Obama as Movement Builder?
I think there's a lot to Jerome Armstrong's analysis about the potential limits to Obama's movement building, but what strikes me about Obama -- and I am keenly undecided still between him and Edwards -- is that Obama is working to engage a lot of folks in movement building who are not the "low hanging" fruit of available activists, including the netroots. That seems to be part of his church outreach but other outreach as well.
I read his biography a few weeks ago, particularly his chapter on his experience as a community organizer, and it's clear that he (a) does have a deep ear for the complexities of what motivates and doesn't motivate people to be active in politics and (b) tends to listen first and act later. Whether he translates that into a campaign that roars forward later is an open question, but I wouldn't underestimate him.
A couple of data points:
- Last fall, even before he announced, I was at the Gamaliel convention, a meeting of nearly a thousand church-based community organizers, where the group of those involved in promoting equity in transit funds declared that Obama had been the key leader on the issue. It's not the issue like Iraq that motivates the Netroots, but it is one that motivates many community activists across the country and many regular voters.
Similarly, last Spring Obama's Senate office hosted a meeting of about seventy national leaders on issues like family leave and paid sick days. He's spoken out a bit on those issues and my wife (who is expecting in a couple of months) routinely reads and posts at Mothering.com, a 100,000 plus board of moms and moms to be who are very engaged in such family issues. She tells me that Obama is the clear leader in support there with fierce partisans.
As I said, I'm probably farther from seeing the actual structure of the Obama campaign than Jerome, so his analysis could well be right. But then again, I think there's a real possibility that Obama may be doing the deepest form of movement building, tapping into previously ignored issues and constituencies that may come roaring into prominence and power with his campaign. And that kind of movement building can create significantly expanded political majorities for such a candidate if he succeeds.














I'm not sure anyone can much change the "status quo partisan division." Even if a candidate like Obama can cull additional interest groups into his coalition, the folks who most foment the partisan divide are not on the table. In fact, poaching from their territory may increase the partisan sniping and incent them to add more pressure to the politicians in their corner.
So I'm not sure the game board gets upended, so much as a few interest groups may park in the Obama zone long enough to see if he delivers. And with the right on a scalp hunt, anything short of super majority of dems in the congress will tie his hands, and the parkers will move on with disappointment. Grover Norquist and Bay Buchanan will welcome them back with open arms and a gentle "I told you so..."
That said, I am thrilled with the quality of the candidates running for the Democratic nomination. Any one of the top three would be a blessing to our nation. And if Obama doesn't get the nod this time, I feel pretty sure he'll end up in the Oval Office at some point down the line.
Before you all start sniping at that last paragraph, just look at previous primary choices, or look across the aisle at the motely crew of Republicans running for their nomination. It gives me some hope in this dread dark time.
But I'm not buying that one candidate out of the pack can affect the partisan bickering, no matter who s/he aligns with.
/c
In the blogosphere every one is an expert, so no one is an expert.
June 14, 2007 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nathan writes: "Part of my decision on whether I'm supporting Obama is deciding whether he is in fact accomplishing that later goal, since what's clear to me is that Clinton can probably pull off a win next year, she won't change the status quo partisan division much. Obama, on the other hand, has the potential to upend the gameboard and pull some new constituencies into the progressive column. Again, whether he will do so or can do so is still up in the air, but I think it's a real possibility."
Brilliant! Because that is the question. Any of the frontrunners (and Biden, Richardson and Dodd) would be solid Democratic Presidents. But only Obama offers the possibility of a radical break with same-old same-old politics. The last Democratic President to "upend the gameboard" was FDR. Could Obama do it? I don't know for sure. But I do know that he is the only one of the candidates who aspires to. And that is worth plenty. Surely without even the aspiration, it won't happen. The gameboard needs upending and the game, the board, and the table on which they are set all need to be tossed in the trash.
June 14, 2007 10:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
First of all, a "consensus building" Democratic President will, if successful, simply cement the Radical Right's unquestionable success in their campaign to drag the nation as far in their direction as possible. If a Democratic Administration in _2009_ can't start making some gains back in the reality-based direction no subsequent Administration will be able to do so either; we will be right back to the Gilded Age with no Teddy Roosevelt in sight.
Second, our political system was specifically designed to be partisan, combative, and to swing back and forth by some people with a very good understanding of human nature. Maybe we should think about that a bit.
Finally, the nicety-nice stuff will be great until a "punishing father" figure (hmmm - Guiliani?) starts attacking and punishing the Democratic candidate. All the consensus-building in the world won't help when you have been successfully painted as weak and treasonous by the other side.
sPh
June 14, 2007 10:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Look, Jerome just doesn't like Obama. None of the MyDD guys like him. Because he doesn't pander exclusively to the netroots. Which is good on Obama, the Netroots should already know to have his back unless he himself does something actually wrong. Which excludes the silly fake 'scandals' of his campaign (myspace, have Kos say he 'sold out to Bush - all such childish BS its surprising they got anywhere at all...) I mean real, actual missteps. The race is always the person with most name recognition's to lose, whatever race it is. Standing around and whining about how Obama isn't doing exactly what I want or what anyone else wants is just a bunch of useless blather. Who cares whether Obama's campaign "looks like" a "movement" to this guy or not? I'd say when you've gotten that many people to donate to your cause, there is a movement of some kind, the numbers just speak for themselves on that one. Arguing against it because of your own personal proclivities is just childish.
June 14, 2007 11:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think Obama is trying to capitalize on the fact that the Repubs win not just by appealing to their base but doing their best to persuade as many others as possible that there's no point to voting. (And disenfranchising as many as they can of the rest.)
Obama is trying to win by expanding the number of "likely voters", as well as trying to get more people excited enough to participate in the process in other ways. (Especially if it means helping his campaign, of course.)
He's really drawing on the experiences of Howard Dean, Ned Lamont, and Deval Patrick.
June 14, 2007 11:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
i,am a 56 year old male from south jersey,surrouded by republicans,thy say their not scared of Hillary,but pretty well petrified of Barack ,beleiving he can truly energize all pogresives across the country.And unify the people like FDR!!!!!!!
June 14, 2007 11:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Must we all be stuck on "meta" process issues when it comes to evaluating our candidates?
Among the things that seriously puts me off about Obama is that he talks a big game about a new kind of politics without producing anything in terms of policy that would suggest that he's going to make something happen that others wouldn't.
He "listens" to people. BFD. That may mean something if you're running against an arrogant dismissive dick like Bush, but what it buys in a Democratic candidate isn't in any way obvious. Does "listening" mean that he just takes the median position of all those he's listened to, including even the many wingnuts in America? Does he fight for the positions he gets to after this "listening"? Are those positions even worth fighting for? Who the hell knows, unless we have a clear idea of what he IS willing to push for -- something Obama never satisfactorily fleshes out.
And another point about "listening". Well, how different is "listening" from simply following the polls? Of course, it sounds infinitely more noble to talk about "listening" than to talk about responding to polls, but, concretely and practically, how would Obama make out the difference? None of us really has a clue.
Talking about "changing the tone of politics" of today of course can be made to sound as if the candidate is going to do something bold and original and important, but it's also possible that he will produce the lamest of all lame policies. Why accept blather from a candidate that won't make it clear which camp he falls into?
Put up or shut up, Mr Obama.
And the same goes for his supporters.
June 14, 2007 11:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
For the last 12 years I've made a full-time living as a mediator. I've been given better than a front row seat to around a thousand conflicts (complex negotiations) frequently involving extremely combative people. I also have been an elected official.
From my perspective, there is nothing weak about smart negotiating.
"Consensus building" is about building coalitions for action, which is hugely important when it comes to achieving legislative majorities. Consensus building activity need not involve ANY compromise. Constructive interaction embodied in consensus building is like air to combustion. It creates opportunity space for constructive creativity, and it helps immunize against destructive activity.
Authoritarian leadership styles thrive only in darkness and oppression.
In our political system requiring legislative majorities, partisan dominance arrives as the fruit of coalition building. It's human nature.
Giuliani gravitates to a Bush-style caricature of "being strong." "Stupid strong," is what it looks like to me. In contrast from my perspective, so far Obama is proving an intelligent balance of portraying himself as strong and sober, and ready with quick, effective response to challenges of the moment.
I agree with Nathan Newman's observations, here; more than Jerome's. From my perspective, Obama's movement building is smart, and has great potential.
--
Are Humans Smarter Than Yeast? (video clip: 8.5 min)
June 14, 2007 11:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJR: "But only Obama offers the possibility of a radical break with same-old same-old politics." I'm an admirer enough of his and, like Nathan, undecided on him or Edwards. But I haven't a clue where this comes from. FDR didn't represent a break with the past because he was a cool guy. He broke with the past because he initiated a complete reshaping of the role of government in American economics. Obama's policy proposals thus far are modest at best. Sounds like MJR is living in what I shall politely call image world.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
June 14, 2007 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
.> From my perspective, there is nothing
> weak about smart negotiating.
The best negotiating tactic in the world is to put your opponent in a situation where simply by sitting down at the negotiating table he concedes 100% of your goals. The Radical Right is very, very good at pushing the Democrats into this position (with help from the traditional media).
You are assuming that the Radical Right is willing to engage in a good-faith Pareto-maximizing win-win process. They are not; they are more than willing to settle for only 51% of their inititally-stated goals if doing so results in the Democrats getting zero of theirs - they can always take the other 49% later. As the W Bush Administration has shown quite clearly.
sPh
Actually, the best negotiating /strategy/ is to get your opponent settled in to the negotiating table, surround the venue with your troops, and then massacre your opponent's entire force. See Grover "All Democrats should be castrated and drowned in a bathtub" Norquist for details.
June 14, 2007 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Although FDR's proposed policies in the 1932 election were very modest as well. His activist government role came not out of visionary proposals but a response to the demands of the escalating economic crisis and mass mobilization of the population.
So the question in any comparison with FDR is not comparing party platforms-- since FDR's was quite modest in 1932 -- but whether we think the candidate will response to crises and opportunities with the vision to move the country.
June 14, 2007 12:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Modest? What an incredible understatement.
FDR promised to save money when people were hurting bad. He advised them not to worry. Of course he didn't need to worry about keeping the wolf from the door himself.
I agree, however, that one needs to look at the candidate rather than just his proposals as best exemplified by FDR.
Best, Terry
June 14, 2007 12:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know. I was just over at dailykos And one of the blogs was talking about a "Walk for Change" he's organizing.
For Change?
Is that the best he can do?
Not for peace, not for keeping out of Iran, not for better housing, not for daycare, for Change?
Does he think we're idiots? Oooh, change. Sounds good.
Okay, don't answer that.
June 14, 2007 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
About the best anyone can do.
Obama has mobilized an army of volunteers to work the streets. He is not relying on MSM. Good on him and good on the volunteers.
Now perhaps you mean that Obama is not screming foul about Iraq?
I agree with that if that's what you mean. Possible all the volunteer work will go for naught if Obama does not take a stand that all can understand instead of just slinging mud at Edwards.
Best, Terry
June 14, 2007 12:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
There may or may be "a lot to" Jerome's conclusions, but there was next to nothing to his "analysis". No definition of terms, no criteria, no data, no evidence at all unless you think that use of the word "movement" in e-mails is evidence that a campaign is not a movement campaign.
I'm agnostic about his conclusions, but Jerome's post revealed far more about Jerome's state of mind and attitude than it did about the state of Obama's campaign.
June 14, 2007 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
People keep saying that Obama's not the usual politician but I just don't see it.
He speaks well about it but I can't get past the whiff of feel-good Oprahism. I know some people think it's really shallow of me to say this but the guy's kinda cheesy.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 14, 2007 12:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
CatD,
This captures my sentiment about Obama perfectly. Let's "change" things. Change is good! So much of his campaign seems like it could be in a self-improvement book.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 14, 2007 12:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like how it's incumbent on Obama to somehow convince skeptics in the netroots that he's not the same old politician.
If you don't know about Obama it's because you are too lazy to do your homework. If you did your homework and still don't like him then it's a free country and more power too you.
BUT if you are sitting back and saying 'I need to see more, I need to see more' and HAVEN'T done any due diligence then you are picking based on superficial criteria (as is any voter's right) and no amount Obama policies or background is going to convince you. You are a 'gut' voter just offering up your version of 'gut' as superior to other people's 'gut'. Want more Obama?
Here is a record of bills sponsored or co-sponsored by Obama during his time as State Senator in the IL General Assembly. Democrats took control of the IL Senate in Jan '03 and Obama went from serving in the minority to the serving in the majority and chairing the Health and Human Services Committee.
IL State Sen. bio for Barack Obama http://www.ilga.gov/senate/Senator.asp?MemberID=747&GA=93
90th IL General Assembly - bills sponsored http://www.ilga.gov/legislation/legisnet90/sponsor/OBAMA.html
91st IL General Assembly - bills sponsored http://www.ilga.gov/legislation/legisnet91/sponsor/OBAMA.html
92nd IL General Assembly - bills sponsored http://www.ilga.gov/legislation/legisnet92/sponsor/OBAMA.html
93rd IL General Assembly - bills sponsored http://www.ilga.gov/senate/SenatorBills.asp?MemberID=747&GA=93
Obama resigned from the IL State Senate two days after he won election to the US Senate on 11/2/04.
Need more? Vote for somebody else. But it's silly to say Obama hasn't shown enough. He's got a long, open record for any citizen interested enough to look. If we're too lazy to look as citizens then we have a lot bigger problems then whether Obama can build a movement.
June 14, 2007 1:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
This talk about the radical right is a straw man argument. Obama is not proposing negotiating with the radical right - no one could do that. But, the radical right is a minority in the country and in Congress. The people Obama wants to work with are the people he is working with on various issues in the senate. They are much more moderate Republicans.
No matter who the Democratic President is, the Republicans will immediately begin campaigning against him/her. They will do whatever they can to make him/her unsuccessful, and arouse opposition to him/her. That is just the way the game is played.
The problems we face in our country are extreme, so for each problem we need to make significant progress quickly towards a good solution. You can't expect to jump from where we are today to an utterly different nation next year. The best we can do is get well along the road quickly.
For example, the health care issue will not be solved by a bitter, hate filled fight to get a full fledged single payer system before the end of 2009. That road goes nowhere. What we can do is reform what we have in the significant ways needed to be sure everyone has and can afford health insurance that covers them and will cover them even if they lose their jobs or find they can no longer pay for it. That is the road Obama is on now. Like the rest of us, he knows that single payer health care is the ultimate goal, but he is sure that there isn't the necessary national consensus in favor of that right now.
It is likely that there are enough Republicans in Congress who would, if reluctantly, go along with the more gradual changes Obama is pushing for. That is where consensus building comes in.
