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Who Will Own the Climate Change Franchise? The Clintons or Al Gore?

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I really did mean every word in my tribute earlier today to former Vice President Al Gore. Emails from campaigns, Senate and House press operations, the White House, NGOs, and even some in corporate America have been streaming into my email box congratulating him. I can't imagine what Gore's own email inbox looks like.

Hillary Clinton's campaign site even posted a large banner across her home page.

But Jim Lobe called today and asked what the political implications of the Gore Nobel Peace Prize win (shared win, of course) are. I gave him an earful of thoughts -- but the thing most folks have not thought about is what tension this creates for the next President of the United States.

Here is Lobe's article "Candidate Gore a Long Shot, Despite Nobel" that does grab a quote of mine:

Moreover, the growing conviction among political pros that Clinton, whose steadily growing lead in both money-raising and the polls, has all but wrapped up the Democratic nomination, if not next November's general election, also works against a Gore bid.

"If he challenged her at this point," said Steven Clemons of the New America Foundation, "he knows he risks losing Hillary's support for crucial climate change initiatives if she becomes president. The fact that he owns the global climate change franchise will already make it difficult for the Clinton political franchise to find compelling reasons to adopt the issue as its own. It's a delicate relationship."

I think that Al Gore has just become the Ray Kroc of Climate Change initiatives.

Gore's win seals the deal that he owns the global climate change franchise. Everyone big in this game -- from firms, to NGOs, to governments -- will need the Al Gore seal of approval on whether some initiatives are good or bad. That's going to be interesting. Al Gore is going to be an NGO of his very own, and he's probably going to have to get a sticker machine so that stuff he likes can bear his seal of approval.

But there is a bigger, more complicated and admittedly cynical dimension to the Gore win.

It keeps climate change policy from being something that anyone else can take a lot of credit for, particularly the Clintons -- unless they can work out a deal.

Recently, some of this drama bubbled just beneath the surface at the recent Clinton Global Initiative in New York. A major new climate change initiative was announced at CGI by the Rockefeller Brothers Fund and some other NGOs that had packaged their efforts as the "One Sky" initiative. Bill Clinton announced the commitment of the funders to the effort.

But some of the financial backers were concerned that if Gore was not part of the CGI discussion on climate change -- that there would eventually be a feud between the Gores and the Clintons about the credit for these types of efforts.

In the end, Al Gore was on stage with Bill Clinton, Bob Zoellick, Angelina Jolie, Desmond Tutu and others in the opening session of the CGI. That was good. It held together a fragile truce among the rival Clinton and Gore franchises.

But the future will be interesting to see. Gore actually has a huge global following now on climage change policy -- and Hillary Clinton, if elected, is going to need his approval and support, though it's going to be painful (on occasion) for her to ask for it. Gore's not the easiest guy in the world to work with.

But at the same time, Gore knows he needs a strategic, capable thinker who can push forward hard-to-digest legislative imperatives in the White House -- and if he's not in favor with Hillary Clinton (if she's got the keys to 1600), then his efforts are going to significantly suffer.

She may not get all of the credit that her administration will want, or perhaps even deserve, in a climate change effort -- but she'll have to stroke the Gore machine to get a mutually beneficial arrangement that is somewhat win-win for both sides politically.

It's going to be an interesting and creative tension to watch play out.

-- Steve Clemons publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note


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I don't see the Clintons and Gores working together. If Hillary can't get us out of Iraq or escalates war in the Mideast and looks shaky for 2012, (can't you see the slogan "2012 - 12 years of Clintons is enough") Hillary is going to be caught between the wrath of the left and the wrath of the right and Gore is still waiting in the wings.

WHAT ABOUT BUSH?
------------------------------------

A Tale of Two Houses

*House #1* A 20 room mansion (not including 8 bathrooms) heated by natural gas. Add on a pool (and a pool house) and a separate guest house, all heated by gas. In one month this residence consumes more energy than the average American household does in a year. The average bill for electricity and natural gas runs over $2,400. In natural gas alone, this property consumes more than 20 times the national average for an American home. This house is not situated in a Northern or Midwestern "snow belt" area. It's in the South.

