyway. What managed care creates is an incentive to take on as many patients as possible, and spend as little time with each appointment as possible. We've probably all experienced the over-booked MD who rushes in, looks at your chart, asks a question or two, writes a script and leaves.

What managed care creates is an incentive to take on as many patients as possible, and spend as little time with each appointment as possible.
Could you elaborate? I've witnessed the phenomenon you describe, but I'm not sure why you say MD's have an incentive to do this.

Corvid

The problem with making health insurance voluntary is, as Dr. Krugman pointed out, that temporarily healthy people will tend to opt out while the sickest people will all be in. Result: an enormously expensive system that is absolutely, undeniably set up to fail.
.
If voluntary participation is such a wonderful idea, why not have voluntary car insurance? It's exactly the same principle. For instance, I've never been involved in a car accident, hence I don't need insurance. Of course, if I should happen to plow into your car tomorrow and both cars are totaled and we both end up in the hospital chewing $500 aspirins, tough luck. It's vastly more important that I get to exercise my freedom of choice. Like hell it is.
.
Look, if one is so thoroughly obsessed with this fetish that American society should be completely, utterly atomized in each and every sector and the individual's freedom of choice must always, always take precedence over every conceivable consideration of the broader health and cohesion of society, let's at least do the voluntary aspect of health care this way: At an early age, say 25 or a bit younger, everyone gets to choose, ONCE--either full health coverage for a lifetime or NO possibility of ANY coverage EVER, either public or private.
.
Now THAT'S a choice. Should keep even the libertarian nuts happy.

All the government has to do is start offering a superior plan at a lower rate than private insurers can compete with due to all their bloat.
It's not possible, unless the government will subsidize such plan. Just the issue with preexistent conditions will kill such plan. If they going to subsidize such plan, with huge tax increase on me I'm not going to be happy.

And you know this how? I myself recall comments on M.J. Rosenberg's threads where he said he's a naturalized American, a proud immigrant. In the end, we're all mostly communicating with people using pseudonyms here, who can create any character for themselves that they wish, but at least we can try to be accurate as to the character they are portraying, hmmm?

Ok, so say that it was true he is an Israeli. Does that also mean that you're not interested in what Canadian and English lurkers out there might think of the topic of this thread? That they should stay off your U.S. threads? Zero'd mainly because of the message you're sending to those out there thinking of registering. This site could actually use more non-U.S. commenting. On this particular topic, we could actually use some insights from citizens of countries with better health care systems, particularly on how they got to that point.

Sorry, I can compare only American and Soviet healh care system. Actually I can't say that Soviet health care or public education was bad.
However, I'm afraid that it's very hard to maintain high quality huge public sector in US given opportunities in private sector for bright, educated people.

I think anyone who thinks about this issue long enough comes to the conclusion that there are two options: single payer, and everything else. To find a bunch of critical differences in the various ineffective "everything elses" out there that include a profit seeking middleman between doctors and patients is a sucker's game. Single payer-tax funded-doctors on government salary-research by government grant. That's your solution. We will have equal care for half the cost and a lot less viagara commercials, like the rest of the civilized world.

Health is an issue where capitalism and good old American individualism simply breaks down.

And if we can't get that "politically" then we might as well just forget it for now and wait until we can. If anyone is picking their candidate on mandates versus no mandates as a policy issue then they might as well flip a coin. It's a bad idea all around, and so I lean a bit towards not making paticipation in the bad idea mandatory. But honestly, who cares? It won't do a thing other than further empower the insurance companies that are the ultimate enemy here.

How do you think costs are covered now for those pre-existing illnesses? They get seen in emergency rooms, and the cost shows up in either higher property taxes for the county hospital or in higher premiums for covered cutomers if the ER is in a private hospital.

Often the total cost is much higher, an example being no covered health care for a diabetic patient, leading to amputation at $50,000 instead of insulin at a couple thousand per year. And you're paying for that avoidable amputation, in your property taxesl.

There is an alternative, let the sick die. You OK with that? Someday you'll be sick, or your cousin, and the cost may be difficult to meet without help. Good luck.

