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Michael Ledeen's Dangerous Iran Obsession

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Michael Ledeen -- who once told me that he only supported the Iraq War because it provided momentum and pre-positioning of American military forces to then go after Iran -- is not going to feel self-actualized until America unleashes a considerable portion of its arsenal against the nation and people of Iran.

I'm not a pacifist. I have to admit that there might be circumstances in which war with Iran is our last and only option -- but we are far, far away from that situation.

I'm particularly worried that there are bad guys in Iran who so desperately want to consolidate their political positions inside Iran that they see a hot conflict with the U.S. and/or Israel as "helpful". It's also clear that Vice President Cheney as well as his followers inside the administration and his ideological following in Washington's think tank sector want war to pump up their eroding political position.

But Ledeen, James Woolsey, Norman Podhoretz, and others want war now with Iran. They want the bombs to fly. They are obsessed with delegitimating the important diplomatic efforts of Undersecretary of State R. Nicholas Burns, US Ambassador to Iraq Ryan Crocker, Ambassador to the United Nations Zalmay Khalilzad, and others. They despise Defense Secretary Bob Gates and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice -- and they are increasingly offering defamatory comments about George W. Bush himself at their small dinner parties and neocon gatherings.

Ledeen has a piece, "Talking with Iran," that has just appeared in the Wall Street Journal that tries to savage those calling for negotiations with Iran. It's embedded throughout with distortions, but it is an important case statement profiling neocon obsession with waging war against Iran as soon as possible.

The opening of Ledeen's piece runs thus:

For some time now, the chattering classes have debated whether the United States should negotiate with the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both sides have endowed the very act of negotiating with near-mythic power.

The advocates suggest that "good relations" may emerge, while opponents warn it is somehow playing into the mullahs' hands. Both seem to believe that the three recent talks in Baghdad are historically significant, since they are said to be a departure from past practice.

That claim is false. Every administration since Ayatollah Khomeini's seizure of power in 1979 has negotiated with the Iranians. Nothing positive has ever come of it, but most every president has come to believe that a "grand bargain" with Tehran can somehow be reached, if only we negotiate well enough.

Washington diplomats have steadfastly refused to see the Iranian regime for what it is: a relentless enemy that seeks to dominate or destroy us. This blindness afflicted the first American negotiators shortly after the 1979 revolution, and has been chronic ever since, even though Iran declared war on us in that year and has waged it ever since.

Ledeen is entitled to his views, but smart respondents should remember a few things when considering how to deal with Iran.

First, remember that on the night of 9/11/2001, Tehran was the only place in the Middle East where thousands of people walked out into the streets holding candles and expressing grief and empathy for Americans who died that day. There are many in Iran who identify with America and are inspired by our country (though less so under current US political leadership).

Also, remember that former Ambassador and now RAND strategist James Dobbins successfully recruited Iran to play an important and constructive role in the Bonn Conference that was necessary to stabilize Afghanistan in 2002. Iran worked with us and did not need to. Yes, Afghanistan is coming apart at the seams now, and Iran may be playing both sides, but this is a function of America's failing, not Iran's designs and machinations.

Iran is a fake democracy -- but there are elements of democracy and popular will being expressed through elections there. If we bomb Iran, we need to realize and accept that there is a strong chance that the public will rally toward rather than away from its current populist political leadership under President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The worst situation would be to have a perception of citizen-given legitimacy behind an extremist Iranian government now committed more than ever to the acquisition of nuclear weapons.

Bombing Iran may also lead to the creation of a terrorist superhighway to the edge of Israel -- a nation whose security I believe America should be worried about and committed to 'help' defend.

Bombing Iran may also trigger a seismic shift in global energy politics, as Flynt Leverett has written, in which China, Russia, and Iran tie up their resources, technology and development needs into a condominium of alled interests. This prospect would break the backs of Europe and Japan which are directly, tangibly dependent on Iranian oil -- and could lead to the end of American primacy in the geoeconomy of oil.

I don't believe in appeasing Iran's worst behaviors either. But there are many, many, many other options than the "nuke them now and get it over with" calls by the likes of James Woolsey and Michael Ledeen.

Ledeen has an Iran obsession, as does Vice President Cheney. If they get what they want -- not only will nightmares be unleashed in Iran, but America, Europe, the Middle East and world at large will suffer tremendously.

And lastly Israel would suffer and be plunged into a dramatically blurred security mess. Israel does matter and is an ally of ours in the region, and its best long-term hopes are to become allied, at least "in spirit", with moderate Sunni Arab regimes in its neighborhood.

Ledeen, Woolsey, Podhoretz, Bolton and others are showing themselves to be reckless regarding Israel and its future. They are pushing a false choice between Israeli security and bombing Iran -- and Israeli voices need to reach out to common sense strategists who are far better friends to Israel and to Middle East stability and security than Curtis LeMay-inspired neocons.

Much of Ledeen's article is directed at blasting the "grand bargain" crowd advocating a re-ordering of numerous interlocking policy problems in the Middle East -- and since one of the leading advocates of a "grand bargain" strategy is my New America Foundation colleague Flynt Leverett, I re-link here his important paper published by The Century Foundation, "Dealing with Tehran: Assessing US Diplomatic Options Toward Iran."

-- Steve Clemons publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note


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When the hell did 'pacifist' become a dirty word?

Ledeen is the sleazy war criminal at large whose fingerprints were all over the phony "intelligence" about Saddam trying to buy yellowcake from Niger.

A war monger of Ledeen's stature isn't content with helping start the illegal and immoral war against Iraq, he's now clamoring and probably aiding and abetting--in his own felonious ways--the neoCONs and Likudniks who are drooling at the lips for another illegal and immoral war, this time against Iran.

These types of beings use war the way some people use Viagra; it gives them a "surge" between their legs.

Ledeen and his fellow travelers need to be hunted down and brought to justice by being arrested, then shipped off to the International Court of Justice in the Hague.

After conviction, Ledeen and his gang of motley cutthroats should be imprisoned for the rest of their unnatural life.

I have to admit that there might be circumstances in which war with Iran is our last and only option -- but we are far, far away from that situation.

Our last and only option for what? To prevent them from annihilating America with their Muslim hordes? To prevent the smoking gun from becoming a mushroom cloud? How are the Iranians, natural enemies to the people who actually did attack us on 9/11, an existential threat to the U.S.? Perhaps, it is because they are a "fake democracy" (read Islamic state)?

Well, at least it's not in Israel's interest. Unfortunately with Iraq, we had to go through a catastrophic invasion and occupation before it was understood that it wasn't in Israel's interest. But now, thank God, we don't have to bomb and invade another sovereign country and kill untold thousands and spend $billions because it arguably would not be in Israel's interest.

How did this idea that it is okay to attack any country, any time, anywhere ever become SOP for America, beacon of freedom and independence? Who appointed us sheriff of the world?

Good post.
Ledeen's best bud is Feith. Feith was brought into DoD by Perle. The relationship between these thugs, and the other Iraq war architects, was fostered by Aipac. Aipac is now pushing for war with Iran (it is their #1 agenda item). Count on Aipac's war to be initiated during these last months of the Bush term. It's all very quiet, just like the massive weapons aid increase for Israel that was snuck through Congress by Steny Hoyer while we were all sleeping.

I'm not a pacifist. I have to admit that there might be circumstances in which war with Iran is our last and only option -- but we are far, far away from that situation.

I have no idea why this comment is in this post. I think it actually adds legitimacy of those you're arguing against.

Yeah, ya start listenin' to these pacifists and next thing ya know we'll have peace or some shit like that.

How did this idea that it is okay to attack any country, any time, anywhere ever become SOP for America, beacon of freedom and independence?

and where exactly did steve come anywhere close to even suggesting that?

so then, are you a pacifist?

if not, can you not imagine any circumstances in which war with iran is our last and only option?

michael ledeen is stupid. no two ways about it. he's a lot of other things as well. but first and foremost he is stupid.

Valdron,

When the hell did 'pacifist' become a dirty word?

If it ain't Philadelphia it must be the ocean....  How the hell does it come to mean dirtying up pacifism, simply by disclaiming that one is not a pacifist?

Steve Clemons,

I'm particularly worried that there are bad guys in Iran who so desperately want to consolidate their political positions inside Iran that they see a hot conflict with the U.S. and/or Israel as "helpful".

Thanks.  We seldom approach international trash-talk from this angle.  On the one hand, Ledeen & Co. are certainly shameless in their cynical elevation of Ahmadinejad's leadership position.  On the other hand, who is really certain about the state of Supreme Leader Khomenei's health, let alone his leadership.  Cynicism and mindless aggression are among the darker components of human nature, and not uniquely neocon qualities.  And no, I am not advocating attacking Iran -- as much as it is unfortunately necessary here to disclaim.

Pet peeve: calling any NeoCon stupid. These guys have managed to worm their way into some of our nation's most influential positions and they're not stupid.

They subscribe to a bankrupt, oversimplified, self-serving ideology with horrifying implications for the future of the US and the world, but they've been able to take a lot of elections, dismantle much of the bureaucratic and physical infrastructure that made us feel safe, and confuse or generally sideline most or all who opposed them. That's not stupid.

It's government by people who despise government, and diplomacy by people who despise diplomacy. But it's not stupidity in any practical sense. If you don't like them, please learn exactly what you don't like about what they are trying to do and repudiate that. Believe me, you'll be doing the nation a great service. But don't call them stupid.

Thank you for the opportunity to rant.

This passage that you quote from Ledeen strikes me as particularly revealing:

"Washington diplomats have steadfastly refused to see the Iranian regime for what it is: a relentless enemy that seeks to dominate or destroy us. This blindness afflicted the first American negotiators shortly after the 1979 revolution, and has been chronic ever since, even though Iran declared war on us in that year and has waged it ever since."

I guess it's good to know that our "Washington diplomats" aren't crazy and paranoid--but it isn't reassuring to know that a crazy paranoid like Ledeen is actually taken seriously by many influential people. That Iran wants "to dominate or destroy us" is absurd. The goal of the war they "declared" on us in 1979 wasn't to dominate us, but to liberate themselves from our domination of them, which we had accomplished through the installation and support of a brutal (but pro-American/British) dictator, the Shah.

Leeden and his compatriots have a grand strategy for the Middle East, which is simply to overthrow anyone they believe is a threat to Israel. Their goal is to draw the US into this cause, using American military might, treasure, and blood to make Israel more secure. Their strategy, however, will in the long run be costly both to the US and to Israel, since it will create an even more hostile Middle Eastern world. Those who have true American (and I believe Israeli) interests at heart must expose this insanity and do everything possible to prevent it from becoming American policy.

Washington diplomats have steadfastly refused to see the Iranian regime for what it is: a relentless enemy that seeks to dominate or destroy us. This blindness afflicted the first American negotiators shortly after the 1979 revolution, and has been chronic ever since, even though Iran declared war on us in that year and has waged it ever since.

Everything prior to this paragraph from Ledeen reads like standard neoconservative fare on Iran. But when one comes to passages like the above, one realizes what a total loon Ledeen is. The notion that Iran is in any position either to dominate or destroy the United States, or is approaching such a position, is simply ludicrous.

The economy of the United States is about 60 times larger than the economy of Iran. The United States also has military expenditures that are about 80 times those of Iran.

How is it possible for arrant fools like Ledeen to get an op-ed in a serious paper like the Wall Street Journal? I realize that the WSJ opinion and editorial pages are less professional, and more wingnutty, than the paper as a whole. But permitting this level of intellectual gibberish is really an embarrassment.

Do you think it's really all about Israel? Because when I read the NeoCons, I always get the sense that even Israel is one prize on the path toward whatever it is that they're really trying to do.

In the same way that "some of my best friends are jews/blacks/hispanics" became the tip of the hat for some racist pontificating.

Oh, and maybe I'm just cranky today, but Steve Clemons, please refrain from referring to opposing poliiticians or officials as "bad guys." They may or may not be "bad" but please remember to be specific about what makes them "bad" or us "good." To do otherwise is to be sucked in to the "diplomacy by people who despise diplomacy" side of things.....

Steve Clemons:

Thanks for your post. I understand your central thesis to be that Michael Ledeen is maddeningly in pursuit of engaging this country in a foolish war with Iran, one that will yield no positive results for this country. I don't think you'll find any disagreement around this cafe, and certainly not from yours truly (unfortunate but prudent disclaimer I feel obliged to tender).

One of the reasons that you give for opposing a war with Iran is that it would not be in Israel's interest. By proffering that reason--and again I agree that war with Iran is not in Israel's interest (another prophylactic disclaimer)--you then open the door to many around here who: (a) are convinced we went to war with Iraq, at least in large measure, because Israel and its supporters wanted us to play shock and awe; and (b) Ledeen and his cronies are pushing for war with Iran because they are, at least in a de facto sense, agents of Israel who will stop at nothing to engage the U.S. in a war with Iran. In short, the presumption is that the tail (Israel and its U.S. agents including apparently Dick Cheney and Ledeen) is wagging the dog (the United States of America) in the direction of war with Iran.

Sadly, what is lost I think is your point that Iran is not a natural enemy of the United States and that there are reasons to believe that, at some point, if we play our cards correctly, Iran and the United States can have a productive and friendly bilateral relationship. But that point now serves as the basis for many to conclude that, if we ever heaven forbid do battle with Iran, we will be doing so because of Israel.

I don't get the impression that is what you are saying in your post, but I think it would be helpful (because I already see where this thread is going), if you could give us your thoughts on whether, and to what extent, we may be moving towards a war with Iran because this is what Israel and its hard-line American supporters, like Michael Ledeen, are pushing.

Thanks.

Bruce S. Levine

zkosmo:

I don't know whether John is at this point in his life a pacifist. But, if he is, he has more grounds to be one than 90 plus percent of the folks you and I correspond with on the internet.

John is one of the few representatives from the Greatest Generation on the TPMCafe. He served our country in WWII as a young man in Europe as part of the 82nd Airborne. John has seen what war means in real, human terms.

I know you didn't know that but I think you should know that in light of your question. I once did not know that about John either.

Bruce

I think its pretty obvious that there is a hard line Pro-Israel lobby that seeks to bias America's foreign policy in favour of Israel's interests.

I also think its pretty obvious that there are large and powerful elements in Israel and in America's Pro-Israel Lobby who see Iran as the last major threat to Israel in the middle east.

>> Iran wants to dominate or destroy us


Michael Latreen has me all confused now. Reagan convinced me that the country that wanted to dominate or destroy the United States was... Nicaragua.

Would Iran and Nicaragua please have a playoff match to decide who's the designated dominatrix/destroyer?

Meanwhile, Michael, do me a favor: go flush yourself!

Noblessoblige, what the hell is wrong with you. Don't you know that we have always been at war with Eastasia? Eastasia has always been the enemy of peace and freedom everywhere. Eastasia has conspired from the beginning with its ally Eurasia against the peaceloving peoples of Oceania.

You're just begging for a knock on the door aren't you. I know your type. You're out to undermine Oceania and our freedomloving ally Eurasia.

Well, for the rest of you, just remember, we have always been at war with Eurasia. Right from the beginning. So it ever was, and so it shall ever be.

Valdron:

I agree completely with your first point. I also agree that Michael Ledeen is someone who is likely to be influenced by how he believes that a war with Iran will somehow benefit Israel.

But my question to Clemons was an attempt to have him address this notion (that I believe many are pushing at least implicitly) that if we go to war with Iran it will because the U.S. has acted at the direction of Israel and its hard-line supporters in this country.

Bruce

Bruce, I think your point on this is actually counterproductive.

We can't make rational policy if we can't talk about the elephant in the room because if nothing else it is obsuring the wolves lurking in the shadows.

Some in Israel are trying to promote an American war with Iran. Some Jews in the United States are trying to promote an American war with Iran due to their obsession with Israeli security. Not all in Israel. Not all Jews in the US. But some, and it's so totally clear that when you try to stop people from bringing it up out in the open it only works to convince people that some conspiracy is lurking in the background. The conspiracy may well be lurking among the wolves but I see them as those like Cheney who have an agenda totally unrelated to Israel. There are several things going on here but we have to be able to talk about all of them, and sort them out. Otherwise, both the neocons obsessed with Israel and those obsessed with oil and power are going to be able to use you and others to foreclose discussion on the possibility of war. This was part of the complex game that was played to get us into Iraq. The obsessively pro-war Jews are using you every bit as much as they are using anyone else and they are being used by those with other agendas altogether.

That's one of the things that bothered me about that AJC ad about "Iran is a threat to Israel" I posted about the other day. Innocently or not, that kind of ad plays on the genuine concern of Jews and others about Israel and makes it more difficult to focus objectively on whether or not Iran is a threat to the United States. We MUST be able to talk about what is and is not a threat to the United States. Americans have a right to that discussion. The security of Israel is important and it is part of American foreign policy interests, but it is not one and the same with the United States and we cannot allow it to obsure other interests and others' whose agendas have nothing to do with Israel at all.

Otherwise, someday we're going to wake up in war with Russia or China or a cast of other nations states fed up with our aggression in oil states, and the public isn't going to have a clue how it happened.

"We MUST be able to talk about what is and is not a threat to the United States. Americans have a right to that discussion."

That is precisely what we are discussing, and this American is participating in it.

Bruce, I'm going to say this as politely as possible:

I don't give a shit.

People who deny that Israel has any impact on American foreign policy are just as dishonest and delusional as people who claim that American foreign policy is driven by Israel only. American foreign policy is driven by a multitude of factors, both internal and external, and a variety of players have access to the mechanisms, and aggressively promote their positions and viewpoints. I frankly regard the Israel centric viewpoint as worse than pointless. It regularly derails discussions. I'm sure everyone has their kneejerk positions, whether its mindless defensiveness of Israel Uber Alles, or mindless conspiracy theory. But there are real issues to discuss. If you really want to talk Israel, Israel and nothing but Israel, start your own thread.

Now I hope you di'n't find this rude. But for cripes sakes, let's move it forward.

Bruce,

I'll try to say it more simply. The oil and power and war profiteering interests of the guys like Cheney are having one heck of a success using pro-war Jews in their game to get us into war. Far from a shadowy Jewish conspiracy, the neocon Jews are being USED as the front men for this effort to get us into war. They're being setup to be the scapegoats. If we can't talk about this, the Cheney forces are going to be successful.

What if other nations offer an alliance with Iran? How many nuclear powers do you want to fight? We never fought the Soviet Union or China because of the risks. Whose to say Iran won't ally with the Russians? This is a game that can get out of control. The neocons have this fantasy world in which every smaller power is a threat but they never discuss what happens if we so infuriate other powers that they unite against us.

Sadly, what is lost I think is your point that Iran is not a natural enemy of the United States and that there are reasons to believe that, at some point, if we play our cards correctly, Iran and the United States can have a productive and friendly bilateral relationship.

This, in my view, is the prospect that most terrifies Ledeen and other neoconservatives, Bruce. They are not really so much concerned about the prospect that Iran might "dominate or destroy" the US, as they are concerned about the possibility that the United States will eventually resolve its security concerns with Iran, and achieve good relations with the country. It is essential to their strategic plans that the United States and Iran remain enemies.

In competent strategic planning, there's usually something called the "Red Team" or the like. Its job is to put itself in the position of the enemy, and plan to damage "our" side as much as possible.

For example, when the set of US plans for nuclear war was called the Single Integrated Operating Plan (SIOP), a US group constantly updated RISOP, or our conception of the Red Integrated Strategic Operations Plan. I challenge, then, those who consider Iran a major threat to start presenting some Red Team analysis: what would Iran attack, how, and what would be the effects both on Iran and its targets?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

This is my terror Bluebell.

The universal assumption in the United States is that the Iranians can't put anything up in the air that could stop an American air attack.