*House #2* Designed by an architecture professor at a leading national university. This house incorporates every "green" feature current home construction can provide. The house is 4,000 square feet (4 bedrooms) and is nestled on a high prairie in the American Southwest. A central closet in the house holds; geothermal heat-pumps drawing ground water through pipes sunk 300 feet into the ground. The water (usually 67 degrees F.) heats the house in the Winter and cools it in the Summer! The system uses no fossil fuels such as oil or natural gas and it consumes one-quarter electricity required for a conventional heating/cooling system. Rainwater from the roof is collected and funneled into a 25,000 gallon underground cistern. Wastewater from showers, sinks and toilets goes into underground purifying tanks and then into the cistern. The collected water then irrigate s the land surrounding the house. Surrounding flowers and shrubs native to the area enable the property to blend into the surrounding rural landscape.

~~~~~

HOUSE #1 is outside of Nashville, Tennessee; it is the abode of the "environmentalist" Al Gore;

HOUSE #2 is on a ranch near Crawford, Texas; it is the residence the of the President of the United States, George W. Bush.

An "inconvenient truth".

To boldly go...

The "inconvenient truth" that matters about Bush is that he frittered away 7 years doing nothing as the leader of the free world towards combatting global climate change. He went so far as to loudly declare repeatedly that global warming was just a poorly supported theory that he didn't even believe in.

Very few people are in a position to make globally significant moves that may at least delay global warming. One of those is the US President. Given that golden opportunity to make a difference, Bush preferred to defer to the polluting industries.

That's the inconvenient truth.

Hoppy in Sacramento

Very few people are in a position to make globally significant moves that may at least delay global warming.

I think that CFL's require no legislation and if each of us used them-- I do, there would be positive results w/ regards to global warming.

To boldly go...

The "inconvenient truth" that matters about Bush is that he frittered away 7 years doing nothing as the leader of the free world towards combatting global climate change.

unless things have radically changed, the Koyoto nations have been in Bush's boat longer. i.e. None of the signer nations, as far as I know, have come close to meeting their targets; Economic growth trumped environmental restraint.

in his movie, Al Gore talks about "celebrating victories that really aren't victories" and, as far as I can tell, Kyoto is one of those celebrations.

Al Gore is also on the board of Apple Computer, and what a dismal environmental record they have!

FOR EXAMPLE:

Steve Jobs defended his company's environmental practices during the annual shareholder meeting, but also took time to reflect on market share and the Mac maker's transition to Intel chips. (source)

AND:

Apple may produce top-of-the line computers and electronics, but its environmental practices are less than stellar. Apple has consistently lagged behind competitors, particularly Hewlett-Packard and Dell, in environmental programs (source)

so Gore's PR machine, as usual, hides the reality that Gore is "show me the money" Gore because, at Apple, he had the opportunity to push for positive environmental change but didn't. And, as VP, he also failed to act.

To boldly go...

Gore has at least tried to bring consciousness to us.

I've now been here 28 years which is more than half my life.

I cannot see that the US populace, as a whole, or the voting public takes this threat of climate change, or global warming, at all seriously.

I think the vaste majority think that everything can go on much the same, with small variables and adjustments. Technology can be the solution. No sacrifice necessary. They don't have the science training, or the imgaination, or the practical experience to make the threat real.

So we go on.

When the extremes start to appear, they may or may not happen in the USA. And we will continue to ignore them. George Will will continue to call them a weather aberation and unproved. Many of us will tremble and still do nothing to correct our government.

For gods' sake. Get on board.

A person with the demonstrated virtue of Al Gore doesn't need me to defend him. But just in case some uninformed person might be mislead by mcs's posts:

1. Apple's environmental record is as good as or better than any other major US electronic manufacturer's. Some environmentalist groups have produced biased studies purporting to show that Dell or HP is better, but those studies amount to unsupported claims that "We think pollutant X is worse than pollutant Y."

2. The right-wing smears about Gore's house have been abundantly refuted.

The "average" home electricity use quoted by TCPR is a national average that includes apartments and mobile homes. In Gore's climatic zone, the East South Central (Dept. of Energy PDF), the average is much higher, thanks to hot, humid summers and cold winters. Within that zone, Gore's usage is three (not 20) times average, and his per-square-foot usage is squarely average.

The Gores are not an average family. He's an ex-VP with special security arrangements, and has live-in security staff. He and his wife both work on their many business and charitable undertakings out of their house, so they have space for offices and office staff. All that would be tough to cram in an average size house.

Gore buys the maximum allowable green electricity from the program offered by his utility.
Most of the electricity in TN comes from hydro and nuclear, and so doesn't generate all that much CO2 anyway,

Moreover, Gore buys carbon credits to offset his carbon use. Can you show any evidence of Bush doing the same thing?

The post has two parts. The first speculates on Gore's potential run for president. The second speculates on the Hatfield-McCoy feud, this time as Clinton and Gore when Hillary will be president.

I guess we have solved all our present problems and it's time to deal with future ones.

Gore was a terrible candidate. Hillary may not be my choice, but she is smart, a good fighter and tough as nails. Please, we don't need a rerun of a bad movie.

Are the Clintons and Gore going to feud over the coveted title? May be. What's the rush to speculate while we may have Guilini in the White House.

First, Hillary Clinton will not be President of the United States, but if she were, you'd have to be crazy to think she would ever do anything about climate change. Hillary's purpose is to secure her place in history and satisfy her own ego and that is where it ends.

The impact of Gore's Nobel win isn't about whether he will run for President. The impact comes from the tremendous pressure his win puts on whoever becomes President to actually do something. I think it's great because everything else is but so much wasted energy if we don't reverse global warming. Gore has been right all along and all of the rest of them have been wrong. This prize shames the entire American political system. Perhaps it will have heaped enough shame on the American system to actually cause them to act responsibly and quickly to save the earth.

Does it have to be either/or? There's enough work to go around to everybody, including Al Gore AND Hillary Clinton, in or out of the White House.
The key to understanding for all of us is an intellectual curiosity. Both have it; both will use it. I do not worry about the tension.
Though this was an interesting new "take" on the prize news.

South by Southwest

We don't NEED a franchise, we need the car
companies to kick out efficient equipment.
Stripped down, take 3/4 of that electronic
crap out, you're not trying to do the 1/4 mile,
you're trying to get to work etc. all week
without going broke. Can they do that, or do
we have to build our own cars etc? It can
be done, there's tons and tons of aftermarket
stuff on the shelves...they can go on strike
or whatever...I'm glad that some of these companies got out of the real estate business,
though. They can use the money saved to install
robotic production systems.

President Hillary should offer Gore Sec of Energy or EPA head.

This is the kind of idle and pointless speculation that clutters and obscures the facts. This is gossip, ugly and without any purpose other than to pretend the self-important writer has some sort of "insider" status and actually knows something.

"Gore isn't the easiest guy to work with?" How would you know that? All of the evidence points to exactly the opposite of that and yet you type it as though you know it for a fact. "Some backers were concerned...that there would eventually be a feud..." so what if they did? It doesn't make it a fact, and it obviously didn't happen because Gore was there but the writer just can't pass by the opportunity to sling a little mud on Gore and the Clintons.

Gore couldn't just win the Nobel Peace Prize because he deserves it, there has to be some "cynical" motive, some dread storm cloud on the horizon, a feud waiting to explode, an "it's all going to end in tears" prediction because the jealous little pricks in the news media just can't stand for something good to happen to someone else.

"George Will will continue to call them a weather aberation and unproved."

the "ice ages," and subsequent warmings, happened without human intervention so it's not entirely clear to me that humans are totally responsible.

that said, I still think we are "destroying the planet" and "we've fallen and can't get up" but that's an opinion based on what I love.

To boldly go...

CFL? Chloro-fluorocarbons?

Gore pays for electric-power offsets. Yeah, he could do more, and I hear that is planned.

The CO2 not emitted by Bush's house is overwhelmed by that emitted by the military's M1 tanks, helicopters, and Humvees.

