Impeachment Questions
Citing the Clinton precedent, M.J. Rosenberg writes:
"[I]mpeachment is no longer the political nuclear bomb it once was, especially if one knows in advance that conviction and removal from office is unlikely to occur. Accordingly, impeachment proceedings are essentially the best means of getting information to the public which is otherwise unavailable."
I'm glad M.J. is beginning with the premise that actual impeachment and removal of Bush ain't happening, at least based on the current dynamics. I do not share his optimism about impeachment proceedings serving as a "lever" to bring Bush to heel, given everything we know about the man. Nor do I really understand Josh's suggestion that initiating a pre-doomed impeachment effort will somehow serve as a legal precedent reducing the impact of Bush's scofflaw behavior.
So the fundamental question remains whether Democrats want to take up the "I-word" as a political exercise. And other questions quickly follow.
From the Clinton experience, we know that public opinion turned decisively against the impeachment effort once it became obvious the Senate wasn't going to convict him (which wasn't entirely obvious at the beginning of the saga), for the simple reason that the whole thing looked like a waste of time. So what will happen to the current, surprisingly strong public support for impeachment if the extreme unlikelihood of a successful outcome is conceded from the get-go?
A second question, which everyone understands, is what to do about Dick Cheney. A dual or sequential impeachment effort is entirely without precedent, and every single problem with a late-term impeachment would get vastly more complicated.
A third question is the scope of impeachment articles. Josh seems to assume that Bush's defiance of Congress and his quasi-imperial notions of executive privilege are the trigger. But many Democrats would be outraged if the administration's behavior before and after the invasion of Iraq were not included; others might well argue that the abandonment of New Orleans was an impeachable offense. With a presidency this bad, where do you draw the line?
And a fourth question is how to impose party discipline during an impeachment fight. Like it or not, it's a certainty that a sizable number of Democrats in both Houses of Congress will be reluctant to "go there," some simply because of the Clinton experience.
And that brings me to the issue that most troubles me about this debate: its effect on Democratic unity going into 2008. Anyone familiar with netroots discussion of this issue knows there are already significant numbers of Democrats who are disposed to think of this as a basic test of courage and principle. Do we really want this to be the dominant issue in the Democratic presidential nominating contest, which it would instantly become? Remembering the premise is that impeachment would be a completely political exercise, are we ready for the possibility that Democratic credibility would be "impeached?"
All these questions are based on current political conditions, which could change. If, for example, the administration launched an unauthorized preemptive military strike on Iran, then impeachment would truly be unavoidable, and a Senate conviction could conceivably succeed.
M.J.'s right that impeachment cannot truly be "taken off the table," and shouldn't be. But that's not the issue; it's whether Democrats should encourage their congressional leaders to begin taking practical steps towards impeachment, in the limited window of time available for it. If the real crisis is over Bush's executive-privilege claims, other options are available, such as contempt of Congress citations designed to produce a court test. Some have also raised the possibility of defunding the offices of the president and vice president.
But the questions about the "I-word" need to be honestly addressed, without the presumption that anything less is craven, before Democrats move in that fateful direction.















The I-word is not really an issue by itself, since we are a long way from knowing what might be involved regarding charges. That is what the current hearings are building, whether presented as such or not; we're developing the foundation for an indictment by getting all this stuff on public record.
Impeachment is political, but only because at root all power is political, and there is no higher court to confirm or overturn an impeachment. So one could say it would be political to defend the Constitution.
July 26, 2007 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
So basically MJ is admitting now that there are no solid grounds for impeachment, it's all just a fishing expedition. But we're sure there must be (just as we were sure Valerie Plame was outed on orders from Dick Cheney, etc.)
Go for it, with such a scattershot approach every anti-Bush wacko will come out of the woodwork, it will be grand entertainment that will accomplish nothing-- except ensure that Hillary loses by dredging up every bad Clinton memory she's trying to suppress.
July 26, 2007 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
There's good fishing, and great fishing. The privilege flap is good fishing, so far, and Gonzales was great. Don't you love it when the audience laughs at the AG?
We never heard in public from Rove, or Cheney. I'd like them to swear they didn't intend to confuse and mislead Fitzgerald. Fitz had to quit when he knew he was up against privilege. Now it's Congress' ball. Enjoy the game, it's going to be better (worse) than Nixon.
July 26, 2007 12:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
What is the difference between fact-finding and fishing?
July 26, 2007 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fitz had to quit when he knew he was up against privilege.
I remember when people kept saying the same thing about Starr and Clinton-- he was always just one witness away from proving that Willie was a rapist (or something) and that was going to bring the whole house down. Yet somehow they never did find that witness.
Let's start by realistically accepting that if a special prosecutor, with all the time and resources in the world, can't bring more than a once-removed perjury charge, there's no case there and there's never likely to be one. You can even believe whatever, in your heart of hearts, but there's no case that anyone's going to find evidence to support. It's over.
What's next?
July 26, 2007 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
One, you have some idea of what you're looking for and methodically seek evidence, two, you're looking for everything and anything because you JUST FUCKING HATE THE SON OF A BITCH!
Nixon was fact-finding, Clinton was fishing.
July 26, 2007 12:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
FItz had a different brief than Starr. Starr had more political power, because Congress was behind him. You'll remember that Congress was not exactly behind Fitz.
It ain't over; it's just beginning.
July 26, 2007 12:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Future generations, perhaps living under a presidential regime far worse than this one, will look back at us and wonder why we dithered and did nothing while Bush and Cheney systematically ransacked the US Constitution.
July 26, 2007 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just one witness away from bringing the whole house of cards down. I know, I know.
What'll be just beginning is Rudy's first term.
July 26, 2007 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bushco is stonewalling on information necesssary to allow the Congress to conduct its oversight responsibilities -- the RNC can have the emails but not the Congress.
Bringing impeachment charges will allow Congress to require the evidence and if Bush then refuses to produce it this also becomes grounds for impeachment.
Bringing impeachment allows the trial of Bush's imperial presidency to begin. The voters will reach their own judgment of the facts and even if the current Republican Senators will not vote to convict, if we are right about the magnitude of the problems with this administration the voters will diselect those who do not vote to convict.
Presenting an indictment outlining the misdeeds of this administration of itself begins to establish where the boundaries are. If Bushco will not present the evidence necessary for Congressional committeet to assess whether or nor charges are warranted this is the moral equivalent of flight and can itself be used as evidence of guilt.
Bush deserves to be impeached if he took this country into a war based on lies: I know of no other method to get that information short of an impeachment trial. This is something that as a democracy we need to know -- either way -- as opposed to the Clinton situation and the public would be disposed to be patient because the issue is so important.
Holding his administration above the law is also vital and important and should form a charge.
July 26, 2007 12:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't think how this could be misstated any more clearly.
I'm not sure public opinion ever supported impeachment in the first place. In the second place, if it did, it turned on the realization that Clinton did nothing worth impeaching - he committed perjury trying to hide his sins from his wife, exactly as everyone else would have done, and that's why they forgave Clinton.
So let's look at this another way:
1. Bush didn't cheat on his wife, he cheated the entire country, lied us into war, obstructed justice, and politicized the department of justice. No one is going to sympathize with that.
2. The public was so disgusted by the Republicans' impeachment proceedings that they promptly voted BUSH into office and gave him a compliant Republican Congress. Boy, we sure wouldn't want that to happen to Democrats, would we?
I think the answer is to impeach Cheney. You don't need to impeach Bush. Cheney is the real power behind the throne. You have a much better chance of getting a majority of Senators to convict because he is so toxic. And his destruction will tear down any remaining power to do harm that Bush might try to exert. He just won't have the will. He is, at heart, a coward, and with Cheney in the dock, Bush will run home to his mommies.
Impeach Cheney, and leave Bush swinging in the wind. After he's out of office, then we can bring war crime charges against him.
July 26, 2007 12:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, Mr. Kilgore, but this is just the sort of timid approach I would expect from a DLC consultant. I was of voting age when Articles of Impeachment were drawn up against Nixon, and, I can assure you, when the process started there weren't any Republicans on board either. The whole upper echelon of the group Bruce Fein helped start, Americanfreedomagenda.org, consists of Republicans, not Democrats, and Fein is going on every news show he can to push for impeachment.
Don't forget, the Democrats were all afraid to run on the issue of Iraq in 2006, having been convinced by "strategists", such as you, that the Republicans owned the National Security Champions meme. Then along came a CT businessman, by the name of Ned Lamont, who once again proved the strategists wrong. Once Lamont won the Democrat primary, every other Dem candidate spoke out against the war, and the Dems sailed into the majority after the 2006 elections. Once again, the strategists and the politicians are way behind where the American public is on this issue.
July 26, 2007 12:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Every day there are more compelling reasons to begin the impeachment process: Gonzalez lying to Senate Judiciary Committee, Harriet Miers refusal to respond to a congressional supoena, Josh Bolten's refusal to respond to a congressional supoena, and let us not forget, lying to get us into Iraq, outing an undercover CIA agent and all those other gems.
Bill Moyers devoted an hour of his show on this topic recently. His guests were a reporter for the Nation and a very conservative think tank fellow. I was most impressed with the realization that the conservative was doing all the ranting about why impeachment is critical to the future of our country.
