Engage to Contain?
The international system today is still fundamentally unipolar. The cost of American hegemony is the burden it has borne—in times past, much more gracefully than today—of providing some measure of global public goods. Josh and Devin make the important point that one dimension of China’s rise to watch carefully is the extent to which it begins providing any form of global public good. At the same time, Dan observes: As governments and populations become aware of how China engages the world, however, it is quite possible that familiarity will breed contempt. The sum of these two insights is that there might be a strategic advantage for the United States to exploit here: the potential to “engage to contain.”
The core of the “responsible stakeholder” notion that has captivated many American foreign policymakers in their thinking about China is that if the US gives the Chinese a meaningful stake in the status quo they will ramp up their contributions to the global public goods needed to sustain it. A more Machiavellian interpretation is that China could be encouraged to ante up on global public goods provision—think leadership on poverty reduction or the environment. If the US calls China’s bluff, by ending its free ride and yielding to it some of the responsibility that comes with its ache for great powerdom, China would have to take on some of the costs of an approaching bipolarity. It could quite quickly begin to face the blowback of the world’s increasing familiarity and resentment as well.














Engage them how?
I'm not necessarily disagreeing with you, but you've posted twice on this topic now and you've yet to say what, exactly, the US should do.
I'd really like to see you put forth something specific so that we can have a real debate.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 26, 2007 8:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think that the US and China are at a fundamental and irremediable disagreement. That is because when China says that it believes in non-interference in other countries, that is directly contrary to what needs to be done. Some countries (i.e. Sudan) have such a rotten situation that you need to intervene. The government is an active agent in the suffering of Sudan, but China would have you defer to what the government says.
China only says that because she is trying to set a standard that you don't interfere in other countries internal affairs, which works out very favorably to the Chinese ruling party.
My political forums
June 27, 2007 1:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
We can debate "engage", but "contain"?
We want to contain Hamas. Syria is friendly to Hamas.
We want to contain Syria. Iran is friendly to Syria.
We want to contain Iran. But also Russia. So Russia is rather friendly to Iran.
And now China. Good luck in all that containing.
At the moment, in a small-scale blowback, Russia and China cooperate to remove American influence from Central Asia, where the local strongmen are not our natural allies in any case. India is studiously neutral. So we have a contiguous continent worth of countries that we want to "contain", separated by Iraq, and to a lesser extend, Afghanistan and Pakistan. The whole set-up resembles a bear-trap with our paws in it, rather than "containment".
So the only rational debate should be: "how to engage? given any attention to democracy, fair trade etc. or just maximize profits of our companies?"
June 27, 2007 7:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
How do you know that China "aches for great powerdom"? How do you know they don't "ache" for greater security, for self-determination, for trading markets and partners, a lifting of their people out of poverty, a return of their sovereign territory and an equal partner on the world stage with the great western powers?
Why do you want China to suffer "blowback" and resentment from other nations? China is providing "public goods" to developing nations - they've built more roads, dams, schools hospitals and communication networks (which the west has historically disdained in the last 40 years) in the last five years than the U.S. has, and they don't tie their loans and aid to hypocrtical ideology, privatization and so-called morality such as restricting abortion and birth control rights as the U.S. has.
What makes China's foreign aid any more sinister than western aid? The west has made a practice of bolstering and aiding despots, tyrants and human rights violaters for more than a century -what is the difference between the corrupted despots in Saudi Arabia and the corrupted despots of Sudan and Sierra Leone or even Saddam Hussein whom we propped up for decades? Is it the number of people they've killed? We had no compunctions whatsoever in aiding Stalin and the Soviet Union when it was in our best interest, and Stalin holds the record in genocidal killing.
The U.S. like all other nations, ties their aid to their own political, strategic and trade needs and the notion that U.S. ties their foreign aid to human rights progress and demonstrations of democratic ideals by foreign nations is absolute, unadulterated nonsense.
There is something so self-important, so blinded to reality, so conceited in the thinking or foreign policy makers that they seem completely unaware of how the rest of the world sees us and understands us - and they don't trust us. Being on the receiving end of our "foreign aid" they fully understand the implications, restrictions and self-serving interests that we tie to our aid and exactly why we do it. That China is playing our game and playing it well, doesn't mystify or dazzle them - they've had decades and centuries of being on the receiving end of this kind of strategy from the west. They know full well where those weapons came from, what countries are doing our torturing for us, what gun runners, diamond and drug cartels are protected by the CIA and why they're protecting them. They know when a world criminal like Viktor Bout, one of the greatest inflictors of human misery on the continent of Africa is given a pass, because the U.S. is using his air transport network to render "unlawful combatants" that the U.S. isn't particular about democratic "ideals" and "values".
That China is running an endgame around the U.S. and the west, is not only the smart thing to do, it is the right thing to do for China. Why shouldn't they do this for themselves? Why should they need permission from the U.S. to conduct their foreign policy in the best interests of China? China has managed in the last fifty years to lift 1.6 billion people out of famine, illiteracy and the degradation of centuries of ill treatment by the west. They've done more to increase trade and build an infrastructure in Africa in the last five years than we have in the last two hundred years. Instead of hatching plots and strategizing their ruin, maybe it would be in our best interest to encourage it.
June 27, 2007 9:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
On the second thought, it is a bit rich to carp about China "shirking responsibilities of a big power", while USA emphatically refuses to do anything about global warming, refuses to contemplate a slew of useful treaties and breaks or withdraws from other useful treaties, pursues sinister "first strike capability", exports backward approaches to venereal diseases (nixing support for condoms) etc. etc.
For better or worse, we set the tone.
June 29, 2007 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink