WH Incomprehensible on Inequality
It’s official. The White House isn’t even trying to make sense on economics.
This morning’s NYT reports on IRS data showing that the average family’s income is lower, after inflation, in 2005 than it was in 2000. It’s down about 1%, just under $500, which ain’t chump change. It helps to explain the squeeze many middle- and low-income families speak of, and the dissonance between their experiences and the clamoring of the economy’s cheerleaders (low unemployment! strong job growth! solid fundamentals! yada-yada...).
What growth did occur went largely to millionaires and above. This tiny sliver—one quarter of one percent of all taxpayers—“reaped almost 47% of the total income gains in 2005, compared with 2000.” Actually, there’s little new here we didn’t know already from Census data and from the work of Piketty and Saez, two economists who carefully track economic inequality. What’s different is the response by the White House. Regarding the concentration of income growth at the top of the scale, a press spokesman declared that this “is not a very interesting story.” He attributed the lack of average income growth to “the wrenching hits our economy took in 2001 and 2002.” This is simply indefensible. The White House is constantly touting the strength of the economy, typically in defense of their tax cuts (which themselves exacerbated the skewing of market incomes). But when they get a result they don’t like, they cite events from six years ago that have nothing to do with the mal-distribution of the growth that’s occurred since then. Well, not exactly nothing. Those events helped empower an administration with little regard for the living standards of working families or the fair distribution of growth. In fact, their economic agenda is actually pretty redistributive. It just goes the wrong way.












I think the WH is being wholly consistent in their approach and discussion of the economy. I believe you have mistaken the WH's constituency to be all Americans. I would only ask that you show me one program or decision in the last six years that has had any benefit outside of the contituency you reference above. You'll find nothing, which suggests that all Americans are not the WH's concern.
/c
In the blogosphere every one is an expert, so no one is an expert.
August 21, 2007 8:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Okay, so people have been screaming that the Bush administration has wrecked the economy, and the figure by which it has declined for the average American since the dot com boom turns out to be one percent?
One lousy frickin' percent? A penny out of every dollar? This is a depression? This is the ruination and the establishment of oligarchy and every other disastrous thing political drama queens have been screaming about? Bush in '08! He kept us out of feeling any effect from the war!
Personally, mine's down a lot more than 1 percent, but it's also because I decided to stay home with the kids after the dot com boom ended, and I'm not the only dot-commie I know who did that. Is there any adjustment for downshifting in that analysis? I wouldn't be surprised if, once you did that, the economy was actually BETTER than before we were at war and you could no longer raise a million bucks to start a home nori-delivery service (myNori.com).
August 21, 2007 8:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
@ Mgmax: What's the big deal? How about this:
So historically, the economy moved forward for the average citizen. Lately, it moves forward on the back of the average citizen.
August 21, 2007 9:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not so fast, Max. That penny out of every dollar may mean more to families that live close to the bone than it does to somebody who had the option of more-or-less-voluntarily downshifting.
Also, the bursting of the internet bubble tended to affect those with high incomes, while the current bursting of the housing bubble will tend to affect more of the population.
Do I also remember reading that "inflation" does not fully account for rises in gas & healthcare prices?
What I'm trying to say is that the 1% discussed here, in combination with a few other factors, may be more disastrous for middle/low income families than you'd think.
(Regarding the dotcom bust, though, I do remember visiting friends in San Francisco before, during and after, and noting that after the bust, people seemed strangely happier and more purposeful, talking about doing things they'd always wanted to do rather than trying to keep running after increasingly unlikely wealth. However, it's important to remember that these weren't people in immediate danger of true homelessness, just people coming to grips with the idea that their new career might not provide the yacht they picked out last year.)
August 21, 2007 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jeez, Mgmax. You've got an even lower benchmark than the WhtHouse! We should be content because, after years of economic recovery, characterized by uniquely outsized profit gains, avg incomes are only down a little?!?
August 21, 2007 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
" The White House isn’t even trying to make sense on economics."Well, that's not surprising since the White House also doesn't make sense on anything else.Tom
August 21, 2007 9:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
This adjustment business is powerful stuff. If you adjust for people who lost their jobs, the economy is totally awesome. Who knew?
Well, shoot. If you adjust for all the runs the Brewers scored, the Diamondbacks did pretty well, yesterday. On average.
Instead of excluding the unemployed, as Bush does in theory and practice, how about "adjusting" for the richest 100,000 millionaires and billionaires. That measly 1% looks like the Great Depression on steroids.
August 21, 2007 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Voluntarily making more money when money is flinging itself at you like a cheap floozy, and going domestic at other times, is a time-honored tradition (ever hear of the Baby Boom? You think Rosie no longer being flush with riveting money and having time on her hands might have had a LITTLE to do with it?)
I can't tell you how many 6 and 7-year-olds my former dot-com colleagues have by now. Everybody went out and had a baby or two, it seemed.
And it's not a net economic hit necessarily-- god knows what I spent on restaurant food in the hectic dot-com days compared to what I save cooking now, and eat better besides.
Of course, that's only a small part of the population, but still, it's striking that folks like the guy who wrote this entry have to focus on inequality because the objective per-household stats just can't be made to look that bad. The word for "one percent down from the high of the previous economic boom" is "economic boom."
August 21, 2007 9:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not lately. It's always been this way.
The big difference is that the rich no longer bother to toss a few more crumbs our way, since they have apologists like Max on their side arguing that less money in your pocket is an economic boom. We're all lucky duckies.
The economy in microcosm - my personal income has increased 25% since 2001. (0% since 2005, btw). My grocery bill, on the other hand, has increased 50% and my gas bill has increased 150%. So even though I make 25% more than I did 6 years ago, I actually get to save and invest less.
August 21, 2007 9:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jared, the NYT article doesn't provide any link to the IRS report and I couldn't find the report on the IRS web site. Changes in average income aren't all that informative. The NYT article says that the top 1 percent of income earners accounted for nearly half the income gains in the country. That growth among a small group would skew the average growth upward. This means people in the bottom 99% would have had to have had a larger decline in income than the overall 1% decline. Also, the article mentions that half of all Americans reported earnings of less than $30K and two-thirds reported earnings less than $50K. That is probably the most significant statement, since it shows that a large block of people are earning salaries that seem small relative to the high cost of homes, cars, medical care, etc. . ..
It's nice to know Mgmax, though, can afford not to work. :-)
August 21, 2007 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
So the average income of all families is down by one percent? Meaning what, if the top 1% have increased earnings by 50%, everyone else loses 2-5%? What exactly are the terms we're dealing with here?
Bottom line, a lot of the people who voted for Bush thinking they were going to get a huge deal with those ballyhooed tax breaks, (unless they were already multimillionaires!) they're likely worse off, and by more than 1% from their 2000 levels.
August 21, 2007 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Statistics always mystified me, but isn't it true that there is no such thing as an "average family"?
If the incomes of the rich go up a whole bunch, and those of the non-rich go down even more, than the "average family" income goes down only a little, right?
August 21, 2007 10:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good luck explaining to the avarage family which is down $500 bucks and paying more for gas, food, and medical care (especially if they have no insurance) that this represents an economic boom.
Oh, by the way, these families are probably a majority of the voters.
Given your probable field I am at a loss to explain your failure to understand the difference between the mean and the mode.
You are probably still living off the proceeds of the tax break Bushco got you at the height of your earnings.
August 21, 2007 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is a useful reminder (and confirmation) of what we've all been saying about equity and the nature of the economic recovery, but it's also useful in suggesting some of Wall Street's concern about the credit bubble. Somehow, consumers had to keep spending. The wealthy can do a lot on their own; witness the continued condo purchases in Manhattan. But they can't do it alone. Barbara Ehrenrich has a cute article in Huffington joking about how rude poor people are to stop paying their debts and spending when needed.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
August 21, 2007 10:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
erm, staying home to raise the kids=not real work....you are sooo lucky that E.J. Graff isn't posting much anymore, Purple.
:-)
August 21, 2007 10:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
As other have pointed out the use of averages tends to obscure the picture. Bill Gates and I have an average wealth of $30 billion or so. This doesn't tell you whether I'm worth $1 or $1,000,000. Both get washed out by averaging.
There have been studies that break things down by demographic bands (usually 20% wide). It is well known that the lowest group has gotten poorer and that each successively higher group has done slightly better. The pattern breaks at the top 1% where everything become completely skewed.
Not only has income stagnated, but costs have risen and this means that the effective standard of living has dropped more than the raw numbers show for those in the bottom half. A lot of the pain has been deferred because people have been covering the difference by borrowing. This now seems to be coming to an end. The credit is getting harder to obtain, people are maxed out and the housing boom is over.
The results are inevitable. People will have a lower standard of living and the reduced spending will lead to a recession, which, I believe, has already started.
There is no fix for this. Even if we rejigger the tax code so that the super wealthy pay more the effect on our economy won't be much. I estimate that this could bring in $50 billion a year more in tax revenues. Now compare this with the $500 billion that we spend on militarism and tell me how this small amount is going to correct society's basic problems with underinvestment in infrastructure and social support programs?
I'm all for neo-popularism, but don't expect it to solve the fundamental distortions in our economy.
--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape
August 21, 2007 10:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
The NYT article is deficient. As rdf points out, it selectively reports data that does not permit comparison of how people in various quartiles or quintiles benefited or lost. We do know that the top 1% gained inordinately. If the average is down by 1% and yet those at the top went up dramatically, then the rest of probably went down by more than 1%. However, due to amateurish reporting of statistical data, we can't tell. Shame on both the reporter and the editor.
August 21, 2007 11:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
It seems to me that the underlying question here is whether people should be paid in proportion to what they contribute to the economy or if they should be paid in proportion to their needs.
If you think people should be paid according to their needs, then a strong case can be made thay our system does not adequately redistribute from those who contribute to the economy to those with economic needs.
If you think that people should be paid according to their contribution to the economy, why do you think that the higher income earners have seen higher income growth in recent times? Are they being paid more than they contribute due to some market failure? Is it a conspiracy among the upper class? Is there some reason that lower income people have not found a way to contribute to the economy.
August 21, 2007 11:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Great questions, Robert.
I think people should be generally compensated according to their contributions, not their needs, although I firmly believe in a strong safety net and the pubic provision of basic needs, including health care.
Your question implies that our economy is a meritocracry, where people are fairly remunerated according to their contributions. But there's lots of evidence to the contrary. We collect it all in our book State of Working America...see the EPI website.
The quality of many jobs has fallen sharply in recent decades, due not to the diminished productivity of the workers in those jobs but due to their diminished ability to bargain for their fair share of the growth. Fewer unions, low min wgs, unbalanced trade, slack labor markets, diminished mobility--all of these have played a role in rising inequality and boosting economic returns based not on merit, but on power, position, and initial wealth.
August 21, 2007 11:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is a false dichotomy intended to suggest that those at the top, reaping the benefits, deserve it because they contribute to the "economy". Where do you think the products and services that those who "contribute" to the economy (by selling them for a profit) come from? Unless you are a one person business and are paid for your personal labor, those who contibute to the economy are "contributing" the goods made by other's labor. What exactly makes the "contributer" more valuable than those who actually create the products and services?
August 21, 2007 11:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
In a complex, cooperative economic system such as ours it seems to me that it is almost impossible to analytically determine the contribution of one individual to the economy. How much did the one in a thousand engineers who contributed to the design of an airliner contribute to the economy? The value of their labor was realized years later as airline tickets to consumers.
This leaves simplistic, emotional arguments as you put forth.
August 21, 2007 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
So you subscribe to the theory of market failure combined with conspiracy among the well off?
August 21, 2007 12:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have seen stuff all over the web this morning with people having trouble with the figures used in this article. I went back and looked at this source:
http://taxpolicycenter.org/taxfacts/displayafact.cfm?Docid=458
The Tax Policy Center, which is apparently a joint effort of Brookings Institution and the Urban Institute, not right wing outfits.
This shows the spread on family income by quintile that folks here were asking for. The numbers are all in constant 2004 dollars, with 2004 as the last year.
It shows very different numbers. The average pre-tax family income is down 1.6% from 2000 - 2004: $80,000 to $78,700, but the average after tax family income is up .6% over the same period: $62,500 to $62,900.
The after-tax income by quintile shows and interesting spread over that period too.
Lowest:
$15,000 - $14,7000 -2%
Second Lowest:
$31,800 - $32,700 +2.8%
Middle:
$45,900 - $48,400 +5.4%
Second Highest:
$65,000 - $67,600 +4%
Highest:
$155,200 - $155,200 dead even
Who are you going to believe? I mean, these aren't American Enterprise Institute numbers
August 21, 2007 12:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
What gets me is how little attention income inquality gets amongst Dem. presidential candidates. This is more of the same with respect to this administration and I don't expect big changes in the next year and a half. We need to be demanding policy proposals, or at least outlines of principle, in regard to income inequality from the field of 08 candidates.
August 21, 2007 12:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
The underlying issue with regard to the current economy is who or how many Amereicans exactly are advantaged, and who and how many Americans are disadvantaged by the governments policies. Unfortunately, statistics only futher blurr an already complex picture. On the street, those Americans with total incomes below $100,000 are increasingly disadvantaged at every turn. Social services and entitlements have been erased, or constricted, incomes and earning power have reduced and restricted, the cost of core living outlays, (housing, utilities, gas, health care, and higher eductation have sky-rocket. (College education is swiftly becoming an impossibility for increasingly large populations of Americans). There is no more job security, and no bargaining power for most of the nations labor force, and a I could go on for pages on the myriad ways in which most Americans are severely disadvantaged by the current economic policies.
On the other hand the rich, and the superrich are provide government entitlements in the form of massive and disproportinate tax breaks, and creative or inventice tax options that most American could never dream of enjoying.
Another critical point that seems to be ignored is that we are witness the embryonic shift in fundamental economic that is just now only beginning to rear it's ugly head.
The Bush government robs from poor and middle class Americans to feed the superrich. The Bush government spin miesters and the complicit parrots in the MSM paint lipstick on this pig, and highlight corporate earnings, or selective accounting or statistics to decieve the people into believing the economy is robust. We're 8.7 trillion dollars in debt. China alone owns more than a trillion dollars in US treasuries, Saudi owns close to a trillion, - America is living on borrowed money, and borrowed time, and the superrich who are far more sophisticated on these issues or piling away cash, and gobbling up the nations wealth and resources in preparation for the inevitable collapse.
Continuing along these economic vectors will cripple America future. Once the house of cards that is our financial markets begins to collapse, and America monsterous debts are called, - the party is over, and it will be poor and middle class American who will be caste overboard off of the goodship America. The few remaining seats on the teetering ship will be reserved for the superrich and fascist warmongers, profiteers, and pathological liars in the Bush government.
"Deliver us from evil!"