The reporter from the Nation reminded us that impeachment proceedings do not create a constitutional crisis--impeachment proceedings resolve a constitutional crisis. The Bush administration has created the most severe constitutional crisis to date. Action must be taken. It must be taken now.
July 26, 2007 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
We should impeach Bush, Cheney, or both, whichever is most likely to get one or both of them out of office.
As far as the "President Cheney" boogieman is concerned, I don't know why it worries anyone other than Republicans. (a) He wouldn't be any more dangerous as Prez than he is as Vice Prez; maybe less. (b) He'd be such a dead albatross for Repubs going into the 2008 election that they'll try to get him out of office.
July 26, 2007 1:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
On-line video of that show is available here.
July 26, 2007 1:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
So what will happen to the current, surprisingly strong public support for impeachment if the extreme unlikelihood of a successful outcome is conceded from the get-go?
I don't understand why it would change. I think people already understand the political implications of moving toward impeachment, and yet they still are in favor.
Seeing it the other way assumes people don't know what they're getting into -- it assumes, for example, no memory or context of the Clinton impeachment.
But isn't it likely that the investigation that needs to take place before the actual impeachment trial will turn up *more* impeachable evidence than what we already know? Which would only turn the public even more in favor...
"Thank God George Bush is our president." -Rudy Giuliani
July 26, 2007 1:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Chancellor:
No offense, but I have to say that yours is the sort of approach I was specifically warning about in my post: making this a matter of "courage" or "timidity" rather than what it will actually produce politically. Your point about the Nixon impeachment is completely relevant, but not dispositive, given Nixon's self-destructive determination to play into his enemies' every tactic. Maybe Bush would do the same thing, but I don't think we can count on it. And we need to talk about such questions very specifically, and not reduce it all to a measurement of partisan machismo. Believe me, if the party does in a unified way decide to pursue impeachment, I won't be timid about supporting it.
BTW, since you brought it up, I have never once, ever, in my whole life tried to "convince" Democrats to be "afraid" of running on national security, or suggested they concede the issue, or any other issue, to Republicans. Au contraire, as a matter of fact. The only beef I've had with Democrats in terms of attacking Bush on Iraq is that they sometimes forget there are plenty of other issues on which his record is dreadful. Which is why, of course, we're in the position of even thinking about impeachment.
Ed Kilgore
July 26, 2007 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mgmax,
For a moment there I was taking you too serious, my bad.
I can't tell if you are simply being a schill for Hillary or some sort of iconoclast type, but you are skeetshooting yourself a bit here.
Your little buzz words of 'anti-bush wacko' are quaint.
So...what about the Valerie Plame outing qualifies as a "fishing expedition"?
Why, when Bush has admitted to wiretapping without a warrant, is it a "fishing expedition" to investigate this program and how it was used?
Why, when it is part of the Congressional duty, is it a 'fishing expedition' to question the Attorney General when he keeps changing his story?
Maybe you and I can find a few areas were we agree and see what the divergence might be, but you are skeet shooting here a little with your grand generalizations of 'anti-bush wacko' and labeling these investigations as 'fishing expeditions' with such dismissal.
July 26, 2007 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
So the fundamental question remains whether Democrats want to take up the "I-word" as a political exercise. And other questions quickly follow.
No, Mr. Kilgore. The fundamental question is whether Congress is going to allow the constitution to be shredded without a fight.
We are dealing with fundamental questions here --- the kind of questions that the American people can understand.
Right now, various polls show support for impeachment between 36-45% --- but those number reflect a level of ignorance regarding the actions of this administration because of the failure of the mainstream media (and the cowardice of the DLC types that you represent). Impeaching Bush (and Cheney) will make those facts unavoidable --- and the 70% of Americans who disapprove of the way he is doing his job with turn into 70% support for impeaching the criminals who are running this nation into the ground.
There is one other reason for impeachment -- by beginning impeachment procedings immediately, Bush's dubious claims to executive privilege become MUCH weaker.
July 26, 2007 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
We should impeach both of the war criminals because it's the right thing to do, politics be damned. No good deed goes unpunished, after all.
July 26, 2007 1:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gee thanks Ed for advocating that a serious assault on the Constitution can be dismissed because you feel that the public would equate the Clinton and Bush impeachments.
You say that the public abandoned support of impeachment when it became obvious that Clinton wouldn’t be convicted. I don’t have polling data in front of me and confess that I can only cite anecdotal evidence, but, as I recall people recognized that the Clinton impeachment was frivolous before it was obvious that there would be an acquittal. I do recall that as the impeachment hearings in the House moved along Clinton’s job approval rating continued to rise.
Inasmuch as the charges are concerned the public will recognize that an impeachment of Bush is anything but trivial. You said it yourself. In a presidency that’s this bad charges are easy to come by. Already 45% of voters want Bush impeached. That may only represent the people who have been paying at least some attention. What happens to that percentage when the full litany of charges is presented and even casual observers are shocked at the perfidious nature of the Bush reign? I believe that a significant majority will demand conviction.
And if there is no conviction? What will an enraged public think of those who failed to convict.
Finally, it should be remembered that impeachment is meant to protect the Constitution. Never has any president so abused his power, neglected his oath of office and so brazenly sought to subvert the Constitution. Any cynical calculation that condones abandonment of the responsibility to protect the rule of law is itself subversion.
July 26, 2007 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then what is your objection to an investigation of the Bush administration?
July 26, 2007 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's absurd to even be arguing this. OF COURSE Bush and Cheney should be impeached. If they're not, as Bruce Fein has said, it will be like leaving loaded guns all around the house. The long term future of our country is at stake. The precedents Bush has set can not be allowed to stand. If the Democrats set this aside because they think it might help them win an election, it WILL come back to haunt them and they'll damn well deserve it.
Impeachment is not a task anyone wants to take on. But it's a responsibility that has fallen on the Democrats. The Constitution is far more important than any short term gains the Democrats might hope to achieve. OF COURSE we MUST impeach.
July 26, 2007 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Russ Feingold's delineation of the high crimes of this administration are more convincing than the notion of a drag-queen president.
July 26, 2007 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I assure you I am quite serious, if you cannot see my points you are not thinking it through.
An investigation without serious direction from the grownups at the head of the party will bring out every kook theory and attention whore from Ramsey Clark to the LaRouchies to whatever popped up on Daily Khaos that day.
Meanwhile, the media (who have hours and hours to fill) and the Republicans (who see a chance to hoist the other side by their own petard) will take every opportunity to talk about how this impeachment is or is not like the Clinton one. I promise you, the last thing Hillary wants leading into the election is 24-hour retrospective coverage of Monica and Whitewater. Doesn't matter that Clinton mostly got off (so to speak). She doesn't want it brought up at all.
It is precisely because the bigshots fear what could happen if that red meat is thrown to those of you in the base that they will resist throwing it at all. They will conduct hearings to the day Bush leaves, they will have great sport with hapless Albert and other small fish, but impeachment isn't off the table, it's never been anywhere near the table.
July 26, 2007 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I say impeach Gonzales now. The case is (even more) solid on the merits. And he has essentially now defenders other than Bush, so conviction in the Senate is a real possibility. No matter how it plays out, I don't see much downside.
That may -- or may not -- get the ball rolling and make impeachment and conviction of Cheney and/or Bush possible. One step at a time.
I think making Pelosi President by impeaching both Cheney and Bush would be a bad idea, because it would set a terrible precedent of changing the party in the presidency (regardless of the merits in this case). Perhaps Cheney could be impeached and Bush censured or if both impeached a deal worked out to put a different Republican in office.
But all that is getting way ahead of the game IMHO. You will likely only get one shot and conviction for Cheney and Bush is clearly out of reach at the present time. For now, impeach Gonzales.
July 26, 2007 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't object; and I fully expect investigations, hearings, etc.
But as I say below, the powers that be won't let them go anywhere near becoming impeachment hearings. They absolutely will not. No matter how much internet sites whine and seethe.
July 26, 2007 2:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
We are just a few days away from seeing if Congress understands the constitutional crisis we are now in. They are scheduled to take the whole month of August off for a vacation. We all need to write to our congressmen, senators, Harry Reid, and Nancy Pelosi, demanding that they remain in session until this crisis can be handled. And, an impeachment or a resignation of Bush are the only remedies available to handle it.
Hoppy in Sacramento
July 26, 2007 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is not considered impeachment in other governments. It is merely a "no confidence vote" and it happens.
Americans seem to think this (question of impeachment) is a sign of death to the country if it happens.
Is it arrogance that your country MUST believe you are better or fear that you are not? Is there any situation that Americans would consider impeachment?
I am astounded that what you say you believe in free speach, association, right to own property etc) can be so ignored to protect one man and expel ghosts.
July 26, 2007 2:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
"It is not considered impeachment in other governments. It is merely a "no confidence vote" and it happens."
Yes, but we have a different system and trying to change ours to that one extraconstitutionally is dirty pool.
July 26, 2007 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you for your thoughtful response. I disagree with you that we should be looking at "what it will actually produce politically." IMHO, impeachment should never be a political process. The Constitution never mentions Democrats, Republicans, Whigs or whatever, to the best of my knowledge, in considering grounds for impeachment. My primary concern in moving for impeachment before Bush and Cheney are out of office is that if Congress refuses to act, a legal precedent could be set which would actually have the effect of endorsing these activities through inaction.
I totally agree with you that impeachment cannot be seen as partisan. Dems must be forceful in reiterating that the same actions would be taken against a lawless Democratic administration. They should also try to corral the Republicans such as Bruce Fein into an Iraq-Study-Group-type of document, arguing for impeachment as the only recourse when confronted by a President and Vice President who have lost all respect for our laws. However, trying to draft new laws to prevent executive abuses is a pointless exercise when you have people like Bush and Cheney who believe that they are above the law.
July 26, 2007 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
The election in 15 months will demonstrate whether or not you're correct.
July 26, 2007 3:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here is what the "Constitutional Grounds for Impeachment of the President" Report said in 1974:
Essentially, this is the message that conservative scholar Bruce Fein has delivered on the Bill Moyers program, Countdown with Keith Olbermann and other public and television appearances.
There is little doubt that Bush and Cheney have committed these attacks on the Constitution, the sovereign act of the people to establish and limit a government to act in their best interests.
The time is long past for Bush and Cheney to be held accountable for these transgressions and to be impeached, tried and removed from office.
July 26, 2007 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Impeachment is a vehicle for holding Bush and his adminstration accountable for their crimes and reestablishing the rule of law. But there is another vehicle available that would serve the same purposes: criminal prosecution.
The current Bush stonewalling strategy can also be described as "running out the clock." But which clock? Bush's term of office? Or the statute of limitations on the multiple crimes Bush and his administration have committed?
There's plenty of time left on the latter clock. It would extend well into the term of a likely Democratic adminstration taking office in 2009. And in the long run, criminal prosecution would be more meaningful than impeachment.
Why don't we think in those terms?
July 26, 2007 3:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good point. The impeachment of Clinton so much destroyed the Republicans that they won the presidency and kept both Houses of Congress in the next election. That taught them!
July 26, 2007 4:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh come on. Things have been worse, for example under Woodrow Wilson. Again, the problem is not Bush/Cheney exclusively. They've received a lot of help.
July 26, 2007 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I suppose other people have jumped on this, but let me throw my hat in:
What utter shiite! The reason that public opinion turned decisively against the impeachment effort wasn't the public's conclusion that it wasn't going to work.
The reason was that the President was being impeached over a consensual blow job, while his persecutors included a man who had a son out of wedlock, another man who as a card carrying racist had fathered an interracial daughter, a man who had dropped divorce papers on a wife fighting cancer in the hospital and who had philandered on her with the woman who became his second wife who he was currently philandering on with the woman who became his second wife.
In short, it was a spectacular put up job. It was a witch hunt. It was hypocrisy from start to finish.
The public turned against the Clinton impeachment because it was such an obvious sham. Because it was a disgusting and discreditable display.
Now, if someone isn't going to be honest about something so basic... why should I take the rest of their discussion seriously?
July 26, 2007 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, there's that whole war crimes stuff. Y'know, there's probably going to be a whole list of countries that Bush will never be able to set foot in. LOL.
July 26, 2007 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ed - I've suggested a focus on out-years impeachment of subordinates as a paradoxically faster-acting cure for and curb on abuse of executive authority.
July 26, 2007 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
....given everything we know about the man (Bush)... Ed Kilgore-questions for Ed:
(1) What do 'we' know about Bush and how Bush would handle an impeachment?
(2) Why do you have a comma instead of a period before 'org' on the homepage link on your TPM bio page?
(3) Are there any courageous, smart strategists at the DLC who want to kick Republican butt?
July 26, 2007 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, perhaps it's been discussed already, but there was an op-ed in today's WaPo explaining in no uncertain terms that the executive order on CIA interrogation techniques is basically unlawful (as in: war crimes). So just on principles, in an ideal world (and tactical considerations notwithstanding) I think impeachment is not just legitimate but necessary.
Obviously, we don't live in that world.
July 26, 2007 6:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
What war crimes? Now before anyone flames into outrage let me assure you I think the Iraqi War was the most profoundly immoral and unwise thing the US has done since our systematically brutal mistreatment of the Native Americans.
But war is hell as General Sherman said, and people do die in wars. I don't think anything has happened in Iraq that isn't perfectly normal and natural for warfare (which is to say vicious, barbaric and evil, since that is the nature of war, and you can't refine it). If you want to argue that all wars are criminal feel free to do so; pacifism is a respectable option, one that should always be at the table. But without that view I can't see nothing especially criminal in Iraq unless gross stupidity and political mendacity are crimes.
July 26, 2007 6:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
One has to wonder what persons and policies you think you are trying to protect? The case for an impeachment and conviction of Bush and Cheney is a slam-dunk if investigations of what is already know by the better informed commences. There is no fishing necessary though the stench from some detailed fishing would be overpowering. Following the impeachments we can then have some criminal and treason trials some of the Neo-Cons who falsified intelligence and profited from the messes they started.
...Or perhaps you'd like to see this same sort of undemocratic crap attempted under a Democrat administration and try to live through a very nasty revolution and purge?
July 26, 2007 6:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Americans (and their allies) are exempted, you know that, and there are lots of countries that Bush can go to: El Salvador, Poland, Great Britain, our neighbors to the north and south, Australia and there must be two or three more, I just can't think of them. The problem will be in the states; he might have to emigrate to Canada to be safe.
July 26, 2007 6:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think you just provided a fine example of mgmax's point.
July 26, 2007 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
Kilgore and his crowd still don't get it. We don't need his political strategeries. We need leaders.
July 26, 2007 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Violence including random kidnapping, rape, torture, bombing and shooting of people that we ostensibly liberated from a vicious dictator is rather a new twist, don't you think?
July 26, 2007 7:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do you now?
Live and learn...
The envelope has been pushed too far.
July 26, 2007 7:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm with LeeNYC on this, but practically I'm sort of with Crust. Here's why.
First AG.AG has pretty obviously perjured himself and, even if not convicted, the evidence pulled to bring him to trial will include improper and illegal use/non-use of FISA and White House interference in US Attorney appointments, and the use of the AG's office to protect White House illegal behavior and prevent proper oversight. The whole sccaffold of lies will teeter.
Continuing revelations will make Bush Co. and previous Rerpublican house non-oversight a continuing news story into the elections.
The next Democratic president can lift the veil on previously "secret" papers. A full inquiry into the reasons for going into war against Iraq initiated.
Finally, rather than impeachment, Cheney and his aider-abettor can be tried criminally for high crimes and misdemeanors, starting a war illegally, even treason, perhaps.
Then jail, not some comfortable retirement.
Oh, and JPF311, what war crimes? Starting a war illegally; extraordinary rendition, torture? Wouldn't that have been enough to convict Saddam?
Even the UK Attorney General declared the war illegal until sent back for a rewrite.
July 26, 2007 8:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
War Crimes:
War of Choice/War of Aggression/War of Invasion of a Country Which Poseed no Threat/War under false pretences.
Violations of the Geneva Convention, with respect to the capture and treatment of prisoners.
Torture. Abu Ghraib? Waterboarding? Interrogatees beaten to death? Women and children raped in prison populations?
Destruction of Fallujah. That's a wall to wall war crime right there.
Deliberate destruction of Iraq economy and infrastructure, with the objective of replacing and controlling same.
Failure to provide necessaries for the civilian population, most notably security, but also food, potable water, medicine.
Use of prohibited weapons including cluster bombs and white phosphorous against civilians.
Extra-judicial assassinations. Extraordinary renditions. An international gulag of secret prisons. Authorizing the kidnapping of foreign nationals in foreign countries and their transfer and torture.
Aiding and abetting Israel's War in Lebanon, surely an accessory and supporter of war crimes.
Regime change efforts against Iran, including funding terrorist operations.
Really, have you been paying attention?
July 26, 2007 8:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, think how much information came to light during the Nixon impeachment hearings.
July 26, 2007 8:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I think impeachment is not just legitimate but necessary."
That's the point that political 'strategists' seem to miss entirely.
Impeachment is necessary, it is not an option
July 26, 2007 9:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
FDR went after far-right nuts like William Dudley Pelley and Gerald Winrod through what can only be called gross misuse of the Justice Dept. The whole Lend-Lease program and other aid he gave to England before the war was wildly in violation of Congress. Talk about executive privilege-- imagine Bush trying something like the Supreme Court packing scheme. But historical perspective is obviously not the strong suit here, a lot of people seem to have a lot invested emotionally in believing, self-dramatizingly, that we live in the scariest worstest most dangerous time in American history (and look how brave I am standing up to Bushitler and his Gonzalez-stapo!)
Sorry, kiddies. No impeachment, Bush leaves office on 1-20-09 and he won't send in the tanks nor will the tanks come for him, and hate to say it, but there's at least a 45% chance that he'll have a Republican successor. Life goes on, much as it ever does.
July 26, 2007 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's a good way to look at it. It provides you with the concept of getting Bush and his accomplices even after their term in office is over. The current desire for impeachment is, in my mind, the way to put a stop to the damage he is continuing to do to the US and its Constitution every day. I don't see how we can wait until he leaves office. Isn't the image of Roberts and Alito on the Supreme Court, with the recent court decisions they have been instrumental in enough? Isn't the continued assault on our personal freedoms and privacy enough? Can the country withstand a foreign policy in this man's name for another year and a half? The time to act is now.
July 26, 2007 9:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Aiding and abetting Israel's War in Lebanon, surely an accessory and supporter of war crimes. Regime change efforts against Iran, including funding terrorist operations.
Hey, that's what the Democratic party really needs to do to win both impeachment and the next election-- come out on the Syrian-Iranian side in all this stuff!
July 26, 2007 9:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
We've found the only circumstance under which people at TPMCafe will acknowledge that Bush won in 2000.
July 26, 2007 9:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bush's whole enemy combatant scheme was found to violate the Geneva Conventions and the War Crimes Act in Hamdi and Hamden. This included illegal rendition, denial of habeas and "interrogation" provisions. Now, seeing how people, including U.S. citizens and innocent victims, have been swept up, and in dozens of cases, have been killed under this torture, I would say that war crimes were committed.
July 26, 2007 9:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah. Imagine Bush trying to pack the court with ideologues. Roosevelt tried to modernize the court that was killing New Deal legislation through a bill in Congress that was ill-advised and never made it out of committee (with his program). While a political sham, what is impeachable about that? Bush doesn't even bother with Congress. My money is on impeachment going forward eventually and Republicans having little chance to succeed Bush or succeed at anything else.
July 26, 2007 9:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is frustrating, but amusing that so many people, including Democrats, refuse to acknowledge the war crimes of Bush, which certainly meet any definition of "high crimes and misdemeanors", plus the signing statements where Bush states that he won't follow the very law he just signed, clearly a violation of the constitution, again a high crime and misdemeanor. Then we have the obstruction of justice by commuting a sentence of a convicted felon to keep him from spilling the details of other crimes committed in the White House. Congress really is obligated by the Constitution to impeach Bush, because the Constitution does not say Congress may, if they wish to do so, use impeachment for criminal presidents.
Hoppy in Sacramento
July 26, 2007 9:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
While the Constitution does permit criminal prosecution of ex presidents, it is a very, very bad precedent to set. We need to remove him from office, quickly. That is our remedy, and the only one that is justified. If the world court at some time wants to arrest him and try him for war crimes I won't object, but let's don't go there in our country.
Hoppy in Sacramento
July 26, 2007 9:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ann in AZ
The main problem with your theory (and the same goes for "the powers that be") is that in order to follow your line one has to swallow hard and hold your nose for another year and a half while the current administration holds court and gives banquets for their cronies. What I'm saying is that we have a rogue President who is becoming more and more of a monarch by the day. He has taken our laws, our Constitution, our Bill of Rights, our Freedom, and used it all for cannon fodder that he shoots at the Middle East, while at the same time he and his administration enrich their pals with war profiteering, like Halliburton overcharges and Custer Battles $10M fraud that the DOJ has not bothered to prosecute. Our reputation is lower than dirt to rest of the world, our army is broken and military equipment is getting scarce. Yet, you are suggesting turning our back on all of these things, and much more (the offenses are too numerous to mention, but I know a guy who has a list of about 200) to show party loyalty and how smart we are? Oh, yeah, sounds like a bunch of people I want to waste time voting for. Real principled sorts.
July 26, 2007 9:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
in order to follow your line one has to swallow hard and hold your nose for another year and a half
Yes, you do. It's in the Constitution. You get your chance to change it in November of next year. That's worked pretty well for 200 years, you might think about that before you move us another step down toward the institutionalization of the second-term-coup-by-impeachment.
The guy with a list of 200 impeachable offenses is priceless. Like I said, every kook will come out of the woodwork with his pet cause. Most of them will be as vague, exaggerated and unprovable as "He has taken our laws, our Constitution, our Bill of Rights, our Freedom, and used it all for cannon fodder that he shoots at the Middle East."
July 26, 2007 10:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't bet anything you can't afford to lose.
July 26, 2007 10:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ann in AZ
If I remember hearing correctly, didn't we actually participate in trials at Nuremberg to prosecute some of the Nazis for these very same War Crimes? Isn't that about when the Geneva Conventions were adopted by most of the civilized countries of the world? Wasn't that the same Geneva Conventions that Bush said he didn't think we needed to follow against terrorists until the Supreme Court said we do? Oh, and by the way, isn't there something not so cool about ignoring habeas corpus by holding prisoners without charges like, forever? Good grief, what are we becoming!
July 26, 2007 10:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
hoppycalif2, I guess my judgement is that he CAN'T be removed "quickly".
If the prosecution arises from another prosecution where it clearly exposes laws broken, surely there is no choice under an even-handed system than to follow the course of justice.
Hardly a bad precedent. And I can't see that prosecuting any politician -- president or other -- who has broken the law can be bad. Part of the problem here is that too many people put the president on some kind of special pedestal.
If only we had a weekly presidential question time. Hardly an undemocratic idea!
Similarly, if an Iraq investigation exposes deliberate lies to mislead Congress into an unjustified and illegal war, follow the law. Undeserving people have made fortunes out of this. People, many of them, have died; many more have had their lives changed forever.
This administration has avoided all legal restraints both domestically and abroad. The International Court of The Hague is not recognized by the US.
Boo on the whole bunch of them. Let them die by the blind-eyed sword of justice.
July 26, 2007 10:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
That doesn't even make sense. How could impeachment be a 2nd term coup? It would come at the end of the administration. It would not allow placement of a new administration in its place. And, if it were a coup, why even wait until the second term, since these offenses were well underway in the first ?
And it wouldn't matter if kooks came out of the woodwork. The house, full of lawyers, draws up the impeachment and charges are investigated and debated in the Senate. It's all very orderly and sober.
July 26, 2007 10:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
This summarizes my feeling pretty clearly with a few points as this conversation on impeachment grows.
There is a false notion that someone has to argue this is an impeachment, and Clinton was impeached and Andrew Johnson was impeached...must be the same.
False
Distinctions matter.
The distaste for the Clinton impeachment in the 90s could have easily been from the combination of the bullshit moral outrage from the moral right, to the more genuine outrage from people who felt, 'oh come on...get real...for a blowjob?' and that it was obstruction.
This is a matter very different from Johnson who fired the Secretary of War and had congress jump his ass, to Bush who stuck with a war criminal Secretary of Defense and has a whole staff that he has refused to fire even when they leak the name of a CIA agent to a journalagent in attacking a critic of your criminal deception.
Johnson was vindicated by the Supreme Court in Myers v. US which said the Pres has the right to fire officials in the Executive Branch from the postmaster general to high secretaries. The Tenure Act was repealed.
The irony of Johnson's history and Bush's history thus fire is thick.
BushCheneyCo LLP. have committed many crimes and if you can't even let the grand jury survey the evidence, then you are committing obstruction of justice. This watering down of the process with political convenience for either party is disgusting. We've created new kings and queens, lords and ladies.
I accept the theory that government is a sad consequence of our vices as a people. If we are to say, 'due to the election cycle, if you have committed crimes, we favor political potentials to accountability'.
The political preachy types who are saying, 'look, forgetta bout it, we got Hillary to elect, so shaddap', are playing the game that used to be played during the writing of the Constitution of the US.
"the people are too stupid to understand this stuff. we know what's best for them. we'll decide."
so, cscs thanks for reminding us that the context of Clinton's impeachment counts and that people can understand the difference.
political expediency be damned.
This is much more like Nixon in the sense that it was all based on narrow minded politically partisan hacks who put party and ambition above the world security, the national security, and the Constitution of the United States. Funny how the faces of his administration are still running the game.
July 26, 2007 10:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ann in AZ
Yeah, one thing about impeachment hearings is that it usually does get people's attention. When stuff like war profiteering comes up (I noticed Grassley actually questioned Gonzales about why the DOJ didn't join the suit against Custer Battles)that people that didn't watch Iraq for Sale aren't so familiar with, and some of the other lesser publicized stuff becomes meat for the masses...
Actually, I'm for thinking a bit smaller. I think if we start with Gonzo (with good cause), it will probably piss Bush off so bad he's liable to do something totally radical and then we can move on. The public is with us on Cheney anyway, because they think he is the dark prince who is pulling all the strings and Bush is only his puppet. Elizabeth de la Vega seems to think we can do both Bush and Cheney together.
Seriously, don't you think the public needs to focus on some of the stuff that's been going on and that at least investigation will call out all the current wrongdoing before the next election? Maybe then the electorate won't be focusing on phony swiftboating.
July 26, 2007 10:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ann in AZ
And the Conservative participant was Bruce Fein.
July 26, 2007 10:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hoppy,
Why is it a bad precedent to set?
If a crime has been committed, should expiration from office be good enough?
Many didn't seem to have a problem having trials for other world leaders after they were out of office and found them guilty of genocide.
I really request that people remove themselves from the election cycle mousewheel and consider the principles of the founding of that Constitution as the backdrop.