I'll give Bush credit for some reduction from expected oil consumption due to war-caused price hikes. But he gets no envirnomental credit overall, since under his watch, the Cheney Energy Task Force emphasized more oil and gas production, at the same time the EPA was inhibited from reporting the risks associated with that, and from enforcing New Source Review on coal power plants.

So, who cares about Bush's house?

Alas, the president will always own the franchise, which is scary. I can well understand Gore's reluctance to enter politics; Bob Herbert today allows him to articulate well. I can understand, too, his likely feelings that in other ways he can make a greater impact. And I can understand the difficulty of his winning should he enter the race.  

But Hoppy is right on Bush's seven years of frittering and what they have meant.  All scientists like the IPCC and advocates like Gore can do is science and advocacy, and it is not always enough. 

The scary moment for me yesterday was in turning to Common Dreams, which reran Gore's long, knowledgeable, and yet passionate speech from 2003 on civil liberties and the supposed war on terrorism. It reminded me that he has had more courage of his convictions than just on climate. However, it also reminded me that we're in as deep a mess as if he had never spoken. 

John 

http://www.haberarts.com/

Apple's environmental record is as good as or better than any other major US electronic manufacturer's.

well, where's the proof? the only thing I see-- over and over again, is Apple fighting environmental standards; they're surely getting tips from Gore on how to lobby their side.

unfortunately, even if Apple is better, they're still pretty bad.

Within that zone, Gore's usage is three (not 20) times average, and his per-square-foot usage is squarely average.

Looks like enronish numbers to me. A 20 room mansion is excessive by any stretch of the imagination. And, because you show that he's an energy pig, if he had the courage to reduce his energy use, he'd make a big impact regionally, nationally and globally!

Moreover, Gore buys carbon credits to offset his carbon use. Can you show any evidence of Bush doing the same thing?

I'm not sure that "carbon credits" have been effective. My litmus test would be that Gore cuts his consumption. Kyoto has been a failure since everyone thinks that they're an exception like Gore and they can greenwash their pollution away with "carbon credits" and other enronish green tricks. Gore has made millions off apple and google stock and is probably more than happy to fork over pocket change for "carbon credits" so he can continue to consume whatever he wishes.

As far as I can tell, Gore is a hoax.

To boldly go...


But Hoppy is right on Bush's seven years of frittering and what they have meant.

In 1997, the Senate voted 95-0 against ratifying any treaty negotiated at Kyoto that (1) did not also set emissions limits on developing countries; and (2) that “would result in serious harm to the economy of the United States.” Yet when the Kyoto negotiations faltered, Al Gore as leader of the American delegation agreed to a treaty that did exactly that.

i.e. it looks like both Bush and Clinton/Gore will both have 8 years of frittering.

To boldly go...

CFL = Compact Fluorescent Light bulbs They require something like twenty five percent of the energy for the same light output as an incandesant bulb.

Bush in not all that concerned about man made climate change unlike Gore who maintains that drastic changes must be made within the next ten years to avoid catastrophic climate change. So it is a bit unfair to criticize Bush for hypocracy compared to Gore who engages in conspicuous consumption.

What difference does it make who or what is responsible? It's our duty as human beings to mitigate the damages, take some pride in where we live and clean up the dirty house.

House #1 is a picture of the Gore farm and not the house where the bogus energy figures were supposedly taken.

House #2 is a picture of a guest house on the Bush ranch for which no billable hours were given for the house, the guest houses, the ten trailers housing staff or the heated swimming pool.

The CO2 not emitted by Bush's house is overwhelmed by that emitted by the military's M1 tanks, helicopters, and Humvees.

news report:
SOUTHWEST ASIA (Balad Air Base, IQ): Members of the 340th Aircraft Maintenance Unit here are supporting the war on terrorism with their fleet of more than 20 KC-135 Stratotankers. During the past four months, members of the 340th AMU supported more than 3,200 sorties, which provided 107 million pounds of fuel to more than 14,000 aircraft.

The 340th Expeditionary Air Refueling Squadron flies between 20 to 30 flights, or sorties, a day, said Tech. Sgt. Kevin Kuehn, the specialist flight expeditor for the night shift. "We have more planes here than we have parking spots for, so we always have aircraft in the air," said Sergeant Kuehn, deployed here from Grand Forks Air Force Base, N.D.

It is extremely important to understand what is causing climate change if the solution to man make global warming is an economy crippling reduction in energy use. If climate change is a natural phenomenon, better to allow economies to grow and use the additional resources for damage mitigation.

No, the description of #1 is Gore's Nashville home; the Carthage house is by all accounts smaller. But the Bush house in Crawford is nothing but a stage set, a prop built to a) make a rich kid look like more of a good ol' boy than just his hick accent could, and b) neutralize Gore's environmental credibility in 2000 (which, btw, was before the Gores bought the Nashville house & started renovating it), so he could look like he gave a crap about it.

Of course, I know from experience how much of a pain it is to do any major work in the Belle Meade zoning district-- they're pretty easy on additions as long as they don't exceed maximum volume standards, but hate anything that seems remotely unsual-- so the first thing that came to mind as soon as the RWNM started squawking was that Gore was in permit hell, which turned out to be true. Obviously building a new, ultra-green house would have had its own land-use and materials (producing & transporting) issues, and would have had to be more distant from Nashville (since we're not talking about middle-of-nowhere Texas), making transportation to and from more wasteful. And the truth is that we can't (and shouldn't) replace all existing housing stock, so I'm very much in favor of upgrading existing homes instead of wasting a lot of money, land, and new materials on vanity projects like the Bush set piece... I mean, once GWB's out of office and doesn't need the place, who's going to buy an expensive house that far out in the sticks, green or no?

Anyway, Gore's taken an old and appealing house and is making it more efficient, which in the long run is going to have to be what most of us do in order to improve energy use. It may be better to build an eco-house if one is determined to build new and contribute to sprawl regardless, but ultimately the greater benefit is going to be in making good use of our millions of existing homes, improving their efficiency as much as possible and conserving materials & transportation fuel in the process.

Naturally, the brouhaha about this is just part of the catch-22 that is always lying in wait for Gore: if he did the super-environmental thing, building an off-the-grid house with his bare hands thirty miles from nowhere out of soda bottles, and eschewing all air travel, he'd then be the biggest weirdo ever and mocked relentlessly for his strict adherence to principle. But if he just does what he encourages ordinary people to do-- upgrade insulation, change light bulbs, replace old appliances & cars with more efficient models, buy green power & carbon credits to offset necessary use-- he's not pure enough. Pure = freak; pragmatist = hypocrite. That's what happens when one's enemies are so loathsome, I guess.

I didn't say it was not important to find the cause of climate change, I said it is unimportant as to who or what is the cause in mitigating the damages. Whether it is caused by industrialization or by natural phenomenon, we can still do what is possible to avert disaster - we should be like paramedics at a car crash - our job is to treat the most injured, regardless of who is at fault.

When this all blew up in the spring, I pulled up my NES bills (same as Gore's power) and did some quick calculations, discovering that my use per square foot was roughly the same as his, although now I can't remember if I factored out his extra expense for green power or not. And my house is considerably smaller, with lower ceilings and far fewer people around during the day, since I very seldom work at home. You don't even want to know how much energy my office uses, though; it was built in the 1870s, so the outer walls are merely three layers of brick plus the interior plaster, the heating & A/C are aging, and there are twelve-foot ceilings & multiple chimneys that might as well be open windows half the time. It's also nine miles from my house, meaning that I drive 4500 miles a year just to & from work.

So yeah, Gore's doing a helluva lot better than I am overall, and I say good for him.

No, the photo is a picture of Gore's farm, not his house in Belle Meade. What this poster is describing is a fraudulent e-mail that makes the rounds with two photos of houses, neither of which fit the description.

The photo that accompanies the second description is of the old house that stands on the Bush property, is currently used as a guest house and has been replaced with a house built of limestone and glass, along with a new guest house and swimming pool.

