There Are Damn Few Muslims In this Country!
I rarely read anything about Arabs and Jews that surprises me. I have been involved with this area since the 60's so I think I've pretty much seen it all.
But then I read this piece in the Jerusalem Post and I couldn't figure out what the author is talking about. Even if his facts are accurate, what difference does it make?
What exactly is he trying to say? What is the subtext here? TPMers are smart. Anyone interested in deconstructing this.
I'm not kidding. I'm at a loss.















Er...ummm...oddly enough, if you assumed that the Pew Survey's 55K calls would generate a random sample of people who would be either Muslim or not Muslim to obtain their 1000 or so person sample, the expected number of Muslims in the population could be extrapolated to about 5.4 million.
So what he's trying to say is that, according to the Pew poll, the Pew poll does not say what a cursory extrapolation of its data does indeed imply.
Although how the Pew poll gets the estimate of 2.35 million, it's hard to say.
June 1, 2007 7:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
I give up. But I will say that it indicates a discouraging trend in public discourse. One should expect a writer that earns enough stature to have a column in a publication as widely distributed as the Jerusalem Post could find his way to at least a thesis statement, if not a reasonable conclusion of... something.
June 1, 2007 7:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe he's trying to count the number of Muslims here so Norman Podhoretz can figure out how many bombs we'd need to nuke 'em all?
We all know what's going on here--a certain (hopefully very small) segment of the Jewish community is concerned about Muslims in the same way that David Duke is concerned about Blacks and Jews. I believe this kind of anti-Arab racism is not pervasive in the Jewish community, but it is something that should be watched, particularly when organized groups like the AJC begin to show symptoms.
And who cares whether there are 10 Muslims or 10 million in the US? It makes no difference at all. As I write this, though, it suddenly strikes me that this counting of Muslims is important in Israel. Hmmmm . . . something to think about . . . is Muslim counting contagious?
June 1, 2007 7:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Simple, the guy's a bit nuts. Let's say he's right and there are fewer Muslim-Americans around than many claim.
David Harris is trying to argue that the number of Muslim-Americans had been inflated in order to give Muslim interest groups a greater say in American politics.
If that's true, inflating a number to 2% of the population seems a pretty lame way of gaming the system. 2% ain't much.
The reason Harris' piece is so unclear is that he doesn't want to come right out and say what his thesis is because his thesis is offensive. Here it is, though: "There aren't that many Muslims around so they shouldn't have much say in the legislative process and don't worry about hurting their feelings when you pass laws at the local, state or federal level."
That's what he's trying to say. He's afraid to say it because it's racist. He's also afraid to admit that if one half of his argument is true (that people have inflated the Muslim population numbers in order for political gain) then that the other half is true (He's interested in deflating them, also for political gain).
One other thing he doesn't realize (and again, I'm assuming his arguments are correct here): those inflated numbers that Harris complains about the media reporting do not always lead to positive press for Muslims. Some of those stories cravenly use the large numbers to suggest threats of homegrown terrorism and the like.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
June 1, 2007 7:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow. This is some article. He is trying to say, without quite saying it, that there are far fewer Arab Americans than Jewish Americans so that nobody should pay them any attention.
It probably bothers him that Bush (of all people) makes a point of including Muslims in the former Protestant, Catholic, Jewish triad and he's trying to say that there are not enough of them to count.
He's a paranoid and nobody cares much about him organization or him but his mindset is interesting.
In a crazy way. You think he knows what a bigot he is?
June 1, 2007 8:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
The AJC used to be a liberal group. But once this guy took over it lurched to the right big time. He is the last of a bread, the old time holocaust obsessed Jewish professional who lives in America, goes to fancy schools, raises his kids all-American but yearns for 1938 when Hitler was out there and group identity was fostered by the German people like Harris sorely miss. He's a Brooks Brothers Ghetto Jew. All he lacks is a Yiddish accent to mask his Harvard roots.
Serious neurosis here.
June 1, 2007 8:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Funny - this new Jerusalem Post article is practically a word-for-word copy of a 2001 article by the Islamophobe Daniel Pipes - basically a recycled PR talking point from the pro-Israeli Right.
But Pipes explains why the numbers are important:
Yes, god forbid that politicians actually meet with Americans who are Muslims! Gasp! (but if you think about it, there aren't a lot of Jews in the US either ... so I guess the Chairman of the Republican Party shouldn't be meeting their their leaders either ...)
