Time to Talk to Hamas/Fatah Unity Government

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is warning the Israeli government not to pursue the “Syrian option” at the expense of the Israeli-Palestinian track.

Rice told the Washington Post that regardless of the merits of pursuing the Syrian track (about which Rice is skeptical), "there is no substitute for trying to get to the place where the Palestinians finally have their state and the Israelis finally have a neighbor who can live in peace and security with them."

She said that the "Israeli-Palestinian track is extremely important" because it "unlocks” the door to "further engagement between the Arabs and the Israelis."

Meanwhile Yedioth Ahronoth reports that the Israeli Foreign Ministry and intelligence agencies have concluded that the Syrian government is serious about pursuing peace with Israel. “We have reached the conclusion that they (the overtures) are serious. We think that he (President Basher Assad) is serious,” a senior official involved in the inter-agency review said.

The Bush administration has never been enthusiastic about the possibility that the Israelis will pursue the Syrian option for several reasons: the Syrian-Iranian alliance, the troublesome role Syria plays in Iraq, and its hosting of and support for terror groups. Additionally, the administration has no interest in easing the pressure Damascus is now feeling over the looming international investigation of the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. The administration perceives the Syrians as desperate to escape from the corner they have finally found themselves in over Lebanon and do not want to see Israel provide an escape hatch.

From the US point of view, that makes sense although simply exploring peace overtures has rarely done any harm.Rice also seems to be worrying that Israel will pursue the Syrian option as a way of escaping negotiations with the Palestinians.  That concern is legitimate. It’s happened before.

Ehud Barak was elected Prime Minister in 1999 because he promised to pursue negotiations with the Palestinians.  However, once in office, he ignored them for weeks while examining Damascus tea leaves.  In the end, there was no deal with the Palestinians or the Syrians.  However, precious Palestinian faith in Barak’s intentions eroded as they saw him desperately trying to avoid dealing with them by engaging Syria. (The Palestinians have always suspected, perhaps correctly, that some Israeli leaders view a deal with Damascus as a substitute for one with them).

So Rice has every right to be worried that Prime Minister Olmert will downplay the Palestinians in favor of the Syrians although she would have a stronger case if the Bush administration had itself not been downplaying the significance of a deal with the Palestinians for over six years.

But, as Tony Soprano would say, “Whaddya gonna do?”

Those six years are history and the good news is that Rice seems determined to achieve something on the Israeli-Palestinian front during her last years in office.  How determined remains to be seen.

In any case, there is simply no comparison between the significance of a peace deal with the Palestinians and one with the Syrians.  An agreement with Syria would be significant.  In exchange for the return to Syria of the Golan Heights, Israel would expect the Syrians to normalize relations, terminate its alliance with Iran and stop its backing of terrorists, most notably Hezbollah.

However, the Arab-Israeli conflict would remain alive and as disruptive as ever.  That is because, to use Rice’s words, resolving the Palestinian issue – not the return of the Golan Heights – is the “key” to unlock the entire Middle East conflict.

The Arab League Initiative (the former Saudi Plan) recognizes that.  It would offer Israel full normalization of relations with the Arab League (i.e. every Arab state) but only after Israel concludes bilateral negotiations with the Palestinians.  In fact, there is no Saudi “plan.”  It is an offer.  Once Israel concludes a mutually acceptable agreement with the Palestinians, the Arab world will recognize Israel and normalize relations. If the Palestinians are satisfied, the other Arabs will be as well.

But satisfying the Palestinians is the sine qua non.

That is why Rice says that resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is the key to Arab-Israeli peace in general.  It is also a key to elevating American status in the Muslim world at large.  The Israel-Palestinian conflict is one of the two most powerful magnets that pull Muslim youth into Jihadist movements (the other is the US presence in Iraq).  The end of the conflict or at least America’s resuming the role of honest broker would deal a major blow to those efforts and would be one of the best weapons against the Jihadists.

But there is a larger reason why reaching an agreement with the Palestinians must remain a priority.  Israel does not share Eretz Yisrael (Palestine) with Egyptians, Jordanians or Syrians.  It was not Egyptians, Jordanians or Syrians who were displaced by the establishment of Israel.  No Egyptians, Jordanians or Syrians are refugees.

Yes, Syria, would like the Golan Heights back.  And, most likely, they will eventually have them back.  But Syria exists quite well without the Golan.  For the average citizen of Damascus or Aleppo, losing the Golan is a blow to national pride.  But that is all it is. The Syrians have a legal claim to the Golan but not a moral one.  Accordingly, if and when Israel returns it to Syria, Israel will have solved its Syrian problem but it will not solve the problem that has been at the heart of the Arab-Israeli and even the Muslim-Jewish conflict for sixty years.  Nor will it solve the problem Israel has with world opinion.

Additionally, as the New York Times reported this week, Al Qaedaist-like cells in Gaza are moving to supplant Hamas in Gaza as popular frustration and anger at the Hamas/Fatah unity government grows.

In the year since Hamas won the election the United States insisted the Palestinians hold, we have imposed an almost complete ban on aid to and contact with the Palestinian government until it recognizes Israel, accepts all previous agreements with Israel and ends all forms of violence against Israelis.

Isn’t it time to reconsider those three conditions and start with just one,  the absolute and complete cessation of terrorism which, it is reported, Hamas may be ready to accept?   With increasingly deadly Kassams falling on Sderot and almost reaching Ashkelon, isn’t standing on ceremony over three conditions (conditions neither Jordan nor Egypt had to agree to in advance of negotiations) self-defeating?

Why not, as Tom Friedman recommends, simply demand an end to violence and, if it is achieved, look to ways to end the siege of the Palestinian territories in order to weaken the appeal of Al Qaedists who, if they take over, will make us all wish we had Hamas to deal with?

Yes, talk to Syria. But first things first. And that means the Palestinians.


Comments (166)

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I find it touching that MJ, who has told us recently about the evil neo-Cons who control Bush and the government and who are supposedly itching to go to war with Iran, are suddenly now switching to a policy that MJ approves of, i.e. "negotiating with the Palestinians". Maybe they aren't so bad after all, MJ?

Since the official Palestinian ruling party, HAMAS, says it will never make peace with Israel, what do you, MJ, expect to come out of these talks?

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I agree with much of MJ's post, except this:

The administration perceives the Syrians as desperate to escape from the corner they have finally found themselves in over Lebanon and do not want to see Israel provide an escape hatch.

What corner? Assad is in the driver's seat. The US is sinking in Iraq and badly needs Syria's help (hence the visits by congressional delegations), the March 14 movement is on the ropes. Lebanon is erupting once again. Yes, the Hariri tribunal is a thorn in his side, but right now Assad is not in a position where he needs to make concessions.

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Actually I need to withdraw my agreement with MJ. Where does he see that Condi wants Israel to "negotiate with the Palestinians"? She wants Abbas and Olmert to talk but that's not the same.

Has there ever been examples in history where talks themselves were bad?
I don't mean talks like Munich where a gang got together to discuss dismembering a nation not in the room.
But talks by the parties to a dispute.
Why would Israel be hurt by talking to Hamas. It built them up for years without talking. Why not sit in the same room?
If you reach an impasse, you walk out.

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I tend to agree with your analysis MJ, but peace between Israel and Syria would be a good thing, even if it is a bit of a detour on the road to solving the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. And honestly, I'm not sure the detour will slow progress toward a Palestianian-Israeli solution. There's no movement on that front at this point anyway. Maybe a warming of relations with Syria will radiate outward and help thaw the frozen peace process with the Palestinians and the rest of Israel's neighbors? Any movement is better than none, I guess.

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In fact you can take that one step further. As Northern Ireland has shown once again, it's when the parties on the opposite extremes start talking that genuine peace breaks out. Peace, if it ever comes, will be between Bibi and Mashaal, not Olmert and Abbas. (Which is also perhaps why it'll never come...)

I'm with you Purple State. Any and all talking is good.
The people who oppose talking fear the possibility that the two sides will reach an agreement,

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That gentle soul, Shmuel Eliyahu, chief rabbi of Safed, has a different approach to the problem:

If they [Palestinians] don't stop after we kill 100, then we must kill a thousand. And if they do not stop after 1,000 then we must kill 10,000. If they still don't stop we must kill 100,000, even a million.

He learned his religion from dad, former Sephardi chief Rabbi.

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1180527966693&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/ShowFull

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"Has there ever been examples in history where talks themselves were bad?"
Why not talk to Bin Laden, Hitler in 1945?

"Why would Israel be hurt by talking to Hamas"

I'm sure they talk all of time.
It's not what MJ wants.
He is for lettting Hamas get more money, letting Hamas get more weapons bringing this weapon to West Bank, building Hammas terror network in West Bank, then at some point use a provacation to start Intifada 3.

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Rosenberg is as delusional as ever.

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I don't think so. He is too close to Gaza. He just took this idea from mumerous muslim clerics who say such things every day. it's miracle that not too many in Israel are infected with this hatred virus that is being spread by muslim clerics every day

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Except that daddy sephardi chief rabbi


ruled that there was absolutely no moral prohibition against the indiscriminate killing of civilians during a potential massive military offensive on Gaza aimed at stopping the rocket launchings.

davai: if you want to justify mass murder, you're going to have to try a little harder.

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Dear friend,
What prevented you from being truthful?

He is NOT chief rabbi.
He is The FORMER chief rabbi.
He didn't rule anything, he wrote a letter.

In anycase, original story is a typical "man bites dog" story.
Can you imagine if anybody notice if Arab cleric rules for killing all Jews ? Of cource not, they do it everyday, it's not a news.
So let me ask you, dear friend, do you justify mass murder, if not why don't you protest Arab clerices hatefull speech?

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What utter nonsense.

The end of the conflict or at least America’s resuming the role of honest broker would deal a major blow to those efforts and would be one of the best weapons against the Jihadists.

While America was an "honest broker" (whatever that means), the World Trade Center was attacked, US embassies in Africa were blown up, a US warship was attacked, and bin Laden was planning 9/11. It is naive, at best, to think that resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict would in any way diminsh the Jihadist war on the US.

The fact is that the I-P conflict is an excuse. And if you get rid of this excuse, there will be another one. The Arab thugocracies need the I-P conflict to continue in order to distract their people from their own misrule. The Saudi plan is nothing except the Arabs saying to Israel, if you surrender to all our demands, then we will no longer make war on you - despite the fact that no Arab state has made war on Israel in 30 some years.

We have seen the "peace" amd "normalization" that the Arabs offer; Egyptian state-run press is one of the most anti-Semitic and anti-Israel of any Arab state. Egypt regularly conducts war games for war with Israel. And Egypt tacitly - if not actively - supports Palestinian terrorists by allowing the smuggling of arms into Gaza. Yes, Egypt hasn't attacked Israel in 30 years; but neither has Syria. Maybe it is the fact that Damascus is within Israeli long-range artillery range and not a peace agreement that is important.

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The idea that the Palestinian solution stands as a major source of adverse propaganda to the US does not of course mean it is the only one.

Similarly, Osama bin Laden has a list of dislikes and objectives that includes more than the overthrow of the US. But until now his organization hasn't exactly been involved in the problems of Israel and Palestine, has it? Just as Iraq is at present his best recruiting and funding medium, the last six years have proven continually deteriorating under the suppositions and initiatives (or lack of them) of US diplomatic leasdership.