I didn't look at the photos-- the 20-room, eight-bath description is almost certainly the Belle Meade house, though, and unless they've gotten the utility bills from Carthage (and the Gores don't actually live there, of course), the ones cited are for the Belle Meade house as well. The Carthage house-- actually, there are a few houses on the farm property, but this is presumably the one that his parents built for their family-- is large for the area, but I don't think it's twenty rooms or eight baths, since that would have been pretty much unheard of in the fifties when the elder Gores built it. So there has to be some, er, fudging of the facts here, which is par for the course from these yahoos, I guess.

I don't know anything about the Bush property other than that it was built as his campaign was gearing up, for no apparent reason other than as an image enhancer. The less I have to think about him, the lower my blood pressure.

Gore was a terrible candidate.

Why, because the MSM said so?

ecotourism
WeGoEco.com

Gore's not the easiest guy in the world to work with.

Well, this certainly is news. I would think that someone who gets to be a US senator, a US vice president, and then wins an oscar, a grammy and the nobel peace prize would be easy to work with. In fact, it should be a requirement! I wonder how Al Gore slipped through the cracks all those times? It defies explanation. Why, every great world leader we've ever had has been "easy to work with", right? Just considering US leaders, they say that FDR and Harry Truman were pushovers. I guess back then when Gore was accused of being too weak, and needed to beef up his alpha male-ness, it was just a cover-up for the fact that . . .he was too difficult. This personality analysis is so confusing sometimes.

ecotourism
WeGoEco.com

Even the figures given for the Belle Meade house are deliberately misleading - Al Gore couldn't use 150,00 kilowatt hours if he was milling aluminum in the basement.

This is "Polly wanta cracker" reportage at its worst - no proof, no evidence, just something Clemons heard somewhere, and thus must be so.

Clemons: But at the same time, Gore knows he needs a strategic, capable thinker who can push forward hard-to-digest legislative imperatives in the White House -- and if he's not in favor with Hillary Clinton (if she's got the keys to 1600), then his efforts are going to significantly suffer ... Hillary Clinton, if elected, is going to need [Gore's] approval and support, though it's going to be painful for her to ask for it. Gore's not the easiest guy in the world to work with.

Thank you for redefining Clinton Pap Smear.

It's Clinton who demands media and political servitude but it's Gore who isn't easy to "work with" because Clinton may need to "ask" approval?

Pap: Clinton the all powerful will shove you under a bus if you don't play on her terms according to her rules.

Smear: Gore doesn't play well with others.

Excuse us for saying, but I can think of a dozen officeholders and a few candidates not initialed HRC who better fit the description of "strategic, capable thinkers who can push forward hard-to-digest legislative imperatives in the White House" and at least 1 Nobel laureate who could shepherd difficult legislation through Congress and initiate substantive global climate initiatives that aren't mere totems to Clinton hubris.

However, we've no doubt Clinton could deliver a bed of heads should Gore refuse to play, just as the Clinton machine may have assisted Bush/GOP media efforts to sabotage Democratic nominees viz. Gore 2000, Kerry 2004, in quid pro quo for Hillary 2008.

Which is precisely why Gore should run.

As America's first Nobel POTUS, Gore would credibly reassert US legitimacy as a global leader on climate change.

As America's first Nobel POTUS, Gore could expedite multilateral cooperation toward the development of incrementalized, more realistic protocols that would achieve attainable, sustainable results sooner than later.

As America's first Nobel POTUS, Gore will stimulate business/job growth in emerging need sectors for resource and energy efficiency where the US still maintains technological and scientific preeminence.

As America's first Nobel POTUS, Gore would reemphasize science education at all levels of learning to maintain US competitiveness in global markets & a global labor force.

As America's first Nobel POTUS, Gore increases US leverage in any matter of diplomacy, conflict resolution or crisis.

As America's popularly elected President in 2000 and America's first Nobel laureate cum qualified, experienced Vice President, many Americans might feel shamed, even ashamed, if they didn't cast their next vote for Gore.

Hence, the Clinton-inspired suggestion Gore could do more by not "soiling himself" with public office is casuistry of the silliest, most risible order, clumsily transparent on face and substance.

POTUS is still the most powerful executive office in the world.

Who better than a Nobel laureate to lead honorably, effectively & judiciously wielding the power of such office?

It's so pernicious that democrats repeat it as though it was fact.

She murdered Vince Foster too - she and Bill rolled him up in the oriental rug, put him in the trunk of the car and drove to the park where they dumped the body and skedaddled back to Alibiville.

He ran as a pale version of Clinton with carefully nuanced focused group-thinked DLC talking points. He didn't run as himself. Hillary is running the same kind of campaign Gore ran in 2000. We'll see if she does any better. She isn't Bill either.

I just so badly want a candidate who can escape group-think. Why are they all so intimidated! Shake things up somebody. This country needs more than nuanceed non-answers to a whole range of problems!

You have to remember....Steve's entrenched in the beltway. That's what the Village Elders have all said therefore, that's what Steve Clements must propagate.

On the day that Gore was announced as the co-winner of the prize, the newscasters on CNN were speculating that Gore actually won because the Nobel committee want to issue a rebuke to the Bush administration. This isn't journalism, this is neighbors hanging over the back fence gossiping - and just as ugly.

Which is why the major criticism of his campaign was that he distanced himself too much from the Clintons, was too populist, was too ambitious, was not ambitious enough, was too formal, wasn't formal enough, wore three button suits, wore khakis and polo shirts, listened to focus groups, didn't listen to focus groups, made an enemy of the DLC, was in the pocket of the DLC and yet managed to WIN the election - go figure.

I don't think Bush has just "frittered away 7 years doing nothing as the leader of the free world towards combatting global climate change." Much, much worse than that, I believe bombs and warmaking can't be good for the environment, any more than those fires at the oil wells were after the last ME war. So I don't think he's just wasted his chance to change the world for the better, he's actually making the world worse on a daily basis on many levels! Helluva job, Bushie!

It is indeed important to determine the cause of climate change in order to mitigate the damage.

If the cause of climate change is release of greenhouse gasses by human activity, future damage may be prevented by devoting resources to reducing emissions. If climate change is a natural cycle that humans do not have the ability to change, resources would be better dedicated to mitigating the effects of global warming as they occur over the next century.

Even if the cause of climate change is human activity, it is important to trade off the cost of prevention vs. the cost of adapting to climate change.

Does the Nobel peace prize really carry much weight when it comes to persuading the United States to make painful sacrific, or more important foreign coutries to make sacrifices at the behest of the U.S. president?

If Gore was as terrible a candidate as you say, I don't think he would have won the popular vote. But he did.

My problem with Hillary is with Hillary, not her husband, not her clothes, not her style, her policy decisions. Starting with the AUMF and all the way down to the Kyle/Lieberman resolution, wherein, for the first time I can remember, the Congress charged that a part of a sovereign country's armed forces was a terrorist organization. This unprecedented move, the way it's worded, I believe could easily be contrued on its face as giving the Commander in Chief the authority to take military actions against Iran. Will Hillary once again say she didn't know the gun was loaded if Bush uses her blank check to attack? I've also heard more protest from Al Gore about stripping this society of civil liberties and not exercising their oversight responsibility than I've heard from a sitting US Senator! Why? If Hillary was such a leader, why hasn't she shown herself to be all that decisive a leader in the Senate? I have a funny feeling that Hillary has been way too much involved with the corporations, as in perhaps bought and paid for. For whatever her reasons, she is far too calculating and triangulating, and I think she would find reasons not to vote for some things that would make me very unhappy.

I'm also not sure she would relinguish any of the power that was illegally grabbed in the Bush administration. I'm not so sure that she wouldn't grab for further power if she got the opening. In short, I don't trust her, even though I want to, because my gut tells me different. I don't feel that way about Gore.

"If Gore was as terrible a candidate as you say, I don't think he would have won the popular vote. But he did."

 

Gore was running to succeed an administration that presided over peace and prosperity. Clinton had approval ratings in the sixties. Gore should have been able to steam roll over Bush and not end up having to quible over the popular vote if he had been an even average candidate.

Isn't that what I just said? It doesn't matter who or what is to blame, it is important to mitigate damages as far as possible. One way to mitigate damages is to reduce greenhouse gases caused by human activity. Whether it is causing climate change, is beside the point - it is contributing to it, and we can control that aspect of climate change. (Among other methods of mitigating damages.)

I recently read a really alarming article about the fact that there are really a lot more green type vehicles out there than we are allowed to buy. The article named about a half dozen or more vehicles that we should have a choice to buy, but the law does not allow their companies to sell them in certain states. There were only about eight states in which you can buy them. These were cars whose company names I knew, but they were basically alternative fuel cars, and the deterrent was laws. I'm really not sure where I found the article, but it was on the net, that I know. (And none of this has anything to do with what happened to the electric car!)

"How ya gonna keep 'em down on the farm now that they've seen Paree!"

The man was VP; do you really think he'd accept those positions, or, for that matter, that he needs a day job at all? No way! He'll just remain a private citizens of the world, thank you very much, if he really doesn't run himself. Although, he might accept having veto rights or rights to recommend for those positions.

No, you said that it doesn’t matter how much human activity is causing climate change, we should spend whatever it takes to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by humans even though it may not make much difference in the climate.

Unless you think the resources of the planet are unlimited, you have to make some judgement about how those resources are allocated.

If you can find anywhere in any of my posts for the last several years that I have been a member here, where I said anything remotely like that I'll send a check to Al Gore's foundation in your name. Since you can't I'll continue to think you've lost it.


I would like to have Gore honestly assess the fundraising activities and lobbyist influence upon Clinton, Obama, Edwards and anyone else who receives significant support, regarding the environmental issues which he says are important.

If there are significant differences---and being an Obama supporter, I believe there are---he should either point them out, and/or endorse the best candidate.

IIRC-- it's been months since I looked it over, of course-- they were attempting to work backward from his bill at the standard rate, without accounting for the premium he pays (60%, maybe- ?) for green power. So yeah, even if they were attempting to be honest, which is a laughable concept for that crowd, the numbers would have been way off.

Exactly-- he's already said he wouldn't accept any kind of Cabinet position, and why should he? So he can work for someone else and go out there to sell half-measures he knows were meant primarily to boost a pol's image? There's no point; if he stays out of politics, he's free to say what he thinks... and I really, really hope he will say a whole lot over the next several years. He's rich, he's respected, and he's free. Nothing short of the presidency itself would be enough to give that up.

He actually could be somewhat difficult to work with, at least by Beltway standards... people who are thoughtful & methodical, who want to really work through issues, seem to belong to the civil-service class there (or anywhere; I deal with state government & it happens there too) if anything, not leadership positions. I imagine that an exacting, big-picture boss probably is a nightmare for a lot of political appointees who mostly want to get something palatable out there in front of whoever happens to count most.

Of course, I happen to not mind a tough boss if s/he is principled & really pretty extraordinary in the vision department. I've never heard anyone say that Gore is unfair-- just that he's very internally driven, somewhat inscrutable, and [depending on the source] can seem a bit moody at times.

O.K. I am confused.

I think any reasonable person would interpret your statements on this thread to mean that we should reduce green house gas emissions regardless of wether doing so would make a serious difference in climate change.

Are you quibbling with how much we should spend to do so? Well, that debate would require determing what is to blame for climate change would it not? Something you said you don't care about.

the president will always own the franchise

If that's true then kiss the republic goodbye and welcome the presidential kingdom. Hail Caesar.

Yes, you are confused. Any sentient person should be able to read my post and understand it. Deconstruction and interpretation are not needed by reasonable persons.

Her Lieberman vote was the last straw for me. Why she's even soft on Social Security!

The following statement does not require deconstruction or interpretation:

"What difference does it make who or what is responsible?"

Are these your words of did someone hack into your account?

Gore was part of Apple's and Google's boards. It's not like he needs to work, etc...

To boldly go...

Obama wants to liquify coal, etc... He hid behind PR speak after environmentalists caught on.

To boldly go...

The CO2 not emitted by Bush's house is overwhelmed by that emitted by the military's M1 tanks, helicopters, and Humvees.

Bill Clinton enforced the UN sanctions, etc... and Hillary Clinton won't promise to leave Iraq by 2012... So what's your point?

To boldly go...

and it makes a huge difference since Gore's work goes in the garbage if it's a natural cause or a problem that man caused but can't stop.

for example, I've read that even if we stop emitting green house gases, the amount of stored heat will ensure that warming effects will continue for some time. i.e. if you apply the brakes while driving on ice, you'll slide out of control for a while...

To boldly go...

So yeah, Gore's doing a helluva lot better than I am overall, and I say good for him.

if both drivers are drunk, it's not OK to let the one who drank less drive! you both need to clean up your acts! For the good of the planet!

To boldly go...

Mr. Clemons says:

I really did mean every word in my tribute earlier today to former Vice President Al Gore.

A classic setup, isn't it, for what follows shortly (the "but" sticking out like it was set in 64 point bold-faced type).

But there is a bigger, more complicated and admittedly cynical dimension to the Gore win.

AHA!  Fair and Balanced, Mr. Clemons, Fair and Balanced.  Perhaps Gore should return the prize to dispel the cynicism, huh?

And really,  Ray Kroc?  Are we super-sizing Mr. Gore?  The only crock I see around here ain't Ray.  It's a certain column to which I'm appending this wee comment.

aMike

Bush is not exhibiting hypocrisy, true. He's consistently unconcerned about environmental issues. I didn't accuse Bush of hypocrisy, just pointed out the effects of his tenure.

"So, who cares about Bush's house?"

I care because global warming, and most other issues, are local issues-- my opinion.

i.e. First, people behave badly by driving alone in SUV's, building big homes and vacation homes, buying things they don't need, etc... and then they blame politicians for bad law instead of their own behavior.

Gore had the opportunity as VP to negotiate a viable Kyoto Protocol but he probably deferred to Clinton who opened up China to Wal-Mart and Gore knew that China was only viable if it wasn't forced to follow Kyoto.

Misleaders like that suck.

To boldly go...

Bush is the one that gave the order to invade. He is the one that is promoting continued exploration and production of oil and coal. He is the one that ordered the EPA to pull the plug on legislated programs such as New Source Review. He has done a lot of planetary damage, both through action and inaction.

By comparison, Gore is not living as small as he should. Call me unconvinced this matters a damn. It is not what one of us does that matters (other than presidents). It's what we decide to do as a nation.

Rather like taxation, where if one person countributes more than the legal obligation, he's a chump. But if we all agree to bump it up a bit, no one person is a chump, and we're all in it together.

Vince who?

OTOH, have you met Barack Hussein Obama?

«offtopic»

Linking to a Politico piece earlier this evening, Steve Benen blames South Carolina (it's the environment stupid) for the reemergence of mass smearmail connecting Obama to madrasses, terrorism, terrorists etc.

Except Steve somehow misses/overlooks/ignores the key graf where Insight credits "Hillary Rodham Clinton’s campaign for pushing a story about Obama’s Muslim heritage.".

Politico:

For many people, the Obama-is-a-Muslim e-mail is among the first things they "learn" about a man who was virtually unknown until recently and the campaign of whispers threatens to play a quiet role in defining him.
The whispers appear not to have surfaced during his 2004 Senate bid.
The first clear appearance of the theme on the Web came in a Dec. 18, 2006, column by Debbie Schlussel, a Detroit-based writer who often alleges ties between mainstream American figures ... “I had a lot of readers ask me about Barack Obama and his background, and a lot of them had heard he was a Muslim or thought he was a Muslim,” Schlussel said. “I looked into it, I found out his middle name was Hussein.”
The result: a column titled “Barack Hussein Obama: Once a Muslim, Always a Muslim.” Schlussel’s theme was picked up in the Unification Church-owned online magazine Insight the next month, which reported -- with no named sources but a political twist -- that Hillary Rodham Clinton’s campaign was pushing a story about Obama’s Muslim heritage.

«/offtopic»

Lovely.

Well for one, it's a double-bang supposition without precedent (Nobel laureate as president elect). However, if Gore is the leader we suggest, countries won't so much sacrifice at our behest but cooperate based on the evidence and adapt locally to our example.

And for some reason you feel the need to draw from it esoteric meaning, an existentialism that only you recognize.

We're all responsible for our planet, because we all live here. Whether the global warming is caused by greenhouse gases, or is caused by natural phenomenon, such as changes in sea currents by melting glaciers we must mitigate as far as it is in our power to lessen the danger. This is the important statement "whether god sent it as a warning to sinners, whether it is a completely natural phenomenon, whether it is an entirely man made crisis, at this time it is imperative that we treat the symptoms of which we are aware, predict new symptoms that may manifest themselves from time to time, and practice a careful husbandry of our resources as we investigate the coming climate change and its repercussions on the planet.

Of course we could follow your advice, spend the next twenty years trying to find someone to blame, through endless committee meetings, political conventions, science seminars and studying the Armaggedon time line, and watch you throw your hands up in surrender and claim "there's not enough proof!, there's not enough proof!"

It wouldn't hurt though, while you're waiting for your Saul on the road to Damascus epiphany for the rest of us to start the big clean up.

Steve Clemons's article treats climate change as if it were a cheesburger to be marketed. His article is a paradigm for what's wrong with the political system - but i's also what's wrong with human society as well so the outlook is gloomy. If a large asteroid were en route to Earth and would collide with it in, say, 30 years, then I think Clemons wouldn't be talking about Ray Kroc. The only difference is the time scale - but that's what makes climate change such a difficult problem. Through evolution humans are hard wired to act selfishly and accrue resources at the expense of others. Only imminent disaster seems to have the necessary galvanizing effect.

All this talk of acting locally and about Gore's house is moot; what will likely happen is that there will be a progression of disasters that will radically affect how humans act on the planet - nations re-arranged, resource wars etc. It's not only climate change - all of the important resources on the planet would still be stressed, even in the absence of global warming, given the expansion and industrialization of China and India. What will finally emerge is unknowable but will probably be bad. That's how humans have typically acted historically. After all, if we are now a global village then the large wars we have seen in the past are bound to be repeated on a truly global scale.

I doubt that this can be avoided, but it can't be avoided by switching to energy-efficient lightbulbs.

Banning private ownership of cars within the next decade - and globally - might be a start. But what chance does that have!

Suggesting Gore for those cabinet positions was satire, (just think how apoplectic the wingnuts would be) just as I once suggested President Hillary appoint Bill as Attorney general. (he could then investigate Ken Starr, Richard Mellon Scaife and wingnut Congressman Dan Burton) :-)


Of course we could follow your advice, spend the next twenty years trying to find someone to blame, through endless committee meetings, political conventions, science seminars and studying the Armaggedon time line, and watch you throw your hands up in surrender and claim "there's not enough proof!, there's not enough proof!"

Are you joking? I've done science and know that it's easy to "fall in love" with an "invalid model."

People agree that "global warming exits" but that's different than "knowing how to solve it."

To boldly go...

You can read up on the houses yourself,

EITHER HERE: Al Gore's Monthly Electric Bill.

OR HERE: Chicago Tribune: Bush Loves Ecology -- At Home.

In these reports, it was noted that the "Nashville Electric Service" made the claim so it wasn't "back calculated" as some speculate here.

In my world view, buying green energy isn't enough, everyone has to cut consumption locally. i.e. nobody on this list would accept a nuclear reactor that leaked radiation as long as the owners donated money to clean up nuclear radiation in another state.

Thus, I believe that Gore's a fraud.

To boldly go...

Hmm, okay, I'll take your advice when...

actually, I won't, although I'll certainly give Gore my attention as long as he asks for it. No point in rotting the ol' frontal lobe by excessive exposure to wingers.

news report:
Most of the remaining doubts some scientists harbored about the impact of human activity on global temperatures have disappeared in the last few years. Gore's recital of climate facts in his movie "An Inconvenient Truth" contains some flaws, but most experts agree he is correct on the biggest point: The earth is on a path toward a perilously warm climate and the release of greenhouse gases is playing a key role. . . .most experts said Gore's overall point faithfully reflects what climate researchers have found. . .

The increasingly clear message of research on climate change began to emerge in the 1970s. The conclusions solidified as scientists gathered more data on prehistoric levels of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases that help warm the earth. That research shows pollution from sources such as power plants and automobiles is causing a spike in greenhouse gases, unprecedented in the 500,000-year record preserved within the ice of Antarctica.
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-gore-scienceoct13,1,5559471.story


ecotourism
WeGoEco.com

Steve Clemons' article treats climate change as if it were a cheeseburger to be marketed.

Some cheeseburger!

news report:
Global warming may lead to war

Washington-16/04/2007 -- Global warming poses a "serious threat to America's national security" with terrorism worsening and the US will likely be dragged into fights over water and other shortages, top retired military leaders warn in a new report.

Joining calls already made by scientists and environmental activists, the retired US military leaders, including the former Army chief of staff and President George W Bush's former chief Middle East peace negotiator, called on the US government to make major cuts in emissions of gases that cause global warming.

The report warned that in the next 30 to 40 years there will be wars over water, increased hunger instability from worsening disease and rising sea levels and global warming-induced refugees.

"The chaos that results can be an incubator of civil strife, genocide and the growth of terrorism," the 35-page report predicted.
http://www.news24.com/News24/Technology/News/0,,2-13-1443_2098950,00.html

If anyone asks "why the peace prize?", there's the answer.

ecotourism
WeGoEco.com

So someone who is still using energy but who put in place items that use less energy is on a par with some energy gulper?

My Prius is just as guilty as your Hummer or Ford Excursion?

Who Will Own the Climate Change Franchise? The Clintons or Al Gore?

Silly question,

Gore has the copyright on the 'Climate Change/Global Warming' issue. :-)

It is interesting to see the fact that a number of Kyoto nations seem likely to miss their targets replaced by the psuedo-fact that none of the Kyoto nations have met their targets ...

... that is true by definition, since the targets involve five year averages, and the first five year period is not yet started, let alone complete. None can be said to "have met" their targets, even those that are currently on track.

However, at present "behaving badly" in terms of sprawl development, expanding the SUV share of the market, and factory farming have all been ... and in most cases still are ... the recipients of substantial government subsidy.

While it may not be an explicit government policy to consume more energy less efficiently, that has certainly been the behavior rewarded as a side effect of many government policies.

How can the most dramatic possible argument in favor of taking action be trotted out as if it is an argument against taking action?

We know that the climate on this planet has been far more extreme, in both directions, than it has been during the last 5,000 or so years, and we know that the shifts from our present mild conditions to extremes of heat and cold can take place in time-scales that we can in fact experience ... and we know that we do not know for certain whether it is safe to continuously increase the level of CO2 beyond levels ever recorded in the fossil record ...

... and therefore we should try the experiment to see if the result really is as bad as our best modeling suggests? When it can just as easily be worse than our best modeling as better than our best modeling?

This is the same as arguing that we should drive faster in a fog on a winding road than in a clear day on a straight road when we can see the traffic in both direction for miles and miles.

No, because he won the election narrowly rather than by a landslide, and then lost the fight to prevent the election results being reversed by the Florida Secretary of State.

Indeed, he is only one of three Democratic candidates to win a Presidential election since LBJ stood aside (and if he had run again, he probably would have lost) ... and Clinton ran with the benefit of a third party candidate taking more Republican than Democratic support.

In the end, Gore is going to have to decide whether Obama or Edwards is going to be a more effective advocate for the kind of polities that are necessary, and endorse one of those two.

Full stop, end of story, never mind the Beltway spin.

If Hillary's poll numbers in the national primary preference poll were her poll numbers in Iowa and New Hampshire, the race would not be up in the air ... but it really is up in the air, and if Al Gore wants to push the race in the right direction, he at the very least has to get Hillary on the record to the fullest possible extent ... and she will not be forced to go on the record if she has an easy jog for the nomination.