In short, the pro-Israeli lobby is running scared that they may lose their exclusive death grip on our politicians' yo yos.
As a side note, how exactly does one count a Muslim - or a Jew? As a religion (what about the non-practicing or athiest ones) or as a genetic ethnicity (what about the converts?)
June 1, 2007 8:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Destor is of course right he is saying that according to the Pew Poll there are fewer Muslims that many assert. He is also saying that some people, like those at TPMCafe, have a vest interested in denying this. I have no idea whether Pew is correct but Harris' other point is virtually proven by every post here.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
June 1, 2007 8:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Daniel, I haven't heard anyone denying (or confirming) the numbers. How would any of us know? And why would we care? In fact, it's the activity of counting--or rather the compulsion to count--that is interesting.
June 1, 2007 8:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
So what if Harris is right.
If I were to publish a piece stating that the commonly accepted statistics on the African-American population are wrong. They are not 13% of the population but rather 10%. And I attacked the media for reporting 13 and not 10.
There would only be one reason for publishing this, as a means of teling politicians and policymakers that African-Americans are not as significant as they might think.
And I'd publish it in a white supremacy magazine.
The unspoken aspect of the Harris piece is RACISM, pure and simple.
June 1, 2007 8:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, according to the Taipei Times, there are an estimated 2.5 black Muslims in the US. I wonder if Pew counted Cassius Clay Muhammed Ali? At any rate, if that figure is correct, the number of Arab Muslims, Pakistani Muslims, Iranian Muslims, Indonesian Muslims etc. living here is around minus 15K. Granted, that's a hard number to come by via polling.
Neoboho
June 1, 2007 8:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
In five lines you insert a lot of negative descriptions
(1) "Holocaust obsessed". I guess genocide and having much of your family (as in my case) wiped out is really nothing to get excited about.
(2) "The Right". Need I say more, an known satanic force.
(3) "Brooks Brothers". I guess it is a bad thing to wear nice clothes.
(4) "Ghetto Jew"....ugh, he really deep down is different than Madison1776, so he really has no place in Madison's America.
June 1, 2007 8:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
It seems that the JPost is relieved that there are fewer Muslims than was "expected." As one who believes that an important reason for failing to resolve the I-P conflict is the overall "weakness" of the Palestinians in the I-P territory, level of advancement in science and society and in the US, a lower number of Muslims doesn't help. As an Israeli, I find myself closest to Arabs and African Americans than to any other ethnic group; we just have a lot in common.
As for some of the other comments. One gets tired quite fast with the amount of racism, ignorance and name calling these comments manifest. More civility and being better informed is required.
How about licensing commentors? Just kidding.
June 1, 2007 8:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
So Daniel Pipes is an "Islamophobe" because he writes things critical of Muslim extremists. Does that make you a "Judeophobe" since you are always making unproven claims that the Bible and Jewish history are forgeries and that Israel ("THE JEWISH STATE") is a despicable country?
June 1, 2007 8:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
The significance of numbers.
Here is a statement about numbers like the AJC essay.
"Actually, statisticians tell us that it was 4.5m Jews who were killed by the Nazis, not 6m. Why does the media lie."
Innocent, right. Just like the AJC's numbers. But everyone gets the larger point. Not innocent at all.
Pure hate.
June 1, 2007 8:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
M.J, it seems pretty clear to me that Harris is engaged in the politics of magnitude. It's foolish - there's no real corelation between numbers and significance. Of the billions of asteroids floating around out there in space, only one kilt the dinosaurs.
The same game is played with the numbers who show up for the demonstration. The bad guys insist only 2,000 showed up. The other bad guys insist that 20,000 showed up. Numbers = significance. So I think the question about Harris' motive would be why he feels it important to designify Muslims. That leads to some pretty frightening (possible) answers.
BTW, the Ba'athists did not collect ethnic and religious data on Iraqis - so we don't really know how many Shias, Sunnis, Kurds, Turkomens etc. there are.
Neoboho
June 1, 2007 9:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think abdul-hass has it right. The more Muslims politicians are convinced exist in the US, the more likely they are to craft positions that reflect Muslim interests.
But I also had the impression that Harris is interested in whether Muslims outnumber Jews in the US. If there are 8 million Muslims the answer is "yes". If there are only 2.5 million Muslims the answer is "no".
June 1, 2007 9:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
My claims? LOL! Don't get all dramatic. You're confusing me with the United Synagogue of Conservative Judaism, which represents the 1.5 million Conservative Jews in the United States. Go argue with them. Frankly I wish more people would be willing to question their mythologies like this but FYI the "muslim extremist" would find this debunking of the story of Abraham & David etc. to be just as offensive as you do.
June 1, 2007 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
To be interested in the relative numbers of Muslims and Jews is certainly political, but some additional evidence is needed to prove that it is hateful. Political discussions are concerned about relative numbers all the time. To say that it is hateful requires drawing on some larger knowledge base. My impression from the discussion so far is that this larger knowledge base is more implied than explicit.
June 1, 2007 10:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
I must say that the name Jerusalem Post makes me nauseous (while the two words in separations do not). The main reason is that a number of years ago there was a horrific attack by Chechen terrorists on a theater in Moscow and several hundred persons were killed. The editors of Jerusalem Post found it fitting to publish the article responding to that tragedy with the title
Israel is number one!
in which the author was exultant that Israel is so much better in the security measures than Russia, and anybody else for that matter. I mean, the bodies were still warm.
This piece is not as obnoxious, but characteristic of a certain frame of mind that oscillates between feelings of superiority and snide self-pitying "Washington Post overcounts Muslim, Titus leveled Jerusalem, nobody likes us". Khmelnytskiy and Haman can be added for a good measure.
June 1, 2007 11:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
No need to deconstruct. The Pew study is a fact
and like any other fact it should be reported.
Good for Harris for reporting it.And to you
for reporting it here.
Beyond that it's sort of an ink blot which allows Harris to say what he always says . Ditto for those who either agree or disagree with him
including Mr or Ms Githendil's
June 1, 2007 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hell, even the Americans that vote, pay their taxes and sweat their life away in some mind numbing job don't even count, and they number in the hundreds of millions.
The only ones Congress pays attention to are the ones who show up with bags of cash to be used for "campaign expenses."
June 1, 2007 1:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
One other thing that's really fascinating to note in the study is that U.S. Muslims are far more likely to be successful economically than their counterparts in Europe. It's hard to know for sure the reasons for this, but they themselves report open economic opportunities in this country:
I happen to believe that the creation of a viable Palesinian state, with the increased economic opportunities that would provide for the Palestinians, would go a long way toward discouraging further radicalization of Palestinian youth. The study is not definitive on this point, but provides a tantalizing hope that my belief on this point is correct.
Know your enemy well, for in the end that is who you become. ~~Old Chinese Proverb
June 1, 2007 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was wondering a bit about methodology here. It would seem to me that newer immigrants (and I've read data elsewhere that suggest there are fairly large numbers of newer Muslim immigrants to this country) would probably be less inclined to answer such personal questions over the phone to a stranger, especially given the ugly attitudes displayed by some Americans to Muslims in general after 9/11.
The summary of the study's findings itself hints at this:
Given that so many American Muslims believe (and I think they're correct in this) that the government is "singling them out," it doesn't seem unreasonable to surmise that there might also be a significant proportion who were reluctant to answer any questions. This could quite easily lead to inaccuracies in the estimate of the population size. It is unclear whether the researchers even considered this, or attempted to control for it.
And do the new immigrants even have phones?
As I understand it, sampling about religious issues is notoriously frought with difficulties and errors in general. For instance, an annual Gallup poll around questions of religious affiliation (they didn't even ask about Islam!) shows the Jewish population of the U.S. as being 2% in 1995, rising to 3% in 1996, and then dropping back to 2% again in 1997. But the Jewish population of the U.S. didn't actually grow by 3 million (I'm using a rounded off figure here of 300 million to represent the total U.S. population) in 1996 and then shrink by the same number in 1997. These sorts of things are representative of unavoidable statistical sampling errors. When one is concerned about single percentage points, even a small error can make a big difference.
But at any rate, the results of the study overall provide mostly very good news, which one can glean just from the title: Muslim Americans: Middle Class and Mostly Mainstream. I guess that might disappoint those, both here at TPM Cafe, and in the wider world, who wish to present Muslims as the devil incarnate.
The reporting on the Pew study by the JPost seems more than just a bit questionable, since the author and the AJC obviously feel they have a dog in this race (about population figures).
Know your enemy well, for in the end that is who you become. ~~Old Chinese Proverb
June 1, 2007 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
A better question is: do new immigrants have land lines?