I don't want to go on too long, but suffice it to say that there is no direct connection from Osama to Jerusalem, and the idea that at the same time there is no reason not to deal with problems on a diplomatic and economic level rather than with violence seems blinkered.

The gun is the last thing we should reach for in conflict resolution. There are those on both sides that have used violence to sabotage any and all moves toward peace -- for decades. We should be trying harder to create the openings that could be available rather than closing doors.

I vehemently object to entrusting choice of what might work or not to those active who have a 100% record of poor and deliberately inaccurate situation appreciation and of disastrous decision making.

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As I pointed out in MJ's previous thread, he along with his fellow "progressives" of the so-called "peace camp" are simply another versino of the Neo-Cons whom he denounced in that thread. Both, coming out of the Left, believe that in order to reach Utopia, everyone in the world should think like they do, and this should be done, either through persuasion, "political correctness" or outright force. MJ's so-called "Peace Camp", as you see in this current piece of his, believes that everyone in the world is reasonable, wants peace and progress, and if we can just sit down together with them and make concessions to them, they will agree to "peace" on reasonable terms.
Well, here is an article from the New York Times about Iraq, and how everyone there is willing to practically commit suicide there, all for the pleasure of getting vengeance against their ancient enemies.
I post this because it is relevant to the Arab/Israeli conflict and the myth that MJ's camp keeps purveying "that all Israel has to do is make concessions and keep talking" and then everything will work out.

BTW-this does not mean that I believe the Israeli/Arab conflict means endless war, abosolutely not, but the violence won't end until Israel REFUSES to make more political concessions (as opposed to economic agreements) and stands on its own rights.

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June 3, 2007
The World
Iraq’s Curse: A Thirst for Final, Crushing Victory
By EDWARD WONG
BAGHDAD

PERHAPS no fact is more revealing about Iraq’s history than this: The Iraqis have a word that means to utterly defeat and humiliate someone by dragging his corpse through the streets.

The word is “sahel,” and it helps explain much of what I have seen in three and a half years of covering the war.

It is a word unique to Iraq, my friend Razzaq explained over tea one afternoon on my final tour. Throughout Iraq’s history, he said, power has changed hands only through extreme violence, when a leader was vanquished absolutely, and his destruction was put on display for all to see.

Most famously it happened to a former prime minister, Nuri al-Said, who tried to flee after a military coup in 1958 by scurrying through eastern Baghdad dressed as a woman. He was shot dead. His body was disinterred and hacked apart, the bits dragged through the streets. In later years, Saddam Hussein and the Baath Party crushed their enemies with the same brand of brutality.

“Other Arabs say, ‘You are the country of sahel,’ ” Razzaq said. “It has always been that way in Iraq.”

But in this war, the moment of sahel has been elusive. No faction — not the Shiite Arabs or Sunni Arabs or Kurds — has been able to secure absolute power, and that has only sharpened the hunger for it.

Listen to Iraqis engaged in the fight, and you realize they are far from exhausted by the war. Many say this is only the beginning.

President Bush, on the other hand, has escalated the American military involvement here on the assumption that the Iraqi factions have tired of armed conflict and are ready to reach a grand accord. Certainly there are Iraqis who have grown weary. But they are not the ones at the country’s helm; many are among some two million who have fled, helping leave the way open for extremists to take control of their homeland.

“We’ve changed nothing,” said Fakhri al-Qaisi, a Sunni Arab dentist turned hard-line politician who has three bullets lodged in his torso from a recent assassination attempt. “It’s dark. There will be more blood.”

I first met Mr. Qaisi in 2003 at a Salafi mosque in western Baghdad, when the Sunni Arab insurgency was gaining momentum. He articulated the Sunnis’ simmering anger at being ousted from power. That fury has blossomed and is likely only to grow, as religious Shiite leaders and their militias become more entrenched in the government and as Kurds in the north push to expand their region and secede in all but name.

Caught in the middle of the civil war are the Americans. To Iraq’s factions, they are the weakest of all the armed groups in one crucial respect: their will is ebbing and their time here is limited. That leaves Iraqis more motivated than ever to cling to their weapons, preparing for what many see as an inevitable plunge into the abyss.

“Everyone — the Sunni, the Shia — is playing the waiting game,” an Iraqi leader told me over dinner at his home in the Green Zone. “They’re waiting out the Americans. Everyone is using time against you.”

Much seemed different in April 2003, when the Americans pulled down the statue of Saddam Hussein in Firdos Square and allowed Iraqis to drag it through the streets. It looked like an act of sahel at the time, but the Americans failed to establish total control, as Iraqi history says a conqueror must.

Four years on, Sunni and Shiite attacks against the Americans are expanding. There is little love among Iraqi civilians for the troops, though many fear the anarchy that could follow an American withdrawal.

“I’m still sticking by my principle, which is against the occupation,” Mr. Qaisi said in an interview here while visiting from his new home in Tikrit. “I’m Iraqi, and I think the Iraqi people should have this principle. We have the right to defend our country as George Washington did.”

As long as I have known him, Mr. Qaisi has rejected the idea that the Sunni Arabs are the minority in this country. To him and many other Sunni Arabs, the borders of Iraq do not delineate the boundaries of the war. The conflict is set, instead, against the backdrop of the entire Islamic world, in which demography and history have always favored the Sunnis. That sense of entitlement is fed by the notion that Iraq’s Shiite Arabs are just proxies for Iran’s Persian rulers.

For the Shiites, who make up 60 percent of Iraqis, the unalloyed hostility of the Sunni Arabs only reinforces a centuries-old sense of victimhood. So the Shiite militias grow, stoking vengeance. Through force of arms, and backed by the Americans and Iran, the religious Shiites intend to dominate the country entirely, taking what they believe was stripped from them when their revered leader Hussein was murdered in the desert of seventh-century Mesopotamia.

It was at the site of that ancient bloodletting, Karbala, that I twice witnessed the intense Shiite ache for righteousness and triumph. In early 2004, thousands of young fighters in the Mahdi Army, the militia of the nationalist Shiite cleric Moktada al-Sadr, fought and died in a fevered uprising against the Americans. Last March, the same zealotry showed in a different way, as millions of Shiite pilgrims marched to Karbala’s shrines to commemorate the death of Hussein. They went despite relentless attacks by Sunni Arab suicide bombers. To them, it was all part of the unending war.

“No country in the world is fighting such terrorism,” said Adel Abdul Mehdi, an Iraqi vice president and leader in the Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council, a powerful Shiite party, on the day he made his pilgrimage. “Every time we give more martyrs, we are more determined. This is a big battle, there is no such battle in the world.”

The Shiites have waited centuries for their moment on the throne, and the war is something they are willing to tolerate as the price for taking power, said the Iraqi leader who had invited me to dinner in the Green Zone. “The Shia say this is not exceptional for them, this is normal,” he said.

The belief of the Shiites that they must consolidate power through force of arms is tethered to ever-present suspicions of an impending betrayal by the Americans. Though the Americans have helped institute the representative system of government that the Shiites now dominate, they have failed to eliminate memories of how the first President Bush allowed Saddam Hussein to slaughter rebelling Shiites in 1991. Shiite leaders are all too aware, as well, of America’s hostility toward Iran, the seat of Shiite power, and of its close alliances with Sunni Arab nations, especially Saudi Arabia.

“One day we’ll find that we’ve returned back to 1917,” said Sheik Muhammad Bakr Khamis al-Suhail, a respected Shiite neighborhood leader in Baghdad, referring to the installation here of a Sunni Arab monarchy by the British after World War I. “The pressure of the Arab countries on the American administration might push the Americans to choose the Sunni Arabs.”

Sitting in the cool recesses of his home, the white-robed sheik said he was a moderate, a supporter of democracy. It is for people like him that the Americans have fought this war. But the solution he proposes is not one the Americans would easily embrace.

“In the history of Iraq, more than 7,000 years, there have always been strong leaders,” he said. “We need strong rulers or dictators like Franco, Hitler, even Mubarak. We need a strong dictator, and a fair one at the same time, to kill all extremists, Sunni and Shiite.”

I was surprised to hear those words. But perhaps I was being naïve. Looking back on all I have seen of this war, it now seems that the Iraqis have been driving all along for the decisive victory, the act of sahel, the day the bodies will be dragged through the streets.

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MJ, as you all call him, has reached the Animal Farm state. All peace are created equal but the Palestinians peace is more equal than others. Negotiations with Hamas and partial recognition of Hamas are not the same. Yes, it makes no sense to sit idle until Hamas relents and admits its responsibility, as a legitimate government typically does, for all prior agreements.

How do you negotiate with someone who believes that you should disappear as an entity after negotiations are concluded? Unless you have a good answer to this question all your talk is either mean spirited or your priorities are confused enough to warrant some serious medications.

MJ you also won the Magician Award. Barak's renegotiations with Yasser and what's his name, ya Clinton, just disappeared from history. The Soviets would've been proud of you.

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Forgot an important item:

Additionally, as the New York Times reported this week, Al Qaedaist-like cells in Gaza are moving to supplant Hamas in Gaza as popular frustration and anger at the Hamas/Fatah unity government grows.

Nice scare tactic Mr. MJ Bush!

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The NYT article MJ cites is a perfect example of the uselessness of the American MSM in dealing with the situation in the ME.

Reading it, one would think that US efforts, along with our "moderate" Arab allies Egypt and Jordan, having nothing to do with the factional violence in Gaza. Nothing is mentioned about the arming and training of Fatah "Presidential Guards" under the leadership of a well-known Israeli-designated terrorist thug, Mohammed Dahlan in order to foment the intercine violence.

The only mention of the Israeli role in the state of affairs in the OT is a quote about oppression from an Arab source.

One would think that Mr Erlanger was timid about mentioning the roles of all the idiots who have created the mess in the OT for some reason. Perhaps he's concerned that the Israelis won't allow him to report from Jerusalem or that Camera and Honest Reporting will get on his CS ass if he actually points out that the growth of AQ's influence in the OT is the direct result of the policies designed by American sociopaths in DC and Israeli brutality.

MJ similarily ignores reality and disingenuously sums up the problem by summing it all up as: " Al Qaedaist-like cells in Gaza are moving to supplant Hamas in Gaza as popular frustration and anger at the Hamas/Fatah unity government grows."

Honest brokers are indeed in demand and perhaps it would behoove those truly interested in seeking a peaceful solution to the I/P conflict to start with an honest examination of the factors contributing to the dangerous growth of radical jihadist influence in the OT and Lebanon.

It's not Hezbollah or Hamas who are most seriously threatened by the strengthening of Bin Laden's acolytes in the region. It's Israel.

As is usual, the most trenchant analysis of the situation comes from Israeli sources, in this case, Daniel Levy on his new blog:

"All this does not automatically make Hamas a partner, but it certainly begs the question and demands a serious exploration of the alternatives. AQ is a franchise and any Gazan mutation if it gains a foothold, will threaten Palestinian and Israeli society alike.

In Israel there appears to be more of an appreciation of this than in the US. Senior former Israeli security officials and Government Ministers have called for opening channels of communication to Hamas and for working with the PA Unity Government - they include ex-Mossad chief Ephraim Halevy and ex-Foreign Minister Shlomo Ben-Ami to name but two. Hopelessness, hunger, arms and anger are an attractive hunting ground for radical escapist ideologies. Even more worrying is that Palestinians have lost faith in the capacity of their political system to deliver anything - whether it be Fatah, Hamas or a hybrid of the two.

The advantage of disciplined political movements is that they can command loyalty, make new political moves or ceasefires and impose them. By arresting and assassinating an entire middle level cadre of Fatah and Hamas leadership, Israel weakened both movements as an adversary, but also as potential partners, and contributed to an environment in which what the NYT calls "Al-Qaeda wannabes" could flourish. Setting out to destroy the Palestinian national movement may turn out to be the most pyrrhic victory of all for Israel's national security interests."
http://www.prospectsforpeace.com/


The ultimate irony is that the "terrorists" who comprise Hamas are considered to be the bulwark against AQ within the OT and guess who is containing these virulent cells on Israel's northern borders?

Col Pat Lang gets the last word on this monumental miscalculation by policymakers in DC and TA:

"....HA in the south is holding in check the possible action of friends of the "Nahr al-Bared" crew while the LAF tries to deal with them.

I ask you is that not irony? The Abrams crew should face up to the "sad" fact that they are "out of their depth" in the Middle East."

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After reading the comments on this and every other Israel/Palestine threads I sometimes close my eyes and wish G-d would reach down and "smite" the whole region. That way we could start over fresh. Both Jews and Arabs have perfected their victim status and jeolously refuse to let go, regardless of the consequence to themselves and others.

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I sometimes close my eyes and wish G-d would reach down and "smite" the whole region.

Why would he bother? He's got legions of his faithful to do it for him.

Seriously, though JD, what we need are more people as sensitive and thoughtful as you are. Don't give up hope. Eventually, this too will pass. . .

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Someone above mentioned that Al Qaeda is only a threat to Israel. That is clearly wrong. Al Qaeda is certainly a danger to the Shiite Hezbollah. They have also denounced Hamas. Also what makes you think that these groups are not vying for power.

A peace deal with Syria is both good for itself and would go a long way in defanging both Hezbollah and Hamas. Both these groups get much of their weapons, money and political support from Syria. Any deal with Syria presumably would include and end to their helping Israel's enemies.

It is amusing to me to see not one mention of the Lebaese government shelling the Palestinian camp in northern Lebanon in order to get a group of extremists. The fighting was so fearce that aid workers could not initially get into the camp. If this was Israel the denounciatons and posturing would be endless.

Then the is the matter of the BBC reporter grabed in Gaza and now held for weeks. Saeb Erekat has even suggested the PA should use force to try to get him.

Israel ought to talk to everyone since it never hurts to see what the other side is looking for but why no mention of the virtually daily killing of Palestians by fellow Palestinians? Where is the stand against the daily shelling of Sderot?

We do not need people who are senative so much as people who are a lot more honest. The Arab World and the Palestinians are a mess. Israel ought to seek peace with any and all parties as long as it will not result in more dead Israealis, but to believe the Arabs are in a position to make deals with Israel is a big a fanatasy as believing that removing Saddem, alone, would bring Democracy to Iraq.


Daniel A. Greenbaum

Purple State,

And honestly, I'm not sure the detour will slow progress toward a Palestianian-Israeli solution.

Nor am I convinced that it would, either.  The inconvenient fact remains that this has never been a clean and simple 2-party conflict, but rather a complicated struggle for national legitimacy in a region ultimately dominated by many Arab regimes.  As the Arab establishment loosens up its devotion to Arab national domination of the middle east, an Israeli electorate will grow confident enough in its security to choose a leadership capable of reconciliation and cooperation.  Likewise, with diminishing support of the Arab establishment, the maximalist position of Hamas will be exposed as counterproductive to Palestinian national aspirations.

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"someone" reads the Israeli media and that of the surrounding region in order to try to understand the current dynamics and takes the pronouncements of the various rogue AQ wannabes at their word when they declare that attacking the "Zionist entity" is their primary objective.

It should be a bit worrisome to "someone" like Daniel Greenberg that there are reports that some of these "global jihadists" are veterans of the violence in Iraq. But, that requires that "someone" abandon his dearly held notions about who poses a real and growing threat to Israel.

Fortunately for Israel, there are those among her security experts who care more about the prospect of radical Islamists employing their lessons learned than flailing at the rotting corpses of dead horses from the classic vantage point of the ostrich.

If "someone" wants to discuss Lebanon, BBC reporters, etc, I suggest that "someone" start blogging about his issues.

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I don't agree.
Israel didn't stuck with victimhood.
Palestinians did regardless of the consequence to themselves.

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It is amusing to me to see not one mention of the Lebaese government shelling the Palestinian camp in northern Lebanon in order to get a group of extremists.

Daniel, I've been struck by the silence on this too. I've been following it in the news, and there are a lot of civilians being injured or killed by the shelling (as well as militants). It deserves more attention. It also raises a lot of interesting questions about the status of Palestinians in places like Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, etc. A solution to the Palestinian problem will require a regional agreement, not just an agreement between the principals. The inhabitants of these refugee camps will need to be integrated somewhere--but where?

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It seems to me that if Israel had healthy relations with all its neighbors, solving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict would likely be easier, since there would be better cooperation all around in trying to accomodate the displaced Palestinian population. Healthier relations between the Arab countries (between Lebanon and Syria, for instance) would also be helpful, since it would likely improve the economy of the region, which would be beneficial I think to a fledgling Palestine.

However, as MJ I think is pointing out, peace with Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, and Egypt won't automatically usher in peace between Israel and emergent Palestine. That's still a tricky issue that requires much work and ultimately depends on the two parties working out a mutually agreeable solution.

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The silence on this issue is most likely due to the unbelievably confusing morass that comprises the current situation in Lebanon. Trying to make sense of it beyond the "Syria did it" cries from the usual suspects is formidable and beset with contradictions and complexity.

The disgraceful treatment of Palestian refugees in border states is another can of worms that starts with the establishment of Israel and involves Arab nationalism, Cold War geopolitical calculations and on and on and on. A little discussed aspect of the recent Arab overtures was a proposal that some Palestinian refugee populations in neighboring states would be rehabilitated by massive infusions of cash to those regimes agreeable to improving their llives. Syria wasn't mentioned. Supposedly, Palestinians who want to return to the WB would be allowed to do so although it's unclear whether the PA would receive any aid in order to facilitate the influx.

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"refugee camps"

This is a very interesting phenomenen.
The cities and towns were former Palestinians refugees live are not really camps, so why they still called this way?
To get money from UN ? For propoganda ?

Haven't we already established the fact that true peace with the Palestinians is not what the Israeli leaders truly seek?

Since its inception, the new Israel has always formulated policy around the Palestinian problem. Indeed, the Military Industrial Complex is as much alive there as it is here in the United States.

Indeed, a sustainable peace with the Palestinians is likely no more favorable in the minds of Israel's ruling elite as peace in the Middle East would be to the Bush administration.

They need these conflicts to maintain their hard line policies. And to fund them.

Reaching a peace with Syria, though, is something that would naturally be appealing to Israel for the reasons MJ lists in his post.

Aside from its tactical importance, it would allow Olmert & Co. to show the population that they are doing something.

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This is not a hard question -- except in the amoral, death-loving world of the Middle East. Talking is better than bombing each other. More peace beats out more war.

I'm sure there are still a lot of twisted Jews and Arabs who deplore the treaties signed between Israel and Jordan and Israel and Egypt. How many lives have those treaties saved? Doesn't matter, does it? What is human life compared to the daily chances to hate, whine, complain and blame everybody but yourself?

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Here is a link to site the illustrates the confusion that typifies the mess in Lebanon. Note that the blogger blames nearly everyone involved and freely employs dark sarcasm when he discusses the situation.

http://angryarab.blogspot.com/

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Who else but davai would dispute the correct description of the current living conditions for Palestinian refugees in Lebanon, Jordan, etc and elsewhere?

Why? Is the use of the word "camps" a sensitive issue for you?

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Davai says that Jews don't indulge in victimhood! Right. But my parents still get their checks from the Germans (reparations). Germany had to pay 4 billion in overall reparations to Israel (a state that did not exist when the Nazis committed their crimes). In the past decade the Jewish organizations sued the Swiss (the Swiss!) for treating abandoned bank accounts by holocaust victims the same way all other abandoned accounts are treated. The US government was lobbied to hand over, for free, a building on the mall for a holocaust museum. New York, California and Maryland have special tax breaks for holocaust survivors, etc, etc.
Every other group (African Americans, Palestinians, Indians,Al Sharpton) have learned the victimhood game from my people who invented it.

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As Elie Wiesel likes to say: "There's no business like Shoa business."

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They are called refugee camps because they are, in fact, refugee camps.

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Unfortunately, Olmert is dillying about as per usual and the Israeli media is full of articles about a war with Syria (and Hezbollah) this summer. One recent article in the Jerusalem Post reported that the Home Front Command will shortly begin a campaign to prepare the Israeli public for an "all-out war" .

Link to JP article:
http://tinyurl.com/3xuwp8


The Israeli public isn't in the mood to make peace with anyone at the present time.

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What the difference between a avr camp in Jordan and a city or vilage in Jordan. Can you tell a diffrence if you don't know in advance?

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"Davai says that Jews don't indulge in victimhood"
It's not what I say. I said:
"Israel didn't stuck with victimhood."
There are no questions that Jews were victimes of terrible crimes, and they got some compensation, but they didn't stuck with this help.


BTW, how about you ? Are you and your parents still live in refugee camp for Polish Jews, and your parents still have keys from their house somewhere in Eastern Europe, and all your family still dream one day go back there?
In other words, Are you and your parents stuck in victimhood?

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You can tell me all about JORDAN, davai, and be sure to provide some proof to back up your claims about Palestinians in JORDAN.

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There are no questions that Jews were victimes of terrible crimes, and they got some compensation, but they didn't stuck with this help.


Not sticking with this help? Is there some secret plan to give back Palestine?

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Correction,
We didn't stuck with the state of permanent victimhood. We were victims of terrible crimes against us for 2000 years, and still we were trying make lemonade from lemon.

There is nothing prevent Palestinians in Gaza to build another Singapure, except victimhood mentality.

BTW, I'm not saying because crimes againts Jews, Jews are allowed to kill Arabs, so please don't go there.

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I don't have any claims, I've just asked the question.

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Then go find your own answers.

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What is "true peace" ?

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So, I guess you have no clue what's the diff beween a refugee camp and typical city in Jordan?

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No tickie. No washee.

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Very profound statement

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The Arabs living in Judea/Samaria will FIGHT TO THE DEATH to prevent the "return" of Palestinian refugees to there. That is why NO Palestinian leader can ever compromise on the so-called "Right of Return" to WITHIN pre-67 Israel. Arafat told Clinton he would be shot if he ever agreed to it.
Why do they oppose it? Because they view them as aliens, a different people. The refugees were from the coastal plain and were largely recent immigrants to British Palestine from surrounding Arab countries, attracted by the economic development the Zionists were making. Similarly, the Judea/Samaria Arabs view the Gazans as a different people and oppose opening the free access route from Gaza to Judea/Samaria, because the higher standard of living in Judea/Samaria might attract them to move there. Deborah Sontag wrote an article in the New York Times some years ago about this.
There is no such thing as a "Palestinian" people, because there never was an Arab political entity called "Palestine". The lines drawn after World War I are totally artificial as far as the Arabs are concerned. (Just to be fair, there is no such thing as as "Israeli" people either, there are Jews and there are Arabs living in Israel). The fact that all Palestinians have a common enemy in the Jews does not make for creating a national identity, any more than the Shiites and Sunnis who are buthcering each other in Iraq feel brotherhood simply because they both hate Israel as well. After, anti-Semitism was pretty much universal in Europe also, but that didn't mean that Europe felt it was one people in the past.

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Which goes to prove that the Arabs don't hate Israel because of the supposed "suffering" of the Palestinians, but rather because they feel "humiliation" at the exitence of a dhimmi state in the heart of the "dar Al-Islam"-The realm of Islam. Muslims are taught that ultimately they will rule the world, and when a dhimmi people like the Jews, or the Christians in Lebanon have sovereignity in their turf, they view it as an abberation, a violation of the natural order. Because of the innate tribalism of the Arab world (read "The Closed Circle" by David Pryce-Jones), they are indifferent to what happens to those belonging to clans outside their own. That is why there was or is NEVER an outcry against atrocities Arabs commit to each other. Are there any protests in the Arab world, or in countries in Europe with large Arab populations against the horrors Arabs are doing to each other in Iraq or Somalia? Were there ever Arab protests against the civil wars in Lebanon or Algeria. Was there ever protests anywhere by Arabs against Saddam Husseins tyranny? No. Just indifference.

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No sorry. What will happen is that while we go through yet another cycle of talking-fighting, the Israeli settlements will continue to expand and yet more Palestinians will be subjected to GENOCIDE by Israel.

That's been the plan all along, and that will continue.

Israel doesn't want peace. Israel wants land. And they'll do whatever it takes to get it. That was always the case.

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The treaty Israel signed with Egypt has nothing to do with "peace", and the fact that there has not been a full-scale war between Egypt and Israel since it was signed is NOT because there is a treaty, but simply because Egypt hasn't wanted a war. If Egypt wanted to go to war, they would simply tear up the treaty. There is NO peace treaty between Syria and Israel, either, and yet there has been no full-scale war between Israel and Syria during the same period. The ONLY reason Egypt even bothers to maintain the pretence of the agreement is because if they didn't, they might lose the $2 Billion per year the US gives them. Israel is potrayed in the state-controlled Egypt media as Egypt's main enemy, and Egypt is one of the major world purveyors of anti-Jewish propaganda.
Egypt fights its war aganst Israel by proxy, by arming the Gaza Strip terrorists. ALL weapons that enter Gaza cross the border with Egypt and you can be darned sure that Mubarak knows exactly what is going in there. Egypt's proxy war with Israel is the same as Syria's with Israel, which is fought using Hizbullah.
The Israel-Egypt "peace agreement" is a fraud.
Jordan, on the other hand, keeps the border with Israel quiet, in their own interest, but they did even before their agreement with Israel, so again, peace treaties DO NOT make peace, government's decide if they want peace or war without regard to scraps of paper they may or may not sign.

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Pro-Israelis try oh so hard to separate US support of Israel from the jihadists issue but the fact is that if the US had ever been in the slightest bit an actual honest broker, then Bin Laden and his ilk would have remained a small bunch of crazies and not have been cheered from Malaysia to Morroco.

Our total and blind support for Israel's genocide of the Palestinains has tainted and degraded us, politically and morally, and has made us the targets.

But that's OK 'cause the agents of Israel urged us to invaded a country that had absolutely nothing to do with jihadists or 9-11, where we're now suffering more casualties totally needlessly.

Thanks Israel. Thanks a lot.

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Yes it was the Palestinian's own fault that Israel ethnically cleansed them. Bad Palestinians!

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But where? Ummm..How about if they return to PALESTINE, as INTERNATIONAL LAW requires?

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So, what's your advice for Palestinians?
What's their best stategy to survive this
"GENOCIDE" ? Do you think Hamas "resistance" in Gaza is helpful for stopping "GENOCIDE"?
Looking back, could they do something diffrent
in 1948, 1967, 2000 or any other year to be today in better position.

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There's nothing to keep the Palestinans from building a Singopore in Gaza ... except for Israeli shells landing on Palestinain families as they picnic on the beach in Gaza...

There's nothing holding back Israel from giving the Palestinains their homes either, is there?

Your insistence on shifting the blame onto others is patheticly transparent.

Monopolization of victimhood is the stock in trade of Israeli propagandists. They've use the Holocaust to justify murdering Palestinians, they've so over-used the "Anti-Semite" label that they've turned it into a joke.

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"Your insistence on shifting the blame onto others is patheticly transparent."

I'm not shifting blame. Let's agree for the sake of argument that Israel is very powerful evil.

What's the best way for Palestinians do deal with this evil ?

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Here's a difference: See the PALESTINIANS who live in someplace other than PALESTINE (note the similar spelling?) in places like Lebanon and Jordan were DRIVEN THERE by Zionist ethnic cleansing and murder squads, which is why they are REFUGEES and not Lebanese or Jordanians - they are PALESTINIANS who are entitled under international law to return to their own homes, whilst Jordan or Lebanon are in no way obligated to accept them as citizens just to make things easier for Israeli expansionism. So, they live in CAMPS rather than cities, where they continue to hold onto their keys and deeds to their homes in PALESTINE that were taken away from them ILLEGALLY by Israel.

I know you wish oh so desparately to POOF! make the Palestinains disappear - lots of Zionists did that's why they pretended that Palestine was a "Land without a People" and that "There's no such thing as Palestinians" but sweetie, they do exist. They do. They're not going to become Lebanese or Jordanian and melt away into cities in those countries. No, sorry. You're going to have to accept the people that you pretend don;t exist. I know that the existene of the PALESTINIANS makes life incovenient for Israel - not only are they in the way physically, but their dispossession and oppression is moral stain on the nation that likes to think of itself as a "light unto the nations" but its too late. You can fool yourself, but not everyone else. Palestinains DO exist and they have rights. Face it.

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Which goes to prove that the Arabs don't hate Israel because of the supposed "suffering" of the Palestinians... so its OK for Israel to make them suffer? LOL!!!

Your triablistic mindset is showing again.

BTW I didn't hear of any demonstrations in, say, Mexico over the events in, say, Chile. Those darned Hispanics! They're so indifferent to each other's suffering, those Hispanics!

LOL!!!

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Nonsense! Arafat told Clinton that he'd be shot as Rabin was if he agreed to give up the Right of Return or gave up a rightful claim to Jerusalem. As usual, you're delusional.

And whether a state called Palestine existed previously or not is irrelevant. The people - call them whatever you want, but they most certainly did and DO exist - were entitled to continue to live on their lands in their own homes, and Israel subjected them to ethnic cleansing. As refugees they are entitled under international law to return to their homes.

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Actually, I suspect that Israel needs external enemies in order to keep itself in one piece. The internal contradictions of a "democracy" that is based on a mythological religious identity and which was artifically created - perhaps all too much to contain if it wasn't for distraction and rallying point provided by the external enemies. Who shot Rabin? No a palestinian.

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Mightly presumptious of you to label an entire chunk of the world as "amoral and death-loving". Have you read any of your own history?

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No, you first explain to why Israel shouldn't give back the Palestinains their lands instead of expecting the Palestinians to turn Gaza into Singapore. Why don't YOU go build your own singapore somewhere else, free of US tax-payer money and Palestinian blood?

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"No, you first explain to why Israel shouldn't give back the Palestinains their lands"

Mabe they should, but they are EVIL, so they don't.

So the question for Palestinians, how to deal with this evil ?

Jews faced question of how to deal with evil (from their point of view) for 2000 years.

In some cases, (Warsaw Getto) they decided to die fighting the Evil, but in most cases they found a way to accomadate Evil and survive.

What's your advice to Palestinians, die fighting enemy, or try to find a way to accomadate Evil to survive?

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What the difference between a avr camp in Jordan and a city or vilage in Jordan. Can you tell a difference in architecture or construction if you don't know in advance where is camp whre is city?

"They do. They're not going to become Lebanese or Jordanian and melt away into cities in those countries. "

Why not?
BTW, How Palestinians do in US?
Do they still live in refugee camps or they melt away into cities?

Thank you, first, for admitting the evil.

The answer is never to accommodate evil.  At worst, realistically admit you can do nothing to change it, in which case you must do what you can do to contain it.  In the case of the Palestinians, when Evil sets out to commit genocide against you, there is no compromise, you must fight it tooth and nail.

But, let us hope they do not become evil themselves, the way the Israelis became evil as the lesson from Hitler.

It is a conundrum, is it not?  How do you fight evil without becoming evil?  Too bad the Israelis did not figure it out. 

In case all of you guys haven't noticed, Putin just restarted the cold war.  This battle you are having is now very very small potatoes.  Forget it.  We have new problems.

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So the question for Palestinians, how to deal with this evil ?

Jews faced question of how to deal with evil (from their point of view) for 2000 years.


Ah, Davai--you've hit on the perfect solution. The Palestinians should convert to Judaism!

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"Thank you, first, for admitting the evil."
I'm not admitting Israeli evil. I'm accepting that Abdull and you think that Israel is THE EVIL.

"In the case of the Palestinians, when Evil sets out to commit genocide against you, there is no compromise, you must fight it tooth and nail."

I see, Palestinians in Gaza today have two choices.
Stop fighting and acccept Evil Israel who stole most of Palestinian land, then using International help start building Singapure in Gaza or continue to fight tooth and nail.
Your answer is "fight it tooth and nail".
Thank you for clarity.

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What makes you think that the palestinians won't "Deal with this evil" for 2000 years too?

the onus is not on the dispossessed to make Singapore out of a prison camp. The onus is on the people who run the prison camp to be held internationally liable for their crimes against humanity and genocide.

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I,m sick of all the quibbeling. While settlements on the WB grow. I think that if the Palestinians were armed equally well as the Israelis there would be more desire to negotiate on the Israeli part. Some of the Israeli's are bigots of the worst kind, convinced of their own superiority, viewing and treating the Palestinians as animals ( I have heard them talking), racism and bigotry of this kind needs to be quashed and punished! Better arms for the Palestinians may be the ticket for forcing Israel to deal with this type of people.
Also, I am NOT convinced that Israel has a place in the Middle East, why don't we put them in Utah with the Mormons? And take away their nuclear toys.

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No sorry it was the US that restarted the Cold War when we unilaterally pulled out of various missile treaties.

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Sorry, appeals to architecture won't save you from the fact that Palestinians Exist.

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They could all just kill themselves and make it easier for the Israelis to steal their land. How's that?

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What makes you think that the palestinians won't "Deal with this evil" for 2000 years too?
I'm asking you how do you suggest Palestinians deal with evil for the next 2000 years.


And what in your opinion Palestinians should do
untill such time arrives and Israel will be
"held internationally liable for their crimes against humanity and genocide" ?

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I think the answer on my question is that Palestinians refugee camps don't look any diffrent compare to cities next door.

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I'm not asking you what they could do to make life easier for Israel,
I'm asking you what they could do to make life easier for themselves.

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But the appearance of the camps makes no difference in determining whether they are refugee camps or not, so what's the point?

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They are not camps they are cities.
Camp and city are not political terms they are architectural terms.

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Davai is a fool.
My parents were kicked out of their homes in Poland and, after the war in '46, tried to go back. But their house was live in by non-Jewish Poles who took the house after they fled.
So they went to Germany where they languished in a refugee camp for 4 years. Was it a city? Was it a town? No, Davai, it was a camp.
Furthermore, the Polish government told them they could come back at any time and re-claim the home but not to sell it but to live in it. That offer still holds.
But they don't want to go back. This is an offer that the Israelis have never made to the Pals who are stuck in CAMPS.

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But refugee camp is a political term, and architecture isn't relevant to its definition.