This coronation of Hillary would seem to be a case of the snake oil salesmen drinking their own snake oil. The national primary preference polls are commissioned by the big corporate media because it gives something to report on that is "objective", and does not involve researching and analyzing policy positions of the candidates, which costs far more to do and will end up with massive bucketloads of bile being dumped in their laps, for very little ratings reward.

But that doesn't change the fact that the national primary preference polls before the early contests have been completed are going to be massively overstating or understating the support that candidates will have going into February 5. So all the reporting as if we are getting poll results from 1 February 2008 is just so much fluff and noise.

Think of John Edwards as president and you have your answer. He just received the endorsement of Friends of the Earth and he won the moveon.org vote on who had the best environmental plan. His good work on the environment gave him good grades from the League of Conservation Voters. Edwards record 
So with Edwards as President, he will implement Gore's ideas and because he is the "labor" president, he will start to bring back manufacturing jobs and stop the pollution caused by shipping all our stuff from China. The big big picture guy is Edwards.

A thing moderately good is not so good as it ought to be. Moderation in temper is always a virtue, but moderation in principle is always a vice." Tom Paine

Sorry, but I stopped believing in global warming about 6 months ago, after the IPCC report came out and the media started saying "The debate is over." That set off the alarm bells. The debate is never over in real science.

Global warming has become a religion. Calling sceptics "deniers" or "denialists" is no part of real science either.

And now the whole thing looks like a giant scam:

About 20 years ago Enron was owner and operator of an interstate network of natural gas pipelines, and had transformed itself into a billion-dollar-a-day commodity trader, buying and selling contracts and their derivatives to deliver natural gas, electricity, internet bandwidth, whatever. The 1990 Clean Air Act amendments authorized the Environmental Protection Agency to put a cap on how much pollutant the operator of a fossil-fueled plant was allowed to emit. In the early 1990s Enron had helped establish the market for, and became the major trader in, EPA’s $20 billion-per-year sulphur dioxide cap-and-trade program, the forerunner of today’s proposed carbon credit trade. This commodity exchange of emission allowances caused Enron’s stock to rapidly rise. Then came the inevitable question, what next? How about a carbon dioxide cap-and-trade program? The problem was that CO2 is not a pollutant, and therefore the EPA had no authority to cap its emission. Al Gore took office in 1993 and almost immediately became infatuated with the idea of an international environmental regulatory regime.

And here's Alexander Cockburn on Al Gore's Peace Prize.

Get off this train, people. You're being taken for a ride.

idlex said:

Sorry, but I stopped believing in global warming about 6 months ago...

Remember how the Reagan crowd used to deny the existance of, and ridicule the fact of, acid rain? The same gang is ridiculing the idea of global warming/climate change.

And I guess the jury is still out on evolution and gravity.

Have evolution or gravity or acid rain got something to do with global warming?

Does the overwhelming agreement among those who study it have anything to do with global warming?

Ironic that when a consensus is reached, that is the signal it must be mistaken. Perhaps a common misunderstanding of process is involved here. Science does not keep changing its mind. It learns stuff that works and moves on, adding to the existing body of knowledge. When a model becomes inadequate, a new one will be found. But we still use Euclid's geometry for surveying land and designing bridges. We still use Newton's mechanics for traveling to other planets. Both are known to be incomplete, but they're fine within their limits. That no one understands quantum mechanics doesn't stop it from being universally admired for its precision and wide application.

So it is absolutely not the case that consensus means something is wrong with the science. 

The "Let's all be nice" request doesn't do much for preventing theft and other crimes. So we have laws, where we say to each other "We agree these actions are prohibited, and we agree to impose and accept punishments for infractions."

Common resources get exploited by cheaters. Common policy is the answer. If I argue we should raise taxes, it does not follow that I should be a chump and just give away my money when others aren't.

But there is no consensus.

Of 528 total papers on climate change, only 38 (7%) gave an explicit endorsement of the consensus. If one considers "implicit" endorsement (accepting the consensus without explicit statement), the figure rises to 45%. However, while only 32 papers (6%) reject the consensus outright, the largest category (48%) are neutral papers, refusing to either accept or reject the hypothesis. This is no "consensus."

The figures are even more shocking when one remembers the watered-down definition of consensus here. Not only does it not require supporting that man is the "primary" cause of warming, but it doesn't require any belief or support for "catastrophic" global warming. In fact of all papers published in this period (2004 to February 2007), only a single one makes any reference to climate change leading to catastrophic results.

In genuine science, sceptics are welcomed, because genuine scientists want to find out the truth. By contrast, the devotees of global warming ignore sceptics, and pretend that there are next to none of them. This is dishonest.

Also:

They call this a consensus?

"Only an insignificant fraction of scientists deny the global warming crisis. The time for debate is over. The science is settled."

S o said Al Gore ... in 1992. Amazingly, he made his claims despite much evidence of their falsity. A Gallup poll at the time reported that 53% of scientists actively involved in global climate research did not believe global warming had occurred; 30% weren't sure; and only 17% believed global warming had begun.

Bogus.

The celebrated research by Dr. Klaus-Martin Schulte, claiming that a legitimate debate still continues over the science behind climate change, is "a bit patchy and nothing new," according to Sonja Boehmer-Christiansen , editor of the Energy and Environment journal to which Schulte had submitted the work for publication.

"A bit patchy and nothing new" does not equate with "bogus".

It's anyway entirely unsurprising that it's nothing new: there have always been plenty of sceptics around. And that is the principal point that needs to be made. People should understand, whatever they think about the global warming debate, that there are two sides to it.

Evolution, gravity, and acid rain have all proven to be real, yet they all attracted the naysayers, just as climate change is doing.


idlex,

I looked at the sites you refered to, they might as well be American Enterprise Institute or EXXON's home page. You need to get out more often and try to find some objective analysis.

idlex said:

People should understand, whatever they think about the global warming debate, that there are two sides to it.

Correct, so produce your one or two scientists from The Heritage Foundation and lets hear your side.

Why the Heritage Foundation? It's easy for me to produce two scientists, however. First, one of the world's foremost meteorologists, Dr William Gray:

"The human impact on the atmosphere is simply too small to have a major effect on global temperatures," Dr Gray said.

He said his beliefs had made him an outsider in popular science.

"It bothers me that my fellow scientists are not speaking out against something they know is wrong," he said. "But they also know that they'd never get any grants if they spoke out. I don't care about grants."

People don't get grants these days if they fail to subscribe to the received global warming wisdom - which is further evidence that it is a dogmatic belief rather than an established scientific fact.

Then there's one-time global warming alarmist, but now sceptic, Claude Allegre:

Dr. Allegre's skepticism is noteworthy in several respects. For one, he is an exalted member of France's political establishment, a friend of former Socialist president Lionel Jospin, and, from 1997 to 2000, his minister of education, research and technology, charged with improving the quality of government research through closer co-operation with France's educational institutions. For another, Dr. Allegre has the highest environmental credentials. The author of early environmental books, he fought successful battles to protect the ozone layer from CFCs and public health from lead pollution. His break with scientific dogma over global warming came at a personal cost: Colleagues in both the governmental and environmental spheres were aghast that he could publicly question the science behind climate change.

But Dr. Allegre had allegiances to more than his socialist and environmental colleagues. He is, above all, a scientist of the first order...

My case is simply that there are sceptics, with the relevant scientific qualifications and experience, who are not persuaded of AGW. Regardless of whether they are right or wrong, there can be no good science if such people are simply shouted down. ANyone who is concerned about doing good science - as opposed to advancing a political cause - will be dismayed at attempts to manufacture consensus.

"My Prius is just as guilty as your Hummer or Ford Excursion?"

pretty much, yes. just because someone has a Prius doesn't mean they're more environmental.

I could get a Prius but, instead, I chose to live near work and where I need to go and use my bicycle or walk for most activities.