Personally, I think that in USA "Muslim" is a fuzzy concept. First, there are Black Muslim who include (or not) people who are on the periphery of that movement. Second, many immigrants may be culturally Muslim secular people, say Iranians, Pakistanis, Turks or Indian Muslim who went through all necessary rites in their youth but who are not currently practicing (and who are a bit ambivalent if they should). I know a number of such people and I never heard "today I am skipping lunch, we have Ramadan".
Once I had a Muslim roommate, and for one month there were no other students in the aparments and out of certain laziness we ate porkchops every day (it was a fast and proven dinner). Then some fundamentalist guys moved in and my fully secular roommate became reasonably observant (at least, they cooked together while observing all religious restrictions). Back in his home country my roommate would be a member of his community, and thus a Sunni Muslim, but in USA his allegiance was more vague.
June 1, 2007 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
very simple reason: the more difficult it is to immigrate, the more selected the immigrant population is.
I read about comparisons of the economic status between American Blacks and Carrabean Blacks, as performed in NYC and Toronto. Interestingly, they were going in the opposite direction.
June 1, 2007 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think you're absolutely right about the fuzziness of the concept and I think a very similar thing could be said about Jewishness in the U.S. How many of the total number of Jews are secular Jews for whom the identification is ethnic, rather than religious? All the more reason to be somewhat doubtful about the absolute accuracy of all of the estimates.
Know your enemy well, for in the end that is who you become. ~~Old Chinese Proverb
June 1, 2007 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm no expert. But this is what I do know.
In 2000, Muslims I know drank the Bush kool-aid and turned out to vote for him thinking that he would be more balanced in his Middle East policies -- most notably with respect to the Israeli-Palestinian issues.
By 2004, they had no such confidence in Bush.
So, yeah, I can see why some might wish to step in and declare their support unnecessary. "We don't need them anyway" kinda message.
I'm all for these neo-cons drinking more of their own kool-aid. They're fooling no one but themselves.
June 1, 2007 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I seem to remember noticing something a bit similar about the numbers of gays. I think there is a natural tendency for minority groups to prefer larger estimates of their numbers -- and quite likely for those antagonistic to them to prefer smaller estimates.
I have no idea whose figures are likely to be more accurate -- but I regard it as a factual question, independent of any group's civil rights, which should not depend on the size of the group. Admittedly, as a voting bloc, swing weight matters: hence the tendency.
June 1, 2007 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm going to go for deconstructing the URL of this article :(www.tpmcafe.com/blog/coffeehouse/2007/jun/01/there_are_damn_few_arab_americans_in_this_country)
Does conflating Arabs with Muslims have anything to do with it?
June 1, 2007 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not to answer MJ's conundrum, but to lodge one "niggle" about the article. Some of the estimates mentioned there refer to Muslim population in *North America*, some to the Muslim population in *US*. It's probably just me -- I'm an "imported" US citizen and have a different viewpoint than those educated here -- but those two aren't the same. Canada, for example, is also on the North American continent and it too has some Muslim population
June 1, 2007 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fine, Harris. Let's do the numbers. One of every two Jews is marrying out. Their kids won't be Jews. Your kind anyway.
Right now Jews are 2% of the population and 23% of the Senate.
Do you really want to play this game. Your kids are defecting in droves. Muslims aren't. What a dumbass column. Harris would have been a good Nazi.
June 1, 2007 5:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
but some additional evidence is needed to prove that it is hateful
If the article isn't enough for you, just read the comments after it. How about this one: "It's a great relief to hear that the high numbers are exaggerations -- THANK YOU David Harris" A great relief?
June 1, 2007 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
ONWARD, CHRISTIAN STORM TROOPERS
A recent Pew poll indicated that a small number of American Muslims, a minority of only 8%, considered suicide bombing acceptable under certain circumstances. The vast majority, 78%, said suicide bombing against civilian targets was never acceptable. Most Christians, 65% of Protestants and 72% of Catholics, believe that torture is justifiable under certain circumstances. Nearly half of Americans, 46%, believe that it may be acceptable to deliberately target civilian populations in war time. An average of 75% of Muslims in Egypt, Pakistan, Indonesia and Morocco believe that such attacks are never acceptable.
Will the good Christians, the peaceful ones, ever speak out against their co-religionists who carry bombs in their cars or drop them on civilians in Iraq?
