I Could Vote for Bloomberg
I'm a Democrat and have voted Democratic in every Presidential election since I was 18. But I have to tell you. It is conceivable that I'd vote for Mike Bloomberg for President.
I have two reasons. The first is not as significant as the second.
I think he is a great Mayor and a great leader. He is good on all the issues and has demonstrated the courage and ability to implement the policies he believes in.
The United States is probably easier to govern than New York City and his success there demonstrates that he would be an effective President. As a multi-billionaire, he will be utterly free from the pressures most Presidents have to respond to.
That would worry me if I did not share most of his views and beliefs. But I do.
However, I am a Democrat. And we have some good candidates.
My fear is that our nominee is not going to pledge to end the Iraq conflict no ifs, ands or buts and will similarly try to out-hawk the Republicans on Iran.
I fear that our candidate could end up hugging the mushy center, assuming that we will all fall into place out of fear of the Republican.
That assumption is probably right. There is no Democrat running who is not infinitely preferable to any of the announced Republicans.
But still. If the Democrat is wishy-washy, I think that many of us would feel a strong pull to vote for Bloomberg especially if he pledges to end the war in 2009.
I know that a 3rd party probably has no chance but I also know that if Bloomberg spends a billion or so, he just might. And his billion comes with far fewer strings (i.e. none) than the money now being collected by our candidates from their wealthy donors.
Before anyone reminds me of 2000 and Nader, I say in advance that I would not vote for Bloomberg if polls showed that doing so would elect the Republican. I'd vote for him if I thought we could actually elect him or (and this contradicts my other statement, I know) if I perceive that the Democrat, if elected, will be a hawk on Middle East policies. I will not vote for anyone who I think will lead to more American dead in the Middle East.
Some things are more important than partisanship.


Comments (112)
Couple points.
First, your voting decision tree creates the chance that your motivation will always lead to the wrong outcome.
If there is a hawk Democrat, a hawk Republican, and Bloomberg, you are suggesting you might vote for Bloomberg in order to keep a Dem from getting us deeper into the Mid East. But on these circumstances, it is possible that voting for Bloomberg will hand the election to the Republican, who will . . . get us deeper in to the Mid East. This creates a situation where your vote will do nothing to determine the future policies of the country.
Just thought I'd point that out.
Second, it cannot be the case that it is easier to run NYC than it is to run the US. It's thoughts like that that support Giuliani's campaign. Giuliani does not have the experience necessary to be president. Being mayor of New York does not qualify one to be president. Being mayor of Chicago does not qualify one to be president. Being mayor of Los Angeles does not qualify one to be president. Being mayor of Houston . . .
Let's not let Giuliani skate by on the thought that he has some relevant experience.
June 21, 2007 7:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sadly, as almost always, you have it totally wrong. The assessment of Bloomberg seems fine, but everything else in the post is off the Eastern Wall (the West is in Jerusalem and is always left of center).
Going towards the middle is not a negative; it's what democracy wants you to do - have a grand coalition of positive factors. The center is NOT the enemy of America or the world, the fascists of the right are!
As of now, the center wants the war to end, it's therefore reasonable to assume that a decent Democrat will end the war in January 2009.
Of all the serious candidates (Hillary, Obama, Edwards, Dodds and Richardson) the only potential wishy washy one is Hillary, because she seems too scripted and too guided and constraint to have opinions of her own conviction left. This picture, although quite genuine, is probably quite wrong looking back at her political history. Thus, all you do is fighting a straw man with a straw mayor.
There are other blunders in the same post, but that all folks.
June 21, 2007 7:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good point on Rudy, the worst of all the GOP candidates. I meant "good mayors" not racist polarizers.
As to your other point, sometimes you can't just swallow your principles and vote lesser-evilism. The Democrats won Congress in '06 because of the war. If our candidate cannot flatout promise to end it, who needs him or her.
Besides, with the exception of Obama, our candidates have piss poor records on the war. Neither Clinton, Dodd, Edwards or Biden voted for the Levin amendment which called for United Nations approval before force could be authorized. As Sen. Chafee said, "it affirmed that Congress would stand at the ready to reconsider the use of force if, in the judgment of the president, a United Nations resolution was not “promptly adopted” or enforced. Ceding no rights or sovereignty to an international body, the amendment explicitly avowed America’s right to defend itself if threatened."
Obama, not yet a Senator, endorsed the Levin amendment at the time. Kucinich voted against the war in the House. Richardson, a governor, supported the war.
The mindset that produced those indefensible NO votes makes it harder to simply trust our nominee.
June 21, 2007 7:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Great post.
I feel similarly about Bloomberg, and a good friend of mine and I had this same conversation last night.
June 21, 2007 7:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Where is the starting point when we "go toward the middle"? The country's political position certainly isn't 'left', so that can't be the starting point. We're being governed by the Right and the DLC, wouldn't these two entities have to move "left" to get to the middle?
Along with the center wanting to end the war desn't the 'left' want to end it too?