August 21, 2007 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or vice versa. When Jared Bernstein says we all took a $500 hit, and then says that lower-income families may be hurting much more than the 1% suggests (I feel pretty sure no one can accurately perceive a 1% difference in annual income in daily life, any more than you can perceive a 1 degree increase in temperature), the reality could as easily be that lower-income families took no hit at all, and upper-middle-income families like mine took a considerably more substantial hit. (Why do I think that might be the case? Because McDonald's and factory jobs stay pretty much the same over time, but professionals in job-hopping fields tend to see a much more direct boom and bust effect-- I did!)
I'm not claiming this is the case, but let's face it, stories like this often arrive at a conclusion first and find a way to massage the stats to support it later. I'd at least like to see breakouts by a variety of income groups before I claimed I had a real sense of what was going on.
August 21, 2007 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Also, I'm freelance/consultant/whatever as well as Dad (as a lot of folks I worked with are). Which means I'm a lot more sensitive to fluctuations in the market than the average low-income wage-earner, too. Doesn't it say something fundamental about the economy that I, and people like me, are NOT yelling that the sky is falling? We sure feel it first (and did after 9/11, believe me).
But then I think economic viewpoints are just about hardwired, making most pronouncements on the economy valueless. It's no coincidence that academics, people attracted to life employment in a massive company-town bureaucracy, tend to be socialists, while us freelancer/consultant types, despite living in constant anxiety about our next paycheck, tend to be rabid free marketers.
August 21, 2007 12:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, the problem is that Bush has been saying how awesome and brilliant our economy has been and how we should be thankful for that. When the economy is doing well so should salaries.
This revelation proves that people aren't stupid when they say, as they have for a long time, that even though the powers that be say the economy is doing great they aren't seeing it. Nobody ever said this was a depression, or even a recession. Just all income gains are going to the people on top. This proves it.
I'd love to see the median, I imagine it tells an even bleaker tale.
August 21, 2007 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even these numbers are misleading. They don't take into account the unrealized gains from investments. If I own $10 billion in stock and the price rises by 20% I gain $2 billion in wealth, this is not reflected in earnings figures since I haven't "realized" the gain. If I hold on to this stock until I die the value is reset at death and all that potential capital gains escapes taxation.
This is how the Walton family is avoiding paying taxes on about $40 billion in wealth. It is also why the super rich are pushing so hard for the elimination of the estate tax.
In addition the wealthy have the ability to shelter a lot of their wealth using various schemes including overseas investments and other techniques. These aren't available to most people, firstly because no one will set up the financial entities for a small amount and second because the savings won't be enough to matter.
The wealthy are also able to wield influence by means of "charitable" organizations that they set up. A think tank like the Cato Institution gets a large part of its funding from Charles Koch through his foundations. The earnings used for this are shielded from taxation, but he is still able to promote his Libertarian ideas and have the rest of us pay for it.
As for the wealthy contributing more to society and thus deserving to earn more, it just needs to be pointed out that a large fraction of the wealthy inherited their fortunes. Two words: Paris Hilton.
--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape
August 21, 2007 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
By the way, Trog69, Tennesseean and Florida Democrat, I would like to point out that your zero ratings are in violation of site policy and represent an inappropriate use of the rating system. From the FAQ:
You may completely disagree with what I say, you may find it banal and poorly argued, but it plainly does not meet the criteria mentioned above for a zero rating. I suggest you review these criteria carefully in the future or I will be forced to report your misuse of the system to punish and discourage alternate points of view at TPMCafe.
August 21, 2007 12:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tennessean and Florida Democrat, please see note below about misuse of the rating system.
August 21, 2007 12:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Conspiracy" is a thoroughly dishonest way to load the question of whether there's been a market failure. In fact, it rests on the cozy assurance that they never occur, and thus everyone gets his or her deserts. Since that means there's nothing to discuss, I won't discuss the matter failure.
john
http://www.haberarts.com/
August 21, 2007 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Define contribution. Does inheriting capital constitute a contribution? Does passive investment by a leisure class constitute contribution? Is it more significant than labor? How much more? Should we tax passive income less than labor income (which we do) or more (which we used to until Ronald Reagan)?
The question is whether we are to become a de facto aristocracy where wealth accumulates to a few families or remain a republic according to the ideals of the founding fathers (who broke up the large landed estates from royal grants).
We don't want to arrive at a place like the France of Louis XVI where the idle rich contribute only their ownership and refuse taxes for redistribution to the commonwealth.
I have lived in worked in countries where essentially all the wealth is controlled by 40 or so families. We don't want to go there. Income and wealth distribution matter.
August 21, 2007 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
It seems to me that the underlying question here is whether people should be paid in proportion to what they contribute to the economy or if they should be paid in proportion to their needs.
It is? Maybe to you. I thought we were discussing changes in income statistics, a complex topic, but no, you have to drag it down to a bogus straw man question, that sounds like a pet topic of yours. You sound like you're young and perhaps an engineer of some sort, the sort of person all too ready to treat social phenomena as if they were tidy math problems with neat solutions.
And let me guess, your proposed solution (the almighty, impartial market at work) favors you. What a surprise! I know, you're a contributor and you have earned every dollar you have, while those nameless others obviously haven't, or they'd have more dollars. It's so self-evident. I think you need to get out more.
August 21, 2007 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know, there's no reason why these statistics require that anyone's income actually went down. With the extraordinarily high levels of immigration to the U.S., disproportionately consisting of poor third-worlders (largely Mexicans and South Americans), our average income could be going down even if everyone was making more now than they made 7 years ago, and the downturn in "average income" could be due to the fact that there are a lot of low-income people here who were not part of our economy before. Assuming that they are making more here than they were in their home country, even tehy could be benefitting economically and the statistics still show average income going down.
<>For this statistic to be meaningful, one would have to either eliminate from the statistics everyone who immigrated to or emigrated from the U.S. between the first and last years of this study, or else find out what they were making in the other country prior to coming to (for immigrants) or after leaving (for emigrants) the U.S."You say I'm a dreamer. We're two of a kind. Looking for some perfect world that we both know that we'll never find." - Thompson Twins, "Hold Me Now"
August 21, 2007 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
And your literalist interpretation of my point is even more simplistic. I wasn't suggesting we try to monetize each individual contribution to a complex economic undertaking, just pointing out that those who contribute to the economy are workers as well as owners.
August 21, 2007 3:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
I start my 35th year on the job next week. On this contract, I'll make over $100,000.00 annually for the first time. Yet at my salary, according to Wikipedia I'm well above the floor for the top quintile at 88,030.00 So here I sit in the top fifth, and also among those "increasingly disadvantaged". I think of myself as "middle class" but can I be considered so, when 80% + of the population live in households earning less than I do?
I'm not disagreeing with anything you say. Just trying to emphasize just how skewed income distribution really is. I'm very comfortable at my income level...yet I'm losing ground annually to persons whose income is above mine...especially the top 5% whose annual family income floors at $157,000 and change. And how many really consider $157,000 "super-rich"? Something is rotten, and this state isn't Denmark.
aMike
August 21, 2007 3:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even these numbers are misleading. They don't take into account the unrealized gains from investments.
*******************************************
Not misleading - it's wealth vs income. The study in the NYT isn't talking about wealth.
August 21, 2007 3:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Individuals who inherit wealth have not contributed to the economy at the time of their inheritance.
Those who save and invest the fruits of their labor in productive assets contribute to the economy in addition the contribution of their labor. A retired person living off of the earnings of their investments really are contributing to the economy in my mind since they have deferred consumption during their working years to invest in productive capital that is contributing to the economy during their retirement. I realize a lot of people do not see it that way however and consider them the “leisure class”.
The relative contribution of capital and labor in an advanced economy and the appropriate tax treatment is a complex subject for another thread.
August 21, 2007 3:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow! I really hit a nerve.
I don’t think anyone seriously thinks that anyone would be interested in income statistics if not for the concern about income disparities. If one is concerned about income disparity, then one has to address the underlying questions I posed before deciding if there is a problem and proposing a fix.
August 21, 2007 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
How are you any worse off with $100,000 if the richest person has $10 million or $10 billion?
Are you worse off being 6'2" if the tallest person in the world is 8 feet tall or 9 feet tall?
The inequality argument exists only because it exerts a powerful emotional appeal-- the pull-the-top-crab-down appeal-- not because it tells you anything that more objective measures of wealth don't.
August 21, 2007 4:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re: reality could as easily be that lower-income families took no hit at all, and upper-middle-income families like mine took a considerably more substantial hit.
The really low income peoople probably took no hit at all, since the minimum wage can't go any lower and neither have welfare benefits declined (in absolute dollar terms) and the EITC is still what it's been since Bush took office. The real damage is probably located a bit higher up, in the working class and the lower end of the middle class.
August 21, 2007 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
How are you worse off if the richest few percent can bid the price of housing and other commodities up past what the rest of the population can afford, and skew the market in unsustainable ways as all the producers around do their best to cater to the (more profitable) consumption patterns of the richest few percent? Gosh, I don't know.
August 21, 2007 4:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Word aMike! And as you point out, even with your healthy income above 4/5s of the population you are loosing ground to "...persons whose income is above mine especially, the top 5% whose annual family income floors at $157,000 and change."
The math gets even spookier and murkier in that 5%, and in the 1% (the superrich) who benefit wantonly from options and opportunities provided by, and access to the government and are hugely advantaged by the government, while the other 99% or Americans' and particularly those in the bott 4/5's of the population are increasingly and more radically disadvanted by, and denied access to the same government.
All is certainly well in the land of Oz.
"Deliver us from evil!"
August 21, 2007 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, actually those numbers are misleading because they cherry-pick 2000 as the base year for the comparison. The top quintile is up about 10% in real after-tax income from 2002-2004, for example.
The equity argument is hard to escape: the US economy last year produced roughly 13% more last year than it did in 2003. The median worker captured roughly 0% of that increase in value.
August 21, 2007 4:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
What's your evidence that this has happened?
The roaring housing market? The acres of flatscreen TVs at Best Buy? The strong market in Bordeaux futures? The boom in Caribbean resort travel?
Seems to me that I experience quite a lot of luxuries that were truly only known to the rich as late as the 60s and 70s. And I don't think of myself as rich (except in relation, of course, to 99% of humans across history).
August 21, 2007 4:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
How are you worse off if the richest few percent can bid the price of housing and other commodities up past what the rest of the population can afford, and skew the market in unsustainable ways as all the producers around do their best to cater to the (more profitable) consumption patterns of the richest few percent? Gosh, I don't know.
*******************************************
Do you really think Bill Gates building a mansion is placing upward pressure on the price of housing for you? Where did you take economics? Or did you?
August 21, 2007 4:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, actually those numbers are misleading because they cherry-pick 2000 as the base year for the comparison. The top quintile is up about 10% in real after-tax income from 2002-2004, for example.
********************************************
Go read the original article. Johnston is the fellow cherrypicking 2000 as the base year. Everyone but the lowest quintile looks good with 2002 as the base.
August 21, 2007 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is not really about inequality. It is about inequity, unfairness.
I would be very interested to read what you have done to earn your place in society. Why is what you did worth more to society than say a health care or food service worker who works two or three jobs and still can't make ends meet?
August 21, 2007 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's the link but I haven't had time to figure out exactly what went into the NYT piece. I hope to post more on inequality data soon based on many of the comments.
http://www.irs.gov/taxstats/indtaxstats/article/0,,id=134951,00.html
August 21, 2007 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
A wise person once said that if you stick you head in a hot oven and your feet in the freezer, on average you're comfortable. Averages mean nothing.
Those of you arguing that lower income folks, whose incomes rarely go up, don't really feel a hit of 1% must be living a very good life not noticed that everything EVERYTHING! is considerably more expensive today than when Bush took office. My property taxes have gone up 100%, Natural Gas Bill 100%, Coffee, Food, Gas, Health Insurance, Home Owners Insurance, Car Insurance, Water Bill, Garbage Bill, Electricty, Cable, Phone, Milk for Christ's sake. So to argue that a low income person, spending every cent, and more, of their check just to survive is better off then someone who "can't save" as much as they used to is simply assinine and it appears that while the Dot Com and housing bubbles may have burst the one many of you live in hasn't.
August 21, 2007 6:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
A lot of folks found the data in the NYT piece to be unsatisfactory--avg instead of median, and not a full picture of the changes in the income distribution.
I agree--here are a few more factoids that go a bit further.
Here's a short analysis by my colleague Larry Mishel showing a transfer of almost 4% of all national income (including capital gains) from the bottom 90 to the top 1 percent.
http://www.epi.org/content.cfm/webfeatures_snapshots_20070801
Census data on household income are less useful for this type of analysis because they leave out some important income sources (capital gains, tax credits). But they still show increased inequality, as the 2005 share of income going to the top fifth (50.4%) was the highest on record while the middle fifth was the lowest (14.6%).
http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/income/histinc/h02ar.html
Re medians and averages, Census data show that among working age households (headed by someone less than 65) real median income is down 2000-05, by 5%, or $3,000 (in '06 dollars). The average is down less, by 3%, about $2,000.
Poverty is also up 2000-05, from 11.3% to 12.6%.
In other words, while the NYT data are incomplete, they're entirely consistent with other data sources on income/wealth.
BTW, Census releases 2006 income and poverty data next Tues, 8/28.
August 21, 2007 7:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
At least 40% of the persons in the United States have zero net worth, and they can wind up dead because of it. Witness New Orleans and Katrina, our crappy for profit medical 'system' (lacking insurance or $$ you don't get expensive preventive care like Dubya's recent colonoscopy in the ER)...of course...if you do wind up poor and dead, you can bet your last dollar George Dubya Bush will pray for you...real hard....
August 21, 2007 8:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is perhaps the most inept analogy I've seen in many a year, but seeing as I'm 6'7", I guess I'll try to answer it. In fact... I'm going to start with the person and work my way out some, so bear with me. Here's the first element.
I'm 6'7"... that's the me, not the income, k? I have needs, based on that...like perhaps a 27" pitch, minimum, in airline seats... following me so far? K. So the world is far more populated by people a lot smaller than I am. Here's where things are going to get tricky. If I'm too divorced from them in terms of my height--if their average height is a foot smaller than mine, they're going to look at me as a freak, and not give two hoots in hades whether I fit in a plane seat or not. If they're closer to me, say 6'4" on average, they might care a little, and make themselves just a wee bit less comfortable so I can have circulation in my legs once the flight is over, or they might make common cause with me so that the next generation of jumbos doesn't have even less legroom.
If one considers those who have the power to increase leg room one might argue the same principle applies. They are more likely to act equitably if they have a greater empathy with those my size. Otherwise, "how could you possibly be cramped...I've got plenty of room".
Moving this into plain (sic) speech...widening income disparity erodes the sense of the common and community. These are real, measurable things. Read Bowling Alone; read anything by Ray Oldenburg or any sociologist who understands why community and the common good matter to all members of the society. The point has been made ever since Aristotle wrote his books on Politics...
. . . and I daresay he'll be remembered long after Milton Friedman is forgotten. He's been proved prescient by at least a half dozen civil collapses in Western culture alone. You want names and dates, the whens and wheres, I can give them to you, or read Arnold Toynbee. If he's too left or too Brit, read Galbraith.
Or maybe just read me with a little more care. I never said I was less well off because of growing income disparity. I'm comfortable' that's the word I used, comfortable. That means have all I reasonably need, given my wants and interests. I said that the income disparity in this country was greater and more skewed than using a figure of $100,000.00 per year would indicate. I also said the gulf between me and the Hathaway crowd was growing, which does not imply that I'm worse off thereby, though it may imply that the community itself is worse off.
Project a world made safe by gated communities and private security forces, and wonder how enjoyable that world really is, or how safe? Ultimately, an I got mine, Jack, now you get yours, is ruinous, as a certain French lady found out when she advised cake for a steady diet.
aMike
August 21, 2007 8:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because that's the value the market places on it.
And as lousy as that may be, it beats having a commissar decide what's worth more. (Funny, under that system the job of commissar pays extremely well.)
As Churchill said, the worst possible system, except for all the others.
P.S. I was a foodservice worker once. That's why I went to college, and worked another foodservice job to pay for it. From making hamburgers at McD's to working on their advertising at an ad agency. What a great country!
August 21, 2007 9:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
You make a good case, in your pretentious way, why an oligarchy where there are a few rich and many very poor is bad.
But do you contend that that's the case in America? I live in Chicago and see people all around me at every income level finding a place for themselves, from the snootiest, most gated communities to suburbs suddenly turning Indian or Chinese or Mexican to declining neighborhoods filling with yuppie families bringing them back to life. The fact that there are billionaires in Kenilworth does not in the least prevent me from enjoying prosperity on the north side or Polish contractors from making enough to buy a house in Niles or Mexican restaurateurs from having a house in Pilsen and another in Guanajuato. (It probably helps, actually, by increasing overall fluidity in the market or something.)
I still haven't seen an argument that convinces me it's anything more than envy that motivates this inequality argument. Probably, places that successfully have both a solid middle class and a few super-rich do better, overall, than places that lack the latter.
August 21, 2007 10:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Turns out apparently not even that much is true.
http://www.bizzyblog.com/
The key point turns out to be that 2004 and 2005 were much better for the average person's income than the previous years-- as good as the boom years, basically ("The more important news by far is that the real increase in Revised AGI in both 2004 and 2005 is greater than during either of the final two good years of the Clinton economy").
So the story focuses on the five-year average because the drop that followed 9-11 still drags the five-year average down to where it can be portrayed as a decline, even if the most recent years are in fact quite healthy. And as a commenter points out, "Considering that the 2006 data has a significant potential to exceed the 2000 data, the window of opportunity to write this article was quickly passing. Got to seize the moment I guess."
There's more to it there (see the note about how the EITC is left out of the equation, for instance), but basically, this was fun with statistics, how can the NYT make the Bush years look bad, and not to be taken seriously.
August 21, 2007 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
and, for those with public pensions, their future benefits aren't part of the salary either.
i.e. if I receive $30,000 for 30 years after I retire from a "pension fund," that means that a non-pensioned worker would have to earn a lot more in order to save that much.
I didn't read through all these posts for this point, but-- if fewer and fewer are receiving retirement benefits, then actually salaries have been cut A LOT.
As far as I know, employer retirement contributions used to be in the double dights and now they are in the single digits. Add in employee paid health care premiums and wages have fallen even more.
To boldly go...
August 21, 2007 10:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
so how does it all get fixed? I'd imagine that you wouldn't give up your money to make things fairer.
To boldly go...
August 21, 2007 10:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
And as lousy as that may be, it beats having a commissar decide what's worth more. (Funny, under that system the job of commissar pays extremely well.)
It is good to read that you recognize that there are inequities. Congratulations on making it. This is a great country. But do you really think that our only economic choices are the extremes of both capitalism and socialism? Why shouldn't we, as a society, be able to set limits on both? For example, why shouldn't we pool our resources to provide basic needs for all and leave the free market for most everything else?
August 21, 2007 11:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re: The key point turns out to be that 2004 and 2005 were much better for the average person's income than the previous years-
Beware of averages, which are easily skewed. A much better measure is the MEDIAN household income.
Re: Funny, under that system the job of commissar pays extremely well.
Just as in our world the job of CEO pays quite well.
Re: everything EVERYTHING! is considerably more expensive today than when Bush took office.
That's an exaggeration. Inflation has mainly affected energy, housing, and healthcare (with energy inflation has secondary effects on food). And there's always some inflation in the economy: you could have said the same thing in 1999 comparing prices to 1993 when Clinton took office. And because I'm in the mood to be fair I don't think you can blame Bush for such details as your local property taxes or your gas bill. We don't have a command economy and Washington DC is not responsible for everything.
August 22, 2007 3:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, mcs, I would and I do. And I'm not just talking about donating to non-profits of all kinds. I'm not quite up to tithing there, but I'm getting close. I do it every time I vote for a bond issue for a civic amenity I don't use myself, or every time I vote yes on a millage issues for the library, public schools, city parks, and the like. I also do when I vote for a candidate who will raise my taxes to support things in which I believe. Lots of folks do this. Since the question was first asked, in every poll taken, voters have said they would vote for cleaner air even if it meant higher taxes for themselves.
aMike
August 22, 2007 5:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
At least you can choose to visit Kenilworth if you wish (I thought it a very boring place when I lived in Chicago in the early 1960s). But there are places where you can't choose to prowl around. Like Boca, for example. Not that I have any interest in visiting it. I don't want to visit either kind of gated community...a penitentiary or an antiseptic place for the super-rich.
See Gated Communities as an Urban Pathology. I shall try to be less pretentious in the future, but being 2 meters tall, looking down from Olympian heights is something I can't avoid doing 100% of the time.
aMike
August 22, 2007 5:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Market failure, for sure.
It's an issue exactly what the economy is. If it is getting enough to eat and shelter from the storm, what does the hedge fund manager contribute? When one CEO makes a million or so and another several hundred million, what is the hugely more important contribution of that second fellow?
August 22, 2007 5:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think it is important not to focus on outliers when assessing the failure of the market to allocate benefits of the economy approximately proportional to ones contribution.
As I stated elsewhere, I think it is an insurmountable task to analytically calculate what an individual contributes to the complex economy we enjoy, so we rely on millions of people individually negotiating with each other to arrive at a solution. What is the alternative? Should we have central planners who set salaries for all the varies occupations on the economy?
August 22, 2007 6:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Like mgmax, I live in Chicago, and if he can't figure out that there is income inequality here, he isn't looking very hard. The Republican attitute is always: Why don't you live in Kenilworth? Why doesn't your family have an inherited house in Lake Forest? You mean that you don't have a building named after granddad at Harvard?
More to the point, what you are seeing in these statistics, which point to income stagnation, is fundamentalist economics at work. Recently, I read an article in Espresso, in which Gary Becker of the University of Chicago gave an interview (note, to the Italian press) about the wonders of inequality. Inequality isn't a bad thing among fundamentalist economists.
So the question is, Do you want to live in a country dominated by the fantasies of the upper-middle class (mgmax), fundamentalist economics (the market is god), and fundamentalist religion (in which the free-market economy is now taken as an article of faith)? Somehow, I doubt that the Constitution was written to support such claptrap.
JJ.
August 22, 2007 6:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
When someone controls billions of dollars he is not an outlier, since his actions have effects proportional to his fortune.
Simply restoring high marginal rates for large incomes would do it. It would preserve the freedom to achieve a personal contract but reduce the overall dynamic range, so to speak.
The name of the game, once one has eaten, is competition for standing. If there is no range limiting, one can find oneself completely out of the running. I won't speak for you but I don't think I stand a chance of equalling Bill Gates's fortune. Damping the large excursions of income would increase social solidarity by making folks like me have more hope of effective competition. It's proven that we survive high tax rates, by our recent past history. What is yet to be proven is if we can survive huge wealth disparity. Previous experiences of disparity have been followed by revolutions, or depressions.
August 22, 2007 6:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
I confess that I do not understand the point of this comment at all.
August 22, 2007 6:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
"For example, why shouldn't we pool our resources to provide basic needs for all and leave the free market for most everything else?"
Um... we do a LOT of that (left out of my Horatio Alger story of college, of course, is a fair amount of money in BEOG aid and college loans-- but I still had to work that foodservice job, and went to college for about 10% less than the college said was the minimum possible).
But do too much of it and-- as we learned-- you create a permanent underclass of unemployed 15-year-olds with fatherless babies. You may not like the sound of the wolf at the door, and a rich society should be able to keep him from getting in for all but the determinedly self-destructive, but his howl in the distance turns out to be an important motivator for people taking control of their lives and not falling prey to worse things.
As has often been pointed out, the single greatest predictor of poverty is not a societal but a personal factor: don't have a child until you've graduated school, and you will likely escape poverty. Have one early, and you will likely never finish school and never escape poverty. The inequality of wealth is not as crucial as the difference in personal choices.
August 22, 2007 6:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Max:
I think you are overly-focused on average income and what is going on in the dot com sector of the economy. That's analogous to focusing on the ups and downs of the financial services industry as the focal point of what's going on in most of this country. It's an inherently incomplete picture.
There's a lot more going on in the economy; take a look at the rustbelt, decreases in manufacturing jobs, spiraling healthcare and higher education costs, the demise of the define benefit pension plan, the price of gasoline, etc.
I'm not playing chicken little and I'm not arguing that the sky is falling, but this economy is not so great for the "average" American family.
Bruce
P.S. Sorry about the troll ratings you're getting. Some people would march in lock step and turn this Cafe into the theme song for the Patty Duke Show:
"They walk alike they talk alike sometimes they even (I forgot the words) alike . . .
Get the picture?
August 22, 2007 7:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I thought it a very boring place when I lived in Chicago in the early 1960s"
You'll be glad to know it hasn't changed a bit!
As ugly as this phenomenon may be, it seems more symbolic than significant on a national scale. (The cleverer forms of this, anyway, are the spaghetti street layouts that make subdivisions impossible and pointless to drive through if you don't know them well-- if I were a developer I'd be tempted to name one The Mansions at Minotaur Pointe.)
Exclusivity isn't only valued by the rich-- I've been on more than a few country roads passing yards full of junk where it was obvious I was not wanted, either...
August 22, 2007 7:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
"It's no coincidence that academics, people attracted to life employment in a massive company-town bureaucracy, tend to be socialists, while us freelancer/consultant types, despite living in constant anxiety about our next paycheck, tend to be rabid free marketers"
Data?
August 22, 2007 7:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Purple:
Who is home watching the varmints while you're out there fishin? :-)
Bruce
August 22, 2007 7:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Like mgmax, I live in Chicago, and if he can't figure out that there is income inequality here, he isn't looking very hard"
You didn't read my comment very carefully. That's pretty much the opposite of what I said (which was basically, yes there's inequality, yet there are lots of forms of prosperity available to lots of people, it's not a few mansions above and vast slums below-- that's Detroit!)
"Do you want to live in a country dominated by the fantasies of the upper-middle class (mgmax), fundamentalist economics (the market is god), and fundamentalist religion (in which the free-market economy is now taken as an article of faith)? Somehow, I doubt that the Constitution was written to support such claptrap."
Well, let's see, the Constitution guarantees liberty and the pursuit of happiness, which covers the first two, and freedom of religion which covers the third. Which part of the Constitution do you see as suggesting otherwise?
Match me, Sidney.
August 22, 2007 7:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
The outliers I was referring to are the occasional CEO’s who are paid outrageous salaries, or entertainers who make multimillion dollar incomes. We can evaluate the contribution that those who control billions of dollars of investments by looking at what those investments contribute to the economy.
I don’t buy into your theory that most people strive only for standing after satisfying their basic needs. That may be true for the super rich, but up to incomes of hundreds of thousands of dollars, I think people strive for a more comfortable life style: more toys, more and better vacations, a bigger more luxurious house, ect. regardless of what others have. Even those who are shallow enough to compete only for status will compete with their immediate peers, it seems to me, not give up because they have no chance of catching Bill Gates.
Why does a government limited dynamic range give you more incentive to compete? The same restrictions will apply to you. Does not the existence of high paid individuals in the economy give you more hope for success than if everyone gets paid close to the same regardless of how much they contribute?
I don’t fear income disparity as long as there are no institutional barriers to anyone being able to contribute as much as they want to the economy and being compensated proportional to their contributions.
August 22, 2007 7:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
No, I never even askeda out!
August 22, 2007 7:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
This gentleman or lady has a view about what meaning should be given to what is asserted to be an increase in "the average person's income" over the last several years (since the aftermath of 9/11). It is not a view most of us share, I would submit. As I read what the poster argues, it is that "average income" is paramount, and by inference, an increase in the inequality between the richest, the poorest, and those of us in that fungible middle, is not material. I disagree.
But this commenter is not a troll. Joshua should be sent to the Cafe woodshed.
August 22, 2007 7:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
There is a fundamental libertarian argument being made by some in this discussion. This is that those who have "made it" somehow deserve it. Furthermore there is no downside to this since the pie is (or will be at some unspecified time in the future) big enough for all. It's a nice dream, but doesn't reflect the current state of affairs.
What we have in actuality is nearly a plutocracy. Those with the most wealth have an undue influence on policy. This can be seen in the tax code, it can be seen in the current clamor to have the FED bail out the hedge funds and it can be seen in the way corporate earnings have been distributed in the past decade.
Plutocracy is bad for several reasons. The most important is because it is anti-democratic. When those who have too much wealth get to make policy the will of the people is thwarted. This is what we have now, popular programs like the expansion of health care and support for public education are not being implemented even though a majority of the public supports these steps.
Second, plutocracy is bad for the economy. The wealthy are not interested in entrepreneurship they are interested in preserving their wealth and extracting as much income from their holdings as they can. This leads to reduced capital investment and R&D. It also leads to a less productive work force which makes the US less competitive in the world. Sullen, abused workers are not good employees. One only has to visit a Walmart to see the effect.
Most people don't believe the super wealthy really have as much power as they do. This is because they try to stay out of the limelight and let their lackeys provide the intellectual smoke screen. I'll cite two examples.
The Cato Institute and the economics department of George Mason University are both bastions of libertarianism. They only exist because of the financial support of a single super wealthy individual - Charles Koch.
Here's a short article on how he has supported his libertarian agenda.
Charles Koch Charitable Foundation
If you don't think that a gift (with strings attached) of $23 million to GMU has an effect then you don't understand the power of money.
Estate Tax Report (PDF)
This report shows how just 18 families have been behind the effort to repeal the estate tax over the past two decades. Unsurprisingly Charles Koch is part of this effort as well. He stands to save over $4 billion in taxes if they succeed in their effort.
Money talks in this country. This is why we need a return to a more equitable society. The economic dislocations are not as important as the threat to democracy.
--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape
August 22, 2007 7:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Touche'!
August 22, 2007 7:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
"The study in the NYT isn't talking about wealth"
El Campesino:
Thanks for all of the legwork you've provided to help make this a very productive thread, which follows a most excellent post I think.
While it is true that we have been focusing on income, and while it is a bit unfair in a classical debating sense to shift the focus to include wealth as well as income in the discussion midstream, I think it is also fair to say that if you don't include the significance of wealth, as distinguished from income, in a discussion of how folks are doing relative to each other in this economy, then we are not getting a complete picture.
Bruce
August 22, 2007 7:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
One thing I don't see mentioned here is the gross unfairness of the payroll tax. When the Social Security portion is capped at $90,000, wage earners up to that limit have a higher proportion of their income taxed than earners above it.
People who work for their money are taxed higher than people whose money works for them. Investors don't pay into Social Security. Only wages are taxed.
And my observations of the Chicago economy are that investors have driven the price of real estate so high that what was affordable 20 years ago is not affordable today. It's pretty obvious that a For Sale sign on a condo unit in a building not yet completed is an investor flipping the property and making a tidy profit. This inflates the price of all other real estate in the area. After that, the county reassesses the region and property taxes increase. These increased taxes are borne by homeowners who won't see the increased property values until they sell.
Who are these investors? Not middle class homeowners. When these investors lose value on their property, they take a write-off; they're not out on the street. My former neighbors made $100,000 on their house in 2 years and did nothing but replace some kitchen cabinets and cover up the crumbling brick foundation problems with DryVit. Now my house is assessed at a higher value. They sold the place and moved to Winnetka, next to Kenilworth.
August 22, 2007 7:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Must be true. I read it on the web.
Go find a chart listing yearly average income, from say 1990 on, and a 5 year running average income. Post this with GNP, and for good measure a DOW chart. Your implication that that 2001 skews the data MUST mean that incomes in 2001 must have had an extraodinary hit.
If you back up your assertions with actual data like this, and I might think your worth a listen.
dc
August 22, 2007 8:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Excellent point re calls for Fed actions. These free marketeers turn into socialists awfully quickly when their portfolios start to tank!
August 22, 2007 8:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Few entertainers are even close to multi-million income, and theirs is always pegged directly to sales, unless you mean sports figures and TV personalities, which is a more indirect relationship. You will rarely see a large salary for an entertainer that presides over declining sales, but it's been fairly common in boardrooms.
I pointed out that these outliers can have large effects on my life, as in when they crash a business and reduce the number of people buying subscriptions to my orchestra's shows, or when they take on too much debt and help increase the interest rate on my children's college loans.
And when these outliers crash a business they too often get bailed out, because not to do so would hurt others. By comparison, if I became bankrupt, individually, I would be ignored.
And because these outliers can essentially buy influence in Congress, their votes count more than mine.
And because these outliers buy up land, I have less chance of owning some at a price I can meet.
BTW, what's not personal standing (also could be called status) about more toys and vacations? It's more meaningful to compete for status than toys, anyway This since you can't keep the toys but status buys you a persistent memory in others, a kind of immortality, and it increases your range of choice for mates, the only real immortality we have being in our children.
Since status is relatively independent of absolute measures of wealth we can keep competing without the immense range of income seen now. Not that I expect to ever see Eisenhower tax rates.
August 22, 2007 9:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
So you are upset that sometimes businesses fail. Do you think they would not fail if government limited their size to some arbitrary value? Would we be better off if businesses were nationalized so that, by definition, they could not fail?
Are outliers really buying up the land that you want? Or are you living in an area where there are a lot of affluent people, that really cannot be considered outliers, competing for land?
I guess we are projecting our own personal values on others. Whenever I have purchased a toy, it was not to gain status above others. I got it to enjoy it. You obviously have different motivations and perhaps your motivations are the norm. I have no date to back up my theory.
August 22, 2007 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
You miss my point, so I must have explained poorly. I don't get upset that a business fails--I meant I understand the political pressure to bail it out (e.g. Chrysler). I don't wish for a cap on wealth, nor do I wish to limit a business to an arbitrary value, and didn't sday such. I do wish there was a steeper scale in our tax rates. This would reduce the total range of wealth but preserve the hierarchy of winners and losers.
I buy stuff for both professional reasons and personal pleasure. That's what it feels like. But why is professional achievement important? And why do I get pleasure from a toy? Context is everything--there are no species with a population of one.
August 22, 2007 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Laughed so hard I scared the cat...and you'll know that I'm not at all surprised. Any development borrowing a name from Sir Walter Scott is bound to be <yawn/stretch> oh yes, tedious. When they run out of novel titles, perhaps they'll move on to characters... wouldn't you just love to live in Wamba? One would have to be witless to not want that. <gigglemode></gigglemode>
There is a wee bit of difference between the roads of which you speak and the roads in a gated community, however. Given the gates, you couldn't be on those roads in the first instance. . .on those country roads, as long as you stay to the country roads, you're likely not to be in any significant trouble...go in the yard, however, you may get the hound set on you.
Anyone interested in a lively discussion of housing might do worse than read in issues of Shelterforce courtesy of the National Housing Institute. The Summer issue is devoted to discussions about the effects of subprime mortgages on housing and communities.
aMike
August 22, 2007 4:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Know what I think?
I could be mistaken but I think you are really very jealous of those who are much more economically successful than you and you simply want to punish them. Having that motivation, subconscious or not, you are now casting about searching for a reason why that punishment would be good for society. I’m not a psychologist so I could be wrong, but the symptoms are there.
August 22, 2007 4:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
How much do I owe you for analysis?
Do you think you act on dispassionate logic, with no emotional motivations that dress themselves in rationalizations? If so you're not human.
Our psyches are mostly adapted to the average social circumstance of the last hundred thousand years, which is hunter-gatherer. In groups of fewer than a hundred people, there was nothing remotely like our system of money. So being wary of extreme wealth is not a symptom of disease, thank you very much.
August 22, 2007 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Those who "made it" may or may not "deserve it"; but they should NOT be disproportinately advantaged by the federal government because of the income strata, and nor should those who have not "made it" be far more disadvantaged BY THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT because of thier income strata.
Also, if the "markets are god" which may or may not have validity, - then crony capitalist markets (which is the reality of the current panjandrum in the markets) are demons.
There are no free markets. Individuals can vote, make calls, be active, and write letters to their socalled representatives, - but those representatives are beholden to, and actually have periodic close encounters of the third kind with industry oligarchs, lobby groups, and individuals whose wealth provide the kind of access that normal citizens will never know.
Markets are largely influenced by the movements of institution investors whose immense wealth and subsequent power far outweighs, and effectively disadvantages the mass of the population who sadly lack that wealth, that access to leadership in the government.
This is the core issue involved in salvaginig what is left of our democracy. We either re-constitute as a society that cares for it's children (all of them), and elderly (all of them), and provides for certain assistance to those who are institutionally disadvantaged by prejudice or poverty, (all of them) or we don't, and then - what are we really? What sort of nation will we be if we turn our backs on our fellow Americans lacking in wealth and means?
"Deliver us from evil!"