Christians perpetrated the crusades, the inquisition, the slave trade and imperial adventures too numerous to mention. It may be comforting to pat ourselves on the back and consign those behaviors to past centuries. We are living in the 21st century after all. Who would use the name of the Christian God to justify mass killing? A majority of modern day American Christians, that's who.
http://www.blackagendareport.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=228&Itemid=36
June 2, 2007 5:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
What difference does it make how many Muslims (or Catholics, Protestants, Jews, blacks, Latinos, WASPs, or Jehovah's Witnesses) there are in the U.S.?
Well, none, I guess, if we prefer ignorance to knowledge. It's obvious that the more voters an ethnic or religious group has, the more clout it is likely to have with our officeholders. Does that answer your question, Rosenberg?
June 2, 2007 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rosenberg's question was why Harris was so worried about the numbers of Muslims. That's different matter. The answer is that Harris and his ilk see themselves as engaged in an ethnic war against American Muslims.
June 2, 2007 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJ's question was rhetorical. His point was that a once respected Jewish organization is now in the business of playing numbers games to diminish the influence of another minority.
I think he's saying that Harris is a bigot and a true shonde fur de goyim.
June 2, 2007 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rosenberg said, "Even if his facts are accurate, what difference does it make?"
Isn't that the same thing as saying what difference does it make how many Muslims there are in the US?
Harris may be anti-Muslim, I don't know. The "sub-text" of his article may be anti-Muslim, though that wasn't obvious to me. But favoring an accurate tally of the number of Muslims in the US hardly qualifies one as an "ethnic warrior."
June 2, 2007 1:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then please explain the fraticidal slaughter we see going on now or recently in Iraq, Lebanon, Gaza, Algeria, Yemen, Pakistan, Afghanistan. Also explain why we don't see demonstrations in Arab/Muslim countries or in Western countries with large Muslim populations against this fratricidal slaughter. I would accept a demonstration whose message was "Terrorists out of Iraq, Americans out of Iraq".
As a matter of fact, we see celebrations of the slaughter in the Muslim media, calling it "resistance". How can such a peacful people tolerate such internal violence?
June 2, 2007 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've now read portions of the full report on the study (available at the link I posted upthread), not just the summary, and thought you might be interested to know that your concern about landlines vs wireless phone service was anticipated by the researchers. They attempted to control for the problem. Here's what they said:
Good catch, piotr.
Know your enemy well, for in the end that is who you become. ~~Old Chinese Proverb
June 2, 2007 1:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please list the 23 supposedly Jewish members of the Senate you are claiming. As I understand there are about half that number. Or is accuracy in your claims not so "important"? In any event, are you proposing that peole not vote for the candidate of their choice, and should America go back to having religious restrictions on its politicians like it had before 1840?
Also prove that Muslims in America are not dropping out in large numbers. Give me reliable statistics.
June 2, 2007 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
(1) What is the PEW poll, and how reliable is it?
(2) According to the statistics you bring, 22% of Muslims DO approve of suicide bombings against civilians. That is not a small number. How many Christians would approve of suicide bombings and how many suicide bombings have actually been carried out by Christians in recent years?
(3) How many Muslims feel that torture is acceptable under some circumstances? Is it less that the number you give for Christians? Which countries use torture routinely more frequently on political opponents, Christian Europe or the Muslim/Arab Middle East?
(4) Muslim imperialism and aggression conquered the Christian-controlled Holy Land in the 7th century, long before the Christians took it back in the Crusades. Muslims were running the slave trade in Africa long before the Europeans arrived in the 15th century. Muslim imperialism poured out of Arabia in the 7th and conducted a jihad that eventually reached from France through North Africa to southeast Asia.
What was the Muslim Ottoman Empire doing attacking Vienna in the heart of Europe in the 17th century? Wouldn't you call that agression and imperialism.
Looks like there is plenty of blame to go around in ALL directions.
June 2, 2007 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right - and Harris is concerned about the number of Muslims only because he's just such a stickler for statistical accuracy and nothing else. Funny, you don't see him oh so concerned about the real numbers of, say, Armenians. No, I wonder why that is. Gee. Hmmm. Gosh. The reasons totally escape me...Nothing obvious there. Nope, I can' figure out why he's so concerned about the number of Muslims. Not a clue. Can't figure it out. Nope, a total mystery...
June 2, 2007 3:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
"To say that it is hateful requires drawing on some larger knowledge base."
True enough. But isn't the author obliged to tell us the point of his essay? And if he doesn't isn't he putting his readers in the position of having to speculate?