"Treason must be made odious... traitors must be punished and impoverished... their social power must be destroyed." Andrew Johnson (first president impeached)
July 26, 2007 10:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even if the fates provide us (post election) with a Democratic administration, all emphasis will be placed, by them (and DLC advisors like Mr Kilgore), on the glorious future. But by necessity, they will also be busy defending themselves against spurious charges of malfeasance, coming from “guess where".
Once the immediacy of the dangerous Bush precedents is past there will be little motivation for future officials to correct them. Little, that is, until they once again become a invoked. By that time it will most likely be too late.
Lastly, perhaps persons who see themselves as the next occupant of the oval office lust after these newly developing presidential powers. Perhaps they imagine themselves with the ability to simply blow off Congressional inquries.
Kevin Russell Cook
July 26, 2007 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
It was at the end of February that I came to the fundamental conclusion that Impeachment was a necessity.
We cannot allow this White House to go unpunished because the precedent that results will forever tarnish the body of law that has existed for centuries. Of course, this is a philosophical position and NOT a politically pragmatic position.
Republican obstructionism in the House and Senate is overwhelming. The media would be overwhelmingly on their side. In order to get our message out, there would have to be a massive revolt in the mainstream media in some way, shape or form to fully report the story. Not expecting this, I would anticipate a media black out with the bare minimum of truth and a lot of Rush Limbaugh clones/talking heads explaining things to us.
On the other hand, I believe the quote “the only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.” (Attributed to Edmund Burke, but citation never found, around the late 18th century, at the time of our revolution)
Impeachment may be a losing battle. But are we really going to allow the very foundation of our government to be destroyed without even trying to stop it?
Honestly, the saying that ‘power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely’ was coined in 900 B.C.! Does anyone really believe that the next President, Democrat or Republican, is not going to use these new powers to get his/her way?
Wouldn’t the exercise of impeachment at least expose something for posterity? I think it’s time for some more primary challenges on both sides of the aisle. If only there could be a primary challenge to the Washington Post by Talking Points Memo, maybe we’d have some hope.
Best,
Dems
July 26, 2007 11:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or perhaps to Argentina.
July 27, 2007 12:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
To those who want to leave this to the courts, well, it is all too clear. It would likely end the way the 2000 election did. Also, Cheney is not even close to allowing his admin to repeat Nixon's errors in not destroying critical eveidence.
The authors of the Constitution did not leave us with a design that encourages the Congress to seek remedy for serious crisies between the two branches in question to be decided by the third (the courts). What they foresaw was an indictment by the House and a trial in the Senate. This does not insure justice, but the "jury" is so required to run for office based on the fairness of their decision as determined by the people. This is what was intended.
When seen this way, the "court of public opinion" means everything. Pelosi is right to observe the American people are appalled by what has gone on in Iraq.
BUT, this is only the most visible symptom of the current and very critical illness. At the core, the true problem is the unprecedented disrespect of the law and the hubris this administration brings to all it touches.
I believe the American public has learned that much. The only impeachment failure to fear is not a "failure to convict" in our Senate, but a failure to act. In action, we will convict them in the "court of public opinion" as we make our case on the Senate floor. We'd need but to present ourselves better than GWB can speak English, and we will win over the public.
Do not write off the present; too many months left before the election; too much time for Republican, agenda-setting, devilry.
Let the most palpable charges be the issues in the future election! Please, let's not ignore the Constitution.
Here, Mr. Kilgore is full of beans. And unfortunately, Mgmax's comments are the verbal equivilant of the usual digestive byproduct resulting from being full of beans.
Kevin Russell Cook
July 27, 2007 12:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
In the MSM the are two kinds of organs: partisan ones, like FOX, and those that take a secretarial approach, refraining from even the most obvious conclusions while reporting, "A" said; "B" said.
The latter may arouse your contempt, but they are better than no press at all, which could be our future.
Look at the polls. Give the public some credit. Look at what they've learned in spite of a lame press!
Impeachment can, with just a little good lawyering, prevail with the public in spite of the handicaps Democrats would labor under.
Kevin Russell Cook
July 27, 2007 12:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, yes! our higher courts will be ever so eager to see Republican evildoers brought to justice. Right? (Where's this guy been?)
Kevin Russell Cook
July 27, 2007 12:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, but this is a terrible anaysis by Mr Kilgore. It almost seems like concern trolling.
- Was the public behind the Clinton impeachment until it became clear that he wasn't going to be convicted? No. Would they have been behind it if he had been? No, and for good reason. This part of Ed's argument is so obtuse - apples and oranges - that I wonder if even he believes it (maybe so!).
- Who is generally horrified by the idea of Impeachment? The political class/people in DC. The 'American People'? Not so much. Impeachment of Bush and especially Cheney would probably be quite popular. They are hated - esp. Cheney. DC in general is hated, too, because that 'town' is so horribly self-involved that it doesn't do its job serving the public interest very well. Its job right now is to impeach a rogue president. If either Bush or Cheney isn't convicted, so be it - you will have Senators on record voting to convict or aquit, and some of them will be running for reelection, and a formal record of at least some of this administration's crimes.
Rosenberg is right. Kilgore (and Drum) don't quite get it: impeachment isn't about 'revenge', in this case, and it needn't be 'catastrophic' and almost never used. If you never use a tool, you lose it. The founders put it there for a reason. If you don't impeach these guys, who do you?
July 27, 2007 6:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
These are cogent and responsible observations. The public turned against Clinton's impeachment because they never thought his behavior was truly a "high crime or disdemeanor" and primarily reflected vicious partisanship. President Bush's and Cheney's actions have a whle different anticonstitutional basis.
July 27, 2007 7:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
The overriding reason to impeach is to reassert the Consitutionally-mandated role of Congress vis a vis the president. It shouldn't be about punishing Cheney/Bush for bad policy and worse execution. It shouldn't be about the war or new orleans. It should be about stopping our headlong drift into dictatorship. It's about Bush arrogating Congress's right to declare war. It's about Bush violating treaty obligations to endorse torture, the eavesdropping. It's bout Bush ignoring the intention of Congress through signing statements, It's about the blanket assertions of privilege. The Cheney/Bush doctrine on the powers of the presidency is a legacy that must not be allowed to stand unchallenged.
The impeachment of Clinton was only about his dick. The impeachment of Bush isn't about his Dick. It's about saving the constitution.
July 27, 2007 7:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
A couple of observations:
1. There's an awful lot of fury in this thread, but not a lot of clear planning on how to actually impeach Bush et.al. Impeachment is a lengthy process which is not set up to allow a whole administration to be tossed out yesterday. As a result, you need strategy, patience and political judgment. A lot of people here are too angry to think a course of action through. I guess I find myself leaning toward Ed Kilgore's position that impeachment is not a practical option until some additional political developments occur.
2. I also wonder if impeachment might be irrelevent because the current political crisis is getting so much worse so quickly. I am afraid that a complete breakdown is coming between the legislative and executive branches. After all, Bush has made it clear he's going to do as he pleases and the hell with Congress. If Bush is impeached, what are the odds he would actually recognize the process as legitimate? What are the odds Cheney would? Personally I feel that, since Bush is the most unfit person to ever occupy the Oval Office and Cheney really did crawl out from under a rock, the odds aren't very good.
If this is the case, everyone needs to think real hard about what our options actually are.
July 27, 2007 7:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
EXCELLENT!
I can only assume from your post that your singling out of these two items means that you agree that the rest of the enumerated items constitute War Crimes by the President of the United States which, according to the Nuremberg precedents, justify public hanging.
Your right wing buddies will be so pleased.
July 27, 2007 8:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Once you establish the precedent that a defeated president can be tried for his "crimes" once he is out of office, that precedent will be used to bring all unpopular presidents to trial just for revenge. Imagine what the Republicans would have done to Clinton if that precedent were in place. Or, take Truman for example, he could have been tried for lots of imaginery crimes. Now, add in a corrupt Supreme Court, such as we now have, and you are well on the way to a true banana republic.
The punishment for what Bush has and is doing is removal from office. That is ample punishment.
Hoppy in Sacramento
July 27, 2007 8:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Granting Mr. Kilgore's premise, what exactly does Congress do then? Does it simply accept the Unitary Executive Theory and its role as a subordinate of the Executive Branch? In answering please take into account that the Justice Dept has stated explicitly that it will not indict any member of the Executive Branch for contempt of Congress if the President (and presumably Rove and Cheney) tells them not to.
So I would like to hear from Mr. Kilgore what he expects the relationship to be between Congress and the Executive Branch (really, the dictatorial President) under the Jeb Bush Administration in 2013?
sPh
July 27, 2007 8:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oooh, I'm so afraid that if I call the police when someone has broken into our home. What if the police just get mad. What if the prosecuting attorney charges me instead. What if.........
Get real, huh? The Constitution specifies what Congress is obligated to do with trash like we have as a president. It is time for them to do it. Once Bush is convicted, if he is, there is absolutely no way he stays in office. Our country does have many, many people in the Justice Department who are still honorable. Even the corrupt Supreme Court we now have has enough honor left to make sure Bush would be put out of office.
Hoppy in Sacramento
July 27, 2007 8:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Executive orders are the tools of autocracy and dictatorship. From a 1999 document:
"The practice of using executive orders to set policy has evolved over the years and is currently governed by principles that have been established by precedent, oversight by Congress and the public, and intervention by the courts. It is generally accepted that, where executive orders have been based upon appropriate constitutional or statutory authority, they have the force and effect of law.
"An offspring of the [unconstitutional] implied powers doctrine is the executive order. This critical instrument of active presidential power is nowhere defined in the Constitution but generally is construed as a presidential directive that becomes law without prior congressional approval. It is based either on existing statutes or on the president's other constitutional responsibilities. Executive orders usually pertain specifically to government agencies and officials, but their effects often reach to the average citizen [they can, and have, reached everywhere, like to Iraq].
"The Congress may seek to nullify, repeal, revoke, terminate or de-fund an executive order, but each such action requires the eventual concurrence of the President (most likely the same President that issued the order in the first place)."
http://www.rules.house.gov/archives/rules_hear08.htm
July 27, 2007 9:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
That assumption would be on par with your other reasoning, yes.
July 27, 2007 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Run, run, run, little piggy better run,
run, run, run, the day ain't done.
ROTFL
July 27, 2007 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
To respond to Sphealey, my post mentioned two options that are available to Congress, proceeding with a contempt citation and selectively or completely defunding the White House or the Office of the Vice President. Sphealey assumes the former route is a dead end because DOJ has said it won't enforce it, but if I remember my legal education correctly, any citizen can go into federal court and seek a writ of mandamus to force federal officials to do their jobs, which would create a court challenge to the entire Bush executive-privilege edifice.
Alternatively, there's precedent for Congress citing executive officials for "inherent contempt" (which requires only a majority vote), arresting Bush officials via its own Sergeant At Arms, and trying them in a joint session.
And there's also the option of impeaching Gonzales on the limited but hard-to-argue-with grounds that he's a mendacious disgrace to his office, and the most immediate obstacle to the enforcement of our laws.
If I could address the content of this thread more generally, it's apparent that there are two different points of view among impeachment advocates. Some believe that an impeachment proceeding is the ideal way to educate and mobilize the citizenry about this administration's misdeeds. In other words, they think this is actually the right kind of political exercise for Democrats to engage in at this point, and some, citing the Nixon analogy, appear to feel that it would eventually create such a powerful public momentum towards impeachment and removal that it could really happen.
The second camp has concluded that the constitutional threat Bush and Cheney pose is so dire and irreversible that an impeachment effort is morally obligatory, regardless of the political consequences.
While those holding these two different perspectives are united in demanding an immediate impeachment drive, they're obviously at odds about the relevance of politics, and most especially the 2008 presidential elections, which will be dominated by the impeachment question if it gets seriously raised in Congress. And there may also be some tension between these two groups about the scope of impeachment articles, with the former favoring a broad indictment of the administration, and the latter likely to focus on narrower constitutional issues.
I mention these differences for the simple reason that they reflect two of the questions I posed in the original post, which didn't much get addressed in the comment thread amidst the general rush to make the case for impeachment.
On a much smaller note, I probably made a mistake by citing the Clinton experience as suggesting that an admittedly doomed impeachment effort might bleed public support. Even though I tried to make it clear I didn't at all consider the "case" against Clinton and the case against Bush and Cheney analogous, and know there was never a public majority for removing Clinton for office, I can understand why even bringing up the topic was maddening to some people. And the public opinion research on the late stages of the Clinton impeachment effort is murky enough to support not only my argument, but its opposite. But it's really not that important a subject.
What is important, and this too is a topic where pro-impeachment folk may differ, is the simple fact that support for impeachment and removal is relatively weak among congressional Democrats, who are the ones responsible for the heavy lifting here. Obviously, one reason we're having this discussion is that many Democratic activists want to pressure Congressional Dems to abandon their reluctance to "go there." But at some point, pro-impeachment Democrats may have to make a judgment about the intra-party consequences of making impeachment a litmus test, lest this become an essentially intra-Democratic fight that dominates all political discussion even as Guiliani, Romney, or Thompson moves towards the White House.
This is a scenario which, will all due respect to sphealey, is one that would truly pave the way to a permanently imperial presidency, even if it deferred Jebbie's ambitions until 2016.
Thanks to everyone who contributed to this thread. Sorry if you don't like me or my views, but it's a free blogosphere.
Ed Kilgore
July 27, 2007 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not that I don't like you. I don't know you and have no feelings or impulses on this front at all.
What I did object to was your blatant mischaracterization with respect to the Clinton impeachment issue, as part of a none to coherent battery of arguments which you used to support your case.
You were well aware, as we all are, of the circumstances of the Clinton impeachment, as well as the various controversies surrounding it, including the well demonstrated hypocrisy of the principals.
Yet you chose to ignore this in favour of a very superficial generalization which you yourself admit is hardly accepted and for which the evidence is not conclusive. Indeed, I'm being very kind to you here, since my impulse then and now was to characterize this argument as deeply dishonest or at least bizarrely maladaptive to the facts.
This threw your entire case into doubt. Is there a point to arguing with a man who cannot distinguish black from white, up from down? Is there a reason to argue with a man who knowingly claims that a dog is a cat?
Certain sorts of positions fundamentally impair credibility. This is sad but true. It's possible that a person could take one incredible position and be sound on most others. However, the reality is that taking a clearly incredible position leads to question the judgement and wisdom applied to the rest.
Essentially, 'an idiot in one thing is often an idiot in other things.'
Why should I continue to take this seriously.
I found your overall approach sloppy and facile. Even had you not made your fatal mistake, it is not at all clear to me that the balance of your argument would have been sustainable. Certainly I did not see enough there to earn you the benefit of the doubt.
Next time, construct your arguments with greater care.
July 27, 2007 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
While commenters have argued these points separately, that doesn't put them in two opposing camps. Some of the public need to be educated and informed of the egregious offenses this administration has committed, some do not. There should be a political consensus for conviction, which means making the case to the people at large and impeachment does put things front and center.
You seem to assume that there is not a large movement for impeachment already. That is only true in Congress, not in the heartland of America where half of these "uneducated" already favor impeachment. Eighty cities and one state have passed resolutions calling for impeachment. That alone is astonishing. Millions of signatures have been collected on petitions. A half dozen good books have been written, spelling out the offenses.
Americans are calling for impeachment, even when the media is providing cover for the administration, and political timidity be damned. Of course, impeachment is a process and it gathers momentum incrementally. Besides, are you going to seriously argue that impeaching the leaders of this Republican dictatorship is going to destroy the Democrats? Congressional representatives are not representing on this, but that will change as pressure builds. Regardless, some may urge more caution than others but if impeachment is morally obligatory, who would ultimately oppose it?
July 27, 2007 12:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Valdon:
Lord have mercy.
I am sorry that I have not lived up to your evidently high standards of argument construction, having committed "fatal mistakes" that label me as an "idiot." I recommend you apply to Josh Marshall to have me banned here, idiot that I am.
Did you actually read what I wrote? It was a relatively small but initial argument that there was in fact a negative effect on public opinion towards the Clinton impeachment produced by the realization that Republicans had no intention or expectation of actually winning. I still think I'm right, but don't think the issue is important enough to argue about. And I never, explicitly or implicitly, suggested that the impeachment of Clinton was generally analogous to the case for impeaching Bush and/or Cheney.
And again, you don't seem interested in answering the questions about impeachment that I actually posed, and tried to clarify in the comment that led you to tell me what a lying idiot I am.
Ed Kilgore
July 27, 2007 1:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don Key:
Good and eloquent comment, though you might be overrating the one poll, by a notoriously bad polling outfit (ARG), showing close to half of the public favoring Bush's impeachment. I wish the other pollsters weren't, apparently, refusing to ask the question.
But in any event, by your own admission, support for impeachment is a lot weaker in Congress than in "the heartland." Maybe the campaign for impeachment will change that quickly and decisively, but if not, you really do need to answer my questions: Will this become more an attack on congressional Democrats or anti-impeachment Democratic presidential candidates than on Bush and Cheney? And what will that produce politically next year?
I'm sure there are potential answers to these questions that are reassuring, but I'm not hearing them on this thread.
Ed Kilgore
July 27, 2007 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hmmm. Thin skinned too. And a touch sarcastic.
Look, its this way: In a perfect world there would be an infinite opportunity to fully deconstruct and disprove every aspect of every argument ad infinitem and ceaselessly obtain towards the ultimate truth.
This is not a perfect world. The sheer volumes of argument will always exceed the time and resources necessary to sort through arguments.
One way of separating the wheat from the chaff is to look for signs of obvious nonsense, of misrepresentation, evasion, of logical breakdown, which suggest that the whole or totality of the argument does not hold up.
This is hardly a radical approach. You find this in law, in science, in business, in journalism and public advocacy.
Sorry, you wound up with the chaff, not the wheat. That's not my fault. And your original attempt to minimize your failing indicates that you didn't clue into it at all. Also, not my fault.
I realize this stings. All I can say is that it'd probably a good thing. It's part of the learning process.
Learn to make better arguments.
Is this an unreasonable request?
July 27, 2007 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gee, what if it became an intra-party fight with Lieberman-style Democrats?
