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Own to Rent: The Way to Save Subprime Borrowers

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Last week I floated the idea here that the best way to rescue subprime borrowers struggling to hang onto their homes is to allow them to become long-term renters, paying the fair market rent. This idea got a positive response from dozens of people, including Calculated Risk, a blog that focuses on finance and economics, and the blog Vox Baby, which is run by Dartmouth economics professor Andrew Samwick, who had been a top advisor in the Bush administration.

Given the importance of the issue, and the fact that the main alternatives seem primarily designed to bail out banks and hedge funds, I thought it was worth filling in some details.

Here’s how the plan works. Currently, if a homeowner is not able to make their mortgage payments, the holder of the mortgage can go to court to place the house in foreclosure. At that point, if the homeowner is not able to come up with back payments on the mortgage, or work out an acceptable arrangement with the mortgage holder, the bank or financial institution that holds the mortgage retakes ownership of the house and can have the homeowner evicted.

Under this security of housing proposal, the foreclosure process would be changed so that the current homeowner would have the option to remain in their house as a renter paying the fair market rent. If a homeowner chose to go this route, the judge in the foreclosure proceeding would appoint an independent appraiser to determine the fair market rent for the house. This is similar to the process a bank undertakes when it hires an appraiser to determine the value of the house before issuing a mortgage, except the appraiser will be asked to determine the rent rather than the sale price.

The former homeowner could then remain in their home as a renter for as long as they liked. The rent would be adjusted at regular intervals in step with the change of other rents in the area. There could even be an appeals process in which either party could request that the judge get a second appraisal, at the expense of the person complaining about the original appraisal. This should ensure that the rent set for the house is fair.

After the foreclosure, the mortgage holder would now own the house and be free to sell it to another person, but the former homeowner would still have the right to remain as a renter, regardless of who owned the house.

By allowing homeowners to stay in their house as renters, this plan should also help to prevent the sort of blight that often afflicts neighborhoods with large numbers of foreclosures, since homes will remain occupied, and long-term renters will have an incentive to mow the lawn and do other maintenance that keeps up the appearance of the property.

This program could be restricted to homes that cost less than the median house price for an area to ensure that high income homeowners do not take advantage of it. The program would also only apply to people who lived in their homes, not investors. It doesn’t give homeowners any windfalls, but it can ensure that they don’t end up being thrown out on the street. In short, the own to rent plan is a simple and low cost way to help moderate income homebuyers. It doesn’t require any tax dollars and does not set up a new government bureaucracy to manage the housing market.

In contrast, the politicians are lining up with plans that ostensibly protect homeowners, but would most immediately benefit the mortgage holders who speculated in predatory mortgage debt. For example, one popular proposal being circulated in Congress would vastly expand the role Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government created mortgage intermediaries, in the mortgage market. This proposal would allow them to buy up hundreds of billions of dollars of subprime and other mortgages that the private sector does not want.

Of course, the private sector doesn’t want these non-prime mortgages because the default rate is soaring. If Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac suddenly got in the market for this debt, those who are currently speculating in these mortgages stand to make a fortune. It’s not clear that the government’s largesse will necessarily benefit moderate income homeowners facing foreclosure, but there is certainly a possibility that some of the windfall will trickle down.

The point here is simple. We can design a mechanism that will directly benefit millions of moderate income homeowners who are struggling to hang on to their homes. Or, we can come up with schemes that will benefit the banks and hedge funds who speculated in mortgage debt. Place your bets.


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who are struggling to hang on to their homes.

the important thing to remember is that the home isn't theirs until it's paid off. in some cases, the owner is in a negative equity position and might have even taken "cash back on close" or "pulled out equity" to pay off other debt.

regardless, if homes are vacant, there's a lot of problems. some areas of the country (detroit) simply bulldoze homes to reduce the housing stock, especially if a house isn't that nice. I've heard that builders have to aire condition the homes in phoenix or else the heat melts the glues in the carpets and walls and things start falling apart.

In short, the own to rent plan is a simple and low cost way to help moderate income homebuyers.

the glaring problem i see in your logic is that the rent to own terms I've seen don't give the renter a very good deal if they decide to move someplace else-- they forfeit the money that they invested into the home. so, it might just be better to let the house go into foreclosure.

foreclosure isn't necessarily a bad thing because homes are over priced now and the market needs to reset and find a new equilibrium.

I've posted this link "From Cold War to Class War: Interview with financial economist and historian, Dr. Michael Hudson" on this blog since it implies that the working and middle class would probably be better off if home prices reset-- to make living costs go down and thus make the american worker more affordable.

sadly, if home prices keep going up, the trend-- that 90% of investment goes out this country, will probably continue and manufacturing and other jobs won't come back any time soon.

i think the "politics of the elite" will triumph wrapped up in the obvious blanket of sentimentality though.

To boldly go...

Abandoning and bulldozing property costs, too.  Just thought you'd be interested in what's going on in Rhode Island, under local initiatives, by a variety of groups.  Not only do these activities recycle abandoned buildings,  they also serve to train and mentor would-be contractors and all of this seems like win-win to me. I suspect there are similar activities all over. 

aMike (who moderately went)

I like this idea...with a couple of questions/caveats/whatevers

If a homeowner chose to go this route, the judge in the foreclosure proceeding would appoint an independent appraiser to determine the fair market rent for the house.

I'd want some very iron-clad guarantee that the appraiser was indeed independent.  I guess this shows a certain degree of caution given the fox guarding the hen-house approach which has marked the last 6-7 years and longer, to a less pernicious degree.

This is similar to the process a bank undertakes when it hires an appraiser to determine the value of the house before issuing a mortgage, except the appraiser will be asked to determine the rent rather than the sale price.

And of course this explains some of my caution.  If the appraisers had been more cautious or the bankers more cautious in what they did with the appraisals given, perhaps we'd have less of a bubble and less problems. 

It doesn’t require any tax dollars and does not set up a new government bureaucracy to manage the housing market.

I'm not so sure about this. . .some government oversight would be necessary, at the local level at least.  Perhaps the role would be something like that of an ombudsman.  When the parties to an agreement are legislated into that agreement (while the defaulting owner could choose to go this route, the mortgage holder would seem not to have the choice to refuse to go into it) and the parties are not equal in power and the party which might feel aggrieved is the more powerful party (the mortgage holder), there are all sorts of opportunities for abuse.  For example, as anyone with experience as a renter knows, landlords are not always quick to make repairs or conduct routine maintenance.  If the bank's primary objective is to raise the bottom line, I'd worry about that a little.  (I'm not talking about occupant-caused damage, but the results of normal wear and tear.)  In fact, refusing to maintain the property might be a way to force the former owner/now renter out.

All things considered, this idea is intriguing however.  I'll have to keep my eyes open to see what develops.

aMike

Due to Wall street's carving up of CDOs into complex financial entities it has been very difficult to negotiate deals like this with mortgagees - a foreclosure process will begin at the behest of a servicing company, but the servicing company will not have the authority to stop the foreclosure process. And the clerks you can reach at the mortgagee (if you can figure out who the real mortgagee is)will not have the ability to work out a deal. You get a short sale involving a 10% loss to the mortgagee being spurned in order for the property to become a vacant, abandoned REO in a sinking market. A sad waste, but you can't make a bank look out for its own interests when its officers are in denial.

Maybe if some sort of single-family-home RTC gets set up as receiver for a lot of failed banks and investment funds, a standard policy for establishing fair rents and negotiating short sales, or even just resetting mortgages at current mortgage rates and amounts, could be done.

Unfortunately, the securitization of the market has made mortgagees and mortgagors less secure.

Sure the home is theirs. You're confusing the basic English concepts of "home" and "house." It's your home if you make your home there. What can be owned by someone else is the building - the house or apartment. Nobody considers renters "homeless." So the acute and proper concern here is in not putting people out of their homes.

"If a homeowner chose to go this route, the judge in the foreclosure proceeding would appoint an independent appraiser to determine the fair market rent for the house."

Since when will a mortgage holder allow itself to be at the mercy of "an independent appraiser"?

You don't have to be a blind conservative not to see it, just an ignorant one to deny it.

In this plan, who gets the landlord responsibilities?

