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Insurgencies and Establishments

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The Ted Nordhaus/Michael Schellenberger post casts a different, and interesting light on Matt Bai's excellent book, and his exposition on the various elements of the Democratic insurgency that's gained steam over the last few years.

The Reapers (as they are affectionately known in environmental circles) seize on Matt's concerns about the inability of insurgents to develop a coherent external "argument" for Democrats, and implicitly characterize said insurgents as reflecting the let's-all-link-arms-and-protect-our-programs interest-group liberalism that has dominated the party in the past.

I don't really agree with that characterization if we're talking about the netroots, but it does raise some important questions about the netroots' own characterization of the "D.C. Democratic Establishment."

To the extent that key elements of the netroots, the Democracy Alliance, MoveOn, and the Howard Dean-era DNC, think of themselves as fighting a failed "D.C. Democratic Establishment," it is reasonably important to understand whose gates are being crashed.

It's worth mentioning that in the best-known manifesto of the netroots, two of the major characters in Matt's book, Markos Moulitsas and Jerome Armstrong, spend a chapter excoriating interest-group liberalism, with extensive positive citation of the Reapers' work.

Indeed, in a later chapter that focuses on the hated DLC, Moulitsas and Armstrong concede that this particular bastion of the "D.C. Democratic Establishment" used to do useful work opposing interest-group liberalism as well, before joining and even exemplifying the Establishment. But did the Clintonian "centrist" element of the party really join or displace the pre-Clinton interest-group-liberal Establishment in the party? Or do the two strands of Establishment thinking persist? And if the latter is true, are the "insurgents" all fighting the same "Establishment?"

That question is germane today given the widespread netroots anger over the handling of the Iraq issue in Congress by leaders who (particularly if we're talking about Nancy Pelosi) can't rationally be accused of being Clintonistas, DLCers, or even "centrists." If anything, they represent the "interest-group liberalism" that predated Clinton, and whose most consistent feature is the (usually unsuccessful) effort to find some way to neutralize difficult issues like national security and win elections on the domestic priorities that tend to unite a coalition of progressive interest groups around a programmatic agenda.

In his book, Matt Bai often comments (unfairly, I think) on the lack of interest of Democratic insurgents in political history prior to the Clinton impeachment saga. Of greater importance is the typical insurgent take on very recent political history that ignores or conflates the two major strands of the "D.C. Democratic Establishment."

I can't count the number of times I've read blogs or comments on blogs that suggest that "Clintonians," having lost Congress and a majority of the states in 1994, proceeded to screw up the elections of 2000, 2002 and 2004. The 2000 and 2004 Democratic presidential campaigns were dominated by a strategist, Bob Shrum, whose most remarkable accomplishment in a long career was his complete lack of involvement in the two successful Clinton campaigns (he was, indeed, an avator of the "D.C. Democratic Establishment" resistance to Clinton during the 1990s). The 2002 Democratic midterm campaign was the ultimate reflection of the change-the-subject strategy of interest-group liberals who thought agreeing with Bush on national security, or just refusing to talk about it, would make the elections revolve around prescription drug coverage, the obsessive Democratic theme of that election.

This rather important detail about the "D.C. Democratic Establishment" emerges in The Argument mainly through the eyes of Bill Clinton, who seems frustrated to the point of fury by the refusal of insurgents to see him as a fellow reformer whose accomplishments have been obscured by later Democratic failures for which he doesn't accept blame.

If a more nuanced view of the Establishment is helpful, it also helps promote a more nuanced view of the insurgency. I don't know about other readers, but Matt Bai's extensive coverage of the Democracy Alliance led me to think that the "billionaires" of his narrative have little in common with the netroots other than opposition to the war in Iraq and cultural liberalism. Many of the heavily privileged donors Bai talks to and about seem to embrace the interest-group-liberalism wing of the Establishment, and share its distinctive belief that there's nothing wrong with progressivism that some shiny new marketing can't fix.

And even within the netroots, some of those who favor a more ideological approach to netroots advocacy are actually arguing for a tacit alliance with interest-group liberals against the Clintonistas.

Aside from Bai's and my own efforts to slice-and-dice insurgents and establishmentarians, I'll conclude by suggesting that there are some pretty important parties to the intra-Democratic "argument" that don't get much attention in these sorts of accounts. There are the thousands of state and local Democratic elected officials who aren't part of the Beltway crowd, but who also haven't in large numbers identified with the netroots or other insurgents. And there are, more importantly, millions of Democratic rank-and-file voters whose main concern about elite "arguments" is the hope that we'll get over them in time to actually win the next elections.


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=== This rather important detail about the "D.C. Democratic Establishment" emerges in The Argument mainly through the eyes of Bill Clinton, who seems frustrated to the point of fury by the refusal of insurgents to see him as a fellow reformer whose accomplishments have been obscured by later Democratic failures for which he doesn't accept blame.===
Maybe the Telecommunications Act has something to do with that refusal, eh?
.
sPh

I really resent the word "insurgent" used against those of us who can't stand where this party has been going. Why don't you just call us "terrorists"?

Some of us just can't follow a party that can't seem to do anything but vote for war. Today, Hillary the Hawk and friends voted to take us down another road to war in Iran. Today, the Democrats cave in one more time (seems they do it every day!) to right wing fear mongering and militarism.

No need to make this all so complicated. The simple fact is that the party is no longer representing some of us on core issues like war and peace.

Bluebell:

Your comment reminds me of an incident back in the 1950s, when some McCarthyite congressman made a speech urging the Cincinnati Reds baseball team to change its name to avoid association with Communism.

One of the Reds' players promptly responded: "Let the communists change their name. We had it first."

Despite its current application to certain Iraqis, the word "insurgent" has a long history of use in describing those who are seeking to wrest power from entrenched establishments of all sorts. I did not mean it in any invidious way (indeed, it's probably a less pejorative term than "establishment") and certainly wasn't using it "against" anybody.

Ed Kilgore

I think I take what you are saying, but some of it is hard to follow without giving some examples, either of people or of institutions, that represent certain centers of gravity within the party.

Anyway, I think one explanation for a lot of elected Dems is that they are politicians, a chief concern for them is getting re-elected, they wrongly believe that they need to be very cautious to appear moderate/centrist, and that means they have to just go along with whatever it is the GOP wants to do (like Ben Nelson wanting to appoint DoJ elections law malefactor Hans von Spakovsky to the Federal Election Commission -- that's not getting him any votes in Nebraska, so why?).

If instead they would just have a little courage, and some conviction, they could actually do better both for themselves, their constituents, and the country.

Alternatively, the netroots may eventually bring enough pressure to bear that they face a price for voting the wrong way (or face a primary challenger if they always vote the wrong way).

How do they think Russ Feingold keeps getting re-elected in Wisconsin anyway?

Ohiomeister:

Your comment raises an issue that I didn't get into, and that's only indirectly raised in Bai's book. But it's important:

Is political calculation the only reason for being a "centrist?" And should courage and "principle" be attributed to anyone who's deemed "progresive?"

The second question is easier to answer, I think. I admire people like Russ Feingold and Tom Harkin, who take positions that aren't always easy in politically marginal states or districts. But the majority of "progressive" Democrats in Congress are from comfortable states and districts where they face no real competition, and their "principled" progressivism is basically a matter of playing to friendly galleries all day long, every day, for decades in some cases. Maybe they're "right" on the issues, but they hardly deserve a badge of courage, or any exemption for a general judgment on the cynicism of Washington Politicians.

On the first question, Bill Clinton is probably the toughest test case. Do you think he's completely cynical and poll-driven? Or do you think he represents a coherent and sincere point of view about progressive politics and policy that should be taken seriously when it's espoused by him or by others?

Accepting that there's plenty of principle, and plenty of cynicism, scattered around the Democratic Party is a good first step towards party unity, if that matters to you.

Ed Kilgore

Yes, but it's just another example of how the "establishment" casually picks up words to describe members of its own party that reinforce right wing spin.

On second thought, after listening to Hillary toss off neo-con talking points tonight, maybe I am an insurgent.

It's fine to take him seriously, Ed, and I take him very much more seriously than I did in 1992 and 1996 because I now understand that centrists and I have some fundamental differences on core values.

Tom Harkin comes from the same "place" I do. He's a rural, Irish, social-justice Catholic who has embraced issues like rights for the disabled out of family experience. He has the courage to stand up for values like reproductive rights which are very difficult for him personally and politically. And he was a great friend of my hero, Paul Wellstone, the only Democrat up for reelection with the guts to vote against the war in Iraq.

(P.S. my dear old mother in Iowa, a swing voter if there ever was one, tells me she doesn't know anyone who likes Hillary.)

Bluebell:

Since you're the only person, so far as I know, who thinks the term "insurgency" as I've used it associates Democrats with Iraqi rebels, I don't quite see as how I'm reinforcing any right wing spin, unless Fox News is monitoring this comment thread and decides you've made a good point.

If you've got a better, yet faction-neutral, term for describing the highly disparate groups composing the "uprising" (if that's an acceptable word) Matt Bai wrote about, let me hear it, and I'll try to use it in the future. And I mean that seriously. The last thing any of us need is to have to argue about basic terminology.

Ed Kilgore

"Accepting that there's plenty of principle, and plenty of cynicism, scattered around the Democratic Party is a good first step towards party unity, if that matters to you."

It used to matter to me but not any longer. I'll vote for anyone but a Democrat in the next election. It's bad enough that they lied about ending the Iraq war. Now they have the nerve to hold votes to condemn the Left in the Senate and the House. Personally, I think the netroots should abandon them and do the same thing to them they have done to us, declare war on them.

Ed Kilgore , Take a vacation. That's not an insult .I just think you would be more useful to yourself and to the rest of us who-like you- want to see a Democratic President if you sat on a mountain top and reread what you've written above.

One tip. Stop using over the top adjectives

Indeed, in a later chapter that focuses on the hated DLC

as a short hand for Markos disagrees with the DLC. A straight declarative sentence would be more persuasive.And accurate . Unless you really think Markos actually  hates the DLC.

And lose the quotation marks.

I gave up Time in high school because I resented its attempt to insinuate its views by using loaded adjectives " The Brits thought it would be beastly to do etc. etc." i.e.Time didn't agree with the British position. And maybe I'd have agreed with Time if they'd said that instead of using beastly as their short hand for Time disagrees with the British.

And I find it really hard to be fair to your position when you do the same thing.

Maybe you could call us neo-populists. When you've got 89% of Americans unhappy with Congress, i.e., the political establishment, something is brewing. I don't know where it's going but I don't think triangulation is sufficient to address it. People don't believe they count and they don't believe they're being heard, worse, they don't believe it's worth talking because no one is listening. The netroots can't stop talking but I'm not so sure they (we) sufficiently represent the depth and breadth of the angst out here.

ACH!!!!!! Grover Norquist has kidnapped Hillary and put a microchip in her brain. Social Security is all about fiscal responsibility. No wonder Greenspan loves the Clintons! Who knew Biden would morph into the radical leftist willing to raise the cap. I can't stand centrists! It's never about policy. It's always about wonkism. Fiscal reponsibility for WHAT PURPOSE! What are you FOR centrists? What do you VALUE? WHO are you for? WHO will you stand up for? Do you represent any PERSON?

If anyone can stand it go to the DLC website here http://www.dlc.org/ and see what they have in big shiny lights. It's the article by the right-wing hack David Brooks trashing the netroots. Then the DLC has the audacity to whine and moan that we are unfair to them.

It's war boys. You had better prepare.

Flavius:

I'm a bit taken aback by your suggestion that the term "hated DLC" when it comes to Markos is "over-the-top." As it happens, I have lots of very good reasons to believe that Markos does indeed "hate" the DLC in a deep and very personal way, as do many people in the netroots. Indeed, as he'd probably admit, Markos sometimes struggles against this hatred in an effort to be a big-tent Democrat, usually unsuccessfully. So my use of this adjective was merely a space-saver, not an unfair attribution.

As for your "not an insult" suggestion that I go on vacation or go to a mountain top: Sorry, I can't afford a vacation and don't have access to any mountain tops at present. Maybe you can write me a recommendation for a job at Time Magazine.

Ed Kilgore

I agree with your last sentence, bluebell. I suspect we have a lot more anguish out here than the DC folks begin to realize.

You have to give the DLC credit for truth in advertising. David Brooks is an appropriate representation of where the "centrists" are ideologically.

Brooks, Lieberman and that cretin who used to work at the DLC, Bullshit or BullMoose, are all symbolic of that wing of the party. I can't believe those right-wing fanatics have the nerve to call themselves centrists. It must be a marketing scheme, or some sort of inside joke?

Unless you are involved in a plot to violently overthrow a democratic government, you are pretty much a moderate. However, those phonies seem to think they have some sort of monopoly on moderation. Guess what Lieberman I wasn't one of the people who flew a plane into the WTC, nor was I the third man on the grassy knoll. The fact that you refer to me as an extremist is a sign of your intellectual bankruptcy.

I think it is probably a mistake to look for any coherent ideology, political philosophy or big idea characterizing the activist Kossack wing of the "netroots" as such. The "insurgents" are united mainly in their desire to produce Democratic victories, and that's about it. The philosophical component is rather minimal. The two articles of faith are:

1. Winning is better than losing,

2. Recent electoral failures something to do with not being sufficiently aggressive, partisan and disciplined.

Beyond that, it's a crap shoot, and the netroots are all over the place philosophically and ideologically.

For the Kossacks, the only really important arguments, the ones that really float their boas, are about tactics. The Democratic "establishment" is not defined in philosophical or ideological terms, but in tactical terms. The establishment consists of those people who believe that the best tactic for victory is to go to the center, act moderately and triangulate. The netroots opponents are those who think the best way to win is to position oneself somewhere off the center, act passionately and aggressively, and set the grass roots on fire. It's all based on applying a perceived Republican model for victory to the Democratic party.

Netrooters are united in their loathing for Republican government and policies, but loath those policies for a variety of different reasons. There is no utopian netroots vision of the future, only a move to defeat the Republican dystopia. The Big Idea, such as it is, is "No more wingnuttery! And no more triangulating enablers of wingnuttery!"

Insurgents?  Maybe I am.  When I see the "centrist" democrats aid and abet the passing of that HORRIBLE FISA bill maybe it is time for a insurgency.  I don't even want to talk about compromising my principles for the right wing of the Democratic Party...

Ed-

I admire your willingness to respond to the comments here, unlike many others.

A couple of comments:

The 2002 elections were indeed "change the subject", but that was driven by consultants like Shrum and indeed by the DLC, not by liberal interest groups.

Bill Clinton's Accomplishments? What were those? I'll give you Yugoslavia, and the EITC, and the Brady Bill. Beyond that, NAFTA has been mixed, at very best. What else can you claim? An economic expansion driven as much by the Internet bubble as anything else? Bumping up the top tax rate by a mighty 1.25%?

The problem with Clinton is exactly that he didn't accomplish very much. He did not prevent the loss of Democratic majorities in Congress, and got caught having sexual activities with Monica Lewinsky, which arguably prevented Al Gore from becoming President, and failed to pass ANY major environmental or agricultural legislation. Exactly which of these accomplishments are you touting?

Well, folks, it's well past midnight EDT, and getting late everywhere else. I'm perfectly willing to continue engaging you on the history and general nature of the DLC (for whom, I hope you know, I am no longer any kind of spokesman) or my use of particular nouns and adjectives. If my appearances at TPMCafe primarily turn out to be a rare opportunity for expressing anger directly at someone once identified with the DLC, I guess I am serving some sort of public utility function.

But I do wonder if anybody's interested in the main point of my post, which relates to the different elements of the D.C. Democratic Establishment, and the different responses of anti-establishment (I'll eschew the word "insurgent" henceforth) progressives to what they perceive as their main intra-party enemies. I raised as many questions as answers, because the subject is an open one.

A couple of comments (most recently, one by vorkosigan1) have gotten into the substance of what I wrote about, but it would be nice to see others. "The Argument" can best be continued if we understand the various intra-party forces and where they actually stand.


Ed Kilgore

If my appearances at TPMCafe primarily turn out to be a rare opportunity for expressing anger directly at someone once identified with the DLC, I guess I am serving some sort of public utility function.

Please consider that the case might be that there are probably quite a few of us out there find your input on issues raised on this site invaluable, but are put off by commenting on your posts because we also don't want to get involved with having to "put up our dukes." When people are in the process of expressing anger, they are not ready really to discuss anything, are they? (Sometimes I wonder if I should admire those who post things on blogs under their own name and just ignore all the mischaracterizations about them in comments--now that, in a strange way, takes more guts than defending oneself? :-)) I really think it would be sad if you turn down future TPMCafe invites because of the rant factor in comments; I for one look forward to your posts to help me understand current political situations.

Also, the points you've made are pretty complex and require a fair level of expertise to address, so they're not so easy for us average folks who aren't steeped in the minutiae to comment on.

Your rough disaggregation of the "DC Establishment" into the "interest-group liberalism" which presumably reigned in the pre-Clinton era and the "Clintonians" of the DLC era makes sense to me. I think one thing you might want to pay more attention to, though, is the timeline, and how it helped drive the fury of the "insurgents". I get the sense that a lot of insurgents are people who agreed with the DLC in 1992 (or might have, if they were old enough) that it was time to take a step back from the PC interest-group balkanization which had come to define the Democrats, to move towards the broad middle and be realistic about compromises and governing. The difference, however, comes in the reactions to GOP strategies of the '90s. I know that personally, I responded to the GOP's 1994 campaign as though I had been played for a fool; having moved towards the center, I found the other guy trying to pull the center back away from me. And as the GOP continued to pursue that strategy through the Lewinsky years, this anger hardened into fury. And it seemed then to the people who gelled in the original MoveOn group that too many in the DLC wing of the party were responding to GOP intransigence by trying ever-harder to triangulate and compromise, and that this was gradually eviscerating the party (not to mention the country).

None of this redounded on Clinton himself. He remained the wounded lion, and Hillary, by speaking the words "vast right-wing conspiracy", named the thing the NetRoots would ultimately define itself against. But if the insurgents tend to concentrate their fury against the DLC rather than the older interest-group Democrats, it's because it is the DLC's strategy that has proven so inadequate...well, since Clinton left office. Basically, in order to convince Democrats that they have to drop some of their interest-group demands and move to the center, you have to be Bill Clinton -- a sui generis political natural who can straddle huge political divides and make everyone feel that he's on their side. There is one guy in the Presidential race who has that kind of talent -- Barack Obama -- but he's currently making the kinds of beginner's mistakes Bill Clinton made early in his career in Arkansas. Anyway, the policy wonk figures in the DLC definitely don't have that kind of talent; and as a result they tend to convince people only that they are on no one's side at all.

The descent into madness of Joe Lieberman hasn't been very good for the DLC, either.

"All governments lie, but disaster lies in wait for countries whose officials smoke the same hashish they give out." - I.F. Stone

It wasn't an insult.

=== I know that personally, I responded to the GOP's 1994 campaign as though I had been played for a fool; having moved towards the center, I found the other guy trying to pull the center back away from me.
[...]
The descent into madness of Joe Lieberman hasn't been very good for the DLC, either. ===
Yes, if I heard the DLCer acknowledge either of these points I might take them more seriously. In particular the failure to condemn either Lieberman's betrayal of the Democratic Party primary process or his drive for war with Iran is telling.
.
sPh

=== But I do wonder if anybody's interested in the main point of my post, which relates to the different elements of the D.C. Democratic Establishment, and the different responses of anti-establishment (I'll eschew the word "insurgent" henceforth) progressives to what they perceive as their main intra-party enemies. I raised as many questions as answers, because the subject is an open one. ===
Look Mr. Kilgore, I have no desire to classify the DLC and its ilk as my "enemies". I am perfectly willing to have people of that stripe as members of the Democratic Party (as long as they agree to abide by the results of Party primaries, which does exclude Lieberman). However, after 20 years of total electoral and marketing failure I just think it is time for them to sit down, stop talking, and for Gaia's sake stop trying to control the steering wheel. The DLC has worked very hard over the last 20 years to shut up and marginalize any Democrat with any liberal or progressive tendencies. This strategy _hasn't worked_. Organizations don't have to fire people whose ideas and implementations don't work out, but they can't _reward_ such people with further responsibility either.
.
How about the self-proclaimed "centrists" and DLCers sit quietly, write some checks, and get out of DC to walk precincts in flyover country for 2 Presidential election cycles. That's the advice they have given progressives and liberals for the last 20 years and I think it is time that they listened to themselves.
.
sPh

Right on, Ed!  I'm one of those people who came up in local Democratic politics in Texas, and now that I'm hanging out with the national Democratic activist crowd, I don't identify with either stream of "Establishment" Democrats...and I don't feel that close to the some tendencies within the Netroots either.

Thanks for pointing this out.

Ed,

You could call the DLC types "moderate Republicans" and the rest of us "progressive Democrats" and that would be much more accurate.

It's funny how people talk about the netroots like it is some sort of defined entity. To me another way to describe a member of the netroots is to say they are a citizen who knows how to use a computer. The last time I looked 70% of the nation want us out of Iraq and yet citizens with computers are the only ones who get tagged with that label. In fact, they have found another expression to equate with Satan, anti-war Left. If you want to win an argument all you have to say is ant-war left, or netroots, and roll your eyes.

Ed,

Let me second artappraiser's comments.

I, for one, have not been throwing softballs your way in comments to your posts. The reason for that is precisely that you are identified with the DLC and it has been a hope that you could carry the message back that all is not well here in the hinterlands of progressive thought.

This isn't necessarily Markos territory, and that's why the party should be concerned.

Let me illustrate it another way. You see the tag line at the bottom of my post. I adopted that moniker (I believe aptly described by art-a as "Dada-esque") after Dubya led us down the road of being "with us or against us". In all those following pronouncements: war, torture, renditions, secret surveillance, loss of habeus and on and on and on, The Generalissimo succeeded with the help of Democrats.

As with poor 'ol Alphonse, who stumbled in to this changed reality and has been forever marked for it, so it is for the "centrist" Democrats. In the search for a label to slice and dice the philosophies of discontent swirling through the party, let me flip the labeling scenario and sum up what many of us think of the ruling school of thought in the Democratic Party:

Vichy Amerika.

And a special little label for Lieberman: collaborator

Alphonse ( Al ) Kada
Iranians are fighting the Americans in Iraq so they don't have to fight them on the streets of Tehran

And speaking of the Dems helping Bush with his agenda, I'd like to hear Ed's response to this video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7raAL3Wld0

The polls suggest that Dems in America are extremely unhappy with the elected Dems in Congress (Repubs actually approve more of their obstructionist and fighting GOP reps), yet they refuse to change their ways and truly represent the people. Being innocent bystanders while Bush ravages the world is one thing the Dem congress critters claim. I'm thinking they should buck up, really represent the people (elected to represent Mr. Hoyer, understand that?) and thus gain the people's support 'cause the Bush bogeyman is going away soon and then who they gonna blame for the Lieberman party votes?

Progressive Dem politicians who may be comfortable or even lazy and on cruise control don't undermine the party in the same way as those who side with the GOP on votes that will not harm them when they face re-election and have nothing to do with any sort of principled centrism. I am more than willing to accept and come to terms with people of some different viewpoints for the sake of party unity and winning elections when that is necessary.

Hans von Spakovsky is really the perfect example. I would love an explanation of that one from Sen. Ben Nelson. Neither centrism nor the views of the people of Nebraska would lead one to support a nominee for the FEC whose whole purpose at DoJ was undermining civil rights. There's no centrist principle that favors appointing hacks.

Bill Clinton doesn't really even enter into this conversation in my mind. First, it's different when you are the president, especially when you have to work with a difficult Congress. I don't even think that it's cynical to be poll-driven to a certain extent. Politics is the art of the possible, right? Besides, polls have almost always suggested big Dem leads on many of these domestic issues, so they just don't provide the whole explanation for these things.

I think he did what he could for the most part post-94, given where the GOP was in Congress. Before that, I think Hillary screwed up by not proposing something more like her current healthcare plan back then with a then-existent moderate GOP co-sponsor (maybe Chafee Sr. as suggested at the debate last night), not picking a fight with the insurance companies and doctors, and then dividing and conquering the GOP opposition by picking off enough marginal Republicans to pass it, rather than deciding to focus on NAFTA and I think a BTU tax. So I guess I actually take that as something where a more moderate approach would have done a lot of good for a lot of people.

Insurging, outsurging, whatever you may call it,
my assessment of what I've seen/heard/read over
the last 4 years tells me one thing: China is
going to end up OWNING this country one fine
day, and for the simple reason that there's too
damn many POLITICAL scientists, and not enough
actual ones. Now, science requires a basic
knowledge of your mathematics, and basic
physics, and maybe a little chemistry, but
if you can get a rudimentary understanding of
those all going, and stir in a couple moles of
academic discipline, heck, you're already
halfway to becoming educated, and you never know
what kind of problems that'll bring...

Political science is more or less the practice
of getting people to do stuff. Actual science
is the way that the jobs 'that american students
won't do' will be done, by people in other
countries that have better schools that are
sufficiently well-managed to cut waaaaaay back
on the B.S., and actually sit their kids down
and teach em something worthy and worthwhile.

How does all of this relate to Iraq? Instead
of 3-card-monte carbon trading or whatever other
fiscal half-bakery the pundits are blathering on
about, to fix oil consumption and pollution
problems you have to look at the actual equipment
that people use in the course of their daily
lives, and figure out how to make it 'gooder'.
So, if you majored in bullshit, like most of
these people, you're screwed, because the Iraq
war's being based on oil demand will be beyond
your comprehension(or possibly your capacity to
be honest about the entire business).
Politicians like to have power, tell people what
to do, businessmen like to have money, 'consumers' like to get from Monday to Friday without getting robbed. Is there a mutual
common 'happy place' anymore, or are we basically
just on the same road to hell, here? Hmmm...

You don't need a manifesto or whatever to
understand that we're being lied to, and played
for every dollar these clowns can squeeze. I
hope the Independents can field a good candidate
or two, so we can hopefully have a more honest,
better educated, unaffiliated selection on the
ballot, there that hasn't already sold their
soul to some entity in order to gain office...

DNC and GOP are fric and frack, anymore, handing
out the doughnuts, buying votes, and not
really challenging anyone to think for themselves
anymore, which seems to kind of be the problem,
here. If more people challenged their representatives to actually start digging into
the scientific challenges and spend less time
pontificating on the merits of a healthcare TAX,
we might just be a little further along, here. Nuff said.

Vorkosigan1:

On your first point, I was working at the DLC in 2002, and experienced first hand the anger and exasperation felt there about the Democratic congressional strategy. They had zero input in that campaign, which followed the same basic formula of tiny and fragmented domestic initiatives that polled well but added up to no message at all, that House Dems in particular had been using since 1994.

The only blame the DLC might justly accept for that particular moment was its earlier inability to convince all of its congressional allies to vote against any version of the Bush tax cuts, which didn't save the defectors that November.

As for Clinton's lack of accomplishments...well, I won't bore you with a lot of details, but I'm a bit surprised to hear a progressive adopt the conservative dismissal of Clinton's economic policies as just a matter of riding a tech boom he had nothing to do with. All those people (particularly minorities) who were able to buy homes for the first time during that period didn't lose them when the tech bubble burst. And despite what's happened economically under Bush, all those low-to-middle-income families who achieved the first real income gains in three decades weren't just deriving them from the stock market. More importantly, we've been experiencing for nearly seven years now the fact that national economic policies do have real-life consequences (I could say the same on the environmental front, where Clinton's record looks pretty damn good when you consider how many of his policies have now been reversed).

As for Clinton's political accomplishments, I guess if you really think he was responsible for a 1994 debacle that had been building for the better part of two decades, then there's probably nothing I could say to convince you he was responsible for the painfully slow but real Democratic comeback that ensued. By taking welfare and crime off the table as issues, he arguably brought a long era of overtly racist politics to an end. He also significantly restored public faith in the ability of government to do important things right (which has greatly added to the public outrage over Bush's handling of Katrina and Iraq). And lest we forget, America was the most admired nation in the world when Clinton left office. It's been a long, fast trip down from Clinton's presidency.

Sure, Clinton will also bear responsibility for the consequences of the Lewinsky affair, but I remain convinced that Gore would have actually taken office, saving us and the world untold grief, if he had simply run on his own administration's record and said: "I'll be Bill Clinton without the sex."

Ed Kilgore

Artappraiser:

Thanks for the thoughtful and generous comment. I had about decided that my comment late last night sounded too much like whining, but be assured I won't turn down future TPM opportunities just because they elicit some rants, particularly if they are heartfelt and not just snarky. (You can all appreciate, I hope, that I've heard, and have generally listened to, just about every linguistically feasible statement of anger towards the DLC over the last few years). And anyway, it's the stuff in between the rants that makes this worthwhile.

Ed Kilgore

Lydia:

Thanks for the endorsement. I'm beginning to think I should have done my whole post on the subject of Democrats who really haven't been brought into "The Argument."

Ed Kilgore

That was considerate Ed, but I wouldn't worry too much. We all whine and rant here. I try not to, honest, but you'd never know it.

John 

http://www.haberarts.com/

The Democrats seem to be primarily interested in one thing at the moment, expanding their appeal in Red States. They are willing to do this in spite of what the base, and majority of Americans want, and in contradiction of what they said they would do when they were elected.

I can only assume they are willing to do this because they think we, the base, have no other choice but to vote for them. We may be angry and extremely disappointed at their lies, but we will vote for them regardless. I think they need to be awakened from that assumption in order for them to stop lying to the people, get off their spineless asses, and stop the war. The only way to do that is to stop giving them money, rhetorical support and vote for anyone but them. I couldn't agree with you more about voting for a third party, and if one is not available, just stay home.

sphealey:

I understand what you're saying, but I guess the main point of my original post was that it ain't that easy to establish who's "controlled the steering wheel" in the past, and almost impossible to do so today.

I've mentioned the ambiguous authorship of the 2000, 2002 and 2004 campaign strategies and messages, but let me offer one more example:

What's the moment that most exemplified what many think of as the abject Democratic surrender to Bush? There are several possibilities, but I'd nominate the moment in 2002 when Dick Gephardt and Joe Lieberman suddenly appeared in the Rose Garden and endorsed Bush's unconditional version of the Iraq war resolution. This not only gave Bush's resolution the appearance of bipartisanship; it also fatally undercut an actually bipartisan resolution (supported, BTW, by the DLC) being sponsored by Levin and Lugar, that in theory might have thrown a monkey wrench into Bush's war preparations.

Lots of people remember Lieberman's appearance that day, but not so much Gephardt's, even though he was at the time Democratic House Leader, and the living embodiment of the old interest-group liberalism. And at the time it was crystal clear to everybody that Gephardt's ploy (and I'm pretty sure he, not Lieberman, was the initiator of the stunt) was part-and-parcel of the Democratic congressional strategy of "taking national security off the table" in the 2002 elections.

There was then, and there is today, more than one element of the "D.C. Democratic Establishment," and more than one kind of "outsider." Maybe none of this matters to you, but since so much of "The Argument" in the party is being framed as "Establishment" versus "Outsiders," it might make sense to unravel the strands.

Ed Kilgore

If there are really two Democratic establishments at odds with one another, one (to oversimplify) focused more on ideas and the other on bringing the power of already organized interests and constituencies to bear in defending existing programs, then my reaction is it's no wonder Democrats have been in the wilderness for so big a part of the past 30 years.

The best ideas, without organized power to fight for them, are no more likely to prevail than a Cowardly Lion when up against powerful organized interests opposed to change.

Organized power uncentered on, or irrelevant to, the right agenda for our country and our world, can no more represent the kind of change agency worthy of passionate commitment than a Scarecrow lacking any cognitive functioning.

And a two-headed DC Establishment which doesn't realize it can't get anywhere without working together with one another, and with and in support of grassroots party-builders, is like a Tin Man lacking a heart--or, if one wants to mix and mangle metaphors even more than I've done already, a two-legged stool.

Too many of the intraparty, cross-wing exchanges I observe at this site and elsewhere strike me as being overly focused on who's been right in the past, rather than on what lessons might be learned from the past so as to create a better present and future. Each side in these setpiece exchanges has its own stock narrative or morality play that gets trotted out with the implicit and all too often explicit taunts and insults: "Self-serving sell-out!" "Self-destructive fanatic!"

Both wings of the DC Democratic Establishment seem so focused at sniping at one another that the real wonder is that those of us not a part of this scene--which includes most of us at this site, I suspect--feel as much of a sense of investment in the Democratic party, as many of us do, some only on our better days.

But I draw hope from what appears to be the reality that, as Mark Schmitt wrote about in his post on Bai's book, the right conversations seem to be taking place more often in the last few years. FWIW, Ed, you come across to me as someone sincerely interested in engaging in an honest and searching way with folks outside of your own immediate comfort zone. So I'm glad to hear you're able and willing to look past the backwards-focused insults and taunts and engage with the great many of us here and elsewhere, from whatever wing of the party or no wing of the party, who are trying and struggling to face and move forward to rise to the challenges of our times.

Re the first paragraph above I just want to clarify that I think that neither the Democratic party's "left" nor its "center" has a monopoly on the best ideas. And I think both wings, or tendencies within the party, want not merely to preserve or strengthen the best of the status quo but to move forward agendas which they regard as good for our country.

The labels and categories which are used in these discussions I often find more misleading and confusing than helpful or reflective of how most real people seem to think about these matters, in my experience.

You do get a rough time here, Ed. But you know we love ya, right? I mean, those of us who have been around awhile and know you do love the opportunity to debate a well-known centrist Democrat, but you very often convince us that our interparty divisions are not as dramatic as they sometimes seem.

I suggest this to you, purely because I'm curious about what you'd make of it: the new message that the Democratic party needs is the old message, and it is the FDR message. But, when Clinton ran for office, what was needed was triangulation. After 12 years of Reagan/Bush policies, in which the top tax rate did drop by 20 percentage points, a Democratic candidate did have to run in a progressive way, but also with the knowledge that the country had been in conservative thrall for more than a decade.

Now, things are different. Even the conservatives will never talk about Dubya the way they talk about Reagan. It was a two-term presidency, but a failure. So now, we can go old school lefty. We're not fighting something that was mostly successful. We're fighting an unmitigated failure.

Is it possible that triangulation once had its moment and that now is a different moment, and a bolder moment? Maybe it isn't. Unlike you, I've never worked on a campaign. But my gut tells me we can get a little old school right now. People are hurting, private industry is failing them, isn't it time for government to step in?

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

Ed, why not, in addition, say the insurgents are flinging IED's at DLC fellows like yourself? That is, improvised expressive devices. Blogs. video clips. Comments. Move-on ads.

There isn't any one word that comprises all those who are 'upset' with the DLC/Democratic Party, so stop looking for one. People are dissatisfied with the disastrous direction of this nation the last six years. They are looking for a change in course, not a revolution. Many see the DLC as becoming part of the problem.

destor23:

Thanks for the hug, which I sincerely reciprocate. I do think we are all, to use the outworn but still valid lefty term, "comrades," and my favorite blogospheric sparring partners are those who start out combatively, but then teach me something and maybe let me teach them something.

As for your general point, my second post on Bai's book indicates my general agreement with the idea that fighting Republicans now is a very different proposition than fighting them during the Clinton administration. I don't know that FDR is the right model for the kind of message we need, but we certainly need something combative, forward-looking, and open to experimentation. I'll leave it to others to conclude which if any of our presidential candidates fit that bill.

On a more specific issue, I do have to take issue with the "triangulation" characterization of what Clinton was about. That term was invented and briefly used by Dick Morris in 1996, as a shorthand for how Clinton would deal with his policy and message differences with House Democrats who had been fighting him for a couple of years. Even by Morris' definition, "triangulation" meant using progressive policies to deal with conservative political themes (e.g., welfare, crime, and hatred of government).

It was never an accurate description of Clinton's overall political strategy or policy approach, though the similar-sounding "third way" philosophy that Clinton did embrace probably created unecessary confusion. The "third way" meant not "triangulation" but a new progressive approach to problems the old left couldn't solve. And it was, and remains, an unambiguously Left concept that implies a different progressive strategy for defeating, not surrendering to, the Right.

Combining my two answers to your comment, you might even say that giving the GOP holy uncompromising hell is the appropriate Third Way strategy for this particular moment.

Ed Kilgore

Ed writes:

Many of the heavily privileged donors Bai talks to and about seem to embrace the interest-group-liberalism wing of the Establishment, and share its distinctive belief that there's nothing wrong with progressivism that some shiny new marketing can't fix.

Well, it would be hardly surprising if that were true. There are plenty of people in the world who support the Establishment view---otherwise it couldn't be the Establishment. And of course they will be proportionately represented among donors, as everywhere else.

But I don't think they are disproportionately represented among donors. If anything, I thought that one of the conclusions of Matt's book is that the Democracy Alliance, overall, tilts toward the "insurgents" rather than the "Establishment". The people who are drawn to DA are those who have issues with the Establishment, because it's very easy to just directly support the Establishment and its traditional interest groups---you don't need anything like DA for that.

I have seen very little support in the DA for protecting traditional Democratic "interest groups", and I wonder what passages in Matt's book would support a different conclusion.

comment deleted--will try to do better next time. AD

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