You under-rate the American Public.
Those are the short answers to your concerns.
On a more esoteric note, there may be an actual question of actual balls here: in the societies of other primates the top monkey's level of testosterone increases. Once you remove the top monkey the testosterone levels of the formerly subordinate monkeys increase and with it their levels of aggression. I think our Congress critters have not yet recovered from the drubbing they received starting with the stealing of the 2000 election.
I'm not a big fan of history-will-learn positions but I think it applies here: it is not just what the current public currently thinks about impeachment but also what lessons history will draw about what is allowed in our democracy.
That said, given the 'Publican penchant for stealing elections the next election is vital. If the Rethugs regain control of the Congress and institute voting via little black boxes we will no longer live in a democracy.
Yes, you worry about the cranks coming out of the closet but the Emperor has no clothes: what is tin foil hat time is failing to reform a system which allows thousands of votes to simply vanish.
July 27, 2007 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to agree with the previous two comments - any future Democratic presidency (unless it's Dennis Kucinich, which it won't be) is going to be advised by the professional adviser class and by the very serious Washington media to "move on" for the good of the country. Just like they did with Bush I.
I should hope that Ms. Clinton will have learned her lesson about the value of moving on, as her husband's early efforts to move on were so gratefully and nobly recognized and rewarded by their Republican opponents.
This also assumes there will be a Democratic presidency. And you know what happens when you assume.
It's now or never. And an impeached president and/or vice president will be much easier to prosecute them for war crimes. I think a war crimes trial for this administration is the only thing that is going to redeem America in the eyes of the world.
July 27, 2007 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
As for the poll, It may be high- or low-balling the numbers, but there is already an historically high push for impeachment. And impeachment is only the equivalent of charging a crime. When evidence is uncovered and arguments made in this case, I have little doubt who will be favored.
First, that is probably the way it would be spun by the media initially, but in the end, voters decide for themselves. Once an impeachment is underway, the media will have trouble ignoring the core charges and their validity. This really is a constitutional crises and it will be seen as such when all of the abuses are spelled out.
Second, I think that the question isn't being addressed first because, in the case of impeachment, as in the Iraq War, politics really are of secondary importance.
Third, I think reliable polls show that most voters already believe that Congressional Dems are ignoring their mandate to end the war (and for many, to prosecute abuses). High approval for Congress in February has fallen to historic lows. The bulk of that drop in approval is amongst Democrats who feel let down. Ending the war and impeachment can only improve the standing of Dems in Congress.
Fourth, the Dems are only in the majority because the country wanted to end the war and the corruption and usurpation of power by Bush and the Republicans. If Congress refuses to fulfill those obligations, perhaps they should be attacked and voted out.
July 27, 2007 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
You seem to assume that the president won't get a fair trial. That somehow the result of an election will swing the balance of justice so that the president won't be able to defend herself or himself in a court of law.
It's like saying that trying someone for murder after they have murdered sets a dangerous precedent because it just seems like revenge at that point.
If war crimes were committed, they should be prosecuted. Otherwise, the slim possibility of impeachment seems to be a small price to pay for the possibly enormous rewards of wielding that much power.
And if there is any place where a fair trial is most tenuous, it is in the very impeachment process you advocate as the most fair and just rememdy. Impeachment can be a political tool, whereas it is much more difficult to use the courts as a political tool. Not impossible, but certainly more difficult. I know if I were innocent, I'd much rather have my day in court than in Congress.
It just so happens that in this case, impeachment isn't a political tool. It is merely the right first step in a process that should ultimately put some very bad people in jail and hopefully set a precedent to prevent future presidents from overstepping their Constitutional and moral authorities.
July 27, 2007 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Additional thoughts regarding my earlier post arguing for prosecution.
I also favor impeachment, but I do not see any reason that it should be the only option available for accountability. They're not mutually exclusive.
Defeating the Republicans across the board is, in itself, one avenue toward enforcing accountability. And the behavior of the White House and its allies in Congress increasingly resembles a mass political suicide on the order of Jonestown. There is no reason to be anything but optimistic about the prospects for making the Republicans feel the consequences of drinking their own brand of Kool-Aid. And defeating the Republicans at the polls can facilitate future investigation and prosecutions.
Bush and Cheney are not the only ones who have committed crimes, and they are not the only ones who should be held accountable. Staff members, both present and future, should fear prosecution for their crimes.
I see no reason to assume right now that moving a future Democratic administration toward prosecution is hopeless, any more than assuming that moving the Congress toward impeachment is hopeless. Nor should we simply assume that investigations of the Bush Administration's crimes -- including, for instance, the wiretapping program -- should stop after the '08 election. The Bush Adminstration may want to run out the clock, but why should we not be the ones to determine how long the clock will run?
Our goal should be to build a broad-based political movement that demands accountability, and, therefore, demands that Democratic officeholders demand accountability.
It's impossible to predict what impact future revelations may have on the climate of public opinion, in favor of either impeachment or prosecution, or both.
Regarding the wiretapping programming, no one has been emphasizing this (the Democrats certainly have not), but crimes were certainly committed. And it seems (more than) likely that what we may learn in the future about the wiretapping program will be particularly egregious.
Restoring constitutional government and legal accountability is a long-term project. It's a process, which will not produce instant results, or lasting ones. Eternal vigilance.....
July 27, 2007 2:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you think Bush might refuse to accept and impeachment ruling, what makes you think he would accept the results of another election? Then what? Do you have a plan for when Bush refuses to recognize the legitimate winner of the next election?
Because you're basically asking us to also offer a plan for an extremely unlikely event.
July 27, 2007 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ed,
Valdon's point, and it's a good one, is that you are basing your entire argument on the political peril of Democratic candidates if impeachment becomes the dominating issue of 08. You based that argument on the way public opinion turned against the Clinton impeachment. It wasn't a sideline to your argument, it was the foundation. When it crumbles, your argument crumbles with it.
Frankly, I don't see what's wrong with impeachment becoming a defining issue for Democrats in '08. Isn't avoiding this the same flawed reasoning that advocated avoiding Iraq as a defining issue in 06?
I think any presidential candidate who would stand up and say I think the president should be impeached if he or she deserves it is the candidate who will get my vote. That's the candidate who is saying, no president is above the law.
July 27, 2007 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see a lot of anger and fury on this thread. I see a lot of deliberative thought by most but arguments here are not hot-headed rants. There are many places where strategies for impeachment are underway.
You say this: "...impeachment is not a practical option until some additional political developments occur."
Followed by this: "...impeachment might be irrelevent because the current political crisis is getting so much worse so quickly."
And then claim that Bush would simply ignore impeachment, anyway. Sounds like you're just against impeachment whatever the case.
July 27, 2007 3:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gonzalez should be impeached. We don't want him to resign. If I am correct, executive privilege does not apply during an impeachment trial.
The sweeping declaration of executive privilege is either purely opportunistic, or the only hope the Bush admin has of avoiding slam-dunk proof of criminal conduct in a non-national security case. Or both.
Firing the US attorneys for political reasons corrupts both the political process and the administration of justice. The GOP's radical wing (Bush, Rove, et al) have a fundamental problem, though. That is that their policies are highly unpopular. The only way to stay in power is to cheat the election process. They are grabbing for every weapon, including illegitimate use of prosecutions to sway elections.
Imagine, they want to be able to prosecute people on _bogus_ charges in order to win elections. You can hardly be any more corrupt in a democracy.
July 27, 2007 3:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hoppy, Jeff said very well what I would have said.
If there are crimes, you try them, whether it is Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, GHWBush, Clinton, BushII-the return, or the next jackass.
You are exposing your concern that this would become a political attack system. Fine, let us see if our Judicial system is politico proof, it was supposed to be.
It is sad when Constitutional values take second seat to political ambitions.
July 27, 2007 5:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
please look up: Slippery Slope Fallacy
Removal from office is not 'ample punishment' for a war criminal. Incarceration is a good start for a war criminal.
July 27, 2007 5:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bush's war crimes, real as they are, are shared by many Americans who enthusiastically enabled him. Don't forget that very near, if not more than 50% of our voters approved his activities by reelecting him in 2004. I like the idea that he may well be unable to leave this country after he leaves office, for fear of arrest and trial for his crimes.
I have not said I doubt the honesty of our court system, so I would expect any ex-president to get a fair trial, as things stand today. But, we are rapidly moving towards a political justice system, where such fair trials may not be a given. It is easy to believe that in the future there will be a Repub president and administration so bent on revenge for having had to sit still for a Democratic president, that they will stack the deck against the ex-president and fabricate sufficient evidence that a conviction will be a certainty. I don't want any precedents that will make it easier for them to do that.
We have never convicted a president in an impeachment trial. But, the fear of impeachment was so great that Nixon resigned rather than face the trial. Clinton didn't do so because there was never the slightest chance of a conviction in his case, nor even a clearly stated reason for the trial in the first place. We need to exercise the impeachment process when it is appropriate, as it absolutely is now. I share the belief of many others here that once the hearings and trial are underway the evidence will stack up so convincingly that even Repub senators will feel obligated to vote for conviction.
Hoppy in Sacramento
July 27, 2007 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
krcook, I'd love to know why you think my contribution at 1:41 pm July 26th, "Unproductive"?
