Who Needs Knowledge?
On June 17, Ahmed Rashid wrote in the WP:
Retired American officials say that, for the first time in U.S. history, nobody with serious Pakistan experience is working in the South Asia bureau of the State Department, on State's policy planning staff, on the National Security Council staff or even in Vice President Cheney's office. Anne W. Patterson, the new U.S. ambassador to Islamabad, is an expert on Latin American "drugs and thugs"; Richard A. Boucher, the assistant secretary of state for South and Central Asian affairs, is a former department spokesman who served three tours in Hong Kong and China but never was posted in South Asia. "They know nothing of Pakistan," a former senior U.S. diplomat said.
Who's minding the store, then?
Current and past U.S. officials tell me that Pakistan policy is essentially being run from Cheney's office. The vice president, they say, is close to Musharraf and refuses to brook any U.S. criticism of him. This all fits; in recent months, I'm told, Pakistani opposition politicians visiting Washington have been ushered in to meet Cheney's aides, rather than taken to the State Department.
No one in Foggy Bottom seems willing to question Cheney's decisions. Boucher, for one, has largely limited his remarks on the crisis to expressions of support for Musharraf. Current and retired U.S. diplomats tell me that throughout the previous year, Boucher refused to let the State Department even consider alternative policies if Musharraf were threatened with being ousted, even though 2007 is an election year in Pakistan.
I await (a) the pundits' renewed insistence that the Republican Party is the party of ideas, (b) Tim Russert's indignant question to Republican candidates, Will you pledge that the State Department will be staffed by people who have a clue about the countries they're in charge of?















Perhaps it's simply too hard to fill a staff with people that will go along with a fantasy-like view of a country when they actually know a thing or two about said country.
A hallmark of this administration has been it's crony/puppet placements in positions throughout all levels of the government. From FEMA to the CPA, whether foreign or domestic policy, it would appear that it's more important that people don't rock the boat then that they know the waters they're in or even that they have any knowledge of sailing to begin with.
November 5, 2007 3:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Many if not most of my Pakistani interlocutors do not believe that the Pakistani military is using either martial law or U.S. assistance for "counter-terrorism." They believe it is using it to perpetuate its own power in the service of a national security project that serves neither Pakistan nor Afghanistan and is doing great harm to both.
Juan Cole's Informed Comment blog. Comment basically means the substantially pro-Taleban Pakistani military/security apparatus is using US aid and martial law to hold onto their power, in a country that overall does not support radical Islam. Let's hope Bush/Cheney don't use the same tactic here in 2008.
November 5, 2007 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not a lawyer, but I have hired one or two in the past - how about Gonzo's old job for me? I'd like some of that Fed healthcare and pension plan!
November 5, 2007 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
So where are the graduates of the Southern Asian Institute at the School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia ending up, if not at the State Department?
“I despise ideologues masquerading as objective journalists.” - Bill O'Reilly, March 30, 2007
November 5, 2007 5:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dead on, McBoo.
I've got a name for it. The George W. Principle: Rising beyond the level of your incompetence.
November 5, 2007 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
You liberals and your reality-based reality bias!
This is another bold Bush move, trying to take the traditional American tack by propping up a strongman, but this time the violent coup is like the sugar plum fairies next to the political masses.
So what WE are actually doing is shooting ourself in the foot. But it happened a few years ago when Pakistan remained one of the only friendly regimes in that hemisphere and Bush didn't get his nap. Or whatever impedes the vision thing.
Next we'll be surprised to learn there are exremists in the Pakistani military, and that they might have access to weapons of mass destruction. Nukes or something.
November 5, 2007 5:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
This all makes sense -- especially if you believe the Iran bluster is a ploy to divert attention from examining Pakistan as the real threat -- but it runs contrary to the recent popular punditry that Cheney has been marginalized and Rice holds a tighter grip on the foreign policy reins.
Just what is globe-trotting Rice's role here? Is she playing the dupe, ala Colin Powell?
Sidebar: I was struck by NBC Middle East reporter Tom Aspell's report on Sunday that Pakistan was split over Musharaff's state of emergency declaration. You can't do much reporting in a 45 second clip, but this seemed to be a tremendously misleading simplification.
November 5, 2007 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Todd, Todd, Todd, get with the program. This is the 21st century not the dark ages. We don't need any expertise on Pakistan or any other country. We now go directly to God for instructions. And, we are oh so fortunate that God and Bush are on a first name basis. Wouldn't you like to know Bush's cute nickname for God? Well, maybe if you ask nicely enough I might tell you.
Hoppy in Sacramento
November 5, 2007 6:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
So what's new? They know nothing about Iraq and Iran either.
November 5, 2007 7:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is a battle of good vs. evil. Bush's gut tells him he is doing god's work. God and good win. Eventually. It may be more apparent after we are all dead.
November 5, 2007 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why would the State department need an expert on Pakistan when the Pakistan policy is being run by Pentagon and the VP's office?
OTOH, what kind of expertise is needed to understand Pakistani issues. The US and Pakistan cooperation or at least the cooperation between the DoD and the Pak army goes as far back as 1954. By this time every Career officer in Pentagon or in the State dept must be expert on Pakistani affairs. So there really is no need for some specific expertise in following the Pakistan issues.
Pakistan has been under the microscope since 1998 after the nuke experiment. Post 9/11, the US policy in Pakistan has remained fairly consistent. Support Musharaf, support the Pak army to bring democracy in Pakistan and of course pak role in the war on terror have helped the Pak army and Musharaf to assume that the US cannot win the war of terror w/o Pakistan's help.
Musharaf is going to milk it but he really has lost all credibility in Pakistan on every issue. The US support is not going to last long. In the meantime, Musharaf will continue to hang to the power by a thread.
Thanks.
November 5, 2007 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're kidding right? Are you referring to the "knowledge" they got when a friend who watched Lawrence of Arabia one time talked to them or would you mean the stuff they just "know"?
A few back door deals with Chalabi types over the years does not constitute a working knowledge base. If you think it does then get in line at the water cooler, your country needs you...
November 5, 2007 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's a natural assignment for an ambassador to a Bizzaro World.
KARACHI, Sep 2, 2005 - Drug smugglers call it the golden route: from Afghanistan into Pakistan and then into eastern Iran, it's the trail that takes Afghanistan's abundant opium, and its derivative, heroin, to Western markets. And all along the way there is strong political compromise in which officials turn a blind eye to the players visibly plying the notorious route, and at each stage the commissions get bigger. The route provides a funding lifeline for the Taliban resistance in Afghanistan.. . .much of the opium trade in the "Golden Crescent" (Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan) was cultivated and nurtured by the US government and the CIA.
Islamabad, Sep 28, 2007 – The Administrator of the United States Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA), Karen P. Tandy, today described Pakistan as “a success story in the global war on drugs” and observed that Pakistan is “America’s vital ally on anti-drug efforts. The U.S. DEA and Pakistan stand shoulder-to-shoulder, and we are proud of our friendship with Pakistani law enforcement,” she told a gathering of anti-narcotics and law enforcement officials here. “We are eager to build on our outstanding friendship with Pakistan and Pakistani law enforcement for the good of both of our nations.”
It's the bizarro world of "Htrae" ("Earth" spelled backwards) where society is ruled by the Bizarro Code which states "Us do opposite of all Earthly things! Us hate beauty! Us love ugliness! Is big crime to make anything perfect on Bizarro World!".
ecotourism
WeGoEco.com
November 5, 2007 8:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mr. Bush's appointments should be viewed along with the back-lit illumination of their underlying intent. Wolfowitz, a primary architect of the War on Iraq was kicked up to head the World Bank. Condeleeza Rice was given Secretary of State, even though during her tenure as NSA, America learned the brand-new oxymoron: National Security. During his time as U.S. Trade Representative, Robert Zoelick sat idly by while China kicked our butts, playing our game, by our own rules in our home stadium, as Hu Jintao swept across South America securing long-term commodities contracts and promising foreign aid. Zoelick was promoted to be Deputy Secretary of State, and promoted again to be head of the World Bank.
Do not be confused though, these were not just more of the same incomprehensible acts by Our Administration of Lowered Expectations. They were instead, an integral part of planned policy, intended to provide the Bush base of supporters hope for the future. Mr. Bush succeeded at this goal by proving once and for all that The Peter Principle is naught but a fantasy, promulgated by liberals.
People can and do get promoted well beyond their level of incompetence. GW Bush was certain of this, because it has been a lesson from life, learned over and over again. His cut-n-runaways from his own incompetent miserable failures transformed into springboards enabling him to slack it up to another level.
November 5, 2007 9:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's a decent read, published by The Power and The Interest News Report (PINR); purveyors of wonkage that doesn't suck:
Intelligence Brief: Musharraf's Rule Destabilizing Pakistan", The Power and The Interest News Report, November 5, 2007
Careful what you wish for here; the powder keg borderline separating China from India could easily escalate to the point that a decade in the future, the world will look back nostalgically for an idyllic South Asian past when the worst fear was that a dictator's regime in a nuclear powered state was tipping towards chaos into the arms of murderous religious extremists.
November 5, 2007 9:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
That isn't exactly the truth, as America's relationship with Pakistan has run hot and cold throughout that period. They have been an ally of expedience only. Nixon used the stupidity of the Pakistani Generals, for his own ball-busting purposes, in their early 70's war on India, in which they lost all of their territory East of India, and were about to lose the whole country. India was beholden to the USSR at that time, and Pakistan to China. Nixon told Leonid Brezhnev to call off their Calcutta clients or he'd stop the flow of western manufactured goods into the Soviet Union. He then laughed it off as a way to get China and Russia looking sideways at each other. Carter refused to deal with Zia ul-Haq, until it was evident that the Soviet Union was headed into Afghanistan. Clinton did not warmly embrace Musharraf after the democratically elected government was overthrown and he was put in charge. Bush couldn't even offer up Musharraf's name in a four-part quiz of South/Central Asian leaders given by a reporter in 2000.
November 5, 2007 10:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't worry Todd. I'm sure there's a freshly minted college Republican minding the store.
November 6, 2007 3:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Here's another one, from Juan Cole's Global Affairs blog.
Anonymous said...
Might I add that what we are seeing in these areas is not a 'Pakistani' insurgency. To understand why this is occurring where it is, one must look back to how the British made peace with Imperial Russia, namely settling on the deal which formed the Durand Line.
This line split the Emirate of Afghanistan into two. As a result what we call NWFP, was once part of Afghanistan, and the people there consider it to be still as such.
When Musharraf sent troops into this area to 'establish control' the word in the area went out the the 'Pakistanis were invading Afghanistan!'.
NWFP is not a part of Pakistan in any real sense. But the army of Pakistan (Musharraf) won't give NWFP province to Afghanistan, and this is a very real fear on the army's part, that Karzai is after NWFP.
Twice the Pakistanis have invaded NWFP twice they have been beaten. This is a disaster for Musharraf. The men from the Punjab don't want to fight with the Afghans, they don't care what happens there, its not that important to them.
The Taliban are not based in NWFP they are based in Quetta, in Pakistan. They have offices you can go and see them meet them.
The ISI and the Taliban work together, to prevent the freedom of NWFP, by making a simple deal, 'we put you in power, you keep Pakistan together'.
They all STILL support terrorism in Kashmir which where this all began and of course if NWFP split from Pakistan imagine the damage that would do to the legitimate cause in Kashmir where most of the Kashmiri's would vote to join Pakistan but for Indian human rights abuses and anti-democracy attitude there.
I think that Musharraf is taking the worst of all roads, in his efforts, he is hastening the day when the ISI/Taliban, NWFP issues and Kashmir will all converge and only God knows what will happen. One thing is for sure, I would be crapping myself if I lived in New Dehli during that time.
Does the ISI envision taking on the army, or is the army split in opinion? One thing is for sure, the bourgoise of Pakistan are not being listened to, and that in itself is a danger to stability. Suddenly the market for revolutionary groups looking for sympathizers just got very much bigger. For a long while it looked like the Pakistani middle-classes could have tolerated Musharraf in his dictatorship as long as THEY were left alone, now though that hope is gone.
Events in Pakistan may change dramatically soon.
November 6, 2007 8:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
(chuckle)...it reminded me of an old Dick Gregory gag: he said that during a recession his stock broker jumped out of his basement window.
Neoboho
November 6, 2007 8:08 AM | Reply | Permalink