I agree, with you, therefore everybody must have medical insurance.
However, I don't think that goverment can run unsubsidized medical insurance, that anybody can buy, that would be higher quality and cheaper than private medical insurances.

The Mass plan looks like a disaster to me.

Now there's a non sequitor. "Phased, universal single payer" certainly is a way better route than the Massachusetts plan, but then, so is John Edwards plan, and so is Senator Clinton's plan.

Given the number falling out of the Massachusetts mandate as "unable to afford insurance", given the more limited revenue raising abilities of the state and the more limited scope for structural reforms to save costs, even Senator Obama's plan would seem to be superior to the Massachusetts plan.

If everyone has insurance, you mean the difficult pre-existing cases are covered? So who is paying for those costly plans? If the patient and family can't pay for it, who does? You are, right now, in your property taxes, to cover the emergency treatment of poor patients at the county hospital.

Now if the government tried to run an insurance program with the same oevrhead and profit margin of commercial insurance, you would be right that the result would be equivalent to now. You are wrong in that the government need not pay billion-dollar CEO compensations or dividends to shareholders, so it saves money there. It also need not have thousands of employees figuring out how to deny a claim.

And, as pointed out above, if coverage produces prevented disease, everyone comes out better off.

If everybody has insurance, then there is no such thing as pre-existing condition.

If everything else is the same, government can’t run a better business than private sector.
Can government company build cheaper and better computers or airplanes? Would we be better of if government own all airline companies? Therefore, I don’t think that government own medical insurance company can compete with privately own medical insurance companies if they have to operate under the same rules, even if they don’t have to pay huge salary to it’s CEO.

It also need not have thousands of employees figuring out how to deny a claim.

If the government own medical insurance will accept all the claims, they will be in red very soon. and will have to get out of business.

Yes there will be subsidy of in insurance for the poor.

However, to repeat myself, with universal care also comes a more efficient insurance system which allows everyone to be insured, including the subsidy for the poor, at less cost to everyone, including the rich, than they're presently paying.

i.e. You, me, and everyone else with top income bracket PPO can actually pay less and have better care, by subsidizing the poor and building a system of universal health care. It's simply far more efficient at controlling costs, preventing chronic illness, and preventing emergencies.

Healthcare is expensive in the USA, not because we're getting so much good care, but because we're getting so little and such poor care. That's the important concept to understand.

If everything else is the same, government can’t run a better business than private sector.

That's wrong. Medical insurance for base coverage is an exception, it's a natural monopoly.

Meaning that it benefits tremendously if a single body runs it. i.e. It won't be the same, it'll be tremendously more efficient.

Any competing bodies will simply be redundant and drive up costs as they're presently doing. That is exactly why all the other major developed countries have some form of single payer for base coverage.

The place for market competition among private insurers is for supplemental plans, where they can offer different packages at different price points and with various amenities.

All we're doing in the US is lining the pockets of insurance companies at the detriment of national health and national economic competitiveness.

GM for example can certainly afford to buy the most competitive American health insurance plan at a discount. And they still pay far more for health insurance than their Japanese rivals, which is killing their cost competitiveness.

Corvid

AND THE OTHER, EVEN BIGGER AND PINKER ELEPHANT sitting in the room is asking, Just whom do you want deciding HOW to reduce costs? Three possibilities: Our famously tender-hearted, profit-driven health insurance industry; finger-to-the-wind politicians and distracted, underfunded, dried-up little government bureaucrats, or actual human beings with actual health-care problems.

Corvid

But why would this necessarily be the case? Most other industrialized nations cover virtually all their citizens with superior results at half the cost we're CURRENTLY paying. In other words, the waste in our system now is so outlandish, so over-the-top nutball insane that if we did cover everyone under a rational system (cutting out the private insurers ENTIRELY, which I realize no one is proposing), we could cover everyone and cut costs dramatically.
.
Look, on average about 30 cents of every dollar going into our private system is wasted on overhead (ie, the insurance companies' utterly evil efforts to deny care to people who need it, which in turn forces many of them into insanely expensive emergency rooms). Medicare has about 2 to 3 percent overhead, and it isn't spent for evil, nefarious purposes that redouble the costs for everyone else.
.
Of course, you could argue that Americans are so pitiably incompetent that we can never do anything on a national scale that other, ordinary countries have been doing routinely for decades. If that's your point, you might have something there.