people on this list will claim that the "car free" life is impossible and that belief, to me, is the caause of global warming since people like life with carbon-- unless there is a technology miracle in the energy area.

the Prius owners who only smoke 1 pack of cigarettes a day instead of the hummers who smoke 3 packs a day don't impress me.

To boldly go...


sounds theorhetically acceptable but Jesus, in the new testament, "came to fulfil the law" that the old testament supposedly laid out.

the problem with policy is that it lags bad behavior and the bigger problem is how to make people aware of bad behavior before policy gets around to dealing with it.

it's not one or the other; apriori (free will) and aposteri (policy) behavior interventions are both necessary.

To boldly go...


the problem with averages is that when you fail year after year, it's hard to get a passing average.

my bet is that Kyoto is all smoke and mirrors. even though america has a lot of "environmental laws," the number of enviromental problems is staggering and growing.

To boldly go...

Bush is the one that gave the order to invade.

wasn't "regime change" the policy of congress before bush got there?

To boldly go...

Quite right, and Scott Ritter emphasizies this. He feels Gore as president would have eventually attacked Iraq, being boxed in by the formal policy and the demonization of Saddam.

But can we agree that, Ritter's predictions aside, regime change is not synonymous with invasion, and that timing is an issue, too? In other words why invasion, and why March 2003?

So there was a choice (and a previously announced ambition) to invade. Therefore attributable consequences belong to Bush.

The problem of course is what to do about climate change now. Is it sufficient to simply ban incandescent light bulbs or will a serious curtailing of civil liberties be required along with an ugly confrontation with China? These decisions require an assignment of blame for climate change along with an evaluation of the possibility of mitigation of the damage caused by such change, all of which you dismiss out of hand.

Have your two examples written papers and subjected them to peer review?

I found it interesting that the one who won the Nobel Prize was the one who is saying Global Warming/Climate Change is real.

I source the bottom two, they aren't newspaper articles

http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/


http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science/ipcc-highlights3.html

Is the Noble peace prize based on scientific merit? I don't think so.

Robert Brown said:

Is the Noble peace prize based on scientific merit? I don't think so.

"Through the scientific reports it has issued over the past two decades, the IPCC has created an ever-broader informed consensus about the connection between human activities and global warming."


http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/peace/laureates/2007/press.html

"By awarding the Nobel Peace Prize for 2007 to the IPCC and Al Gore, the Norwegian Nobel Committee is seeking to contribute to a sharper focus on the processes and decisions that appear to be necessary to protect the world’s future climate, and thereby to reduce the threat to the security of mankind."

This doesn't sound like a scientific judgment, rather a comment on political skills. In fact I think there are substantial differences between Gore's predictions and the IPCC's.

JohnW1141 said:

Have your two examples written papers and subjected them to peer review?

I would imagine so, since both are acknowledged experts in climatology or meteorology. Rather more so than Al Gore, or the bureaucrats of the IPCC - who are generally political appointees.

Or are you not bothered by what such experts think, and prefer to listen to politicians and bureaucrats who may have little relevant training or experience, by comparison with such experts? The IPCC is simply an umbrella organisation which draws on the experience of the real experts, and possesses little expertise itself. It is a strange mixture of science and politics:

Paul Dickinson, the coordinator of the Carbon Disclosure Project, a London-based group that assesses companies’ readiness to handle climate change, was blunt about what he saw as a shortcoming of the IPCC, which is constrained by its charter from reaching judgments on how much warming is too much.

“Scientists are not authorized to say what’s dangerous because that’s thought to be a political decision,” Mr. Dickinson said. That is “a kind of glaring misunderstanding because most of us have the assumption that scientists are there to warn us of the dangers that we face,” he said.

By involving governments in the process of melding scientific findings, the panel, in effect, gives politicians some “ownership” of the findings, said Stephen Schneider, a Stanford climatologist involved in the IPCC since it was created in 1988.

Here's another climate expert, Christopher Landsea of the Atlantic Oceanographic & Meteorological Laboratory explaining his resignation from the IPCC.

After some prolonged deliberation, I have decided to withdraw from participating in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). I am withdrawing because I have come to view the part of the IPCC to which my expertise is relevant as having become politicized. In addition, when I have raised my concerns to the IPCC leadership, their response was simply to dismiss my concerns.

What bothered him?

It is beyond me why my colleagues would utilize the media to push an unsupported agenda that recent hurricane activity has been due to global warming. Given Dr. Trenberth's role as the IPCC's Lead Author responsible for preparing the text on hurricanes, his public statements so far outside of current scientific understanding led me to concern that it would be very difficult for the IPCC process to proceed objectively with regards to the assessment on hurricane activity. My view is that when people identify themselves as being associated with the IPCC and then make pronouncements far outside current sc ientific understandings that this will harm the credibility of climate change science and will in the longer term diminish our role in public policy.

In short, the lead author was making stuff up. That would indeed seem to harm the credibility of the IPCC. Landsea ends saying:

I personally cannot in good faith continue to contribute to a process that I view as both being motivated by pre-conceived agendas and being scientifically unsound.

I'm not surprised.

idlex said:

I would imagine so, since both are acknowledged experts in climatology or meteorology. Rather more so than Al Gore, or the bureaucrats of the IPCC - who are generally political appointees.

Its interesting how you see those who oppose your view as simply me, Al Gore and "bureaucrats of the IPCC - who are generally political appointees."

Gee, I can't debate that kind of 'logic.'

Everything Al Gore is pushing is the result of scientific judgement as is the reason he won the award.

Yes, and Gore and the committee that awards the prize are political people. Thus I maintain that their judgement is political and does not add scientific credibility to a particular climate change theory.

Robert Brown,

If we follow your line of thinking to its logical conclusion we conclude that no one in any government, anywhere, no one on the Noble Committee, and perhaps no one in the United Nations can offer legitimate commentary on global warming because they're all political people.

of course they can offer commentary but for those of us who look at Gore's past, we chuckle at the amnesia that the committee has since it only selectively remembers the parts of history that support a "Noble Peace Prize" and ignores the rest.

to me, Gore's prize was a non-event and awarded because a committee was mandated to award a prize.

To boldly go...

because either congress was given a "stand down order" or they were complicit and I think they were complicit especially because of the AIPAC speeches which both democrats and republicans give.

To boldly go...

Question; When is a Noble Prize a trivial award?

Answer: When Al Gore receives one.

That's silly.

All political commentary is legitimate but not all commentary contrubutes to science. Intellegent design commentary is largely political and is legitimate but it does not contribute to science.

Intellegent design commentary is largely political

is this purely political? even though i'm agnostic, i'm drawn to the idea of intelligent design since, for centuries, human beings have been involved with genetic engineering. in 50 years, I wonder if we'll remember evolution since man might become the primary decider, based on our perception, of what survives and thrives.

To boldly go...

The intelligent design I am referring to is the hypothesis that some intelligent designer guided evolution of life on earth. From what I have read of it, there is little science involved, largely just political talking points.


but that has nothing to do with the question of whether life on earth could have evolved under only known laws of physics without a designer.

agreed. that's why such pondering makes life interesting! I'm agnostic since I don't assume that man knows the reality of "the world" yet.

To boldly go...


I agree that "intelligent design" is as you say but its holding power could be the apriori evolution versus the apostori intelligent design. i.e. as human psychology starts seeing itself as the creator, will evolution become less important or become intermixed with something else?

To boldly go...

Sure, people who engage in selective breeding of plants and animals are guiding evolution with their intelligence, but that has nothing to do with the question of whether life on earth could have evolved under only known laws of physics without a designer.

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