June 21, 2007 8:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ridiculous. Bloomberg is a contemptible non-entity. What precisely are his great achievements as mayor of New York? His failure to build the stadium? His myopic focus on Manhattan below 116th street? His obsession with the Olympics? His paralysis with regards to Ground Zero? His power-grab described as school reform? His harebrained effort to create non-partisan elections (which would benefit the wealthy and Republicans, of course)? The meals-on-wheels and filtration plant fiascos?
And then there's Bloomberg political amorality. He encouraged the GOP to exploit 9/11 and New York with their Convention (using none of his leverage with the national party to help NYC with the aftermath, by the way) and displayed an outrageous contempt for civil liberties with his treatment of peaceful demonstrators. He condemned Pataki for the vetoing an emergency contraception bill after he had vetoed identical legislation. I could go on and on and on.
Bloomberg is not a great mayor or a great political leader. He is an arrogant billionaire playing with politics out of boredom. He certainly doesn't need to be President.
June 21, 2007 8:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm ambivalent about Bloomberg but I'd definitely choose him over a Republican; shi*, I'd choose Elmer Fudd over a Republican.
Bloomberg supported Bush in 04, maybe that's because the Repug Convention was in NY and Bush added some Homeland Security money to the original appropriation for NY.
For that Bloomberg gets a D minus.
June 21, 2007 8:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
What planet?
What makes you think Bloomberg would disengage from the middle east? He supported Lieberman, for heavens sake.
He's my mayor, and he's best mayor we've had in my time in the metropolitan area. But I don't want him anywhere near mideast policy.
June 21, 2007 8:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think Bloomberg's been a great mayor, but MJR's enthusiasm has me totally baffled. What's he done to earn it? What principles or vision has he expressed, much less policies? I know he's for abortion rights and gun control, but is that enough to deserve this kind of gushing?
And yes, this election is our chance to make up some lost ground, both in gaining the presidency and, with a sufficiently broad and deep support for the Democratic candidate, that many more Congressional seats as well. So the idea isn't just silly but damaging. But still, it's the silliness that has me in awe.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
June 21, 2007 8:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bloomberg? Bloomberg? I've heard that name. But I live out here in Oregon so I don't know much about him.
Your post reminds me of a thought I've had about national politics and the race for the Presidency. Maybe every four years they should just put the office up for sale on Ebay. Ebay has this little feature where you can get regular updates on the progress of the bidding. We could all use that to follow the contest. Ebay could rename that feature "participatory democracy."
June 21, 2007 8:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
sPh
June 21, 2007 8:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Haber, ya see, if he's a great mayor -- as you concede he is -- that means he could be a great President.
But the Democrats, with the exception of Obama, are decidely not great senators because they supported a war that has resulted in the worst foreign policy disaster in our history.
So gushing is relative, isn't it.
Great mayor versus supporters of the war.
Great versus people who knowingly voted for a disaster.
I exempt Obama and Kucinich.
Excuse my outrage on the war. I was at Walter Reed over the weekend. No wonder they don't let the public in!
June 21, 2007 8:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
A NY mayor has as many constituents or more than a lot of governors, so from that aspect Bloomberg would be as qualified as any other candidate and certainly more than others. Obama, Edwards, and Clinton have never run any organization of any size. Bloomberg is a successful executive.
The Iraq war will be a non-issue by Nov 08, because even Republicans will turn against Bush, if this thing doesn't show signs of resolution. The GOP is not going into another national election with Iraq hanging around their neck. They know the consequences of that.
Bloomberg might be a good candidate, but he seems like the flavor of the month, right now -- a new face we know nothing about. One also has to consider how effective an independent would be as President. Like it or not, party affiliation gives the White House a lot of leverage of their party members re: votes. How effective can an independent be without that leverage?
June 21, 2007 8:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Second, it cannot be the case that it is easier to run NYC than it is to run the US.
Why?
It's certainly better training than being a Senator.
My main requirement for President is that he or she is smart. Extremely smart. Smart enough to grasp complex issues quickly, and smart enough to pick the right people around him or her.
Definitely not someone I would want to have a beer with.
"Thank God George Bush is our president." -Rudy Giuliani
June 21, 2007 8:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
I heard someone mention a Gore-Bloomberg ticket yesterday. At first I scoffed...but then...
"Good policy is difficult to make when information is systematically collected in a way that minimizes its discrepancy with policy goals..." ~~ Iraq Study Group
June 21, 2007 8:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bloomberg's not going to win.
The real question is, are there more Democrats (like MJ) that are going to vote for him (and put a GOP in office), or is it the other way around?
"Thank God George Bush is our president." -Rudy Giuliani
June 21, 2007 8:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
I see a flaw here. Bloomberg helped Bush get re-elected in 2004, which I'd say indicates that his judgment is seriously flawed.
June 21, 2007 9:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Who is Bloomberg going to put in all the second-and-third level jobs in the federal governments--the undersecretaries and deputies? With names like Feith, Cambone, Wolfowitz, Hadley, or Libby, one should recognize that the power to shape the country does not begin and end with the cabinet level officers.
After the last eight years of GOP agency-stuffing, we need to elect someone who as a matter not only of good governance, but as a personal matter of pure vengeance and spite, will work to rid the agencies of the GOP incompetents and replace them with competent people.
I trust Democrats to do that, but not the "good GOP'ers" or "unaffiliated" people Bloomberg might choose. Honestly, they'd have the meritocratic motivation to do it, but they'd lack the partisan fire to persevere through the pain of actually carrying it out.
June 21, 2007 9:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not sure I follow your logic, Reece.
Which is harder to govern? New York City? Or Arkansas? I would bet New York. But I didn't complain that Clinton lacked the experience to be President. Hell, as Mayor of New York, Bloomberg probably has a better seat for foreign affairs than many State Governors do.
I'm not considering Bloomberg (who I don't think will run), but I am just saying.
June 21, 2007 9:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bloomberg will end the war? I guess that's why he's supported Joe Lieberman so much. That makes a lot of sense.
Hey, maybe he can 311 up and working in Iraq. If the Iraqi people could get accurate information about alternate side street parking, maybe they wouldn't be so angry all the time. That could lead to a decrease in sectarian killings, I suppose.
June 21, 2007 9:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Once a Democrat...and always a democrat. That is what Bloomberg is and that is who he will pull votes from. Northeastern Republicans tend to be more liberal than Southern Democrats. But outside the Northeast I doubt there would be a groundswell of support for him. Pro choice, pro gun control and pro gay rights isn't gonna win him any votes in The Red States of America. With those positions he could never win the GOP nomination so the only way for him to run is as an Indy. Nor will Rudy Guiliani win the GOP nomination with his pro choice positions. The GOP primaries are dominated by uber conservative voters. Their nominee will be someone with the "proper credentials" who will they will vote for en masse. The only place Bloomberg can get significant votes is from the left. I hope he remains Mayor of New York City and continues with the decent job he is doing there.
June 21, 2007 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
please I am so f*cking tired of all the whining and complaining from people liek you. STFU. Enough has been said already.
Go vote for Rudy. MOFO.
June 21, 2007 9:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
I like Mayor Bloomberg, but I think he is a flavor of the month. I blogged about him yesterday. I think he may be the fortunate recipient of the good will engendered for not being part of the current crop of candidates. I also believe that he is flattered by all the hype, but would sour if he were to jump in and get the full media disection. So I expect him to tease until it is clear he cannot win, and then on to his philanthropic projects post city hall.
/c
In the blogosphere every one is an expert, so no one is an expert.
June 21, 2007 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
You talkin' to me sport?
June 21, 2007 9:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
If nothing else, I would not vote for Bloomberg because of the way the Republican convention was handled here in NYC. I know several people who were arrested and mistreated, a couple of them not protesters. Just in the wrong place at the wrong time.
June 21, 2007 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sounds interesting. Thanks.
But I intended sarcasm. To consider Bloomberg is to abandon political discourse and to join the cult of American exceptionalism. The argument that an independently wealthy man would be “utterly free of the pressures that most Presidents have to respond to” rests on the deeply rooted Calvinism of the American character, namely that success in this world is a sign that one is a winner in the pre-destined lottery for eternal bliss. It comes down to us today in the form that we are a good people because we are a wealthy people. And therefore the wealthiest are the embodiment of that goodness.
In a democracy politics is about policy. To abandon policy arguments in favor of a search for “a leader” is to abandon the demos themselves and thereby the whole notion of democracy. We are left to comments on the “cut of his jibe,” to how well the white toga hangs upon his shoulders. If your think mine is some overwrought rhetoric, then in your imagination take away “… his billion (sic) comes with far fewer strings (i.e. none)” and ask yourself what is left. Is it not the same policy debate that obtained before the name of Bloomberg was introduced?
I lament as much as anyone the lack of a Democratic policy position on Iraq that clearly stands in opposition to the status quo. However I am not prepared to surrender my citizenship and withdraw. And I am certainly not prepared to endorse some bourgeois “Il Duce.” As I suggested in my original comment, if that is the proposition then why not just sell the office to the highest bidder.
June 21, 2007 10:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hector
"I will not vote for anyone who I think will lead to more American dead in the Middle East."
So -- definitely not Biden, Clinton, Edwards or Obama.
June 21, 2007 10:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
I not only COULD vote for Bloomberg, I WOULD vote for Bloomberg over any Democratic candidate currently announced. Bring on Al Gore, though, and things would change.
June 21, 2007 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Obama is nominated, Bloomberg would make a perfect running mate. They have similar messages, and they would sweep the Dems and independents.
Also they are from different states. Hillary and Bloomberg are from the same state so they could not both get New York's electoral votes.
June 21, 2007 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't really understand the fascination with Bloomberg. Consider the no-smoking law. Very much Giuliani in nature. I'm a non-smoker. Never have and never will. The people that hate smokers the most are most often former smokers. Like Bloomberg. A personal peccadillo made into a law affecting millions of people and thousands of businesses. However you feel about the smoking law it was brought about for primarily personal reasons of one person. Same with an attempt at noise regulation. No ice cream truck jiggles. I'm all for $25,000 fines per song I have to endure from a boom box or car stopped next to me (if that's an acceptable fine for "pirating" a song why not for "bird shitting" a song. Which reminds me of the time I stopped at a strange looking horse shoe shaped building on East 58th Street and took out my camera to photograph it. A guard came running from about thirty yards away and told me I couldn't take any pictures. "It was Bloomberg's building." I asked if Bloomberg lived there or was there at the time thinking maybe it was a security issue. "No" on both counts. I was on the sidewalk, a public place, so I knew I could photograph as I pleased and if the building owners claimed copyright as some do (along with graffiti artists by the way) my attitude is the same as with forced music. If I have to endure it I should be paid, otherwise protect it from the public consumption that's supposed to be so precious. This public intimidation was another extension of the Giuliani-Bloomberg nature.
But those are just trivialities. Again remember Giuliani and his authoritarian nature as mayor? Remember the 2004 Republican convention in midtown with Giuliani saying "Thank God Geroge Bush is President!!!!?" Now remember all the thousands of cops with their plastic fencing used to snare, arrest and then imprison innocents and those who might dare to voice objection to the Republican party. Remember the guy who was accused of assaulting a police officer and had some excerpted video used against him until it was found that the entire video revealed that he never assaulted anyone but was actually abused by police. Both police and prosecutor had wrongly testified against and prosecuted a citizen involved in legal protest. Remember the hundreds who protested or might have protested or were in the vicinity of people who might protest against the Republicans - netted and brought to a converted parking area on West Street and left there for days without charge, long enough for the Republican convention to end. Habeas corpus shmorpus. This wasn't under Giuliani. This was Bloomberg. This was Bloomberg getting personal in protecting Republicans.
I saw lines of police on Sixth Avenue smacking bats against their hands in hopeful anticipation of using those bats against average citizens. Bats, as in stick ball bat sized batons. Not night stick sized. Remember New York City has a law that people in protests can only use signs with support poles made of cardboard tubing. But the police have stick ball bats (and M-16s for the convention - saw those too). Bloomberg protecting Republicans that he now tries to disavow. When the chips were down Bloomberg was pulling his version of "Thank God George Bush is President!"
And speaking of machine guns. It was at that time that I noticed the new Coast Guard patrol boat dinghies circling Manhattan with large machine guns fore and aft. Another measure brought in just in time for the Republican convention. Those boats are still patrolling though they usually keep the guns away or have just one out for "fleet week." Tell me it's about 9-11 when it seems to be special for Republicans.
Bloomberg showed very much a Bush attitude about law and enforcement when it came to protecting Republicans. Don't ever forget that. "Get a life" indeedy.
June 21, 2007 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
This post is absolutely ridiculous. Bloomberg has run the middle class (myself included) out of NYC, accelerating the mega-rich's purchase of the city as a second or third home. At the same time he has given away tax dollars to "industries" like pro sports--see: new stadiums for Mets, Yankees, the awful Brooklyn Nets project, and the Olympics--that produce nothing for anyone save their already loaded owners. Yet the schools for non-elites still stink, the transit improvements of the 90s have stagnated, and the cops have become a private spy agency for the rich--fitting, since Bloomberg reduced NYPD starting salaries to retail-store rent-a-cop levels.
Better than Rudy doesn't mean good.
June 21, 2007 10:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Arkansas.
New York's not that special, people. It's a city. Like Omaha, like Little Rock, like Dallas, like Minneapolis, like Oklahoma City.
If you're not happy with those examples, I gave some others. Would you want the Mayor of Houston running for Pres.? Houston is the 4th largest city in the country. The mayor probably has a better handle on illegal immigration than the Governor of New York.
How about the Mayor of Chicago? Third Largest city. Better grasp of problems caused by industrial decline and of labor issues.
How about mayor of LA? Same as New York right? Would you vote for Mayor Villaraigosa to be president?
I agree with cscs that it is the right type of experience, but it's not the right scale.
I don't understand why people are so willing to discount the "hinterland."
June 21, 2007 10:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJ,
TomT asked a great question down thread and you've just gotta respond.
Given Bloomberg's support of Lieberman, isn't it unlikely that he's the guy to count on to get us out of Iraq?
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 21, 2007 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
Me too! Actually, I've voted demo in every election since I was 18 and I was 18 long before you were.
Not only could I vote for Bloomberg were he to run, I would do so in a heartbeat if Hillary were the democratic nominee and yes regardless of who the GOP nominated..Tancredo, Gingrich, Hunter, Brownback..you name it, Bloomberg would get my vote over Hillary Clinton.
June 21, 2007 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
The GOP doesn't have a choice. Iraq's around their necks no matter what they say, how they spin or what they do. The situation in Iraq itself, as against the spun, filtered, fantasy version which underpins most US political debate - that situation will be even worse today than it is now.
Bet the farm
June 21, 2007 10:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
NO sir, My response to the whiner Rosenberg. Who the f*ck need your vote Rosenberg?
June 21, 2007 10:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJ Rosenberg,
I am sorry to hear your views on this. I have a lot of respect for your anti-war position, and generally excellent sense. However I think Bloomberg is a giant mistake. With some one this wealthy you have to judge their actions, not what comes out of their mouth.
Bloomberg could wield enormous clout within the lobbying groups that have pushed most for the war, but his history says he will do otherwise. His donations at the time it mattered 2001-2006 were all toward ultrahawks and the State Republican Party machine which was at the time in the business of putting more hawks on the state benches. A sane voice in the 2002-2003 era would have done a lot to prevent the disaster we all currently have now. Bloomberg was hands down on the wrong side.
Some say as a counter argument that Bloomberg backed Gore, but Gore picked Lieberman who Bloomberg later backed in the most recent election. Infact Bloomberg's support can be seen as a big factor in Lieberman's survival of that election. And Lieberman while moderating his voice during the campaign shifted back to the far right as soon as the votes were counted.
I can not countenance a man, with the vast resources that Bloomberg possesses, to have made such terrible decisions. I have to believe that these actions were not accidents, and rather speak to the true core of the man. So I am sorry to see your endorsement of him.
For my money I think Hillary will be a much smarter choice. She has a long history weilding responsibility at the international level, and knows what realistically can be achieved. Further she knows how to turn short term defeats into long term victory, a very necessary lesson, that Bloomberg has yet to experience, fortunaetly for him. Hillary is tried and true.
Let Bloomberg work with Saban and others under Hillary to make sure things actually get accomplished this time around. Let's learn what the limits of reality are, rather than fervantly wishing they were other than they are, as seems to be the main philosophy of our current executive crew.
I deeply respect your vision, wisdom, and commentary Mr. Rosenberg, but I cannot more profoundly disagree with your current endorsement. I would humbly request that you perhaps re-evaluate your initial perspective on this.
June 21, 2007 10:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's pretty obvious that Bloomberg running hurts the GOP. Why is that every time somebody starts out by telling you how long they have been a Democrat they end up posting like a Freeper?
June 21, 2007 10:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
The middle is the median of the population's opinions that you are governing. Yes, it has moved to the right. Yes, this is lamentable. But Democrats shouldn't govern from the left anymore than Bush should have governed from the right, which he did, and it has been his undoing.
June 21, 2007 10:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
THANK YOU THIRDESTATE!
I'm not quite as down on him as you, but the idea of Bloomberg as reasonable candidate for democrats is way off base.
I'll admit that in the current political context his straightforward and reasoned demeanor is appealing, and I'm certainly a hell of a lot happier living under him than Giuliani, but there are some very serious flaws with Bloomberg that should be troubling to anyone concerned about the current state of economic inequality in this country.
In my book, his fundamental flaw is that he has no regard for New Yorkers as they exist, but only governs with an eye towards a New York that's entirely developed, owned, inhabited and run by corporate capital.
Despite talking a lot of game, he's done absolutely nothing to stop the rapid loss of affordable housing in this city, because in his mind, a New York where only the super wealthy can live is a better New York.
He was a rabid cheerleader against the Transit Workers Union strike, and hailed their draconian punishment as just dessert.
He can't imagine paying firemen, cops and teachers a decent wage, but it's no problem to spend $650 million of taxpayer money on subsidies to Goldman Sachs, and another $200 million to JP Morgan.
In an America where 1 in 8 of us lives below the absurdly low federal poverty line and corporate interests have run roughshod over the interests of the people, such a mindset is exactly the opposite of what's needed.
I think he's a great option for Republicans, but MJ, I must say, I'm a bit shocked and suddenly a little bit wary of you.
--Andrew Hiller
June 21, 2007 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sorry. Did I miss something? Is Bloomberg opposed to the Iraq War? I don't think so. Then WTF is up with all this "I will vote for him over Clinton, and I'm a loyal Democrat" BS?
June 21, 2007 11:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
amen
June 21, 2007 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, I didn't know Bloomberg supported Lieberman.
As Rosanna-Rosanna Danna used to say, "Never mind."
Look, I love Obama so if he's the nominee I'll be more excited about a candidate than ever before.
So forget Bloomberg. I just won't vote for any Dem who I suspect will (1) not commit to Iraq pullout and (2) suggests war as a means of dealing with Iran.
And I sure as hell am not the only one. There are plenty of us Dems who put this damn war over any party or candidate.
June 21, 2007 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
First of all, it's not a war, it's an occupation. Second, all of the Democratic candidates supported Feingold/Reid, which would end the occupation, but not our involvement in the Middle East. And as far as not voting for any Dem you suspect will do or not do something, is your commitment to that principle as firm as it was to voting for Bloomberg?
June 21, 2007 11:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bloomberg is a real threat to Democrats. He is a liberal from NY with views to the left of many Dem candidates.
June 21, 2007 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you for informing me that he supported non-partisan elections. This is one reform that would help elections to be fairer in all jurisdictions as long as the winner was required to have a majority. He just keeps getting better in my eyes the more I learn about him. If he runs the only currently running candidate I would chose over him is Obama.
June 21, 2007 11:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think I'm in love.
--Andrew Hiller
June 21, 2007 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
He could win if both parties nominate a candidate that has high negatives. If Hillary gets the Democratic nomination and Bloomberg does not run, I will not vote, because I cannot in good concience vote for any of the Republicans or Hillary.
June 21, 2007 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't value mindless consistency. So I'll probably change my mind a few times between now and 11/08.
However, cheap positions on the war taken now by candidates who supported the war when it mattered will not impress me.
3500 are dead because only 23 Senators had the balls to say "no" to this war. And every single Dem who voted for it voted AGAINST the national interest in favor of their PERSONAL INTEREST.
And that is unforgivable and will remain so forever regardless of who I vote for in '08. Lucky for all of them, there is no accountability in American political life.
June 21, 2007 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
You have excluded the middle from your calculations.
June 21, 2007 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bloomberg was for the war in Iraq. If someone asks him his views now, and how he'd get us out, then I'd be willing to listen to him. Otherwise, he's just another RWM (rich white male).
June 21, 2007 12:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why thank you. But I must tell you that I am too infatuated with myself to allow any rivals.
June 21, 2007 12:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Haber, ya see, if he's a great mayor -- as you concede he is -- that means he could be a great President. But the Democrats, with the exception of Obama, are decidely not great senators because they supported a war that has resulted in the worst foreign policy disaster in our history."
Seems like by the logic of your second sentence, Bloomberg's support of Bush in 2004 would then disprove the logic of your first sentence. But mostly you're going on something too mysterious for me. He's a good mayor because he set reasonable priorities for a city, such as keeping the post-Bratton policing while reversing the Giuliani racial confrontation and Giuliani's and Koch's abondoment of new housing.
That should make him an okay cabinent member in certain areas, but it seems no more logical grounds to call him a president than my gushing over the left side of the Yankee infield makes them the ideal team for president and vice-president.
Hero worship is lovely, but shouldn't it be backed by some some actual ideals, beliefs, goals, policies, parties, accomplishments -- I don't know but something -- that one is worshiping?
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
June 21, 2007 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do appreciate the posts pointing to Bloomburg's weaknesses as mayor. I'm not that down on him. While the West Side Yards and support of ballfields were mistakes, the first died happily, and I'm actually in favor of the Brooklyn development. Besides, Giuliani spent his whole time trying to back business and a stadium in Manhattan, so this seems a relief. And while the middle class keeps fleeing, he does seem to have worked more on housing that previous mayors. While the smoking ban was high handed, we'd have one now from the state anyhow, and they're spreading. And while the handling of convention protests appalled me, especially as myself one of the (not arrested) protesters, I hoped it was an abberration, especially since he doesn't seem as resentful of others as Koch and Giuliani and as his shrug attitude to the last terror threat was a great counter to Bush.
But anyhow, thanks for pointing out those limits. We're a great city because we can deal with interesting times. Anyhow, I still have no idea why he's so especially qualified to be president that one would look to him as a savior, especially with a crop of candidates better than we have had last time.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
June 21, 2007 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary is as ?disingenuous as Romney and will never get this Democrat's vote in either the primary or the General election.
June 21, 2007 12:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
But non-partisan elections ALWAYS favor wealthy and/or conservative candidates. ALWAYS. Is that really what you want? And I suppose civil liberties don't matter very much to you, do they? Or having a political conscience? What exactly other than his preference for an elitist, ego-driven politics do you like about him?
June 21, 2007 12:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
A vote for Bloomberg is a vote for war with Iran. It's that simple.
June 21, 2007 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks, Haber. You have un-closeted me. I "worship" Michael Bloomberg.
June 21, 2007 12:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm probably thinking way too far ahead at the moment, but say Bloomberg would get elected President, wouldn't Washington like, completely disintegrate and such? I mean, Presidents can get things done in their first few years becuase they have the rabid support of approximately half the House and Senate; Bloomberg would have no such 'automatic' support. As a result the Presidency might become marginalized while the leaders of both parties in Congress duke it out to become the first de facto Prime Minister of America.
I'm not at all against the thought of a non Dem/GOP influence in Washinton politics, but you can't build anything starting from the top and working your way down.
June 21, 2007 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
No problem. I wasn't sure if it was something I was supposed to reply to. MJ can address it if he chooses to or then again maybe not, but that's up to him.
June 21, 2007 1:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bloomberg is not a liberal. Bloomberg is billionaire who believes in the rights of billionaires. He is every bit as egotistical and dogmatic as Rudy, he is just better behaved.
June 21, 2007 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the middle will be mainly split between Bloomberg and the Democratic Party's nominee...just enough to throw the election to the R's candidate.
June 21, 2007 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
M.J. please...
No, NY is not harder to govern than the country, because regardless of how large and how diverse NYC is, it is not unlike other major cities in the country. The countervailing forces and interests are NOT as complicated and vicious in cities. He has no landmine filled corridors of opposition to duck and dodge through that is in any comparable to the beltway alleys. City council and community pressure groups can't hold a candle to what he'd face in DC (I know, because I worked in the Chicago mayor's office under Harold Washington. The opposition was organized, mean as snakes and very powerful, but we really didn't have that hard a time outmanouvering them.)
Yes, Bloomberg is a capable big city mayor that governs as a center to center left (for America) dem, but that's all he is.
June 21, 2007 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Come on MJ, I am disappointed in you. This is a very important election. Disestablishing the republican hegemony is a major public goal. The republicans have been undermining our civil society in some substantial ways over the last 13 years and particularly since the year 2001.
Bloomberg has demonstrated that he is an opportunist who will wear whichever jersey he needs to get to the next goal post. That is fine for him, makes him a fine Hilary twin. But it does not give me much confidence that he is in this for anything but the power.
He may be NYC's benevolent and nice dictator, but make no mistake, he is a dictator. In that respect, he is no better than Bush. Changing jerseys doesn't change the facts.
The democrats need to focus on restoring constitutional democracy along with pursuing policy objectives.
I am truly disappointed that so many people I have come to respect over the years would sell out in a minute for a dictator with integrity.
June 21, 2007 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I get rated "0" for asking if a comment was directed at me? Alllllrighty then smacfarl...whatever.
June 21, 2007 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's pretty obvious that Bloomberg running hurts the GOP.
I don't see it's obvious at all.
I think the GOPs are going with Romney, and would much rather vote Romney than Mike. So, in that scenerio, Mike will peel away more Dems.Mike's a Dem, and GOPs aren't going to vote Dem.
(No one is really an Independent. People just like to say they are...)
"Thank God George Bush is our president." -Rudy Giuliani
June 21, 2007 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
How do non partisan elections favor the wealthy? This is an argument that I have not heard.
Non partisan elections that allow a candidate to win with a plurality favor the guy with the best name recognition heavily. We have this system for mayoral elections in Memphis and it is horible. But a system that was either a non-partisan election that required a majority or even better non-partisan porimary where the top two votegetters regardless of party stood in the general seems to be a great system to me.
June 21, 2007 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I must be missing something. How is it that you find Bloomberg any less "piss poor" on the issue of the war than the Democratic candidates you mentioned? And what on earth makes you think he would pledge to pull the US out in 2009 when he backed Lieberman's run against Lamont in Connecticut, and has been quite critical of Democrats who proposed pulling the troops out?
June 21, 2007 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it depends strongly on who the actual candidates are. Trying to predict which side he will pull votes from when we do not even now who is running is futile.
The only thing I can know for sure is that if Hillary is the nominee he would get my vote otherwise I am voting for the democrat.
June 21, 2007 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good points...
I am basing everything on the assumption that the R's will nominate someone from the far right seeing their primary process is dominated by voters of that ilk. But until we know who the candidates actually are it is like trying to read tea leaves.
And I am on record saying I would have serious issues in casting a vote for HRC too. Her support for the war and her very hawkish foreign policy positions are what bothers me the most about her. I am not sure what I'd do in that case...an undervote maybe. Because as long as I have been voting I have NEVER voted for an R for POTUS and I am not about to start now.
June 21, 2007 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
MJ,
I just read here that Bloomberg supported the Iraq war, that he supported Lieberman, and earlier I posted that he supported Bush in '04.
Strike three!!!
Bye, bye Bloomie!.
June 21, 2007 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Isn't "non-partisan" primary the system they have in Louisiana? And what a well-governed state that is!
Some recommended reading, since you say you have never heard this argument against "non-partisan" elections before:
http://www.thenation.com/blogs/edcut?pid=1039
http://www.comptroller.nyc.gov/press/testimonies/03-05-28-charter-revision.shtm
http://www.gothamgazette.com/article/feature-commentary/20030526/202/423
June 21, 2007 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, considering the power that the Bushies have managed to consolidate in the presidency at the expense of both the Congress and the Courts over the last 6+ years, it might not be such a bad thing to have the presidency taken down a few pegs. Might make it a little less easy to steamroll the country into a disastrous war next time around. Might make it a little less easy to do end-runs around the Constitution and the Geneva Conventions. Might make it a little less easy to gut the non-partisan civil service and substitute barely competent political lackies.
June 21, 2007 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
smacfarl appears to be a ratings troll.
June 21, 2007 2:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wicked smart is my criteria too. Quick on his feet and hardwired for justice. That's John Edwards.
He wants to change the whole conversation about how we look at the world. He wants us to "be patriotic about something other than war." Don't tell anybody, but he's no longer a hawk.
"A thing moderately good is not so good as it ought to be. Moderation intemper is always a virtue, but moderation in principle is always a vice." Tom Paine
June 21, 2007 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for the links. I will check them out.
June 21, 2007 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's okay. I'm too self-loathing to make a move.
--Andrew Hiller
June 21, 2007 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
What are those messages? Obama wants to make politics nicer. He wants to "turn the page". Laudable, but how does one do that? We need more urgency than this. That's why I'm going with Edwards. He's got both the clarity and the conviction. Poverty keeps him "up at night". Both here and around the world. He's got clear policy ideas to get this country back on track and get us out of Iraq. This is what he just said at Cooper Union:
We need to start remembering our moral obligations to each other and our responsibilites.
"A thing moderately good is not so good as it ought to be. Moderation intemper is always a virtue, but moderation in principle is always a vice." Tom Paine
June 21, 2007 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
You don't agree with the idea that Congress should have sent the bill with timelines back again and again and let the enfant terrible veto it again and again? That's not a cheap position.
"A thing moderately good is not so good as it ought to be. Moderation intemper is always a virtue, but moderation in principle is always a vice." Tom Paine
June 21, 2007 3:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Guess you're one of the commenters doesn't think this poll makes sense.
Here are the ways Bloomberg's entry would impact each state, according to the polls:
Alabama: Would flip from red to blue in the case of Romney vs. Hillary vs. Bloomberg. With Romney vs. Obama vs. Bloomberg, the state would tie at 36%-36%, with 18% for Bloomberg.
California: If it's Rudy vs. Obama, this state could potentially flip from blue to red: Rudy 42%, Obama 39%, Bloomberg 11%.
Iowa: Flips from red to blue no matter who the GOP and Dem nominees are.
Kansas: Would flip from red to blue if Romney is the GOP candidate — Bloomberg apparently eats into the Republican column the most with Romney.
Kentucky: Would flip from red to blue under Romney.
Massachusetts: Would flip from blue to red with Rudy vs. Obama vs. Bloomberg.
Minnesota: Stays blue by a very strong margin, no matter what.
Missouri: Flips from red to blue for all match-ups.
New Mexico: Flips from red to blue in all caes — except Giuliani vs. Obama vs. Bloomberg.
New York: Flips from blue to red if it's Rudy vs. Obama vs. Bloomberg.
Ohio: Flips from red to blue for all match-ups except Rudy vs. Obama vs. Bloomberg — then it is tied.
Oregon: Dems leads by a good margin no matter what.
Texas: Flips from red to blue if Romney is GOP nominee.
Virginia: Flips from rid to blue if Romney is GOP nominee.
Washington: Stays blue in all cases.
Wisconsin: Stays blue in all match-ups.
June 21, 2007 3:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed. I can't vote for HRC. Luckily, I'm in Utah, so it isn't like it would matter if I cast an independent vote. After all, it's the only state where Bill lost to Perot twice.
While I've given money and time to Obama, and probably would do the same for Edwards, Richardson, or Gore, I cannot cast a vote for HRC. If Bloomberg isn't on the ticket, I'll write someone in before I vote for her.
June 21, 2007 4:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think I accidentally gave it a low rating too. Sorry about that.
But, seriously, just get over it and vote for HRC in the general if she gets there.
June 21, 2007 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you. I probably think Bloomberg was a better mayor than you seem to, but I still don't get the fascination.
How is he -- a soulless technocrat who has changed parties twice -- better than Hillary Clinton -- a soulless technocrat who's at least stayed in the Democratic party? I just don't get it.
Can someone name me one issue where they prefer Mayor Turtle to the Democratic field? Just one?
And don't say Iraq: the guy supported Lieberman. End of story.
June 21, 2007 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm actually in favor of the Brooklyn development.
Why? You think creating the highest density area in the United States is a good idea? Or is it the fact that taxpayers are getting bilked out of half a billion in bonds?
The thing's a disaster.
June 21, 2007 4:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
So aggregately in California/NY/TX, Bloomy helps the Neanderthals.
June 21, 2007 5:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Um in what fashion?
When I comment I go and rate the group who commented before me.
June 21, 2007 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Minnesota: Stays blue by a very strong margin, no matter what."
So I'm still trying to figure out why our newly elected Dem senator with 6 safe years ahead of her and her state true blue for 08 still couldn't muster up the guts to vote against the Iraq bill.
How about finding me an even bluer candidate? Who needs a Bloomberg? I want a Wellstone.
June 21, 2007 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your response was at best unproductive, and is typical of the beginning of back and forth flame wars. Since your initial contribution to the sub thread was marginal and poorly thought out, I just pre-emptively trolled you.
On Reddit when you down vote some one very often the flame wars can become invisible, thus clarifying the rest of the thread. Obviously it doesn't seem to work that way here.
Nothing personal.
My statements relating to the actual argument are below.
June 21, 2007 6:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hear, hear! Well said.
The people of New York City tend to be myopic and provincial in their views. They confuse biggest with best. They think everyone would live there if they could. As far as they're concerned, New York is not just the center of the world, but the center of the galaxy.
We do not need Democratic, Republican, and independent candidates all hailing from one city. There IS a whole country out there. In a representative democracy, the ENTIRE country needs representation, not just one city.
June 21, 2007 6:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Common. Facts please, not snipe.
Intrade/tradesports has Hillary at 48.5% Most polls have way ahead of other dems.
Her "negatives" if they exist are a very fringe effect, when directly measured.
June 21, 2007 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
MJ Rosenberg,
Thank you so much for your reply!
My heart like yours grieves over the problems in the Middle East and I have been opposed to the war since fall of 2002, when the back pages of the Washington Post started to give us an inkling of what was going on in the sausage factory.
So I have to agree with you and say that extedning our disasterous current course to Iran and others is obviously a terrible thing. However I am not sure what stopping the war actually looks like.
I am for sure against accelerating things. On the other hand we pair down the troops to base level support, say 50,000, Iraq doesn't instantly become an olive garden. But at least we change our posture. And a new and qualified foreign service corps and a new administration with sane and qualified people running it could; coupled with this new international posture, calm things down over time.
What does your solution to this look like? What does the best possible world look like? The worst one? The likely one?
I don't see the US ever giving up it's bases anywhere, any time soon, without dramatic economic changes within the domestic US, which are not even on a fan