Most people don't have the time or interest to do the necessary research. In the absence of such "larger knowledge" they are likely to make common sense, rule-of-thumb inferences such as the author's unstated goal is to diminish Muslim-American political clout. Then one tends to speculate why this might be so.
If the author forces his readers to fill in the gaps then any unjust conclusions are to a very large degree his own fault.
June 2, 2007 5:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
According to the CIA Factbook the current population of the US is about 300 million of which 1% or 3 million are Muslims.
June 2, 2007 7:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good point re: North America. As it turns out, there are an estimated 257K Muslims living in Mexico. The same source gives the Canadian figure as 600K.
Neoboho
June 2, 2007 8:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Full Report (available as a pdf file at the link I posted upthread) has several caveats about the results regarding overall numbers of Muslims in the U.S.:
The researchers go into a lot of detail about the difficulty of obtaining accurate data. They do appear to have tried to anticipate difficulties and report on them honestly, making considerable effort to control for them. Yet the report's authors clearly state that even after making these efforts, the portion of the report dealing with the estimate of numbers needs to be looked at as only an approximation.
I wonder why Harris neglected to mention the researchers' reservations.
Know your enemy well, for in the end that is who you become. ~~Old Chinese Proverb
June 2, 2007 8:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
This one really tickled my fancy. There were some real howlers:
Most answers fell into one of three categories: (i) lazy journalism...
Sounds like what he's saying is that he asked the ADL to get into the Muslim-bashing business by attacking the Muslim population numbers, but they didn't want to play ball. Also, love that self-endorsement "our longstanding reputation for solid research." Number 1 on that hit parade is Alvin Rosenfeld's recent essay trashing Jewish liberals brought to you by none other than those paragons of solid research, the AJC.That's certainly a credible claim on Harris' part...that a media outlet would admit that it's work was based on "lazy journalism."
This is the best the AJC "academic heavyweight" (more Harris self-puffery) could muster in counting U.S. Muslims is this:
In other words, he studied the studies & did not produce any original research of his own. There may be something useful in doing this. But as for giving us an accurate counting of the Muslim population--that seems dubious to me.
Harris conveniently neglects a major controversy among American Jewish demographers over the past few yrs. in pinpointing good numbers for the Amer. Jewish population. The commonly accepted number has been around 6 million. Then some demographers lowered the number to 5 million. People tore their hair out. Where did those 1 million Jews go?? The point is as other have pointed out here knowing the precise numbers of any given religious group is not an exact science by any means.
The JPost comments are also unintentionally hilarious in a dark sort of way:
At my blog, one of my right wing readers had the chutzpah to wonder how I could claim the post-Conrad Black JPost was still neocon. This article helps answer the question.
Richard Silverstein
Tikun Olam>
June 3, 2007 1:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Your attempt at irony is pathetic. You are completely overstating whatever case you think you have. The idea that the mere statement of demographic fact, or the prsentation of evidence indicating a previous demographic error, constitutes "ethnic warfare" is prima facie absurd.
And the statement "what difference does it make how many Muslims there are in the US" is just obvious mugwumpery. Of course it makes a difference. If somebody claimed there were 15 million Jews in the US, or that there were 80 million African Americans, nobody would be accused of ethnic warfare for correcting them.
I don't know this Harris and I don't know his concerns or prejudices. Whatever they may be, they were not evidenced in the article Rosenberg linked to. Your posts, OTOH, show a contempt for reality and an inability to respond to rational argument.
Rosenberg obviously stated that the true number of Muslims in the US is of no concern, and that it doesn't matter
June 3, 2007 8:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Harris may be a bigot, but it's certainly not obvious from the article Rosenberg linked to. And who's playing a "numbers game", the people putting out the wrong numbers or the people putting out the right ones?
And if you know what a rhetorical question is, you couldn't possibly consider Rosenberg's question to be one. In fact, it's just another way of saying, "It doesn't matter how many Muslims there are in the US," a statement that is so problematical I'm not going to bother listing the top 10 reasons why it's wrong and stupid.
