Clinton vs. Clinton on Israel
To coincide with the Jewish New Year, fresh statements are coming out of some presidential campaigns reaffirming the candidates' 'pro-Israel' credentials. It's the kind of thing that stretches the thread between domestic political posturing and smart policy prescriptions to a snapping point. It is almost redundant to note that the content of these declarations have precious little to do with advancing what is good for Israel, or, for that matter, US interests.
But one sentence from the Hillary Clinton press release of September 10 stands out. (Curiously, the the statement is not up on Clinton's campaign website.) In staking out her position on "Standing with Israel against terrorism," Hillary Clinton defends Israel's right to exist with "... an undivided Jerusalem as its capital." Oddly enough, this places her in direct contradiction with the plan put forward by a certain President Bill Clinton in December 2000.
He proposed dividing Jerusalem:
The general principle is that Arab areas are Palestinian and Jewish ones are Israeli. This would apply to the Old City as well. I urge the two sides to work on maps to create maximum contiguity for both sides.
The plan became known as the Clinton Parameters, and it is widely accepted as the outline for any future deal. These issues are on the agenda again as Israeli Prime Minister Olmert meets with Palestinian President Abbas to outline areas of agreement in advance of a proposed November peace summit.
Israel's highest-circulation Daily, Yediot Ahronoth, ran a piece last weekend about the progress in these talks. According to two highly respected journalists, Nahum Barnea and Shimon Shiffer, Israel's Deputy PM, Haim Ramon, who is leading exploratory talks on behalf of Olmert, has proposed, well, .... dividing Jerusalem.
From Shiffer and Barnea in Yediot (Sept 14th, my translation from the Hebrew):
On Jerusalem Ramon, in the talks (with Palestinians - DL), adopts the principles outlined by Clinton in 2001: ... Jerusalem should be divided between the two states. The area populated by Jews would remain under Jewish sovereignty; the area populated by Arabs would come under Palestine's sovereignty. In the holy basin, i.e., the Old City and its environs, each religion would be responsible for its holy places.
So, candidate Hillary Clinton is running to the right, not only of former President Bill Clinton, but also of the centrist Israeli Government. In fact, Hillary Clinton's press release says nothing at all about a two-state solution, about a Palestinian state, or even a peace process. (Palestinians do, though, exist as terrorists and/or as promoters of incitement).
Barack Obama's new press release also gives an emphatic nod to the standard fair of the strong and enduring US-Israel partnership. He does so at least in the more constructive and inoffensive context of referring to the peace process and a two-state solution, which is far more in keeping with the sentiments of most American Jews.
None of this, admittedly, comes close to the unreconstructed neocon venom coming from Rudy Giuliani and his camp of advisers that include (among others) Norman Podhoretz, Martin Kramer, and, as of last month, Daniel Pipes.
But the interesting point emerging among the leading Dem contenders is that Barack Obama, so far, represents continuity with the Bill Clinton legacy of active engagement in Arab-Israeli peace making, while Hillary, so far, does not. It would be fascinating to know whether candidate Hillary Clinton supports the parameters for Israeli-Palestinian peace that carry her family name.















Daniel,
Thank you very much for writing an post about I/P without using a word "Lobby".
"But one sentence from the Hillary Clinton press release of September 10 "
Can you provide a pointer?
" an undivided Jerusalem as its capital"
It doesn't make sense for her to commit to something that is never an official position of US.
September 14, 2007 2:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
"But one sentence from the Hillary Clinton press release of September 10 stands out. (Curiously, the the statement is not up on Clinton's campaign website.)"
Link, please? I'd like to see the context (esp. after having been burned by the AP selectively quoting Obama yesterday). Calling for an undivided Jerusalem is an awful stance.
September 14, 2007 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
this is one of the principle reasons I loath Hillary-- she's such a panderer on this issue. I think it's at the core of why she became such an apologist for the Iraq war. She was willing to saber rattle along with Lieberman and others just to titillate an NY state constituency.
grrrrrrrrrrrrr
September 14, 2007 3:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Remind me again, which party does Hillary belong to?
September 14, 2007 3:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
This "press release" apparently does not exist. The only PR on Sep 10 was: NH for Hillary Announces “I’m Sweet on Hillary” Senior Community Visits
Next subject?
September 14, 2007 4:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
For those of you who are going to decide to prioritize your hate for Hillary over the national interest--I invite you all to consider the consequences of the last time that happened. Was the really no difference between Al Gore and Shrub or John Kerry and Shrub? Where would we be today if Gore had been paying attention to BinLaden threats like his predecessor was, rather than ignoring them like the Shrub? If John Kerry had been allowed to implement law enforcement tactics against terrorists, the only successful tactics to date, rather than lie and engage in ruinous military adventures like Shrub?
The Democrats' policies ARE different from those of the Rethuglican Fascists AND more successful at keeping the peace and fighting terrorists.
September 14, 2007 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary released it to the Jewish Telegraphic Agency. Here is their story.
As usual, Daniel's piece is right on although it isn't exactly news. HRC has consistently been, along with Schumer amd Lieberman.totally hardline on Israel. She has never uttered a word of sympathy for the Palestinians, at least not since coming to NY.
Like it or hate it, her position is unambiguous.
September 14, 2007 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I could not find the press release on the hillaryclinton.com website, either. That seems to be very oriented to general public with broad platitudes as to issues and then the press releases about where she is and what she is doing on campaign stops.
But by typing your phrase in quotes into google, I found it on another website, justhillary.com, "it's all about her."
THE LINK:
I find it interesting that there's this second website, as in: what the heck is the marketing division here? As most average folk looking for info. on Hillary will naturally type in: "hillaryclinton.com." If you read the "about this site" page at justhillary.com, you'll see it's about media coverage, "Favorable, critical and everything in between." This is not intended for "the masses," apparently? Mebbe for pipple like bloggers? Certainly not targeted towards professional media, from the looks of it.
September 14, 2007 4:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
And what's more, that's the website her campaign is pushing, I saw it on a "re-elect Hillary" bumper sticker (and no, I'm not making that up) just this afternoon.
Is that website an official site? And if her campaign did release that memo or whatever it is on her Israel/Palestine policy, why isn't it up on her site?
I'd be kinda nice to, maybe, scan the physical document the original author of this post has, and upload it, maybe on the Horse's Mouth site or something.
September 14, 2007 4:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
...
Hmmm, well then, that's distressing.
September 14, 2007 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right. NYS = APAC
Raising money is one thing; titillating NY voters is something else. She is doing the former.
And her motives vis-a-vis Israel seem quite different from Lieberman's. He appears to subscribe to the APAC line, unlike 60% of American Jews.
September 14, 2007 4:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Come on, now. She's the only candidate (that I know of) who kissed Arafat's wife.
September 14, 2007 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The area populated by Jews would remain under Jewish sovereignty; the area populated by Arabs would come under Palestine's sovereignty. "
The question is, if this division is possible.
From what I understand, Arabs in East Jerusalem have Israeli papers, and they might not want to
be part of Palestinian state. Will they be forced?
September 14, 2007 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lieberman is pathologically obsessed with the security of Israel. 9/11 seemed to trigger something in him that sent him over the deep end.
Hillary is merely obsessed with Hillary. Hillary will pander in whatever direction she assumes will get her votes, regardless of the long term national interest. If it became counter-productive politically for Hillary to support Israel I expect you'd see her turn on a dime. Of course, that makes her no different from most politicians.
September 14, 2007 4:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
From the site itself:
"JustHillary.com is run as a private venture by Mr. Birnbaum, who is solely responsible for its content."
I'm a Hillary supporter, so I don't know about other candidates but Hillary has a lot of these independent supporters with websites.
On topic: I don't find it unusual that Obama agrees with President Clinton on many things, nor do I find it surprising that Hillary doesn't agree with him on all things.
I do believe that HRC or Obama or any Democrat will send BClinton and Carter to help re-start a peace plan between Palestine and Israel.
imo, Jeruslaem is a tiny problem compared to the grenade Bush threw into the entire Middle East. Maybe someone can show me how this is front and center on the radar.