That's wrong. Medical insurance for base coverage is an exception, it's a natural monopoly
I don't know if you are correct. I don't remember any economist making such claim.

Every private (not goverment) company in US has huge overhead. You can make a case that all companies in US should bee own by goverment.

Sure. So what?

I lived in such country. I didn't like it that much. Huge majority of Americans wouldn't like it too. So for them you have to make an argument why competition can deliver food that's essential too but can't deliver health care.

Want to buy your own police force, too? BTW, competition does not deliver food to those that lack money.

We are not talking about toilet paper. To be fair, your country had a very difficult early period, and a calamitous war that was not exactly a help, and add in the opaque politics, with no opportunity to throw out the ineffective officials, and it's of course not surprising your economy had major problems of delivering goods. And we had those handy slaves to get us started.

But the better comparison is not your country but the wealthier states, such as Britain and Sweden, that set up some socialized services.

Among other very good arguments that health is different from cars and iPods is the nature of public health. If I decline a flu shot, as is my right, I am nonetheless placing my fellow citizens at higher risk, since I may now act as a carrier, even if I don't get sick. Sanitation also requires a less-than-free market, since allowing one citizen to foul the river and groundwater is bad for all.

The problems your country faced were political corruption and no elections, not the socialism. The Central Committee setup is unrelated to socialism as such. See Sweden for fairly elected socialst politics.

Also consider that we nearly had our own National Health Service, as proposed by our president Truman. Some wealthy businessmen with allies in Congress killed that, likely with communism scare stories.

When there is no compelling need to have a uniform national approach, programs should be at state level or more local. And when there is no public-need then of course it is the province of business.

You mistake the desire for nationalized health with overall socialism. Most of us here feel no desire to be Sweden, but dogmatic fear of government is kind of weird, since we elect our officials, and sometimes impeach them. And a dogmatic belief in private enterprise to solve all problems is not supported by facts.

BTW, competition does not deliver food to those that lack money.
However, nobody proposes socialized food industry.
And we had those handy slaves to get us started.
We also had handy slaves. Let's agree that infectious diseases have to treated for free. I guess, my question is, if goverment can run high quality efficient health care industry, what it can't run efficiently? Can it build cars, iPods, military airplanes, medical equipments, or new drugs better than market?

Corvid

I lived overseas, too. While there I didn't have much occasion to use the government-provided health care. But other Americans I worked with who did thought it was marvelous. For instance, there was one couple who had had 2 kids in the States and then had a third while in their temporarily adopted country. They absolutely loved the experience. They just couldn't believe how humane, non-bureaucratic and pleasant it was.

'Mandatory' is a false right wing argument. Income taxes are mandatory. Sales taxes are mandatory. Car insurance is mandatory. All good things leading to better results.

Yes, a mandate may not be politically obtainable yet but Obama is doing his best to delay that time by attacking the idea.

I don't want a closet centrist elected as President by people who think he is a liberal.

If Obama is making a trade-off to get insurance for the millions who do want it he should not lie and claim that his is a universal proposal.

We have decent groceries stores allowing us to purchase luxury or basic food and they make a reasonable profit.

We have poor health care delivered at stupendous cost while the insurance companies make extreme profits.

Dare I say it? the market has failed in the latter case.

Davai:

It is argued above that governments in Europe are already providing better medical care for their citizens than our market driven system is doing for us.

Drop your ideological blinders and do a reality check.

We have poor health care delivered at stupendous cost while the insurance companies make extreme profits

We have a great health care for educated consumers who have a good insurance, such as PPO provided by a large employeer.

Dare I say it? the market has failed in the latter case.
There is no question that market is failing to a large degree. The question is how to fix the problem? Should we go with vouchers for all, such as medicare, public school model, Cinton-Edwards plan or Obama plan? Is there place for market and competition in medical field? What about drug companies, medical equipment companies? Should they be for profit?

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