June 3, 2007 8:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
LongTom, I hate to be snarky, but since you seem to have no reservations about being snarky yourself, let me just say that you're apparently not a very sophisticated reader. Here are a number of phrases from Harris's article that suggest something other than a purely disinterested analysis of facts. I've bolded words and phrases that are particularly good clues that the author is not just correcting the record:
No doubt, to some this estimate comes as a shock.
yes, brazen manipulation.
bandied about as articles of faith
exaggerated
notoriously anti-Israel
The New York Times, which has its own agenda
reportedly had no training as a demographer. That didn’t stop him from presenting his “guesstimation”
spokeswoman for the Muslim Advancement Society boasting on CNN that “there are 8 million Muslims in America now
Then, in a rare instance of media courage, it challenged these claims as “wildly inflated” and astutely added that “politicians in Washington are intimidated by the figure.”
Will the Pew estimate of 2.35 million now take hold? Don’t hold your breath.
numbers that appeared grossly exaggerated,
often came from groups with dubious political agendas, and surely couldn’t withstand closer scrutiny.
Most answers fell into one of three categories: (i) lazy journalism; (ii) fear of risking a confrontation with Muslim groups; or (iii) an inquiry from a Jewish group, no matter how the issue was framed, was deemed dead on arrival.
Bottom line: we had zero impact.
we’d be potentially vulnerable to attack. But no other institution stepped forward, so we forged ahead.
The assault from those invested in the higher numbers was immediate.
That didn’t stop others, though, from continuing to repeat the outlandishly exaggerated numbers ad nauseum, or wielding the “Islamophobia” charge against anyone who dared use the reports’ figures.
the exaggerated and politically-motivated numbers afloat out there
Stay tuned.
Now if you can't understand how those phrases betray a certain type of bias, then I really can't help you. It would be like trying to teach the tone deaf to sing.
June 3, 2007 9:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Though there's nothing in the quotes you list quite on the same level as accusing someone of "ethnic warfare," I'm willing to stipulate that Harris has his own pro-Israel agenda. But don't the Israeli government and its apologists commit enough REAL transgressions that it's counterproductive to attack one of them when he actually gets a fact right?
To paraphrase Rosenberg, what difference does it make if Harris is pro-Israel? The question is, is he right or not? To say the answer is irrelevant because he's pro-Israeli is ridiculous. Are Muslim groups systematically exaggerating the spread of Islam in the US and the number of Muslims in order to enhance their political clout? Are media outlets letting their claims go unexamined for fear of being accused of anti-Islamic sentiments? I'm open-minded on the first, and I'm skeptical about the second, but these are surely issues worth considering, not dismissing with a moronic "we shoudn't care because the guy bringing it up is pro-Israel."
June 3, 2007 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem is also that apparently Harris didn't read the report! The full report offers a rather long discussion about the difficulties of obtaining an accurate estimate, and the authors even stress that their numbers are only "approximations," to be used "with caution." For Harris to present the numbers with such confidence despite the study author's many caveats is not exactly what I think of as presenting "facts."
One other things that makes the numbers a bit suspect in my mind is the interviewees' economic level. This seems to be something that ought to be looked at more closely. The study population consisted of only 2% Muslims who were low income. Yet the number of low income persons in the U.S. overall is estimated to be 13%.
I have heard anecdotally that Middle Easterners often are quite successful in business endeavors, so that might explain the difference, and there may be something about our immigration policies, as mentioned upthread, operating here. Bbut it also might be one more indication that new immigrants to the country (who would be more likely to be low income than more established ones) may have been under-represented in the study, thus leading to a too-low overall estimate, despite what appear to be genuine efforts by the Pew researchers to control for these variables.
Know your enemy well, for in the end that is who you become. ~~Old Chinese Proverb
June 3, 2007 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
At first, I idly speculated that perhaps Harris was succumbing to the Israeli obsession with demographics.
Then I read the article and now think that Harris is genuinely threatened by the idea that Muslims in America could gain political clout that they don't have at present. In that case, the total numbers aren't really all that important aside from providing a rationale for ignoring their concerns.
But, if American Muslims follow the examples of political activism pioneered by AIPAC at the local levels, they could become a factor in electiing reps to Congress who are immune to the pressures from certain elements of the pro-Israel community .
Could Harris be attempting to perform some pre-emptive damage control in anticipation that Muslims could form local PACS and influence elections in districts where their numbers could make difference?
June 3, 2007 4:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even if he gets the numbers right - and that's a big "if" - the point is that Harris is not a disinterested demographer who is merely setting the record straight, and the Jerusalem Post is not an academic journal dedicated to demography. There is a reason why Harris recycled this article from Daniel Pipe's writings, and Pipes himself made it abundantly clear. There is an ethnic war going on against Muslims by certain hardline right-wing Jews and supporters of Israel who feel threatened by the notion that God forbid, Muslims may gain political influence. That's why these people are trying to emphasize the population issue. That's why. Not because they're just demographers, no & thats NOT the reason why.
Now, if you insist on not seeing something, don't blame others who do.
June 3, 2007 9:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is important to remember that Congress is pro-Israel because that is what their voters want, not because of the "Jewish lobby". The US would be pro-Israel even if there were only 10% as many Jews in the US as there are. There has been a positive attitude towards Zionism among non-Jews, since the 1840's (!), long before there was a relatively large Jewish population in the US. President Martin Van Buren took an active stand against the Damascus Blood Libel of 1840 and President Abraham Lincoln expressed support for setting up a Jewish state. He stated that after he finished his second term as President his fondest wishes were to visit California and Jerusalem (I had the priviledge in living in BOTH places!).
June 4, 2007 12:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Try this out. WHY DOES IT MATTER what Harris' motivations are? I DON'T CARE if you're right that Harris and the J-Post are waging an ethnic war.
See how silly that sounds? That's what you and Rosenberg sound like. If you and Rosenberg don't care what the truth is, why should I?
I never said Harris was a disinterested demographer. But you and Rosenberg claim we should ignore what he says because he's got a bad attitude. You still don't get at the issue, which is IS WHAT HE IS SAYING TRUE OR NOT? Rosenberg tacitly accepts that it's true, but says we shouldn't bother with it.
June 4, 2007 2:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have a feeling that somewhere in the bowels of the Washington national security bureaucracy there is a count of Muslims in America down to the man. I doubt this honor is extended to any other group. I doubt this count will lead to more political clout for Muslims.
June 4, 2007 8:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's important to remember that most American voters don't care all that much about Israel or, more importantly, know squat about it. Unless one makes an effort to pursue information by accessing Israeli news sources, for instance, they will remain blissfully ignorant about the reality of the situation in Israel.
Sure they will answer "support for Israel" poll questions in the affirmative but when askied how the US government should handle issues between Israelis and Palestinians the majority vote for an even-handed approach. That's the American way, and persists in spite of the hasbara machine's best efforts.
What's important to understand is how AIPAC works on the local level by identifying potential candidates very early on and starting to $upport and "educate" them on issues relevent to Israel. By the time a candidate for Congress gets to the Hill, the have been thoroughly vetted and have presented AIPAC with their "position papers" outlining how they will vote on issues affecting Israel. A recent AIPAC operative recently boasted that every new member elected to Congress had submitted his or her "position paper".
If Muslim groups organize in a similiar manner in areas where they hold a demographic advantage, they could break that mold.
The recent poll mentioned on this site showing that 71% of Jewish Israelis want US to attack Iran if talks/sanctions fail also included another interesting response to a question about the reasons for American support for Israel. The most interesting number to me was that only 17% of respondents thought American support for Israel was due to "shared values and a shared democratic tradition".
They should know.
PS. Yeah, I know you're from LA.
June 4, 2007 10:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Doesn't that depend on how large the population is of the audience he is addressing and their own percieved power/impact in America is? How much larger is the Jewish population over 2%? Is it 5%? If so, 2% matters.
June 4, 2007 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm musing a bit here, and thinking of a teenager I know who makes you wonder what he's going to be doing in 30 years or so. It's not that he is pleasant and charismatic, and a straight-A student. It's how I have watched him in his large family, not just calming down squabbles between children, but also talking fighting adults out of screaming matches. His family tells me that he has a similar reputation, as a peacemaker and mediator, in his high school.
The family describes themselves as Americans, then as from Sierra Leone (he's in the second generation born here) and then, with quite a few differences among the family members, Christian or Muslim.
Sometimes, I wonder if Ibrahim just might, someday, be in the White House. If he keeps developing in the way he's doing it, he's destined for great things.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
June 4, 2007 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
the point of the article is that US Muslims are exaggerating the numbers of US Muslims. And the US media establishment is complicit in this exaggeration. Ergo, the Jewish establishment has lost ground on this issue.
What I want to know is: how is being Muslim determined? Do you ask someone? Or do you count names on lists? It seems simple to get different numbers based on criteria. A person who's only been to a Mosque once or even never may consider themselves Muslim, but does this make it so to whatever poll they're responding to?
June 6, 2007 8:40 AM | Reply | Permalink