We have this assumption that we are perfectly at liberty to bomb anywhere in the third world with impunity.

And the truth is that is mostly true. In 12 years of bombing, Saddam Hussein never put a scratch on the American air force. US air missions in Bosnia, against Libya, against Sudan and Afghanistan were carried out without risk or consequence.

Iran's air force is numerically inferior and technologically several generations behind the American air force. The prevailing wisdom is that they will not pose a challenge, and that the United States could sustain air operations over or on Iran indefinitely without risk.

But just supposing that the Russians, say, decide to weigh in. Supposing that American fighter pilots suddenly find themselves facing swarms of 'Iranian' fighter jets far more numerous, far more technologically advanced, and with far more experienced and aggressive pilots. Supposing that the Iranians 'suddenly' have missiles far more accurate and lethal.

What happens then? What happens if and when America's 'cost free' air raids suddenly have a cost? When lives are getting lost in numbers? When American aircraft are being shot down? When 'Iranian' defenses are such that the exercise becomes very expensive, or even fails outright?

Does America just pull back and go home?

Or does America point the finger at Russia?

And if that finger points, then what happens in the subsequent confrontation?

And if the finger doesn't point, well, what happens with that new Iranian/Russian alliance. What happens in Pakistan, or China, or Syria or half the countries in the third world when the word gets out that Russia's prepared to face off against the Big Blue Machine once again.

You are aware that I've been totally opposed to a preventive war against Iran. Nevertheless, your scenario has several flaws.

First, Russia is a historic enemy of Iran. There's always the enemy of my enemy is my friend, but I'm not sure how closely Russia and Iran would cooperate.

Missiles might be brought in clandestinely, but there is a high probability that electronic intelligence satellites would pick up their radars being tested and calibrated. As far as combat aircraft, I find it very hard to imagine that it would be possible to bring in and operate a significant number without being spotted by imaging satellites.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Certainly it has flaws. Given the state of satellite surveillance and intelligence, I just don't believe that the Russians could move sufficient numbers of missiles or aircraft into Iran to make a significant difference without being detected.

On the other hand, I can imagine situations where this is detected and the White House has to take some calculated risks.

Another scenario might be where the Iranians invite the Russian air force in for joint exercises. That would be very overt, and it would clearlyl have a deterrent intent.

On the other hand, what if there is a scenario where after an American raid begins, or before it commences, the Russians simply overtly or covertly enter.

I take your point with respect to Iranian antipathy to Russia. On the other hand, the current Russia is neither the Imperial Russian state of the Tsars, or the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. Rather, it's a state that has seen the liberation, and is trying to build a functioning relationship with its former Islamic territories. I think the Iranians are prepared to recognize that.

And more to the point, politics makes strange bedfellows. Sure the Iranians hate the Russians. But the American government has publicly announced the intention and goal of regime change, has funded and supported terrorist operations from Kurdish and Baluchi territories, sits in Afghanistan the gateway for Iran's heroin problem and in the event of air raids, they will face a potentially major and enduring attack which will claim hundreds, perhaps thousands, even tens of thousands of lives.

Facing all that, it strikes me that if the Iranians can get the Russians involved on they're side, they'll take it.

So the questions are very real. In the event of an American air raid, or even in the event of a threat, would Russia intervene, and how would they intervene. Is Bush ready for an accidental superpower confrontation? It's the accidental ones that are scariest, since no one has a clue what to do. Anything can happen.

The Ledeen money quotes for me are
"Every ten years or so, the United States needs to pick up some small crappy little country and throw it against the wall, just to show the world we mean business"
Echoed recently by Jonah Goldberg
and
"the only way to achieve peace is through total war"
"The purpose of total war is to permanently force your will onto another people"
The guiding principle of the Bush/Cheney administration.

Iran is a fake democracy -- but there are elements of democracy and popular will being expressed through elections there.

I think it is extreme to label Iran a "fake" democracy. It is certainly true that Iran is a very limited democracy, and that the Guardian Council is able to limit the range of choices available to Iranian citizens. But that doesn't mean that these citizens have no choices at all or no effective representation. Iran is governed locally by city and village councils that are elected by the people they govern, and the Iranian Majlis passes real legislation that is responsible for the general governance of the country. Again it is true that the Guardians are empowered to proscribe certain parties and candidates, and they have exercised this power, sometimes very aggressively, as in 2004, sometimes not so aggressively. But even as they do exercise this power, members of the reformist coalition do continue to win at least some seats. It is not the case that the holders of elected offices are simply appointed from the top.

It is also the case that there are over 200 sanctioned political parties in Iran, many of them part of the reformist coalition. Even when the leadership has worked to limit the electoral viability of these parties, they continue to operate, meet and run websites with government sanction.

I don't want to discount the very real and serious limitations of Iranian democracy, and various kinds of government oppression of dissident and reformist voices. But I think there is little doubt that the Iran is the most democratic country in the region. The Iranian revolution was brought about through a combination of Islamist and Republican forces, and the Iranian constitution and system of government continues to reflect the significance of both elements.

Yes, and what if the Chinese and/or others start playing financial games? We don't have the unilateral economic power that we had in 1945 either.

Valdron:

You don't have to be polite to me; advocate as you wish.

I didn't bring up Israel in this thread; others did. I responded and tried to crystallize issues that had been raised on the thread.

My comments and those of others speak for themselves.

If you want to judge me and suggest that all I want to do is talk about Israel then go ahead. I am happy to talk about what I do besides posting about Israel and I am happy to identify who I am and where I live and what I do for a living. My life is not just talking about Israel.

What's your life all about Valdron, besides insulting people (even when you say you're not you can't help yourself for heavens sake).


Bruce S. Levine
New York, New York

You hit the nail on the head Dan K, again.

Howard,

they might mount a D-DAY type operation. How would you like to wake up some morning to see 5,000 ships off our Miami coast and 2 Airborne divisions dropping on the Florida Peninsula and assaulting Ste Mere Augstine?

noble,

:-) :-) :-)

Insulting people? Yep, that's about it. It's a necessary public service, little appreciated (particularly by the most deserving). It's a fact of life that unpleasant things need to be said, in order to remind people of the important things. Turns out I'm good at it.

All in all, I'd rather be in Philadelphia.

"if not, can you not imagine any circumstances in which war with iran is our last and only option?"

Put that way, your question applies to every nation on the planet. I can imagine circumstances where war with Great Britain is an option.

'If Iran was 5 minutes from firing a nuclear missile at the US would I bomb them?'

DUH!

No, I'm not a pacifist, but I don't support war unless I'm thorougly convinced its necessary.

addendum:

There is NO ONE in the Bush Adminstration I believe about anything.

If anyone in the Bush administration tells you the time, I suggest you look to see if your watch is missing.

According to Aviation Leak, Russia has been selling its (n-1)th generation SAMs to Iran for at least 10 years. Exactly what capabilities these export versions have compared to the hometeam versions, and what kind of Trojan horses might be embedded in them that the US knows about, are of course known unknowns. But personally I think it would be foolish to assume that Iran is going to lie back and take any punishment that another sovereign nation chooses to dish out.

sPh

~

Did someone forget to email Bezerkowitz or Ledeen the following headlines?

Russia revives cold-war air patrols Agencie, PressTV Tehran

Russia Resumes Its Long-Range Air Patrols Wapo

Russia, Chinese soldiers work together London Free Press

Strategic bombers back on patrol AP

Has Cheney's blockheaded puppet received the word yet, too?

Or is he still napping?

Just wondering . . .

~OGD~

~

Bluebell:

Please don't miss the above link . . . It fits right in with your point.

Shake, rattle and roll . . .

~OGD~

~

My pet peeve?

Folks who use the term "pet peeve" . . .

Yes -- even when I use it.

~OGD~

Well, I am a pacifist.

I don't believe in war as an option. I don't believe in war as a legitimate foreign policy tool.

I believe in a legitimate right of self defence for myself and on behalf of others. Pacifism is not synonymous with suicide.

There are always choices to make. All too often those who preserve their theoretical moral entitlement to violence, whatever they profess, merely preserve the option to actual immoral application.

I once listened to a 'liberal' announce that he did not believe in torture, while acknowledging that this was a subject on which 'reasonable people could disagree.' He was dead wrong. There is no 'reasonable' pro-torture viewpoint, any more than there's a 'reasonable' pro-pedophile stance. Some things are simply wrong.

Claiming to be opposed to war in 'this instance' but arguing that there is a reasonable 'pro-war' view is sophist nonsense. Conceding that war is an option, is conceding the foundation, it's like that old joke about the woman who agrees to sleep with a man for a million dollars and establishes what she is, it's just a matter of arguing for the price after that.

To keep faith with the Great Man, would that have you working for the Philadelphia Department of Redundancy Department, issuing duplicate insults?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Bruce, I'll jump in here because (as I implied in my earlier post) I do believe that a war with Iran would be very unlikely if it were not for certain hard-line supporters of Israel. As you've probably seen, a 1994 interview with Cheney has been circulating on TV recently in which Cheney lists all the reasons the first Bush administration decided not to overturn Saddam Hussein. By 1998 (long before September 11), with the passage of the "Iraq Liberation Act," regime change in Iraq had become US policy. How did this rather dramatic change of heart occur? I think a lot of the credit goes to the lobbying effort of people associated with Bill Kristol's Project for the New American Century (PNAC), most significantly Richard Perle. As far as I can tell, the earliest call for regime change in Iraq after 1994 came in 1996, and the author was Perle. In a position paper written to advise incoming Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm), Perle (along with others later advising the second Bush administration, including Douglas Feith and David Wurmser) called for regime change in Iraq:

"Israel can shape its strategic environment, in cooperation with Turkey and Jordan, by weakening, containing, and even rolling back Syria. This effort can focus on removing Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq — an important Israeli strategic objective in its own right — as a means of foiling Syria’s regional ambitions. . . . Since Iraq's future could affect the strategic balance in the Middle East profoundly, it would be understandable that Israel has an interest in supporting the Hashemites in their efforts to redefine Iraq . . . . Most important, it is understandable that Israel has an interest supporting diplomatically, militarily and operationally Turkey’s and Jordan’s actions against Syria, such as securing tribal alliances with Arab tribes that cross into Syrian territory and are hostile to the Syrian ruling elite . . . King Hussein may have ideas for Israel in bringing its Lebanon problem under control. The predominantly Shia population of southern Lebanon has been tied for centuries to the Shia leadership in Najf, Iraq rather than Iran. Were the Hashemites to control Iraq, they could use their influence over Najf to help Israel wean the south Lebanese Shia away from Hizballah, Iran, and Syria. . . ."