August 22, 2007 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't worry about cashing in your bonds, Tom. I owe far more than you do. After all I've been diagnosed as not being adult, not using my brains, and lashing out at those I hate, not to mention being "quite elderly" and therefore "technically an adult" but presenting "little evidence of emotional maturity".
That's quite a diagnosis. (If he does submit a bill I don't plan on paying--another sign of immaturity on my part). Frankly, I trust Lucy more, and she probably works for a lot less.
aMike
August 22, 2007 5:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nothing like psychoanalysis from afar, another innovation of the internets, and one which lands with a resounding thud on what has been a fairly interesting exchange.
August 22, 2007 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
It’s on the house this time.
We all are influenced by our emotions. I think most of us try to set those emotions aside as much as possible when trying to find pragmatic solutions to problems.
I didn’t say you have a disease, I merely meant to point out that your may be acting on your subconscious prejudices rather than logic since your arguments seem to be rather ah, fluid shall we say.
August 22, 2007 6:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think there is hope for Tom. I am afraid you are terminal amike, as such I will waive my fee as an act of mercy.
August 22, 2007 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
And I think I was trying to find a sound rationale for my feelings. The basis I was using is not unique--I have lots of company in the argument that wealth disparity needs managing.
When I feel I haven't gotten my point across, I try a different approach. Flexibility is usually prized in social interaction and business management, not to mention fighting wars and playing jazz.
I have yet to see how large disparities help society. I have seen convincing arguments by those that study it to the effect that large differentials are unhealthy. Maybe you can address that deficiency?
The goal is not to assert inherent rights of man, but to show how society benefits from certain policies. Given that money and value are set by society in the aggregate, we can't maintain that wealth is a right. The pursuit of same can be such, but nothing defines a priori what the scale of that wealth measure will be. And nothing in various lists of rights endorses living in society without helping to contribute to the various shared needs, like sanitation and security.
So all arguments about wealth are over the shares of the pie, not moral issues per se. Morality is brought in by referencing fairness. Is the tax contribution of this or that group commensurate with their demands on the commons? On that topic, the decision is the hands of voters. And they have endorsed progressive-scale taxation. (Flat-taxers are a minority in Congress.) The rates drift, but since most of the changes are not significant to most voters, they often don't notice right away when one group is getting away with something. They are noticing now.
August 22, 2007 6:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, I leave my clients to my partners . . .
August 22, 2007 7:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a renowned psychologist, my motto is first do no harm.
I think that a fair economic system is one that rewards participants in proportion to what they contribute to the economy and allows everyone to participate freely. I have little confidence in any regulatory body being able to accurately determine what each participant in the economy is contributing, so I am comfortable with allowing millions of daily negotiations among participants setting prices and income levels.
If that results in a large income disparity, I need compelling evidence that the disparity is in fact doing substantial harm since I think the risk of unintended consequences from the government stepping in to throttle down the dynamic range of incomes is high.
Taxes should be imposed on the economy to raise revenue for public goods in a way that does the least economic damage, not punish or reward participants.
This is close to a libertarian philosophy which I am sure you and most others here don’t agree with.
August 22, 2007 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm quite sympathetic to many libertarian goals, including this one. The particular devil in these details is defining public good, and measuring it. I have mentioned nothing about regulatory bodies, only scaled taxation, which is set by Congress.
Business requires accounting for income and expenses both. An unresolved argument is the proportionality factor for setting the low and high end of scaled taxes. I feel (don't know) that a good look at this would find costs associated with the wealthy that are not found with the poor, at least not as a direct cost. An example would be military force, which is often used to protect state interests. These are typically commerce, such as trading rights or open harbors, or ownership issues like nationalization. It seems natural to set those expenses as directly helping the business owners, and only indirectly helping the rest of us. Or more cautiously we could say there is a sliding scale of cost responsibility, and you have scaled taxes.
It 's hard to find mutually agreed definitions, so arguments will always continue about who should pay and how much. I'm OK with that, just not OK with being told I'm only jealous of others better off. I'm ambitious if that's OK with you, and my motivations are not your concern, nor are they germane to my arguments.
A good source of (what I consider) reasoned arguments against large disparities is Paul Krugman. Several posters here have raised the issue. I've mentioned a couple of mechanisms that should worry us. You merely called me grumpy. Show me the contrary argument, where very low taxes correlate with a healthy society. We'll use indicators like lethal crime, suicide, and divorce. A study that actually looked at religiosity and social health, in the Journal Of Religion and Society, could be used for this argument, since it looked at western democracies, also including Japan. It studied the correlation between observance (along with other measures), and found that the US fairs poorly against European societies. Since another correlation, along with higher measured religiosity, is lower taxation here, I think it's fair to say it hasn't helped much.
The full article is Cross-National Correlations of Quantifiable Societal Health with Popular Religiosity and Secularism in the Prosperous Democracies, A First Look---Gregory S. Paul
August 22, 2007 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re payroll taxes, it is true that due to higher earnings inequality, the share of earnings above the cap is considerably larger than it used to be. The cap used to exclude 10% of earnings; now it excludes 15% and growing. See this paper by Josh Bivens: http://www.epi.org/content.cfm/ib207
Raising the cap to cover 90% of earnings once again would reduce about 40% of the Soc Sec financing shortfall.
August 22, 2007 8:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
We are making progress. At least you have stopped talking about using government to limit the dynamic range of income.
As to your motivations, we have come full circle. Your opening gambit was to suggest that people only strived for economic success to gain status over others and you yourself were inhibited from competing by the existence of very high income people in society that you could not hope to catch. I assumed a degree of envy in that statement, perhaps that is not what you meant to say?
Most of the opponents of income disparities imply that there is a lack of hope and opportunity for the less well off in those circumstances. I am not convinced of that cause and affect. Lack of hope and opportunity causes societal ills, not necessarily income disparities.
August 22, 2007 8:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I almost bought in Ulrica, but the hazard insurance premiums were a bitch!
I remember Kenilworth myself, but not that well, having spent my adolescence in a nearby suburb with the plain-spoken Midwestern name of Lake Forest...
August 23, 2007 5:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
You're turning in circles, perhaps. This is kind of circular:
"Most of the opponents of income disparities imply that there is a lack of hope and opportunity for the less well off in those circumstances. I am not convinced of that cause and affect. Lack of hope and opportunity causes societal ills, not necessarily income disparities." Lack of hope causes social ills, and what causes lack of hope? Being a wage worker when CEO's make that income before lunch, maybe?
I said the huge wealth range reduced my motivation, but didn't say it was because I was envious. I said there was no chance of my achieving a Gates fortune.
Nor did I say I was no longer pushing for income range reduction. I said there should be scaled tax rates, which is not a cap, but does reduce the range of personal income.
I still maintain personal achievement is at root increasing your status relative to others, and mainly those in one's social circle. We don't feel successful by comparing ourselves to workers in a maquilladoro south of El Paso.
Did you check out Paul's survey? Read it and get back to me on whether low-tax countries are a better thing.
August 23, 2007 7:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
I guess you haven’t made any progress.
The fact that the CEO of the company that I work for makes bazillions of dollars does not affect my ability to improve my contributions to the economy and be rewarded for those contributions, unless I obsess over that fact. I think that leftists who constantly point out income disparities and imply that life is hopeless until that problem is solved do more harm to society than anything income disparities can do.
The argument that heavy taxation is good for society is a different argument than the argument that income inequality is bad for society isn’t it? Sharply progressive taxation may have eliminated high paying occupations and that may be a good thing or maybe the large government funded by heavy taxes may be a good thing. Apples and oranges as they say.
August 24, 2007 7:13 AM | Reply | Permalink