If the new renter or a neighbor electrocutes themselves on faulty wiring, is the bank liable for damages?

That's the same thing I was wondering. The landlord/renter relationship can be quite complicated, and is governed by all kinds of separate laws and expectations. Who is responsible for maintainence, for example? If a former owner now renting allowed the house to go to seed, who would be financially responsible for the depreciation? I have a hard time imagining mortgage companies would want to wade into this morass. Perhaps a separate subindustry would have to emerge to take charge of management duties on these properties.

I think this definitely deserves more discussion.

But, as it's offered, I don't see the incentive for mortgage companies to want this. The mortgage company still must go through a foreclosure process to take back ownership of the property. Today, once they own it, they are free to sell it to anyone. Under this proposal, they must sell it to someone that wants to be a landlord; a smaller group. Less demand for the property, lower price (equals less recovered capital). Something (tax $) will be necessary to sweeten the deal.

So the acute and proper concern here is in not putting people out of their homes.

your "acute concern" is only a materialistic attachment, i.e. based on sentimentality.

since you're right that "a home is where the heart is," people just have to detach their dignities and egos from the situation and move on.

To boldly go...

Abandoning and bulldozing property costs, too.

certainly. but a house doesn't produce anything so economic capacity isn't lost. will look at your links later today! I looked quickly and I think that, in detroit, homes were leveled since the auto industry died and the hope of finding buyers was almost zero. in other areas, where theire are jobs, it might make more sense to protect homes from demolition.

I live in an apartment since the mortgage for a $100,000 condo is between 2 to 3 times more expensive than what i pay for an apartment with a single car garage and heat included!

I save the difference between my rent and that mortgage and call it "my equity."

To boldly go...

Not only that but those landlords interested in buying the foreclosed properties would be buying rent controlled properties since any rent changes would not be agreed upon between landlord and renter but would be set by some “independent” arbiter, further reducing the market value of the properties.

I think a more radical solution needs to be developed not unlike the FDR days, (although it will take someone like Obama, Kucinich or Edwards) to be in the WH.

First thing is declare a moratorium on foreclosures nationwide. Secondly any fraud or predorial practices perpetrated by the lender automatically negates the provisions of the loan and new more favorable terms negotiated.

This was systematic. I know because I have a close former college roommate who has been a broker in this market for 15 years. He maintained that he could anyone a loan and it was their beware to get into something although he would cavalierly call for stated income when he knew it was inflated, hid fees and other items to get the loan and when they held the bag he was unempathetic. Now he is crying about the lack of business and low fees....

This is an interesting idea, but I'm not sure how you implement it. Implementation would be a morass of local, state, and federal law. And in any case, I'm not sure that the incentive is there. Mortgage companies are not likely to want to become rental property managers. So, they would likely sell the house, and then the question becomes who has the capital to buy all these properties, and if some entity does, how willing they will be to keep the leases running and for how long. In any case, being a renter is significantly different from being a home owner, and that might put some people off.

I like the creativity of this but I don't like three things about it:

1) The stay as long as you like strikes me as a bad idea for moral hazard, and also for efficient functioning of the relevant housing market, as the first commenter pointed out. I do think it is a fine short to medium term solution to do equity to individuals who have borrowed beyond their means, like methadone for a heroin addict.

2) Concomitantly, your solution to the moral hazard of 'stay as long as you like' appears to involve the creation of an administrative bureaucracy of indefinite life and I think that is an inefficiency that is intrinsically bad.

3) It does not address the problem of fraudulent borrowers which is a bigger part of the problem than, on this website, it is politically correct to recognize (perhaps you have seen or heard about the letter from a hedge fund that was short subprime credit that went around Wall Street last week that summarizes a diligence trip to the Central Valley of California in which the author was told that 90% of the subprime loans were fraudulent and that, on 50% of the loans where the borrower's income was falsely represented, the income was overstated by more than 50%). Perhaps you would augment your idea to require a satisfactory review of the borrower's mortgage application as a condition, just as bankrupt individuals cannot get a discharge of debts they incurred fraudulently.

I live in Phoenix. Watching the housing market here, there is no shortage of rental homes and no shortage of people in trouble with their mortgages. Leasing these homes back to the foreclosed upon will solve nothing. It's not like they'll end up truly homeless; after all, if they can afford to rent back their home at market rates, they can afford to rent someone else's home. Furthermore, handing over the task of assigning the rental rate to an appraiser (I am a commercial appraiser) sounds like a good idea until you realize that the homeowner is likely to get a lower rental rate in a comparable home if they have the power to negotiate.

Also, a bank is not in business to own property. Their first move is to sell. I imagine a new sub-industry will spring up of property management companies/investors snatching up these homes with a lease built right in and becoming suburban slum lords (like most property managers already are). The homes will fall into disrepair just like all other rental homes.

And rent-to-own schemes are heavily tilted toward the seller.

This whole idea sounds nice in theory, but it's unnecessary and unlikely to work to anyone's real benefit. The housing market is about as close to a perfect market as we can find. It will right itself just like it always has. The question is how long this will take. And unfortunately, there are many people who are in a bad way, but nobody twisted their arms to get them there. Caveat emptor.

This whole idea sounds nice in theory, but it's unnecessary and unlikely to work to anyone's real benefit

Good point. The only advantage is keeping people in their prior homes... a sentimental value, perhaps, but hard to justify the financial distortion this causes. Ignoring moral hazard got us into this mess, further ignoring moral hazard is unlikely to get us out of it.

It would seem to me that anybody who owns a house and rents it out will, in a fair market and assuming the home is average for its neighborhood, want to rent the house for at least a small profit over the cost of his mortgage and taxes and upkeep. Would this not imply that the rent would cost more than the mortgage on the same house? It seems your assumption of ussing a fair market rent may need more exploration.

dc

I had a similar idea a few weeks ago, but not one run by the government or the banks.

Set up a non-profit to purchase the home from the mortage holder at the remaining cost. The non-profit then rents the home back to the previous owner at a rental rate set by the actual value of the new mortgage, plus a small maintenance fee, which should be lower than the previous mortgage payment (but not always). When the renter is in a financial position to resume payment of the mortgage, the house is sold back at the remaining cost. The non-profit receives its operating expenses from the rent and maintanence fee, and the owner receives a break in mortgage payments without suffering a hit to credit rating, but also without paying down anymore value on the house. Another advantage to the owner is that equity is not lost unless they default on the rent, which makes it profitable for the owner/renter to maintain the property.

Re: a foreclosure process will begin at the behest of a servicing company, but the servicing company will not have the authority to stop the foreclosure process.

I keep seeing this claim and it's not usually true. Servicers normally have pretty wide latitude in these matters. I work in the industry and I have seen mortgages that were months behind on payments reinstated from foreclosures. The trouble is that in many cases there's no deal possible: the payments are too far out of reach for the borrower and there's no reasonable compromise. These of course are loans that should never have been made in the first place.

Re: First thing is declare a moratorium on foreclosures nationwide.

Was that even done during the Great Depression? And think of the unintended consequencse of such a move: how many people will simply quit paying their mortgages knowing they can't be foreclosed on. Moreover a great many of these defaulted loans were not made to home owners, but to investors looking to flip properties in get-rich-quick schemes. Why should they be given protection when they probably lied about their income in the first place? One area where some protection is needed is for current renters in foreclosed property. Currently they have no rights at all. I would suggest that when a property is foreclosed, renters should be allowed to finish out the term of their lease, paying the forecloser rent instead of the original landlord.

If you can't make your mortgage, renting is a great idea. Most of the newer houses erected here in Warshington could easily be split into 3 or even 4 fair sized unite, and many of these are in stunning view or waterfront locations. The huge RV garages will provide covered parking for all tennants.

Isn't this what was done with the big single-family houses in town when it was required.

And it will give contractors and remodelers lots of work.

A lot of people seem to be hung up on the problem of Fair Market Rent (FMR). Why not go with the FMRs already established by HUD?

They exist for every MSA in the country and are the limits for the Section 8 rental program.

If you want to say that those rents are too low for the McMansions some of these loans are on, they maybe an independent appraiser may be in order, but I think it would be reasonable to cap the own-to-rent FMR at 20% (probably 10% would be better) above HUD's FMRs.

I have a question...

What happens to any equity that the troubled homeowner may have accrued? Not everyone who is foreclosed upon is down to zero equity, so how is that recoverable under your plan?

It seems like it could be a good idea for people who are without equity for a couple of reasons... it would be less of a disruption to families with school-aged children and it would lessen the negative impact that a rash of forclosure properties coming on the market would have on home prices.

There was a story in a Toronto paper (sorry I read the print edition) about one such person who used the $ they borrowed to 'pay debt'. It was a 77 year old widow who had medical debts (prescriptions, etc.), but couldn't quite handle the payments when interest rates went up. She still had a lot of equity in the house. She 'doesn't own it', true enough, but only true in a predatory, dog-eat-dog society. The rental option makes a lot of sense in her case.

global citizen

but only true in a predatory, dog-eat-dog society...

??? are you claiming that you can have your cake and eat it too? borrowing has never been charity and the lender expects repayment.

the people who are "losing their homes" now have only been in them a few years so, at most, they own 1/30th (if a 30 year mortgage) of the house or less and could even be in a negative equity situation.

The rental option makes a lot of sense in her case.

it all depends. if "she had medical debts," it might just mean that either way she would face the reality of having nothing.

when you get old, senial and sick it's probably quite difficult to handle everything and all hell breaks loose.

if those things are true then, yes, it makes sense to get rid of the house and move into an apartment so the maintainence, etc..., is taken care of for you.

To boldly go...

at least now, the prevailing idea is that renting is better than owning. if rents are lower than owning, then what does that do to neighborhod comps?

To boldly go...

When the law gives them no choice but to accept the assessment of an independent appraiser, then they will accept the assessment of an independent appraiser. That is the proposal.

The proposal doesn't give mortgage holders the option of whether they want to be landlords. The homeowners facing foreclosure have the right to be renters, if the mortgage owners don't like that, that is too bad for them.

This is the kind of punitive attitude that can lead to some really bad policies that have serious unintended consequences as pointed out by others here.

Sure it makes you feel good to make the people you hate bleed, but adults need consider the overall health of the housing market long term.

Few people with positive equity allow their home to be foreclosed. If they have positive equity, they can sell the place, pay off the mortgage, and still have money to pocket. Therefore, most homeowners having trouble making payments, but with positive equity would not be facing foreclosure.

Some would call it punitive.  Others might call it just... and hate doesn't necessarily enter into it. 

I see the same kind of reasoning here which allows polluting corporations to escape the consequences of their actions with slap on the wrist fines.  The overall health of the housing market in the long term may very well require corporations (these are things, not people, BTW) to face the reality that the decisions they make have real effects on real people (those losing homes are people, not things, BTW).

aMike

your "acute concern" is only a materialistic attachment, i.e. based on sentimentality.

Some of us (i.e.--me) question the logic of this.  First, only is the kind of dismissive word that keeps a person from having to look at an argument and answer it--rather like merely that way.  Love is only a materialistic attachment, based on hormonal responses and sniffing pherenomes..i.e. based on sentimentality.  (No, I don't believe that any more than I believe that attachment to one's home is only a materialistic attachment).

The attachment is based on the emotional nurturing a sense of place gives...I'm remembering your lauding your grandmother for holding on to a house and paying a bundle of taxes to do it.  I laud her too, for that. 

Homes are places embedded in networks of human relationships. . . losing one's home means losing one's neighbors, one's local social organizations, and one's affection for community.  It also deprives that neighborhood (Hi, Mr. Rogers...hope you like the neighborhood in which you now are), of the contributions a person makes to it.  This is serious stuff, as works like Bowling Alone and That Great Good Place amply demonstrate.  If this is sentimentality, make the most of it.

aMike

What I don't like about this plan is that it ignores people who are relatively invisible here. Those are the people that are going to benefit from this shakeout. Who are they? Not huge hedge fund managers or people who are in mortgages that do not qualify for Fannie Mae protection... They are the people who will be able to purchase homes once prices return to a normal level again. The foreclosure sale isn't a happy event but there will be plenty of people who will be able to pick up a nice home at a decent price at them.

What is the point of giving people a new property right to rent foreclosed property? If they can afford market rent then they can either make a deal with the bank to rent the house until the bank sells it or they can go to a similiar house and rent.

I would consider a temporary intervention in the market. Specifically charge a fee for every foreclosure that happens in a neighborhood in a year. In other words, the first foreclosure would be for normal cost, the second would have, say, a $2000 fee, then $4,000, $8,000, $16,000 and so on. This would have the effect of slowing down a 'run' on the sheriff. Such a run could cause home prices to drop dramatically in a small area causing even more people to end up in foreclosure. Slowing down access to the foreclosure windo would force mortgage holders to use it first for cases of true fraud or where the owner just will not or cannot make payments For those that are making payments the incentive will be to restructure the loans to give them time for the market to settle and secure a refinancing.

But the model here is similiar to a run on a bank. Remember the run on the S&L in It's a Wonderful Life? Emergancy measures were introduced to stop the run (George got just about everyone to only take out what they really needed). But once the run was over business returned to normal. It wouldn't have been a good thing if those emergancy measures were always in force.

If you can show that a mortgage company committed fraud in some way then let’s punish them in some way just like a polluting company would be.

Let’s not do a blanket conversion of owner occupied housing to rental property with uninterested financial institutions forced to maintain and manage that housing just because we really hate mortgage companies and we really love people who can’t pay their mortgages.

Adults use their brains to consider the consequences of their actions and do not simply lash out at those they hate, unlike the amikes of the world.

These are excellent points, Boonton. The nature of media is such that we never hear about the people who are coming into the housing market or the people who prudently said no to crazy debt levels and now might be able to afford home ownership if the homes were repriced at more affordable levels. That story isn't dramatic enough for the english majors who write journalism.

Keeping people indefinitely in homes that they couldn't have bought in the first place just because we don't like to read about them dislocating is an emotionally soothing policy but not an intrinsically sound one - it ratifies bad judgment and penalizes those with sounder judgment by denying them full repricing of homes. It also prevents the market for a longer period from returning to equilibrium. A reasonable transition period, however, is a fair compromise of all reelvant interests.

Your fee proposal makes very good macro sense, although there is the question of fairness to individuals based on relative sequencing which seems somewhat arbitrary. I would, however, tie the fee to the size of the mortgage, not a raw dollar amount: 1% the first, 2% the second and so on. And I would exempt any lender who could prove the borrower committed fraud.

Another nice thing about this is that states and counties could do this themselves without waiting for the feds.

I am an adult, and I do use my brain thank you very much.  I stand by what I said, noting in passing that I didn't need to cast a slur on either your intelligence or your integrity to say it.  I might have cast a small slur on the nature of your heart, indirectly.  I think I'll let it stand.

Mortgage companies committing fraud?  Of course they don't.

Neither did significant elements of the Savings and Loan Industry in the 1980s.  Of course they didn't. 

If we were to treat these cases precisely parallel with individuals, the appropriate thing to do would be to abrogate their charters.  They're creatures of the state in the first instance.

aMike

 

I gather from your posts that you are quite elderly so yes, you are technically an adult. I see little evidence of emotional maturity in your thinking, however, sorry.

No,price to rent ratios soared in the last decade, that is how it was posisble to recognize the run-up in prices as a bubble. So, the fair market rent would be far below the mortgage payments these people face, especially since they are looking at subprime rates that are often more than 2 percnetage points higher than prime mortgage rates.

I don’t know why a decline on housing prices in an area should result in more foreclosures. Why would someone who could afford to make his mortgage payments default on his loan simply because his house had declined in value? It seems that the mortgage company would be more likely to foreclose on properties with a high market value since they could easily be sold to pay off the mortgage. If the market value of housing has declined, the mortgage company is simply looking to cut their losses if they foreclose so it would seem that they would have more incentive to work with their problem loans to restructure the payments.

What am I missing?

1. The idea is not to help any particular mortgage but just to prevent a run on neighborhood housing stock where everyone attempts to sell or foreclose at once. In that regard it doesn't really matter if Bank A has never yet foreclosed on a single house....if the neighborhood has already suffered 20 foreclosures it's adding more wood to the fire.

I think as a temporary measure it is actually more fair to the individual case. Like a bank run, those participating in it would like to stop but they don't for fear that the other guy will get his money out first and leave nothing left on the table for them. Drastically falling property values actually cause more foreclosures and lead to more harm to mortgage holders (because they cannot recoup their investment and have to write off balances).

2. Individual counties/states could do this or it could be done on the national scale. Any county that wants to 'opt out' could simply take the revenue generated from the 'fees' and refund them back to the banks doing the foreclosures. Perhaps some counties would want to do this in the hope that banks would offer mortgages for better rates. I would have the fee revenue go to the local towns to offset property taxes...that would hopefully act as a slight push up in property values to counter the downward push of foreclosures.

A reason I would do it on a national scale is that it would be easier to end the problem and I would want it to end. A macro policy really should be implemented on a macro level. I would want it to be less like unemployment insurance or bank deposit insurance and more like FDR's 'bank holiday'. Another issue is that on the local scale such a scheme might be unconstitutional....I'm not sure about this but I suspect one could argue that it might represent a state disrupting the enforcement of contracts. Put this in on the national scale with an expiration date of, say, two years, and it will be very hard to renew unless a huge portion of country just fell in love with it.

Robert Brown

I don’t know why a decline on housing prices in an area should result in more foreclosures. Why would someone who could afford to make his mortgage payments default on his loan simply because his house had declined in value? It seems that the mortgage company would be more likely to foreclose on properties with a high market value since they could easily be sold to pay off the mortgage.

There are many mortgages that were written as 2/28. That meant fixed payments for two years, then variable for 28. Why would someone do that? Take someone with medium to poor credit. They make two years of managable fixed payments then after building credit (and possibly some equity from rising home prices), they can now refinance for a new fixed rate before the killing variable payments kick in.

Now what happens if home prices fall? Even if everything was perfect the falling prices mean less equity, maybe even negative equity. No mortgage company wants to take on a loan like that now. Even if they did, the market right now is making credit hard even for people with excellent credit. So yes falling home prices means more foreclosures even for those that were fine.

Now take a step back, consider someone with a fixed rate mortgage, making payments just fine then he loses a job. Before he might be able to miss a few payments and refinance bringing him current again. But if home prices collapse then this fellows equity is taking a hit making it all the harder. He will be stuck with his current company who are likely to be unhappy about him being behind....when they consider prices are falling they may say to themselves we better get this house sold now rather than risk that six months from now the write off we are going to have to take will be $50,000 rather than $30,000.

You are right in that if everything is going perfect and the guy is making his payments perfectly the bank cannot foreclose just because prices go down.

I just saw a point made in a comment on Matt Yglesias' blog by a user "kafka" that should really be brought up here:

Aren't those who had 0% down and low teaser rates in effect been living in the same situation already, at least until higher payments kick in? What do they lose except closing costs if the first few year payments were close to market rent? Granted, they might not be able to come up with a security deposit for a new place, and will have zilch credit rating.

Seems like they would lose their closing costs under Baker’s plan as well since they will still lose ownership of the house. Depending on the details of the legislation, it seems like it would be reasonable for the mortgage holder to require a security deposit after the owner becomes a renter.

Unless Baker really expects the independent appraisers to come up with below market rates for rent, it seems the only advantage to his plan is avoiding the hassle of moving for the people who lose their houses.

The former homeowner avoids the hassle of moving and also has the security of an indefnite right to rent. As a practical matter, this may also allow them the opportunity to repurchase the home under more favorable conditions, since the mortgage holder knows that they will be stuck with them as a tenant indefinitely.

 

My guess is that many of the people facing foreclosure would see this as a huge benefit. But, if they don't, they wouldn't take advantage of the program and nothing is lost except the time that Congress took to pass the bill.

The other problem is that current homeowners may see a lot less sting in foreclosure...especially the ones who are facing big increases in their payments due to '2/28' loans and the like. Some who could make the payments might be tempted to let the scaled back foreclosure go down and enjoy paying rent...perhaps even later on adding insult to injury by 'buying' the house again after home prices start collapsing.

This leads us to the problem at hand today which is not so much an army of homeless people created by foreclosures in the 500K+ housing market but lenders not wanting to make loans today. Why would they start making loans again if you introduce a program that essentially makes it all the easier for people to get away with nor making their mortgage payments?

I know my program has the same weakness but at least it is targetted towards areas that are in danger of seeing a price collapse which is something mortgage holders do not want.

The woman had been in the house for most of her adult life.

global citizen

But what would be your reasoning for including people in the situation I describe in this program? They took a risk but by foreclosure lose very little. Granted, someone like that is not the majority having problems. But why is there a need for government to step in there? Please understand that I am asking this not to negative or to express traditional conservative viewpoint but I am thinking you see other benefits I am missing--like saving the neighborhood or something. Cause without another reason to help someone like that, the program would be attacked by the "not fair, why does that guy get government advantage when he doesn't need it?" routine. A lot of renters have to move in their lifetimes, it's not something that's like a great tragedy and we don't normally give assistance with that. What's the society's benefit to let them rent it at a enforced rate for a long time if they aren't out much more than IF they had been renting in the first place? It would be introducing all the known problems of rent control. For what reason if they haven't suffered much of a loss? I'd rather see help to something like re-colonizers of New Orleans unless there's some benefit I'm missing.

The two main problems I see with the owner turned renter is that (1) forclosure will be on the debters credit record. This large blot on a credit record will stop them obtaining any new loans for a long time. In addition other loans, auto, credit card rates etc. will increase for the family.

The second difficulty would be if the home owner signed a "deed in lue", which could be judged to be a short sale. In a short sale the differance between the origional loan and the sales price is considered income. This income is taxable.

Many of the current home owners who obtained subprime loan were either ignorant or thought they could get away with lieing to get what they wanted with no money. How do we determine which is which?

Yeah, the idea sounds good at first glance, but it would seem to me also that there would need to be lots of additional protections built in, or else we'd just move the housing meltdown problem over into the rental market without really solving it. I have several questions.

For instance, do mortgage lenders really want to get into the landlord business? Somehow I have visions of the lenders selling the rental contracts to the very same speculators who drove up housing prices, with the same effect ensuing on the rental market. Will a program such as this have the tendency to drive up rents across the board?

Also, it seems to me that if a family is going into foreclosure, the protection mentioned in the proposal to allow a second appraisal of fair market rent, at the potential renter's expense, isn't really very effective. If the family is facing foreclosure any, would it be very likely that they have the extra funds available to pay for the second appraisal? But there's another possibility: use the HUD fair market rent (FMR) values, which are averages based on annual surveys of rental properties in each metropolitan area. These FMRs, though, are likely to be much lower than those derived by an individual appraisal. Perhaps there could be some formula set up, based on the HUD FMRs, but adjusted for the particular characteristics of the individual property. I think you're right about the appraisal issue, but it may be difficult to design a system to get around it. It's tricky.

The other thing that I don't understand about the proposal is what happens to the money that's lost. In other words, if the amount of rent is lower than the mortgage, who pays the difference, or does the lender just lose that amount? Since taxes on the property would presumably revert to the lender as well, the lenders appear to be taking quite a hit here. I suspect that the lenders, before going along with this proposal will ultimately place a lot of pressure on the government to make up the difference, so ultimately, the taxpayer is going to be the one paying for the bursting of the housing bubble. On the other hand, that's pretty much a given anyway, so the Own to Rent program seems worth considering, as long as there's lots of thinking done and adjustments made to avoid negative unforseen consequences.

"If the only tool you have is a hammer, you tend to see every problem as a nail." ~~ Abraham Maslow

Why would a bank trash its mortgage, incur lots of expenses and troubles to foreclose a property only to get stuck with the foreclosed property to become a landlord to the irresponsible borrower when it could simply leave its existing mortgage intact, give the homeowner in need a fair monthly subsidy and become a temporary "economic landlord" through a simple SwapRent (SM) transaction? The bank could subsequently transfer this real estate exposure through the SwapRent (SM) contract to some other investors much easier and cheaper than trying to sell the actually foreclosed property. This is a new consumer finance concept we introduced as "economic renting" of a property while letting the homeowner continue to keep the legal title ownership. For more details please review the research info at http://www.SwapRent.com . Further comments would be appreciated. Thanks.

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