I quote Perle et al at length because I think the passage paints a clear picture of the overall strategy of these neocon supporters of Israel, which starts with the remaking of Iraq and moves on to address Syria, Hezbollah, and Iran.

Now, I do not want to make the claim that PNAC wanted regime change in Iraq only because of a desire to promote Israeli security. The PNAC group included folks who, while they may support Israel, really are motivated by other interests. These folks include militeristic cold warriors with a hawkish view of foreign policy, oil men, and others who are enamored with using force to accomplish various "strategic" or even idealistic ends. Cheney and Rumsfeld fall into this group. I believe that the pro-Israeli folks were the first to suggest regime change in Iraq, but the suggestion found a sympathetic ear among the cold warriors and oil men. And without the support of those cold warriors and oil men, the Iraq war would not have happened, regardless of what Richard Perle may have wanted. Perle, Feith, and Wurmser, however, understood the support they would need from these other Americans as this additional quote from "Clean Break" shows:

"To anticipate U.S. reactions and plan ways to manage and constrain those reactions, Prime Minister Netanyahu can formulate the policies and stress themes he favors in language familiar to the Americans by tapping into themes of American administrations during the Cold War which apply well to Israel. If Israel wants to test certain propositions that require a benign American reaction, then the best time to do so is before November, 1996."

Perle et al. were actively involved in manipulating US officials by presenting "cold war" arguments attractive to those officials while in reality pursuing their ultimate goal of promoting Israeli security. I think the fact that a future American assistant secretary of defense (Feith) signed a letter advising the prime minister of a foreign country about the need to manipulate the opinions of American officials is worth looking into further. More important, though, is the fact that this paragraph gives us reason to distrust the stated arguments of some of these hardliners about America's reasons to pursue war. Their real motives for war may be different than their stated motives and may have little to do with American interests.

So what does this all say about Iran? After the disaster of Iraq, I don't see much strong support among Americans for another war in the Middle East. The strategic reasons (from an American perspective) to attack Iran are also weak. Oil is not as big an issue in Iran as it was in Iraq, and while the Iranian nuclear program may be a potential future problem, it is not a current threat. Iran's alleged support of Iraqi insurgents and its growing influence in the Middle East should first be addressed with diplomacy. And even if America had stronger strategic reasons for war with Iran, we need to question whether we have the resources to engage in another conflict in the Middle East given the strain and cost of the Iraq war.

For all these reasons, I cannot imagine the US going to war against Iran. Yet, we know there are people like Ledeen pushing for it. Why? The only reason I can think of is because these folks are still committed to the vision of Perle, Feith, and Wurmser. They still want to march from Baghdad to Damascus and Tehran. They want war with Hizbollah and Hamas. They are obsessed with "securing the realm" through force--and they are working hard to influence American officials to commit additional American blood and treasure to their cause. Caveat emptor.

I'm sorry Howard, you're a bit out of date. The Phildelphia Department of Redundancy Department has moved to Cleveland. You can still visit the Back Up Redundcancy Department in the original offices of the Department of Redundancy, or you can visit the overflow annex of Redundancy at the Department of Departments.

No, I'm angling for Curator of the International Museum of Insults, as soon as those peabrains read my Zimmerman telegram.

Hmmm...I have friends in some parts of Florida, but others might do better after invasion.

Seriously, let me comment on a Normandy-style invasion, a smaller version of which was planned for Cuba during the 1962 crisis. It was, IIRC, in 1990, at a historical symposium, when fUSSR papers were produced showing the Soviet commander in Cuba had around six tactical nuclear weapons, and the authority to use them against an amphibious invasion.

Today, nuclear weapons might not be needed, given that amphibious force would have been tracked for days prior to invasion. Strong air units, equipped with precision-guided missiles could be in place, as well as submarines.

This really isn't a bad example, not specifically for Iran, but worst-casing threats and seeing how credible they may be. There is no accident that the US Marines long ago abandoned the idea of landing on defended beaches, in preference to going around or over them.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

When one reads the Ledeen "dominate or destroy us" remark, which is so out of place in relation to the US-Iranian relationship, it is hard not to get the impression that by "us", Ledeen means Israel. Or to put it more charitably, perhaps, Ledeen is a man who is so habitually accustomed to viewing the world from the Israeli point of view - the point of view of an extremely tiny country in close proximity to Iran - that he does not recognize when he has transposed that point of view onto another very large country, far from Iran, whose vantage point on the world is radically different.

I do want to say that I think Israeli worries about an Iranian nuclear weapons program are realistic, given Israel's small size and position just a few hundred miles from Iran. Because of those circumstances, Israel would be vulnerable to an Iranian first nuclear strike. Even its own large number of nuclear missiles might not be an adequate deterrent, because an Iranian first strike could literally destroy all of Israel, and might be able to do so with almost no warning and before a counterstrike could be launched.

Of course, it must be mentioned that Iran is currently very vulnerable to an Israeli nuclear first strike. And the lack of any US discussion of the Israeli nuclear further undermines US credibility in the region, to the extent we have any credibility left to be undermined.

Nevertheless, as I said before, I think US negotiations with Iran could produce a verifiable agreement that would prevent an Iranian nuclear weapons program from coming into existence, and also put US-Iranian relations on a path to a better future. And I think Ledeen actually knows this. What Ledeen worries about is a not-to-distant future in which Iran will not be pointing any nuclear weapons at Israel, but in which Iran and the US have much cozier relations, and the special relationship between the US and Israel is undermined. He dreads the prospect of statements like this coming out of a future Washington:

"While the United States government remains intently concerned about the legitimate security interests of our ally Israel along its Lebanese border, we also recognize the legitimate concerns of the Lebanese, and respect the past contributions of Hizbollah to the defense of Lebanese territory against foreign invasion. We continue to work with our partner Iran to move all parties in the region toward a just and equitable settlement of remaining territorial disputes."

J. McCutchen

Americans need to ask themselves - why has our media featured Obama's supposed lack of foreign policy experience when the likes of

Norman Poderhoretz and Rudy Giuliani are allowed to roam free of straighjackets?

Maybe the question is never asked because the answer is too real, too true, too disturbing.

Remember, we have always been at war with Oceania. Anything else is just Eurasian propaganda.

And where exactly did I say that Steve suggested that? I'm suggesting it. When I say it is SOP, obviously, I mean it is the attitude of those running things, the people in charge. The PNAC preventive war seems to be the guiding principle of the administration and I think it should be fought tooth and nails by critics. The doctrine of "pre-emptive war" without an imminent existential threat is illegal.

A preventive war against Iraq went forward because we acquiesced to this doctrine. Remember that was portrayed as a last option, too. I started with Steve's quote because it has become a common attitude of FP experts on all sides that we have to approach these evil rogue nations with everything on the table.

The fact that Steve is a liberal critic of the administration but feels obligated to keep a potential preventive invasion on the table represents a change in general U.S. FP for the worst. I'm not singling him out here, but it seems the first option when discussing Iran is whether we bomb them or not. We start discussions with an assumed hostility against Iran and the idea that we have the right, as last resort of course, to bomb them into submission.

Iran is our enemy in the WOT because we proclaimed them our enemy. We have thwarted any good faith negotiations Iran has signaled and trumped up false allegations of attacks by them against us. We are about to declare Iran's Revolutionary Guard, a sovereign nation's military force, a terrorist group.

They are not and show no inclination and do not have the ability to capably attack America, which is the only thing that should trigger our last option. I cannot see how we could even go to war with Iran, but Ledeen and his cohorts are not just talking crap. They want to start another war and I think people need to speak out strongly against it, even as a last resort.

Howard,

Maybe we should build our coastal defenses
as the Germans did in Normandy, we could dub it, "The Atlantic Wall".

Maybe even put in some Rommel's Asparagus.

By the way, I bought a gun in case the Islamofascists send a Task Force up the Delaware River. :-)

Iran has a sizable Jewish population which has resisted Israeli bribery to emigrate. In recent months, the Hebrew Immigrant Aid Society, Israeli officials and some American Jewish communal leaders have urged Iranian Jews to leave. But so far, despite generally being allowed to travel to Israel and emigrate abroad, Iranian Jews have stayed put.

According to the statistics compiled by HIAS, 152 out of 25,000 [some estimate 40,000] Jews left Iran between October 2005 and September 2006 — down from 297 during the same period the previous year, and 183 the year before. Sources said that the majority of those who have left in recent years cited economic and family reasons as their main incentive for leaving, rather than political concerns.

The situation for Jews improved in the years after the revolution, and Judaism is one of the recognized minority religions in Iran. Jews, Zoroastrians and Christians have rights enshrined in the Islamic constitution, and they each elect their own member of parliament and are entitled to worship freely but not to proselytize. The result is the only Jewish community living under an avowedly Islamic regime. In Tehran, where the majority of the community lives, there are six kosher butchers and about 30 synagogues. In addition, there is the Jewish hospital, which has a Jewish director and is funded by donations from the Diaspora, though the vast majority of its staff and patients are Muslim. Children attend Jewish schools where they are taught Hebrew and receive religious training. All principals are Muslim, the schools do not close on the Sabbath and the curriculum is supervised by the government.

Some facts on Ledeen:

In early 2002, Leeden, along with Morris Amitay, a former AIPAC executive director as well as a CSP adviser, founded the Coalition for Democracy in Iran (CDI) to build congressional and administration support for Iran regime change. AIPAC and CDI helped ensure passage of recent House and Senate resolutions that condemn Iran, call for tighter sanctions and express support for Iranian dissidents. The CDI includes members of key neoconservative policy institutes and think tanks, including Raymond Tanter is a member of the Washington Institute for Near East Affairs (WINEA)—an off-shoot of AIPAC. Tanter is the founder and Co-Chair of the Iran policy Committee.

Michael A. Ledeen is an American Enterprise Institute Resident Scholar, and Foreign Editor of the American Spectator.

Ledeen is a friend of the Shah’s son Reza Pahlavi, Pahlavi has cultivated close ties with the Likud Party in Israel, the Iraq-based guerrilla group Mujahadin-E Khalq (MEK), and expatriate arms dealer Ghorbanifar. From his book The War against the Terror Masters: "The awesome power of a free society committed to a single mission is something [our enemies] cannot imagine. ... Our unexpectedly quick and impressive victory in Afghanistan is a prelude to a much broader war, which will in all likelihood transform the Middle East for at least a generation, and reshape the politics of many older countries around the world" (quoted in the American Enterprise Institute's 2002 Annual Report).

In 2002 Ledeen criticized the views of former National Security Adviser Brent Scowcroft, writing: "He fears that if we attack Iraq 'I think we could have an explosion in the Middle East. It could turn the whole region into a cauldron and destroy the War on Terror.' One can only hope that we turn the region into a cauldron, and faster, please. If ever there were a region that richly deserved being cauldronized, it is the Middle East today. If we wage the war effectively, we will bring down the terror regimes in Iraq, Iran, and Syria, and either bring down the Saudi monarchy or force it to abandon its global assembly line to indoctrinate young terrorists. That's our mission in the war against terror."

With all respect to the Resistance, one wonders why some of the collaborators didn't put Hollandaise on the asparagus.

Seriously, I'd like some of those that are convinced of an immediate Iranian threat to describe how it would work. Alternatively, have independent experts do their best to describe the scenario, as was done with a hypothetical Israeli strike against Iran.

Of course, given a number of the weapons involved, this is rocket science, so talk radio pundits need not apply.
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

BISHKEK, Aug 17, 2007 -- The 7th meeting of the Council of Heads of State of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) concluded here Thursday after issuing a joint communique on multilateral relations and major international issues of common concern. Chinese President Hu Jintao, Kazakhstan President Nursultan Nazarbayev, Kyrgyzstan President Kurmanbek Bakiev, Russian President Vladimir Putin . . . Leaders or representatives from the SCO's observer countries -- Mongolia, Pakistan, Iran and India -- also attended the summit.

news report (16 Feb 07): Last week, Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards Corps' (IRGC) naval and air forces staged a military maneuver in the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman near the Hormuz Strait to test-fire the newly acquired, Russian-made TOR M-1 surface-to-air defense shield, claimed to be short-range by the manufacturer. The TOR M-1 air defense shield has a 12 km range which could be increased to 20 km, Salami said and added that it is capable of rapidly tracking down 48 targets and engaging with eight, including cruise missiles simultaneously. The system, capable of tracing modern Cruise missiles, was successfully test-fired on the first of the two-day maneuvers, Salami said.

"I do want to say that I think Israeli worries about an Iranian nuclear weapons program are realistic, given Israel's small size and position just a few hundred miles from Iran. Because of those circumstances, Israel would be vulnerable to an Iranian first nuclear strike. Even its own large number of nuclear missiles might not be an adequate deterrent, because an Iranian first strike could literally destroy all of Israel, and might be able to do so with almost no warning and before a counterstrike could be launched."

True.  But Iran is a theocracy and one of their holiest sites is in Jerusalem -- the Dome of the Rock.  It is hard to imagine how they could ever justify a first strike to the Muslim community including their own population.

Sometimes I wish somone would just dump some of those oil-eating microbes in all the oil wells they could find in the Middle East.  Maybe that would stop this madness.

 

and they [neocons] are increasingly offering defamatory comments about George W. Bush himself at their small dinner parties and neocon gatherings.

No doubt. But their game in public is just the opposite. I read Bill Kristol sycophantic "Why Bush Will be a Winner" as a shameless ploy to court favor with Bush by flattering him. In fact, the article snuck its way to the Oval Office and much was made of Bush's appreciation. Bush's ego is so fragile he'll invade the country of your choice if only you tell him what a strong leader that'll make him.

Kristol knows what he is doing. Sacks of lying shit usually know what they're doing.

"Every ten years or so, the United States needs to pick up some small crappy little country and throw it against the wall, just to show the world we mean business" Echoed recently by Jonah Goldberg and "the only way to achieve peace is through total war" "The purpose of total war is to permanently force your will onto another people"

No 1933 German Nazi pig could have said it better. Jackboots on a Jewish person are particularly unattractive. Jackbooted thugs no matter the ethnicity of the booted just make me so damned mad I want do what my uncle did to several SS guards of a death camp he helped liberate as a platoon Sgt. in WWII. After seeing what had been happening in the camp he marched several of them into the woods outside the camp and converted the bastards to fertilizer.

While I am catching up on the posts here let me just wade in against a pervasive misuse of an adjective, "existential", that specifically relates to a statement of existence or relating to existentialism; that is, pertaining to existence.

Now all too commonly used as in "an existential threat" meaning "a threat to one's existence", this is distinctly NOT what it means. It is over and ignorantly used mostly by the right and neocon types in particular because, I think, they believe it makes them sound more astute. To the contrary. Let's not see it here.

Help in the fight for accurate and specific expression.

Hey Val, cut it out -- you're stealing my shtick after I stole it fair and square.

I'll issue a mea culpa on that one. Then again, "mea culpa" is an even worse example of trying to sound smart...damn.

"Seriously, I'd like some of those that are convinced of an immediate Iranian threat to describe how it would work.........

Of course, given a number of the weapons involved, this is rocket science, so talk radio pundits need not apply."

Howard, so what you're saying is, the mile wide half inch deep crowd are excluded.

Check!

What would the Neo cons, conservatives, Rush Limbaugh dittoheads, Hannity and O'Reilly fans and the completely vacuous do without an enemy to rail against?

Bruce,

nah, I'm not a pacifist, I simply need a more convincing reason to go to war than most others.

Refer to newer post, near top of page.

Vaguely apropos in the Truth is Stranger than Fiction category, the Indiana state unemployment department recalled and recompeted a contract to build a new system for tracking unemployed citizens. The contract had been awarded to a firm that was going to do the work in India.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

The NY Times is playing along with the Bomb Iran crowd, as usuall too:

In disingeniously dismissing criticism of Michael Gordon's articles linking EFPs to Iran, Clark Hoyt, the NY Times Public Editor claims that Gordon's previous articles had already provided "strong evidence" of the Iranian origin of the EFPs... but the New York Times itself reported the discovery of EFP factories in Iraq back on April 7...
SOURCE: Iran Affairs

~

Ah yes Jexster ...

Although in a slighty different context, as an old acquaintance of mine once wrote some 40+ years ago :

"Is my questioning too bothersome, too true?"

~OGD~


Since Herman Goering's explanation of how you have to call them traitors to start a war properly.


Achmedinajad has started doing the thing the neocons most hate: dragging the Holocaust rug out from under the ramshackle secular Zionist excuses for Israeli bad behavior and expansionism.

They see Achmedinajad endangering and undermining their notion of Israel as an Ashkenazi resurrection and the Holocaust cultism that guarantees Western goodwill toward it. They apparently can't imagine or don't trust in a positive justification or reality of Israel as a social enterprise of Judaism rather than survival of Eastern European Jews. Their paranoid demonic theory of anti-Semitism doesn't allow it.

Achmedinajad is toying with exposing and turning this strength into weakness. That is intolerable, of course.

noblesseoblige said:

I read Bill Kristol sycophantic "Why Bush Will be a Winner" as a shameless ploy to court favor with Bush by flattering him. In fact, the article snuck its way to the Oval Office and much was made of Bush's appreciation.

I'm still waiting for the David Broder predicted surge in the polls for Bush.

Broder interviewed Fred Thompson recently and Thompson said; I would have opposed adding the Medicare drug benefit to medicare, "A $17 TRILLION add-on to a program that's going bankrupt."

Broder never asked him how he arrived at the $17 Trillion figure.

I'm afraid Mr. Webster disagrees with you, notthere:

1: of, relating to, or affirming existence

WRT your nom de clavier? Now that's existential in any sense of the word!

Purple State:

Your post is excellent, worthy of substantial discussion, and is a credit to the Cafe. As you may have seen earlier in this post, however, I have been criticized for having a singular focus on Israel. Accordigly, while I disagree with that stinging charge, it feels too wierd for me to continue to participate in this particualr discussion. I reserve the right to post again when I feel comfortable, but I don't think that further participation by me in this thread would be productive (even though I submit that the comments I generated from you and Dan K suggest that, absent the criticism, I think my participation would have been at least a net positive).

I do understand your concerns but do have a different take on many of the material facts about which we could stipulate (and we can stipulate outright that neoconservatives like Michael Ledeen are doing a disservice to this country by their advocacy of aggression against Iran). I would be more than happy to address them with you at length on another occasion, but I will not do so under these circumstances.

I do want to thank you for corroborating what I said in response to my critic, and that is that it wasn't me who first raised Israel in this post. As you can see, even without my participation this thread demonstrates, that both before and after I posted yesterday morning, there's lots of Israel talk--as well as talk about Jews--going on around here.

Hope you got in some good fishing up there since the last time we spoke.

Bruce

bslev,

Consider that bluebell's "we" doesn't include you, and it will begin to make more sense.

Two topics often spoken of here at TPM are the war and anti semitism. My thoughts on both:


There are some things you learn with your eyes that you never forget.

I learned two things with my eyes during WWll, things I never forgot;

The horrors of war; and anti semitism, as practiced by the masters.

War;

Oh how easy it is to send others to war when you yourself don't have to do the fighting. How many, who are quick to war, never entered the military, even in peace time. I think many are John Wayne wannabes, tough guys, living vicariously through soldiers in the field. The coward who eggs on the bully to pick on other school children. The Michael Ledeen types who are out to save the world at other's expense.
The cretins who have comfortable wars, comfortable because they never have to sacrifice anything.
I made two combat jumps; Normandy, Holland; and fought in the Bulge and the Rhineland campaigns, and those 4 battles also represented my 4 closest friends, young men, 20, 20, 21, 21, who lost their lives, one in each battle. People don't die neatly in war, more often then not, they die from massive destruction of their bodies.

I loathe the people who have created this war. I want the criminals who lied and cheated and pretended and twisted and perverted reality and those who rationalized their crimes so they could send over 3500 men and woman to their death, nearly 30,000 to come home torn, some never to be whole again, thousands more to suffer mental damage, and tens of thousands of innocent Iraqi civilians to be swept into the garbage can of "collateral damage," to pay.

These bastards and their apologists should be stripped naked and forced to walk the main streets of America, allowing every city and town that has lost a loved one to injury or death in this shameful catastrophe to heap on them the scorn they deserve.

The willingness to send others off to die for a misguided war because the wingnuts wet their pants after 9/11 is called "cowardice" not courage.

The biggest problem about people who talk about "fighting for America" is that they expect others to do the fighting. Few have the balls to actually do the hard work of "defending freedom".

Me, if I thought our way of life was truly being threatened by an external foe (be it "Islamofascists" or whatever), I wouldn't have any trouble re-enlisting to fight that threat.

My moral compass would demand that I fight that war, to protect our way of life for my family.

Then again, I enlisted to fight a war, so I don't have a chickenhawk bone in my entire body.

So Mister Ledeen, grab a rifle and lead the charge across the Iranian border and I'll follow. And we'll take Dough Feith with us.

Anti semitism, as practiced by the masters;

I don't remember how I felt about Jews prior to my years in the Army, if I felt anything at all. But after the war there certainly existed a view, a sympathetic view that's been with me for the last 60 odd years.

My company liberated the Woebbelin concentration camp at Ludwigslust, Germany.
By then I had seen how badly people in occupied countries suffered, but this was different. Hollywood, with all its ability in special effects could never recreate this. Emaciated people in rags just laying there waiting to die. You couldn't tell if who you were looking at was a man or a woman, young or old. Pits where they burned the dead. The stench was horrid.
All we could do for those poor souls was comfort them until they died, then we buried them. We eventually left there and turned them over to, if I remember, the Fourth Armored.

Today I see people in this forum post comments, and now and then too quick the accusations of anti semitism fly. When I see these charges, and in some cases against innocent commentary, I wonder what anti semitism the one slinging the charge ever suffered. Was he the victim of a slur, did he lose a job, was he victimized by bigots in some way?
The Israelis are experiencing anti semitism far more serious than any American Jew here.
What form of anti semitism has Joe Lieberman suffered compared to some family in Israel who lost a loved one, perhaps a child, in a suicide bombing or some other form of attack?

I don't wish to be seen unsympathetic to groups that suffer because of some bigoted stereotype, I abhor that kind of treatment, but when you see the anti semitism as practiced by the masters, all else seems secondary.

Bruce, it was Clemmons who brought up Israel in the initial post--and I believe your question to him was a good and important one. I can understand your desire not to get dragged into the stinking quagmire that surrounds most discussions of Israel, but I'd be interested in hearing your thoughts whenever you're next ready to participate.

On a much more important issue--trout fishing--August is a slow month. The water is at its warmest and the trout get sluggish. But the cool weather this weekend is promising. September is a fine month. The water begins to chill and the Brook Trout start moving toward their spawning streams. Brookies in their brilliant red and green spawning colors are maybe the most beautiful of the trout and a delight to catch (and release). Not sure if my work schedule will allow it, but if it does, I'll be up in northern Maine the third or fourth week of September when the fishing is best, beyond the reach of television, newspapers, internet, telephones, and all the other silly distractions that keep us from noticing the changing leaf and the faint calls of the last songbirds retreating before the snow-laden clouds of October.

JohnW1141,

The Israelis are experiencing anti semitism far more serious than any American Jew here.

Exactly how do we quantify or qualify such experience?  When discussions turn to the influence of Jews over US foreign policy, is it wrong to place off limits the historical memory of people who may have a reasonable degree of sensitivity to such discussions?  If we limit any and all discussion of antisemitism and its implications strictly to its most extreme historic examples, then are we not stifling the debate we presume to desire?

Among the wisest books I've read on international affairs is Fred Ikle's Every War Must End (preferably the revised edition covering 1991). Ikle is a legitimate scholar who also has solid Republican credentials, so he's hard to attack from the current GOP crowd.

Among his premises are that countries that start wars, without a clear idea of the conditions that constitute victors, or the conditions that indicate a defeat from which the country must withdraw, are likely to lose those wars. A variant on this is what is sometimes called "strategic overreach" and sometimes "mission creep."

WWII Japan's basic strategy from Pearl Harbor on was to damage infrastructure of the US and clear out closer foreign forces. Once that was done, they would hold position behind a strong defensive line in the Western Pacific, forcing the enemy to fight them where they were strongest.

Although we didn't fully understand the implications of it until after the war, the Doolittle Raid, intended largely to improve US home morale, had a devastating effect on this strategy. Senior commanders lost face by allowing the Emperor to be threatened, so they both pulled air defense back into Japan, and, more importantly, decided to extend their defense perimeter to include Midway. Midway was considerably further east than the rest of the line, and the operation to take it was an example of strategic overreach. Although there are a few alternatives, the Battle of Midway was the turning point in the Pacific.

So, if wise strategists always can define their goals, is Ledeen's statement


In 2002 Ledeen criticized the views of former National Security Adviser Brent Scowcroft, writing: "He fears that if we attack Iraq 'I think we could have an explosion in the Middle East. It could turn the whole region into a cauldron and destroy the War on Terror.' One can only hope that we turn the region into a cauldron, and faster, please. If ever there were a region that richly deserved being cauldronized, it is the Middle East today. If we wage the war effectively, we will bring down the terror regimes in Iraq, Iran, and Syria, and either bring down the Saudi monarchy or force it to abandon its global assembly line to indoctrinate young terrorists. That's our mission in the war against terror."

much more than something that would fly as reasonable under anarchists? Cauldrons are useful for Wiccan ritual and for preparing large amounts of stew, but generally are undesirable on the world stage. Can anyone say, for example, Weimar Germany? Post-Tito Yugoslavia?


--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]


Mea culpa runneth over.

If we wage the war effectively, we will bring down the terror regimes in Iraq, Iran, and Syria, and either bring down the Saudi monarchy

That is just some powerful insane nasty stuff.

the Iranian origin of the EFPs... but the New York Times itself reported the discovery of EFP factories in Iraq

????

Well, I could say a certain Israeli was the victim of anti semitism when he lost his wife and daughter to a suicide bomber in Haifa, while an American Jew who never travelled outside the country didn't experience the same anti semitism the Israeli did.

I could say that but I won't, because it will simply join a debate that never ends, and I may be accused of using "antisemitic implications" in my post.


Sorry, I have no mathematical equation or empirical studies to 'prove' my 'opinions', because after all, they're opinions, that's all I have. If my opinions don't fit your mold of reality or your standards of scholarship I suggest you ignore me.

Someone once said "opinions are like assholes, everyone has them."

You can have the last word.

jexster,

excellent point.


It was common practice throughout our regiment that we didn't take SS or Waffen SS prisoners unless we were ordered to.

JohnW1141,

Sorry, I have no mathematical equation or empirical studies to 'prove' my 'opinions', because after all, they're opinions, that's all I have. If my opinions don't fit your mold of reality or your standards of scholarship I suggest you ignore me.

I asked you some questions, JohnW1141.  I do not understand your defensive posture.  If I did not take your opinion seriously, I surely would not have bothered to ask.

Let me throw in another case and ask what, if any, "antis" apply:


  1. An American citizen, a Catholic, who lost his wife and daughter, while vacationing, to a suicide bomber in Haifa.

  2. An Israeli citizen, a Druze, who lost his wife and daughter, while vacationing, to a suicide bomber in Haifa.

  3. An American citizen, a Catholic, who lost his wife and daughter to a suicide pilot at the World Trade Center.

  4. An American citizen, a Jew, who lost his wife and daughter to a suicide pilot at the World Trade Center.

  5. An Israeli citizen, a Druze, who lost his wife and daughter to a suicide pilot at the World Trade Center.

  6. An Israeli citizen, a Jew, who lost his wife and daughter to a suicide pilot at the World Trade Center.

  7. An American citizen, a Jew, who lost his wife and daughter to a terrorist truck bomber at the Murrah Building in Oklahoma City.

  8. An American citizen, a Unitarian, who lost his wife and daughter to a terrorist truck bomber at the Murrah Building in Oklahoma City.

  9. An Israeli citizen, a Jew, who lost his wife and daughter to a terrorist truck bomber at the Murrah Building in Oklahoma City.


--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

SeeDee

John: VERY good post.

From one of the same generation you represent, I would like to call attention to the quandary that Neocons like Ledeen, et al., pose for me (and I imagine others):

From the WW II days, right on through the establishment of the present State of Israel and for some years thereafter, my convictions always supported the Israelis, their policies, and their declared aims (which seemed to be a 'peaceful' co-existence in the ME).

With the developements of the past 10 to 15 years, that appraisal of Israel and its aims
has gradually swung around to a point where most of the 'official' actions and policies of the State of Israel are viewed with profound suspicions.

And the actions of JEWISH-Americans like Ledeen, Lieberman, Perle, Wolfowitz, Feith can only be viewed with contempt and a conviction that the interests of the U.S.A. are secondary (if even that) to their concerns for Israeli expansionism.

All very troubling, to say the least...and I wonder if the Neocons have any idea how many nominally Israel-supporters are being pushed into the other category of critics of their (Ledeen's, et alii) inane biases and insane calls for savagery and war?

With the rule that every political movement or policy creates a counter-movement and/or advocates of counter-policies, do we suppose that the likes of Ledeen have any idea of the ultimate damages they could do to the cause of Jews in the U.S. and elsewhere?

Well said. Even here, I really have to stop and think whether I'm giving a considered opinion, or a knee-jerk reaction to some of the "Israel can do no wrong and must protect itself from imminent destruction" crowd. It amazes me that some post here and say they are trying to change views, when they are about as effective a spokesman for their views as Ronald MacDonald for fine cooking or Mary Baker Eddy for neurosurgery.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Just don't leave out:

An Iraqi citizen, a Muslim, who lost his wife and children to a shock and awe war of choice bombing in Baghdad.

We count and name every person killed at the WTC or every person killed in an attack in Isreal. We do not count or even acknowledge the people we have killed in Iraq but I'd guess that number is more than the total of 1-9. We'll never know so we don't have to bother about it and besides they aren't good Catholics, or Unitarians or Jews.

Howard,

ol dense John here; I don't know what you're getting at. I don't see "anti" anything applying to your examples, please expand.

:-)

Well, if the invaded Texas, too, I for one, will hail Florida & Texas new overlords.
But, seriously- this has been a informative & thoughtful thread. Thx to all.
Jesis, these guys leave out we overthrew a legit Gvt & installed a thug!
And they get away with it, daily.


In my post above, I referenced the "tens of thousands of innocent Iraqi civilians to be swept into the garbage can of "collateral damage,"...."

Oops, sorry John, I'm sorry I missed that.

Bill, to Hillary Clinton; "Hill, have you noticed all the attention being given to Iran recently?"

Hillary: "Yeah, Iran replaced you as the Doer of all Evil."

Rove, when asked on Meet the Press about the '92 Cheney video showing why Cheney didn't want to oust Saddam:

Rove: "9/11 changed everything".

No it didn't, 9/11 didn't change Cheney's analysis of what would occur if we ousted Saddam militarily. In fact, Cheney's analysis was perfect.

Rove lied by avoiding the question.

David Gregory, replacing Russert, failed by not following up and asking Rove why Cheney's analysis wasn't planned for.

Let's face the truth about Ledeen and the neocons and call what they are proposing what it is...A Crusade.  All the neocons, and especially ones like Ledeen, feel they are doing the work of the "righteous Judeo-Christian God".  And they view any and all Muslims as the enemy.  They make what seems like a silly argument that Muslims want to come here and subject us to their religious/cultural mores.  The neocons to pay back their electoral supporters, the Christian Fundamentalists, have breeched the Wall of Separation.  So if another major organized religion gains a foothold in our society they could impose their religious morality on this country...all thanks to Ledeen and his fellow neocons.  A threat of the neocons own making since 9/11.

I remember Ledeen wrote an article some time ago (which me and artappraiser discussed) that basically said NOLA got what it deserved because it was wicked in the eyes of God.  It should give a good deal of insight into Ledeen's mindset.  Ledeen is a true believer, a wingnut of the highest order, but not all neocons hold their positions because they are religious zealots.  Many of them are more beholden to the military-industrial complex and it's money.  But they will support the goals of the religious zealots because whether for corporate profits or for an extremist religious agenda those are the voters, very active voters at that, who put them in and keep them in power.  And those supporters are more likely to support our actions in the Middle-East if they think it is root cause is for "The Glory of God".  The Islamic extremists are calling for jihad against "The West" and the Christian zealots in the US, aren't that concerned with terrorism per se, they want a Crusade in the Middle-East...A Crusade against all of Islam under the false premise that if we don't have a Crusade all of Christianity shall perish.

I did leave out a Muslim who lost his wife and children to a shock and awe bombing in Baghdad, because my post was not directed toward every unjust death in the world. It was directed at those that are not always consistent about anti-Semitism or acts against Zionism. My post was not directed at every human rights abuse in the world.

Your point is perfectly pertinent in some discussions, but is as relevant, or not as relevant, as the killings by the Lord's Resistance Army or the Khmer Rouge.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Steve:

First, generally a GREAT post, with one important caveat.

an extremist Iranian government now committed more than ever to the acquisition of nuclear weapons.” ???

That’s a pretty war mongering statement Steve. Please share your evidence for that. What I see Iran committed to is refining its own nuclear fuel, a right guaranteed to them by BOTH the NPT and UN Resolution Number 1. So UNTIL you cite some evidence for your assertion, despite all your otherwise excellent, level headed writing, I will continue to see you as a “Judy Miller/ Michael Gordon” type of mouthpiece for demonizing Iran, and, despite professing to do otherwise, also beating the drums of preemptive war on Iran.

From my perspective, it is a totally different thing to understand nuclear technology completely (including HOW to assemble a critical mass and start the chain reaction) and to make a bomb. Japan and Germany also are in the same place. I for one, am grateful for, and applaud the Iranians for having the courage to stand up to USA hegemony on nuclear enrichment. To have your former boss (Jeff Bingaman) attend the Los Alamos National Laboratory “celebration” of building the first plutonium pit in 18 years is despicable, and something the ME sees as beyond contempt and hypocrisy. 6,000 active, and SAFE, nuclear warheads are not enough?

Ledeen, while an extreme example of the American Neo-Nutzi’s, is but a part of the much larger problem of America being in control of the American Nazi party. As you know, my father was a member of this party (just as the Iraqi’s were required to be a member of the Bathist Party to teach at the University). Let’s be clear on what the Nazi Party was-

a)a Party that saw Germany as having Superior values
b)a Party that militarized society to impose those “superior” values on the rest of the world.

So Steve, pray tell what is different here in the USA, to support an assertion that the US today is not very similar to the Nazi's of the late 1930's?

And let’s also not kid ourselves in what the designation of the Republican National Guard as a “terrorist” organization means – a precursor to a declaration of war against Russia and China, who, as part of SCO are engaging in joint military exercises.


"It is obvious that force and the threat of force cannot be and should not be an instrument of foreign policy" - Mikhail Gorbachev

"Force does not subdue, it enrages" - Richard Vague

As you know, I reject the theory that actions against people in Israel are necessarily anti-Semitic. There are posters here that equate the two, and I am offering some things that are counterexamples. I would not have any argument saying that the killing of a Druze or American Catholic in Israel is part of a campaign against Israel, of anti-Zionism, or terms along those lines.

If the bomber did not ask for religious affiliations of all of his targets, I contend that it can hardly be antisemitism, unless the only victims of any consequence, in Israel, are Jews.

In like manner, if a Jew of any citizenship died in the WTC attacks, that person died as a result of terrorism directed at the United States, not individuals in it. Timothy McVeigh indeed spoke of his definition of white supremacy, but his act in Oklahoma City was principally, in his own words, retaliation for actions of the US government.

If Jews happened to die in the above attacks, it is as regrettable as any innocent person dying anywhere. It is not, however, a special death, any more than the Iraqi citizen killed by an errant cruise missile was attacked because they were Sunni or Shi'a. The Iraqi citizen was killed as a result of a geopolitical policy, which I consider unbalanced and quite possibly criminal, of the Bush Administration.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Howard,

Even here, I really have to stop and think whether I'm giving a considered opinion, or a knee-jerk reaction to some of the "Israel can do no wrong and must protect itself from imminent destruction" crowd.

Please be specific.  Who represents that crowd here in this discussion, and exactly how are they stifling this discourse?  TIA.

Take note of how readily some come to the defense of the Bush/Cheney gang regardless of the controversy. Conservative Stephen Hayes' new book on Cheney is an example.

Try to remember all that has been defended since Bush first took office; Iraq, Katrina, obsessive secrecy, signing statements, lying, Republican corruption,
Alberto Gonzales, illegal spying, secret prisons, torture, politicization of the Justice Dept, Valerie Plame (a classic)
and anything else you can add.

The defense is almost a Pavlovian reaction to any new charge against the Bush gang.

If one is going to spend many of one's waking hours wallowing in whatever the cause happens to be, one is going to react to stimuli, real or imagined, as Pav's dogs did.

I didn't say stifling discussion. As far as Israel not needing to be under any constraints, start with Bar Kochba. Davai, once in a while, will agree that some Israeli position was not justifiable, but most of his arguments try to divert any criticism.

I am not going to go back through posts, but I put anyone urging military action, in the near term, against Iranian nuclear facilities into that category.

The issue of "Israel can do no wrong and must always be stronger" differs from the position that an attack on Israel is necessarily anti-Semitic. Please correct me, but it is my understanding that we disagree on that point. To me, an attack on Israel is an attack on a nation-state.

Only if the attacker has a policy of attacking Jews worldwide do I consider it anti-semitic, and there are indeed groups that fall into that category. If Hizbollah indeed attacked a Jewish center in Argentina, I'd call them anti-Semitic. I'd also note, as ugly as they may be, they can't be destroyed in Lebanon.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Howard,

you made me think, thanks. I mistakenly posted that an attack against an Israeli in Israel was anti semitism, when it was probably 'anti state of Israel in that particular geographic location'.

I have no reason to believe that if Israel was located in Europe, Arabs would be attacking them there.

bell,

:-)

In fairness, there was a great deal of historical antisemitism (not especially anti-Zionism, given no State of Israel) in Europe, culminating in the Holocaust. Modern Europeans, however, try very hard to avoid that, sometimes to what Americans may perceive as suppression of free speech.

European Jews are not under constant attack. I suppose it's too science-fictionish to note that the Israel Defense Force could have wiped out the armed forces of the Third Reich without breathing too hard. Even against modernized Arab forces, Israel overmatches regional militaries, but, as with many countries, have not found a solution to asymmetrical warfare by insurgents.

If the mere attacking of someone in Israel is anti-Semitism, then an attack on a visiting Catholic archbishop is anti-Semitic. If a group that attacks indiscriminate targets in Israel also deliberately targets Jews elsewhere in the world, I have no problem saying they are anti-Semitic.

While absolutely agreeing there are anti-Semites in the world as well as people and countries opposed to Israel, I have to regard this in the context of military balance. Even if some nuts in Idaho get the full-automatic conversion kit for their M-16's, they don't represent a serious threat to anyone. How would an equal number of civilians, even with comparable weapons, fared against your Airborne infantry company?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

J. McCutchen

For seven years the inmates have run the asylum (with more than a little help from Hillary et al) but this reminds me of the asylum scene in "Bridge Too Far"


Iran has Bush by the short and the curlies. That's been obvious for some time. Now even the loons wandering and laughing in the forest can see what Lieberman et al still can't.

Or can they????


  • British Forces Useless in Basra, Say Officials (Telegraph UK)
  • Military Commanders Tell Brown to Withdraw From Iraq Without Delay (Independent UK)
  • Ahamdinejad to Visit Iraq
  • Howard,

    The issue of "Israel can do no wrong and must always be stronger" differs from the position that an attack on Israel is necessarily anti-Semitic. Please correct me, but it is my understanding that we disagree on that point. To me, an attack on Israel is an attack on a nation-state.

    Am I supposed to believe that there is no difference between the positions that Israel-can-do-no-wrong and attacks on Israel are necessarily antisemitic?  I do not believe that Israel always makes the best policy decisions or is altogether blameless for the circumstances of the conflict, but I do believe that the nature of attacks on Israel (as distinguished from criticism of its policies) are rooted in the historic rejectionism of Jewish national self-determination in Israel.  I appreciate a significant difference between those positions, thus I would say we agree that they differ.  Do I understand your point?

    You and I have argued over the extent to which rejectionism of Jewish national rights in Israel may be considered antisemitic, so it is safe to say that we disagree on that. 

    If I am wrong to have included yours among the opinion that raising the subject of antisemitism serves to inhibit open discourse, I apologize for the misunderstanding and for mischaracterizing your opinion.

    Howard,

    As far as Israel not needing to be under any constraints, start with Bar Kochba. Davai, once in a while, will agree that some Israeli position was not justifiable, but most of his arguments try to divert any criticism.

    When you said "here," I assumed you meant in this particular discussion.  It is now obvious to me that you did not.  Nevertheless, I would submit that conflating all Zionists with a handful of individual opinions (mine included) is as flawed as the idea that all criticism of Israel is necessarily antisemitic.

    Shy and retiring that I am, very little inhibits my participation in discourse. Just to be clear, I do not believe that any people anywhere has a right to national self-determination, unless we really want the world to break into thousands of little nations. Now, if a country has a population that significantly shares a heritage, by all means let Ireland celebrate Irish literature and song, let China and France celebrate their contributions to gastronomy, and let Iceland celebrate its role in the development of parliamentary democracy.

    I do not, however, support an ethnically-based "right of return", or preference for citizenship based on ethnicity or any religion. Or, to take my earlier examples, must there be independent countries for the Basque, Chechens, or Ibo? Do Kurds and Alawites have justification to split off from Turkey?

    So, when someone starts throwing around antisemitism as an explanation of why a person critical of Israeli policy, unless it meets my criteria for antisemitism (i.e., opposition to Jews wherever they are found), I tune it out.

    I hope you understand that my position on national identity is not specific to any particular identity. At the same time, I do not recognize a Jewish exceptionalism that, for example, Kurds do not have. It was Clemenceau, I believe, that suggested a language is a dialect with an army. In most of this sad world's history, national identity is what can be asserted by force of arms, and is slowly getting to a point where a number of nations recognize that position isn't always to their advantage. In a cold Darwinism, Israel has such overwhelming military superiority that I can see no plausible way its neighbors can destroy it.

    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    JohnW1141,

    I have no reason to believe that if Israel was located in Europe, Arabs would be attacking them there.

    How about the attack on a Jewish Community Center in Buenos Aires back in the 90s -- Antisemitism, political statement, or all of the above?

    ... plus the Iranians have learned a lesson from the situation in Nortk Korea -the US doesn't attack if you have nukes.Tom

    Why does NBC have David Gregory, Karl Rove's rap buddy, questioning Turd Blossom, the Architect?Tom

    ... frighteningly the same crew of idiots has Cheney's ear today & Uncle Dick is pressuring Boy George.Tom

    Howard,

    Just to be clear, I do not believe that any people anywhere has a right to national self-determination, unless we really want the world to break into thousands of little nations.

    Not a pretty picture, indeed.  Nevertheless, the historical record suggests a fairly reasonable interpretation that statelessness is intolerable for some peoples more than others, and that assertions of national self-determination are an arguable deterrent to actual existential vulnerability.

    If we bomb Iran, we need to realize and accept that there is a strong chance that the public will rally toward rather than away from its current populist political leadership under President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The worst situation would be to have a perception of citizen-given legitimacy behind an extremist Iranian government now committed more than ever to the acquisition of nuclear weapons.

    eric, you mis-read Steve. You were probably confused by his mis-use of the word "now" when he should have used "then". The situation he described was a possible consequence of the US bombing Iran.

    As you indicate, there is no proof, according to the IAEA, that the Iranians are developing nuclear weapons, but if the US bombs them then they would naturally re-consider, because the US doesn't bomb nuclear-armed countries. Steve's point. (Given that, they probably should have developed nuclear weapons before now.)

    JohnW1141 -- thanks for your note. There has been a lot of back and forth here on my negating my own pacifism. More is being read into this than I had intended. The truth is simply that I'm not a pacifist and wanted to make that clear because I'm not anti-Iran War out of pacifist principles. I'm anti-Iran War from a mostly realist assessment of the situation and the costs and benefits embedded in a hot military action against Iran.

    I do see scenarios in which Iran's government could engage in a reckless escalation with the U.S. that leads to an idiotic and highly destructive war. Cheney and Ahmadinejad are the two players who most want war -- and they need to be preempted.

    There are many here who are pacifists, and I respect their commitment to such an ideal -- but I'm not there. But if pacifists, liberal internationalists, realists and others are all equally opposed to what Ledeen is proposing, I think that's something that should be noted positively.

    best,

    Steve Clemons

    Iran is a fake democracy -- but there are elements of democracy and popular will being expressed through elections there.

    This bothered me too, Dan K

    Then I thought, what if I use the find-replace function on my word processor--Find Iran, replace U.S. -- and it all became crystal clear.  (I was still bothered). 

    aMike

    Meanwhile, Michael, do me a favor: go flush yourself!

    He better do it quick while there's a Republican Administration to overlook the environmental degradation and unbearable pollution load on the water resources caused thereby.

    aMike

    Re:  Michael Ledeen.

    I'm working my way through Joe Conason's It Can Happen Here: Authoritarian Peril in the Age of Bush.  If you have it in your to read pile you might want to pick it up.  Chapter One, The Post 9/11 World View of Karl Rove, has a lengthy section on Ledeen--pp. 37 - 43.  What a nasty piece of business Ledeen is.  He has been a nasty piece of business for a very long time.

    Conason's book, on the other hand, is a gem, MHO.  Every chapter provides yet another reason why impeachment is a moral imperative.  Every chapter is could serve as grounds for an article of indictment, and each has really brilliantly chosen quotations from Madison, Paine, Lincoln, et al. serving as headers. 

    aMike

    tlees2,

    excellent question.

    Not especially apropos. I think the Israel lobby is really feeling the pressure. The Walt-Mearsheimer book wont be out til Sept and its #120 on Amazon already.
    And now this:

    ADL Fires New England Director for Affirming Armenian Genocide (JTA)
    Published: 08/19/2007
    Andrew Tarsy, the head of the Anti-Defamation League’s Boston office, was fired after dissenting from the organization’s position concerning the Armenian genocide. Tarsy was fired Friday, one day after he publicly broke ranks with the organization over its refusal to acknowledge the massacres of Armenians by Ottoman Turks during World War I as genocide, the Boston Globe reported. In an interview in Friday’s Globe, Tarsy urged the ADl to change its position on the matter. "I strongly disagree with ADL's national position," Tarsy said. "It's my strong hope that we'll be able to move forward in a relationship with the Armenian community and the community in general." The ADL responded with a statement, due to be published as an advertisement in regional newspapers this week, saying it did not deny that genocide took place but reiterating its opposition to an effort, vigorously opposed by Turkey, to have Congress pronounce on the issue. "We believe that legislative efforts outside of Turkey are counterproductive to the goal of having Turkey itself come to grips with its past," the statement said. "We take no position on what action Congress should take on House Resolution 106." Tarsy’s firing is the latest twist in a saga that began with a letter to the local weekly in Watertown, Mass., a Boston suburb with a substantial Armenian population, criticizing the ADL’s position. On Tuesday, the Watertown Town Council voted to rescind its participation in No Place for Hate, an ADL-sponsored anti-bigotry program. Other Massachusetts communities are reported to be considering similar moves.

    What is this, a frikkin gotcha contest? Someone mentions an incident regarding Israel and you bring up some example challenging the poster?

    Maybe the attack you refer to in Buenos Aires was due to the State of Israel's existance. I believe Israel did exist in the 90s. Would the attack have occurred if the State of Israel didn't exist?

    I don't know, and that's why I formulate questions, hoping I CAN know.

    Take the last word on this too.

    hcberkowitz said:

    In fairness, there was a great deal of historical antisemitism (not especially anti-Zionism, given no State of Israel) in Europe, culminating in the Holocaust

    Howard,

    benign question, for learning purposes only;

    Prior to 1930, was all of Europe a hotbed of antisemitism to the extent that Jews were being physically attacked and abused in other ways or did this become the norm with the advent of the Nazis?

    And to take a page from your book, I imagine there were those who were not antisemitics and who actually may have helped Jews who were victimized. Sad to say, if these people existed they rarely get mentioned.

    Gee, now theres a subject for discussion;

    "The people around the world who aren't/weren't anti semites and what they did to help Jews victimized by this thuggery."