Hoppy in Sacramento
June 14, 2007 1:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
See him in person, Destor. I've seen him hold a room of seasoned politicos from the left side of the spectrum absolutley spellbound. I'll see him in person again next week at Take Back America. If there's any cheese around, I'll tell you about it, cross my heart. :-)
aMike
June 14, 2007 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps his focus on building a more diverse foundation will find it's logic when he does 'scream foul' about Iraq. It seems anybody that screams, bleeds, or gets beheaded hasn't mattered one gd bit yet.
June 14, 2007 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
People like to talk about this grand plan of Obama, but it seems to me that he is just winging it based on his personality and the fact that he projects himself as "new" and against "cynicism" and the special interests in Washington.
He is just two years removed from being a state senator. He has one contested primary election under his belt. He has not, according to my knowledge, ever had a real crisis or adversity which required or allowed him to show his steel.
Yet he is compared to JFK, FDR, Lincoln!
Are we so lacking in our own confidence that we must impute greatness to this relatively unproven man? I think that, by itself, shows what a sorry state we are in.
I wish Obama was more partisan. He need not carry a flamethower. However, I get a sense his approach will fail. The mediator above spoke to the power of consensus, but a basic rule of mediation is that both sides are committed to the process.
Obama is about personality at this stage. Until Obama can build a movement around issues besides the amorphous concept of change itself, I don't believe that he will have the backing of people who must guess what change means, or the attention of Republicans that are committed to their causes and unlikely to reach consensus just because he believes in it as a way to accomplish things.
June 14, 2007 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, that's a good point. I do need to see one of his speeches in person to see if he can overcome my cynicism.
I'll give it a shot.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 14, 2007 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm never sure what people mean when they say the "usual" politician, because politicians employ such a wide variety of strategies to sell themselves. I'd say what I like about Obama, whom I've all but decided to throw my support (such as it is) behind, is that a) he's GOOD at being a politician, and b) he supports the right positions.
I wonder if what Jerome is looking for (and MyDD is down at the moment, so I can't read his piece) is a Howard Dean-type movement builder. Dean's motivation of the activist set, which I think encapsulates a lot of the "netroots," was a thing to behold, but what looked like a tidal wave going into Iowa didn't have nearly the power we thought it did.
One of the things that I think draws me most to Obama is his pedigree in Saul Alinsky's Industrial Areas Foundation. IAF has started up an organization in Durham recently called Durham CAN, and if you're not watching closely, it frequently looks like they're doing nothing at all, when in reality, they're marshalling some pretty impressive levels of support behind the scenes. When they do decide to move on an issue, it's not so much an uprising of activists as the political ground shaking under your feet. To me, that looks like what Obama is doing now, and I think it's exactly what the Democratic party needs.
June 14, 2007 2:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good comment over at Brad DeLong's site by John Emerson.
But I would go a little farther than that: what is holding these moderate Republicans back right now, in the post-November 2006 environment? Are they working to replace Alberto Gonzales? Support the rule of law in the Irving Libby case? Put strong boundaries around George W Bush and Dick Cheney? Repudiate the "unitary executive" theory (well, as per the linked comment they may be working on that one so Hillary can't use it)? I see no evidence that these moderate Republicans are taking any sort of moderating action today. Why will they do more in 2009?
sPh
June 14, 2007 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Although FDR's proposed policies in the 1932 election were very modest as well." But Nathan, that's either irrelevant, illogical, or an example fo the projecting onto image I'm talking about. Yes, FDR delivered more than he promised. (And yes, the Depression either enabled him to promise and deliver more, or it radicalized him, or both.) But it doesn't by itself make a case for a candidate who doesn't seem to offer much. Sure, lots of underachievers blossom, but it isn't evidence in support of accepting any particular C student into the college of your choice.
As I say, I'm fond of Obama, too, but there's no excuse for these fantasies of how he'll change everything. Unless, that is, you can present evidence of it. Otherwise, why can't I come back to you and tell you that Giuliani and McCain will bring in the communist revolution. Hey, FDR didn't promise the New Deal either.
As for who will handle an unexpected crisis on the scale of the Depression, that's quite a different issue that hadn't been raised before. I'm focused myself on some goals we have for now, in our present crisis. No doubt a lot of you know what will hit the fan, thanks to Bush, when Bush leaves office. I'm not sure that's an opportunity for leadership or, as I've often said, a recipe for damning the Democrats a la Carter whoever assumes office. But again, is it relevant to your hopes and mine?
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
June 14, 2007 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Everything you say is true--nothing of it has anything to do with a presidential campaign.
These national campaigns are ALL about image, branding, and marketing. ALL. You aren't very influenced by image and branding because you're intelligent, engaged, and analytical. You're in a tiny minority there. The average voter has an IQ of 100 and is bored, uninterested, and ignorant, qualities that lower his political IQ to about 70.
The Repubs have this figured out and so cook their campaigns down to a few words and images: Willie Horton; "reformer with results"; 9/11, 9/11, 9/11.
The Dems are failures because they have a naive faith that their popular stands on the issues will translate to popularity at the polls. I wonder how many times they have to be shown that this is hopeless before they figure it out. Their incompetence at these national campaigns has been truly mind-boggling.
Obama is above all creating something new, and people are definitely ready for something new. His up side is potentially huge. But if he ignores the Republican smear machine (and I don't think he will make that Dukakis-Gore-Kerry mistake), he'll get slaughtered at the polls.
June 14, 2007 3:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think partisan bickering is Obama's problem so much as various special interests on the left and right, because he's a pragmatist.
Obama's won't be loved by special interests accustomed to the pandering candidates they feel they've already bought. Not that anyone in labor, or black civil rights, or other left issues should be against him if they have a realistic set of goals. But so often they don't. Take Al Sharpton's beef with Obama for example. There are going to be plenty of wingers on both sides like Al Sharpton, wanting to sabotage him but fearing for them self if they do.
On the other side, take simplistic Republican notions of capitalism, markets, deregulation, environmentalists as hippies, etc. They fought CAFE standards along with any and all regulation for decades, and always backed the most ideological candidate, like Reagan or GWBush, who they could count on without a second (or first) thought on the matter. Look at where they are now. They "won" on deregulation, CAFE and crash safety standards have been stagnant, so they could make pickups and SUV for decades often at huge profits. Now they're totally FUBAR'ed for it. Complete incompetence and lack of foresight. But go back even just to 2000, and all these special interest ideologies were passionately against Gore for his environmentalism among other things. Fools.
June 14, 2007 3:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good point amd thank you for the useful links. It's really up to the individual to get educated about these candidates. No offense, but there's a fair amount of CW and campaign TP going on about this blog; which is a shame since it's one of the better collections of bloggers. All of the candidates are well documented and we're lucky to have such choices this time around--imagine if you were a Republican.
Obama is an impressive orator and clearly is looking to mix up the election formula. I think it's admirable, but risky. If the calculation is wrong then he's wide open to the candidate(s) who employ the current state of the art.
Again, thanks for the links. I have no doubt that the whole field could do the job and do it well. What we ought to discuss more is the policy nuances and differences. Less whitewater, haircuts and young Barrack.
/c
In the blogosphere every one is an expert, so no one is an expert.
June 14, 2007 3:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, if people feel that they don't know enough about Obama then that is Obama's responsibility. I'm not asking him to vote for me.
Though I do agree that it'd be nice if people took a greater interest in matters like these.
Can't say I think that his experiences in a sate legislature are all that relevant to the presidency, though.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 14, 2007 4:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
We're so easy. :-)
I used to be incapable of understanding how JFK's empty slogans from Ted Sorenson held audiences spellbound.
I haven't been in a room with Obama or heard any more than a few words on the tube but I wasn't overly impressed with what little I have heard.
Adlai Stevenson impressed me. Eugene McCarthy did in a very different way. But both men had something to say.
For sure Obama must be some kind of spellbinder from what many besides yourself say.
I am not so sure that is good.
Best, Terry
June 14, 2007 4:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. When more than 80% of Americans believe we are going in the wrong direction, they aren't looking for consensus, they're looking for change and they're looking for someone strong enough to be a change agent, i.e., leader.
I don't trust Hillary and I figure she'd be 100% devoted to her reelection from day 1 should she win in 2008 but she has demonstrated in the debates that she can generate the kind of "Presidential" aura/arrogance that neither Obama or Edwards have so far demonstrated. She might be more effective than I would have expected against a too fuzzy wuzzy Thompson or a hyper Guiliani.
Now, if she only really wanted to change the system....
June 14, 2007 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Quiz Time!
What candidate for President
(answer below)
What person in his right mind would give this candidate a ghost's chance of election to the Office of President two years later? Who would have expected anything of him but political hackery, given that all the legislation he introduced in the State Legislature dealt with matters of "high policy and idealism"...like moving a road to accommodate local farmers and subdividing townships and putting forward land deals and other schemes for "public improvement"? <sarcasm></sarcasm>
aMike
I suspect you all know this quite accurately describes Abraham Lincoln. So if one were to compare Obama to Lincoln at the same stage of their political careers, one wouldn't be all that far off. Do we know he'll be a good president? Did anyone know Lincoln would be, or FDR?
Note that I'm not saying Obama is Lincoln II. I am saying that very few of our Presidents have revealed their greatness before entering the office. Quite a few have utterly disappointed us by not being as great as their previous experiences would have led us to expect.
June 14, 2007 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your experience is obviously anecdotal, but I do think there's something to it. I think Obama scared the hell out of the Republicans when he spoke at the DNC, and they haven't gotten over that.
The problem is, where's that Obama been?
These debates don't seem to be the best forum for his style, although I expected him to be better at it, as he seems to be a sharp thinker.
"Thank God George Bush is our president." -Rudy Giuliani
June 14, 2007 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
A 5 for a great point, and for the research.
But I tend to agree with destor, that if people feel they don't "know" Obama, then he's doing something wrong.
It's not like he doesn't have access to the people.
Perhaps he should blog here?
"Thank God George Bush is our president." -Rudy Giuliani
June 14, 2007 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am saying that very few of our Presidents have revealed their greatness before entering the office.
Ah, but times have changed.
Lincoln had the "luxury" of 4 hour debates. Today, what? "A show of hands, please..."
I think the 24/7 news cycle hyper-mediated political environment today actually *requires* someone to reveal some of their "greatness" before entering office. By that, I mean, we need to have more of a sense of the person, want to have a beer with him (or her), maybe, before we'll vote for him or her.
(Not suggesting this is a good thing, by the way...)
"Thank God George Bush is our president." -Rudy Giuliani
June 14, 2007 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't you mean vacuousness?
Andrew Harding would be in his element today. Lincoln? Are you kidding?
It has long been obvious that the better scripted candidate wins the debate. Maybe a parrot would be the ultimate candidate.
Best, Terry
June 14, 2007 6:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
So far as I know, were people comparing Lincoln to Washington or Jefferson before he was elected, or FDR to Lincoln, etc? Yet that is what many proclaim about Obama.
Once again, Obama has not, to my knowledge ever faced down any crisis or overcome any real adversity, to give us an idea of his mettle. You cite many instances where Lincoln grew before he became President.
That, to me, is significant.
June 14, 2007 6:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
A great record is helpful, but it's backward looking. Obama now needs to paint a clearer picture of what he's planning to do in the future. His speeches are inspirational, and I have faith that his policies will be good, but I too would like to see more meat with all the spice. I'm wavering between Edwards and Obama, but right now the substance of Edwards' message is exerting a greater pull on me. One thing I am sure of--this has to be an ABC year for the Democrats--Anybody But Clinton . . .
June 14, 2007 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know, I think Obama will make the tax cuts for the rich permanent, privatize social security, invade Iran, ban abortion, eliminate affirmative action, insist on faith-based governemnt, etc., etc. Sure, he hasn't said this, but FDR didn't announce the New Deal either.
Ok, I don't think that. But can we get beyond projections of our own desires? If you think it helps Obama, think of all the people you've just sanctioned who project their hatred onto Clinton regardless of her record or statements. And I say that preferring, vastly and unequivocably, Obama (or Edwards) to Clinton.
For goodness sake. I though the end of Bush might mean returning t othe reaality based community. Guess not.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
June 14, 2007 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a mediator you must understand the first principles of non-coercive mediation are good faith and common ground.
As SPhealy points out, the present generation of Republican leaders have no good faith or common ground with the public, representing only their special interests which are mostly Wall Street, and pandering to some religious "wackos" as Ralph Reed calls his own base in email to Jack Abramoff seeking a bribe.
I agree with you Obama is good, but he's good for finding common ground across the PUBLIC spectrum (as are Clinton and Edwards and others to varying degrees) including mainstreet Republicans who share many common sense goals with Democrats. They are fully capable of negotiating in good faith, but haven't been represented by the Republican party for a long time, and won't be anytime soon because the lobbiests and kooks like the NeoCons still infest the party and control all the levers of power, from the corporate donors to the party leadership.
June 14, 2007 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's only June. He's got 7 months before it actually matters for real how well people know him. Right now it's all about fundraising and building an organization.
He can define himself to the public at large in the span of a couple of months. Why the rush?
June 14, 2007 7:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's the MSM saying that, some whiners on the far left who hate any candidate as soon as they have a chance at winning elections, and the rt-wingers. Which is just the same SwiftBoat and Naderite shit as usual.
As the above facts point out regarding Obama's policies, he is already at this early stage considerably different. And in fact the voter does have some responsibility to be informed, that being a principle of functioning democracy and all.
June 14, 2007 7:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Same MSM talking points, Naderite, and Swiftboat BS as usual.
As the facts point out, anyone looking into Obama can find plenty of policy information and major differences with him and the competition.
June 14, 2007 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a mediator, I was making observations about other negotiating parties.
I have seen considerable bad faith in action and the negative consequences among negotiating parties of untrustworthiness or "bad faith." I would rarely recommend to other parties in negotiation to assume other parties' "good faith."
From my perspective, there are more sociopaths in our national and global populations than people realize. Some people at root seem deeply predatory. They respond, assume, and give shape only to most blunt forms of pecking order dynamic. Our neo-cons seem inclined this way. It also is important to recognize how deceit factors into these kinds of predatory dynamic.
One irony I associate with our neo-cons, is that they have been so forthright in sharing their world views and deceits. I have lived in other parts of the world where "thick face-black heart" has been honed for millenia, and is much less transparent (and rooted in short-term thinking) than what we've seen here. Assuming some national continuity of government in the US, our neo-cons will have been the outspoken authors of their own too-slow demise.
In short, I think smart negotiators have no trouble recognizing and assuming potential for bad faith. I much prefer negotiation engagement with the Kim Il Sungs of the world (inside and outside this country), than what we've seen modeled these last six years.
As for common ground, we may not want to recognize it, preferring to engage on other levels, but we all have it (common ground), even the sociopaths among us.
Consensus-building, where groups of people achieve or come closer to alignment on issues, vision, or goals can happen as a result of dialogue, problem-solving, and even framing. To the extent alignment does happen as a result of thoughtfulness and constructive engagement -- and not mass hysteria as we experienced after 9-11 -- society on the whole more likely will benefit.
I'd say so far, Obama has been doing a reasonable job of implicitly branding himself as a kind of leader that does problem-solving, consensus-building leadership. In this regard to me, of the Democratic contenders he creates starkest contrast with the demagogic leadership methods other leaders contributed to or succumbed to under Bush.
My deeper concern regarding Obama, is whether or not he has the math/science background to understand the energy crisis and sort through scam "solutions" that will be competing for his attention. Of course, I've yet not seen evidence of better math/science thinking skills of Clinton and Edwards, either.
--
Are Humans Smarter Than Yeast? (video clip: 8.5 min)
June 14, 2007 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
In Lincoln's case, they weren't. He was compared to a lot of other things prior to his election..."That Black Ape, Lincoln," for example. His supporters wouldn't have compared him to Washington or Jefferson: he was the "railsplitter" not the planter aristocrat. Even during the war, Lincoln got more bad press than good. The Gettysburg Address was largely ignored: Lincoln wasn't even the principal speaker. Edward Everett was, and he delivered a multi-hour address.
The deification of Lincoln didn't begin until after he was martyred. Then the country realized what it lost, and it was Poets especially, like Walt Whitman in the 19th century and Carl Sandburg in the 20th who ensured him a mythic place in the American pantheon.
The 20th century isn't my specialty, but I've not heard that FDR was compared to Lincoln before he served as President. As several others have commented, he ran as a fiscal conservative against the "spendthrift" and hapless Hoover:
In 1932 I suspect Moe, Larry, or Curly could have been elected on the Democratic ticket. And, perhaps in 2008 the same situation may apply. The point I'm trying to make is that in terms of the criticisms leveled against Obama--his inexperience, his superficiality, his Oprahness...the same claims could be made against Lincoln before the Office claimed him. Obama's Memoir indicates he had plenty of "growth experiences" as a child in a multi-racial family, raised largely by his mother in a world where racism was more overt than it is today.
aMike
June 14, 2007 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
One of the interesting things about the Lincoln-Douglas debates was that they really did give a sense of the man, even from a distance of 150 years or so. They weren't all policy and theory and grandiose claims. Lincoln's greatest weapon was his humor, and he was able to use it in a self-effacing way. For example...
Actually, reading the debates would be a good exercise for all the candidates. Even if they lasted four hours, they included plenty of one-liners and belly laughs, and should be instructive on how to win over an audience of beer drinkers as well as tea sippers.
aMike
June 14, 2007 8:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
That made terribly little sense.
Geeze, shovel horse shit much?
First of all, the notion that the neocons are relatively honest, is laughable. Yes, political junkies were just aware enough of their intents and movements to be alarmed, but the general public was completly unaware, deliberately on their part.
It was deliberately kept secret through the 2000 election the extent which they had already swayed Bush's circle and would certainly play an influence during his presidency. The fact is he wanted to go to war in Iraq from day one of his presidency, and years before, on the neocons advice, and with the blessing of the Republican party leadership who were equally swayed by them and like-minded uber hawkish think tanks, and continue to be.
In fact, Kristol and other prominent neo-cons used every false pretense they could think of during the runup to the war, didn't often self identify as neocons on news and talk shows until they were outed by others, and didn't really admit their ideological support for the war without figleafs of WMD and such, until again they were outed by others and started seeing defections in their own ranks.
As far as Obama's qualifications on technical issues, he's the smartest person running and the smartest/wonkiest candidate on technical matters in a long time, even with Gore and Edwards, and Hillary close behind. I'm quite sure Republicans need to attack his intellect though.
June 14, 2007 8:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
GWBush was expected to be a terrible debater because he's an illiterate finger puppet.
But he sure managed to hit those bumper sticker slogans like "compassionate conservative" and slip in stealth messages to the fundies about "life" and such, one after the other. Oh, and he was passionately against nation building, and for fiscal conservatism too. He was the candidate people would have a beer with. (Funny nobody ever took a poll for "nice guy, but unaccomplished idiot owned by special interests, most likely to start WWIII or otherwise FUBAR the nation."
Meanwhile Gore attempted to gain some merit for the kinds of issues pols are supposed to lead on, like his experience in the WH suring a time of prosperity, technology infrastructure such as the internet, and broad base issues like global climate change. For which he got clobbered by the media and the "swiftboaters" before they had a name.
Over the last decade or so I've realized it's pretty hard for someone to communicate substantially in sound-bite debates, and not become a lying, pandering, perma-smiling robot.
I suppose Obama could take the short route, and just become a say anything, pandering, liar like McCain has become, and like Romney and Gulianni always were, and like Thompson does for a living in Hollywood and as a lobyist.
June 14, 2007 8:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mostly true, I'd say. I consider voluntary participation a basic rule for mediation to proceed. Parties in serious conflict, however, often engage in mediation feeling quite skeptical about on-going participation (not committed) and skeptical about prospects for "success."
As an aside, "mediation" as it happens in other cultures can be quite different.
Consensus-building, inviting alignments, and creating a movement, however, requires no delineated process like mediation. It's great for creating legislative majorities and forging new leadership initiatives, though.
--
Are Humans Smarter Than Yeast? (video clip: 8.5 min)
June 14, 2007 8:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
These soundbite debates are a huge problem.
Heck, as you pointed out, Bush of all people made voters think they'd like to have a beer with him.
How often do people usually want to go out drinking with a recovering alcoholic? Generally, nobody for the alcoholic's sake, if not their own.
But, the way things are now, if you have natural timing and can remember a few slogans you can "win" a debate.
To bring this back to Obama -- I have no doubt that he's a smart guy. But he's a little too in love with the vacuous "sounds good but means nothing" soundbites for my tastes. It is, after all, the kind of thing that plays great on Oprah. But I hate Oprah.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 14, 2007 8:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you inferred by forthright, "honest," I understand. I meant something like "obvious," which would have been a better word.
The character of this administration became increasingly obvious to many of us from early on. To me it seems ironic they have been so obvious in their deceits as they have been.
I agree with your observations.
Figuratively speaking, I shovel horse shit for a living. Pig shit, too. It smells worse and lingers as insults tend to do. [tit-for-tat]
June 14, 2007 8:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mostly, anyway.
June 14, 2007 9:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Think of all the truthtellers you have dismissed despite Hillary Clinton's record, deeds and words.
The record is there for all to see who will.
Hillary Clinton is corrupt. Her cattle futures trading began with a crooked broker who had to have assigned profits from other customers accouts to Hillary's on the very first day. There is no imaginable way it could have been otherwise. The Clintons escaped the long arm of the law in Whitewater but that does not make the scheme honest and true. While John Edwards admits openly taking money from a hedge fund, Hillary praised these vultures as bulwarks of capitalism rather than the destroyers they are.
Hillary Clinton's original health plan was more a case of gross incompetence than corruption IMO but it gave a bad name to "socialized medicine," while the cost to America as well as the sick and dying has been enormous. The plan was to deal in the insurance companies but those left out done it in. The frankenstein monster that was laughably to be paid for with a cigarette tax was rightfully killed.
Hillary Clinton still says she done right in authorizing George Bush to go to war because she didn't think he would. Amybody that believes that will believe most anything. In any case she is still not a fan of ending the atrocity.
Hillary Clinton is yet a DLC'er at heart. The upper crust "middle class" is the source of her funding and the object of her primary concern.
For sure Hillary is most fortunate in the abominable enemies on the right. Even she can look good compared to some of the other wingers.
Spewing talk of hate and lies and rightwing talking points from liberals not overly enchanted with a candidate who should be arrested for impersonating a Democrat may not be conducive to fruitful discussion.
All this is particularly poignant because Obama may be facing his own macaca moment. There is a very disturbing tale going round about a very sleazy attack on Hillary as (D-Punjab). If Obama cannot explain himself and his campaign coherently he may have just crashed and burned. I personally think that would be a huge tragedy because of the threat posed by Hillary Clinton.
Best, Terry
June 15, 2007 12:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Here's what I think - if we, the Democrats, don't get or beg Al Gore to be our candidate we stand a very good chance of giving the 08 election to one of three very visible and popular GOP candidates. Clinton can't win a general election; Obama is a popular guy but his appeal in a general election won't be strong; Gore is a potential winner and I like how he has separated himself from the others - just as Thompson has. Gore vs Thompson? Star power vs star power.
June 15, 2007 2:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
What kind of Orwellian nonsense is that? And "obvious" is just as stupid a choice of words.
Accurate descriptions for the neocons would be duplicitous, Machiavellian, con men, or as some are actually on record as referring to themselves rather enjoyably, as a "cabal."
For example, the neocons including Cheney created the Office of Special Plans (OSP) at the Pentagon, staffed by civilian neocons. They cherry picked intel and stove-piped it straight to Bush, manipulating him like the finger puppet he is. They cooked intel and fixed it around longheld neocon goals to invade Iraq and other crazy policies they come up with in think tanks funded from companies like Halliburton and military contractors who have a tremendous profit incentive for war.
They created the lies about the WMD along with the leadership of the Republican party who are defacto neocons for their continual support of neocon policy. They insinuated in the media Saddam had ties to Al Qeda and 9/11.
Forthright? Get a clue.
June 15, 2007 2:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Right, Hillary is just as bad as the worst Republican, like all those actually convicted of corruption and other crimes. And Obama has just "crashed and burned" according to a Rt Wing rumor you heard.
OK, We get it. The Democratic candidates are so bad, all that's left for you to do is vote Republican, because you're so "liberal" like that.
Which is also why you go around calling people "socialist" for supporting decentralized solar and public utilities, and why you have so many posts to capital investment fora relating to energy companies, are derisive of species protections, and attack Gore for not pumping companies you have material interest in.
Because you're so "liberal" like that. And not a troll or pathological liar, or typical Rt Winger turd of the WSJ/NRO variety, who you just happen to parrot, because they're such "liberals" too.
June 15, 2007 2:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good grief, kozmik. Your indignant and insulting tone directed at me seems laughable, domineering, and out of proportion. Somehow I seem to have inspired your antagonism. Sorry about that.
I made a comparison of the neo-cons with unspecific practitioners of "thick face-black heart" ethic. That you so easily harness widespread knowledge (to me as well as to you, and others) of the neo-cons' ongoing deceit reinforces my observation. The neo-cons have been relative amateurs.
Yes. "Obvious." The neo-cons have been relatively obvious in their deceits, forthright as in outspoken in a myriad stupid claims highly likely to be revealed false. That's ironic because it is likely to be their undoing -- barring major discontinuities like another 9-11/Iran invasion.
I'm out. You can have the last post on this thread, kozmik.
June 15, 2007 3:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
The real question is whether this is a Seinfeld Moevement: a movememnt about nothing.
Newman points to Obama reaching outside of the activists, which is interesting, but the issues Obama points to seem to be low hanging fruit themselves. Stressing electronic medical records and Nunn-Lugar on non-prolifiration is exactly the kind of inside the beltway "serious" person pablum all middle of the roaders use. The question is whether such a movement can survive first contact, or whether Obama has to stay muted on any of the controversial subjects for it to survive.
June 15, 2007 4:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kozmik, I don't think that's totally fair. I'm certainly looking at Obama pretty seriously--in fact, seriously enough to give money to his campaign. And I love his inspirational style and what I know of his past record. I too, though, would like to hear him talk a bit more about what he plans to do in the future. Edwards has a very strong message on domestic policy right now. I'd like to see Obama get the policy side of his message just as strong. So the criticism isn't meant to tear him down--rather the opposite: to get him to continue to improve. I want Obama to be the strongest possible candidate, and any criticism at this early stage of the campaign should be taken as a suggestion to strengthen his position, not an attack.
ABC--Anybody But Clinton
June 15, 2007 4:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, this is a super idea. In fact, why not issue an offer to all of the announced Democratic Candidates to blog here for a week. Give each a "table for one" and let them join our conversation. Do them in random order, do them alphabetically, I don't care much. The stable of writers here is certainly well connected enough to reach people high in each of the candidate's campaign apparatus, and if additional leverage is necessary, make the invitations public, and the responses to them public as well.
Certainly the campaigns might be taking a small risk by popping in here: some of the writers here get the occasional verbal contusion, but they live to tell the tale, don't they? So I petition Josh and his team to get on this project.
aMike
p.s. I can think of one official non-candidate who should get an invitation too. Hint: his initials are A. G.
June 15, 2007 4:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
LOL! Thanks. I agree that candidates, in the this casde Obama, represent projections of our own values and desires. This is why we'll be sorely disappointed later when they are in office.
I try being reality-based, and all the dreamers call me a cynic.
/c
In the blogosphere every one is an expert, so no one is an expert.
June 15, 2007 6:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
We've got feelers out to many of the candidates (including those mentioned here) to do just that. We'll see if they take us up on our offer.
June 15, 2007 6:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Corvid
A walk for change is about the best one could expect from Obama. Please, please go to beachwoodreporter.com, a well-respected Chicago blog, and check out the Obama items there--many of which refer to articles in both Chicago newspapers. Or just go to the Web sites of the Chicago Tribune or Sun-Times. The article in Thursday's NY Times about his extensive links to a corrupt Chicago property developer is just the tip of the iceberg. This man is contrived and is a product of thoroughly rotten Chicago and Illinois machine politics.
.
I can understand that this is hard to believe, but there it is. What can I say? I would urge Nathan and others here to do just a little due diligence and check it out for yourselves. By the way, don't believe all that you read in his autobio about his community organizing. There's a fair amount of fantasy in that book, as the Chicago Tribune (which, incidentally, is very starstruck by Obama) found out.
June 15, 2007 6:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
OK. How many years removed from being elected to a state office official is Hilliary? How many years did Hillary serve as elected official other than in the US Senate? How many contested primaries does HRC have under her belt? How many elections has HRC lost and come back to win?. What crisis or adversity has HRC withstood to show steel, Flowers/Monicagate? Please.
These type of objections lack merit relative to the other candidates in the field. Obama has the most experience as an elected representative, hands down. Obama has the longest legislative record hands down. Obama lost his first run for the State Senate by a huge margin. Yet he came back to win. When you talk about adversity or crisis to show steel. Try growing up in a household where no one looks like you in a society that is extremely color conscious and biased to your skin. Try learning how to fit in to that society without any adult guidance due to their lack of experience with society mistreating them based on the color of their skin. Moreover, try being an adult living in a society that will shoot first and ask questions later based on the color of your skin.
If you think Obama has not ever faced real crisis or challenge political or personal then you have not been paying attention. He was crushed in his first run for the State Senate.
HRC's biggest challenge boils down to her being the 'wronged spouse' whooopdedamndooo.
June 15, 2007 7:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you think globally the lack of specificty is brilliant. Why narrow it to a specific issue? The point is to bring in all individuals who want change with the status quo, not to divide people based on what the issue is they want to change. Rather, it is to create a critical mass of people who support change. You may want to change fiscal policy, another may want to change healthcare, still another may want change of the energy policy and others still may have the war as their driving issue for change.
When you focus on what people have in common CHANGE you are able to amass people who all want to move in the same direction and by doing so they generate energy and drive for the entire campaign to achieve their goals.
Only an idiot hears the word change and is dissatisfied witht he current politics and thinks "change what" rather than engaging in self-awareness of knowing what it is they would like to see change. And be motivated to work for the change they want. No one is being excluded so whatever your issue is you can work to change it.
A Walk for Change is just that A Walk that opposes the status quo in our national and domestic policies.
Don't go blaming Obama because you don't know what it is YOU want to change. Tens of thousands of volunteers don't have your vapid issue.
June 15, 2007 7:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nathan, I beleive you are right on target here. Jerone Armstrong simply does not get it. He does not understand that a movement starts from the bottom up, it is not a top down dynamic.
For the most part Obama is the Tiger Woods of politics. Tiger came out wowed the field by winning several tournaments by whopping margins. Tiger then had to regroup and alter his swing for the long haul of his career and while he was in that slump folks considered him 'less than great' until he came roaring back. Obama is building his network and gathering a coalition of people who will be united in the interest of change. Change is a powerful motivator and folks like Jerone are not even going to understand what happened or how it happened when he is left standing of the sidelines just gawking.
June 15, 2007 7:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
You are a real delight - a true fount of misinformation and spew.
The "rightwing" purveyor of hateful rumormongering I first read was the owner of Talk Left.
http://www.talkleft.com/story/2007/6/15/0634/74618
You do seem to have a frightful problem distinguishing right from left, fact from rumor, truth from fiction, prejudice from reason.
I don't suppose there is any help to be had but you might seek some.
Obama needs to address this blatant bigotry now or it's likely to bite hard. Republicans can usually get away with this stuff. Democrats can't.
Best, Terry
June 15, 2007 7:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe I shouldn't even bother answering this but...
Hillary had a commodities broker and a small commodities trading account which did very well. The broker wasn't corrupt and it's unfair to say so. Those markets are very volatile. She just as easily could have lost everything in the account.
Hillary and Bill entered into a real estate development corporation at a time when the Arkansas real estate market was booming. Then the market collapsed. They lost money on Whitewater and it was never their main concern in life so they didn't pay a ton of attention to it. Even Bill O'Reilly now admits there was no crime there.
Hedge funds aren't vultures. I don't see what's so wrong about having an investment fund.
The claim that Hillary only cares about the "upper crust middle class," is something we can certainly debate. But you should realize that she actually polls better with lower income women than with college educated women. So, you have some convincing to do on that front.
Anyway, I don't care if you want Hillary to be president or not. I'm not sure if I do. But it's really unfair of you to call her corrupt.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 15, 2007 8:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Get your facts straight. Obama won his first race for state senate when he used tactics to eliminate his primary competition before the election. Otherwise, he may not have even won that. Lincoln lost several times, as a comment above shows, and did not live a life of relative ease.
This thread is about Obama, not Clinton. No one is comparing her to Lincoln. So what great defining moment exists for Obama? At least Clinton has had to deal with adversity so we can see her mettle. Do we really have anything close to a clue of how Obama would fare in a crisis? If som I am all ears.
June 15, 2007 8:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
destor23,
I will only answer the very first of your arguments. All vary from the facts. It is not worth the time to continue:
Yes he was and has a record to prove it unless you can show he was unfairly victimized by the law.
It is possible to make enormous sums, much greater than what Hillary made, in commodities trading but it is not possible to make the gains she made the very first day without assignment of profits in other accounts to her.
Now you can deny it as you wish and you can rationally claim that Hillary was not even aware of what was going on.
But facts are stubborn things and you don't own them.
On other matters we seem to be mostly in agreement.
Best, Terry
June 15, 2007 9:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
unless your point is that the whole package is a con-job, which part of "self-improvement" seems undesirable, or is it the "book" bit? I mean wouldn't some people bookmark/tag the Bible under "self-improvement" as compared to "fiction" or "wishful_thinking."
June 15, 2007 9:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's doing something wrong? His "access" to a huge portion of our fellow Americans is equivalent to your access to people while motering down the highway. Many view you as an obstacle impeding their percieved goal, unaware that you may be the park ranger traveling to open the damn gate to let people in.
And what's said about the responsibiliy of the individual fortunate enough to live in a democracy? Apathy, busyness, and business are all selfish piss-poor excuses when weighed against the potential of what might be, regardless of however corrupted, convoluted, or myopic this 21st century America may appear.
Flags are bits of coloured cloth that governments use to first, shrink wrap people's brains and then as ceremonial shrouds to bury the dead...Arundhati Roy
June 15, 2007 9:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's responsibility? OK, you're not asking for his vote, but what, are you asking for polititians to smack people up-side the head with a two-by-four, get in their face and beat some sense into them? I am, but...
I find this to be negligent fluff. The "so what, who cares, let somebody else worry about it" additude is a growing malignancy in our society, perpetuated by the powerful, rich, and corporate landlords. None the less, a serious ailment that needs to be addressed.
While 71 million of our fellow U.S. citizens age 18 or over in 2004 did not vote, 16 million of those no shows were registered, the rest couldn't even bother to do that. (The curious will note at the bottom of the linked page Census Bureau's estimates differ from the "official" turnout by 3.4 million, helping to explain the current catastrophy, carrying over from the 2000 debacle; but that issue is irrelevent to this thread, though certianly a worthy endeavor to ink in the history books.)
Like the health care crises confronting America, seemingly drastic measures could help remedy this vexing situation. Along with 19 other countries that have some form of compulsory voting the Australian solution could be a worthy objective. Where a mandated enrollment became effective in 1911, the first compulsory elections were introduced in 1924, resulting in 91% of the electorate casting a vote.
An ABC poll conducted in 2004 found that 72 % of those surveyed pooh-poohed the idea, surmising that Americans viewed voting as a right, not a responsibility. This may seem a pipe dream to the meandering many, I believe it's not only as opportunity, but an obligation as a member of the human race. Until people like us get off our backside, ain't nothin' gonna happen.
June 15, 2007 9:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
No. This is false. Provide some support for this 'fact' please.
Yes, and you were addressing his candidacy with criteria that hold no merit relative to the field. In other words, if you select those variables as deciding factors, there is no Presidential candidate that stacks up better, not to mention your 'facts' are wrong.
No one is comparing HRC to Lincoln nor any other President as she has done nothing comparable to any President nor as a political figure during her tenure in the Senate. She does not have an outstanding political record by any measure whether it is leadership, coalition building, driving policy change, legislative bills or fundraising. Her self-proclaimed role model is Eleanor Roosevelt who was allowed to bring about change because she was married to the FDR. Hilliary has exemplified even that poorly.
Eleanor brought about change for the underserved and was a humanitarian and UN chair. In contrast, Hillary was a' Goldwater girl" and advocated states rights. Hillary was a complete failure with the Hilliarycare bill and she has not moved anything forward of social significance during her tenure as First Lady. Now she wants to be President and she has no political standing for it. She has no track record of accomplishment in the Senate.
You keep bringing up this crisis handling as if it is a defining trait for the Presidency. What has Hillary managed that in any way parallels the decisions Presidents are faced with? Again, her managing to portray yourself as the longsuffering wronged spouse is not anything essential to the Presidency. Just what has HRC done politically? She has been a First Lady, that's it. She has not chaired a committee in the Senate, she has not stepped out and been the leading voice on the issue of our time, the Iraq war, nor has she lead on humanitarian issues like Katrina or the widows of 9/11 who demanded the 9/11 Commission..so what is it you think that makes her such a great candidate? Name a policy,piece of legislation or alliance that she has successfully driven, please.
Name a defining moment for HRC that is relevant to the Presidency.
June 15, 2007 9:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Again, this diary is about Obama. But dealing with any crisis provides a window to the way a person will deal with another crisis. You keep talking about Clinton, but I never raised her name. In all that, you have not said what has tested Obama's mettle. I raised this issue in my first comment, and you have deflected it to dump on Clinton. Perhaps it's because there is no adversity or crisis to give us a clue about Obama under pressure.
That's the problem here. I say something about Obama and the response is about something else.
When Obama is compared to JFK or FDR or Lincoln, I object. Plain and simple.
As for the first Obama campaign, see this:
http://www.popmatters.com/pm/news/article/32738/obama-forced-opponents-from-race-in-first-campaign/
June 15, 2007 9:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Compulsory voting, eh? Well, I'm with you that voting is both a right and a responsibility. But if you're going to force people to vote, make "None of the Above" an option. Some people do abstain in order to make a statement, you know.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 15, 2007 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yet, you provide no such crisis for Hillary. How then can she be a serious candidate. In contrast, My error, I wrote State Senate instead of first US Congressional seat.. Barack has had political setbacks:
To call it deflection is one way to look at it. Another is, to call your bluff, and ask you to show how other candidates measure up when placed under the same 'defining' microscope you are asserting. What do you see based on your issue when you look at the other candidates?. I simply took your assertion and applied it to another candidate and lo and behold the other candidate doesn't measure up anywhere near as well Obama. So, my point is having used your criteria to look at other candidates, how valid, on your part, is it in deflecting Obama being compared to JFK and Lincoln?
I want to know what you think is the adversity HRC or any other candidate has faced that is relevant to the Presidency, if 'being tested' is so important to you.
You have not said what tested HRC's mettle.
Obama has dealt with political adversity and lost. He has also dealth with the personal challenges of being a minority in America. Both of these are significant and relevant to the type of individual he is.
HRC can't be compared to former Presidents because she lacks the political stature for such comparison. Bottomline, if Lincoln and JFK are not relevant then compare him to HRC the frontrunner using your criteria of adversity and crisis.
June 15, 2007 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course there's no chance Obama will have to face anything like what happened in 1999 during the general election or the primary.
Thought it'd be funny to see Mitt Romney or Fred Thompson question Obama's African American credibility...
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 15, 2007 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
It is absolutely important to read this article, but not just the part quoted here. Read the whole thing. It is far more balanced picture of Obama than the paragraph (number six) chosen from it. It is a fascinating piece. In it we learn a number of things about Obama in this instance.
Anyhow, go read the whole thing. It's an introduction to bare-knuckle Chicago-style politics, and should put the lie to the idea that all Obama knows is feel-good Oprah-ism. I think the article proves the contrary. He's tough enough to play by the rules and ethical enough to play within the rules, and competitive enough to work his hardest to win, and smart enough to do good work once he does.
aMike
June 15, 2007 10:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
If I get close enough to any of them at the Take Back America Conference next week, I'll put my two cents in and encourage them to take you up on it.
aMike
June 15, 2007 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks Mike. I had read the article but didn't want to shift focus from having Drak provide information that shows how any candidate has measured up to his criteria of 'adversity' and crisis. That seems to be a trait he believes is essential to the Presidency yet he cannot name a candidate who has measured up moreso than Obama. Especially, when we look at the present field of candidates. So how vaild can his challenge be regarding JFK and Lincoln is the real point.
June 15, 2007 10:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, I do know, and as the link describes all one has to do is show up and make a mark, any mark on the ballot. Much like some mothers put vegitables on their childrens plate in hope that eventually the young 'uns will realize the folly of flat out rejection, when healthful maturity over comes youthful growing pangs. But instead of grounding or being sent to one's room without cookies and milk, obstinate voters to be that reject making even a scratch on the ballot are assest a $15 fine. Truely hard headed individuals like myself that might persist are fined $35. On rare occasion the diehard are sentenced to nominal jail time.
I don't know, one of my favorite drinks is a concoction of various greens and fruits masticated in my third juicer, while my octogenarian father is proud that he has never voted for one of our representative scumbags...go figure.
June 15, 2007 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't even support Clinton, yet you assume I do.
So that is yet another mistake you seem to have made.
If you want to redirect, fine. No one can force you to answer. The deflection tells me a lot. It's like asking someone a simple question and, rather than provide an answer, he/she answer with a question.
The fact is that, as to Obama, we have not seen him perform under pressure and have a true crisis in his life that gives any indication of how he will perform.
June 15, 2007 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is there a Presidential candidate you have seen that this holds true for?
June 15, 2007 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
You, being a rt winger, as your many posts demonstrate, will continue to cite various Naderites and fringe kooks and claim they represent legitmate left views.
You are a rt winger, a troll, and a pathological liar.
You're also stupid enough to use your same login in energy investor fora as you do here, and stupid enough to think you're fooling anyone. Keep knocking yourself out.
June 15, 2007 3:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Again, TH is a stealth Republican troll, and his whole schtick is to swiftboat Democratic candidates to try and suppress Democratic voter turnout, to help elect far, far worse Republicans.
TH is a pathological con.
June 15, 2007 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
TH is a stealth Republican who openly advocates votign Republican if Hillary gets the Dem nomination, supposedly becasue he's too liberal to compromise. He is just trying to swiftboat dems and supress enthusiasm and turnout.
His typical MO is to say something vaguely "liberal" sounding and then slip in a rt wing talking point, a lie, and a poison pill.
For example, in the post above TH sounds vaguely pro-Obama and anti-MSM. Then comes the poison pill lie, that Obama has doesn't have any clear policies, which is a MSM and Rt Wing talking point and a lie, and has yet to do anything more than "sling mud at Edwards" which is just completely detached from reality and designed to swiftboat Obama.
Watch out for these stealth wingers.
June 15, 2007 4:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Movement builder?
Obama showed his true colors last week.
He accused Hillary Clinton of supporting outsourcing and then accused Bill Clinton of being anti-labor because of his associations with Ron Burkle.
And yet Obama's wife was until recently on the board of TreeHouse Foods, a supplier of pickled goods to Wal-Mart. Wal-Mart has been both anti-worker and pro-outsourcing in its practices.
Is Obama a movement builder or another hypocritical politician who tries to smear his opponents?
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 17, 2007 4:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, Drack this is not a mistake on my part. I have not asserted that you support Clinton.
No deflection or redirection. My query is simply reality vs. historical political figures, yet you fail to answer.
I have simply asked you to compare Obama to Hillary based on your chosen criteria of 'mettle/adversity/crisis tested' as you take exception to the Lincoln and JFK comparison. I accepted that and raised you one. Compare him to the present field of candidates using your assessment criteria. You have declined to do so. Which says your criteria is meaningless.
That is false. He has lost a political race and came back to win a higher office. His book Audacity of Hope details numerous personal challenges. The public has an indication of how he will perform. Why don't you? More importantly, why are unable to point to any other elected candidate performing under pressure due to a true crisis in their life?
June 21, 2007 8:55 AM | Reply | Permalink