It raises some questions and alternatives not otherwise considered.
Like to know.
July 27, 2007 11:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
My problems as regards notthere's proposals:
I was in my twenties when Ford pardoned Nixon. He didn’t deserve it. The nation let it pass because we were tired of all the contention and eager to look to the future. Should we get these ugly days behind us, people will feel much the same.
Like too many, you seem to assume, almost slam dunk, our POTUS to be elected (2008) will be a Dem. With the election so far away and this administration in power (Republican, proactive, and disrespectful of any law it dislikes) this may not be true. More so should Congress show a lack of resolve.
Given our mainstream media, making Republican legislative non-oversight into an ongoing story is way, way out of reach.
Papers? What papers?? No doubt, Cheney thinks Nixon was a fool to hand over the tapes. He will not make those mistakes.
I won’t go into the problems regarding the appellate courts. It would all get to the Supremes anyway. So, after the 2000 election decision and the subsequent new appointments, just what kind of results would you expect from your proposed cases?
The founders wisely did not provide a great role for the courts in such crises. It is supposed to go: indictment by the House and trial by the Senate. Shortly after, the entire House and one third of the Senate would face the electorate. It was intended as political in the best sense of the word. The beauty of it!
Notthere, I sense good instincts behind your comments. Stay on the case.
Kevin Russell Cook
July 28, 2007 1:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
It will indeed demonstrate who is correct, fellow prognosticators.
July 28, 2007 7:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
If we don't have the conviction to stay with some of the concerns about oligarchy in our country we won't have the luxury later of debating it. Impeachment was the cure for such conflicts in abusing power.
I think it would be a great idea to hold any former presidents who committed crimes while in office accountable for their crimes. Only a conflict of interest would keep me for wanting it. Further because they can so easily manipulate information at the top, we might not know for 25 years or more that they were lying us into wars or trade deals.
You are I are the same page, just I'm not honoring the gossipy level Hannity Vince Foster crap with any dignity. If it can be shown that Clinton acted outside the law in bombing Kosovo, so be it. If he acted in league with Indonesia in a manner that supported the Genocide in East Timor, then fine have a trial.
Can't try him again over a blowjob that's been done, falls under that double jeopardy thingy that Libby needs to think about. (note: he wasn't tried for treason, just lying and obstructing)
I want them tried as criminals when the crimes are revealed. I want the Democrats to keep focused and don't do more damage to themselves. They can certainly mess up an otherwise good investigation.
July 28, 2007 10:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
People? that was a 'person' not people.
you can find people that acknowledge the earth is flat here:
http://www.alaska.net/~clund/e_djublonskopf/Flatearthsociety.htm
July 28, 2007 10:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Courts don't bring you to justice, they are the representation of justice. Prosecutors bring you to justice.
July 28, 2007 11:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
The impeachment of Bush is about his Dick and the impeachment of his Dick is about saving the constitution, no?
July 28, 2007 11:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
hossier,
some democrat guy who had to battle polio talked about fearing fear. I concur.
I have thought about the options and I conclude this:
we must act because of patriotism.
we must act to demonstrate the strength of our constitution and the end of monarchical government structures.
we have the duty to hold our officals accountable without thought of election cycles.
Where there is no ground covered, we will cover it. There may be a few precedents in this event, as there was with Andrew Johnson who faced a failed impeachment attempt and then a second impeachment. Can you imagine telling people before Lincoln that they might impeach the president?
Has it has become so built up that nobody can us it? That would defeat the very logic of the founders who decided to specifically include impeachment in the Constitution. Many who spoke of it like George Mason wanted a clear removal procedure as had been used in a limited fashion in English Law. But he and others wanted it much more readily available and without a big fuss.
So to your point about Cheney and Bush finding it legitimate. I have two answers for you.
One, US Marshall Service
Two, Frog March
July 28, 2007 11:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps our Founding Fathers should have been more precise in their definition of High Crimes and Misdemeanors, but maybe they were wiser, letting us have this discussion now. I'm of the persuasion that it's time to consider impeachment seriously. Inaction is itself an action, and, granted that the Impeachment of Clinton set the standard for offenses against the United States unreasonably low, giving Bush and Cheney a pass sets them impossibly high. One might as well eliminate impeachment as a Constitutional provision altogether.
I like John Winthrop's observations, and I think they make for pretty good guidelines. As first Governor of Massachusetts Bay, he had a pretty practical rule of thumb. To keep from expecting the impossible, we need to remember this:
But to keep from treating political leaders like minor gods, we also need to remember this:
I put it that Clinton should not have been impeached, based on Winthrop's first standard, and that, daily, it becomes more and more clear that Bush should be impeached on the basis of the second.
aMike
July 29, 2007 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
"What is important, and this too is a topic where pro-impeachment folk may differ, is the simple fact that support for impeachment and removal is relatively weak among congressional Democrats,"
Yes, and that's what's really paving the way for the imperial Presidency. The Democrat "representing" me in the Senate is a relentless advocate for safe toys and safe country club swimming pools.
So where do I go for someone to tackle grown up problems? I mean, electing more Democrats of this "let them eat cake" variety is not any different than electing Republicans. You think she's going to expand her platform to public swimming pools if the party has a bigger majority come 2008?
Nothing is going to change until the public figures out how to make itself heard. So by all means lets make this an extra-party endeavor.
If we can't impeach Bush can we impeach the Congress or at least throw the bums out and replace them with folks who want to represent us? If the Democrats don't care enough to fight for the Constitution, let's find some people who are willing to do so.
July 29, 2007 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ed, I'm from the Heartland. Just returned from Iowa in fact. I haven't run into anyone in the Heartland for quite some time who believes that anyone in Congress has the least interest in representing us.
You DLC types were blaming this on the Democratic Party's unwillingness to repeat "Jesus" in every paragraph but it's much more a Lou Dobbs type disgust with the incompetence, disconnection, and callous lack of concern from both parties in Washington.
Maybe impeachment isn't the antidote for the complete disgust Americans now have with Washington, but Democrats better figure out something a little more compelling than figuring out how NOT to get out of Iraq and how NOT to provide universal health care and how NOT to guarantee Social Security and Medicare and how NOT to reform campaigns, and how NOT to protect our civil rights.
If the party ever decides to stand for something, please let me know, but as it is, it's hard to see how a little impeachment can hurt its image.
July 29, 2007 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's remember that Nixon resigned because the votes were there to impeach him, and to remove him from office and possibly bring him into criminal court. Therefore the move toward impeachment did in fact remove him from office.
Public sentiment was strongly for the impeachment and removal of Nixon, and that is an important fact.
In the other two cases Clinton's being the closest historically. Both moves to impeach were entirely politically driven, and both failed to remove the President. In Clinton's case the public was strongly against his removal.
The world and the American people want the Bushies removed from control of this country. The intent of and acts preparatory to impeaching Bush et al should be at the forefront of Congress's business. That is what the people of this country want. It is what the world needs. It is what the Iraqi people need as a first step toward a return to peace.
July 30, 2007 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is what the Iraqi people need as a first step toward a return to peace.
Repudiating the president who's backing it will stabilize the regime and hold off the civil war? I think the opposite is more likely.
As John Burns of the NYT said on a radio show, the honest position is to say the bloodshed is inevitable and we should get out after 3000 American deaths, not 5000, not to pretend that our withdrawal won't lead to civil war and everything will be fine.
July 31, 2007 6:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
I tend to agree that withdrawal will allow the covert war of bombings to become an overt war over territory, a partition/civil war. I might be wrong, as this data point from Ken Pollack suggests---things are much better in Mosul now, with only a few hundred Americans presiding over much reduced violence, as opposed to thousands of soldiers and plenty of incidents. Pollack's explanation is that Iraqus have taken over security. What is not obvious is the causal sequence. Did we draw down and force the Iraqis, or did we reduce after we saw that we could?
In any case we have a correlation---fewer American soldiers=less violence.
More generally, though, after enough mistakes by a manager you get the idea that he isn't up to the job. That's this administration. The choices made have been exclusively disastrous. The good things that have happened have been the doing of professionals that keep trying anyway, such as mid-level Army and Marine commanders, or State Dept negotiators. I have no reason to believe that any suggestions by the administration have merit. I'll listen to suggestions from anyone outside the WH.
July 31, 2007 7:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hmmm. I wonder what this coming civil war might look like? Different factions bombing and killing each other? People being chased from their homes as neighborhoods coalesce around one faction? Suicide bombings? Torture and killings by militias?
A civil war has been underway for a long time. Just because Pentagon spokesmen don't refer to it as such, does not make it something else. 100 or so being killed everyday. 2 1/2 million refugees inside Iraq. Of course, things may blow up even more on our departure, since we are keeping a lid on things. But the longer you keep a lid on a boiling pot, the more pressure builds and the greater the eruption.
Ask yourself if we would intercede in a civil war at this point, if we were not already there. The refugee crises, a product of the civil war, is dire. Relief agencies cannot adequately cope. But I don't hear cries from the administration that we need to do a surge on that problem. Whose interests are we looking after by staying there and prolonging the conflict aggravated by our occupation?
July 31, 2007 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink