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Israel-Palestine: Final Status Negotiations Now!

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I don't think I've come across a single person in Washington who believes that the plan President Bush outlined in his speech on the Palestinians Monday will work. Some say it won't work because the Palestinians won't play ball. Others say the Israelis won't. And pretty much everyone says "too little, too late."

This is not to say that there is not a strong consensus in favor of providing more aid to the President Abbas and the people of the West Bank. There is, although on that score there is almost universal agreement that the aid should have been provided when it might have helped Abbas defeat Hamas not after Hamas won a free and fair election. The irony here is that so many of the people urging support for Abbas now are the very ones who threw obstacles in front of aid when it would have made a critical difference.

It can't help but make one cynical about their sudden generosity of spirit.

The central problem with the Bush approach is that it is predicated on the idea that one can establish a vibrant democracy at peace with Israel in the West Bank while the other half of Palestine, Gaza, is ignored.

I can't quite understand why neither the Bush administration nor the Israelis understand that their embrace of Abbas, while dismissing the elected Hamas government, has the effect of turning the West Bank into the Republic of South Vietnam while converting Hamas into the Viet Cong. We all know how that turned out.

Imagine if the British and the Arabs had told the Jews of pre-state Israel that the Haganah and Ben-Gurion were the good guys while Begin and the Irgun were a bunch of thugs. You think the Jews would have been impressed? Not bloody likely.

Daniel Levy, the former Israeli peace negotiator, who is now a senior fellow at the New America Foundation and Washington's most influential and original commentator on the conflict, put it like this in the Washington Post: "Dividing the region into extremists and moderates may sound nice, neat and tidy in a speech but on the ground there is a huge gray area that the President refuses to acknowledge.'"

This past week, Israel Policy Forum sponsored retired Israeli General Israela Oron, former Deputy National Security Adviser to both Prime Ministers Barak and Sharon, who came to Washington to tell Members of Congress that ignoring Hamas was impossible for Israel.

"We have to deal with Hamas if only to achieve the release of Gilad Shalit, our captured soldier. So right there the whole idea of not talking to them on principle collapses."

General Oron does not believe that Gaza can be left to stew in its juices. "Even if Abu Mazen is able to dramatically improve conditions in Nablus and Jenin , that will not solve the problem. The West Bank Palestinians are the same people as the Gaza Palestinians. They have brothers and cousins there. You think they are going to be satisfied living well thanks to Israel and the United States while their relatives suffer?"

Oron does not favor any single approach. She favors back channel dealings with Hamas with the goal of achieving Shalit's release, a cease-fire, and a workable arrangement on border passages. She would also encourage third parties like Egypt, Saudi Arabia and even South Africa to work on effecting the reconciliation of Palestinian factions. But she also believes that "final status" Israeli-Palestinian negotiations can be commenced right now with Abbas, despite the temporary internal Palestinian split, something President Abbas and Prime Minister Salam Fayyad themselves favor.

How would that work?

Although Abbas only controls the West Bank (and not fully), he still is in full control of the Palestine Liberation Organization, which is recognized worldwide – including by Israel -- as the legitimate representative of all Palestinians. The Oslo Agreement (and those that derived from Oslo) was between Israel and the PLO. And it is the PLO, not the essentially local governments of the West Bank and/or Gaza, with which Israel will sign a peace agreement when the time comes. This is a fact that not even Hamas contests. In fact, it has agreed that it is the PLO that is empowered to negotiate with Israel.

This is not something we hear much about these days. The people who are so enthusiastic about aiding Fatah and Abbas are anything but enthusiastic about a negotiation process that will require an immediate settlements freeze and dismantling of illegal outposts (both long promised by Israel and never delivered). Although they know that these two actions – combined with a significant (not 250!) prisoner release would do more to help Abbas than all the aid Congress and the EU can provide together – the new Abbas champions do not believe that Israel need make any “concessions.”

Typically, in Wednesday's Wall Street Journal, right-wing historian Michael Oren inadvertently exposes the Bush approach by enthusing that "Never before has any American President placed the onus of demonstrating a commitment to peace so emphatically on Palestinian shoulders…the bulk of his demands were directed at the Palestinians…Mr. Bush set unprecedented conditions for Arab participation in peace efforts." In other words, crows Oren, Bush asks nothing of Israelis, only of Palestinians.

In yesterday's New York Times, another Likud sympathizer, novelist Mark Helprin, celebrates the break-up of Palestine and describes the possibilities of a prosperous West Bank on the "brink" of statehood without mentioning a single thing Israel might have to give up.

Nice try, but no Palestinian – and certainly not Abbas – is going to accept a truncated pseudo-state full of Israeli settlements, checkpoints and highways for-Jewish-settlers-only. Any Palestinian leader who accepted such a deal would survive about as long as an Israeli leader who surrendered Tel Aviv!

But Abbas, as head of the PLO, has the authority to negotiate a final status deal with Israel along the lines of the Israeli-Palestinian agreement almost achieved at Taba in 2001, or one based on the Clinton parameters or the Geneva Initiative.

That kind of deal is the only one that can work. Israel gets security and the Palestinians get their state in the West Bank and Gaza with an official presence in East Jerusalem and some solution to the refugee problem.

Getting there would not be easy. Israelis would have to give up the West Bank, including Hebron – holy to religious Jews. Palestinians would have to give up the idea of anything but a token "return" to pre-'67 Israel and recognize that the 22% of historic Palestine that is represented by the West Bank and Gaza is all they will ever get, (and that means taking on the militants, the way Arafat and Dahlan did then).

But Abbas, as head of the PLO, can probably deliver.

After all, he is no longer constrained by the presence of Hamas in his government. The down side is that he does not control Gaza. However, if Abbas can show Hamas supporters that he has achieved a final status agreement with Israel, he would likely gain full legitimacy with almost all Palestinians.

Of course, the peace deal with Israel would have to be put to a referendum (under international supervision) in the West Bank and Gaza and probably in the Palestinian diaspora as well. But the Hamas leadership in Gaza would be in the position of either accepting Israel and peace or being held responsible by Palestinians for losing their best chance of achieving statehood.

The bottom line is that flooding the West Bank with I-PODS and European cars will not save Abbas or even re-legitimize him in the eyes of his people.
Only one thing can do that. Successful final status negotiations now. And Abbas has the authority to do it. As for Ehud Olmert, even with single-digit popularity, his coalition is secure enough to do it too. Photo opportunities with Abbas during which Olmert re-states his opposition to real negotiations and offers token prisoner releases (250 out of 10,000) are less than worthless; they weaken Abbas and don’t help Olmert either.

We need to keep our eye on the ball. The name of the game is establishing a viable contiguous Palestinian state. In the words of General Oron to an audience of some 25 Members of Congress this week, "the most important thing you can do to help Israel achieve security is to work to establish a Palestinian state now in the West Bank and Gaza. Not just for them, although they need a state. But, for us. Without it, we will not long survive as a Jewish state."


281 Comments

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Nice summary of all the illusions you and the "progressives" labor under.
I do agree with you that there is no point in pretending there is a major differences between Abbas and HAMAS, there isn't. They want the same thing, i.e. the eradication of Israel, but they have different ideas about how to go about it and they each want the incoming aid money for themselves and their cronies, and they may disagree about the role of Islam in their societies, but ideologically, regarding Israel, there is no signficant difference.
Your claim that Abbas can sign a peace agreement with Israel is nonsense. Even if he wanted to (and he most certainly does NOT), he couldn't because he is not a free agent. All the neighboring Arab states plus Iran have their fingers in the pie. If he really were to sign such an agreement giving up vital Arab demands like a full "right of return" he would be denounced as a traitor and everyone would be demanding his head. What the Arabs want, including Egypt, with its phony "peace agreement" is an ongoing war of attrition with Israel (note Egypt's ongoing flooding of the Gaza Strip with weapons, for example).
You claim he could sign an agreement based on the Taba talks in 2001 or the Geneva document. ARAFAT TURNED THE TABA TERMS DOWN FLAT. Why do you think Abbas could accept them? He would be accused of betraying Arafat's legacy.
Your claim is that "Abbas could deliver". FANTASY. This is because "HAMAS is no longer in the gov't". Who cares who is sitting in the Palestinian 'government'? IT HAS NO MORAL AUTHORITY among the Palestinians. Bismarck once stated something like "blood and iron determine a nation's future, not majority votes in parliaments". HAMAS has a strong presence with weapons even in Judea/Samaria and Abbas has ALWAYS refused to disarm them or crack down on them, even before they won the election to their parliament when he still had total control of their gov't.
MJ then says there will be a "referendum" to ratify this supposed agreement. Who has the right to vote? The Arabs in Judea/Samaria/Gaza or do we have to include the supposedly millions of Palestinians outside these territories. Many will say they have the right to vote since it involves their fate as well, by giving up the "Right of return". And what if it passes, will the losers accept it, or will it ignite a civil war. After all, Abbas himself has ignored the results of the elections that brought HAMAS to power by illegally disbanding their gov't. Even after they won the election , FATAH refused to hand over many levers of power. Thus, a referendum over such a sensitive matter could never be held or honored if it was carried out..

MJ and his fellow "progressives" refuse to see the truth...there is NO possibility of there being a peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians in the foreseeable future. Most Israelis understand this. It is about time that MJ do so as well.

MJ:

Busy day here today, but excellent analysis, really, and I look forward to rereading it later. Thanks.

Bruce

This General Oron you quote seems to be as deluded as the other "progressives". She says she would "encourage Egypt, Saudia Arabia and South Africa (?!) to bring about a FATAH - HAMAS reconciliation". What does she think has been going on for a year? Didn't the Saudi's with their gigabucks negotiate an agreement between the two leading to forming a "national-unity gov't". How long did that last? Did it ever work? She is typical of Israeli Leftists in the Establishment--they project their own hopes and dreams onto the Arabs and then convince themselves "if I were an Arab, I would do what the Israeli Left thinks is in their best interests". This is typical of the old Labor Party Socialist ideology (and that of the "progressives" here) that says "really, everybody in the world is the same and has the same values and if we just educate them they will end up being like us". A good example of these delusions is the belief that the Arab intelligentsia would be for peace because the Israeli intelligentsia is for peace since it is (wrongly) believed that educated people are more "universalistic" or less "nationalistic". That may be indeed true in Europe, the US, or Israel, but it is NOT true in the Arab world. In reality, the Arab intelligentsia is MORE extreme than the less educated parts of Arab society.

And another typically vile and insane Bar Kochba post. I wonder if he actually writes them any more. Or does he just have this automatic program of buzzwords that spews out for him. It would save time and labour.

Two in a row!

I'm sure you feel you've answered bar_kochba's arguments in the past and that the rest of us should be aware of those responses. But I, for one, missed them

What's bar_kochba saying which you find to be "vile" and "insane"?

 

To me, MJ's analysis seems naive.

There's no reason to assume that Bush's speech had anything to do with solving the Israeli-Palestinian controversy. To the contrary -- it's intention is to further isolate Hamas and to be able to later charge it -- and especially, Iran -- with undermining the "roadmap" or the "peace process" or whatever it will be called this Fall when it all, as expected, falls apart.

One more black mark against Iran to put in its "permanent record."

I suspect the speech will prove most effective in achieving the goals it was intended to achieve.

Don't bother answering Bar K. Or do it on the same day TPMers start responding to Al Qaeda backers.

Deluded peaceniks ALWAYS refuse to honestly debate skeptics like bar_kochba or myself.  Time and again, we rebut point by point the fallacies, fantasies and fictions posted virtually every day here and elsewhere.  The typical response is either an ad hominem insult or else ignores the arguments altogether.

When I quoted Bismarck, I should have made clear that this does not reflect my opinion....such thinking is anathema to a democratic society, but in the Arab world democracy has not taken hold, so Bismarck's sentiments do reflect the thinking in the Palestinian and the rest of the Arab world, as it is today. That is why HAMAS' victory is a major earthquake in the Arab world and why Bush and the Israeli Left are deluding themselves that it actually "strengthens" Abbas and FATAH by supposedly "freeing them" from HAMAS's influence. HAMAS along with their Iranian sponsors are now viewed as being on a roll, adding to their other ally HIZBULLAH's unexpectedly strong showing in last year's Lebanon War. It is this that influences opinion in the Arab world.

Still a pathetic coward.  And now one guilty of moral equivalence as well.  So supporting the Jewish communities in the West Bank is now the same morally as supporting al Qaeda.

Disgusting.

The fact is that bar_kochba overstates his case.  But he debates honestly and engages your arguments.  You are too much of a wuss to do the same.

Weren't you the one who was complaining about "McCarthyism" and "silencing dissent"?
Here is what you wrote in the thread "Tufts Bans Review Likud Objects To":

-----------------------
Even I, so quick to comment on the censorship of views the pro Likud right does not like, can't find the words for this.

Is there a single other issue that brings on this type of reaction. Think about it. You can write an article calling the President of the United States a fool or a war criminal and so what.

But challenge the CW on the Middle East and academe quakes.

Truly sickening.

This is McCarthyism.
-------------------------------------------

Hey, brave Brad, what's your real name and who do you work for? We all know you have a high enough testosterone level to produce kids, but seemingly not enough to sign your name to your posts. For all we know, you are a plant who posts here only to help disprove the canard that all Jews are bright.

I think Valdron may have jumped the gun a bit, this time. But his response, snarky though it may have been, is understandable and perhaps, excusable.

It seems to me that you and bar_kochba (he to a lesser extent) are unalterably opposed to a peace agreement with the Palestinians and that your arguments against what may be seen as others' idealistic and unrealistic proposals are not made in good faith.

Smoke on your pipe and put that in.

HA!

MJ: Why are you so bad-tempered to day? Maybe because your critics in this thread are on point?

Yes it is probably tedious to answer points you responded to repeatedly for years but you are posting the same stuff you have probably posted for years.

I have a suspicion that Bar and company are making better predictions about the future behavior of the Palestinian leadership than you are. The Palestinian leadership's behavior is tragic because, as you have pointed out, the majority of both peoples want peace.

Damn it!

I can't do this today; real work beckons like a screaming baby at 3 am. Will everyone just chill!!!!

MJ has drafted a comprehensive overview of what is going on with respect to current peace efforts. There are lots of different viewpoints.

Everybody, take a deep breath, think of little sugar plums and stuff, and rethink where we want this weekend thread to go.

Man there is a lot of stuff in this piece. As just one example I haven't read Michael Oren's latest piece in the WSJ that MJ cites too. Has anyone else? Maybe somebody else has and can tell us about it.

Who says I am against peace? I live in Israel and Israel has suffered a lot from all the wars the Arabs have inflicted on us.
What I oppose is PHONY peace agreements of which the ones with Egypt and the Palestinians are good examples. The agreement with Jordan, although viewed by the Jordanians as temporary, has been, on the whole, beneficial for both sides. And the reason it works is because it was NOT based on the phony "Land for Peace" formula the Left loves so much. These phony agreements are all based on the idea "you (Israel) give me something tangible (land) and I will give you something intangible and reversible (peace)". Both the Egyptians and Palestinians never had any intention of living up to the agreements. Both officially encourage violence against Israel, Egypt by a vicious antisemitic media campaign plus funnelling weapons into Gaza. The violations of the Palestinians, their brainwashing of their population to become suicide bombers, their bringing weapons as violations of the agreement (Karine-A affair) are all well known. You should know, by the way, the Jewish settlements in Judea/Samaria were not mentioned AT ALL so building there is NOT a violation of the agreements.

The fact of the matter is that IF the Arabs (and not just the Palestinian leaders) were to really make a serious offer, end incitement, say OUT LOUD that the Jews have a right to self-determination, renounce the "right of return" and really suppress terror and do a Sadat-like visit to Jerusalem to say these things publicly to the Israeli public, ANY Israeli gov't, including a "Right-wing-Likud" gov't would agree to withdraw to the pre-67 lines, knock down all the settlements in Judea/Samaria, divide Jerusalem and give up the holiest Jewish site at the Temple Mount. I would oppose such an agreement, but, as I said, any Israeli gov't would accept this, and would use any force necessary to expel recalcitrant Jews from the settlements, and their would be large-scale support from the population to do this, as much as I might object.
However, THE ARABS WILL NEVER AGREE TO DO THESE THINGS. As an example, Assad says he will deal with Israel only through third-parties. He doesn't want peace with Israel, he wants goodies from the US so offers indirect talks with Israel to get the US to respond to him. Thus, I say there is no possibility of there being any agreements because most Israeli realize these agreements are phony and will not agree to jeapordize their security and possibly the very existence of the state just to sign some more worthless scraps of paper.
The Arabs/Muslims can not and will not recognize the rights of the Jews or other dhimmis to self-determination in what they view as "their turf". The existence of Israel within ANY borders is a humiliation to them because they view themselves as the bearers of the only "true religion" and since once they conquered a huge empire, it is now their right to do the same, and if a dhimmi people like the Jews have succeeded in building a state that is more prosperous and successful than their countries, in spite of the oil wealth they were blessed with, it is an intolerable humiliation to them that must be erased, no matter how long it takes.

Who says I am against peace?

Certainly, not I. I said you were against a "peace agreement."

bar_kochba: I would oppose such an agreement . . . as much as I might object.

That may have been where I got the idea. Ya think?

Bar Kochba screams:


ARAFAT TURNED THE TABA TERMS DOWN FLAT

Are the caps needed to cover up the fact this is pure, unadulterated crap?

Has it occured to Bar K that his arguments would carry more punch if they were not based on outright lies?

PS: for the record, Barak walked and Sharon buried Taba.

I'm throwing the bullshit flag on this, but I hardly think it's necessary.

As much as I agree with MJ's prescriptions for what should be done, I can't help but marvel at his ability to hide any hint of pessimism.

I hate to sound like Bar Kochba but I can't believe that MJ believes, even for a second, that his "suggestions" have the slightest chance of being implemented. There's just this little problem that the powers-that-be in Israel and in the US don't want to hear about them.

When MJ writes that Olmert and Abbas have the authority to carry successful final status negotiations, I can only roll my eyes.

Well, not to put too fine a point on it, but all of bar_kochba's posts generally come across as vile and insane. They're also remarkably monotonous, which is the big sin.

The typical bar_kochba post is usually involves a rant about evil and corrupt palestinians, evil and corrupt arab governments which oppress their own people, some paranoid ode to impending genocide, an apocalyptic vision or two. Kochba saves particular ire for those traitors within Israel and America (the 'left') who undermine Israel by projecting their own delusions onto Arabs, not realizing how awful and subhuman they are. Of course, the left is itself awful, subhuman and hate filled. And usually there's room left at the end for a personal attack on MJRosenberg.

Bar_Kochba's posts only accidentally relate to the topic he's posting on. It seems that he's obsessive in his message and doesn't care all that much about the details he's allegedly responding to. He's merely repeating his message.

To be truthful, the only significant variation in Bar_Kochba's posts is his length. Sometimes its a hundred words, sometimes its a few hundred. It's tedious and uninteresting. Having read a few dozen, I realized that they were all the same that that they would be the same ever after. So I stopped reading them.

I do, from time to time, post an acknowledgement so that Bar_Kochba will not feel that he's speaking into a void. So basically, I'm trying to be nice to him.

But generally, I don't think that should go so far as to actually have to read his stuff.

For you, Ellen...

Shlomo Ben-Ami was interviewed at length in Ha'aretz by Ari Shavit. He was Foreign Minister and deeply involved in the negotiations. He said Arafat never had any intention of reaching an agreement. He kept saying "no" to all Israeli suggestions and kept waiting for the next concessions. I am basing what I wrote on what Ben-Ami (a card-carrying member of the "progressive" camp) said. Whatever was offered at Taba was not enough for Arafat. I don't know what you mean Sharon "buried" Taba, he wasn't present there. He was elected afterwards, and yes he rejected it.

When oh when will you guys get it - Israel does not want peace. Israel wants land.
Here, take a look at this map (link) and let the facts speak for themselves.

Bar_Kochba in sixty seconds:

.... the illusions you and the "progressives" labor under. ...no point in pretending there is a major differences between Abbas and HAMAS... They want the... the eradication of Israel ...and they each want the incoming aid money for themselves and their cronies, ....Abbas can sign a peace agreement with Israel is nonsense...(and he most certainly does NOT)... All the neighboring Arab states plus Iran have their fingers in the pie. ... What the Arabs want, including Egypt, with its phony "peace agreement" is an ongoing war of attrition with Israel... Egypt's ongoing flooding of the Gaza Strip with weapons... Your claim is that "Abbas could deliver". FANTASY. ... Who cares who is sitting in the Palestinian 'government'? IT HAS NO MORAL AUTHORITY among the Palestinians. ... "blood and iron determine a nation's future, not majority votes in parliaments". HAMAS has a strong presence with weapons even in Judea/Samaria and Abbas has ALWAYS refused to disarm them or crack down on them, .... Who has the right to vote? The Arabs in Judea/Samaria/Gaza or do we have to include the supposedly millions of Palestinians outside these territories. .... will it ignite a civil war. Abbas himself has ignored the results of the elections that brought HAMAS to power by illegally disbanding their gov't. Even after they won the election , FATAH refused to hand over many levers of power. ... MJ and his fellow "progressives" refuse to see the truth... NO possibility of there being a peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians... Most Israelis understand this.

A few observations. Note the manichean black and white world view. There is absolutely no nuance at all.

Also, note the continuous use of emotionally charged terms. Observe the particular bile and invective saved for MJ. Also note his occasional predilection for screaming IN CAPITAL LETTERS almost at RANDOM.

Finally, consider the deep seated and racist paranoia. There is no peace in Bar_Kochba's world. There is not even the suggestion or hope of peace. Everyone is in on it.

Hamas, Fatah, Iran, Egypt, all of them are working together in the great conspiracy to eradicate Israel. Progressives are merely willing dupes of the conspiracy.

Egypt's peace treaty? A sham! Egypt is actually a leader in the conspiracy to war on Israel, ceaselessly flooding the occupied territories with weapons, undermining Israel at every turn and carrying on a war of attrition.

I can only presume that Sadat's assassination was some sneaky Egyptian plot to fool Israeli's by making it look good.

No Arab or Muslim is ever a moderate, is ever interested in peace. They all want war, they all want the destruction of Israel. And even if one did not want that, he would be forced by the pressure of his peers.

Arab corruption is also a running theme for Bar Kochba. Note his comment about Hamas and Fatah being almost as interested in seeking foreign aid for their 'cronies' as in destroying Israel.

Indeed, corruption is what leads to the strife between Hamas and Fatah, both of whom employ corrupt, oppressive and murderous tactics against each other. Corruption is at the heart of dissension in the Arab world. In Bar_Kochba's universe, the one thing any Arab wants more than anything is to murder Israeli's, but fortunately, they are too busy murdering and robbing each other to make much progress towards that goal.

I note that this post is somewhat unusual in that Bar_Kochba almost seems to be responding to MJ at points. His diatribe occasionally veers towards some acknowledgement of MJ's arguments, and a discussion or at least a repudiation of them.

But that's as far as it goes. In the end, this is pretty much like all of Bar_Kochba's posts. The only difference are occasional minor tweaks in the ordering of invective and themes which are otherwise mind-numbingly uniform.

I suppose if one wanted to, we could hack through the density of Bar_Kochba's mindless prose in order to find occasional kernels of meaning or thought. But these seem small and not all that significant.
It would be like macheting ones way through Amazon rain forest for days in order to locate a small turd. If someone wants to do that, I'll certainly respect the effort, if not the result. For the most part, I'm unable to be concerned.

None of this, by the way, should be taken as a reflection upon Bar_Kochba himself. Reading the relentless uniformity, the bile, the vileness, the unstoppable hate spew, there is a tendency to form an image of some wild and crazy guy, lice ridden hair sticking out every which way, wild eyes glowering out of untrimmed facial hair, ranting and waving his arms in weeks unwashed clothing. This is almost certainly untrue. How would such a maniac get access to a computer? No, whatever his posts are like, no matter how toxic or lunatic they get, Bar_Kochba is probably not clinically insane.

For all we know, he might in other aspects of his life be clean, neat, well groomed, civil and more or less functional to some degree. Of course, we can't know that either.

All we know of Bar_Kochba is his posts, and not the man, woman, or whatever. And frankly, it is Bar_Kochba's posts, filthy and disgusting as they may be, which we should acknowledge and address.

Please back off, Valdron. You're taunting him.

There will never be any kind of peace, tentative or permanent because neither side will admit to their own wrongdoing.

Both sides will have to say and do things that will be anathema to them.

Both sides act like two kids arguing over who has the better imaginary friend. Religion is the bane of this world.

The only thing that map says is that the Palestinian Aabs should have accepted the offers of statehood in 1937 and 1948. By constantly rejecting every single offer they end up with less and less.

Moreover, abdul, if land was all that Israel wanted, why did it offer in August of 1967 to return all the territories captured in the Six Day War? Why did Israel give back to the Egyptians all of the Sinai? Why in 1967 or in 1973 did the IDF not go all the way to Damascus or Cairo when the road was open all the way to those capitals? Your line about Israel only wanting land is bogus by any historical meassure.

And you're just as much of a wimp as MJ Rosenberg.  Engage the arguments.

The evidence that the Arabs aren't serious about a true peace with Israel is MUCH stronger than the thin wisps of evidence that they are.  Why is it "bullshit" to point that out?

And please don't respond by saying that Israel does this or that, or isn't serious itself.  That's changing the subject.  The topic is Arab attitudes.  Why do you think they are ready for peace?

Brad,
What's your name?
Stand behind all that brilliant information you get at your ZOA meetings.
Why are you so scared? I'm confused?
Afraid Clay Swisher will come get ya?

That's it! Chickenhawks like BradtheDad will never tell it to the Marines! Keep pressing him to tell us his name. Any guy whose only claim to fame is his sperm count must be one tough hombre.

Hmmm. Probably I am. But then again, blame Ellen. She's the one who demanded that I justify calling a lunatic hate filled post a 'lunatic hate filled post.'

Absolutely no one should be challenged at this site to give up his anonymity, give his "real name" or do anything that would identify himself and cause possible harm or retaliation upon himself. Brad has never claimed to be anything but a private citizen as most posters at this site are and for you to torment him and accuse him of cowardice is wrong. This is your job, you've made yourself a public figure and you must take the negative comments about your work as well as the positive comments. Brad is under no obligation to do the same and neither is any other poster.

This isn't your site, and you have no right to demand that posters be barred, give up their anonymity, be censored or be ignored by other posters in any way, shape or form.

I've developed a new rule of thumb. I'm not engaging with anyone whose views are entirely dictated by their ethnic identities. In other words, if a Serb writes me about Kosovo with no facts, but only "facts" driven by emotion, I won't respond. Same with Indians on Kashmir or Hungarians on Transylvania.
Of course, I don't hear from any of those. So, on Israel-Palestine, I will not address anything written by fact-free ethnic nationalists like Bar Kochba, Davai, BradtheDad, the now disappeared Daniel Greenbaum, and a few others. Should the equivalent Arab appear (an A-Q supporter or an admirer of the late Grand Mufti of Jerusalem, I won't address him or her either).
This does not apply to serious folks.
Zionista, for instance, I do engage with because she argues from facts not just emotion.
As for the people here I think are anti-Jewish (not anti-Israel but anti-Jewish or racist for that matter) I will continue not engaging with them.
I hope the crazies contine to engage with each other because it keeps my numbers up at TPM which is nice for me. But, to you nutty Meir Kahane types, l'hitraot. More to the point, goodbye!

Bev, I can't demand anything. But I can point to the obvious distinction between those of us who stand by our work and those who don't. And I will.

Well you're wrong, MJ. This may be your work, but for most posters here it isn't. They have other lives and other priorities, and this calling for posters to be banned or censored or give us their real names is just plain bad business and affects the entire community of posters at this site. Where does it stop? Does it start with Brad today and end with you a year from now? It's getting out of hand.

This is a blog, Bev. It ain't life or death. If I
wasn't the clever phrasemaker that I am, I would resort to the utterly trite, "get a life." But I won't.
Have an intense weekend.

PS. You ask where it will all end. I can only respond with the famous poem that addresses the issues raised by my calling for a ban on the talented BradtheDad. Where, indeed, will it end?

Als die Nazis die Kommunisten holten,
habe ich geschwiegen;
ich war ja kein Kommunist.

Als sie die Sozialdemokraten einsperrten,
habe ich geschwiegen;
ich war ja kein Sozialdemokrat.

Als sie die Gewerkschafter holten,
habe ich nicht protestiert;
ich war ja kein Gewerkschafter.

Als sie mich holten,
gab es keinen mehr, der protestieren konnt

You're right, it isn't life or death, it's about our community.

As for the poem, I'll take your use of it as a compliment - I hope I always speak up for the minority opinion - I may not agree with it, but they have a right to post it.

I often disagree with bar_kochba132, and provacative as he is, he does provoke thought. What do you offer, Valdron? A clever turn of an occasional phrase, you are indeed blessed with the ability to articulate some degree of humor in written form. Not an easy talent to cultivate. Unfortunately, this particular manifestation of talent is wasted on an otherwise mean and insipid dullard. You add nothing of substance to the discussion in terms of reasoned perspective, supported argument or enlightened observation. Some great insults, though -- if that's one's idea of a good time.

MJ,

Why are you so scared? I'm confused?
Afraid Clay Swisher will come get ya?

Sure. He might downrate you. Or even worse, trollrate! Ooooh... scary!

I guess it's not part of the software, but I really wish this forum had Ignore User functionality.

Self-deleted.

Yeah its their fault that Israel kept taking their land from them...

that would rule, especially since they never, ever, ever ban anyone. Maybe we can get that implemented.

Of course, you're LYING again, bar_kochba132.



According to Israel's own chief negotiator Gilad Sher, at Camp David the Palestinians presented a map of the West Bank as they envisioned it in a peace accord, as reported in his Just Beyond Reach: The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Negotiations 1999-2001, published in Hebrew in Israel in 2002. Contrary to popular belief and American-Israeli spin, the Palestinians did in fact make a counter-offer at Camp David. It was Barak who rejected the Palestinian proposal...
A similar Palestinian counter-proposal was also presented at the final round of peace talks in Taba on Jan. 23, 2001, showing Palestinian acceptance of Israel's annexation of 3.5% of the West Bank
(compared to Israel's Taba proposal of 6%). The Camp David map also showed that the Palestinians accepted the idea of a land swap, under which Israel would incorporate West Bank settlements in exchange for land of equal size and value. Barak had proposed larger settlement blocs, and an unequal exchange of territory.

SOURCE: Barak’s Chief Negotiator Gilad Sher Explodes The Myth of Camp David: The Palestinians Made A Counter-Offer, [PDF] Analysis and Translation from the Hebrew by Gidon D. Remba


Proof yet again that Israel does not want peace, Israel wants land.

Because Israel doesn't want to grab more at a time than it can hold at one time.

Israel's disengagement from Gaza so it an concentrate on colonizing the West Bank, for example. And once they're done there, they'll turn their acquisitive eyes elsewhere, perhaps back at Gaza.

Pretty much everyone knows this too.

. Sharon’s commitment to evacuate the settlements in Gaza is a smokescreen. Under Sharon’s plan, Israel will maintain Israeli control over Gaza’s airspace, its territorial waters, and all services will continue to have a free hand to operate there. Gaza thus will remain a vast prison under the external control of the IDF, which will retain the right to intervene....

...By focusing debate on evacuating Gaza Strip settlements, Sharon aims to disguise his strategic goal of consolidating Israel’s control over the West Bank. He is willing to sacrifice the civilian settlements in Gaza to accomplish this.


Menachem Klein, A Path to Peace: Sharon’s Disengagement Plan or the Geneva Accord? [PDF] Remarks at Carnegie Endowment for Peace, Washington, DC and Beth Emet Synagogue, Evanston, IL, May 7, 2004

Brad, I don't understand why you are so angry. I have never in my life heard anyone say that Israel would be amenable to the peace terms that BK proposes. That is what I thought was bullshit. It is not a criticism of Israel, just a misrepresentation of the state of the world--in other words, bullshit.

I'm not going to get in an argument with a troll. It's a waste of time for everyone involved.

Well, I see we've all been having a pleasant day around here! How bout those Yankees?

I disagree and I'm sure you're not beholden to that position either. Everyone who has access to the internet does not have a right to post on this site. Sites like these, i.e. political sites, really don't function unless the community is coherent. Trolls like davai, bar_kochba, and abdul-hass are just here to destroy the coherence of the community. I wouldn't be in favor of banning Bradthedad, but those three need to go.

Which peace agreement matters. Some lead to on going war and some to a stable peace.

MJR, I've a lot of complaints about Brad's opinions, but I don't think it's at all fair to raise the anonymity issue. (He also keeps a less loony level of dialogue than BK, although he did wrongly lose his temper here and call you a name.) Plenty of posters make up a screen name, and there's plenty of conventional support for it.

Brad gives his first name, which is all one could ask. It's at least as explicit as the abbreviated names most of us fall back since we figure registering demands it. Nor do I worry about people who go further to come up with a cute or ideological identifier. At least we know what extreme Zionista belongs to, right? I admit that the "the Dad" has an implicit claim of moral high ground that grates on me, but again that's entirely his prerogative. I think we'd a discussion when Etzioni used screen names as an excuse to avoid us.

John

http://www.haberarts.com/

Do you really want to bring up the Yankees now? Some of us are Mariners fans.

~~~~~~~~~~~
Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum videtur.


Come visit PROJECT: Lucidity.

I have never in my life heard anyone say that Israel would be amenable to the peace terms that BK proposes.

Then you just don't know very much, do you?  Four times, in 1937, 1947, 1979 and 2000-2001, Israel has been amenable to a partition of the land.  Four times it was rejected by the Arabs.  The Arab world is unstinting in its demonization of Israel.  Bar-kochba's point is that if there were evidence that Arab attitudes had really changed, Israel would be ready immediately to make peace.  That's ALWAYS been true.

Why did the Camp David Accords happen in 1978-1979?  Do you think Israel would have given back the Sinai if Egypt's leadership took the same attitude as the current Palestinian leadership?  No f**** way.  What made Camp David possible was Sadat.  He went to Jerusalem.  He spoke to the Knesset.  He engaged Israelis and said he understood their fears and was ready to make peace.  No other Arab leader, with the possible exception of King Hussein of Jordan, has EVER done that.  Why?  Well even if they wanted to, all they have to do is look at what happened to Sadat.

Nor am I arabic just because I've chosen the word "abdul" to appear in my screen name...

I admit that the "the Dad" has an implicit claim of moral high ground that grates on me

LOL!  Actually it's just what my Dad called me when my first child was born.  No claims of moral superiority need be inferred.

The demand that I reveal my real name has to be, hands down, the silliest, most infantile thing I've ever seen on this or any other site that purports to discuss issues seriously.  It's illustrative of why I maintain that MJ Rosenberg is a pathetic coward - intellectually unserious, sanctimonious and immature. 

What's sad about all this is that underlying all his cant, there's a serious position waiting to come out.  One that is worth engaging and debating on the merits.  But every time anyone does that forcefully, he doesn't respond, choosing instead to play to the peanut gallery and call you a "Likudnik" or a "neocon".

Sez Brad: "What made Camp David possible was Sadat. He went to Jerusalem. He spoke to the Knesset. He engaged Israelis and said he understood their fears and was ready to make peace. No other Arab leader, with the possible exception of King Hussein of Jordan, has EVER done that. Why? Well even if they wanted to, all they have to do is look at what happened to Sadat."

Yeah. The Egyptian war lovers murdered Sadat. Mubarak took over and 24 years later the peace treaty still stands. Contrast that to the banana republic Israel where the Orthodox Jews murdered Rabin and that was the end of the Oslo treaty. How can any Arab sign an agreement with a country when only one bullet cancels the treaty.

It is long overdue, keep hope alive.

MJ is a public figure who stands behind his work. You call names, hiding behind a silly label. I totally agree with MJ and the others. You know nothing about the Middle East that you didn't learn in Hebrew school. For MJ to argue with you is just demeaning to him. But it sure is amusing how he gets under your skin! I love watching MJ wind you up.

So, on Israel-Palestine, I will not address anything written by fact-free ethnic nationalists like Bar Kochba, Davai, BradtheDad, the now disappeared Daniel Greenbaum, and a few others.

What makes you think this represents a change?  You are already too much of a wimp to address anything that doesn't conform to your already fixed in stone beliefs.   

Furthermore, only someone trapped in a far-left bubble would call me a "Meir Kahane type".  Kahane, let's remember, advocated the forcible removal of all Arabs from the West Bank and Gaza, something that I and everyone else here would consider a moral travesty.

But it's all the same to you isn't it?  Anyone to the right of you is a Nazi.  Anyone who isn't for immediate unilateral surrender to the Arabs is an "ethnic nationalist". 

What's hilarious about the "ethnic nationalist" charge is that you call yourself a Zionist.  It's pretty hard to be a Zionist and not be an ethnic nationalist of some sort.  I'm reminded of the quote attributed to F. Scott Fitzgerald: "The test of a first rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposed ideas in the mind at the same time, and still retain the ability to function."  By that standard, you are Einstein.

I am vaguely reminded of the Northern academic who was pulled over, for speeding, by a Georgia traffic policeman. Unfortunately, she did not...er...cotton to his addressing her with "honey, we don't usually have people moving that fast in these parts."

"Sherman did."

Apparently, police procedure did call for bringing her before the most distant possible magistrate.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

What thoughts does bar_kochba provoke? Are there actually ideas behind his invective laiden diatribes? Is there a glimmer of a notion here or there that makes it worth wading through the spew?

What do you offer, Valdron? A clever turn of an occasional phrase, you are indeed blessed with the ability to articulate some degree of humor in written form.

Isn't that enough?

Unfortunately, this particular manifestation of talent is wasted on an otherwise mean and insipid dullard. You add nothing of substance to the discussion in terms of reasoned perspective, supported argument or enlightened observation.

Insipid dullard? Wow, keep that up and people will start telling us to get a room.

What is there to add to this discussion, Zionista? Seriously. What is there that is meaningful for anyone to contribute that can be heard over the incessant hate-filled screeching of a bar_kochba, the unthinking racism of a davai.

For pity's sake, Zionista, have you paid attention to any of these endless Palestinian/Israel threads? Haven't you noticed that they always go the same way with the same cast of characters arguing over the same buzzwords, throwing the same lies and accusations. Has there been a single f*cking palestine/israel thread that ever turned out to be contructive, that didn't amount to voices shouting past each other?

And what about you? Aren't you in there occasionally shouting past, raising the same old same olds, staking your ground and dishing out the usual worn out arguments. What the hell do you ever bring to the table that anyone ever needed to hear, much less wanted to hear?

So kiss my ass. You want insipid dullards, look to a mirror. The difference between you and Bar_Kochba is merely that you're slightly more sane and civil. It's a difference I approve of, but don't push me.

Every goddammed Israel/Palestine thread degenerates into farce, and it will keep on degenerating into farce, largely because of the efforts of posts like those of Bar_Kochba, and with the eager and willing toleration of those posts by people like you who enjoy the spew but don't have the guts to indulge it themselves.

Well cry me a river.

In a situation like that, do you know what the only meaningful contribution is? What the only meaningful contribution can be?

Mockery and contempt.

So fill up.

supporting the Jewish communities in the West Bank

Nice euphemism! You must be one of those "Law and Order Republicans." Please let us know where you live so that we can send Valdron to set up a TPM community in your front yard, and then we can all 'support' it.

So we can have a sympathy party of all like-minded folk here? MJ is not going to engage with those who "are entirely driven by their ethnic identity?"

It is precisely those who are motivated by their partisanship who are creating a good part of the problem and it is their arguments that need to be addressed.

Abdul Hass at least engages Bar-Kochba. Bar Kochba relying on conventional wisdom and the then foreign minister states that Arafat turned everything down flat and just waited for concessions. Hass retorts that Israel's negotiator states publicly that Arafat made a counter offer. What I need to know was this a 'real' counter-offer which could possibly lead to a real agreement or was it a retreat to initial demands or poisoned by something known to be unacceptable? I am not an expert on this but what is the expert opinion on this point? Who is right and on what evidence?

Abdul Hass argues that Israel did not take land after the 1967 War because it did not want to take more land that it could digest. It is true that Israel could not have 'digested' as much as it could have taken but it is also true that Israel ended up with far less land than it could have then digested and did return some of it for peace.

Engage, engage and engage. If people are wrong in their opinions state why and provide your evidence. Simple name calling is school yard stuff and while I enjoy clever name calling and engage in it myself it most often solves nothing.

Everyone who has access to the internet does have the right to post on this site until Josh Marshall says they do not. If those posters called for your banning, I would be just as indignant. It seems to me this community is strong enough to tolerate the eccentrics, the confrontational and the moderates.

Nothing can ever be resolved if we refuse to communicate.

jhaber,

At least we know what extreme Zionista belongs to, right?

Do tell.

It's one thing for you to OPINE on Israeli and Jewish viewpoints, however, it's LAUGHABLE for YOU to come around and try to tell us that you KNOW what the 'Arab intelligentsia' is thinking--do ya have your ear to the 'Arab street,' or is it because you live in a settlement that you have such unique insights into the Arab mind?

Also, a small CORRECTION to one of YOUR earlier 'all Arabs' RANTS--Iranians are not Arabs. Perhaps they all look the same to you?

You call names, hiding behind a silly label.

Says "madison1776."

Keep pressing him to tell us his name.

Says "madison1776."

Brad - Egypt demanded the entire Sinai back in order to do a peace deal. Israel agreed and we had a peace agreement.Do you think Sadat would have done the deal with only 90% of the Sinai? If Israel offered the entire West Bank back including East Jerusalem, I believe we would have a peace agreement with the Palestinians. However, keeping the Ariel and Ma'ale Aduumim settlement blocks along with those surrounding Jerusalem makes a deal MUCH more difficult. You might think 91% of the West Bank is a good deal but not everyone agrees.

Now I am not suggesting we necessarily give up Ariel and Ma'ale Adumim but it should be on the table. Right now, Israel thinks it's bargaining position is stronger so it does not have to make as many concessions as Taba represented. If Israel and the Palestinians picked up where Taba left off, I think a deal would be concluded within a year.

For those like Brad, bar k and nudnik I have one question. If Israel knew that it would have to give up the West Bank to have a real peace deal with the Palestinians why did they stick 500,000 settlers there and in East Jerusalem?


MJ's article is hopelessly optimistic. Bar_kochba's conclusion "there is NO possibility of there being a peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians in the foreseeable future. " is unfortunately a closer approximation of the current reality. There is something else about Bar_kochba that I think we should all understand: His views are close to the mainstream of Israeli public opinion. His views also represent the thinking of such people like Eliot Abrams and the Aipac lobbyist that really control US ME policy today.

In terms of internal US politics, I think the best course for progressives to pursue is simply to pressure the US to withdraw its military presence from the ME. As time goes on we must pressure the post-Bush US government the let Israel fight its own wars. We should eventually let Israel know that she is an independent country who controls her own fate but that when she gets into future wars over Southern Lebanon, seizure of West Bank lands and whatever retaliations against Gaza, that she is on her own. We will not fight with her.

There should be a recognition that the US cannot be an honest broker in these conflicts. We should simply step aside.

You're operating on the false assumption that you can change the minds of your opponents through argument.

If you really want to engage, engage, engage go find a right wing site and argue with them. See how long they let you stick around.

But challenge the CW on the Middle East and academe quakes.

Lord with so much money and time spent honing that Middle East CW into a Israeli lance challenging it seems like...well...a communist plot?

…no wait a Nazi plot? It gets so darn confusing.

And here I though spewing tepid, obviously overstated and too, too dramatic CW was an integral part of McCarthyism. He was on the political right wasn’t he? With the revisionist set it's so hard to tell.

double post

The things I don't know could fill a book or two.

Pre-1967 borders weren't on the table in 2000. A "partition of the land" is not what BK said. He said, any "gov't would agree to withdraw to the pre-67 lines."

BTW, I don't know what word this is: f****. Since you're removing some letters, I assume it's something bad, but "fuck" only has 4 letters. And in this case, it would be conjugated "fucking."

Nothing can ever be resolved if we refuse to communicate.

Yes, but communication is not always effective. We're not changing lives here. It's just the internet.

Why limit it to conjugation?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Stop sending billions of US taxpayer money to underwrite Israeli war crimes and aggression.

I agree the BK crew gets to be distracting and ends up bringing down the level of the discussion.

I want to go back to syvanen's point.

MJ's polyannaish views can sometimes leave you scratching your head. Is the man serious?

However, if Abbas can show Hamas supporters that he has achieved a final status agreement with Israel, he would likely gain full legitimacy with almost all Palestinians.

This is not just absurd: it's doubly absurd.
First, because Abbas/Olmert will never achieve final status agreement. If you believe that Olmert has the political capital to decide the dismantling of Ariel, Har Homa, Kiryat Arba, Hebron, etc, and the relocation of over 100,000 settlers, then I know a guy in Brooklyn who has a nice bridge for you. And, remember, Olmert is supposed to do all of that with a Bush administration breathing down his neck that won't even allow him to talk to Syria!

Second, MJ seems to forget that Abbas has lost most of his legitimacy among Palestinians. He's their al-Maliki.

Look, I'd love to share MJ's optimism, but I fear it's based on too much wishful thinking.

Conjugal relations?

Apt application.

It takes time. The palestenians are trading land for spent Q3130A, but some would argue at not a fast enough rate.

Well, not to put too fine a point on it, but all of Valdron's posts generally come across as vile and insane. They're also remarkably monotonous, which is the big sin.

Is this the best argument MJ has?

I'm curious why Barak lost election?

"As for the people here I think are anti-Jewish (not anti-Israel but anti-Jewish or racist for that matter) I will continue not engaging with them."

Finaly you admited that there are anti-Jewish here.

Why don't you tell us who they are?
Why don't you do it?
Why are you so scared? I'm confused?

How do you fell to be considred serious by MJ?

I don't know.
Good question.

I have a better one.
If Israel knew that it would have to give up all land that was not given to them by UN in 1947 to have a real peace deal with the Palestinians why did they stick million people there?

Israel needs two things from US,
1. selling advance weapon.
2. Blocking anti-Israeli resolutions in UN.

" can't quite understand why neither the Bush administration nor the Israelis understand that their embrace of Abbas, while dismissing the elected Hamas government, has the effect of turning the West Bank into the Republic of South Vietnam while converting Hamas into the Viet Cong. We all know how that turned out."

Or turning the West Bank into the Republic of South Korea while converting Hamas into North Korea.
We all know how that turned out.

MJ, does it help understand why neither the Bush administration nor the Israelis agtree with your opinion.

In general do you have a capacity to understand why sometimes people don't share your opinions that you hold self-evident?

Mmmm. All you people respond to MJ. Without him, you are nobodies. You should thank him, Davai, Brad, Bar Kochba and the rest of you fruitcakes for
giving you a voice. If I were MJ, I'd go away and then you would all just disappear. You are like satellites and MJ is your sun!

"All you people respond to MJ. Without him, you are nobodies. You should thank him,Davai, Brad, Bar Kochba and the rest of you fruitcakes for
giving you a voice. If I were MJ, I'd go away and then you would all just disappear. You are like satellites and MJ is your sun!"

Gee, thanks, Madison for the day's worst insult :-)
The thought of it makes this sun want to set! Except they do keep my numbers up. It's like the Nielsen ratings. Davai and the gang can say what they want but they sure as hell tune in. That's what counts. I'm bummed I lost Daniel G. Every poster helps!

Quite possibly more of the 'Arab' intelligentsia's writings and leanings are reported in the Israeli press than here?

Ya think this might be possible? Possibly they have a greater interest in attending to what their neighbors are saying?

Trying to understand what the other side is thinking is vital.

If you disagree with his description of the views of the Arab Intelligentsia, demand his evidence or present your own. Don't claim that because he is an Israeli partisan that he cannot comprehend what the 'Arabs' are saying.

If you continue to wage war and continue losing, then you should expect to lose land. That has been the case since time immemorial. Palestinians had a choice: accept peace and land, or continue their war and take their chances. They lost.

Because Israel doesn't want to grab more at a time than it can hold at one time.

That makes absolutely no sense as a responce to my comment. Once again, if all Israel wanted was land, why did it offer to return in Aug of 1967 all the land it captured in June of 1967? As history has shown, it could hold that land for quite a while. Why did Israel return the Sinai? Your assertion is pure nonsense.

I'm wondering what Josh thinks about such a clown?
BTW, MJ, I guess you don't have balls to name a single anti-Jewish here?

MJ your post postulates that;

The central problem with the Bush approach is that it is predicated on the idea that one can establish a vibrant democracy at peace with Israel in the West Bank while the other half of Palestine, Gaza, is ignored.

So naturally;

[you] can't quite understand why neither the Bush administration nor the Israelis understand that their embrace of Abbas, while dismissing the elected Hamas government, has the effect of turning the West Bank into the Republic of South Vietnam while converting Hamas into the Viet Cong. We all know how that turned out.

Try to doubt yourself long enough to understand that Bush knows that the war for Greater Israel is a failed war and that continuing to drag out the defeat harms the interests of the U.S. ruling class.

Bush knows that the leadership of the PLO is currently Abbas who co-founded Fatah with Arafat and that the U.S. has not spent the last forty years trying to bring a Fatah led state into existence. But Bush will spend the next eighteen months doing just that.

Bush knows that Abbas is not a sell-out who is about to abandon the Palestinian people of Gaza, but a leader who will see that they are funded and supplied and included in the affairs of the Palestinian government, even if currently outside of the direct control of the Palestinian Authority he leads.

U.S. policy of preventing democracy in Vietnam failed. U.S. policy of backing every rat-bag regime in the Middle East failed spectacularly.

Bush is now supporting democracy because there is now seen to be no viable alternative.
Leftists always insisted that the previous policies would fail and they have.

No Palestinian leader will put up with any Zionist fantasy about keeping some of the conquests from the failed war for greater Israel (now dragging into its fortieth miserable year) without a negotiated swap of other territory such as was proposed in the Geneva initiative.

Despite the delusions still held by ‘moderate’ Zionists that they can have a peace deal and still make the conquest of East Jerusalem stick, it has no more credibility than the stupidity of the holy Hebron enclave of settlers surviving any peace deal.

Just as General Oron realizes “You think they are going to be satisfied living well thanks to Israel and the United States while their relatives suffer?" that Hamas controlled Gaza is a reality that Abbas will work with and just as ‘Oron …believes that "final status" Israeli-Palestinian negotiations can be commenced right now with Abbas, despite the temporary internal Palestinian split, something President Abbas and Prime Minister Salam Fayyad themselves favor.’

So might commentators consider that GWB also thinks that ‘the foundation’ for that final status negotiation, that he has just spoken about in the July 16, speech will be solidified with the coming conference to the extent that those final status negotiations (that you think are both realistic yet fanciful under the Bush administration) will commence shortly thereafter.

‘If t’were well it were done then t’were well it were done quickly’ for Bush and Rice the Republican party (and even Blair).

The Geneva Initiative has really exposed what the limits are to a deal and it was not one where the Palestinian people had to cop just ‘…an official presence in East Jerusalem and some solution to the refugee problem.’

The Palestinian State will undoubtedly be established with East Jerusalem as its capital. After all everyone except the most deranged Zionists realize ‘no Palestinian – and certainly not Abbas – is going to accept a truncated pseudo-state full of Israeli settlements, checkpoints and highways for-Jewish-settlers-only.

Bush and the rest of us all know that Abbas, as head of the PLO, has the authority to negotiate a final status deal with Israel along the lines …of the Geneva Initiative.

But because

Of course, the peace deal with Israel would have to be put to a referendum (under international supervision) in the West Bank and Gaza and probably in the Palestinian diaspora as well.

And to
…’save Abbas or even re-legitimize him in the eyes of his people. Only one thing can do that. Successful final status negotiations now.

And again because
The name of the game is establishing a viable contiguous Palestinian state.

It is safe to assume that Bush knows what is required.

Yet the following seems to sum up what a lot of hard-nosed skeptics and leftists as well as pseudo-leftist journalists are saying about the latest Bush speech.

Haim Malka, fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, said there was little new in Mr Bush's speech and questioned what could be achieved without the involvement of Hamas. "It's important that the US engages in diplomacy," he said. "But this seems like the repackaging of an old policy. What the administration needs is a new strategy not a new conference."

Mr Bush is not the first occupant of the White House to turn his attention to the Palestinian problem in the closing stages of his presidency. Bill Clinton also intensified efforts to find a settlement during his final months in office.

Philip Gordon, another senior fellow at Brookings, says Mr Bush's last-ditch diplomacy holds much less promise than his predecessor's did. "Clinton genuinely thought he could pull it off because all the pieces seemed to be in place. There is much less optimism this time round," he says. "Bush is doing it more to avoid being accused of not doing anything."

Yet the writer knows that ‘Mr Bush became the first US president to declare explicit support for the creation of a Palestinian state. (…in a White House speech in June 2002,) Apparently Clinton thought he could pull it off, but failed to even utter the two words side by side. Clinton didn’t talk of ending the occupation but rather of settling the dispute. The West Bank was an area of dispute then but under Bush it is an area under occupation that belongs to another distinct people called Palestinians that deserve their own state.

Perhaps it would be a good idea to take Bush seriously because IMV he seems to have his eye firmly on the ball. He is not trying to achieve a forty year old U.S. goal of bringing justice and a State to the Palestinian people. He is about ending a failed forty year war for the conquest of Greater Israel that the US funded all along.

People will recall that not so long ago we had to put up with U.S. Administrations and Zionists going on about ‘disputed territories’. Bush talks clearly of occupied territories. That ‘disputed’ fantasy is gone with the wind. The U.S. used to talk of Samaria and Judea now they talk about a Palestinian state with realistic borders. For many years the U.S. and the Zionists just talked about Arabs and wouldn’t even call Palestinians by that name.

Here we have another ‘leftist’ talking about the sad reality of Israel having to give up on wild dreams of grabbing the sacred sites of religious Jews such as Hebron, yet the wall was not built to leave settlers on the other side!

For many years it has been apparent that the war has comprehensively failed, and that the Zionists would have to face a shattering defeat when the U.S. pulled the plug. The current U.S. Administration is now pulling that plug. There are hundreds of thousands of settlers that will be moving over the next couple of years. But a deal will be done first. There will not be any unilateral scramble behind the wall and ‘that’s that, because we are a fact on the ground’. There used to be a collection of facts on the ground in Gaza as well but they are no longer facts on the ground.

Bush does not have to concern himself with Gaza as the Palestinian people no longer have to bother with Zionist settlers in Gaza. He is concerned with making it plain to the world that the coming deal (that the Israelis also require) is being brokered by Condi Rice. It is safe to assume that the U.S. Administration knows that continuing the failed war is not in U.S. interests and that the deal will have to be along the Geneva lines.

That’s why Bush is saying.

These negotiations must resolve difficult questions and uphold clear principles. They must ensure that Israel is secure. They must guarantee that a Palestinian state is viable and contiguous. And they must lead to a territorial settlement, with mutually agreed borders reflecting previous lines and current realities, and mutually agreed adjustments.

Patrick

"These negotiations must resolve difficult questions and uphold clear principles. They must ensure that Israel is secure. They must guarantee that a Palestinian state is viable and contiguous. And they must lead to a territorial settlement, with mutually agreed borders reflecting previous lines and current realities, and mutually agreed adjustments."

Who would argues with you?
However, can you explain, how to
"ensure that Israel is secure" ?

Good post, Patrick. Thanks. The only problem I have with it is the phrase "Bush knows" but I assume you mean "the Bush administration." I doubt Bush knows much about this conflict.

 

PS, as to my thoughts on Hebron, see this piece. It appeared in my regular IPF Friday spot, in the Beirut Daily Star, and in numerous outlets worldwide. If you want to see the photo I took of the net the Palestinians put up to protect themselves from the shit and other debris the settlers dump on their kids, go here

 

Hebron Horrors

 

The reality of Hebron was brought home to me during my stint as an official US observer of the January 9th Palestinian election. Our eighty-person National Democratic Institute group was broken into forty teams and then dispatched throughout the West Bank and Gaza. My partner and I were assigned to a dozen polling places in Hebron, the second largest city in the West Bank.

Hebron is a city considered holy by both Jews and Muslims because of the presence there of the Cave of Machpela, traditionally thought to be the burial place of Abraham, the patriarch of both Judaism and Islam. Predominantly Arab, Jews also lived in the city, adjacent to the tomb, until 1929 when a pogrom launched by Arab fanatics resulted in the murder of 69 Jews and the end of the Jewish presence in the city.

In 1967, following the Six Day War -- with Israel now in control of the West Bank, including Hebron -- ultra-religious Jewish nationalists pressured the Israeli government to permit Jewish settlers to reclaim, and move into, properties that had belonged to the Jewish community prior to 1929.

The government refused. It arranged for Jewish worship inside the tomb but not for civilian settlement inside the city, which it considered to be both impractical and provocative. Only a tiny group of extremists (many from outside Israel) had any interest in living inside Hebron and – in the midst of a city of 160,000 Palestinians – they would need to be defended by hundreds, if not thousands, of soldiers.

The settlers moved in anyway, establishing illegal outposts in the heart of Hebron, which have been tolerated by successive Israeli governments for 36 years. Following the Oslo agreements, the Israeli army withdrew from all Palestinian cities except Hebron, where troops remained to defend the settlers. In 1997, the Israeli army withdrew from 80% of Hebron, remaining only in an area labeled H-2 which includes the Cave of Machpela, the Casbah (Arab market) and the Jewish settlements.

Some 400 settlers live in H-2 in the midst of 30,000 Palestinians.

Last month, I visited H-2 despite being told by an Israeli friend that it is “the worst place in the West Bank.” How so? “The settlers there are religious fanatics and dedicate their lives to terrorizing the Palestinians with the goal of driving them all out. The Palestinians can’t fight back because the army won’t let them. On top of all that, the settlers hate the soldiers almost as much as they hate the Palestinians because the soldiers try to curb their activities. These soldiers are in a situation where they have to defend fanatics who routinely refer to them as Nazis.”

But, he added, “so long as the settlers are there, the soldiers must remain as well. Snipers, shooting from the hills, have killed Jews [including a two year old, Shalhevet Pass] and, so the soldiers need to be there, no matter how much they hate it.”

I walked into the heart of H-2 following a short inquisition by an IDF soldier. My first stop was the Ibrahami Mosque, which encompasses the Tomb of the Patriarchs. As I walked down the steps toward the mosque, a young Palestinian made the point of informing me that I was following the same route Jewish zealot Baruch Goldstein took when, in February 1994, he burst into the mosque and shot dead 29 Muslims at prayer.

Goldstein is a hero to the Hebron settlers. His burial place (in a tourist park named after Meir Kahane) was turned into a shrine where settlers annually celebrate Goldstein’s murder spree with parties and games. (In 2004, police arrested some of them for holding an illegal celebration of both the Goldstein murders and the assassination of Yitzhak Rabin). For Palestinians, of course, the Goldstein massacre is a symbol of the ultimate threat.

I left the mosque and walked through the mostly deserted Casbah toward the settlers’ neighborhood. There wasn’t much to see, just settlers strutting around with rifles and a few Arabs trying to sell their wares in what was once a thriving market and is now mostly abandoned. And there is the graffiti in English and Hebrew promising death to all Palestinians.

But the most striking thing is the steel mesh screens that the Arabs have installed just above the heads of pedestrians to protect them from the garbage and excrement routinely dumped by the settlers from their second floor windows. The screens catch all sorts of disgusting stuff and lethal objects like cinder blocks, although liquid debris does make its way to the ground or on the heads of anyone below.

It’s an appalling sight. Imagine looking up and seeing and smelling the foulest debris just above your head, stopped only by mesh. But then everything about H-2 is appalling, including the fact that Israeli soldiers are forced to serve there.

Last summer a group of 70 soldiers who had served in Hebron created a photographic and video exhibit at a Tel Aviv college about their experiences there called, “Breaking Silence.” The exhibit, which was a huge success, described from the soldiers’ point of view, the dehumanizing experience that serving there had on them. Many spoke of the fear they had – not only of the Arabs or of the Jews – but of being terribly transformed as human beings by the experience.

One soldier spoke of being frightened by the “rush” he felt from giving Arabs orders. "I was ashamed of myself the day I realized that I simply enjoy the feeling of power…Forget for a moment that I think that all these Jews are nuts and that I believe we should leave the territories. But how dare [a Palestinian] say ‘no’ to me? I am the Law! I am the Law here!

“Once I was at a checkpoint, a so-called strangulation checkpoint, blocking the entrance to a village. On one side a line of cars wanting to get out, and on the other side a line of cars wanting to get in. I stood there, gesturing ‘you to do this,’ ‘you do that.’ You start playing with them, like a computer game. ‘You come here, you go there.’ You barely move, you make them obey the tip of your finger. It's a mighty feeling.”

A second soldier wrote: “The thing that…affected me emotionally…was when we had just arrived in Hebron. I was on guard duty, when suddenly, from one of the small streets, a settler girl shows up and shouts at me very urgently: ‘Soldier, soldier, come quickly, there's an Arab here who's attacking a girl.’ I got very alarmed and advanced with my weapon cocked. The scene that unfolded was of an Arab with his two children. He’s trying to protect them from another settler girl who's throwing stones at them. I blow my fuse and start screaming at her….She’s screaming back that they are Arabs and should be killed…and the father, poor guy, says, with helpless eyes, ‘We're used to it, we've been here a long time now, it's alright.’ "

A third soldier spoke of the day a group from abroad came to visit Hebron for the Jewish holidays. "One morning, a fairly big group arrived, around 15 Jews from France. They were all religious Jews. They were in a good mood, really having a great time, and I spent my entire shift following this gang of Jews around and trying to keep them from destroying the town. They just wandered around, picked up every stone they saw, and started throwing them at Arabs' windows, and overturning whatever they came across.

“There's no horror story here: they didn't catch some Arab and kill him or anything like that, but what bothered me is that maybe someone told them that this is one place in the world where a Jew can take all of his rage out on Arab people, and simply do anything. Come to this Palestinian town, and do whatever they want, and the soldiers will always be there to back them up. Because that was my job, to protect them and make sure that nothing happened to them."

Note that this soldier said that he had no “horror story” to tell, just an ordinary day for soldiers, not to mention Palestinians, in Hebron. And that is, of course, the greatest horror.

That is why Hebron is significant. In one neighborhood, in one city, on any given day, anyone can experience the occupation at its worst -- terrible for the Palestinians and terrible for the Israelis too.

If anyone tells you that the status quo is tolerable, just tell them about Hebron.

 

 

 

"Hebron is a city considered holy by both Jews and Muslims because of the presence there of the Cave of Machpela, traditionally thought to be the burial place of Abraham, the patriarch of both Judaism and Islam. Predominantly Arab, Jews also lived in the city, adjacent to the tomb, until 1929 when a pogrom launched by Arab fanatics resulted in the murder of 69 Jews and the end of the Jewish presence in the city."

There are a many Christian settlements all over Israel in places holy for Christians. They are called monasteries.

Let's hope that if real peace would ever be achieved, there is going to place for a small Jewish "monastery" in a holy city.

Crazy Davai! Armed racist monasteries where the monks slaughter innocent worshippers!!!!
You are a hoot!

Dear friend,
English is my second language.
What's your excuse for inability to comprehend a
simple comment?
What was your SAT score on verbal part?

You must be new here if you think that Bar Kochba is really trying to understand what the' other side' is thinking--Bar Kochba's 'understanding,' that comes across in all his posts, is that all Arabs are a mindless uncivilized horde, singlemindedly bent on the annihilation of Israel. It's not that he 'cannot comprehend,' but that his mind has been made up, that they are beyond hope or even discourse.

I agree that Israeli media does present a lot of coverage, however, Bar Kochba is the equivalent of an Israeli FOX NEWS viewer.

If you continue to wage war and continue losing, then you should expect to lose land.

So disingenuous. It was the Zionist plan from the beginning to take the land, with no thought for the impact of that on the original inhabitants that led to the wars that you now use as a justification for keeping the land.

From the 1919 King-Crane Commission report:

The Commission recognized also that definite encouragement had been given to the Zionists by the Allies in Mr. Balfour’s often quoted statement, in its approval by other representatives of the Allies. If, however, the strict terms of the Balfour Statement are adhered to-favoring “the establishment in Palestine of a national home for the Jewish people, it being clearly understood that nothing shall be done which may prejudice the civil and religious rights of existing non-Jewish communities in Palestine” — it can hardly be doubted that the extreme Zionist Program must be greatly modified. For a “national home for the Jewish people” is not equivalent to making Palestine into a Jewish State; nor ran the erection of such a Jewish State be accomplished without the gravest trespass upon the “civil and religious rights of existing non-Jewish communities in Palestine.” The fact came out repeatedly in the Commission’s conference with Jewish representatives, that the Zionists looked forward to a practically complete dispossession of the present non-Jewish inhabitants of Palestine, by various forms of purchase.

The circular logic the propagandists for Israel regularly apply, as you did above, works only because the average person in the U.S. has had the wool pulled over their eyes by this sort of propaganda for years, and mistakenly sees the Arabs as the only aggressors. Consequently, we allow the ongoing continuation of injustice in the form of our one-sided unquestioning support for Israel. We here in the U.S. may not understand, but the average Middle Easterner is well aware of it.

In fact, the King-Crane Commission found that by far the majority of the indigenous inhabitants of the region didn't want any partition at all.  The partition was something achieved by the European Zionist immigrants to the region. It is entirely understandable why those early Zionists, faced as they were with the horrors of Europe at the time, made the choices they did, but that doesn't excuse in modern times the further expansion of Israel into Palestinian land.

"Good policy is difficult to make when information is systematically collected in a way that minimizes its discrepancy with policy goals..." ~~ Iraq Study Group

And how do either of those enhance the national security of the United States, as opposed to being popular with particular constituencies and lobbyists?

During the Cold War, the relationship had much more value, as a source of intelligence on Soviet weaponry and doctrine. Now that the US can buy Russian equipment from the Russians, that benefit is far less. There is considerable truth, when domestic politics is disconnected from international relations, that nations have interests, not alliances.

I would be seriously interested in thoughts on how the US-Israeli relationship benefits the US, when domestic politics is set aside. This is not a trick question.

Apropos of advanced weapons, does the US have a right to impose conditions on their use? What should be the US response when Israel violates conditions of sale, as with the M26 rocket?

I confess to being somewhat dubious about the value of the UN in enforcing peace in difficult situations. Perhaps I am being Machiavellian, but I'm not convinced that not vetoing anti-Israeli resolutions in the UN will particularly affect Israel's freedom of action. Not blocking them, however, might improve the US negotiating position with supporters of those resolutions. This comment is directed specifically to US use of the veto, not situations where a coalition can be organized that opposes the resolution.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

"So disingenuous. It was the Zionist plan from the beginning to take the land."
Correct.
They "took land" in 1948.
Arabs had a choice to accept Israel or to fight.
They decided to fight.
If you fight and lose, you lose something. It just always happen this way in all conflicts.
Facts are not disingenuous, they are just facts.

I'm still trying to decide if you were complimented or insulted. :-)


--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Davai,

I have to compliment you on an excellent comment. For a reasonable model, see St. Catherine's Monastery.


--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Yes, the world needs more enlightened atheists like Joe Stalin, Mao Zedong, Pol Pot, Walther Ulbricht, etc.

As I stated above, REAL peace can NOT be based on the phony basis of "Land for Peace", but only "Peace for Peace". Even if the Arabs were to carry out the scenario I laid out about making what seems to a real offer of peace, and even if those leaders were to sincerely mean it, such a peace would NOT last and a new, more devastating war would ultimately ensue. This is because Israel, by giving up it rights would be showing to extremist elements that it is not willing to stand on it rights but will always capitulate once more pressure was applied. However, I understand that many (most?) Israelis would probably agree to such an offer. I am happy to say that many former "peace" people are now beginning to realize that there can never be peace based on "Land for Peace", but this educational process is long and painful.
BTW-my saying that I oppose "Land for Peace" does not mean that accomodations could not be made for the Arab residents of Israeli territory. With good will, all these things can be resoved WITHOUT Israel giving up its natural rights in the Land of Israel.

This article is full of gross generalizations. Just one was "Goldstein is a hero to Hevron Jews". In reality, he is a hero to a small group of Hevron Jews. There are indeed some extremist Jews in Hevron and I totally oppose what they think and what they are doing.

In any event, what do you think of the Palestinians who view as heroes suicide bombers who went into synagogue courtyards and blew up women and children there? In the Palestinian towns, they celebrate and give out candies and name streets after the perpetrators of these atrocities. Arafat himself praised suicide bombers and said they were "better men" then he was.
If you think that those who praise what Goldstein did are terrible people, then what do you think about Palestinians and Palestinian society (e.g. its official, state-controlled media) that praises suicide bombers?
If you are going to give me the line that "their violence is 'understandable' because they are under occupation", then I can only answer the Jews were "under occupation" far longer than any occupation the Arabs were under and FAR crueler, so therefore, if you justify Arab violence of this type, then you should also "understand" the violence Goldstein or Yigal Amir carried out.
MJ has referred to me as something like an "extreme ethnic nationalist" which he apparently views as something bad (I have no real problem being called that), but then what did that make his pal Arafat, what does that make Abbas, what does that make HAMAS, what does that make most Palestinians? They are most certainly extremist nationalists. How come MJ thinks it is okay for them to be this but not Jews?

It's not news when dog bites man. But when man bites dog, that's news.

"what do you think about Palestinians and Palestinian society (e.g. its official, state-controlled media) that praises suicide bombers?"
It's not a news.

Here is the key quote you make:
(I am sorry, I don't know how to make those nice windows with quotations from earlier postings)

-------------------
What's hilarious about the "ethnic nationalist" charge is that you call yourself (i.e. MJ) a Zionist.
------------------

There, you have put your finger on MJ's dilemma and the source for his hostility to us. He IS a Zionist. He JUSTIFIES 1948-the Palestinian Naqba (catastrophe). He thus feels he has to get this terrible onus off himself because we constantly remind him of what he views as his hypocrisy. He screams to the world "see, I am not one of THEM!", but the Palestinians and other Arabs DO view him as being the same as US! because he DOES, in the end, justify what the Arabs view (wrongly, but it is their perception) as what Abdul-Hass and many other "progressives" would say is "ethnic cleansing". This is why MJ never responds to Abdul-Hass, because, deep down, he is deeply afraid that Abdul-Hass is correct, yet something in him still wants to be a Zionist (the "pintele yid"?). This torments him and he spends his life trying to prove to other "progressives" that is really "one of them" when he never really can be.

Your point about pressure is arguable, especially without defining the war that is the standard of comparison to the possible "more devastating war". I find it hard to believe that the Palestinians could find the resources to develop a military capability greater than Israel's 1973 opponents, while under constant observation.

Still, there's room for reasonable discussion there, if things are better defined and there is less hyperbole. You lost me completely, however, with "natural rights". I was unaware that any nation or people had a "natural right" to its land. UN approval is a political consensus, not "natural". Through millenia, the criterion to holding a land was the physical ability to do so. This reality has resulted in much injustice, as in the case of American Indians, but nature, presumably the source of natural rights, is not fair or merciful. Ask a mouse about its natural rights vis-a-vis cats and owls.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

The Balfour Declaration of November 1917 and the League of Nations Mandate of 1922 giving the British control of Palestine based upon fulfillment of the Balfour Declaration recognized what I called the Jewish People's rights in Eretz Israel (Land of Israel) which included Trans-Jordan (today's Kingdom of Jordan). This was whittled down to only a tiny fraction by the UN Partition resolution of November 1947 which the Arabs rejected. I am not sure how your point fits in with this. It seems to me that those who supported these decisions seemed to recognize that the Jews had "natural rights" in this land.

isn't today your day off?

Decisions by political bodies do not constitute national rights. The Balfour Declaration, in part, was recognition of the contributions to the WWI effort by Chaim Weizmann. Incidentally, were the Sykes-Picot Agreement or the Hussein- McMahon Correspondence natural laws? Was the Kellogg-Briand accord?

The British were only in a position to make the Balfour Declaration due to the collapse of the Ottoman Empire. Did the British have a natural right to the area? If so, how could they give it away if it was naturally theirs?

On what basis did the League of Nations decide one people had a right to land when the Ethiopians, of comparable antiquity, did not?

It may seem to you that those political decisions recognized "natural" things. One of the legislatures of a US state voted in a resolution, defeated in the upper house, to make pi equal to three. Even if it had passed both houses and been signed by the governor, the value of pi would not change.

It is arguable that the Reichstag recognized the natural rights of the Leader Principle, or so the NDSAP delegates claimed. The framers of the US Constitution believed in democracy, as long as you were a white male.

Perhaps a more honest assessment of "natural rights", by a political body, was that the pursuit of happiness was an inalienable right. There was no right to catch it.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

e to the x, dx, dy
Cosine secant theta prime
3.14159
Caltech! Caltech! Rah!

I think the address for your complaints about all this discussion of the Arab/Israeli conflict should be MJ. I am simply responding to what he writes. He chooses the topics and he writes a lot about that subject. I simply try to show the errors and inaccuracies of what he writes.

Shabbat (the Jewish Sabbath) ends at sundown and Israel is 7 hours ahead of Eastern Daylight Time.

Nuts! Well, you should know it's a day of rest for everyone else here at TPMcafe too.

Your plea for mercy is duly noted. I'll get back to you on that. In the meantime, mockery and contempt will remain in place. Feel free to continue to whimper and beg.

" In the meantime, mockery will remain in place."
You probable meant self-mockery.

No, he meant mockery.

See , he proved me correct:
Well, not to put too fine a point on it, but all of Valdron's posts generally come across as vile and insane.

"What is more insane than to vent on senseless things the anger that is felt towards men?" [Seneca]

"In order to act, you must be somewhat insane. A reasonably sensible man is satisfied with thinking." [Clemenceau]

"must be somewhat insane. "
The key word is "somewhat"

To defend Bar_Kochba, he presented some ingenious arguments. To wit, there is no difference between Hamas and Abbas, and the proof is that Abbas did not disarm Hamas, moreover, Abbas is not trustworthy because he did not honor his constitutional obligation toward Hamas. Indeed -- if Abbas is screwing even those who are the same as he is, how much would he screw those who are not the same? If he could.

In that vein, are Arabs (and Iranians, who are also the same) dupes of the Left or vice versa? The Left is the world-wide sinister phenomenon, and destroying Israel is but one of many vile projects, beside family as we know it, innocence of children worldwide etc.

I would also object the accusation that Bar_Kochba sees everything in black and white terms. Everything seems to be black in his posts.

This article from Ha'aretz is about James Wolfensohn who had money and power to do something about the Arab/Israeli conflict that MJ can only dream about. Wolfensohn is just like MJ, he wants the world to be a certain way, so he wills his mind to make his perception conform with this, instead of confronting reality.

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/884018.html

Note the same excuses for why his "dream" about Palestinian economic prosperity failed...
it is somebody else's (neo-cons, Bush) fault,
if only Sharon had not had the stroke,
(MJ's version was "if only Rabin hadn't been murdered", or "If only Arafat had lived longer),

the problem is the crossing points bottleneck....
etc, etc.

Note that he considered the endemic corruption of the Palestinian leadership as some sort of minor impediment instead of being structural (i.e. 'clean' HAMAS in power will be just as corrupt and dictatorial as FATAH has been). Note his ridiculous claim that Abbas is perceived as being 'clean', the problem is the people around him (I recall reading some years ago an expose on Abbas' corruption and thievery).

His biggest delusion is that the Palestinians have to be given "hope" and that he "believes" they want peace with Israel. In reality , the only hope they have of getting out of their predicament is rolling over Israel. Egypt will not let them expand into the Sinai (a right-wing Israeli delusion), the "west bank" Palestinians despise them and won't let them in there, and these proposals like Wolfensohn's to bring economic growth to Gaza and to turn it into a "Singapore" on their own with the world holding their hand is an illusion due to the nature of their refugee society and their belief that they are going back to Israeli territory.
Only when they lose their "hope" of going back to Israel and they realize that they have to change the very structure of their society and their attitudes can anything be done to improve their lives.

When I stated that Arafat turned down flat the Taba proposals, that was called a lie.

This is from the interview Ari Shavit did with Shlomo Ben-Ami
who was Israeli Foreign Minister at the time of the Camp David
Talks in 2000 and the Taba talks in 2001. He was present at all
these meeting and dealt with Arafat face-to-face.
As you read this, remember he is from the Left-wing of the Labor
Party, i.e. a "progressive", not an "extreme ethnic nationalist" like myself.

This is taken from Ha'aretz of 14 September 2001.

Regarding the talks at Taba:

Q- Did the Palestinians accept the map you presented them?

A-No.

Q- You and Prime Minister Barak set out on a journey to the bowels
of the earth, as it were, to the very heart of the conflict.
What did you find?

A- I think we found a few difficult things. First of all, regarding
Arafat, we discovered that he does not have the ability to convey
to his Israeli interlocuters that the process of making concessions
has an end. His strategy is one of conflict.

Q- Are you saying that he is not a partner?

A- Arafat is the leader of the Palestinians. I cannot change this
fact, it is their disaster. He is so loyal to his truth that he
can not compromise it. But his truth is the truth of the Islamic
ethos, the ethos of refugees and victimization. This truth does
not allow him to end his negotations with Israel unless Israel
breaks its neck. So in the particular aspect, Arafat is not a
partner. Worse, Arafat is a strategic threat, he endangers peace
in the Middle East and in the world.

Q- So he still does not recognize Israel's right to exist?

A- Arafat's concession vis-a-vis Israel at Oslo was a formal
concession. Morally and conceptually, he didn't recognize Israel's
right to exist. He doesn't accept the idea of "2 states for 2 peoples".
He may be able to make some sort of partial, temporary settlement with
us, although I have my doubts about that as well, but at the deep level,
he doesn't accept us. Neither he nor the Palestinian national movement
accept us.

Q - Your criticism goes beyond Arafat personally to include also the
Palestinian national movement as a whole?

A- Yes, intellectually I can understand their logic. I understand
from their point of view they ceded 78% of (historic Palestine) at
Oslo, so the rest is theirs. I understand that from their point of
view and they are not going to make a compromise with us....
But when all is said and done, after 8 months of negotiations, I have
reached the conclusion that we are in confrontation with a national
movement in which there are serious pathological elements. It is a
very sad movement, a tragic movement which at its core doesn't have the
ability to set itself positive goals. At the end of the process, it is
impossible not to form the impression that the Palestinians don't want
a solution as much as they want to place Israel in the dock of history.

self-delete

self-delete

Every time Rosenberg posts on Israel, he gets 100 or 200 responses. Sometimes he gets more.
But I notice, only 5 or 6 (Davai, Brad, Bar K, a few others) are right-wing on Israel. The rest either agree with Rosenberg that Israel needs to get the hell out of the Palestinian territories or, unlike Rosenberg, are anti-Israel period.
I think the Democrats need to start paying attention. The Republican grassroots may be pro-Israel. The Democratic grassroots (other than the Aipac donors) are either for pressuring Israel to leave the territories or favor one state in Israel/Palestine for all the people who live there.
This is also true at Kos, MyDD and the other liberal websites. Supporting the occupation is a right-wing position which, not surprisingly, pretty much only appeals to the Republicans. Aipac knows it which is why the whole convention stood up and booed Pelosi at their big Washington conference this spring.
Check it out 6 Israeli hawks at TPM and the rest are essentially PEACE NOW or one-staters.
BTW, if you want to go to sites where the Davais and Brads and BarK's dominate, check out Free Republic and Lucianne. Israel has become a right-wing cause.
MJ has got an uphill battle on his hands: keeping Democrats pro-Israel by convincing us that most Zionists are like him (pro-Israel but within the '67 lines). They aren't. Most are like Aipac which is pro-occupation, pro-Great Israel, pro-Iraq and Iran war and Israel firsters!

With all due respect,Madison,I disagree. Most pro-Israel people are doves. The Rightwing "pro-Israel" organizations are the hawks. But I have to admit, they have the $$$$ so, under our system, their voices are heard more.

If there was public financing of campaigns, the views of the vast majority of pro-Israel Jews who favor ending the occupation now would dominate.

But you are right. Davai and Bar K are part of a tiny minority here but are totally mainstream at GOP sites.

Although I don't live in the US and am not familiar with how Jews there think, I do know that the North American Jews who invest a lot in Israel and have gigabucks are Leftists like Saban and Bronfman. Thus the really big Jewish money that is involved in Israel is with the Left. Saban was the biggest donor to Clinton's Presidential Library. Thus, if most money actually going to pro-Israel action in the US is with the "right" (and I don't consider AIPAC to be "right") it is because the Left is simply too cheap.

unlike your posts, I suppose?

Two in a row. Concise, pity, eloquent, to the point, objective and accurate, devoid of hate filled smear, ranting or racist vitriol.

These may be the best posts Bar_Kochba has ever written.

I can only say 'good on you, Bar_Kochba, I can only hope that most of your future posts are like these two.'

Sorry, I just couldn't resist.

;)

MJ as always is twisting the essense of debates but is is partially correct.
As most of racists in the South moved to Republic party, most of anti-semites, anti-Israel, ani-zionists moved to the Left.

"If there was public financing of campaigns, the views of the vast majority of pro-Israel Jews who favor ending the occupation now would dominate."

Yes, most of Israli, American Jews, Americans in general favor ending the occupation. There is no need to wait for public financing of campaigns.
I also favor ending the occupation.
It's not the issue.
The issue is is how to to make sure that Israel will be secure after ending occupation .

MJ and his fellow comrades never adress this issue.

MJ's statement "most pro-Israel Americans are doves" requires clarification. First, what does it mean to be "pro-Israel" in the US? Does it mean that (1) one accepts the rights of the Jewish people to self-determination in Eretz Israel but does not take an active day-to-day interest in what is going on there? (2) Or is it someone who views Israel as the aggrieved party in the Arab/Israeli conflict? (3) Or does it mean that one takes an active day-to-day interest in what is going on and either visits there, sends children to study there and contributes a signicant amount of money to Israeli causes and institutions? (4) Or is it someone who accepts the rights of the Jewish people to self-determination in Eretz Israel but views the Arabs basically as the aggrieved party and puts the onus on proving one's good intentions on Israel?

It seems to me that, except for people in the 3rd category, most American Jews have very little knowledge about the Arab/Israeli conflict and its historical background and have little idea what Israel is like and what is going on there. It is said most American Jews have never visited Israel, so this would really limit their awareness. Thus when Olmert says "Israel's vital interest is in the formation of a viable Palestinian state living side by side in peace with Israel", people assume he knows what he is talking about, even though this is a myth and Olmert knows it. He knows the Palestinians neither want a state nor are the capable of maintaining one. Most of the people in the first two categories will simply follow the Israeli gov't line, assuming they (wrongly) know what is best for Israel's security. Thus if Sharon says he is for an independent Palestinian state, most people in the first two categories, plus the fourth will agree. If he says that Israel must destroy Gush Katif in order for him to stay out of jail for bribery....oops, for "demographic reason" he just discovered the day before, they will go along with that. If on the other hand, the gov't says it needs to hold on to the Western Samaria region settlements (Ariel, Kedumim) to prevent rockets from falling on Tel Aviv, they will accept that as well, or if the gov't is committed to an undivided Jerusalem , they will go along with that, or if the gov't says security operations in the Gaza Strip that unfortunately bring about Palestinian casualties are necessary to prevent rockets from falling on Sederot, they will go along with that. AIPAC also follows the gov't line, whatever that may be, claiming the gov't knows what is best.
Does this mean they are "doves"? In addition, most people have some awareness of the fact that Israel is on the front line of the war against Islamic terror and this will cut slack for the gov't in the security realm in public opinion.
Given this, I would say only the the 4th category are really "doves", whereas the 3rd category, the most knowledgable are much more to the right. I would guess that the 4th category is a distinct minority of the US Jewish community.
In summary, I do not view an American Jew who says he is for creation of a Palestinian state as automatically a "dove" and do not view most "pro-Israel" American Jews as "doves".

MJ as always is twisting the essense of debates but is is partially correct. As most of racists in the South moved to Republic party, most of anti-semites, anti-Israel, ani-zionists moved to the Left.

Most of the anti-semites moved to the left?

Want to back that up? Or is that just more tired bullshit?

Well, What's your definition of anti-semite?
People no longer express directly anti-semitics
or segregetionist points of views.
They hide behind code words and so on.

BTW, you seems to agree that
"As most of racists in the South moved to Republic party"

It's obvious, even so none of racists tell loudly anymore, "I hate niggeres"

Not surprisingly, the Mideast hawks at TPM tend to be Israeli.
I don't know why they post here when we don't post on the Likud blog.
Davai and Bar K should have no say on US policy. Period.

The argument thus far with relevant terms replaced with symbols.

D: All X moved to the left.

V: Do you have any evidence that all X moved to the left?

D: It depends on what you mean by X.

This is just double talk, davai. It's like the administration's position on torture.

Bush: We do not engage in torture.

Critics: Under Bush's leadership, the CIA has interrogated people through waterboarding.

Bush: Well, it depends on what you mean by torture.

You're going to redefine common terms so that you can divide the world in non-standard ways that fit your world view. Sorry, but it doesn't work like that.

I'm kind of sad that I wasted so much time writing this response to you, davai.

Do you really think many people would continue posting here if you wrote something, and then Mr A would post a comment saying "yes, indeed, MJ is certainly a genius", and then Mr B added another comment saying, " Mr A is absolutely right that MJ is a genius", and then Mr C posted "I couldn't agree more with Mr A and Mr B that MJ is a genius"?

What's the point of preaching to the converted? I am trying to convince people who post here of my ideas which I believe are correct. If you think the Likud people are wrong, go and tell it to them to their face.

BTW-as I understand it, this is a site for "progressives". "Progressives" are supposedly against sexism. Why does this site tolerate sexist ads like the one I keep seeing lately?

While it is a digression, the ad companies that provide click-through revenue for web ads do not give the site any particular control over the ads that are shown. Indeed, those ads tend to be customized based on cookie information on each user; you and I may not be seeing the same ads.

I'll give you that there is little point in preaching to the converted. When you preach to people that are not converted, however, you will be more effective if you speak to them in a manner that builds on their current beliefs. Just to take a personal example, I do not believe any people has a right to land by "natural law", whatever "natural law" or "natural right" may mean.

You cited, among other quasi-colonial bodies, the ruling of the League of Nations in support of that position. I inquired how that there could be a natural right to Israel, but not, for a people of comparable antiquity, to Ethiopia. You did not answer. If you believe that Jews have a unique right among all people, come out and say that. I don't agree, but then, if you cite historical references such as the Balfour Declaration, be prepared, if you want to convince people of your point, to explain contradictions such as the Sykes-Picot agreement, or the self-perceived British obligation to Weizmann that led to the Balfour Declaration.

Likud, when last I looked, is an Israeli political party. I am not an Israeli. Why should I go to a British site and argue with Labor politicians, or to Russia and argue with Putin supporters? I thought you believed in national self-determination? My concern is with US policy, and how, among other things, US policy toward Israel affects the US.

If you want to convince me to support your positions, you are going to have to do so with arguments as to why those positions are good for the US, not for solely as good for Israel. If some policy is good for both, all the better, but I will need to be convinced.

That many US politicians support that policy to support constituents does not necessarily make the policies good (or bad) for the US. There are US politicians that supported the Iraq invasion because they believed their constituents wanted it. There are US politicians that support US policy toward Cuba that is widely believed counterproductive, but that is terribly important to certain constituencies.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

You are engaging in a statistical slight of hand here…implying that only four of five of the two hundred responses are right wing. It seems to me that the large number of responses here are generated by a small number of active posters, so the more accurate metric would be to determine what percent of individual posters are right wing.

I believe that Valdron is a a Canadian citizen. Why does he post here…he should have nothing to say about U.S. policy.

Americans are deeply involved in trying to establish Israel's borders and in trying to set up a Palestinian state. As an Israeli, these things are of vital interest to me. Thus it seems logical that I would try to convince Americans of my position, especially since in this site MJ writes frequently about the Arab/Israeli conflict and so those who lurk here would be interested in the matter. I am sure Irish Americans were lobbying the British for years about their interest in Northern Ireland in the same way.

Oh, you're getting the bullshit flag again. Fifteen yard penalty, repeat first down.

First, the Arab/Israeli conflict is not dependent on the US for resolution. It's up to you all--the Arabs and the Israelis. We really don't have any control over the whole business.

Second, even if Irish Americans were "lobbying the British," they probably weren't showing up at coffee shops, or houses, or public spaces, and fucking yelling at everyone who walked by.

BTW-as I understand it, this is a site for "progressives". "Progressives" are supposedly against sexism. Why does this site tolerate sexist ads like the one I keep seeing lately?

You've identified the problem and the source of your trollish behavior, BK. This isn't a site for you. You're not a "progressive." Find somewhere else to hang out.

Then why do you participate in this group because this group has MJ, an American, butting his nose into another country's (Israel's) business, according to your definition of things? Why should it even interest you?

As an American, the point of my posts is to argue for Mideast policies that will not endanger, first and foremost, Americans (including, above all, my family and friends).
I believe that America's one sided policies in the Middle East endanger us here.

I do not tell Israel what to do but rather my own government which, because of Israel's dependency on it, should have a great deal of influence on Israel's government (the corollary is not true. Israel does not provide $$$$ aid to America).

I also care about Israel a great deal. But I do not tell Israel what to do, only what I want my own government to do vis a vis Israel and the rest of the Middle East.

I guess people who don't give a damn about the well-being of Americans have the right to post here. But their opinions are of no value.

What are you talking about? It's American foreign policy that interests me. As a constituent of the United States, it is patently my duty and right to care about our foreign policy. There is a difference between me trying to convince Israel to do something and the United States' policy towards Israel.

If you haven't figured it out, we here at TPMcafe do not have any influence over our foreign policy. This is just an forum on the internet. It's not Congress or the White House or the State Department.

You come here and argue because you enjoy arguing, not because you really think you're going to convince anyone, or because you believe it is going to influence our foreign policy. It's just something you get off on. I guarantee there are plenty of other places where you can argue with people to your heart's content. But, please, give it up here.

So American should not care what other countries who "don't give a damn about the well-being of Americans" think of our policies, i.e. go it alone?

Any non-American can tell us what they want to about our policies. Just don't try to meddle in our elections or rate our politicians based on the perceived need of their home country.

I wish more countries opposed the Iraq war and will forever regret that Blair enabled Bush to go to war.

So how is posting here "meddling in our elections?

As an Israeli, these things are of vital interest to me.
But I'm not an Israeli, and I need to be convinced why it's good for me as an American.
Thus it seems logical that I would try to convince Americans of my position,
But if you knew anything about convincing people, you'd start from their point of view, not yours, and tell them why your position is to their advantage.
especially since in this site MJ writes frequently about the Arab/Israeli conflict
From a position that considers US as well as Israel positions. You don't speak of US interests. You keep insisting about Israel's "natural" rights, which not all Americans accept.
You speak of the exceptionalism of the Zionist, as distinct from Jewish, position, and ignore any counters to your arguments. It's convenient for you to cite Balfour, but not the circumstances that led to it or the British actions that subsquently worked to undermine it (Sykes-Picot and McMahon-Hussein). It's convenient you to cite the League of Nations for Zionist positions, but you ignore any references to the League's impotence toward the Ethiopians, a people with as long a historical association with land.


--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

It has MJ, an American, discussing US relations with Israel, and how Israeli and its supporters' positions affect the US. You do seem blind to the difference.
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Your comment doesn't parse very well, but American should care about US interactions with other countries, and how those countries' policies affect the US. Americans need not unilaterally care about what other countries want to do in their own sphere of influence, unless those actions affect the US.

I don't expect Israel to have terribly useful positions about US-Mexican relations. Israel's position on US-Iranian relations, when the US is saber-rattling at Iran, is quite relevant to know. Especially if Israel is encouraging US hostility to Iran, when Israel but not the US is threatened, Israel's policies become quite relevant to the US.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Well-put, Howard.

But MJ appears to object to Israeli citizens commenting on U.S. middle east policy which is of life and death interest to them.

I can't address what MJ does or does not do, and I was not speaking to them. I can explain to an Israeli citizen, who claims to want to convince me of his opinions, that he needs to explain why Israel's life and death interests should be of concern to me, as an American. Indeed, I suggested to an Israeli that might be a more useful way of convincing many Americans than insisting on the exceptionalism of his nation's positions.

You are, Mr. Brown, familiar with the legal doctrine of tu quoque, and what the International Military Tribunal at Nuremberg thought of it? Essentially, they said such a defense, which, loosely translated, is equivalent to the schoolyard defense of "you too!", has no particular legal merit. In less formal discussion, it tends to be a rather transparent means of changing a subject, a subject that the person raising it does not want to address.

So, Mr. Brown. Why should I, as an American, want to prioritize the concerns of any country, when those concerns may not necessarily be to the advantage of my country? Should I respect the opinions of the dictatorship in Myanmar, since their status is clearly of life and death interest to them?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Seems to me that the penalty should go to Reece.

Personally, I don't read very far into most of Bar-Kochba's posts. I tend to get the drift of what he's saying fairly quickly. Sometimes the tone is obnoxious, sometimes not. However, in reading actual entire post that Reece is referring to here, Bar-Kochba is making a salient point in a civil way.

Reece, you are using the words "bullshit" and "fucking". You're dismissing the relevance of Americans on the process as if that invalidates BK's point. However, this discussion is taking place on an American website and in response to an American author's opnions.

Moreover, it is a poor comparison to state that posting on an open comment section of a site like this is akin to yelling at everyone who walks by a coffee shop. When you're yelled at while "walking by" in a coffee shop, you are not voluntarily subjecting yourself to the content or tone of the yeller. Here, at this TPM comment section, you've already accepted the subject matter (that being, what MJ has decided to write about)and no one is forcing you to read any one particular poster (Bar-Kochba in this case). Seems significantly different to me.

As for MJ original query about why right wing Israelis comment on his articles: I don't see the oddness of it. MJ is an American who is writing, mostly from the left, about Israeli matters. Why is it out of place for Israelis, who disagree with him and who are most affected by what he proposes to comment?

Seems like what they have to say is quite instructive to the discussions at hand. Maybe I'm just too much of an accommodating and middle of the road kind of guy, but I do not find teh comments of Bar-Kochba or Davai to be anymore extreme (or any less helpful) than those of Abdul-hass or Madison1776.

I don't get it Abdul-hass. You've quoted a report published at a site that references itself as

"Chicago Peace Now (CPN), the Chicago-area affiliate of Americans for Peace Now (APN), is a Zionist organization that affirms the right of Israel to exist in peace and security as a democratic Jewish state."

Yet, you regularly state that anyone who has any self identification as a Zionist is guilty of "mass-murder, ethnic cleansing, and genocide".

In fact, as I look at the CPN's agenda, I find it very similar to my own. How come, then, when I stated a few weeks back that a two state solution was the best way to ensure the civil rights (leaving the idea of natural or religious rights out of it entirely) of all of the folks in the region you went ballistic and wrote about my six year old "Zionist daddy" raping women at Der Yassin?

Why was that? Why if you shamelessly write such idiotic comments to a poster that you had never had any interactions with, would you read and quote from web sites that espous similar opinions?

Wait! don't answer that. I'll make this very simple for you. We've discussed in the past that you have had a very difficult time parsing posts and answering direct questions (without making use of your super secret Zionist decoder ring).

Here is the one simple question for you to answer:

Is the Chicago Peace Now organization guilty of mass-murder, ethnic cleansing, or genocide?

A simple yes or no answer will suffice.

I do not find Bar-Kochba's comments to be especially discourteous, but I believe I was responding to his specific point: he wishes to convince Americans that his views are correct. My response was that I, and many other Americans, are unlikely to change views to support his merely because his position is advantageous to the State of Israel.

I am not an Israeli citizen, so that which is vitally important to Israel, or to a particular political faction in Israel, is important to me insofar as it affects the United States. I suggest to Bar-Kochba that arguments in support of Israeli interests would be more compelling, to Americans, if they start with a reason why American interests are vitally affected by the position he desires be adopted.

This is a basic principle of civil argument in general, and certainly in the classic grass-roots approach to lobbying: arguing that a legislator should support something will get farther when the legislator is given a reason why his support will be advantageous to him, rather becauses someone, especially a non-constituent, is upset about something.

Further, I pointed out that when Bar-Kochba cited certain national (i.e., British) and international (i.e., League of Nations) documents/resolutions as supporting "natural rights", as if natural rights are a matter of resolution, that there were other documents/resolutions, by the same bodies, that argue against his position. I asked that he if he cites some authority, such as the government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, that it would be appropriate to comment upon the balance of all relevant positions, not just the ones that support his argument. The Balfour Declaration, in particular, was a response to a perceived British debt to an individual, and hardly supported either by the Sykes-Picot Agreement, the McMahon-Hussein Correspondence, or the actions of Britain in pre-partition Palestine, 1917-1948.

If sports analogies are to be used, perhaps the penalty flag is not called for, but, equally, neither a touchdown nor first down signal has been justified.
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

The maps at that link fail to show British ownership in 1946. It is totally disingenuous to show actual land owned by Jews in one color and then actual land owned by Arabs plus the 80% of the whole pie that was owned, not by individuals but instead by, the British mandate in another color. Previous to British ownership, the Turkish administration owned most of the land. To be honest, those maps need three colors. Unless your willing to consider the majority of the land in the West Bank to be stolen by the Arabs (from the mandate) then you cannot consider the majority of land in Israel proper to be stolen by the Zionists (from the mandate) either.

I'm all for owning up to, and compensating for, lands actually stolen from individual owners. However, it serves no purpose, other than pure propaganda, to claim anything not owned by Jews in 1946 is currently to be considered "stolen".

Well, everything can come back on instant replay, but not this time.

If you'll note, I elsewhere, even on this thread, call for abdul-hass to be banned along with davai and BK. They are all disruptive trolls. It's not about balancing one out in favor of another. I haven't paid attention to Madison's posts, but I will now.

I don't generally like to argue the content of analogies, because everything eventually breaks down on close examination. But I think my original point stands even if it requires a small modification. Let's say we're sitting in a coffee shop talking about the arab/israeli conflict. Would it be acceptable for someone to come up and start yelling at you about their personal views? No, it wouldn't. It would be quite rude and generally unacceptable behavior. That is what is going on here.

It is also not unusual for davai, bk, and abdul-hass to hijack unrelated threads so that they can argue and often "yell" through caps about arab/israeli issues. That is very akin to yelling at random people who walk through public spaces.

It's not entirely relevant, though, since the point is that they have chosen ineffective methods of addressing the problems they see. I think I said that in just another post right here--we're not the Congress or the State Department or the White House. If Irish Americans lobbied Britain, they didn't do it by yelling at random citizens, even citizens who happened to be discussing the issue. If they did it, they did it through more effective means, probably by targeting officials, organizations, individuals, or groups that had the ability to affect policy.

I really don't find anything offensive in bullshit and fuck when used reasonably. No one wants a series of posts going back and forth with nothing but various profanities, but when used sparingly for emphasis and humor, it's neither problematic nor uncivil.

Howard covered the rest, I think

So, without indisputable evidence, the penalty cannot be overturned.

If they were, the distinction must be made if they were fooking (South) or fecking (North) yelling. Further, Guinness is a rather good aid to lobbying. Sabra isn't bad on ice cream.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Reece,

...the Arab/Israeli conflict is not dependent on the US for resolution. It's up to you all--the Arabs and the Israelis. We [the US] really don't have any control over the whole business.

American arms manufacturers and dealers maintain roughly just over 50% of the market share, so it is in the greater interest of significant-enough numbers of American shareholders to sutain the Arab-Israeli conflict than to help resolve it.  Privatization is the dominant trend in US policies, and foreign policy is no different.

See your previous post. You've made a statement, justify that statement or withdraw it.

MJ,

Israel does not provide $$$$ aid to America

However, Israel is compelled to reimburse the US by investing its military aid strictly in US companies.

Translation: We stole it fair and square.

Given the reality of the UN partition resolution in 1948, what do you believe should have been the position of the various sides? I see no obvious wins for anyone.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

I find that surprising, but not shocking. I would be a big fan of finding a way to stop or severely restrict overseas weapons sales.

Back in 1991, after we had kicked ass in the Gulf War, President Bush was trying to reduce military spending. It made sense given the end of the Cold War and the win in the Gulf War. The problem was that the military decided that M1A1 Abrams tank wasn't good enough even though not a single one was lost during the Gulf War. Of course, the money wasn't forthcoming. So, what happened?

Congress decided to approve the sale of M1A1s to . . . wait for it . . . Saudi Arabia! Just so we could develop the M1A2. What a genius move that was.

At the very least, we need to not sell weapons systems to 1) people who might threaten our allies, and 2) people who might be our enemies in the foreseeable future.

Of course, if we don't sell guns to people, someone else will. The AK-47 is already "the people's gun"--the weapon of choice of militants and freedom fighters because it is cheap, available everywhere, and easy to maintain.

So, I don't really know what to do about arms sales.

Neither do I. I don't see an obvious win now.

The issue of upgrading the M1A1 to the M1A2 is separate from the issue of selling any tanks to the Saudis. While I agree that no M1A1 was lost to enemy fire, there were casualties and damage. Perhaps more important, M1A1s were involved in friendly fire incidents.

Much of the A1 to A2 upgrade involves electronics, not necessarily armor (there were some sub-versions that did get an upgrade). Some of those electronics help avoid friendly fire incidents.

I agree with your basic principles, although it can be somewhat problematic to figure out who is our ally in the Middle East.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

I kind of don't care who our ally is in the middle east. It doesn't matter as long as there are functioning markets. We don't need to be friends with the Saudis so long as they are willing to trade with us.

Scratch that, we don't even need them to trade with us directly so long as there is an effective international market for oil. Hugo Chavez has threatened that he won't sell oil to the US, but in making it available to other countries he participates in the market. As long as Saudi oil is available--since oil is fungible--we don't even have to trade with them.

"Contrast that to the banana republic Israel where the Orthodox Jews murdered Rabin and that was the end of the Oslo treaty. "

Who are you trying to fool with a statement like that?

One Jew murdered Rabin. After that, Peres became Prime Minister and enthusiastically continued Oslo. Next Netanyahu won an extremely close election (which Peres would have won had Israel not been shelled from Lebanon for two weeks prior to the election). Nevertheless, Netanyahu continued Oslo; giving up Hebron in the process at the Wye River accords. Then Barak was elected and accelerated Oslo by skipping over the third phase and going straight for the final deal.

How can you possibly say the Jews (plural) murdered Rabin. And that the Oslo treaty ceased to exist after that?

It's totally false. Perhaps I'm missing something, but it seems that regardless of whose spin one follows, one couldn't come to that conclusion with a shed of intellectual honesty intact. Could you please explain what you meant?

Reece,

For what it's worth, I do actually read your posts more often, and more completely, than those post from other folks whose names are being thrown around here.

Generally, your comments do strike me as thoughtful and civil. However, BK seemed to be getting a lot of flak and as I zeroed in on some of his shorter posts (to assess whether the criticism was well placed), your response to this one seemed misplaced.

I do agree that "bullshit" and "fucking" can be appropriately used without too much of a deviation from civil discourse. War and such is the real obscenity as far as I'm concerned. However, calling a penalty is a sports metaphor. Sports generally have a code of conduct that is somewhat more restrictive than war.

I also agree to the notion that the random crazy person who walks up to a private conversation in a cafe and yells is unpleasant. But, again, we're not forced to read anyone else's comments. So I still see a difference there.

Seeing as how there appears to be no mechanism for overturning the penalty called, I suppose that play will just have to continue.

Anyway, this kind of discussion is mostly a digression. I'll just remind myself (and anyone who will listen) to keep an eye on the ball.

November 2nd, 1917.

Dear Lord Rothschild,
I have much pleasure in conveying to you, on behalf of His Majesty's Government, the following declaration of sympathy with Jewish Zionist aspirations which has been submitted to, and approved by, the Cabinet:
"His Majesty's Government view with favour the establishment in Palestine of a national home for the Jewish people, and will use their best endeavours to facilitate the achievement of this object, it being clearly understood that nothing shall be done which may prejudice the civil and religious rights of existing non-Jewish communities in Palestine, or the rights and political status enjoyed by Jews in any other country".
I should be grateful if you would bring this declaration to the knowledge of the Zionist Federation.

Yours sincerely
Arthur James Balfour

There is a memorial to Baruch Goldstein in ersatz Israel, at Kiryat Arba, a page showing the memorial gravesite (that used to be at a NewKach website) is still available through google at Baruch Goldstein Memorial link

Incidentally, I am not aware of a sect of Palestinians that erects elaborate memorials to suicide bombers, or who carry on a practice such as described below:

During the Feast of Purim, The Friends of Goldstein are going to celebrate a feast near his grave to honor him, in appreciation of him...

May I ask you to explain the point of this post? Does the bolded text suggest that it does not, as Bar-Kochba suggests, grant "natural rights", assuming that the granting of natural rights is not an inherent contradiction?
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

I won’t belabor this. I was simply responding to MJ’s objection to the Israeli citizens posting here. I suspect he would have no objection if they agreed with him.

That said, isn’t the America first mantra considered rather right wing? Don’t progressives (and I assume MJ) advocate listening to the international community in formulating American foreign policy?

The British had a Class A mandate over Palestine. That means they were classified by the League of Nations as the "administration" of Palestine, serving as a sort of a trustee of the sovereign territorial rights of the people of Palestine, whose existence as an "independent nation" was "provisionally recognized" subject to the rendering of "administrative advice and assistance" of the Manadatory power.

Thus, the British never "owned" the land in Palestine. Lands classified by the British in their survey as "public lands" were not thereby regarded as British-owned lands, but as the possessions of the independent nation that hd been provisionally recognized. Aside from the very small percentage owned by Jewish settlers prior to the war of independence, the vast majority of the rest was classified by the British as Arab-owned, or publicly owned land.

The idea of the class A mandate system was that sovereignty over certain "colonies and territories which as a consequence of the late war have ceased to be under the sovereignty" of the Ottomans was not being transfered to the mandatory powers, but to the provisionally recognized "independent nations" for whom the mandatory powers would temporarily provide administrative assistance. The language suggests a sort of international minor undergoing a final period of "tutelege" whose property is manged by a guardian.

You neglected to mention the part of the article that said Wolfensohn felt like a 'nuisance' to Olmert and Weissglas. Given the timeframe, perhaps they were too busy with their 'realist' plans to bomb Lebanon to waste on such a dreamer.

Quoting Wolfensohn;

"There was never a desire on the part of the Americans to give up control of the negotiations, and I would doubt that in the eyes of Elliot Abrams and the State Department team, I was ever anything but a nuisance."

So, the PNAC Dream Team was against Wolfensohn, and kept him away from the table--which has nothing to do with 'Palestinian corruption.'

Speaking of which, I'm still waiting for you to post some links to your assertions of Palestinian corruption, as I had posted links about the endemic corruption in the current Israeli government...

That said, sounding rather like belaboring the point you just said you would not belabor isn’t the America first mantra considered rather right wing?
What America first mantra? I have been espousing a position that sovereign nations, unless their own supreme interests are involved, should stay out of the wars of others. There is at least a substantial Israeli opinion, joined by some American politicians, that Iran should be threatened over an at best nascent nuclear weapons program.
As far as the international community, as vague a concept as that may be, reviewing UN votes on Israeli matters shows that by counting national votes in recent years, there is relatively little support of Israeli positions, other than by the US.
I have never called myself a progressive. A liberal and centrist, yes--or perhaps closer to the European social democrat, in the sense of social safety net rather than economic socialist. Again, I can't speak to what MJ believes, but what I believe. Have you yet stated what you believe, rather than criticizing others' positions? I can't seem to find any original posts from you, in which your positions are clear?
Tell me, which international community did you have in mind? The UN General Assembly? NATO? The Arab League? G8? The International Order of Odd Fellows?
AHA! I think I realized what international community you have in mind: the signatories to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Why, only about four countries reject that.


--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

I am not here to advocate a position on the Israel-Palestinian dispute since it is a no win proposition. I merely attempted to point out the hypocrisy of someone who advocates negotiations with any and all comers objecting to listening to the opinions of Israeli citizens.

I'll just remind myself (and anyone who will listen) to keep an eye on the ball.

Well played (no pun intended).

I can't claim that it was my plan all along to be the referee, but I don't feel like it is possible for me to substantively participate in these Arab-Israeli discussions anymore. Consequently, I'm doing my best to stay out of the substantive discussions and instead trying to regulate the discussion a little bit.

I can't participate in the substantive discussions because if I say anything that is not completely favorable to one side or the other, someone is going to jump down my throat, accuse me of being an anti-semite or a racist, and then cite a whole bunch of stuff that I don't have the ability to respond to. For me, this is just one issue among several, but BK, davai, and abdul spend their entire time arguing about this one thing. I simply don't have the ability, time, or the knowledge required counter every single argument.

And given the nature of the internet, if you don't respond, it appears that you have lost or acquiesce.

So, in my view, the discussion has really been poisoned by those three.

Of course, if I'm a bad referee, I'm probably not any worse than average than those in the NFL.

Thanks for reading. =)

You are being somewhat vague, and correct me if I misunderstand, but I assume you are speaking of MJ. While I again don't in any way speak for him, my understanding was that he recommending that all parties in the region need to be talking.

The role of the UN, US, and other outside groups may be less critical than those directly involved. Is it your position that the US is directly involved?

Two factors, and, as you suggested as other than a right-wing position, concern me. The more immediate is Israeli and US pressure to threaten military action against Iran. The second, which is a matter with continuing fallout, is the Israeli operation into Lebanon, with its effects on civilians and the deliberate oil spill. The effect on civilians specifically involved use of US supplied weapons in a manner forbidden by the terms and conditions of sale.

As you see, I am not making an observation on the Israel-Palestinian proposition, just like you. Apparently, you are more concerned with establishing hypocrisy in posting than in the entanglements of Israeli military desires, not against Palestinians but against Iran and Lebanon.

Incidentally, do you plan on making some original posts in which you take a position, or is that reserved for people whom you wish to criticize?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Sure,
Almost all people who have negative feeling towards Jews have negative feeling about Israel.
According to MJ, almost all of the people who
have negative feeling about Israel are on the Left. Therefore almost all people who have negative feeling about Jews are on the Left.

"You come here and argue because you enjoy arguing, not because you really think you're going to convince anyone, "

GREAT !!!!!

But do all people who have negative, or even neutral, feelings about Israel have the same feelings about Jews? However Israel wants to represent itself as the home of the Jewish people, there are many religious and/or cultural Jews that have no particular affinity to the State of Israel.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

My comments about hypocrisy were directed at MJ.

I conclude from the posts of his that I have read that he is an ultra left wing dove who advocates negotiations with any organizations no matter how vile as apposed to taking a hard line. I just found it ironic that someone with those views would become so upset at encountering some opinions that he disagrees with. He is clearly going to encounter worst when negotiating with difficult regimes.

"I also care about Israel a great deal. But I do not tell Israel what to do, only what I want my own government to do vis a vis Israel and the rest of the Middle East."

It was in interest of US to leave Vietnam and let millions of people to be killed or suffer under communism.
It's probably in interest of US to leave Iraq and let millions of people to be killed in civil war.

Why it's not in interest of US to let Arabs destroy Israel?

Would you support destruction of Jewish state of Israel, because it's clear would benefit US?

I will do whatever I can to preven this from happening and I don't care if call me a traitor.

While I confess to some confusion regarding slaying with a jawbone of an ass, and asses, not necessarily Democratic, overusing their jawbones in many hallowed halls of many nations, perhaps I should quote that noted ultra left wing dove, Winston Leonard Spencer Churchill: "It is better to jaw, jaw than to war, war."

Offhand, I cannot think of casualties, since the aforesaid use of the jawbone of a donkey, that were caused by conversation. Now, if unreasonable concessions come from talking, that is another matter entirely.

Talking, however, is a means of getting information. Sometimes, a chance comment, perhaps over coffee, on rare occasion brings a new insight. It may reveal a vulnerability of one's enemy.

Insisting on preconditions to talking, the meeting of which would really leave nothing to talk about, seems a common means of political posturing, by people and nations across the spectrum.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

"But do all people who have negative, or even neutral, feelings about Israel have the same feelings about Jews?"
It's a separate issue.
I don't want to discuss it now.

"If there was public financing of campaigns, the views of the vast majority of pro-Israel Jews who favor ending the occupation now would dominate."

Yes, most of Israli, American Jews, Americans in general favor ending the occupation. There is no need to wait for public financing of campaigns.
I also favor ending the occupation.
It's not the issue.
The issue is is how to to make sure that Israel will be secure after ending occupation .

MJ and his fellow comrades never adress this issue.


I wonder why?

You may not want to discuss it, but that leaves open what I hear as an insinuation that you consider non-supporters of Israel anti-Semites. I see the two issues as irrevocably linked, but, of course, linkage does throw doubt on the claim of Israel to be the home of the Jewish people, whether or not certain of those people want to be, in any way, represented by Israeli opinion.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

The US involvement in Vietnam and Iraq was wrong, and there was no way to fix it other than leaving. If Iraq, thirty years later, is in half as good a shape as Vietnam is today, I'd welcome that. Vietnamese Communism was, much as the Yugoslavian version, far more nationalist than Marxist, certainly when compared to the Chinese Cultural Revolution, or the killing fields of Cambodia -- where the Vietnamese fought the Khmer Rouge.


Why it's not in interest of US to let Arabs destroy Israel?


I do not believe that Arab states have any significant capability to destroy Israel, although, given the Israeli nuclear capability, the reverse is decidedly the case. Frankly, I'm rather tired of the regional superpower whining about how it's about to be overrun. Let Israel at least declare its nuclear capability, and I might, at the least, give its partisans a little more belief that they are honest. I believe that Israel is more than willing to jeopardize the US whenever it suits its interest, as evidenced by the drumbeat to stimulate war against Iran, a continuing failure to make a clear statement that it violated agreements with the US about weapons used in Lebanon, and matters such as the Pollard case.

I don't consider Israel the "Jewish state" except in the minds of its population and outside Zionists, so it's illogical to ask me whether I have an opinion about such being destroyed. If, however, the acts of the State of Israel were such that they brought significant danger to the US, I certainly believe in letting Israel take total responsibility for its own defense, with a total cutoff of US military support. Israel managed to struggle by, with a far weaker military, in 1948.

I will do whatever I can to preven this from happening and I don't care if call me a traitor.

You mean you are an American citizen? If so, no, I don't call you a traitor. I do call you a coward and hypocrite for not moving to Israel and taking an active role in its defense.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

I don't want to discuss it now.

Classic! Absolutely beautiful.

But your premise is false, Davai. There are plenty of people on the right who love Israel but are nonetheless anti-semitic. For one, there are Catholics who reject the conclusions of Vatican II and still maintain that the Jews killed Jesus. The other side of it are the evangelicals who think that having Israel around is going to bring Jesus back. They are equally likely to think the Jews are Christ-killers, but see you as the instrument that will bring about the apocalypse.

Ummm...civilians are not allowed to be ethnically cleansed, even in time of war, and note that the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians has been a fundamental basis of Zionism from the very start and had nothing to do with wars.

Howard,
I'm not interested in your answer.
Your position is very consistent, you don't give a damp about Israel.

MJ takes another position.
He claims that he:
"I also care about Israel a great deal."
So I'm interested in his response.

Let me get this straight. You don't care about anyone who might affect the political process of the United States, which could decide to take a position against Israel's interests, if they don't claim to care about Israel. Incidentally, I am neutral, but not unfriendly, to quite a few countries. I know fine people in Ireland, Israel, India, and Iceland. Only one of those countries, however, routinely causes security entanglements for my country.

I don't wish ill for any of them, but it's rather unlikely anyone will invade Iceland or Ireland, and India, as opposed to Israel, isn't constantly whining that it is about to be overrun and has to have support. For that matter, of the two nuclear powers in that list, one is quite honest about its capability.

You are terribly obsessed, however, with someone who, you claim, says "I care about Israel a great deal." That would seem a position that might be more prone than I would be to take active steps in the defense of Israel, but you worry about him but not me.

Haven't had the opportunity for much study of logic, as elegantly developed in the study of the Talmud, have you?
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

"still maintain that the Jews killed Jesus."
It doesn't mean they hate today's Jews.

""I don't want to discuss it now."
Classic! Absolutely beautiful."

I'm saying that overall people who don't like Jews are subset of people wo don't like Israel.

I don't want to discuss today how big is this subset.
We can have separate discussion about this.

However, the main point of my reply to MJ was the fact that he didn't honestly describethe issue that separated us.

Howard.

"Frankly, I'm rather tired of the regional superpower whining about how it's about to be overrun. "

Funny you should say this as today, Defense Minister Ehud Barak made a rather more accurate assesment:

"Defense Minister Ehud Barak told fellow cabinet ministers Sunday that "Israel after the Second Lebanon War is the strongest country within a radius of 1,500 kilometers from Jerusalem."

The distance cited could be a hinted reference to Iran: the distance from Jerusalem to Iranian capital Tehran is 1569 kilometers."
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/Flash.aspx/130363

"Let me get this straight. You don't care about anyone who might affect the political process of the United States, which could decide to take a position against Israel's interests, if they don't claim to care about Israel. "
You misunderstood my comment.

If you don't care about Israel and think that Israel has no value to US, the answers to my questions are obvious. I knew what would you say.

I'm interested to know what would MJ say beacause he is taking a different position and his answer is not obvious to me.

"The rest either agree with Rosenberg that Israel needs to get the hell out of the Palestinian territories "

I agree that Israel needs to get the hell out of the Palestinian territories.
Most of Israeli, American Jews and Americans in general agree with this goal.
But nobody knows how to do this and not creat another Hisbollastan or Hamastan in West Bank.

But I agree that most American Jews and Americans in general don't agree with MJ, PEACE NOW or one-staters.

If such people take over Democratic Party,
this would be the end of Democratic Party.
Almost all of American Jews will leave Democratic Party.
There are not enough anti-Israeli people on the right to replace them.

That may be interpreted as your being more obsessed with MJ than actual US policy about Israel. Even Bar-Kochba claims he is trying to convince Americans of his position.

I suppose you didn't have many parochial schoolgirls around during your childhood. Pity, as some of my classmates, until we were old enough to deal more directly with our curiosity, really tried to see if the nuns were right about patent leather shoes reflecting up.

You seem to have the same desire to know about MJ's intellectual private parts as we wondered about what was under those uniform skirts.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Of course, Jerusalem isn't the closest part of Israel to Tehran, and the range of the Jericho II missile, with a 1000 KG warhead, is about 1500 KM. 1000 KG is considered adequate for a plutonium implosion or boosted fission weapon. The US has thermonuclear weapons less than that weight, but I've been somewhat dubious that Israel could develop thermonuclear weapons without a fairly robust testing program.

India is reputed to have tried and failed to get the simpler boosted fission technology. Israeli physicists have published on laser-based fusion; nothing in the open literature seems to say, one way or the other, if Israel has hydrodynamic or hydronuclear testing capability. AFAIK, no one who has built a thermonuclear weapon has gotten their without these techniques or atmospheric testing. Is hydrodynamic simulation up to the job? I'm not enough of a physicist to have an informed opinion.

-
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

You may feel that the Arabs don't have the capacity to destroy Israel, but you have to realize that the current Arab strategy, unlike in the period from 1948-1977 is not a full frontal, military attack, but rather a prolonged war of attrition, a war many Arabs, especially including Islamic radicals like Hizbullah and HAMAS feel they are winning. In Arafat's terror war, 1500 Israelis (including a significant number of Arabs) were murdered and thousands wounded. In considering the relative sizes of the countries, that is equivalent to 75,000 Americans being killed in terrorist attacks. Now, many Americans came to the conclusion that they were in a war with Islamic terror when something under 3000 Americans were killed on 9/11. What would the reaction have been had 75,000 been killed?

The history of the 20th century has taught the Jewish people one thing: it is very dangerous to rely only on the "good will" of the world and "world opinion" to guarantee our security. If you don't understand why we are prickly about such things, I suggest you study modern history a little more closely.

I am surprised that my posting of the interview with former Israeli Foreign Minister Shlomo Ben0Ami did not elicit more comment. Here is a card-carrying "progressive" form the left=wing of the Labor Party who dealt directly with Arafat and his minions, confirming EVERYTHING I say here that gets MJ and others so upset: The Palestinians neither want a state nor are they capable of setting one up, the Arabs do not accept Israeli's presence in the Middle East with ANY borders and there is no possibility of arriving at any formal peace agreement with them.
His current position is that foreign forces should come in and take over the Palestinian areas.

"to rely only on the "good will" of the world and "world opinion" to guarantee our security."

But this is exactly what MJ and his comrades think about Israeli security but are ashamed to admit.

Be as prickly as you please. Just do it all yourself, and, as you suggest, don't rely on the "good will" of the world -- or American military support. If you want American protection, move here, or at least sign a credible mutual defense treaty like the NATO agreement. Of course, that would mean declaring your nuclear capability. I'd be willing to support amendments to the NPT to let Israel, India, and Pakistan join as declaratory powers. Two of the three have declared.

Many Americans concluded 9/11 was a war with Islamic terror. Many Americans also regard Israeli-Arab relations as a recruiting poster for Arab terrorists.

You keep telling me why Israel should be afraid and prepared. Fine. Do so. Build your own cluster munitions to use against civilians, not our weapons that were sold to you prohibiting such use. After all, if you have "natural rights", won't those protect you?

You have the technical capability to preempt Iran should you feel it necessary. Do so. Don't expect American help.

Start convincing me why America's interests are protected by Israel, and I might feel more supportive of your getting US military equipment and supplies. Right now, I'd just as soon see a complete cutoff. There's very little you can't make yourself.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Thanks for the more thorough explanation. I'm not as well versed with the finer legal points of actual ownership under a mandate. My larger point, and it seems to be one that your explanation agrees with, is that in 1946 a vast majority of the land in question was some type of public land and not actually owned by any individual person or family.

That being the case, it is a misrepresentation to continually refer (as some do) to the land in Israel proper as stolen.

Got a better idea than having foreign forces come in? You are the one complaining that you are stuck in a war of attrition. Absent outside intervention or the physical destruction of the Palestinians, assuming there is no way to have peace, what's left?

I have previously suggested pulling out of the settlements, replacing them with Israeli military forces and, where appropriate, sensors. Modern counterbattery sensors, coupled with weaponry available to Israel, can provide a potent guard against rocket fire. Within the shorter range, you need to build structures that are resistant to GRAD-equivalent fire, and rely on counterstrikes against the longer-range.

Eventually, those Israeli troops could be replaced by multinational forces, not necessarily under the UN but with rules of engagement consistent with UN Charter Chapter 6.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

"I have previously suggested pulling out of the settlements, replacing them with Israeli military forces and, where appropriate, sensors"

I agree with you.
Israel should withdraw civilians behind the fence right away.

That's progress, agreeing on something.

By putting military forces into the settlements, and some fairly fancy sensors, possibly including surveillance drones, over the Territories, it would make it much, much harder even to set up rockets, much less fire them without immediate counterfire. It wouldn't be impossible, but it would be harder.

Part of the insurgent advantage, counterintuitively, is that they are using such weak weapons. In 1991, Powell told the Iraqis, who were using more visible artillery and radars, if they fired, they die. If they radiate (electronically) they die. If they move combat vehicles, they die.

Detection and counterfire technology has gotten a lot better. It's not an accident that most of the Iraqi fire is from IEDs, not rockets or mortars.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

You put your finger on the problem. On the one hand MJ says he is "pro-Israel" and to be "pro-Israel" is to appease the Arabs at whatever cost to Israeli security and interests. Then he turns around and says, no, he is interested primarily in American interests, and appeasing the Arabs is this in American interests, thus Israel should subordinate itself to this because, presumably, he holds like the old saying "what is good for General Motors is good for America". In other words, Israel, according to him, has to go along with US policy, even if it is detrimental to its own security and interests, because "Big Brother" Uncle Sam wants it that way.

The U.S. does get many benefits from its relationship with Israel. Among them is intelligence cooperation and a close relationship in the aerospace realm. Israel has made many upgrades of American military aircraft, Israel has provided parts of many aircraft, avionics, etc. Israel is at the forefront of computer technology and many American companies use Israeli know-how for computer chips and software. The US uses port facilities in Haifa and carries out joint naval maneuvers with Israel. In an emergency American aircraft know they can land in Israel. All the other American "allies" in the region have populations that are virulently anti-American such as Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia so how long can the US count on the gov'ts there being friendly and allowing them to use their facilities. Recall that the US used many Saudi military bases and air bases and finally under pressure from Al-Qaida and local terrorist groups, the Saudis forced the US to close its facilities there.

Unlike what you state, the relationship is hardly a one-way street.

To BarkY- you dont get it. for you, and davai, and the other lunatics, mj has become the hidden imam. he said that he won't respond to you because he thinks you are haters and would lead both Israel and the Palestinians to death. Plus, and I agree, the policies you guys have America pursuing are going to blow up here and lead to more WTC's. So address Howard if you like but MJ isn't responding to you. He shouldnt either. No one should address site pests who stink up the place.

Thou doth protest too much. First you say you care about how America's "one-sided" (i.e. friendly-to-Israel-cool-to-Palestinian) approach is "endangering" you and your children, then you say you "care" about Israel, then you say "you don't tell Israel what to do", then you "go nativist" again and say that you think that people who "don't give a damn about the 'well-being' of Americans" have no "right" to post here. You are making unwarranted value judgements. Who says disagreeing with you means they don't "give a damn about the well-being of Americans"? The majority of Americans THEMSELVES don't agree with you since they support a policy that is friendly to Israel and is cool to the Palestinians. They apparently can discern whom their friends and their enemies are better than you.

Now, you say you "don't tell Israel what to do". I had never heard of you before Oslo in 1993, but I bet you were one of those screaming to bring to bring Arafat to Israel. Well, they listened to you and it brought about unprecendented bloodshed on both sides, both Jewish and Arab....well if it is true you supported bringing Arafat then you most certainly did butt into both Israel's and the Palestinian's affairs and you and those who supported this insanity (foremost Rabin, Peres and the Labor Party) and now this disaster is on your hands as well. Note how 9/11 and the big increase in Arab/Muslim extemism occurred AFTER Olso and AFTER Israel recognized the (non-existent) right of the so-called "Palestinian people" to self-determination. The more Israel listened to people like you, the more it made concessions the MORE the extremism and antisemitism INCREASED in the world.
So following the policies you want (and which you claim you are not forcing on Israel) has brought one disaster after another.
So please don't claim you don't tell Israel what to do. And, by the way, why do you write in the Jerusalem Post, if you don't want to tell Israel what to do? You have given us this nativist "I care only about America" line, so why are you writing in a foreign newpaper, if you aren't trying to tell Israelis what to do? What is odd is that I recall the Jerusalem Post has been excoriated by some of the "progressives" here by the usual ad-hominem attacks of being "right-wing" or "ethnically nationalist" or whatever in spite of your participation there.

No, it's not true that the vast majority of the land was public land. Of the roughly 93% that was not owned by Jews, more was in the hands of Arab owners than public.

However, it is also clearly the case that public lands can be stolen. Surely, for example, if a group of immigrants who owned some lands in Wyoming were to establish a state on the territory of Yellowstone Park, and then defend their claim to the territory through force of arms, Americans would have little trouble recognizing that the land had been stolen.

Reece,

Of course, if we don't sell guns to people, someone else will. The AK-47 is already "the people's gun"--the weapon of choice of militants and freedom fighters because it is cheap, available everywhere, and easy to maintain.

So, I don't really know what to do about arms sales.

It is a huge and daunting problem.  Maybe even the crux of the whole situation at this point.  As hard as it is to reasonably discuss the merits of firearms regulation here in the USA, the difficulty seems to rise exponentially in the arena of foreign relations.  But the first thing to do about it is know about it, and spread the word.

Stuff like this,

From 1991 to 2000, the U.S. delivered $74 billion worth of military equipment, services and training to countries in the Middle East, according to a Sept. 2002 General Accounting Office (GAO) report. You might expect that a majority of that military aid went to our staunch ally in the region, Israel, which has been cited repeatedly by the U.N. and Amnesty International for human rights abuses. However, military aid to Saudi Arabia—where a majority of the terrorists reported to be involved in the Sept 11 attacks were from—topped $33 billion for the period, outpacing aid to Israel by a more than 5-to-1 margin.

And this,

Arms fairs are a key part of the arms trade and there is an international circuit of them, from DSEi and Farnborough in the UK, to DefExpo in India, SOFEX in Jordan, African Aero & Defence in South Africa and Latin America Aero & Defence in Brazil. The attending companies are guaranteed potential customers in vast numbers: from military delegations to individual trade, government and armed forces representatives. They make contact, negotiate and sign contracts over the course of a number of arms fairs and a number of interim meetings. There is almost no possibility of regulation or accountability.

These circumstances have profound effects on the situation, even while we act so world-wearily cynical about the ideological effects of international diplomacy.  It is difficult material to accurately compile and follow, and alot less fun than trading insults, zingers and "gotchas."  But, unfortunately, even in discussions as rich in diverse levels of interests, expertise and articulation as the ones found on this site, the angle on the arms business and its urgent need for a broad serious attempt at accountability and oversight hardly comes up. 

And we haven't even gotten into the financial aspect of the weapons trade, where the Carlyle Group and even good old BCCI still get around.  Read John Kerry's The New War for a particularly unsettling realization of just how badly the American electorate blew a chance for some real leadership in this area (some might recall Ann Coulter's jabs at the Kerry campaign specifically related to that book, and how the approach to terrorism as a "crime issue" was dismissed and ridiculed -- just before the Swift Boat Vets for Truth [sic] attracted a month's worth of attention).

Dear friend,
Why are you so upset? Run out of arguments?
Nothing left but personal attacks.
"lunatics"
You guys are lunatics.
Policies that I'm advocated are supported by vast majority of American people.
Policy that you advocate, destruction of Jewish state of Israel are only supported by lunatics like you.

"address site pests who stink up the place."

If this side officialy declare that only
one staters are invited, I'll leave this site.

Perhaps you are right that the focus of criticism should be MJ, since the thread started with some of his writings. Personally, I think that's losing an opportunity for useful broader debate.

Bar Kochba, believe it or not, I really am willing to be convinced that there remains a strong mutual benefit to having a strong security relationship between the US and Israel. During the Cold War, there were very clear and obvious benefits for both sides.

You have said you want to convince people of your position. Please, please don't take any of this as a personal attack on anyone, but I confess that on an emotional basis, Davai's arguments tend to make me more annoyed at Israel than I rationally believe I should be.

You, BK, have some ability at argument. In this case, and I am not talking about MJ's arguments, to convince me and quite a few other Americans that strong support of Israel should be US policy, there has to be, indeed, reason to believe that supporting Israeli position is a benefit to the US' "own security and interests."

You state, not unreasonably, that MJ claims that Israel has to go along with US policy, "even if it is detrimental to its own security and interests." The Big Brother reference really isn't worthy of the argument. Turn the situation around. Why should the US go along with Israeli position, unless going along with such policy is advantageous "to its [the US] security and interests?"

I really am open to good arguments on why the US and Israel have common cause, as much or more as in the Cold War. All I hear from you, however, seems to be about Israeli interests, which, in isolation, are irrelevant to me.

As you have said before, Israel is "prickly" about others protecting it. Fine. Be prickly, but then be fully responsible for your own defense, without any benefit of US arms sales or military aid.

A really good start to gaining my confidence in Israel as a responsible partner, and I doubt I'm alone in this, is for Israel to declare itself a nuclear weapons state not signatory to the NPT. India and Pakistan have done just that, and North Korea, when I last checked, was withdrawing.

I am more than willing to work hard to amend the NPT to include those states that have never ratified it and, for reasons that seemed good to them, to develop nuclear weapons. In other words, I'd rather have those states on the inside of the tent than outside it. I believe that such NPT participation would tend to reduce such things as Iranian threats, not that Israel doesn't have an overwhelming deterrent against Iran.

Your move. If you want to convince Americans, present reasons that supporting a particular policy isn't only good for Israel.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Intelligence cooperation has been a value in the past, especially regarding then-USSR doctrine and technology. The latter now can be bought directly from the USSR.

I work with some excellent Israeli researchers in computer technology, and am aware of some distinct innovations done there. I am not, however, convinced these innovations, nor work in semiconductors, is outside US capability. US industry and government are involved in a great deal of beneficial international work. In my last research job with Nortel, there was a strong collaboration involving the US, Sweden, and Canada.

I am not convinced that joint naval manuevers with Israel, or port facilities in Haifa, are necessarily good for the strategic balance of the US. There's no argument that they are tactically useful, but I have to balance that against admittedly unfair criticism, and propaganda leading to terrorist recruiting, in the Arab and Persian worlds.

I fully recognize that there is a mutual benefit to air combat training with the IAF, as one of the few air forces at a comparable skill level with US Naval and Air Force combat aviation. There's been a useful rivalry there, including an occasional reminder that the IAF isn't always as good as it thinks it is -- a property of fighter pilots worldwide.

I don't count on the US being able to trust any basing facilities in the region, other than Turkey, with limitations there. The more visible cooperation between Turkey and Israel, the better I feel.

No, I don't recall the pullout of US forces from Saudi Arabia being under primarily terrorist pressure. Going back to 1990, there was significant nationalist and religious objection, within the House of Saud, to any American presence there. Many of the basing agreements were "for the duration", and some facilities were left in a standby status should politics justify a return.

I do regard the relationship with Kuwait as strong and more stable than with other Arab countries.

Yes, there are benefits of US strategic cooperation with Israel, but I still don't see them as overriding the propaganda benefit, to Muslim terrorists, of exploiting the relationship. If Israel withdraws all civilians from the Occupied Territories, that will take away one terrorist recruiting argument, even if they are replaced with Israeli troops. The argument for cooperation with Israel becomes even stronger if the Israeli troops there (leaving sensors with real-time reporting to Israel and other relevant parties) were replaced by international forces.

I really would like to see at least symbolic movement on the Palestinian situation, and I fully recognize Israel is not responsible for the entire situation. Nevertheless, it is in the US interest to see less terrorist recruiting there -- although the recruiting issues pale beside the US presence in Iraq, which recruits more than anything with Israel.

To recap, I can see several things that would enormously help the US relationship with Israel:

  • Israel declaring it is a nuclear weapons state, and, hopefully in concert with at least India and Pakistan, trying to amend the NPT to let them in as declared states

  • Recognizing the reality, or lack thereof, of a credible Iranian nuclear threat, and turning down the volume of apparent demands for US intervention and/or joint or Israeli attack

  • Removing all Israeli citizens from the Occupied Territories, with replacement by IDF personnel and sensors, and a future goal of replacing them with international forces, remotely monitored, in real time, by the IDF.


  • --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    "that there remains a strong mutual benefit to having a strong security relationship between the US and Israel"

    What if not?
    Relationship between countries are not the same as relationship between companies.

    Assuming MJ holds these views, perhaps you can understand why I find it ironic that he refuses to engage with those who disagree with him, let alone those who want to cut his head off, since he would never advocate that behavior on the world stage.

    Or…maybe I am just over thinking the whole thing.

    Sorry, I can't follow your question. The subject of "what if not" is not clear, nor is it clear to which post this comment applies.

    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    What if mutual benefit to having a strong security relationship between the US and Israel
    are as trong as in clold war anymore?

    Important facts to remember regarding 9/11---whatever the exact motives of the terrorists who did it were, it had nothing to do with any specific policies Israel was carrying out. In Al-Qaida's initial propaganda, IIRC Israel wasn't even mentioned. Remember, 9/11 occurred AFTER
    Israel recognized the Palestinians supposed "right to self-determination", AFTER Israel recognized the Palestinians chief terrorist organization, the PLO, as the official representative of the Palestinian people, AFTER Israel unilaterally withdrew from Lebanon, and after Israel, at Taba offered a basically complete withdrawal from Judea/Samaria and east Jerusalem. I am convinced the terrorists struck because they saw that "terror works", that Israel was in retreat from the terrorist PLO organization, and they saw that the US, (basically Clinton) refused to take any serious action after terrorist outrages in East Africa (the embassy bombings) plus the USS Cole incident. In addition there were the two terrorist attacks in Argentina against Jewish targets that went unanswered.
    Terror thrives when its perpetrators see that it works. Al-Qaida and those like them never even make any political demands, they want everyone to be afraid of them and to make concessions to them. For example, Spain voting out its pro-US policy gov't, and now we have Prime Minister Gordon Brown in the UK announcing that the "war on terror" is over, there is simply "crime fighting", no "terror".

    In my opinion, there is not such a benefit, since the major benefit to the US was intelligence on the Soviet bloc. If you believe there still is such a benefit, give specific reasons why there is, and how these reasons are greater than the amount of propaganda Israel provides to enemies of the US. That propaganda encourages terrorist recruiting.
    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    Or perhaps your only purpose is literary critique of MJ, rather than dealing with the actual issues.

    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]


    Mr. Rosenberg, please identify for us one liberal Democrat who would change his or her position to yours--vocally opposing the current Israeli government-- if there were only public financing of U.S. federal elections. We who oppose forcing Israel to give up land for a phony peace may be a minority here; we are not a minority within the Democratic Party, and you can confirm that with your friend Chris Van Hollen.

    Yes, I thought that was clear.

    MJ,

    you posted this on the 20th, this is my first visit.

    After reading the posts I can see you've rounded up the usual suspects with another rabble rousing column. :-)

    Yup, John, the rabble is roused

    Just because fodder for propaganda is convenient, does not necessarily make it legitimate.  Any alliances should be encouraged.  The US should pursue relations and alliances with any Arab establishment nation, even as it maintains its alliance with Israel.  If for no other reason than to be firm about the diversity of national rights (note, as opposed to "natural" rights) in the region, but to support and promote democratic forms of government and genuinely free markets anywhere they are established.  Israel is the only nation in the region with a fully functional electorate, an indpendent judiciary and an economy not built around boycotts.  Israel's democratic society is far from perfect, but if its normalization in the region is properly and wisely finessed it could arguably be moved toward its ideal and raise a few more proverbial boats in the process.

    Zionista,

    Those are much better points than have been made. We differ philosophically, I believe, on the idea of national rights necessarily being desirable, but we can agree to disagree.

    I'd be far more willing to accept the propaganda hit on the US if Israel moved on three major issues, both of which act as ripples in the pond of international relations.

    First, a prompt removal of all Israeli civilians, with appropriate compensation and relocation, from the Territories. Simultaneously, either the settlements would be replaced by manned military posts, or by sensors covered by firepower and with a clear message, much as on many key American facilities, that deadly force is authorized against trespassers. Those sensors and troops would have, as a primary mission, the prevention, interception, and counterfire on, any fire from the territories into Israel. Eventually, certain bases could be turned over to Palestine, or the Israeli troops replaced by multinationals, without interruption of real-time sensor information to the IDF and observers.

    Second, Israel declaring itself a nuclear power, and, preferably in concert with India and Pakistan, work under US and other sponsorship to amend the nuclear non-proliferation treaty to allow these three nations to ratify as declared powers. I believe this would be stabilizing toward Iran.

    Third, make a public acknowledgement that weapons sold by the US have been used, in violation of the sales agreement, against civilians in Lebanon in elsewhere. I would be willing to have the US replace all Israeli M26 unguided cluster munition rockets with XM31 guided unitary warhead missiles, subject to the destruction of the M26 stockpile and all other US supplied cluster munitions held by Israel.

    There are other things that can be done, and, just as guest workers are an issue in the US, coming up with a better way of dealing with Palestinian workers and consumers in Israel is high on the list.

    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    The US government's chief obligation is to protect its people from harm. Indeed, progressive international legal theorists have lately argued that this notion of a "duty to protect" is fundamental to the the modern understanding of sovereignty. The US realationship with Israel should be viewed in that light.

    I don't think there is any question that the US relationship with Israel, as it is currently structured, is responsible for numerous security headaches for US citizens, given Israel's many frustrated enemies and their perception that US support for Israel is a significant factor in their struggle. Evaluating these security risks to US citizens does not require passing judgment on which Middle Eastern claims are just and which claims are unjust. It only involves recognizing that these hostilities exist, and that the US has unwisely inserted itself in a heavily partisan way into a Middle East territorial struggle.

    However, a second major security concern is that Israel is heavily armed with nuclear weapons. Unfortunately, major nuclear countries have to be dealt with, since if relations with them sour they can pose a substantial threat in the future, even if relations are currently good. The US has no choice but to seek to maintain tolerably good relations with Israel.

    It's overall security is enhanced, however, by seeking to promote peace in the region through a balance of power and settlement of disputes, without favoritism or preference.

    You make many good observations. However, I must disagree with one.


    However, a second major security concern is that Israel is heavily armed with nuclear weapons. Unfortunately, major nuclear countries have to be dealt with, since if relations with them sour they can pose a substantial threat in the future, even if relations are currently good. The US has no choice but to seek to maintain tolerably good relations with Israel.

    As I've posted elsewhere, I would support amendment of the NPT to permit Israel, India and Pakistan to ratify as declared nuclear powers. NPT and IAEA participation are stabilizing with regard to the overall nuclear balance.

    There are various mechanisms to avoid accidental or rogue nuclear attacks, some of which are already in place with Israel, and should be with all nuclear powers including North Korea. These include "hotline" communications between their national command and/or warning centers; a system called HAMMER RICK already exists between the US and Israel. As was done with the fUSSR, technical assistance in setting up a Permissive Action Link and associated positive control mechanisms is highly desirable; these make it impossible for a rogue crew to launch, or launch an armed weapon. The US and Russia have exchanged personnel who sit in their national warning centers, with direct communications back to their own countries.

    I don't see how "good relations" goes farther than that. Israel cannot be a nuclear threat to the United States. Just as Israel's reasonably estimated arsenal has total dominance over any plausible Iranian force, a single Trident submarine in the Mediterranean or more distant waters has total dominance over Israel.

    If good relations means nuclear saber-rattling against Iran, may our relations get much worse.

    Seriously, Israel feels quite free to violate agreements, or even the usual unwritten ones between friendly countries, with the US. I can be reasonably comfortable that the UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand do not spy on the US. France and Israel, however, do, and are thus less trustworthy.

    Israel has violated sales agreements on US weapons and used them in disproportionate responses. Given that Israel is using the same, or slightly older, equipment than the US uses against rockets fired by insurgents, I can state with confidence that US doctrine both has a higher probability of killing the rocket crew, and avoiding civilian casualties, than the way the Israelis used some of the same equipment in Lebanon. They also used certain weapons in a way that goes against US doctrine, and even in a way that is less effective against the rocket crew but more hazardous to civilians.

    You are quite correct that US policy should recognize a balance of power and promoting peace, rather than the appearance of favortism that now exists. A balance does not mean a significantly increased threat to the most potent military of the region.

    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    So pathetic.
    MJ wanted to change the world.
    Now the only thing is left to him is to make quck money
    rousing the rabble.
    His next job is working in Zoo.

    "ntelligence cooperation has been a value in the past, especially regarding then-USSR doctrine and technology. The latter now can be bought directly from the USSR."

    Let's assume that there are no benefits to US or that the benefits are minor.
    So what?
    Is this your general point of view (let's don't talk about Israel) that you abandom a friend with whom you fought a long war agains the "evil empire" because you don't need this friend anymore.
    And if this is your point of view, then I understand why you advocate that US should stop support Israel.

    Then let's forget about Israel and let's discuus a general proposition of relationship between US and other countries who were useful to US at some point.

    Quite apart from the issue of the NPT, and how it should or should not be amended, and separate from the question of rogue or accidental attack, I was thinking of more straightforward state-directed attack, possibly in the form of terrorism. Yes, conventional deterrence should be enough to deter any such attacks, but it is also just a good idea to prevent relations with nuclear armed countries from deteriorating to a point where hot heads and impaired judgment in a crisis might overcome the cold logic of deterrence, and lead national leaders to do stupid things. One especially has to worry about the possibilities of state terrorism, where a potential adversary may seek to get around the problem of retaliation by successfully blaming the attack on someone else.

    This particular friend continues to follow policies that put US citizens at risk and damage US interests in several other ways.

    Anyway, I wonder how many Israelis think of any country as a "friend". Many of them seem to have a rather intense Israel Against the World attitude, and would surely drop the US relationship the moment they decided it no longer served the interests of Israel.

    So what you are saying that in general you should not abandom your friend, but Israel is a very bad friend and US should make an exception.

    Or maybe you are saiyng that if you want to push US to abandom a friend, just have a terrorist act inside US. This will do the trick.

    Dear LeftAhead:

    So glad to hear that you have returned your home to the American Indians.

    The line width getting to be what it is, it occurs to me that there may be a worthwhile discussion table post about relations to nations with nuclear weapons. My thinking here regards the NPT and counterproliferation, as well as the prevention of rogue or accidental war. I'm not sure of how hotheadness differs from accidental war, given some of the communications mechanisms I've described, often intended to lower tension. While it was not quite a nuclear situation, HAMMER RICK communications were used in 1991 to talk the Israelis out of directly retaliating, during Desert Storm, against Scud attacks.

    As to false-flag state terrorism, there are technical measures, combined with communications, that could help lower danger. While nations prefer to classify the details of design of their bombs, the reality is that certain designs, as well as the impurities in the materials, will produce particular chemical and isotopic patterns in fallout. Sharing these "fingerprints", especially ahead of time, is a way to recognize the source or non-source of an explosion. Obviously, delay for verification is a luxury for those that don't have highly survivable forces and perceive themselves in a use-it-or-lose-it mode.

    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    Sooner or later, in most first-year international relations courses, someone will quote Lord Palmerston, "nations have no permanent allies, only permanent interests." There are are very few cases, although there are some, where there are permanent allies.


    let's discuus a general proposition of relationship between US and other countries who were useful to US at some point.

    The principle holds not just for the US, but for any nation. There's no better example than the WWII alliance between the Western Powers and the Soviet Union, which somehow didn't hold up in the Cold War. Italy was on one side in WWI and the other in WWII. It can go in the other direction; South Africa was a pariah to much of the world until it abandoned apartheid.

    There is a special intelligence and security relationship among the US, UK, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. One aspect has been called ECHELON. Relations are very strong among the first four, but New Zealand has strained some relationships due to its strict policy of not allowing nuclear armed or powered vessels in its waters. Still, since the intelligence relationships rely, in part, on geographic position, these five nations, also with considerable bonds of language and culture, are likely to remain allies.

    This was evidenced in US support of the British recapture of the Falklands, although that might conflict -- and it is debatable -- with the US Monroe Doctrine. It was evidenced by British support of US idiocy in Iraq.

    So, my position is that alliances need constantly to be reinforced, much as a garden needs care and feeding. In the case of what I'll call the ECHELON powers, there is both pragmatic need, but also shared culture.

    In the case of the "Evil Empire", relations now, even with strains, are better with the fUSSR than during the Cold War. As I mentioned, technology that Israel supplied to the US can now be bought, with full operating manuals and technical support, from Russia.

    It's not simply that you abandon an ally because you don't need them any more; it's also a case where you cool the relationship because the ally has become a liability. South Africa, as its apartheid program was formally adopted in 1948, became much less of an ally to many nations because the perception that a nation perceived to be supporting apartheid would incur sanctions. Arab nations broke off with former allies that violated their boycott against Israel.

    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    It takes moral and intellectual stamina to publicly stake out a position in a forum which disagrees with you. Thus the tendency for forums over time to present just one viewpoint.

    This is highly undesirable because having the other side present is often the best and fastest way to be confronted with inconvenient facts.

    During the 60's I was exposed to conversations with people from many sides and was often alarmed by how insular were the people urging all power to the people when what they assumed was that the people wanted what the protesters wanted while I had a strong suspicion that the American people wanted to vote for someone like Reagan.

    Nice try--my land was purchased from the Mexicans, not stolen from the Indians.

    DanK: Has my computer gone crazy or have you really gone through this entire thread and given each post a "5" rating? If you don't think the rating system has value, wouldn't it be easier to simply ignore it?

    "Good policy is difficult to make when information is systematically collected in a way that minimizes its discrepancy with policy goals..." ~~ Iraq Study Group

    Spare me the phony self-pity about abandonment by "friends". Israeli policy is entirely fixated on the survival and prosperity of Israel, period. That is it's first, last and middle preoccupation, and any foreign relationships it chooses to maintain are grounded absolutely and entirely in self-interest, with no admixture of other motives. As anybody who has ever had a true friend can tell you, no relationship based only on the temporary recognition of a mutually beneficial egoism qualifies as friendship. Israel has no friends; it has partners. And if at any moment it were to change its evaluation of the benefits to Israel of its current partnerships, it would drop or alter those partnerships faster than you can say "So long, friend."

    It's interesting to note that Israel, a country whose very existence is an outright gift from Lord Balfour and the British Empire, carved with military and diplomatic steel out of the carcass of the Ottoman Empire for His Majesty's special Zionist friends, later chased its British protectors out of Palestine with a terror campaign, once the Crown's usefulness had expired. Gosh, you Israelis are just so damn friendly.

    Curiously, there are many Americans who are intensely devoted to Israel or the Holy Land. One frequently encounters Americans singing songs of praise for Israel, blubbering over its every stone, stream and cave. Yet I can't say that I have experienced many examples of Israelis waxing sentimental and poetical about the glories of United States. So far as I can tell, America, for Israelis, is just a place where a large number of Jews happen to live, surrounded by a few hundred million buffoonish pigeons, easy marks for the ongoing Israeli con, and who can all be counted on to send endless supplies of lawyers, guns and money without question or cavil.

    Friendly ol' Israel also conducts ceaseless espionage inside the United States, and conspires with its agents of influence to steer our domestic politics. It openly mocks US diplomatic requests, as it has for years, and yet the cash and weaponry keep flowing. It's leaders zealously promoted taking out Saddam Hussein, whom Israeli paranoids averred was one of the greatest threats since Hitler, while issuing instructions through its lobbying agents to keep the Israeli influence quiet, and then lied after the fact claiming that the attack was all the idea of the dumb Americans. Now while Americans are still in the process of getting killed in Iraq, along with a whole bunch of innocent non-WMD-possessing Iraqis, Israel is touting the threat of the newest Hitler, the one in Iran. And the pigeons appear eager as always get swindled.

    Israel protects only its own, and I suggest America do the same, at least where Israel is concerned.

    I agree with your earlier comment about the problem of weapons proliferation generally, yet at the same time, it doesn't seem unreasonable that a country providing billions of dollars in aid to another country would insist that the money be used to buy the products of the donor country, rather than products from other nations competing in the arms trade. And to call this "reimbursement" is nonsense. Reimbursement is when you pay back the money. 

    "Good policy is difficult to make when information is systematically collected in a way that minimizes its discrepancy with policy goals..." ~~ Iraq Study Group

    This can get complex, given Israel has its own advanced military manufacturing sector. The US has veto power over certain technologies that the US provided to Israel, whether or not Israel improved on them.

    A good example where the US used its veto power is the proposed Israeli sale of the Phalcon airborne warning and control radar system to China. It should have been quite obvious that the US would not favor such technology going to China. Whether or not one wants to blame Israeli "merchants of death", or government policy, the incident did not exactly engender US trust in Israel as an ally.

    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    Gladly--the original point of posting the text of the Balfour declaration, was to share facts and context. My addition of the bolded text was to highlight the fact that the Jewish settlers were not supposed to supplant the residents of Palestine, and I interpreted this as a condition of the 'grant.'

    Carved out of another land....
    chased the British crown out...

    sounds like the Colonists after 1776.

    The organized Jewish yishuv (community) rose up against the British when they unilaterally violated the terms of the Balfour Declaration and the League of Nations
    Mandate, both of which called for Jewish immigration to be maintained. In the 1939 MacDonald White Paper, the British unilaterally ended Jewish immigration and halted Jewish land purchases. Again, these were in violation of the Mandate. Even Churchill opposed these measures. This was a death sentence for 6 million people. It is not surprising that the Jews in Eretz Israel became annoyed.
    In any event, by 1947 the British had pulled out of India and were pulling back in Egypt (Suez Canal Zone). The British Empire was finished. How long do you think they were going to stay in Palestine anyway, where they were not wanted?

    The organized Jewish yishuv (community) rose up against the British when they unilaterally violated the terms of the Balfour Declaration and the League of Nations
    Mandate, both of which called for Jewish immigration to be maintained.

    I assume you are talking about Article 6 of the Mandate? It reads:

    The Administration of Palestine, while ensuring that the rights and position of other sections of the population are not prejudiced, shall facilitate Jewish immigration under suitable conditions and shall encourage, in co-operation with the Jewish agency referred to in Article 4, close settlement by Jews on the land, including State lands and waste lands not required for public purposes..

    So do you read this as guaranteeing Jewish immigration in perpetuity? That seems fanciful, given the phrase "under suitable conditions." Surely the administrators of the mandate were entitled to makes some determinations as to whether conditions did or did not remain suitable for further immigration. And certainly there is nothing specific in the Mandate that entails that as late as 1939 Jewish immigration would still have to be maintained. The 1939 White Paper strikes me as a quite sane and well-argued piece of work.

    The Balfour Declaration makes absolutely no mention of Jewish immigration at all, and commits the government only to using its best endeavors to facilitate the establishment of a "national home" in Palestine. No details as to what would constitute completion of that project are spelled out. Balfour himself later specified that he understood "national home" to be only a "centre for national culture" in Palestine. And the Churchill White Paper in 1922 clarified the government's understanding of the Balfour Declaration and asserted the necessity of managing and limiting immigration. The declaration doesn't even commit the British governed to the actual establishment of a national home, as limited as that project might be taken to be, but only to the use of its "best endeavors" to "facilitate the achievement" of this object. I would claim that British endeavors over two decades went rather beyond the call of duty in this case.

    So there is no honest basis for saying that the termination of Jewish immigration in 1939 violated the rather fuzzy and weakly committal Balfour Declaration. Only those intoxicated by Zionist mythologies and fantasies could view it otherwise.

    Several other articles of the mandate, and statements by the British and other governments, make it clear that its authors and ratifiers anticipated the establishment of a single Palestinian state, that would contain both Jewish and Arab citizens, and in which the Jewish "national home" would be located. For example, Article 7:

    The Administration of Palestine shall be responsible for enacting a nationality law. There shall be included in this law provisions framed so as to facilitate the acquisition of Palestinian citizenship by Jews who take up their permanent residence in Palestine.

    But Zionists always seem to ignore the parts of the mandate they don't like.

    And by the way, neither the mandate nor the declaration makes any mention of a magical kingdom called "Eretz Israel," or recognizes the existence of such a place, any more than they recognize the existence of Brigadoon.

    The British Empire was finished. How long do you think they were going to stay in Palestine anyway, where they were not wanted?

    Not long at all, which makes the Zionist resort to terrorism even more dastardly and surprising.

    The 1939 White Paper was "quite sane" from your viewpoint so long as you didn't have a death sentence hanging over your head in Europe. In any event the Arabs turned to terrorism against the gov't there as early as 1920 and repeatedly after that. I know it seems incredible to you that the Jews would be testy as a consquence of the world situation, but there you have it.

    Incidentally, I saw a filmed interview with James MacDonald made around 1980 and he said the White Paper had nothing to do with the "ability of the country to absorb new Jewish immigrants", it was explicitly done to appease the Arabs whom the British wanted on their side in the upcoming war. He claims he felt bad about doing it as the Jews were building the country up successfully. Indeed, there are now something like 12 times as many Jews today in the country as there were then, so obviously there was room for more.

    I think this interview with Martin Indyk is further evidence that there is about to be a big push on to get final status negotiations started from the conference and that Condi Rice is going to be the big stick that will close the deal that is required to end the failed 40 yr war for greater Israel.

    http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2007/s1986169.htm

    Patrick

    Apropos of some aspects I've mentioned here about Israel's nuclear status as well as the concern about Iran, I've done a Discussion Table post on updating world policy on nuclear weapons proliferation, but also steps for decreasing the probability of their use. I make specific suggestions about how Israel could gain more trust while continuing to address its own key security goals.
    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    Howard: Do you think that because Israel uses the billions of dollars provided by U.S. taxpayers to purchase only U.S.-made arms that constitutes "reimbursement"? ...even if Israel does so as a result of "strings" attached by the U.S. government? Keep in mind that Israel is not returning any of the money we've provided, only using it to purchase U.S. goods.

    The "reimbursement" thing sounds like a far rightwing talking point to me, and I've noticed others coming from this person, who is, on the other hand, clearly intelligent and in all things not Israel-related, seemingly quite progressive. Often I've seen Zionista use memes or direct quotes that I've also seen on hasbara sites.

    Kinda makes 'ya wonder...

    "Good policy is difficult to make when information is systematically collected in a way that minimizes its discrepancy with policy goals..." ~~ Iraq Study Group

    I agree with you here, Bev, but have to point out that the whole "real name" thing is ridiculous anyway.

    In a previous discussion about this issue, Howard pointed us to a webpage advertising a book by Howard Berkowitz as proof that he was who he said he was. But the average non-technical user of TPM Cafe really has no way of knowing whether the person posting here is the same Howard Berkowitz who published the book, or some precocious teenager posing as Howard Berkowitz. (I suppose the management, and those who are technically skilled enough to do some hacking might be able to verify it.)

    So why insist on "real names" when the average user really doesn't have any way of knowing if the "real names" are real anyway? I happen to know of one circumstance where it was later determined that the person on a certain site who was making the most noise about how everyone should be using "real names" wasn't using his own!

    (Sorry for using you as the example here, Howard. It's only to make the point.)

    "Good policy is difficult to make when information is systematically collected in a way that minimizes its discrepancy with policy goals..." ~~ Iraq Study Group

    I'd hesitate to call anything in the multi-country Foreign Military Sales programs "reimbursement", other than that they do contribute to the US economy rather than some other country. In other words, FMS "purchases" are really tax dollars that go back to what are often US defense contractors.

    This brings up all the difficulties of both creating jobs in defense industries but also greater profits to those industries. Of course, if you are an engineer specializing in a particularly exotic military technology, there may not be many comparable civilian jobs.

    Making this more complicated is that the US may well buy military products that are completely Israeli. Israel itself, which is one reason I turn a somewhat jaundiced eye on demands for US supply, has an extremely advanced military industry. This is one area where there can be mutual benefit, although incidents like the Phalcon and China produce tensions.

    Disposing of mines and IEDs are areas where both Israel and South Africa make some of the world's best equipment. I remember an anecdote, from Desert Storm, of a US advisor to a Saudi military unit, which expected to have to go straight into the Iraqi defensive line, known to be heavily mined. The Saudi and American had become good friends, and the Saudi talked of fear, more for his men than himself, of going against those mines.

    The advisor phrased things very delicately, given Saudi sensitivities are such that Israel is not even marked on their public maps. "We are going to be getting some equipment...from a country that is not on your maps." He said the Saudi's face lit up with relief.

    "Now I will live to see my grandchildren."

    Somehow, I'm reminded of Muslims and Jews that I know, who, in a strange city, feel comfortable, respectively, in buying meat from kosher and halal butchers.

    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    Often I've seen Zionista use memes or direct quotes that I've also seen on hasbara sites.

    Kinda makes 'ya wonder...

    I'm hiding under your bed too, Wordie.  Sweet dreams....

    [Update]

    Wordie,

    The "reimbursement" thing sounds like a far rightwing talking point to me, and I've noticed others coming from this person, who is, on the other hand, clearly intelligent and in all things not Israel-related, seemingly quite progressive.

    By the way, "this person" (one among "you people," apparently) maintains that there is room enough in "all things... Israel-related," for good old school liberal progress.  Meanwhile, it says something of one's perspective when one issue is enough to declare another's liberal bona fides illegitimate.

    Israel also has a veto over which kinds of weapons can be sold in the ME. On the other hand, the US can pull weight and tell Israel not to sell certains items containing US parts to countries we disapprove of such as Venezuela. But the US government also attempted to pressure Spain about sales to Venezuela; an effort that failed in that case.

    Often one will see anonymous quotes in the Israeli media that the real basis for controversy in cases like Phalcon and China is entirely due to favoritism towards US defense contractors, not security concerns.

    So far, Haaretz reports that the US response to the cluster bomb issue is as follows:

    "Preliminary investigations by the U.S. Department verified suspicions that Israel violated an agreement with Washington prohibiting the firing of cluster bombs into population centers.

    In response, the U.S. Senate included in its version of the Foreign Aid legislation for 2008 a clause that would restrict Israel's ability to use American military aid to purchase cluster bombs."

    However, in an earlier Haaretz report Bush told Gates to bypass Pentagon procedures in order to expedite Israel's request to restock depleted supplies used up last summer. No indication of what kind of munitions were to be replaced but one would hope that the out-of-date cluster bomblets were not included:

    "The prime minister asked U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates for his assistance in expediting the handling of a number of IDF procurement requests meant to complete the replenishment of equipment and stores used during the Second Lebanon War.

    Gates pointed out that though there is no problem with the requests in principle, there is an orderly procedure. However, Bush intervened and directed the defense secretary to expedite approval of the IDF's requests."

    BTW. The Winograd Commission is reporting that it's final report will address the issue of Israel's violations of international law. Evidently, part of the reason the committee will address the issue is the pressure from IDF soldiers and their families who are seriously disturbed by Israel's actions during stupid summer war I. They appear to have been determined in their efforts to force the investigation to address the issues as they believe the IDF violated it's code of ethics.

    Bravo.

    Only a portion of the aid to Israel is tied to U.S. purchases and these are arms purchases that Israel wants. Zionista seems to be "forgetful" these days. I recall that he made the same argument some time back and was refuted with sound supporting data.

    To tie into Zionista's argument against arms proliferation up-thread, $billions in U.S. aid and technology has been given to Israel to build up a muscular MIC of their own. We are paying for development of arms, which Israel exports (much of it to China) undercutting our own manufacturers and our own national security policies.

    This is just one way that our aid to Israel is more costly than the $billions we give it. The usually given figure of $3 billion per year in aid is more like $5 billion and we pay interest on top of that. In other ways, of course, our cost of supporting Israel is much greater (in the $trillions over the years?). How much aid does the U.S. government give the occupied Palestinian refugees? None.

    However, in an earlier Haaretz report Bush told Gates to bypass Pentagon procedures in order to expedite Israel's request to restock depleted supplies used up last summer. No indication of what kind of munitions were to be replaced but one would hope that the out-of-date cluster bomblets were not included
    I have seen several reports that Israel specifically wanted resupply of the M26 unguided artillery rocket, with a cluster munition warhead, for their M270 Multiple Launch Rocket System. The US has declared the M26 obsolete and started replacing it with the M30, which is guided, has longer range, and fewer bomblets. Even so, the M30 is being replaced, in most US applications with the XM31 guided rocket, which has a unitary (i.e., one big boom, no cluster submunitions) warhead.
    A number of NATO countries that use the M270 are destroying their M26 stockpiles, or, for reasons not always strictly related to cluster warheads, selling the M270s to other countries that need its very long range.
    Incidentally, US doctrine against rocket fire from urban areas is not to use the M270 at all, but to use the M109 155mm howitzer with unitary warhead shells that burst in the air over the target area. The M109 can fire faster than the M270, its shells are faster, and it has a better chance of killing the rocket crew.
    There are specialized reasons to use cluster munitions, not all of which are dangerous to individual people unless they hit them on the head. Nevertheless, to use antipersonnel or dual-purpose submunitions against urban areas only shows a lack of understanding of their characteristics, or a deliberate attempt to create minefields that deny the area to its residents. -- Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    OK, I'll admit the use of "this person" was more than awkward. I try to avoid making personal remarks, and so was being vague, but by the end of the paragraph had realized that didn't make much sense, as it was clear I was referring to you. I should have gone back and edited.

    But I do think the use of (Israeli) right wing talking points on a progressive blog is going to confuse anyone who is paying attention. Maybe it's just a question though, of a very large (huge, even) blind spot - the kind of blind spot that can turn a requirement by the U.S. to use it's billion dollars of aid to purchase only U.S. products into a "reimbursement" by Israel.

    "Good policy is difficult to make when information is systematically collected in a way that minimizes its discrepancy with policy goals..." ~~ Iraq Study Group

    "They appear to have been determined in their efforts to force the investigation to address the issues as they believe the IDF violated it's code of ethics.
    Bravo."


    Israel is really unique country!
    This is really unique/

    "How much aid does the U.S. government give the occupied Palestinian refugees? None"

    A lot. UN help to Palestinian refugees for the last 60 years is financed by US.

    No, not really. These conditions are only applied to nuclear-armed nations that use US-supplied area attack weapons in urban areas.

    Any country where they give you a bialy when you ask for a bagel, however, is unique.


    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    To use a Davai--ism: Then you agree with me! Thank you for admitting mistake. Singapure!

    Assuming it's true:
    "BTW. The Winograd Commission is reporting that it's final report will address the issue of Israel's violations of international law. Evidently, part of the reason the committee will address the issue is the pressure from IDF soldiers and their families who are seriously disturbed by Israel's actions "

    It's really uniques. This never happened in history of humankind before, that any country investigates if it violated international law and that the soldiers asked for this investigation.

    We all need to stop for a moment and reflect on this unique event.

    dup deleted

    Wordie,

    But I do think the use of (Israeli) right wing talking points on a progressive blog is going to confuse anyone who is paying attention.

    Now a single word is a talking point.  Good fucking grief.  Pick another word for conditional options for spending public aid on private companies and I will use it instead.  I'm not married to "reimburse."  I am not even arguing the virtue of the arrangement, am I?  So, why is it so important for you to conflate Zionists with the Israeli right?

    You are welcomed.

    Hmm. Since Israel and I were both born in 1948 (Israel is a few months older), when did we turn 60? Is mathematics the first thing to go?
    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    Howard. Speaking of war crimes and international law....

    I'm reminded of recent reports of a 2-day conference in Israel between US/Israeli experts organized to begin addressing amending ("fine tuning") the Geneva Convention and the Hague Rules in order to reflect the changing nature of modern warfare.

    Everyone has their homework assignments and the final document will be presented at another conference scheduled in October in DC.

    The following is an excerpt from the most informative article I could find on this ambitious endeavor:

    "The main achievement of the conference, according to Ganor, was the designing of what he calls "The Grid." The Grid identifies four major groups within an asymmetric conflict situation: the standard military, legitimate non-state entities, illegitimate non-state entities and the civilian population. The difference between legitimate and illegitimate NSEs is their readiness to accept the laws, norms and regulations of war.

    " 'Up until now, there was no such thing as a legitimate NSE. We are arguing that once we create the legal distinction and accompany the dichotomy with a system of incentives and disincentives, it will give organizations the motivation to strive for legitimacy,' said Ganor.

    " 'There is a normative difference between someone who deliberately targets soldiers and someone who aims to murder innocent civilians. Accordingly, there will be a difference in the reaction to such attacks and the treatment of the perpetrators.' The proposed amendments mean that those who abide by the rules of war will be treated correspondingly as prisoners of war under the same laws. With the establishment of a legal framework for NSEs, many wartime dilemmas may be solved.

    However, human rights attorney Michael Sfard, who works with Amnesty International and other humanitarian organizations, criticized the move. 'The acceptance of this proposal would mark the end of humanitarian law,' he said. 'The best thing about war regulations is their simplicity: They state that you are either a soldier or a civilian. Adding a third group into the mix would greatly increase the number of innocent civilian casualties.'

    The leaders of the conference are aware of the criticism the endeavor is likely to encounter. 'The human rights community in particular has raised concerns as to the ability of either Israelis or the Americans to be objective about this, given the military activities that both countries are engaged in,' said Wallerstein.

    'I expect that the proposals will be opposed by those who see this superficially, as an attempt by the United States and Israel to gain legitimacy for their actions. However, after the first wave of rejection, I believe that those who posses the historical, philosophical, legal, policy-oriented mental gravitas will see this as viable suggestion,' said Ganor.

    The next step for the group is to take the material discussed in the conference, expand on it, send it out for review in the international academic community and present the results in a similar conference scheduled to take place in Washington, D.C., this October - the 18th of which will be the 100-year anniversary of the signing of the Hague Convention of the laws of war.

    After that, it is up to the international community to decide whether to accept the proposals. "The question will be, how does this get taken up by governments, and that is somewhat unpredictable. Even if it is endorsed by governments, knowing how international relations, international diplomacy works, we're probably talking about a few years before this is turned into law," said Wallerstein."

    http://www.ict.org.il/apage/14139.php

    If nothing else, the Grid seems to bring some original thoughts, especially with the NSE. For a long time, I've believed there needed to be more rigor brought to the idea of illegal combatants. IMHO, the great body of customary international law is based on the idea of the nation-state, with specialized exception for civil wars and spontaneous uprising against invasion. If illegal combatants operate outside that system, the best precedent seemed the legal status of pirates, hostis humani generis or enemies of humanity.

    In a completely failed state such as Somalia, organized militias that also provide some of the functions of civil government would seem to fall into NSE. After the recognized government of Afghanistan fell, the Taliban might have claimed to be an NSE, with at least some basis.

    This gets much more complicated with a non-state entity that forms a shadow government, such as Hizbollah in Lebanon. It will be interesting how the lines are defined between NSE and illegal combatants. In an Islamic state, is it clear that religious police are part of the government, or NSE? The Saudi mutawain are under a ministry, but there has seemed to be a lot more free-lancing in Iran. What about something like the Turkish Army enforcing secularism in the elected government, given the history of the army going back to barracks after the government is secular?
    --
    Howard

    *equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

    It was a conversation between Boaz Ganor and another one of the principals during stupid summer war I that prompted the efforts to refine the rules.

    "Last summer, at the height of the Second Lebanon War, two intellectuals specializing in security affairs met for a conversation. For the Israeli of the pair, the Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya's Boaz Ganor, it was an opportunity to vent his frustration.

    "We talked about the frustration we had over how the world was relating to the war, mainly the claim that Israel wasn't responding with 'proportionality,'" Ganor told The Jerusalem Post this week.

    "I was saying that, in fact, the whole concept of asymmetrical warfare was reversed," he continued. "In Lebanon you had an organization with very great military power, thousands of Katyusha missiles, anti-tank and anti-aircraft capabilities, the direct assistance of at least two states, and able to fight without any norms, and using Israel's limitations in harming civilians as a multiplier of their capabilities."

    How did the West misunderstand what Hizbullah represented in terms of the rules of war? For Ganor, the problem is that the rules of war - whether the Hague Convention of 1907 that regulates the conduct of battle or the Fourth Geneva Convention of 1949 that protects civilians caught in a war situation - were not crafted to deal with present-day insurgents who endanger civilians as a pillar of their strategy.

    Faced with the overwhelming power of the modern military machine, inferior forces seeking to secure political gains through force have resorted to a strategy that, far from protecting civilians, uses them as force multipliers.

    In the process, these guerilla fighters have broken the rules of the game, and have forced standing militaries, usually belonging to democratic states and therefore subject to the vicissitudes of public opinion back home, to bend their own rules to deal with the threat."
    http://ict.org.il/apage/12130.php

    Given the viewpoint that "fastidious" Israel was so terribly misunderstood by the world, one can predict that Hezbollah will not be regarded as a legitimate NSE. This article by Ganor makes that abundantly clear:


    "Another moral argument being made against Israel is that its actions are completely out of proportion to the damage it suffered. However, as a state fighting a terrorist organization which has chosen to hide among a civilian population and use civilians as a living shield, Israel has demonstrated, both in the past and the present, great fastidiousness in its military operations. Civilians that are injured in Lebanon are victims of the Hizbullah policy of not differentiating itself from the civilian population. In contrast, the injury to Israeli citizens by Hizbullah missiles is the result of a terrorist policy that aims to harm civilians. Hizbullah leader Nasrallah's claims that the Hizbullah aims its missiles at military sites are hard to believe considering the fact that hundreds of missiles hit civilian homes that are nowhere near military sites."
    http://www.think-israel.org/ganor.lebanon.html

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