September 14, 2007 5:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
thanks much for explaining that website, and also especially for explaining that there are others like it as well.
September 14, 2007 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
There will never be peace in the middle east unless the Palestinian/Israeli problem is resolved. That problem will never be resolved unless Jerusalem is divided between them. I'm surprised and appalled that Hillary is taking this stance. HSe's running for the presidency of the United States not the head of the Likud party.
September 14, 2007 5:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
My mother has a very good friend who is quite liberal but who will not support Hillary because of that hug of Mrs. Arafat.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
September 14, 2007 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Should Hamas ever get around to wanting to make peace isn't one of the keys dividing Jeerusalem without actually saying so?
Daniel A. Greenbaum
September 14, 2007 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
"There will never be peace in the middle east unless the Palestinian/Israeli problem is resolved."
The link is very weak between peace in the middle east and the Palestinian/Israeli problem
September 14, 2007 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
More from the JTA:
"WASHINGTON (JTA) -- In her new position paper on Israel, Hillary Rodham Clinton comes not only to praise the Jewish state but to bury doubts that she would be any less vigilant in its protection than the Bush administration.
The position paper, published this week, goes so far as to outflank President Bush from the right."
http://www.jta.org/cgi-bin/iowa/news/article/20070912hillaryjerusalem.html
Shmuel Rosner claims that Hillary supports moving the US Embassy from TA to Jerusalem. Bush refused to do so as did her hubby.
IMO, She's trying to outflank, stay even or catch up with Guliani in the pro-Israel sweepstakes while keeping the doubts about Obama's dedication to Israel alive. All this is inside baseball that isn't meant to become a part of the national political dialog.
September 14, 2007 6:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree there will never be peace until P/I is resolved. However, I just don't agree that the top reason it's not happening is the division of Jerusalem.
I don't claim to be an expert, but I know one of the main stumbling blocks is the division of water.
Yeah, water. Not religion. Imagine that.
September 14, 2007 6:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, Hillary believes Palestinians should have their own state. I googled Hillary Clinton and "palestinian state" and got a NYT's article.
http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9D06E3D81531F934A35756C0A96E958260
September 14, 2007 6:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's put up or apologize and mea culpa time.
There is a news article that contains that text you quote "an undivided Jerusalem as its capital" that does not include quotes around that text. From all evidence available you faked a quote to trash Hillary. I certainly hope that's not the case. What a disgrace for you that would be huh. Please provide the full position paper or admit you disgraced yourself and tried to trash a possible dem candidate for president. How you could post something like that without the actual evidence you site is amazing. Maybe you are just new at this writing thing? Is that it? You just didn’t know any better? Well let’s hope. At least that is better than the alternative. The alternative being you are just a lying faker trashing a potential dem nominee for president.
Just so we are clear unless you can produce the white paper I'm sure you'll be man enough to admit you are nothing but a hate filled fraud who will never post another word on the net, in print or even by skywriter. And that you will slink back under whatever rock you slithered out from under. Now that’s if you cannot produce that white paper with the quotes you site and the meaning you infer. I’m willing to give you the benefit of the doubt. Maybe you just didn’t know any better that kinda thing. But something you’ll want to remember for the future, if you have one, post your sources.
And let’s just say you didn’t have a white paper and slither back under a rock where someone that type such trash belongs please post your mea culpa where ever you posted this hate filled lying post.
Another copy of the outsourced post:
http://www.prospectsforpeace.com/2007/09/clinton_vs_clinton_on_israel.html
With all the respect you deserve,
Hadenough
September 14, 2007 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who said she didn't? The original post simply noted that she made no mention of a Palestinian state or a two-state solution. What was she prioritizing with this release? What message was she trying to send? Obviously the hard-line stance that was accurately conveyed.
The main point, though, is about dividing Jeruselam, not a Palestinian state.
September 14, 2007 6:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ms. Clinton has crossed the Rubicon. In regard to Iran, she should elaborate on “no option can be taken off the table.” She should state, if she hasn't, what she thinks of IAEA (the International Atomic Energy Agency).
Due to Ms. Clinton's stated positions on Iraq, Iran, Israel, and their region, President Bush might not be disinclined to bequeath to her two military involvements.
September 14, 2007 6:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, this + the attacks on Obama about Brezinski and the W/M book...definitely part of a push-back on Obama after his Iran op-ed in the NY Daily News.
September 14, 2007 6:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Regardless of the merits of the argument, the venom you spew here is just inappropriate.
However, as is often the case, you're wrong on the merits.
The JTA article (copied and pasted) that MJ Rosenberg linked to:
Note the quotes. Here's the link again
What's more, here's the full release:
About as straightforward as one can be.
September 14, 2007 6:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are the Egyptians still sore about the division of the Red Sea?
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
September 14, 2007 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, get a grip.
She famously said this:
U.S. policy must be clear and unequivocal. We cannot, we should not, we must not, permit Iran to build or acquire nuclear weapons. And in dealing with this threat as I have said for a very long time, no option can be taken off the table.
But is less famous for this quote in the same speech:
So, she rejects the idea of taking anything off the table to prevent Iran from having nuclear weapons, and then raps Bush for taking diplomacy off the table. It's a far more complex speech than those who quake in terror at the first mention of AIPAC would have you believe.
September 14, 2007 7:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Until we have it on a Hillary campaign press release, I don't know how seriously we should take this. It's not like American Jews don't support the Clinton parameters. She's not going to get points for this.
It just seems unlikely to me. I could be wrong. But it seems unlikely. She has publicly praised the Clinton parameters so I'm suspicious. That's all.
September 14, 2007 7:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are an excellent apologist. In other words you got nothing. I await the white paper or slithering mea culpa. Maybe you should join him.
September 14, 2007 7:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm wondering if TPM would willingly quote Drudge if he smeared Clinton. It would be interesting test to find out where they draw the line or if they draw a line.
Never mind the press release isn't anywhere on Clinton's site. Never mind that. Somebody said Hillary said that, and that's good enough for this site. Why bother employing journalistic integrity here. I mean, it's a press release. The Clinton campaign put it out there allegedly. What's TPM afraid of - that they're going to deny it? Oh, that's right - they wouldn't have a story if she denied it. Silly me.
Whatever highminded standards Josh had for this place, apparently he's willing to toss them down the drain when it comes to Hillary.
Maybe she did say this but as of now, there is no evidence that she did.
September 14, 2007 8:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
And yet, she won't apologize for her vote, or pledge not taking money from lobbyists. Doesn't that sorta blow your theory? Wouldn't doing both get her lots of new votes?
September 14, 2007 8:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
As usual, Rosenberg can't wait to bash liberal Democrats who strongly support Israel. There was a candidate last year runnng against Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination for Senate in New York whom I presume had Mr. Rosenberg's support. That candidate publicly accused Israel of committing war crimes in defending itelf against Hezbollah kidnapping and rocket attacks. That candidate got 17% of the vote in the Democratic primary.
Now, Mr. Rosenberg, do you seriously contend that Senators Clinton and Schumer are not faithfully reflecting the views of the overwhelming majority of Democrats in New York in their position on what needs to happen between Israel and Palestinians.
My two Senators--and over a hundred liberal Democrats like them--pay no attention to you and Levy, and for that I am eternally grateful.
September 14, 2007 8:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are a disgusting Jew-hater, dude, and I am proud to live in a land where people like you have absolutely no influence on American foreign policy. My friends and I in AIPAC will keep it that way. Live with it.
September 14, 2007 8:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lots of venting and parsing, sourcing and snarking. I recall the kiss (Mrs Arafat) and the hyper ventilation. New York politicians have to take note of the Jewish constituency. What is so earth shattering about this? Is the lobby doing anything different from the evangelicals, business, labour? Israel need US support and gets it. The pity is that the Palestinians haven't yet managed to work the US effectievly to rally support. Too busy fighting among themselves.
September 14, 2007 9:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope that Hillary Clinton wouldn't be as quick on the trigger as you and your fan artappraiser are. You could inquire what someone is talking about if it gets by you, grip expert.
When a candidate or an officeholder hints at use of military force, including potentially any type of weapon in the arsenal, concerned citizens naturally would like to have more information.
As to the prospect of nuclear arms development, it is important to know whether Iran has an active nuclear arms development program. We should reasonably expect to learn whether a candidate believes IAEA to be credible.
September 14, 2007 9:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
How are you going to do it? What's your strategy?
September 14, 2007 10:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
What is the relevance of this? Yes, if it comes down to the deplorable HRC and a despicable Republican, most of us anti-Clinton Democrats will be forced to vote for Clinton. But until then, we intend to do what we can to see to it that the Democrats nominate a non-deplorable candidate.
September 14, 2007 10:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hardly think that your accusations of Josh et al are warranted much less have any factual basis whatsoever. There have been 3 links provided by posters on this thread to news/analysis/text of Hillary's position paper.
Again, the Jewish Telegraphic Agency writes in this analysis:
"WASHINGTON (JTA) -- In her new position paper on Israel, Hillary Rodham Clinton comes not only to praise the Jewish state but to bury doubts that she would be any less vigilant in its protection than the Bush administration.
The position paper, published this week, goes so far as to outflank President Bush from the right.
It says Clinton, the U.S. senator from New York and frontrunner for the Democratic presidential nomination "believes that Israel’s right to exist in safety as a Jewish state, with defensible borders and an undivided Jerusalem as its capital, secure from violence and terrorism, must never be questioned."
Clinton's paper comes at a time when the Bush administration is quietly pressing the Israelis and the Palestinians to come up with a final-status outline ahead of a November peace conference -- one that would address, among other issues, redrawn borders and a shared Jerusalem.
Spokesmen for Clinton denied that the language was timed to undercut the latest initiative.
"She's had these positions for a long time and those haven't changed," spokesman Jin Chon told JTA. "Her experience and strength on supporting Israel have been steadfast. The paper is just a reflection of her consistent policy."
snip]
"
The paper revives the July Clinton-Obama contretemps over Iran, widely believed to have been won -- at least among pro-Israel watchers -- by Clinton. In a debate, Obama said he would meet with the leaders of pariah nations within his first year as president. Clinton said she would not.
In the new paper, Clinton does not concede ground to Obama in favoring diplomacy over military confrontation, but implicitly derides summits with rogue leaders, at least before the time is ripe.
"Just as the U.S. government was engaged in direct talks with the Soviet Union at the height of the Cold War, so today should the U.S. talk to Iran in order to gain valuable insight, intelligence and information about how to pressure its leadership to change course," the paper states. "But Hillary has said that as president she would not commit to personal meetings with leaders of rogue states without conditions, such as Iran."
snip]
"Otherwise, the paper is a compendium of Israel-related issues Clinton has tried to make her own: She cites her lead in successful efforts to admit Israel's first responder umbrella, Magen David Adom, into the International Committee of the Red Cross, and her adoption of the campaign to expose alleged incitement found in Palestinian textbooks."
snip]
Obama's paper on Israel was released to Jewish supporters in June, but made public just this week as a result of Clinton going public.
The Illinois senator notes his commitment to Israel as a strategic ally and, like Clinton, his commitment to keeping all options on the table when dealing with Iran. But there are subtle differences pointing to his willingness to keep doors open, especially with the Palestinians."
"Barack Obama supports U.S. efforts to provide aid directly to the Palestinian people by bypassing any Hamas-led government that refuses to renounce violence and recognize Israel’s right to exist," his papers states. "Obama believes that a better life for Palestinian families is good for both Israelis and Palestinians."
Clinton, by contrast, only pledges to isolate Hamas without considering the difficulties that aid cutoffs pose to Palestinian civilians."
http://www.jta.org/cgi-bin/iowa/news/article/20070912hillaryjerusalem.html/
Are you saying the JTA is the equivalent of Drudge?
artappraiser provided a link to a site with the full text of her position paper so if you like, you can compare the language quoted by JTA with that provided by the site owner, Gregg Birnbaum, political editor of the NYPost.
Here again, is the link:
http://www.justhillary.com/herwords/israel0911.php
I suspect Mr Birbaum would be amused at being compared to Drudge as he features this quote in the "Press about JustHillary.com" section of his blog:
# "It kinda has a tabloidish feel to it like the Drudge Report but it does have a lot of good info." - Hillary For President in 2008.
If you have a problem with the Clinton campaign's slowness in posting her position paper on Israel, I suggest you contact them.
September 14, 2007 10:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know why everyone is in denial about this. Clinton already affirmed her support for an undivided Jerusalem as the eternal capital of Israel back in her 2000 Senate campaign.
Anyway, the new position paper was released to the Jewish Telegraphic Agency, which has reported it on their website. The news item contains this quote from the actual position paper:
"Hillary Clinton believes that Israel’s right to exist in safety as a Jewish state, with defensible borders and an undivided Jerusalem as its capital, secure from violence and terrorism, must never be questioned."
September 14, 2007 11:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Responsible journalists would have confirmed with the campaign that this was accurate reporting of what their press release said. Odd that Hillary only released it to JTA.
It could be accurate. But right now, it's a smear and it's no different than what Drudge does. The only reason to not wait 24 hours to report this is that you really don't care if it's true or not.
Calling her a loser the other day was disgraceful. This kind of crap is just not what people come to TPM for. This is what you go to Drudge, or for that fact, the NY Post for. I thought Josh's standards were higher.
September 14, 2007 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Next time I'll try and be more conscientious before I point out that a politician is calling for diplomatic engagement with someone the current president wasn't speaking to at the time.
Sheeeeesh.
September 15, 2007 12:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
lorelyn sez:
"Responsible journalists would have confirmed with the campaign that this was accurate reporting of what their press release said."
JTA sez:
"Spokesmen for Clinton denied that the language was timed to undercut the latest initiative
She's had these positions for a long time and those haven't changed," spokesman Jin Chon told JTA. "Her experience and strength on supporting Israel have been steadfast. The paper is just a reflection of her consistent policy."
lorelynn sez:
"Odd that Hillary only released it to JTA."
lally sez:
Huh?
lorelynn sez:
"It could be accurate. But right now, it's a smear and it's no different than what Drudge does. The only reason to not wait 24 hours to report this is that you really don't care if it's true or not."
lally sez:
JTA Breaking News reports release of position paper on 9/10. Gregg Birnbaum posts text of position paper on 9/10. JTA posts analysis of position paper on 9/12.Today is the 15th.
lorelynn sez:
"Calling her a loser the other day was disgraceful."
lally sez:
WTF are you talking about?
lorelyn sez:
"This kind of crap is just not what people come to TPM for. This is what you go to Drudge, or for that fact, the NY Post for. I thought Josh's standards were higher."
lally suggests:
A happy shiny place.
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/blog/
September 15, 2007 12:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
A good friend of mine--a Nubian/Egyptian--who is quite a religious Muslim and doesn't speak such good English were having a discussion about history. You know, long ago history, back to when the pyramids were being built.
I joked with him that he owed me "back pay" because my people had been slaves who helped build the pyramids.
He shot back--you have to follow this the best you can--that Ramses, the pharoah at that time, wasn't buried in a pyramid.
Really? I said. Where is he buried?
He's buried at the beach.
It took me a full minute to get it.
September 15, 2007 4:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Artappraiser provided a link (which I then re-provided) to the full-text of hte release. Why haven't you or hadenough bothered to actually, you know, CLICK THE LINK, READ THE PAPER, and get over it already?
The language is clearly there.
September 15, 2007 5:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Except that...
If the mantra is repeated over and over--there isn't a dime's worth of difference between, say, Hillary and Rudy--despicable v. deplorable--then a certain number of folks will stay home because "they don't have a candidate who reflects their views."
Yes, Al Gore won the election. But had more people turned out for him, or for Kerry, Al and Kerry really would have won. A lack of enthusiasm, or worse, active disdain, depresses turnout, IMO.
Yes, by all means, work for the candidate of your choice. There are differences among the Dems. But some of the rhetoric is ridiculous.
September 15, 2007 5:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Probably by voting in numbers.
And working hard and enthusiastically for "his" candidate.
And giving money. And getting his friends to give money.
In short, by participating in the process with gusto.
The vast majority sit back saying things, "I can't for him because of this." "I can't vote for her because of that." "I can't vote because the lines are too long." "It doesn't matter because it's all politics or all money." "All politicians are corrupt."
And 1000 other reasons that keep US voter turnout under 50% in most cases.
September 15, 2007 5:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
?
I provided the full text of the paper and a respected newspaper quoting the very same language. Why is this difficult for you to comprehend?
What's more, given your devotion to the Clinton campaign, I'd think you'd be familiar with what is long standing position, dating all the way back to 1999:
September 15, 2007 5:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
What is the difference between "pandering" and "responding to the views of your constituents"?
On the one hand, Congresspeople get criticized when they depart from the views of their constituents, as say evidenced by the polls.
On the other hand, they get criticized when they pay too much attention to those views, especially when they change their own to match those of their constituents, again as evidenced by the polls.
If most Congresspeople didn't have to report to constituencies with wildly divergent, often contradictory, views, "pandering" wouldn't be an issue. But constituents do disagree, so the Rep is in a tough spot.
September 15, 2007 5:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
While you ably took apart the vast majority of that post (and kudos to you on a job well done), I think this:
Was about the following...
Matt Yglesias:
To which Josh Marshall responded:
He actually didn't call Hillary a loser, but hey, details details, right? Any criticism of Hillary needs to be shouted down regardless of its merits, because an actual discussion of whether the criticism is even warranted presupposes Hillary is not, in fact, perfect...a concession some of her supporters (on display here) would never make.
September 15, 2007 5:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
The problem is that US politics is celebrity driven. If we like someone, we like them. End of story. So we have people actually denying that HRC said something that it is proven she said. She has been a hawk on Israel since the Suha Arafat kiss because morons in the pro-Israel community made a fuss over a kiss one First Lady gave to another sort-of First Lady. Of course, Mrs. Rabin, Mrs. Peres and a host of Israeli leaders hugged and kissed both Arafats BECAUSE ARAFAT HAD SIGNED ON TO A PEACE AGREMENT WITH ISRAEL AND WAS ADHERING TO IT. There was nothing wrong with the infamous kiss. HRC should have stuck to the Clinton parameters which most Jews support although not the rightwing crowd in Brooklyn, Queens and The Island. But she believed that she'd lose the nutcases by not repudiating her previous position while the liberals wouldn't even notice her flip flop. She was right...politically. And now she is an uberhawk on Israel. I hope, and expect, she'll return to her previous position if she's elected. She is too intelligent not to.
Last point. I, too, favor an undivided Jerusalem as do almost all Israelis and Palestinians. One city. No walls. With Palestinians controlling East Jerusalem and Israelis controlling the West. Shared sovereignty does not mean dividing the city. That is the last thing anyone wants.
September 15, 2007 5:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Er...the sentiment is nice, but tough primary challenges, including highlighting legitimate grievances, are maybe hte most important part of the electoral process, as this is what defines the Democratic party and it's platform.
And, I'm sorry, but on this issue, there really is very little room between Hillary and Bush/Giuliani/et al. She's to the right of just about everyone on this issue. What's more, she's further to the right than the other Dems on troop withdrawal (unconditional support for the Iraqi army, which requires continued entanglement in their civil war), she's further to the right on diplomacy (pre-conditions, "propoganda purposes"), etc etc etc. Why is it forbidden to point these things out when she's staking out actual right-wing positions here?
September 15, 2007 5:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
"artappraiser provided a link to a site with the full text of her position paper so if you like, you can compare the language quoted by JTA with that provided by the site owner, Gregg Birnbaum, political editor of the NYPost."
I just read it, and it indeed contains this language about an undivided Jerusalem. However, I couldn't tell whether it was the paper itself with the paper's language...or Birnbaum's summarizing of the paper's content.
A small point perhaps. But I do share L's reservations here, because so much of what I read on the Web--though this site is MUCH better--is interpretation, and often misleading interpretation, of the primary source being quoted. So a big caveat emptor.
"I suspect Mr Birbaum would be amused at being compared to Drudge as he features this quote in the "Press about JustHillary.com" section of his blog:"
Here is a small case in point, but revealing about how the Web works, IMO, which is to say, in a sort of value-neutral disregard for the facts in which ANY link is a good link and better than no link. To the quote, from Birnbaum:
"JustHillary.com has won recognition from the Washington Post, ABC News, CNN, Politico.com, the CBS Evening News, the Chicago Tribune, France 2's "Un Jour, Une Heure" news magazine show, the Boston Herald, the Washington Times, the Drudge Report, Real Clear Politics, and numerous other publications, websites and blogs."
So, ole Drudge likes Birnbaum and Birnbaum (at least) is happy to get Drudge's praise. Not to mention the Washington Times's support and Clear Channel's. To be sure, he gets support from a lot of other quarters. And he says that his "agenda" is Hillary 24/7, the good, the bad, and the ugly.
But still...I got the feeling that he had edited the position paper and/or was REPORTING ON its contents. But it is hard to say for sure.
September 15, 2007 5:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I hope, and expect, she'll return to her previous position if she's elected. She is too intelligent not to."
Yes, I agree. And that's what voters have to do. Politicians have to pander and voters have to separate out what they think the candidate is REALLY going to do.
But with regard to politicians, hasn't it ALWAYS been thus?
September 15, 2007 5:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
And actually, you make an excellent point about the phrase "an undivided Jerusalem." Do we even know what this phrase means when it's uttered by X,Y, or Z? Hillary could easily turn around and say, "Yes, it is as MJ says, an undivided city with joint sovereignty."
September 15, 2007 5:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
It isn't at all forbidden. I'd say it's required.
However, to compress this argument to the maximum extent, I think you have to read the tea leaves.
You have to decide whether she's moving to the right because she has to for x, y, z reasons...or is moving to the right because this what she believes and is going to do once in office.
For example, I find it hard to believe that she would not press for i-P agreement if in office...something I don't think Rudy would do.
The reason we have to read the tea leaves is that the electorate is very divided and politicians have to thread the needle.
My take...
September 15, 2007 5:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
davai - The Palestinians in East Jerusalem are NOT Israeli citizens. While they can vote in municipal elections they cannot vote in national elections. Theoretically, they can apply for Israeli citizenship but as my niece who works in the Interior Ministry says - such applications just get "lost". In the 10 years she has worked there she is aware of only 3 such applications being approved.
September 15, 2007 5:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
What are you talking about? What "kind of crap" or you referring to? Her campaign released the position paper to the JTA, which is an established, professional global news service, and the latter reporting the contents of the position paper on its web site. Are you saying they have been scammed?
September 15, 2007 6:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not ridiculous from where I sit. I think it is vitally important to stop Clinton. Of course her strategy is get people to shut up and proceed with the coronation, with this sort of "loose lips sink Democratic ships" appeal. Too bad. I'm not falling for that.
September 15, 2007 6:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
I know that's what the argument SOUNDS like--but it isn't.
At least that isn't my argument.
If you want to stop Clinton, fine. My candidate happens to be Obama.
But saying that Obama is better than Clinton is better than saying there's no difference between Clinton and Giuliani.
For one thing, on the range of issues on which the next president will have to decide, there are a lot of differences between Hillary and Rudy.
So saying they are, in essence, the same is inaccurate.
But also, there is reason to believe, I think, that she has tacked right on this issue and on defense in general.
Moreover, if Hillary and Rudy are like Coke and Pepsi, why should any hard core Dems vote for her in the general election...or work for her with any enthusiasm? Hence Gore redux.
Note that this doesn't require anyone to support Hillary now or to sing her praises or coronate her. And it doesn't mean she shouldn't be pressed hard on the issues.
(When you flip this around to the other party, this logic becomes clear. We are all HOPING that the evangelical right stays home for lack of a candidate that meets their standards. We LIKE it when Rudy gets slammed for not being pure on values...or when Romney gets sandbagged for flip-flopping on everything...or...because it means low Republican voter turnout in the general election.)
But obviously this is a matter of judgement...
September 15, 2007 9:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Er...I didn't get that impression at all, as the heading clearly identifies what follows as Clinton's position paper. What's more, the JTA article cites the paper itself, as released by the campaign, as it's source...not Birnbaum's website.
September 15, 2007 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
But saying that Obama is better than Clinton is better than saying there's no difference between Clinton and Giuliani.
Personally, I have never said there is no difference between Clinton and Giuliani.
September 15, 2007 9:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is it the last thing anyone wants? I would like to think you're right about the majority of Israelis feeling willing to share the city, but the actions of the Israeli government have been to attempt to slowly squeeze out the Palestinians who reside there.
The term "undivided Jerusalem" may have some ambiguity, but those on the Israeli right, as well as many pro-far-right-Israel supporters here in the U.S. do use it to indicate exclusive Israeli control over the city, as in this 2005 article at Israel Insider about Sen. Sam Brownback's attempt to pass a bill demanding just that.
And this BBC article demonstrates pretty clearly what Israel's plans are now and have been all along:
Hilary is not stupid. Given that she must be well aware of the meaning of the term for those who clearly do intend to obtain exclusive Israeli sovereignty over Jerusalem, I question the benign interpretation of her words that you offer here, MJ. At the very least, it's reasonable to ask why she would use a term that is so ambiguous if what she meant was mutual sovereignty.
"If the only tool you have is a hammer, you tend to see every problem as a nail." ~~ Abraham Maslow
September 15, 2007 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nothing at all, as long as you realize that less than 5% of Americans are Jews so pandering has the potential of working in the other direction should the sentiment of the majority of Americans change. I could care less how strongly Clinton tilts towards Israel as long as that tilt doesn't keep us at war in the Middle East. I just see it getting trickier and trickier to separate over the top commitment to Israel from over the top commitment to military involvement in the region, so don't be surprised if there's a backlash sooner or later.
September 15, 2007 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
I've read conservative and moderate accounts of how they did just this when listening to Bush on the campaign trail, and now greatly regret it.
I'd say the opposite is true: the onus is on the voter to assume everything the campaign says it will fight for and it will do is truthful (contradictions, obviously, notwithstanding), and do as little "projecting" as possible.
Indeed, while I appreciate the need for politicians to lie at times, it seems ill-considered to me flat out assume politicians are always/often lying and that their real position is X/Y/Z.
At least, if you're going to assume the position espoused is false, I'd say one should at least make the effort to check the rhetoric against past rhetoric, legislative action, the position of campaign advisors, and their votes (if they held office in the legislature).
And if one is a commentator, to anything short of the above seems flatly irresponsible (sorry MJ, cause I usually really like your stuff). Using one's position as an editorialist with a wide audience to say, for example, "ignore Obama's position on civil unions, I'm sure that he'd support gay marriage once in office" is rather dangerous. The whole notion that we ought to make our electoral decisions on anything but publicly available information is subversive to the Democratic process, IMO. Find statements, votes, something to that effect, or assume what the candidate says is exactly how the candidate will govern.
September 15, 2007 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure I accept the connection between commitment to Israel and US military involvement in the ME. Maybe it's all in the meaning of "over the top."
Even if you accept that the Lobby pushed for the Iraq invasion, you'd have to say, further, that sans the Lobby there would have been no war. And no Afghanistan invasion. And no Gulf War. And no over-throwing of Mossadeq. And no 9/11.
It's possible that this is all true...but I don't think it's been shown.
The US has committed troops to "protect" or "liberate" or "peace keep" in Kosovo, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Libya, Iran (twice, sort of)...but not yet Israel. In fact, Israel took a few Scuds on behalf of the US's adventure in Kuwait.
September 15, 2007 10:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
"He appears to subscribe to the APAC line, unlike 60% of American Jews."
Pointers please. Where 60 % are coming from ?
September 15, 2007 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
"although not the rightwing crowd in Brooklyn, Queens and The Island. But she believed that she'd lose the nutcases "
MJ. Why you feel that you have to bring your intollerance and hate of people you disagree with to this post?
Please keep your hateful writing to your posts,
please.
September 15, 2007 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
There doesn't have to be a direct connection. There just has to be a perception of a connection. I'm just staying that pandering is a lot about perceptions. Candidates tend to make casual commitments to enhance perceptions. Candidates get fired up at campaign rallies and make grandiose statements. You can pander at will as long as the group you are pandering to is either more powerful than other groups or considered insignificant by more powerful groups.
Take the immigration issue. What a mine field that is for candidates. They want to court a growing minority, Hispanics, but that has set off quite a backlash among the majority. Consequently, no legislation has been able to survive and quite a number of immigrants have been hurt in the process and ill will festers.
Groups can lobby at will and candidates can pander at will right up until there is a perception that this is against the interests of the majority of Americans. The longer the guagmire in the Middle East lasts, the greater the potential for something tipping the perception against Israel and its backers in the US.
September 15, 2007 10:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Last point. I, too, favor an undivided Jerusalem as do almost all Israelis and Palestinians. One city. No walls. With Palestinians controlling East Jerusalem and Israelis controlling the West. Shared sovereignty does not mean dividing the city. That is the last thing anyone wants."
What MJ propose is open borders between Israel and a future Palestinia state, de facto one state solution.
It's up to Israeli people to decide how they want to protect their borders, now or in the future. It's a pure internal matter.
I don't think Israeli people are ready to allow all Palestinians from West Bank unrestricted right to enter Israel.
US don't allow all Mexicans to enter US.
September 15, 2007 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good point. In this case, I look back to her husband's position back in the 1990s when she/they were in a position to do something about this. And when their constituency wasn't just NY.
Beyond this, I look to her generally liberal outlook which is consonant with a two-state solution, etc.
So I don't feel that I'm just wishing on a star.
But you're right: The more proof you have, the better.
But the vote is often a crapshoot. No one voting for LBJ in 1964 envisioned the Viet Nam nightmare.
As to your Bush example, I'm not sure it entirely supports your position. One might have expected a compassionate conservative from his stump speech, but we got something different. One might have expected smaller government from his stump speech also...and no nation building from what he said.
So what he said overtly was a BAD indicator of what he ended up doing in office.
But I'm speaking as a liberal, of course, so perhaps your point still stands.
I think one's sense of a politician's general outlook is a better indicator of what his future direction than what he or she says about a particular issue at a particular time. They often zig and zag on specific issues.
September 15, 2007 11:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
All of Hillary's press releases are up on either her campaign website or her senate site - except for this one. Prudence would suggest that perhaps there is a mistake. But of course, if there's a mistake, then there is no story to hammer Clinton with. Why would she not put this one up? Why only send it to JTA? Yes, I am saying that it appears they have been scammed. And I'm saying Josh, who should have known better, allowed this Mr. Levy to post a story without verifying with the Clinton campaign that it's their press release.
The fact that it isn't on her site is a red flag. They didn't follow up. They failed journalism 101 and resorted to simple Drudge tactics.
September 15, 2007 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can only understand Hillary's apparent quiet but stated support for an undivided Jerusalem as a political move--and not as a statement of policy--because, for one thing, no American president, Republican or Democrat, is going to work to prevent the Israelis and Palestinians from reaching an agreement which will divide the city along the lines of the Bill Clinton parameters.
In any event, it's really a counterproductive pledge by her and I hope she "clarifies" or whatever the candidates do in these situations. At a minimum, the statement can be fairly read to suggest that if Hillary becomes president, all things equal, she will put less pressure on Israel to negotiate a deal than other Democratic candidates will.
With respect to the Democratic nomination, I don't understand the political logic of Hillary's Jerusalem pledge. I just don't see it helping her too much with voters or with contributors during the primaries. My sense is that she's already perceived to have the most "pro-Israel" orientation by "hard-line" single issue voters.
I guess Hillary's statement only makes sense to me as some kind of preemptive flanking protection against a candidate like Giuliani in the general election. And, as a corollary, the political calculation might be that those Democratic voters who are put off by such a statement on Jerusalem are still going to vote for her in sufficient nunbers in the general election anyway.
September 15, 2007 12:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am not so sure that Hillary's web site always lists everything she puts out. Awhile back, I was trying to find Hillary statements in the run up to the war after she had voted for the AUMF in October of 2002. Specifically, I was looking for statements by Hillary from Feb. and March of 2003, the time frame of inspections happening and Bush still itching for war.
On her Senate website page listing her speeches and releases, a couple of her speeches from that time were not [ or were no longer] listed, but could be found by googling. From memory here..... I remember of one speech/release from March 17, 2003 that was not on that list. In that instance, I surmised that someone had scrubbed that evidence of Hillary continuing to support the war right up to the invasion.
September 15, 2007 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay, but I think I could be forgiven for drawing that inference from your deplorable vs despicable remark.
This sort of equivalence may be fine for the world-weary academic.
But if it turns out that HRC is the candidate, we are going to need enthusiastic support for her to ensure a Democratic victory.
Look at it from the other side...
Look at how many Republicans seem to be turning a blind eye to Rudy's faults (from their perspective) to pull out a tough election for them...
If folks REALLY believe the choice is between deplorable and despicable, they could be forgiven for staying home.
September 15, 2007 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary needs to be asked directly to explain this statement. Otherwise, it is all tea leaves and conjecture.
Some suppose that she is trying to do 'preemptive flanking', some suppose that she wants to remain a 'closet' liberal in order to win election, but my own worst fear is that she might be a 'closet' Joe Lieberman.
September 15, 2007 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wordie, Don't hide behind rating.
Explain, why it's OK to call people with who you disagree "nutcases"?
September 15, 2007 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Slightly OT, but bad news nonetheless.
Clark just endorsed Hillary.
I thought it was going to be Obama/Clark ini 08.
Maybe Obama should grab Hagel.
September 15, 2007 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Peter,
I believe a Palestinian-controlled eastern Jerusalem and an Israeli-controlled western Jerusalem is a divided Jerusalem. There is no ambiguity in Clinton’s statement. Trying to read “an undivided Jerusalem as [Israel’s] capitol” as a simple proposal for a shared Jerusalem doesn't wash (especially when she isn’t even advocating a Palestinian state).
I could agree with Clinton that Jerusalem should be an undivided capitol. How about Jerusalem as the undivided capitol of a Palestinian state? If I’m not mistaken, Israel’s border was nowhere near Jerusalem when it was declared a nation in ’48. True, it conquered territories after the partition, including a convenient strip that went right into Jerusalem, and it continues to settle new areas even in Jerusalem. But I thought that international law precluded a country from taking land by invading and occupying it.
I don’t believe that possession really is 9/10th’s of the law as the saying goes. Regardless of Israel’s claims or US politicians’ proposals that Jerusalem be Israel’s capitol, does Israel have a legitimate claim to it in whole or part?
September 15, 2007 2:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
"If I’m not mistaken, Israel’s border was nowhere near Jerusalem when it was declared a nation in ’48."
You are mistaken.
Jews were majority in Jerusalem for very long time before '48.
BTW, I think they were majority in Bagdad if I'm not mistaken, but I'm not sure they have claims on Bagdad today :-)
September 15, 2007 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I thought Josh's subsequent denial was disingenuous: saying someone thinks like a loser on the leading issue of the day is close enough to calling them a loser that he ought to have revised his statement - and perhaps noted Obama's similar statements.
Also, no shouting is being done here that I can see - and the "some"-smear is unnecessary. Argue the comment, not the commenter.
September 15, 2007 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
All of the candidates should put forward their respective positions on Israel-Palestinian relations (including preferences for Jerusalem) and on all of the troublesome situations in the Near East, soon. When the USA or an ally becomes involved in military hostilities, political statements on foreign policy and military policy become much more guarded, don't they. We'll need all the specifics we can get as election time nears, especially those of us who haven't committed to a candidate.
A series of military operations by Israel in Gaza are a certainty. US involvement in Iraq will certainly last a long time, but changes of “facts on the ground” are somewhat unpredictable. What will be done or not be done in regard to Iran, Syria, and Lebanon remains to be seen. Now is prime time to say something significant, unless stating a coherent long-term position is a problem; that wouldn't be the case, would it, for several candidates?
September 15, 2007 4:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now, Miami is majority Cuban (let’s say) and it’s just a short boat ride…maybe Castro can be the mayor.
Ah, Davai. Where would I be without you to "translate" what I say? The partition created an international enclave of Jerusalem and Bethlehem. Israel occupied and basically controls all of Jerusalem. That doesn't make it legitimately theirs anymore than their occupation of the territories annuls Palestine.
September 15, 2007 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just googled, and all references I saw point back to JTA or Birnbaum. This seems like important news to me, if true - it's surprising to me that the wider press doesn't have primary coverage of the press release. E.g., Haaretz's blog has a link to JTA, when you'd think they'd have the release themselves...
September 15, 2007 8:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I see interesting contradiction.
On one hand I see a very strong consensus that Hillary should explain a contradiction
between her position about Jerusalem with the plan put forward by a certain President Bill Clinton in December 2000.
I see also a strong consensus that she should clarify her position about Jerusalem.
Obviously, Jerusalem is important but very touchy issue and clarifying her position might cause her to lose some supporters.
On another hand it seems that Obama position about “the Lobby” and Walt-Mearsheimer book about “the lobby” put him in contradiction with position of his most famous foreign policy adviser, Brzezinski.
Obviously, “the lobby” is important but very touchy issue and clarifying his position might cause him to lose some supporters.
Somehow tpmcafe bloggers came to a consensus that Obama doesn’t have to and should not explain this contradiction and clarify his position. I wonder why?
Is not true that what's good for the goose is good for the gander?
September 15, 2007 10:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I believe a Palestinian-controlled eastern Jerusalem and an Israeli-controlled western Jerusalem is a divided Jerusalem."
I'm working off of what MJ said. Not divided in the sense that there are no walls; people can go wherever they wish. I guess the border between the two countries runs through the city and there is some sort of border control. Not sure of the details or practicalities.
The Palestinians cover city services, etc., in East Jerusalem, and Israeli in their section of the city.
I believe that before '48, Jerusalem was part of Jordan.
September 16, 2007 10:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well...
If she's in favor of a Palestinian state, which she apparently is, then that is going to involve some part of Jerusalem, I believe.
It's too important an issue for any real negotiations to skip over it with a simple "undivided Jerusalem" proposal.
Again, I guess it's all in how Jerusalem is "divided" or "undivided."
Way way back, I believe, there was a proposal to make Jerusalem an international city, perhaps a long the lines of a non-denominational, or multi-denominational, Vatican.
It would be undivided and belong to no one...or everyone.
September 16, 2007 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
But now are we talking about what YOU think?
Or are we talking about public perception?
We started with the former...and switched to the latter, I think.
I would hope that for you there would have to be a direct--or shall we say, an actual--connection.
As far as the public goes, public perception can be manipulated. So if some people say that we went into Iraq to fight Israel's war enough times and "back it up" with enough "curious facts" or "coincidences" or "parallels" then folks are going to start to believe it.
Good case in point: GWB's assertion of the connection between 9/11 and Saddam. A surprising number of folks still believe that.
As to the immigration, I'm not sure there's a backlash among a TRUE majority--that is to say, MOST of the people. A highly vocal group of some size, to be sure. And they are making SOME good arguments, IMO. But I think it's tricky when we start talking about the "majority."
A lot of the time that word just means "folks who think like me because it's the truth."
September 16, 2007 10:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, where is the position paper ITSELF?
September 16, 2007 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Leaving aside your "loser" comment...
I have to agree that reporting integrity is sorely lacking on the Web.
And thus far, we seem to have only reporting ABOUT the paper and not the paper itself.
My guess, though, is that Hillary did support an undivided Jerusalem. MJ's analysis of her lurch to the right on this issue, and the reasons for it, seem compelling to me.
As far as I've read...
September 16, 2007 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
It isn't Josh's job to fact-check every piece of writing here.
These are blogs--op-eds, if you will--and their authors assume responsibility for their veracity--not the publisher.
I'm sure if someone were truly spewing hate, Josh would ax him. But short of that, it's a freewheeling discussion.
It's up to posters to fact-check what they say, and the fact that few do in any sort of rigorous way is discouraging to me.
In this day of links, also, it's common for folks who link to other articles to absolve themselves of responsibility for the factuality of the content or the provenance/authors of those articles.
So crap just passed from one person to the next...a giant rumor mill.
Not always or only...there's a lot of good stuff out here...but it's definitely a place where caveat emptor must be your first rule.
September 16, 2007 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Presently, Jerusalem is a de facto Israeli city in that Israel controls it. It was Palestinian under the Mandate with violent clashes over Jewish settlement there. Of course, any peace agreement will hinge on Jerusalem (witness the reaction to Sharon’s visit to the Temple Mount).
It seems to me that Israel’s ambitions have been implemented incrementally over a long period. Occupy and settle new areas, little by little. Push its boundaries out, and then wait. Even the right of Pals to return to their homes becomes less imperative as more of the original Palestinians die off (the main exodus was 60 years ago). Eventually, a settlement will take place and Jerusalem is not a separate issue.
I believe MJ was referring to a definition of “undivided’ that could mean Pal-controlled east, Israel-controlled west, but that makes no sense in the context of Hillary’s statement. Maybe Hillary’s position is more honest, in a way, if Israel has no legitimate claim to Jerusalem in the first place. If it is going to take it by altering “facts on the ground,” as with most of its territory, why try to disguise that by pretending to leave some small part to the Palestinians under some limited authority.
I think it's a matter of influencing future negotiation. If I ask for another slice of pie, you will argue that I’ve had my share. But if I loudly demand most of the pie, you’ll say, “whoa, just take another piece or two.” I guess I just see the calls for an all-Israeli capitol in Jerusalem as part of the long term strategy of overreaching for the purpose of getting more in the end.
September 16, 2007 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
The reasoning behind these statements seems off. Why would you have to say that without the Lobby there would have been no war, if only you wish only to make the point that they had an influence? One doesn't need to link AIPAC to all those historical events to recognize that the Lobby may have played a part in encouraging the U.S. to go to war in Iraq. After all, the Lobby has grown considerably in influence in the last couple of decades.
And the Iraq war was the only incident in your list to have occurred after the publication in 1996 of the Netanyahu/Likud/neoconservative grand plan for the ME (A Clean Break, A Strategy for Securing the Realm), which suggested just such "regime change" as eventually became the policy of the U.S. in the region. And since the paper's authors were the very same neocons (and darlings of AIPAC), Richard Perle, David Wurmser and Douglas Feith, who worked so tirelessly to ensure that we did go to war...well, you connect the dots.* Or read more on the issue, here.
* This isn't to say that AIPAC was the only influence.
"If the only tool you have is a hammer, you tend to see every problem as a nail." ~~ Abraham Maslow
September 16, 2007 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's start with defining who is and who is not part of "the lobby"
W/M: "We use ‘the Lobby’ as shorthand for the loose coalition of individuals and organisations who actively work to steer US foreign policy in a pro-Israel direction. This is not meant to suggest that ‘the Lobby’ is a unified movement with a central leadership, or that individuals within it do not disagree on certain issues
Are Barbara Boxer, Al Gore, Paul Krugman, Bill Kristol members of the lobby. They all strong supporters of Israel.
" recognize that the Lobby may have played a part in encouraging the U.S. to go to war in Iraq"
Yes some of the menbers of "the lobby"
played a part in encouraging the U.S and some of the menbers of "the lobby" were against the war.
But let's don't forget that if a honorary member of "the lobby" Al Gore became a President in 2000, we wouldn't not have a war.
From what I understand, majority of the members of "the lobby" as well as overwhelming majority of Jews supported Al Gore.
End of debate.
Next Issue.
September 16, 2007 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, but...
Here's the quote: "I could care less how strongly Clinton tilts towards Israel as long as that tilt doesn't keep us at war in the Middle East."
If that tilt "keeps" us at war in the ME, then the plain meaning of this is that this tilt is CAUSING us to go to war over and over again.
Remove the cause and you remove the war.
It's pretty clear (I think) that AIPAC favored the Iraq invasion (though I'd have to check)...but that doesn't mean that AIPAC caused us to go to war. Without AIPAC, we might have gone to war anyway.
So I won't argue with your "a part in encouraging." I think you're right.
But blaming the war on "the Lobby" is something else and has to be shown, IMO.
The fact that AIPAC long predates a Clean Break...the Bush II admin... suggests that it may not be the causitive factor it is often said to be.
Though AIPAC was strong in the 1980s and 1990s (and perhaps before that), it wasn't until the perfect storm of the Bush II administration that we went into Iraq.
All of this may seem like a nitpick, I know, and I'm certainly no apologist for AIPAC policies (as I understand them).
But picking a nit can keep us civilized.
(It can also blind us to uncomfortable realities.)
Hopes that's all clear...
September 16, 2007 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
""We use ‘the Lobby’ as shorthand for the loose coalition of individuals and organisations who actively work to steer US foreign policy in a pro-Israel direction. This is not meant to suggest that ‘the Lobby’ is a unified movement with a central leadership, or that individuals within it do not disagree on certain issues..."
Yes, Davai. This strikes me as one of the most wobbly aspects of the WM thesis. This "loose coalition" phraseology covers and creates a multitude of sins. Almost anyone can get swept up into this category.
It's also the sort of vague appellation that feeds paranoia about this semi-invisible force--lurking among us like the Commies of old--hard to pin down--hard to find yet somehow so powerful--in fact, powerful because it is so diffuse, so much a part of the warp and woof of our society, populated by people who are so much like regular American folks yet beholden and loyal to a foreign power and foreign ideology which they place above all else...
The critique needs to be much more straightforward than this.
September 16, 2007 1:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
The value in having the document itself is that documents frequently contain many statements, some of which qualify, or even tone down other statements. Statements appear in their context, so it's easier to assess their meaning.
Even good reporting picks some quotes and ignores others. Sloppiness, bias, misunderstanding--due to haste or real bias--often enter into the picture.
There's a reason historians prefer primary sources.
September 16, 2007 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Almost anyone can get swept up into this category."
Correct, the reason the "the Lobby" is so strong is that it has so many members who might disagree about everything else in the life.
For example, senator Boxer and senator Brownback are members of "the lobby".
Daniel Levy is pro-Israel no doubt about this, so he is a member of "the lobby". Welcome aboard, Daniel!
MJ claims to be pro-Israel, so acccording to
W/M he is also member of "the lobby"
W/M claim that their book helps Israel, so according to their own definition, they are
members of "the lobby".
September 16, 2007 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Both you and L seem to be determined to raise a lot of questions in this thread about the legitmacy of this story. While I agree that there is lots of misleading interpretation on the web, I'm beginning to think in this case, the source of the misleading interpretation may not be Mr. Levy. Perhaps you (you too, L) ought to read his bio - that's often a good way to judge the accuracy of a piece.
If you or L have suspicions about this piece, do you have any actual evidence to back them up? It works both ways, after all.
"If the only tool you have is a hammer, you tend to see every problem as a nail." ~~ Abraham Maslow
September 16, 2007 3:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sorry, but the conclusion you draw from the quoted statement just doesn't seem to follow logically.
"If the only tool you have is a hammer, you tend to see every problem as a nail." ~~ Abraham Maslow
September 16, 2007 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Peter,
This was a press release. It apparently was not released widely but to Israeli media. I imagine it was a short position statement delivered in an electronic communication. I doubt there is anything like an "original document." It doesn't matter anyway. A campaign press release doesn't amount to some historical document. Is there a real question as to whether this is Clinton's position?
September 16, 2007 4:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
1999 CNN Report -- Her Senate run:
Seems consistent...
Also, I surprised to learn that the Democratic Party Platform is:
September 16, 2007 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay kids, go out and play in your little world where the oceans are cherry kool-aid and the mountaintops, vanilla ice cream…:)
The whole book is about the lobby. Don’t you guys think W/M describe who makes up the lobby?
Implications of anti-Semitic fear-mongering based on a misconstruing of the book- Now, who is feeding paranoia? Who is casting unjustified slurs?
September 16, 2007 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
There certainly is a great deal of ambiguity about the term, isn't there. Unfortunately, the term "undivided city" doesn't specify under whose sovereignty the "undivided city" should exist. The Israeli government apparently believes it should be their own, and many U.S. politicians appear to agree with them. I cited elsewhere an article on an effort by Brownbeck, a Republican, to pass a bill stating just that, but there are Dems who support the idea as well.
Especially since this was a press release, rather than a verbal statement by Hillary, I tend to think the paper, which would undoubtedly have been vetted and carefully edited before release, is meant to indicate a willingness to go along with the Israeli government's plans in the matter. If she meant that there should be mutual sovereignty instead, she would have said that, wouldn't she? She must know what the term "undivided city" means to many in the Israeli government and why walk into that minefield if she didn't mean what they do by the term. After all, this appears to be a paper released only to JTA, for primarily Jewish/Israeli consumption.
I think the U.N. may have had the best idea at the outset and I myself increasingly appreciate the wisdom of the idea of making Jerusalem an "undivided city" under international control. The alternative may be armageddon, or at the minimum, endless war.
"If the only tool you have is a hammer, you tend to see every problem as a nail." ~~ Abraham Maslow
September 16, 2007 4:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The whole book is about the lobby. Don’t you guys think W/M describe who makes up the lobby?"
Yes:
"We use ‘the Lobby’ as a convenient short-hand term for the loose coalition of individuals and organizations who actively work to shape U.S. foreign policy in a pro-Israel direction."
Is not a sufficient definition.
What they meant to say:
"We use ‘the Lobby’ as a convenient short-hand term for the loose coalition of individuals and organizations who actively work to shape U.S. foreign policy ABOUT ISRAEL and ME in DIRECTION
THAT WE, W/M DON'T APPROVE."
September 16, 2007 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
"We use ‘the Lobby’ as a convenient short-hand term for the loose coalition of individuals and organizations who actively work to shape U.S. foreign policy ABOUT ISRAEL and ME in DIRECTION THAT WE, W/M DON'T APPROVE is not necessarily in the interests of the U.S."
Have you read the book or the paper?
September 16, 2007 6:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
"We use ‘the Lobby’ as a convenient short-hand term for the loose coalition of individuals and organizations who actively work to shape U.S. foreign policy ABOUT ISRAEL and ME in DIRECTION is not necessarily in the interests of the U.S. AS WE UNDERSTAND THEM"
"Have you read the book or the paper?"
No.
September 16, 2007 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Have you read the book or the paper?"
No.
I appreciate the honesty. And I appreciate the explication of a work you haven't read.
September 16, 2007 7:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've have not done it.
I'm just asking of a definion of "the lobby" that is subject of repeated discussions here.
I've haven't expressed my opinion about this book at all.It seems taht you read the book and still can't define "the lobby".
September 16, 2007 7:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think you've lost this one davai!
September 16, 2007 7:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Which one did I win in your opnion?
September 16, 2007 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have linked to both the "press release" and the ITA article. It's obvious from one read that the JustHillary posting isn't anything from the Clinton campaign but is Birnbaum's analysis of what he thinks Hilary's positions are. I don't think there is any Sept.10 position paper, and based on the body of the posting, Birnbaum doesn't even say there is a new position paper. Frankly, I think Birnbaum slapped a sloppily written header on his posting.
About the JTA article, I don't know. Did someone at JTA see Birnbaum's comments and get confused about its source? What is JTA, anyway? I'm hardly an expert on Israeli media, but this is the first I've heard of it.
September 17, 2007 6:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's a shame Hillary Clinton, Obama, and other leading Democratic candidates can't make bold policy stances on the Arab/Israeli conflict. How can anyone think that the U.S. can be an even-headed broker of peace when it doesn't offer the same kind of treatment to the Palestinian NGO's who want peace and co-existence?
Clinton (and the other Democratic candidates) should follow Jimmy Carter's lead and take a more humanistic approach to Palestine and treat them just as equally as Israel.
September 17, 2007 7:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
JustHillary is the work and sole work of Birnbaum.
He does it for the love of it.
Nothing official about it, as far as I can see.
September 17, 2007 7:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Okay. We'll have to agree to disagree on this one.
September 17, 2007 7:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
No, of course, I have a lot of faith in Levy and MJ, too.
But they aren't perfect.
The whole point of these comments, IMO, is to discuss, not to come to some sort of agreement...for what purpose?
We aren't negotiating a contract or a bill or an agreement of any sort. Or even running a campaign. We aren't going for party unity.
If I have reservations about xy or z, fine.
If you don't, fine, too.
I agree that Hillary has lurched to the right. I have my thoughts about why. I also happen to think that, if in office, she'd work hard for a just resolution to this conflict, including to the sovereignty of Jerusalem.
So yes, I have my doubts--not that the paper exists--about what the paper means and PORTENDS for a Clinton presidency.
In short, I'd like to be able to read the thing myself and draw my own conclusion about what it means. And one of the reasons I'd like this is because so much interpretation I read on the Web is misleading, IMO.
Someone posts: "Kerry says xyz. Click here for more."
Well, OFTEN, when I "click here"t the article or video DOESN'T say what the poster said it says--at least not in my opinion. I've become wary.
And it isn't even the posters' fault always. The Web encourages quick, shoot from the hip postings, no proofing, top of the head reactions. At the same time, it's viral. So these off-the-cuff remarks get repeated and repeated ad nauseam.
Hope that clarifies...
September 17, 2007 8:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Don,
I tried to give Wordie my reservations about this up above.
I'm interested in trying to evaluate what she is likely to do in office.
Most campaign promises or positions are broken or severely emended once in office...given other pressures...events.
So what's a voter to do?
I try to distinguish between specific positions which almost always change and abiding philosophical outlooks that don't or don't easily.
September 17, 2007 8:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
A divided Jerusalem, meaning NOT under total Israeli sovereignity, means a DESTROYED Jerusalem. I believe even as radical a post-Zionist as Meron Ben-Veniste says the city can not have divided sovereignity.
If Palestinians have control, meaning armed force, in their portions of the city, they will fire into the Jewish areas. We already saw this in the endless firing from Beit Lehem into the Jerusalem suburb of Gilo.
Also, Jewish control of the Jewish Quarter of the Old City and the Western Wall will be meaningless. Arabs would be in control of the Har HaBayit (Temple Mount) overlooking the Western Wall and if they throw rocks or bombs down, Israel will not be able to respond, except to file complaints to the UN Security Council. The approach access would be very narrow and it would be easy to harass people passing through the area. In effect, it would become very risky just to visit the Wall and the Old City.
The Christian churches in Jerusalem would come under great pressure just like has happened in Beit Lehem and Nazeret.
Division of the city would be a disaster. It would be perceived as a a gigantic triumph for the most extreme Arab/Muslim elements, and a major defeat for Israel (what other people VOLUNTARILY gives up its most holy sites in return for a scrap of paper?). It would make another major war certain.
September 19, 2007 8:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
"shared sovereignity does not mean dividing the city". WHERE ON EARTH DO YOU GET THIS HALLUCINATORY IDEA? The Arabs hate Israel. What possible reason would they have for making such a thing work? Why should they cooperate? "Economic advantages"? We have seen the Palestinians destroy their economy in the name of "Patriotism" and "liberation"
September 19, 2007 8:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
You might like to think that the majority of Israelis are "willing to share the city", but that would be wrong. Large majorities oppose diving sovereignity in the city. That, of course, doesn't mean that Omert might not be able to get a Knesset majority for this, the Knesset is generally indifferent to public opinion, but an attempt to divide the city might really tear Israel apart, in a way not yet seen. Hard to tell.
September 19, 2007 8:22 AM | Reply | Permalink