Has the new Argument already begun to take shape?

I'd like to echo Mark Schmitt's strong recommendation of the book, to start with. I'd been hearing about the book for months from various D.C. insiders before I finally sat down with it. Some of them disliked it intensely, and were just thrilled to predict to me how unfavorable the reception for this book would be. (I love this town -- total snakepit.) In retrospect, that prediction looks about as accurate as the predictions of Howard Dean's invincibility Beltway insiders made in Fall 2003.

The Argument is a great read, pure and simple. It carries you along with all the momentum of a thriller, even though you know going in the outcome of its suspenseful narrative. It is filled with so many acute, illuminating observations about the insurgent progressive movement's key players that I'm quite sure some will never again feel comfortable in Bai's presence, for fear of what is going on behind those dark green eyes of his. Indeed, there is so much in the book that I didn't know about various actors, such as the Democracy Alliance's Rob Stein, that I felt at times while reading it like someone had accidentally given me the secret psychiatrist's files on people I've spent years seeing around town.

The book, however, left me with one big question.

Reviewers, including the discussants on this site, have largely praised the book's portraits and reporting, but taken issue with Bai's broader argument that the Democratic Party lacks an argument for itself. In my own reading of the book, though, it seems clear to me -- as I think Matt has tried a bit to clarify on this site -- that that insistent voice asking, "What next? Where do we go from here?" that recurs throughout the narrative is as much Andy Stern's as Bai's own. Though the book does not take Stern as its central figure, it is Stern's push to reshape union politics for the new economy and push to reshape the Democratic Party for the new century that I hear Bai sympathizing with more than any other insurgent effort, and that's saying something, since he describes himself as feeling a respectful affection and admiration for many of the new players.

My question, both to Bai and to the other discussants, is whether the changes Stern has advocated -- his push for a new argument and agenda -- have begun to materialize, and whether we are starting to see the first glimmers of the new Democratic argument being laid out on the campaign trail this election cycle.

For example, the Democratic candidates this cycle all have agreed in principle that they ought to propose and support universal healthcare coverage. This might not seem new, but it is fact a shift to a consensus position that did not exist in, say, 2002, when the Democrats were narrowly focused on the question of prescription drug coverage, or even in 2004, when John Edwards derided John Kerry's health care reform proposals as too ambitious. Further, the Democrats, with the exception of Dennis Kucinich, seem to have temporarily given up what to many voters was the impossible (or impossibly scary) dream of national health insurance in favor of a public-private patchwork that fills the gaps in the system but leaves the majority of American who are already insured or satisfied with the present system unperturbed. This consensus probably would not have emerged had not Stern's SEIU demanded it as a precondition for considering the candidates for an endorsement.

Second, though he emerges as a figure in the book only on two pages of the 306-page volume, former Vice President Al Gore, through his 2006 film An Inconvenient Truth, has transformed the nation's understanding of the environment. We may have witnesses the Death of Environmentalism, but Gore has birthed something even more significant: a new international awareness of the coming climate change crisis. Where Gore has played the role of visionary hero and evangelist, the Democratic candidates for president this election cycle are starting to turn his vision into a policy agenda for the American economy and for global sustainability. When John Edwards tells an audience in a declining industrial town on the fringes of Iowa life about the new hope a "green economy" might give them, he is laying out a cause that can bring new hope to the world and to their community alike. Instead of building washing machines in Iowa, they can build wind turbines, which they can then stand tall within their corn fields, helping America become energy-independent while also helping themselves to a middle-class lifestyle. Hillary Clinton, too, has made "green jobs" a central part of her argument for the new economy, and Barack Obama has laid out powerful ideas for energy independence, some of which owe a lot to the pioneering work of Nordhaus and Schellenberger.

So my question, again, is: Are we starting to see the new argument emerging along with the new infrastructure?


Comments (6)

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No.

For example, the Democratic candidates this cycle all have agreed in principle that they ought to propose and support universal healthcare coverage.

And they have coalesced around the timeframe of the end of the Iraq war- somewhere in 2013 (I think that's after the Millennialist prediction of Jesus returning).

What we seem to be seeing is the effect of candidates running longer and being subjected to a more pressurized atmosphere for endorsements. I don't believe they have come up with any Big New Ideas, or Big New Frameworks, just new buzzwords draped over the same tired frame.

Alphonse ( Al ) Kada
Iranians are fighting the Americans in Iraq so they don't have to fight them on the streets of Tehran

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I'd say yes, and I have a feeling that if one went back and looked at the development of political rhetoric and programs in the 1930s, one would find the philosophy and the politics rather similar in its level of coherence to what's happening today. I remain unconvinced as to why the Democratic arguments you mention on the environment and on health care are not sufficiently new or inspiring or 21st-century to serve Bai's purposes. And I don't see why the consensus across the new left on the importance of the "common good", and on how Movement Conservatism has savaged the country and needs to be undone by a new and modernized liberalism, isn't the kind of narrative "argument" Bai is looking for.

I basically think he's way too pessimistic about this.

"All governments lie, but disaster lies in wait for countries whose officials smoke the same hashish they give out." - I.F. Stone

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It would be better for Edwards and others advocating a green economy in the heartland to promise to overturn laws against growing hemp.

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Yes, and note that she says they've agreed "in principle" on proposing universal health care. Well, gee whiz, didn't Truman do that. Besides, we then throw away the commitment by refusing to make the commitment to a single payer plan. Yes, the upper middle class (inside the beltway pundits and wonks?) are happy with their coverage so what's with the poor slobs wanting us to stick our necks out? Don't rock the boat. Leave no insurance executive behind.

And you are so right on the war. Hillary was for the war before she was against the war and then she's for another war in Iran and don't pin her down on Iraq because she's going to be for that war too till 2013 and if it's expedient till 2017 and attacking Syria is swell too, want to throw in Lebanon? Not enough? I'm open to your wingnut argument Lieberman ... bring it on.

What's the argument for being nothing but a rubber stamp for the Republican Party?

Oh, and don't forget if we get Clinton, we don't get a commitment to Social Security just a commitment to "fiscal responsibility" (anyone seen an argument around here for social justice?)

The book, however, left me with one big question.

I know a picture is worth 1,000 words.  What I don't know is what a 1,000 word (more or less) question is worth.  My guess is not much.  I learn in the first paragraph that Ms. Franke-Ruda has been hearing about the book from "D.C. Insiders" for months, count them, months

Are these the same "Beltway insiders" who proclaimed Dean's "Invincibility" in 2003.  Hmmm. I can't remember hearing from them about that.  Perhaps they only remarked that to other.  Out here in the hinterlands we were hearing that Dean didn't stand a chance.  It seemed to some of us that the "insiders" were going to do all they could to make sure he didn't.

I guess I did learn, in the great windup to the question, that the book has momentum, and perhaps the next time I'm tempted to pick up a King thriller I'll pick it up instead.   I also learned that Matt Bai has dark green eyes.  I won't have to wait for Maureen Dowd to tell me that.

The book may be a very good book.  But there's nothing in this one big question to lead me to want to read it very much. 

aMike

Well thanks, aMike, for giving it a chance. And I don't think Maureen has the slightest notion what color my eyes are.

Garance, I'm going to answre you here, in brief, rather than post another Olympian lecture, because I don't have a strong feeling about the question. I guess my answer would be: I don't know yet, or can't decide. You're right to suggest that all of these conversations in the campaign seem to indicate a new concensus around several important policy innovations. I think its also true, as someone pointed out, that this discussion often feels more like pandering and positioning than a truly impassioned argument.

What intrigues me, though, is whether someone will be able to tell a story about how these challenges that your raise are interrelated and thus require a new way of thinking. This is what Bill Clinton started to do with his 1992 campaign--to explain that fundamental economic and technological shifts were creating anxieties in a bunch of ways, but that they were all part of the whole. Health care and climate change and the threat of radical Islam are all part of a new globalization, a recognition that outside forces are changing society and exerting a pull on our internal affairs in a way they haven't before. Bush's reaction to this has been to stand against it and declare America's sole control over its own fate--an approach that has predictably failed. There's an argument to be made here about government's response to a world that is suddenly very integrated. And we hear hints of this in the different discussions, and I wonder if and when it will emerge as an argument about the nature of the times as a whole. I hope I'm making sense.

Obama interests me in this regard, because in a sense he is the best positioned to explain the changing times; he represents a generational shift in leadership. But thus far he hasn't seemed able to articulate any coherent reason for why his generation is more suited to the task than the last. if he sees the emerging world more clearly than older candidates, as John Kennedy claimed to in 1960, he really hasn't told us why or how. But there's stil time for that.

Thanks for joining in, and for noticing my eyes. You've contributed a lot to this discussion about a progressive movement over the years, and I've noticed that, and I'm sure your readers have, too.

Join The Argument.
www.mattbai.com

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